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Transcript of Zero Hedge _ On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.pdf
8/27/2014 Zero Hedge | On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
http://www.zerohedge.com/ 1/5
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Russia Sanctions Hit German Consumers,“Economic Expectations Completely
Collapse”
Posted by : testosteronepit
Post date: 08/27/2014 - 16:45
The “faster rotating sanctions spiral with
Russia” causes worst plunge in the history of
the German consumer index.
"THe U.S. CaN'T SoLVe THe WoRLD'SPROBLeMS ANYMoRe…"
Posted by: williambanzai7
Post date: 08/27/2014 - 15:40
Sanction's: Jah Jah Jah!!!
Forget “Peak Oil” and “Peak Credit” …Are We On the Downslope of “Peak
Intelligence”?
Posted by: George Washington
Post date: 08/27/2014 - 13:37
Sex and Exercise May Help ...
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The Nail In The Petrodollar Coffin:Gazprom Begins Accepting PaymentFor Oil In Ruble, Yuan
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 15:57
According to Russia's RIA Novosti, citing
business daily Kommersant, Gazprom Neft
has agreed to export 80,000 tons of oil from
Novoportovskoye field in the Arctic; it will
accept payment in rubles, and will also
deliver oil via the Eastern Siberia-Pacific Ocean pipeline
(ESPO), accepting payment in Chinese yuan for the
transfers. Meaning Russia will export energy to either Europe or
China, and receive payment in either Rubles or Yuan, in effect
making the two currencies equivalent as far as the Eurasian
axis is conerned, but most importantly, transact completely
away from the US dollar thus, finally putin'(sic) in action the
move for a Petrodollar-free world.
COMMENTS: 404 READS: 32,043
Sometimes 0% Is Better Than -82%Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 15:56
You want winners? You want me to put
my Cramer Berkowitz hedge fund hat on
and just discuss what my fund is buying
today to try to make money tomorrow and
the next day and the next? You want my
top 10 stocks for who is going to make it in
the New World? You know what? I am going to give them to
you. Right here. Right now...
COMMENTS: 94 READS: 21,140
An Interview With Alasdair MacleodSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 18:31
Yesterday it was Ambrose Evans Pritchard,
today, in this 2nd of a series of London
interviews that Lars Schall conducted for
Matterhorn Asset Management this summer,
Lars has a City of London streetside
conversation with Alasdair Macleod right
outside the Dutch reform Church in Austin
Friars near the Bank of England. Together
they talked about, inter alia: the challenges for The London
Bullion Market Association (LBMA); China’s appetite for gold;
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RanSquawk News The Fly On The Wall
New Comments Today's Top Stories
Audio Commentary From RanSquawk:
08-27 18:30: Italy's top banks said to be seeking up to
USD 36bln from ECB
08-27 18:30: EUR/USD currently trading a tight range as
participants await the...
08-27 18:30: Analysts at Westpac suggests a few trades
based on their G10 model...
08-27 17:57: Ahead of the various equity opens there
are a number of large cap...
08-27 17:24: U.S SERVICE HAS NOW FINISHED, PLEASE
SWITCH OVER TO THE ASIA CHANNEL...
08-27 17:24: ASIAN DAILY ECONOMIC RELEASES - NOW
AVAILABLE IN THE RESEARCH SECTION...
08-27 17:24: NEWS STORIES OF NOTE FROM OVER THE
EU/US SESSIONS: New ECB action...
08-27 17:24: ANALYSIS: Given the ECB source
comments on Wednesday, German state...
08-27 18:42: Dude, she's getting a (SilverRhino)
08-27 18:41: Thanks for your perspective. (WillyGroper)
08-27 18:41: Drugs? (cougar_w)
08-27 18:41: FINALLY...Now keep the (honestann)
08-27 18:41: The German banking system (Watson)
08-27 18:41: Can't rule out that someone (cougar_w)
08-27 18:40: My guess is that the perp is
(NuYawkFrankie)
08-27 18:40: Good thing I stopped paying (Eager
Beaver)
08-27 18:40: He kind of reminds me of Max (Bernoulli)
08-27 18:40: My sales aredown 20% YOY and
(Berspankme)
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8/27/2014 Zero Hedge | On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
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the Shanghai Cooperation Organization as THE future player in
the gold market; and the problems related to Germany’s gold at
the New York Fed.
COMMENTS: 5 READS: 334
Arms Trade Treaty: What Is It AndWhy Does It Matter?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 18:04
The right to bear arms in the United States
has been and continues to be one of the
most hotly debated pieces of legislation in
our modern era. But, as Nicole Pontius of
CamCode notes, the reality is that gun laws
and arms regulation is not simply a human
rights issue and it certainly does not only
affect the U.S. Arms regulation also impacts
national security, economic interests, global
commerce and foreign policy. As Pontius adds, the latest
political solution to help improve international arms
regulation is the ATT, or the Arms Trade Treaty. Among a
number of potential benefits of the ATT, this treaty would
require governments to report all arms sales, thus
preventing the sale and transfer of weapons likely to be used in
violation of human rights all around the world. We wanted to
take a closer look at this important piece of legislation - this
infographic answers what it is, who is involved, and why we
need it.
COMMENTS: 29 READS: 1,298
4 Years Until The Next Recession? NotLikely!
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 17:30
David Rosenberg, in one of his recent
missives, wrote: "...based on the current
trend in the LEI and the level of the
diffusion index, history suggests that the
next recession is at least four years away." While anything is
certainly possible, it is highly unlikely that the current
economic environment is supportive of another four years
of a "struggle along" economy. Given the artificial supports
during recent years, the extreme extension in assets prices,
record levels of margin debt and the chase for yield in "junk
credits," it is highly possible that the next recessionary
decline could be much larger than the historical average.
COMMENTS: 27 READS: 3,021
Ebola Devastates West Africa:Revenues Down; Markets NotFunctioning; Projects Canceled; GDP
Plunges 4%Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 17:01
The market, in its infinitely rigged wisdom,
has concluded that the worst Ebola
outbreak in history is a non-event, even
though it has put virtually all of western
Africa on indefinite lockdown, and as
Reuters reports, is "causing enormous damage to West African
economies and draining budgetary resources." In fact the
damage from Ebola to Africa is already so acute, it is expected
that economic growth in the region will plunge by up to 4
percent as foreign businessmen leave and projects are
canceled, according to the African Development Bank president
said. Revenues are down, foreign exchange levels are down,
markets are not functioning, airlines are not coming in, projects
are being canceled, business people have left - that is very,
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very damaging," African Development Bank (AfDB) chief Donald
Kaberuka said in an interview late on Tuesday.
COMMENTS: 62 READS: 3,607
Saxo Bank CIO Warns "It's Time To BeDefensive... Very Defensive"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 16:31
"Germany will flirt with recession by Q4 of
this year," warns Saxo Bank's Chief
Economist Steen Jakobsen, adding that
"the US is in worse shape than most people believe." It's
important to underline, he notes, that major US investment
houses, and certainly every single sales person we talk to,
believe US is about to accelerate in growth not slow down.
Jakobsen warns though that Q3 could be ok but the real
damage will come in Q4 as the lead-lag factor of geopolitical
risk, lack of reforms and excess global supply leads to low
inflation. His conclusion, "it’s time to be defensive... very
defensive."
COMMENTS: 24 READS: 6,255
Confidence In Central Planning SavedWith Last Second All Time High Ramp
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 16:06
Once Europe closed, US equity markets
rolled over on what is a new 'lowest-
volume-day-of-the-year' led by recent
winner Russell 2000. The Dow is now red
on the week and the Nasdaq up 11 days
in a row. Today was not about stocks
though (aside from the close). While CAD saw its best gain in
over 2 years, it was US Treasuries (as EUR weakened and Bund
yields plunged) that made the flashing red headlines with 30Y
back at 15-month lows (at 3.10%) and 10Y -3.5bps at 2.36%
as the yield curve flattened even further. 2s30s dropped
below 260bps - its flattest since Dec 2012. Un-de-escalation
concerns evident in TSYs and credit finally started to bleed into
VIX and stocks. Gold, silver, and oil limped higher as US
weakened (and copper fell). A desperate buying panic into
the close smashing S&P futures to VWAP magically
enabled the S&P to close at the confidence-inspiring
centrally-planned 'wealth effect' level of 2000.07!!
COMMENTS: 43 READS: 4,066
Chinese Developers "Destocking"Desperation: Bikini-Clad Model CarWashes, iPhones, & Alibaba Discounts
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 15:33
We have presented numerous examples of
the turmoil under the surface of China's
unprecedentedly placid GDP headlines but,
as The FT reports, the desperation of
property developers should be the biggest
canary in the coalmine that all is not well. Developers began
cutting prices this year but have so far failed to revive flagging
volumes and so are increasingly resorting to creative sales
tactics to drum up interest. From discounts on Alibaba
purchases up to $325,000 to car-washes by bikini-clad models,
as "putting full effort into destocking has become the common
choice of most developers. They’re still not optimistic about
the market situation." So why are US investors so upbeat
about China's 'recovery'?
8/27/2014 Zero Hedge | On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
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COMMENTS: 60 READS: 14,270
30Y Treasury Yield Plunges To Fresh15-Month Lows
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 15:10
Someone is gonna be wrong...
COMMENTS: 41 READS: 8,859
CBO Thinks Millions Of AmericansAren't Going To Sign Up ForObamacare
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 14:47
According to government's own projections,
the 'universal coverage' provided by the
Affordable Care Act will still yield almost 4
million Americans who will prefer to pay
an average tax of more than $1,000 to
the government for 2016, rather than
buying health insurance that year... and
the total number of nonelderly uninsured Americans projected
for calendar 2016 is some 30 million.
COMMENTS: 81 READS: 5,864
NATO Canada Has A Message ForRussian Soldiers
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 14:22
NATO Canada tweeted: "Geography can
be tough. Here’s a guide for Russian
soldiers who keep getting lost &
'accidentally' entering Ukraine"
COMMENTS: 193 READS: 18,762
Canadian Dollar Surges Most In 2 YearsAs "Tax Inversion" Euphoria Hits FX
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 14:06
It appears the Tim Horton's / Burger-King
deal has sparked a serious surge in Canadian
Dollar demand. CAD is up almost 1%
today - its best daily gain since June 2012 - pushing to its
highest in a month. We suspect the momentum of the initial
"tax inversion" flow merely triggered stops and broke key
technical levels (200-day moving average) to extend the move
as it seems the 'Canada as an offshore tax-haven meme' is a
bit of reach...
COMMENTS: 33 READS: 3,984
Argentina – Sliding Down A SlipperySlope
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 13:40
Update: The official and black-market
Peso has collapsed further today to new
record lows.
It is actually quite sad to watch the
continued downfall of Argentina's economy
under the inept ministrations of its government. The only good
8/27/2014 Zero Hedge | On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
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thing that can possibly come from this is that it will set yet
another example for others so they may avoid making
similar mistakes. Unfortunately the example is being set on
the backs of the country's citizens, who are seemingly forced
to live from crisis to crisis. Politicians rarely pay the price for
their atrocious policies, and we are quite sure Ms. Kirchner and
her cronies have feathered their nests in ways the average
citizen cannot even dream of (most recently, corruption
allegations have caught up with Ms. Kirchner's vice president.
Rampant government corruption has long been a hot topic in
Argentina under Ms. Kirchner's rule). It is not as though
Argentina didn't have great potential. If only politicians would
leave its economy alone and stopped inflating the
currency into oblivion, the country could easily and quickly
regain its former prosperity.
COMMENTS: 55 READS: 5,794
2nd American ISIS Fighter Killed InSyria, CNN Reports
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2014 - 13:15
The anti-ISIS operation, Naharawan al-
Sham, who distributed images of the first
American to be killed fighting for ISIS
yesterday, has according to CNN announced
a second American was killed in battle
representing ISIS. So far, neither ISIS (which often comments
on death of its "martyrs") or Naharawan al-Sham has released
any images or evidence of the second death.
COMMENTS: 125 READS: 5,911
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