your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life:...

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Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions

Transcript of your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life:...

Page 1: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

Your Carbon or Your Life:Ammonia vs. Emissions

Page 2: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

I’m a brain scientist, interested in the basesof human behavior.

In the last five years, I’ve devoted most ofmy energy to the problems of globalwarming, the current mass extinction, andthe population explosion, all of whichthreaten survival of life on Earth.

The cause of all these problems ismaladaptive human behavior.

For those of you who are dedicated tobringing about the use of anhydrousammonia as fuel, I have an urgentrequest.

Page 3: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

Please hurry. It’s urgent.

Anhydrous ammonia can help save the planet.

Page 4: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC): 2500 leading scientists from around the

world (shared 2007 Nobel Prize with Al Gore)

(2001) Humans have changed Earth’s climate sincethe pre-industrial era.

Greenhouse gases [will] cause abrupt, devastating,irreversible effects.

Mitigation and adaptation are advised, but barriersto their implementation will have to be overcome.

Page 5: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

fossils

C in plants

C in animals

sediment

volcanism}ALL 3 HAVE CAUSEDMASS EXTINCTIONS

BY PUTTING TOOMUCH CO2 INTO

THE ATMOSPHERE

decaycombustion

We rely on the eco-system to clear CO2 from the air, but it didn’t evolve to handle this much CO2.

Earth’s ecosystem evolved a carbon cycle over billions of years, that was stable longer than we’ve been on the planet.

CO2in air

CO2 in water

C in animals

C in plants

Page 6: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

Greenhouse gas levels are now higher than anytime since our species evolved 120,000 years ago,and our emissions are skyrocketing.

Positive feedbacks are accelerating globalwarming and ecosystem collapse.

We have started Earth’s sixth mass extinction.

We only have a short time to reverse warming. Itcan’t be done overnight, so we can no longer delay.

We can’t negotiate with Mother Nature.

Page 7: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

GLOBAL WARMING (IPCC)

Page 8: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

The two main positive feedbacks for globalwarming are due to loss of albedo and methanerelease. Others will soon come into play.

Once positive feedback exceeds a certain level, itbecomes a runaway process, beyond our ability toreverse.

We don’t know when global warming will reach therunaway stage, or even whether it’s reached thatstage already.

GLOBAL WARMING POSITIVE FEEDBACKS

Page 9: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

IF WE STOP BURNING CARBON: (IPCC)

Page 10: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

This projection is overly optimistic,because it didn’t take positivefeedback into account.

Page 11: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

Feedback added

0 100 200 300 400 500

years

CO2 emissions

Atmospheric [CO2]

Temperature

Sea rise, thermal

Sea rise, melting

AlbedoC02 clearance

methane release

CO2 release

Runaway Global Warming

Page 12: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

Jim Hanson, top climate researcher atNASA: “One more degree of warming andwe’re done for.”

In the last 30 years, we’ve warmed 0.6degrees. Without positive feedback orincreased C02, it will take 50 years to warmone more degree. With positive feedback, itcould take as little as 20 years.

Page 13: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

It doesn’t take a brain scientist to knowwhat we need to do.

Developed countries must stop burningcarbon in 5 years, 10 years for developingcountries. We must restore net negativefeedback in 20 years. Even then, there willbe major damage due to the Earth’sphysical inertia.

Page 14: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

ACTION TIMELINE

10 years to stop carbon combustionwordwide, 5 years in developed countries.

20 years for net negative climate feedback ifpossible.

Many decades for habitat restoration.

100 - 250 years for population reduction to1/10 (ca. 1700 AD level) of current 6.5 billion.

Page 15: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

NET NEGATIVE FEEDBACK

There are two more things we must doto reverse global warming: removeatmospheric CO2 and enhance albedo.

Remove atmospheric CO2: properly managed forests

Increased albedo: artificial surface reflection

Page 16: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

CO2 ABATEMENT

Implement new forest management for maximum growth rate and maximum lumber output. Reforest all available land.

Sequester wood.

Page 17: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

ALBEDO ENHANCEMENT

Convert all man-made surfaces: roofs,pavements, etc., for high reflectivity (paintthem white).

It would be nice to have paint that’s white insunlight, black in the dark.

Reforestation will ensure good cloudcover (more albedo) by increasedtranspiration.

Page 18: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

ENERGY

The obstacle to carbon-free energy in the pasthas been the intermittent nature of renewablesources such as wind and sunlight.

The carbon power industry has beencomplacent, because they would always beneeded to take up the load when theserenewable electricity supplies fall belowdemand.

Anhydrous ammonia provides the missinglink for a carbon-free energy economy.

Page 19: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

A NON-CARBON RENEWABLE ENERGY CYCLE

Non-carbon renewables (e.g., wind, solar)

atmosphere water

Page 20: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

A NON-CARBON RENEWABLE ENERGY CYCLE

Non-carbon renewables (e.g., wind, solar)

electricity grid

Microgeneration(Consumers)

Macrogeneration(energy farms)

atmosphere water

Page 21: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

A NON-CARBON RENEWABLE ENERGY CYCLE

Non-carbon renewables (e.g., wind, solar)

electricity grid

Microgeneration(Consumers)

Macrogeneration(energy farms)

atmosphere water

N2

N2

H2O

H2 O2

NH3

ammonia grid

Page 22: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

A NON-CARBON RENEWABLE ENERGY CYCLE

Non-carbon renewables (e.g., wind, solar)

electricity grid

Microgeneration(Consumers)

Macrogeneration(energy farms)

atmosphere water

N2

N2

H2O

H2 O2

NH3

ammonia grid

O2

Consumer combustion(heating, IC, fuel cells)

H2ON2

Useableenergy

Page 23: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

A NON-CARBON RENEWABLE ENERGY CYCLE

ammonia-burningpower plants

Non-carbon renewables (e.g., wind, solar)

electricity grid

Microgeneration(Consumers)

Macrogeneration(energy farms)

atmosphere water

N2

N2

H2O

H2 O2

NH3

ammonia gridO2

N2 H2O

O2

Consumer combustion(heating, IC, fuel cells)

H2ON2

Useableenergy

The missinglink

Page 24: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

THE BEAUTY OF THE AMMONIA CYCLE

H2O N2

sunlight

heat

electricity

Ammonia combustion

Ammonia synthesis

O2

The combustion products of ammonia areecologically neutral.

NH3

Page 25: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

•The smart thing for the fossil fuel andpower industries to do would be to retoolfor green electricity and NH3 and lobby forgovernment help.

•Some companies already have started.

•Entrepreneurs will be happy to drive theothers into extinction.

Page 26: your carbon or your life - NH3 Fuel Association · 2012. 5. 23. · Your Carbon or Your Life: Ammonia vs. Emissions. I’m a brain scientist, interested in the bases of human behavior.

Please hurry. It’s urgent.

Anhydrous ammonia can help save the planet.