YPLA Strategic Analysis: South West Summary
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Transcript of YPLA Strategic Analysis: South West Summary
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
Strategic AnalysisSouth West Summary
[email protected] Analysis Manager
YPLA Western Territory
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
This presentation
1. Context2. Participation2. The Learning Landscape4. Attainment & Progression
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s LearningChampioning Young People’s Learning
South West 16-18 Population Projections 000s
175.0
180.0
185.0
190.0
195.0
200.0
205.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2008-2017SW 11% decline 16-18s
Eng 13% decline 16-18s
Plymouth 19% decline
N.Soms 1% decline
over 6,700 fewer2011-2015
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
Major industries in the South West
50% of all jobs
0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000
Sep-05 Sep-06 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-10
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
% of 16-18s in jobs without training
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Mar-07
Aug-07
Jan-0
8Jun-08
Nov-08
Apr-09
Sep-09
Feb-10
Jul-10
Dec-10
May
-11
Eng
SW
Devon
Soms
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
Resident 16-19s leaving JSA to go into learning
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350Au
g-99
Feb-
00
Aug-
00
Feb-
01
Aug-
01
Feb-
02
Aug-
02
Feb-
03
Aug-
03
Feb-
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Aug-
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Feb-
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Aug-
05
Feb-
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Aug-
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Feb-
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Aug-
07
Feb-
08
Aug-
08
Feb-
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Aug-
09
Feb-
10
Aug-
10
Feb-
11
Aug-
11
HSBC USsub-primewarning
LehmanBros.
bankrupt
UKeconomy
inrecession
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
This presentation
1. Context2. Participation2. The Learning Landscape4. Attainment & Progression
![Page 8: YPLA Strategic Analysis: South West Summary](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042713/5479cbb4b379593a2b8b488e/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
% of SW 16-18s NEET
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
Sep-
07
Dec
-07
Mar
-08
Jun-
08
Sep-
08
Dec
-08
Mar
-09
Jun-
09
Sep-
09
Dec
-09
Mar
-10
Jun-
10
Sep-
10
Dec
-10
Mar
-11
Jun-
11
England
SouthWestB&NES
Bristol
UK economyin recession
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
Participation by SW 16-17s
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
Increasing presence of Academies –SW 16-18s
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
2007/08S04
2008/09S04
2009/10S04
2010/11S02
2011/12allocated
Maintained
Academies
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
16-18 participation and population trends andprojections
105,000
110,000
115,000
120,000
125,000
130,000
135,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Measured Projected
Participation
Population
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
Annual 16-18 participation change required tohit 2013 RPA target
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
population
participation
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s LearningChampioning Young People’s Learning
SW learners by level
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
EntryLevel
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 OtherLevel
EntryLevel
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 OtherLevel
FE School Sixth Forms
2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
nearly half ofFE learnersare @ L3
78% of SSFlearners @ L3- static
10%reduction
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
This presentation
1. Context2. Participation2. The Learning Landscape4. Attainment & Progression
![Page 15: YPLA Strategic Analysis: South West Summary](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042713/5479cbb4b379593a2b8b488e/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
16-18 travel to learn – major flows
38%500Bournemouth &Poole
Poole
38%500Bournemouth &Poole
DorsetGreaterBournemouth
51%500CirencesterSwindon
no trend300Swindon College
-8%300New CollegeWiltshireSwindon
13%900South DevonDevonGreater Devon
23%400BrockenhurstDorset
no trend500BrockenhurstBournemouth
21%200Totton
19%400SparsholtWiltsinto Hants
154%*500St. Brendan's
no trend700City of Bristol[Bristol]
South Gloucs
-13%800Filton
no trend300City of Bristol[S.Gloucs]
BristolGreater Bristol
3 year trendNumberLearnsLives
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
Number of 16-25s at ISPs, 2005/06 = 100%
88 @£46keach
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
2005/2
006
2006/
2007
2007
/2008
2008
/200
9
2009
/201
0
2010/
2011
Cornwall
Dorset
South West
England
c.400 @£44k each
c.600 @£54k each
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s LearningChampioning Young People’s Learning
SW 16-18 SSF / Acad learning aims
35% ‘STEM’ -steady
Science &Maths =nearly 30% ofall SW SSFAims
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s LearningChampioning Young People’s Learning
SW 16-18 FE learning aims by subject
16% ‘STEM’– risingslightly
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
This presentation
1. Context2. Participation2. The Learning Landscape4. Attainment & Progression
![Page 20: YPLA Strategic Analysis: South West Summary](https://reader034.fdocuments.in/reader034/viewer/2022042713/5479cbb4b379593a2b8b488e/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
Level 2 at 19
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
19 in 2004/05 19 in 2005/06 19 in 2006/07 19 in 2007/08 19 in 2008/09 19 in 2009/10
Pe
rcen
tag
eA
ttai
nm
ent
Bristol B&NES SOUTH WEST ENGLAND
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
Level 3 at 19
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
19 in 2004/05 19 in 2005/06 19 in 2006/07 19 in 2007/08 19 in 2008/09 19 in 2009/10
Per
cen
tage
Att
ainm
ent
B&NES Swindon SOUTH WEST ENGLAND
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s Learning
FSM gap at 19, levels 2 & 3
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%
Corn
wal
l
Glou
cest
ersh
ire
Sout
hW
est
Engl
and
Corn
wal
l
Glou
cest
ersh
ire
Sout
hW
est
Engl
and
Level 2 Level 3
19 in 2004/05
19 in 2005/06
19 in 2006/07
19 in 2007/08
19 in 2008/09
19 in 2009/10
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YPLA SW Strategic Analysis TeamChampioning Young People’s LearningChampioning Young People’s Learning
Attainment by 19 of learners attending SWschools at 15
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Englishand/ormaths
NeitherEnglish
nor maths
Englishand maths
English ormaths orneither
No level 2 at 16 Level 2 at 16
No level 3 attained
Level 3 attained