Year Financial Forecast

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    2004 2005ASSETS

    Current assets

    Cash & Short-Term Investments 140,321 123,099

    Accounts receivable 14,279 16,926

    Inventories 1,954 1,673

    Prepaid expense 3,770 3,429

    160,324 145,127

    Investments 212,275 243,380

    Property and equipment 414,549 494,560Prepaid Lease

    Unamortized debt discount and issue costs 11074 10,785

    TOTAL ASSETS 798,222 893,852

    LIABILITIES AND NET ASSETS

    Current Liabilities

    Accounts payable and accrued liabilities 22,476 41,708

    Current portion of long-term debt 6,176 6,323

    28,652 48,031

    Employee future benefits 27,481 30,493

    Long Term Debt 162,567 161,735

    Deferred Contributions 46,009 39,448

    Deferred Contributions for property and equipment 222,121 250,290

    Deferred lease proceeds 0 13,754

    486,830 543,751

    NET ASSETS

    Operating -17,120 -18,892Internally restricted for commitments 75,646 88,777

    operating

    capital, lease, and other

    Invested in property and equipment 150,665 164,166

    226,311 252,943

    Endowment 102,201 116,050

    Simon F

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    311,392 350,101

    TOTAL LIABILITIES AND NET ASSETS 798,222 893,852

    2004 2005

    REVENUE

    Government grants and contracts

    Province of British Columbia 177,578 175,354

    Government of Canada 32,224 48,208

    Other governments 1,553 1,684

    Tuition - credit courses 83,513 103,741

    Non-credit courses 8,595 8,312

    Other 6,190 7,330

    Sales of goods and services 27,156 31,835

    Gifts, grants, and contracts 25,872 22,076

    Investment income 14,583 13,509

    Amortization of deferred contributions: property & equipment 4,042 8,312

    Miscellaneous income 8,453 4,260

    389,759 424,621

    EXPENSES

    Salaries 189,699 203,221

    Employee benefits 36,341 36,708

    226,040 239,929

    Amortization of property & equipment 26,438 29,122

    Scholarships, bursaries, & prizes 16,794 21,672

    Other operational expenses 18,032 19,213

    Travel & personnel expenses 11,311 12,855

    Professional fees 14,268 17,938

    Materials and supplies 13,513 14,320

    Cost of goods sold 8,835 10,177

    Interest on long-term debt 8,383 8,749

    Contract services 3,965 4,721

    Renovations and alterations 5,120 5,569

    Utilities 5,058 5,307

    Equipment rental and maintenance 3,240 3,448

    INCOM

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    Grants to other agencies 3,099 4,836

    Amortization of bond discount 289

    Communications 1,331 1,441

    365,427 399,586

    Net revenue 24,332 25,035

    Other useful information

    2004 2005

    Graduate students enrolled at SFU 3,337 3,190

    Undergraduate students at SFU 22,098 23,480

    Total enrollment 25,435 26,670

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    Historical Forecast

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012ok ok ok ok

    73,305 33,940 29,426 -136,946 -332,234 -527,853 -747,432

    31,050 14,811 16,944 15,878 17,916 18,866 20,090

    1,973 2,050 1,563 1,594 1,626 1,659 1,692

    3,540 3,484 2,294 2,340 2,387 2,434 2,483

    109,868 54,285 50,227 -117,134 -310,306 -504,894 -723,166

    265,196 300,635 352,731 289,781 326,959 344,310 366,647

    600,693 699,932 767,267 811,089 857,801 886,576 936,7550 3,066 3,127 3,190 3,254 3,319

    10,497 0 0 0 0 0 0

    986,254 1,054,852 1,173,291 986,864 877,644 729,245 583,554

    56,868 43,874 48,923 67,063 69,952 73,636 78,391

    8,796 7,345 11,158 7,963 8,042 8,123 8,204

    65,664 51,219 60,081 75,025 77,994 81,758 86,595

    33,122 34,869 36,729 60,497 62,965 66,568 71,264

    159,410 152,560 157,674 159,251 160,843 162,452 164,076

    46,664 46,165 58,719 48,297 54,493 57,385 61,108

    276,366 324,676 363,776 381,212 403,166 416,691 440,275

    14,665 16,710 17,904 18,262 18,627 19,000 19,380

    595,891 626,199 694,883 742,544 778,089 803,853 842,697

    -20,33195,383

    13,881 3,160

    41,941 36,619

    182,332 225,164 261,727

    277,715 280,986 301,506 85,108 -99,459 -293,524 -499,951

    132,979 147,667 176,902 159,212 199,015 218,916 240,808

    aser University

    BALANCE SHEET

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    390,363 428,653 478,408 244,320 99,555 -74,608 -259,143

    986,254 1,054,852 1,173,291 986,864 877,644 729,245 583,554

    Historical Forecast

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    274,280 282,508 299,713 324,140

    209,920 203,536 211,811

    46,916 62,017 60,941

    2,209 1,902 1,528

    113,604 118,330 125,450 147,673 156,651 164,578 172,905

    7,984 6,894 7,341

    8,696 8,774 9,202

    36,949 38,048 40,075 41,678 43,345 45,079 46,882

    19,555 27,395 25,614 25,614 26,382 27,174 28,533

    19,829 20,492 19,185 -23,981 17,986 18,885 19,829

    9,208 9,454 10,822 11,038 11,259 11,484 11,714

    4,138 4,890 6,536 6,667 6,800 6,936 7,075

    479,008 501,732 518,505 482,969 544,932 573,849 611,078

    233,436 242,634 258,900 421,953 439,160 464,291 497,045

    42,315 45,195 49,387 78,061 81,245 85,894 91,953

    275,751 287,829 308,287 500,014 520,404 550,185 588,999

    31,758 39,873 41,858 38,637 43,595 45,908 48,886

    22,896 23,802 25,828 25,317 26,350 27,857 29,823

    22,785 24,734 25,810 25,317 26,350 27,857 29,823

    15,745 15,540 17,837 16,878 17,566 18,572 19,882

    14,613 16,703 17,683 18,037 18,397 18,765 19,141

    17,030 14,595 15,246 15,551 15,862 16,179 16,503

    11,092 11,218 12,163 12,659 13,175 13,929 14,911

    7,933 6,888 10,316 9,460 9,555 9,651 9,747

    7,276 8,226 10,135 10,338 10,544 10,755 10,970

    9,751 12,313 8,411 8,579 8,751 8,926 9,104

    7,130 6,796 7,801 7,957 8,116 8,278 8,444

    3,992 4,620 5,098 5,200 5,304 5,410 5,518

    STATEMENT

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    5,978 4,695 5,018 5,118 5,221 5,325 5,432

    288 298 298 304 310 316 323

    1,468 0 0 0 0 0 0

    455,486 478,130 511,789 699,367 729,500 767,914 817,505

    23,522 23,602 6,716 -216,398 -184,567 -194,065 -206,427

    Historical Forecast

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    3,420 3,805 3,981

    24,368 25,009 26,332

    27,788 28,814 30,313 31,526 32,787 33,770 34,783

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    2013ok

    -989,522

    21,624 Confirmed as formulas

    1,726 Look for comment

    2,533

    -963,639

    394,632

    998,0853,385

    0

    432,463

    84,437

    8,286

    92,723

    77,282

    165,717

    65,772

    469,100

    19,767

    890,361

    -722,786

    264,889

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    -457,898

    432,463

    2013

    357,364

    181,654

    48,757

    29,959

    20,821

    11,948

    7,216

    657,721

    539,019

    99,718

    638,737

    52,618

    32,341

    32,341

    21,561

    19,523

    16,833

    16,171

    9,845

    11,190

    9,286

    8,613

    5,629

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    5,540

    329

    0

    880,556

    -222,835

    2013

    35,827

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    Simon Fraser University

    Ratios and drivers

    for the years ended March 31, 2008 Historic

    CAD millions 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Income statement Confirmed as inputs

    Faculty employed at SFU 759 823 871 911 942

    Government grants & contracts per faculty member 278,465 273,689 297,411 293,584 291,168FacultyGrowthPercent 8.43% 5.83% 4.59% 3.40%

    GovernmentGrantGrowthPercent -1.72% 8.67% -1.29% -0.82%

    Students enrolled at SFU 25,435 26,670 27,788 28,814 30,313

    Tuition revenue per student 3,865 4,476 4,688 4,650 4,684

    StudentEnrollmentGrowthPercent 4.86% 4.19% 3.69% 5.20%

    TuitionRevenuePerStudentGrowthPercent 15.83% 4.74% -0.81% 0.73%

    Sales of goods & services 27,156 31,835 36,949 38,048 40,075

    Gifts, grants, and contracts 25,872 22,076 19,555 27,395 25,614

    Investment income 14,583 13,509 19,829 20,492 19,185

    SalesofGoods&ServicesGrowthPercent 17.23% 16.06% 2.97% 5.33%

    Gifts,Grants,&ContractsGrowthPercent -14.67% -11.42% 40.09% -6.50%

    InvestmentIncomeGrowthPercent -7.36% 46.78% 3.34% -6.38%

    AmortizationofDeferredContributionsGrowthPercent

    MiscellaneousIncomeGrowthPercent

    ProfessionalFeesGrowthPercent

    Materials&SuppliesGrowthPercent

    ContractServicesGrowthPercent

    Renovations&AlterationsGrowthPercent

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    Simon Fraser University

    Ratios and drivers

    for the years ended March 31, 2008 Historic

    CAD millions 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    UtilitiesGrowthPercent

    EquipmentRental&MaintenanceGrowthPercent

    GrantsToOtherAgenciesGrowthPercent

    AmortizationBondDiscountGrowthPercent

    InterestonLongTermDebtPercentLongTermDebt 5.16% 5.41% 4.98% 4.51% 6.54%

    SalariesExpensePercentofGrant&TuitionRevenue 61.26% 58.97% 59.96% 60.44% 62.19%

    BenefitsExpensePercentofSalaries 19.16% 18.06% 18.13% 18.63% 19.08%

    ScholarshipExpensePercentofGrant&TuitionRevenue 5.42% 6.29% 5.88% 5.93% 6.20%

    OtherExpensePercentofGrant&TuitionRevenue 5.82% 5.57% 5.85% 6.16% 6.20%

    TravelExpensePercentofGrant&TuitionRevenue 3.65% 3.73% 4.04% 3.87% 4.28%

    AmortizationPercentRevenue 6.78% 6.86% 6.63% 7.95% 8.07%

    CostofGoodsSoldPercentofGrant&TuitionRevenue 2.85% 2.95% 2.85% 2.79% 2.92%

    Balance sheet

    ReceivableDaysSalesBasis 13.37 14.55 23.66 10.77 11.93

    InvestmentsPercentRevenues 54.46% 57.32% 55.36% 59.92% 68.03%DisposalsPercentofGrossAssets 2.21% 2.40%

    InventoriesGrowthRate

    PrepaidExpenseGrowthRate

    PrepaidLeaseGrowthRate

    PayableDaysExpenseBasis 22.45 38.10 45.57 33.49 34.89

    RepaymentofLongTermDebtPercentOpeningLongTermDebt 6.12% 6.13% 8.62% 3.41%

    CurrentPortionLongTermDebtPercentageLongTermDebt 3.80% 3.91% 5.52% 4.81% 7.08%

    EmployeeFutureBenefitsPercentBenefits 75.62% 83.07% 78.27% 77.15% 77.50%

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    Simon Fraser University

    Ratios and drivers

    for the years ended March 31, 2008 Historic

    CAD millions 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    DeferredContributionsPercentRevenues 11.80% 9.29% 9.74% 9.20% 11.32%

    DeferredContributionsforPropertyandEquipmentPercentPropertyandEquipment 53.58% 50.61% 46.01% 46.39% 47.41%

    DeferredLeaseProceedsGrowthRate

    EndowmentGrowthRate 13.55% 14.59% 11.05% 19.80%

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    Forecast

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    942 942 970 999 1,049

    291,168 299,903 308,900 324,345 340,5620% 0% 3% 3% 5%

    0% 3% 3% 5% 5%

    31,526 32,787 33,770 34,783 35,827

    4,684 4,778 4,873 4,971 5,070

    4.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%

    0.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%

    0.0% 3.0% 3.0% 5.0% 5.0%

    -225.0% -175.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

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    Forecast

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%

    100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    18.5% 18.5% 18.5% 18.5% 18.5%

    6.00% 6.00% 6.00% 6.00% 6.00%

    6.00% 6.00% 6.00% 6.00% 6.00%

    4.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00%

    8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00%

    3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%

    12 12 12 12 12

    60% 60% 60% 60% 60%2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    35 35 35 35 35

    5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%

    5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%

    77.50% 77.50% 77.50% 77.50% 77.50%

    Management Development Associates (NA) Inc. - 21317

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    Forecast

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%

    47.00% 47.00% 47.00% 47.00% 47.00%

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

    -10.00% 25.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%

    Management Development Associa

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    2008 2009 2010

    Faculty employed 942 942 942

    FacultyGrowthPercent 0% 0.00% 0.00%

    ForecastFaculty 942 942 942

    Grants and contracts per faculty 291,168$ 291,168$ 291,168$GrantGrowthPercent 0% 0.00% 3.00%

    ForecastGrantsandContractsPerFaculty 291,168$ 291,168$ 299,903$

    ForecastGrantsandContractRevenue 274,280,000$ 282,508,400$

    Scenario Summary: forecasted grants and co

    Current Values:

    Faculty employed$G$4 0.00%

    $H$4 0.00%

    $I$4 3.00%

    $J$4 3.00%

    $K$4 5.00%

    Grant growth percent$G$8 0.00%

    $H$8 3.00%$I$8 3.00%

    $J$8 5.00%$K$8 5.00%

    Result Cells:$G$11 274,280,000$$H$11 282,508,400$$I$11 299,713,162$$J$11 324,139,784$$K$11 357,364,112$

    Notes: Current Values column represents values of chtime Scenario Summary Report was created. Changinscenario are highlighted in gray.scenario are highlighted in gray.

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    Forecast2011 2012 2013

    942 970.26 999.3678 Identified as inputs

    3.00% 3.00% 5.00%

    970 999 1049

    299,903$ 308,900$ 324,345$3.00% 5.00% 5.00%

    308,900$ 324,345$ 340,562$

    299,713,162$ 324,139,784$ 357,364,112$

    tract revenue

    Base case Best case Worst case

    Created by on

    17/05/2009

    Modified by on

    17/05/2009

    Created by on

    17/05/2009

    Modified by on

    17/05/2009

    Created by on

    17/05/2009

    Modified by on

    17/05/2009

    0.00% 3.00% -3.00%0.00% 3.00% -3.00%3.00% 6.00% 0.00%3.00% 6.00% 3.00%5.00% 8.00% 3.00%

    0.00% 3.00% -3.00%

    3.00% 5.00% 0.00%3.00% 7.00% 3.00%

    5.00% 7.00% 3.00%5.00% 7.00% 3.00%

    274,280,000$ 290,983,652$ 258,070,052$282,508,400$ 314,698,820$ 250,327,950$299,713,162$ 356,931,401$ 257,837,789$324,139,784$ 404,831,595$ 273,540,110$357,364,112$ 467,823,392$ 290,198,703$

    anging cells atcells for each

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    2008 2009 2010

    Enrollment at SFU 30313 30,313 31,526

    EnrollmentGrowthPercent 0% 4.0% 4.0%

    ForecastEnrollment 30313 31,526 32,787

    Tuition Revenue Per Student at SFU 4,684$ 4,684$ 4,684$

    TuitionGrowthPercent 0% 0% 2.0%ForecastTuitionRevenuePerStudent 4,684$ 4,684$ 4,778$

    ForecastTuitionRevenue 147,672,720$ 156,651,221$

    Scenario Summary: forecasted tuition revenue

    Current Values:

    Enrollment at SFU$G$4 4.0%$H$4 4.0%$I$4 3.0%$J$4 3.0%$K$4 3.0%

    Tuition growth percent

    $G$8 2%$H$8 2.0%$I$8 2.0%$J$8 2.0%$K$8 2.0%

    Result Cells:

    $G$11 150,626,174$$H$11 159,784,246$$I$11 167,869,329$$J$11 176,363,517$$K$11 185,287,511$

    Notes: Current Values column represents values of chtime Scenario Summary Report was created. Changinscenario are highlighted in gray.scenario are highlighted in gray.

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    Forecast2011 2012 2013

    32,787 33,770 34,783

    3.0% 3.0% 3.0%

    33,770 34,783 35,827

    4,778$ 4,873$ 4,971$

    2.0% 2.0% 2.0%4,873$ 4,971$ 5,070$

    164,577,773$ 172,905,409$ 181,654,422$

    Base case Best case Worst case

    Created by on

    17/05/2009

    Modified by on

    17/05/2009

    Created by on

    17/05/2009

    Modified by on

    17/05/2009

    0.04

    4.0% 6.0% 2.0%4.0% 6.0% 2.0%3.0% 4.0% 0.0%3.0% 4.0% 1.0%3.0% 4.0% 1.0%

    0% 2% -2%2.0% 3.0% 0.0%2.0% 5.0% 1.0%2.0% 5.0% 1.0%2.0% 5.0% 1.0%

    147,672,720$ 153,522,832$ 141,936,203$156,651,221$ 167,616,228$ 144,774,927$164,577,773$ 183,036,920$ 147,684,903$172,905,409$ 199,876,317$ 150,653,369$181,654,422$ 218,264,938$ 153,681,502$

    anging cells atg cells for each

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    Capital forecasting

    Historical

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Property and equipment

    Gross

    At 1st January 808,738 927,376 1,012,245

    Acquisitions 139,112 109,193 82,460Disposals (20,474) (24,324) (24,294)

    Gross value property and equipment 927,376 1,012,245 1,070,411

    Accumulated depreciation

    At 1st January 208,045 227,444 244,978Current year's expense 39873 41858 38,637

    Disposals (20,474) (24,324) (24,294)

    Accumulated depreciation, end of year 227,444 244,978 259,322

    Property and equipment, net 699,932 767,267 811,089

    Gross Value of property & equipment 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Concrete buildings 443,775 535,366 629,937 686,496 741,416 800,729

    Wood buildings 21,644 23,294 22,486 22,567 23,470 24,408Site services 25,857 33,011 34,420 35,017 36,418 37,874

    Leasehold improvements 11,803 11,902 11,975 11,869 11,952 12,036

    Computer equipment 30,633 29,953 28,296 32,494 32,494 32,494

    Equipment and furnishings 66,781 82,402 99,522 110,250 126,788 145,806

    Library books 64,786 68,493 72,357 76,300 80,115 84,121

    Special collections 6,417 6,549 6,574 7,151 7,437 7,735Land and property rights 16,143 17,768 21,809 30,101 34,616 39,809

    687,839 808,738 927,376 1,012,245 1,094,705 1,185,011

    Estimated growth per year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    ConcreteBuildingGrowthPercent 20.64% 17.66% 8.98% 8.00% 8.00%WoodBuildingGrowthPercent 7.62% -3.47% 0.36% 4.00% 4.00%

    SiteServicesGrowthPercent 27.67% 4.27% 1.73% 4.00% 4.00%

    Management Development

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    LeaseholdImprovementsGrowthPercent 0.84% 0.61% -0.89% 0.70% 0.70%ComputerEquipmentGrowthPercent -2.22% -5.53% 14.84% 0.00% 0.00%EquipmentandFurnishingsGrowthPercent 23.39% 20.78% 10.78% 15.00% 15.00%LibraryBooksGrowthPercent 5.72% 5.64% 5.45% 5.00% 5.00%SpecialCollectionsGrowthPercent 2.06% 0.38% 8.78% 4.00% 4.00%LandandPropertyRightsGrowthPercent 10.07% 22.74% 38.02% 15.00% 15.00%

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Planned capital additionsBuildings

    TASC - SurreyRenew Phase 2 - ChemistrySFU Burnaby - Public Safety BuildingSFU Burnaby - Art GalleryTASC 3 - Burnaby

    Management Develo

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    Long term debt

    Movement in debt 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Opening debt 162,567 162,567 161,375 159,410 152,560Interest charge 8749 7933 6888 10316

    Repayment 0 9,941 9,898 13,738 5,202Closing debt 162,567 161,375 159,410 152,560 157,674

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    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013157,674 159,251 160,843 162,452 164,076

    9,460 9,555 9,651 9,747 9,845

    7,884 7,963 8,042 8,123 8,204159,251 160,843 162,452 164,076 165,717

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    Scenario Planning Balance sheet Assumptions

    Balance sheet

    typeBalance sheet item Assumptions

    Cash & Short-Term Investments Adjusted to have assets equal liabiltiies plus net assets

    Accounts receivable

    Estimate days sales in accounts receivable to be 12 days.

    Inventories

    Consistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow at

    2% per year

    Prepaid expense

    Consistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow at

    2% per year

    InvestmentsInvestments estimated to be 60% of revenues

    Property and equipment Based on capital forecast

    Prepaid Lease

    Consistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow at

    2% per year

    Unamortized debt discount and

    issue costs

    Consistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow at2% per year

    Accounts payable and accrued

    liabilitiesEstimate days payable to be 35 days.

    Current portion of long-term debtEstimate to be 5% of Long term debt

    Employee future benefitsEstimated to be 77.5% of Employee Benefits.

    Long Term DebtBased on Long term debt forecast

    Deferred ContributionsDeferred contributions have historically been around 10% of total

    revenues

    Deferred Contributions for

    property and equipment

    Deferred contributions for property and equipment havehistorically been around 47% of net property and equipmentbalance

    Deferred lease proceeds

    Consistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow at

    2% per year

    Current assets

    Current liabilities

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    Scenario Planning Revenue Assumptions

    Income type Income item Assumptions

    Province of British Columbia

    BC government announced in December 2008 that provincialfunding would be decreased by 2.6% for all public universities and

    colleges. Lower provincial funding should continue into 2010 as the

    economy is expected to continue to underperform.

    Government of Canada Hiring freeze at SFU will prevent hiring of additional professors.

    Other governments

    Expect growth rate in grant revenue per faculty member to increase

    in 2010 year and beyond as Dr. Pinto's strategic plan starts to bear

    fruit.

    Funding from all levels of government should increase in 2011 as

    the economy should be better by then.

    Credit courses

    More people tend to attend University when the economy is doing

    poorly. The recession is expected to linger on until 2010. New

    programs offered at SFU, along with new downtown Vancouver

    campus should also attract a greater number of students.

    Non-credit courses

    Once the economy picks up in the 2011 year, students will be

    tempted to leave university and enter the workforce again. The

    growth rate for enrollment should thus be expected to decline slightly

    in the 2011 year and beyond.

    Other

    Revenue per student has been pretty constant. Tuition increases

    not likely to occur due to their political unpopularity.

    Sales of goods and services

    Gifts, grants, and contracts

    umn an o er con r u ers w ave ess scre onary ncome

    due to worsening economic conditions. The amount gifted to SFU

    should be expected to continue to decline until the economy shows

    Investment income

    Loss on investments of between 20-30% is expected for 2009 year

    due to worldwide recession. Market expected to rebound in 2010

    year.

    Amortization of deferred

    contributions: property &

    equipment

    Consistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow at

    2% per year

    Miscellaneous income

    Consistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow at

    2% per year

    Grand total revenues

    Salaries and

    employee

    benefits

    Tuition

    Other

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    Scenario Planning Expense Assumptions

    Expense type Expense item Assumptions

    SalariesEstimated to be 61.5% of total revenue from government grants a

    tuition.

    A decrease in salary expenses in the year 2009 compared to 200

    to be expected as there is currently a hiring freeze at SFU.

    Additionally, 30 faculty and 50 other staff terminations should fruth

    reduce salary costs in 2009.

    Employee benefits Estimated to be 18.5% of salaries expense

    Amortization of property & equipment Estimated to be 8% of total revenues

    Scholarships, bursaries, & prizes Estimated to be 6% of revenue from government grants and tuitio

    Other operational expenses Estimated to be 6% of revenue from government grants and tuitio

    Travel and personnel expenses Estimated to be 4% of revenue from government grants and tuitio

    Professional fees

    Consistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow a2% per year

    Materials and suppliesConsistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow a

    2% per year

    Cost of goods sold Estimated to be 3% of revenue from government grants and tuitio

    Interest on long term debtInterest charge of 6% of opening long term debt balance reasona

    based on past history

    Contract servicesConsistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow a

    2% per year

    Renovations and alterationsConsistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow a

    2% per year

    UtilitiesConsistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow a

    2% per year

    Equipment rental and maintenanceConsistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow a

    2% per year

    Grants to other agenciesConsistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow a

    2% per year

    Amortization of bond discount and issues costsConsistent with forecasting at other universities, revenues,

    expenses, assets, and liabilities not specifically identified to grow a

    2% per year

    Salaries &

    wages

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    Key ratios

    2004 2005 2006 2007Return on net assetsNet revenue $24,332 $25,035 $23,522 $23,602

    Net assets $311,392 $350,101 $390,363 $428,653

    The return on net assets is: 7.81% 7.15% 6.03% 5.51%

    CURRENT RATIO

    Current Assets $160,324 $145,127 $109,868 $54,285Current Liabilities $28,652 $48,031 $65,664 $51,219

    The current ratio is: 5.59556 3.02153 1.67318 1.05986

    Physical asset reinvestment ratioAnnual levels of capital expenditures 100,219.00$ 109,133.00$ 137,891.00$ 139,112.00$Depreciation expense 26,438.00$ 29,122.00$ 31,758.00$ 39,873.00$

    The physical asset reinvestment ratio is:3.79 3.75 4.34 3.49

    Tuition revenue er studentTotal tuition revenue 98,298$ 119,383$ 130,284$ 133,998$Total enrollment 25,435 26,670 27,788 28,814

    The tuition revenue per student is: 3,864.67$ 4,476.30$ 4,688.50$ 4,650.45$

    Grants and contract revenue per faculty

    memberTotal grant and contract revenue 211,355$ 225,246$ 259,045$ 267,455$Faculty members 759 823 871 911

    The grant and contract revenue per

    faculty member is: 278,465.09$ 273,688.94$ 297,411.02$ 293,583.97$

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    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    $6,716 ($216,398) ($184,567) ($194,065) ($206,427) ($222,835)

    $478,408 $244,320 $99,555 ($74,608) ($259,143) ($457,898)

    1.40% -88.57% -185.39% 260.11% 79.66% 48.66%

    $50,227 ($117,134) ($310,306) ($504,894) ($723,166) ($963,639)$60,081 $75,025 $77,994 $81,758 $86,595 $92,723

    0.83599 (1.56126) (3.97858) (6.17546) (8.35116) (10.39270)

    99,212.00$ 82,459.81$ 90,306.19$ 74,683.11$ 99,064.85$ 113,948.04$41,858.00$ 38,637.49$ 43,594.59$ 45,907.95$ 48,886.26$ 52,617.66$

    2.37 2.13 2.07 1.63 2.03 2.17

    141,993$ 147,673$ 156,651$ 164,578$ 172,905$ 181,654$30,313 31,526 32,787 33,770 34,783 35,827

    4,684.23$ 4,684.23$ 4,777.91$ 4,873.47$ 4,970.94$ 5,070.36$

    274,280$ 274,280$ 282,508$ 299,713$ 324,140$ 357,364$942 942 942 970.26 999.3678 1049.33619

    291,167.73$ 291,167.73$ 299,902.76$ 308,899.84$ 324,344.84$ 340,562.08$