Yole Gyro MU Report Sample September 2012

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  • 2012

    Gyroscopes and IMUs

    for Defense, Aerospace & Industrial

    Multiple technology changes are fueling booming market growth

    KVH - CROWS II Sagem Embraer Senlution

    Saab Training

    System SeaTel Sensonor Kearfott

  • 2012 2

    Report Content

    Introduction, Definitions & Methodology 5

    Executive Summary 17

    1. 2010-2017 Market and Competition Overview 38

    Global 2010-2017 gyroscope market Gyroscope market evolution by sensor grade (value & volume) Gyroscope market evolution by application category (value & volume) Gyroscope market evolution by level of integration (value & volume) Gyroscope market evolution by geography (value & volume) Gyroscope 2011 market Shares (value & volume) and competitive trends Accelerometer market evolution by application (value & volume) Accelerometer market evolution by level of integration (value & volume) Global 2010-2017 IMU market (value & volume) IMU 2011 market shares (value)

    2. Industrial / Medical / Commercial naval / Offshore Applications 74

    Overview: key specifications, market breakdown and market shares

    Application description, trends, geographic breakdown, value chain and market evolution (value & volume) for: Stabilization systems / GPS aiding - Mobile mapping / Commercial ship navigation - gyrocompass / ROVs - AUVs navigation for offshore / First responder systems / Drilling

    (for oil and gas and mining survey) / Motion Capture - Life science / Other commercial applications

    3. Commercial Aerospace Applications 108

    Overview: key specifications, market breakdown and market shares

    Application description, trends, geographic breakdown, value chain and market evolution (value & volume) for: Civil aircraft navigation / AHRS for general aviation / backup instrument / Flight control for civil helicopters and aircrafts / Flight control - navigation for civil & paramilitary UAVs /

    Space satellites, Spacecraft & skyrockets / Other commercial aerospace applications

    4. Defense Applications 132

    Overview: key specifications, market breakdown and market shares

    Application description, trends, geographic breakdown, value chain and market evolution (value & volume) for: Platform stabilization (RCWS, turrets, guns, gimbals..) / Missile guidance / Guided munitions - Bombs / Gyrocompass (ships, artillery) / Military helicopters navigation - stabilization / Military fighter navigation and flight control / Military transport aircraft / Defense UAV & UGV navigation control / Armored vehicle navigation / Combatant ship navigation / Strategic applications (submarine, ballistic missiles, specific space missions) / Other defense applications

  • 2012 3

    5. Gyroscope Technologies 178

    Technology classification and performance trends 2010-2017 technology evolution (value & volume) Technology evolution per gyro grade 1990-2020 pricing evolution by technology

    6. Silicon / Quartz MEMS Gyroscopes 203

    MEMS gyro classification, principles and latest trends

    MEMS gyros: industrial chain, cost structure, pricing trends, market shares and production level by competitor

    Report Content

    7. Fiber Optic Gyroscopes (FOG) 219

    FOG classification, principles and latest trends FOG: industrial chain, cost structure, pricing trends, market shares and production level by competitor

    8. Ring Laser Gyroscopes (RLG) 232

    RLG classification, principles and latest trends RLG: industrial chain, cost structure, pricing trends, market shares and production level by competitor

    9. DTG & Other Mechanical, Vibrating Piezo Gyroscopes 243

    DTG & other mechanical, vibrating piezo gyroscopes: classification, principles and latest trends DTG & other mechanical, vibrating piezo gyroscopes: industrial chain, cost structure, pricing trends, market shares and production level by

    competitor

    10. HRG and Emerging Gyro Technologies 255

    11. Accelerometer Technologies 261

    Technology classification, principles and latest trends 2011 technology breakdown MEMS accelerometer market shares

    Conclusion and Perspectives 279

  • 2012 4

    Objectives of the Report

    The objectives of this report are the following:

    To provide market data on high performance MEMS gyroscopes and gyroscope-based systems (gyro

    assemblies, IMUs): key market metrics & dynamics

    Unit shipments and revenues by type of sensor

    Average selling price analysis and expected evolution

    Market shares for each category of application, for each technology and for each performance grade

    To provide application focus on key existing markets and most promising emerging ones

    Functions that are used, critical specification requirements, level of assembly and technology choices

    What are the major drivers, how will the market be like in 2017?

    To provide an analysis on the major technology trends:

    Evolution expected for the current technologies: level of performance, price

    Insight about new technologies: AO / Cold atom, NMR gyros

    To provide a deep understanding of inertial sensor value chain, infrastructure & players for the inertial

    business

    Quasi-exhaustive list of sensor manufacturers worldwide with technology offer

    List of key integrators worldwide

    Industrial chain information for each application: who supplies to who

  • 2012 5

    Introduction New entrants are using game-changing MEMS IMUs to

    target emerging markets

    Inertial Measurements Units (IMUs) is a large industry traditionally dominated by defense and aerospace

    applications. 2011 was a stable year for IMUs with a market size of $1.75B.

    We expect more dynamic growth in this market near term because of two factors:

    In the defense and aerospace sectors: though the markets in the U.S. and Europe are best described as conservative and

    mature, many new programs are being launched in Asia, Brazil, and the Middle East.

    Many new applications are fueling the growth of the IMU market, benefiting from significant technology evolutions, such as the

    continuous improvement of MEMS IMUs.

    The IMU market is very concentrated; only a few big companies are dominant. Honeywell, Northrop Grumman

    and Sagem are the clear leaders, but many newcomers are coming in to play, looking to enter the market with

    low-cost MEMS-based products and a different approach to how things are done.

    Honeywell 34.8%

    Northrop Grumman

    19.4% Sagem 9.4%

    Others 36.4%

    (detailed in the report)

    2011 IMU market share (M$) (Total = $1.75B )

    Yole Dveloppement

    Aug. 2012

  • 2012 6

    Introduction Growth opportunities are positively impacting the

    gyroscope market

    High-performance inertial sensors and systems is a dynamic market segment, as an ever-increasing number of platforms

    require stabilization, guidance or navigation functions. The 2011 market for high-performance gyroscopes was estimated at

    $1.29B, growing at a 4.3% annual rate, and is expected to reach $1.66B in 2017.

    However, this growth will not be global. Indeed, the most attractive opportunities will be concentrated in a select few

    applications, geographies or technologies:

    Defense applications still account for half of the market and most players expect this to remain about the same, as budget cuts made in the

    U.S. and Europe will be partially compensated by strong demand in Asia.

    Commercial aerospace represents close to 25% of the market. After a period of stability, an increasing number of business jet, helicopter and

    civil aircraft orders will drive renewed inertial systems growth, starting in 2013.

    The remainder of the market (composed primarily of industrial, naval and offshore applications) will be the most dynamic area. While it will

    take time to adopt new technol-ogies in the more conservative areas, new industrial applications are appearing with each passing day,

    benefiting from the increasing availability of low-cost inertial solutions.

    This report describes in detail each application in terms of market size, competitive analysis, technical requirements,

    technology trends and business drivers.

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e

    2010-2017 Gyro Market ($M)

    Industrial/medical/commercial naval/offshore Commercial aerospace Defense

    Yole Developpement Aug. 2012

  • 2012 7

    Introduction MEMS and FOG drive the change in the technology mix

    Currently, optical gyroscope technologies still dominate the market by a wide margin. In

    particular, Ring Laser Gyroscopes (RLGs) are largely used in navigation systems and tactical

    guidance; one example is the Honeywell HG1700 IMU.

    Although RLGs will be robust for high-performance, Yole Developpement expects two other

    technologies to make a large contribution to 2011-2017 growth: Fiber Optic Gyroscopes

    (FOGs), which are currently very popular for stabilization applications, and should rapidly

    progress to eventually replace other navigation technologies; and MEMS technology, which

    will have the largest impact on the industry.

    New applications are enabled by low-cost MEMS sensors, and when it comes to

    tactical grade applications, a lot of progress has been achieved in just the past few years in

    terms of reliability. MEMS are now accepted in high-reliability environments, and are even

    starting to replace FOGs and other technologies in tactical applications. Of course, other

    technologies must be considered as well: Hemispheric Resonant Gyroscopes (HRGs) are

    making progress and are now designed for navigation; Coriolis vibrating piezo gyroscopes are

    finding increasing success in a large variety of end-markets while new disruptive gyro

    technologies are still in lab-phase; and finally, DTG and other mechanical gyro technologies

    are still used in some retrofit systems for 2-axis stabilization systems or for gyrocompass, but

    this trend points to a decline.

    Many factors are shaping tomorrows competitive landscape: technology capabilities,

    products maturity level, geography, value chain, and others. As such, competition trends are

    carefully analyzed in this report. Honeywell is still the global leader by far, with great success

    in RLG-based systems and successful deployment of MEMS technology. Northrop Grumman,

    Sagem and other market leaders are next on the list with a variety of technologies and new

    product lines that should have big market impact. Newcomers will play a role as well, from

    startup companies developing disruptive sensors, to MEMS manufacturers, IMU integrators

    and large end-users willing to pursue internal inertial technologies.

    This report highlights market share analysis by application field and technology, as well as

    global company shipments and technology breakdown.

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Industrial (>6/h)

    Tactical (0.5-5%/h)

    Short termnavigation

    (0.05-0.5/h)

    High-endnavigation /

    strategic(

  • 2012 8

    Introduction A report designed to be a reference in the 2012 inertial

    sensor industry

    This report is the third update of Yoles best-selling IMU Markets report, which was first released in 2008.

    This latest edition is a completely new version, with substantial changes since the last edition:

    The scope of study is broader: stand-alone gyroscopes and assemblies of 2 or3-axis gyroscopes are accounted

    for in the market numbers

    The market is quantified for each gyroscope technology, and each companys yearly shipments are estimated

    Market metrics are provided for each grade of gyroscopes: each application is positioned according to

    performance level and corresponding market size

    Applications are described in a more synthetic way in order to provide rapid access to key information (functions,

    specification, technical solution, geography, trends, and market evolution) and graphical representation of the

    industrial chain

    This report combines the best of Yoles knowledge in the high-performance inertial sensor industry. Yole

    regularly participates in industry conferences and tradeshows worldwide, and has close relations with most

    market leaders. This reports data has been validated by industry experts and augmented by the expertise of

    Mike Perlmutter, a recognized expert in navigation. With a totally different format than before, this report

    synthetizes the status of the 2012 inertial sensor industry in a thorough and completely new way.

  • 2012 9

    Scope of the report

    High performance inertial sensors

    This refers to the applications: we take into account all the inertial sensors

    except the consumer / mobile and the automotive applications

    It means that we take into account industrial, medical, aerospace, defense

    applications (even industrial applications are considered as high-performance applications, as

    opposed to consumer ones)

    In some cases: consumer -grade MEMS gyroscopes (for instance few /s bias

    stability) are used in industrial applications this is part of the report

    To simplify the representation, the performance level has been divided in 4 parts:

    The only parameter which is considered is the bias stability

    In the 50/h range: industrial grade (but it doesnt mean that this is industrial applications: for

    instance many missile and bomb guidance require moderate bias stability and enter in this category)

    ability to get data on angular rates / on motion

    In the 1/h range: tactical grade possibility to get angles

    In the 0.1/h range: short term navigation grade possibility for short term navigation (for GPS

    outage) and azimuth detection

    In the 0.01/h range: high-end navigation & strategic grade ability to navigate

    Day to day bias stability is considered for navigation grade, this is the most

    significant parameter

    In-run bias stability is used for industrial and tactical grade because:

    In the past 20 years, MEMS has appeared and expressed performance in terms of in-run parameters

    Use of inertial sensors is now in conjunction with GPS, meaning that bias repeatability in not significant

    anymore (for tactical / industrial grade)

    Other parameters need to be considered as well: depending on the application

    other parameters such angular random walk or scale factor will be more

    important than parameters

    Gyroscope

    In-Run (for industrial / tactical)

    or day to day (for navigation /

    strategic) Bias Stability

    Corresponding

    Grade

    100/h

    5/h

    1/h

    0.5/h

    0.1/h

    0.05/h

    0.01/h

    0.0001/h

    Hig

    h-e

    nd

    navig

    atio

    n

    & S

    trate

    gic

    Definition of application grades

    Ta

    ctic

    al

    Sh

    ort te

    rm

    Navig

    atio

    n

    Ind

    us

    trial

  • 2012 10

    Scope of the report

    PRICE level

    LE

    VE

    L O

    F IN

    TE

    GR

    AT

    ION

    IMU = 3 mutually

    orthogonal gyros

    and accelerometers

    Cluster of

    gyroscopes

    Clusters of

    accelerometers &

    gyroscopes

    INS

    (Inertial Navigation

    System IMU + Kalman filter)

    Cluster of

    accelerometers

    Gyroscopes Accelerometers

    INS / GPS ( fusion with GPS)

    -

    -

    +

    +

    AHRH (Attitude and Heading

    Reference System IMU + magnetometer +

    software)

    IMU market (standalone + IMUs

    integrated in systems

    such as AHRS, INS)

    Gyro market = Market for standalone gyros / assemblies of gyros

    + market for gyros integrated in IMUs and other

    systems (AHRS, INS)

    ADAHRS (Air Data Attitude &

    Heading Reference

    System fusion with air data)

    GADAHRS (GPS aided ADARS

    fusion with GPS)

  • 2012 11

    EXAMPLE OF APPLICATION DETAIL: CIVIL AIRCRAFT

    NAVIGATION

  • 2012 12

    Civil aircraft navigation Application description

    Function:

    Main purpose: navigation system for commercial aircrafts, cargos and business jets

    Additional feature: to monitor deformations of the body Flight test instrumentation systems when testing the

    aircrafts (low quantity:

  • 2012 13

    Civil aircraft navigation Market data

    Major gyro integrators Gyro integrated in assemblies or IMUs / INS by: Honeywell, Northrop Grumman, Thales, Sagem End-users: EADS Airbus & ATR, Boeing, COMAC, Dassault Aviation, Bombardier Learjet, Embraer,

    Boeing

    Geographical

    description

    For gyros: North America 85% market / Europe 10% / Asia 5% For end-users: North America 50% market / Europe 40% / Asia 10%

    Market drivers

    Steady growth of the market for the next 5 years (3-5%/y) Retrofit market is significant: it is estimated that 25-30% of the market correspond to upgrades. Indeed

    cycle time for such electronics is estimated to 10-15 years, INS are thus changed 2 or 3 times in the life

    time of an aircraft

    New platforms successfully got massive orders (A320 Neo, B787 Deamliner, COMAC) leading to a boom in the inertial market in 2013-2014 timeframe

    Recovery expected in the bizjet sector, after a bad 2008-2012 period

    2 010 2 011 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e

    K Units 18.3 18.7 19.8 21.0 22.0 22.9 23.6 24.3

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    Mar

    ket

    (Ku

    nit

    s)

    2010-2017 Civil aircrafts navigation - Gyro Market (Kunits)

    Yole Developpement Aug. 2012

    2 010 2 011 2012e 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e

    $M 141.3 143.4 151.2 159.5 166.6 172.4 176.7 181.1

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    Mar

    ket

    ($M

    )

    2010-2017 Civil aircrafts navigation - Gyro Market ($M)

    Yole Developpement Aug. 2012

  • 2012 14

    Civil aircraft navigation Value chain

    Airbus

    Boeing

    COMAC

    Honeywell

    Gyroscopes IMU/INS Aircraft maker

    Airbus Thales

    Sagem

    EADS ATR, Dassault Aviation,

    Bombardier Learjet, Embraer

    Airbus

    Boeing

    Northrop Grumman

  • 2012 15

    Companies Cited in this Report

    Al Cielo, Analog Devices, AOSense, Arazim, Astrium, Autoflug, CASC China

    Aerospace, Colibrys, Doosan, Elektropribor, Emcore, Endevco, Epson

    Toyocom, Fitzoptika, Freescale, Garmin, GEM Electronica, Gladiator

    Technologies, Goodrich / AIS, Hitachi, Honeywell, IAI, iMAR, Innalabs,

    InterSense, InvenSense, iXBlue, JAE, Kearfott, Kongsberg, KVH, L3

    Communication, Litef, Lumedyne Technologies, MEMSense, Microstrain,

    Moog / Crossbow, NG Italia, Northrop Grumman, Optolink , PCB Piezo, Perm,

    Physical Logic, Raytheon Anschtz, Sagem, SBG Systems, Schlumberger,

    Senlution, Sensonor, Sensorex, Silicon Design, Silicon Sensing System, ST

    Microelectronics, Systron Donner Inertial, Tamagawa, Teknol, Thales, Tokyo

    Keiki, Tronics, VectorNav, VTI, Watson Instruments, XSens

  • 2012 16

    Who Should be Interested in this Report?

    High-performance accelerometers and gyroscope suppliers

    Understand the system level technology trends and

    requirements for each application

    Evaluate market potential for your components

    depending on performance and technology

    Understand the differentiated value of your products and

    technologies

    Identify new business opportunities and partners

    Monitor and benchmark your competitors

    advancements

    IMU module and AHRS / INS suppliers

    Evaluate the market potential of your product portfolio

    Define diversification strategies on new applications

    Find the best technologies to integrate and the best

    suppliers depending on your target markets

    Identify new business opportunities and partners

    Have an exhaustive analysis of the competition on a

    broad range of IMU field

    Material supplier, manufacturing service companies

    Spot new business opportunities and prospects

    Understand the level of activity of your customers

    Understand what are the applications that will drive the

    volumes in 2017

    Integrators of inertial solutions, government agencies

    Find the best technologies to integrate and the best

    suppliers depending on your target markets

    Understand what will be the future applications to develop

    by taking benefit on the recent advances in inertial

    technologies

    Define technology roadmap / evaluate the benefits of

    using new technologies in end system, design

    architectures for the next generation of systems

    Screen potential new suppliers able to provide new

    functionalities, or cost and size savings

    R&D centers

    Evaluate market potential of future technologies and

    products for new applicative markets

    Identify the best candidates for technology transfer

    Financial & strategic investors

    Understand the structure and value chain of the high-end

    inertial industry

    Estimate the potential of new technologies

    (tactical/inertial navigation MEMS, navigation-grade

    HRG)

    Get the list of main key players and emerging start-ups of

    this industry worldwide

  • 2012 17

    Available MEMS Reports

    Trends in MEMS

    Manufacturing &

    Packaging

    MEMS Cosim+

    MEMS Manufacturing

    Cost Simulation Tool

    Ferro-Electric

    Thin Films MEMS Microphone

    Permanent Wafer

    Bonding

    Motion Sensors for

    Consumer & Mobile

    applications

    New!

    Thin Wafer

    Handling

    New!

    Sensor fusion of

    acceleros, gyros &

    magnetometers

    New!

    Infrared Detector Market,

    Applications and

    Technology Trends

    New!

    New!

    MEMJET Technology Trends for Inertials MEMS

    New!

    RF Filters, PAs, Antenna

    Switches & Tunability for

    Cellular Handsets

    Trends in MEMS

    Manufacturing &

    Packaging

    IMU &High

    Performance MEMS

    MEMS & Sensors

    for Smartphones

    Ferro-Electric

    Thin Films

    Motion Sensors for

    Consumer & Mobile

    applications

    CMOS Image

    Sensors

    Uncooled IR Cameras &

    Detectors for

    Thermography & Night

    Vision

    MEMS for Cell Phones

    and Tablets

    Uncooled Infrared

    Imaging:

    Commercial & Military

    Applications

    New! New! New!

    New!

  • 2012 18

    Yole activities in MEMS

    Media business News feed / Magazines /

    Webcasts

    Reports Market

    Research

    Consulting services Market research,

    Technology & Strategy

    www.yole.fr