Www.bea.gov BEAs KLEMS Statistics: Measuring Outputs and Intermediate Inputs Brian C. Moyer World...
-
Upload
christian-bird -
Category
Documents
-
view
221 -
download
3
Transcript of Www.bea.gov BEAs KLEMS Statistics: Measuring Outputs and Intermediate Inputs Brian C. Moyer World...
www.bea.gov
BEA’s KLEMS Statistics:
Measuring Outputs and Intermediate InputsBrian C. Moyer
World KLEMS ConferenceHarvard University
August 19-20th, 2010
2www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
BEA’s Industry Accounts
Input-Output Accounts Benchmark Accounts Annual Accounts KLEMS Statistics
GDP by Industry Statistics
Travel and Tourism Satellite Account
R&D Satellite Account
3www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
2010 Comprehensive Revision
Time-series annual I-O accounts, 1998-2008
Incorporated 1997/2002 benchmark I-O accounts and 2009 NIPA revision
Expanded annual data on business expenses by industry
Improved measures of price change for the services sector
4www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
Measuring Output
Industry and commodity output based on a variety of sources Economic Census data Census annual surveys (ASM, SAS, etc.) Trade association data Data from other government agencies
Detailed commodity distributions retained from benchmark estimates; manufacturing detail updated annually
Expanded Census data for the services sector
5www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
Measuring Intermediate Inputs
Benchmark estimates based on Census data (~70%) and other data sources
Annual estimates based on input category controls Benchmark-year inputs extrapolated with
output quantity change Detailed inputs “reflated” with
appropriate input prices Annual controls applied to groups of
inputs
6www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
Measuring Value Added
Direct and indirect measures of value added by industry: VA = GO - II
Direct measures based on compensation, taxes on production, and gross operating surplus from NIPA gross domestic income measures
Gross operating surplus based on “quality-weighted” benchmark-year values; company-to-establishment adjustments applied
7www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
Balanced I-O Framework
Mining and Construction
ManufacturingTrade and
TransportationUtilities
Finance, Insurance, and
Real EstateOther
Personal Consumption Expenditure
Private Fixed Investment
Change in Private
InventoriesNet Exports
Government Consumption
and Investment
Mining and Construction
Manufacturing
Trade and Transportation
Utilities
Finance, Insurance, and
Real Estate
Other
Compensation
Taxes on Production and
Imports
Gross Operating Surplus
Total Commodity Output and
Value Added
CO
MM
OD
ITIE
S
Total Industry Output and Final Uses
VA
LU
E A
DD
ED
FINAL USESINDUSTRIES
8www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
BEA’s KLEMS Statistics
Consistent with BEA’s Annual I-O Accounts—“use” table decomposition of E, M, & S categories by 4-digit NAICS commodities
Statistics available for 1998-2008
Chained-type price and quantity indexes and contributions by industry
9www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
BEA’s KLEMS Statistics
EE
MM
K
K
K
L L
L E
M
S
S
S
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Manufacturing Transportation & Warehousing Finance & Insurance
Per
cen
t o
f T
ota
l In
term
edia
te In
pu
ts
K-capital, L-labor, E-energy, M-materials, S-purchased services
Data for 2008
10www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
Purchased Services Disaggregation
S
Outsourcing Other Services
Imports
Utilities
Telecomm
Financial
Rental & Leasing
Aggregation of 30 4-digit commodities
Domestic
11www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
Purchased Services Shares
Input Category Shares of Nominal Intermediate InputsAll Private Industries
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006Year
Per
cen
t
Outsourcing Other Purchased Services
12www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
Industry production account
BEA/BLS work on aggregate production account
Ongoing work to develop prototype industry-level production account: K & L services from BLS; E, M, & S from BEA
Continued work to reconcile BEA/BLS industry output measures
Longer term: KLEMS statistics available prior to 1998; industry production account available for earlier years
13www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
KLEMS Prices
Prices Paid by Industries for Economy-wide Inputs to Production
60
80
100
120
140
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Inde
xes
(200
5 =
100)
Source: BEA Annual Industry Accounts KLEMS price indexes for intermediate inputs, 2005-2008.
Energy
Materials
Purchased services
14www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
Expanded Detail on Energy
Nuc lear
Petroleum and coal products
Natural gas
Other
Hydroelectric
Coal
Coal miningOil and gas extraction
Other energy products
E lectric Power
15www.bea.govwww.bea.gov
Quarterly GDP by Industry
330
335
340
345
350
355
360
365
370
375
380
Billions of chained (2000)
dollars
330
335
340
345
350
355
360
365
370
375
380
2005 2006 2007 2008
Transportation and Warehousing Industry