WVSS and TAMDAR: Humidity · Moisture (RH) Icing Turbulence (EDR) Pressure Alt GPS Alt Each TAMDAR...
Transcript of WVSS and TAMDAR: Humidity · Moisture (RH) Icing Turbulence (EDR) Pressure Alt GPS Alt Each TAMDAR...
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WVSS and TAMDAR: Humidity
Joint ECMWF/EUMETNET Workshop on ABO
ECMWF, Reading UK
Curtis H. Marshall
USA AMDAR Program Manager
February 13, 2020
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WVSS: Background
A319, A320, A321
B737-300
B757-200PF
B737-700
B737-800
148 aircraft worldwide
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WVSS: Background
E-AMDAR WVSS-II
Observations over 7
days, shows diversity
of sample locations
Color =
Aircraft
Altitude
Target 1000 soundings
per day in vicinity of
major US hubs
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WVSS: Background
• Increased Availability of complete Upper Air Observations• Beyond just the normal 00 UTC and 12 UTC RAOBs
• High Data Quality, for all meteorological applications• Numerical Weather Prediction modeling
• Traditional Thermodynamic Analysis
• WVSS-II equipped aircraft satisfy WMO accuracy requirements
for Upper Air Observations and Regional Forecast applications*
• Upper Air Observations Improve Forecasting• Thunderstorms - Convective initiation, stability
• Fog, Ceilings, Visibility, Icing, Precipitation intensity and type
• Fire Weather, Winter Weather, etc.RAP/HRRR
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2/18/2020 5
WVSS: Utility
From Petersen et al., BAMS 2016
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2/18/2020 6
WVSS: Utility
From Benjamin et al., 2016
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TAMDAR: Background
TAMDAR
Wind
Temperature
Moisture (RH)
Icing
Turbulence (EDR)
Pressure Alt
GPS Alt
Each TAMDAR probe has
3 RH sensors inside.Focuses on smaller, regional airlines
and planes (including prop planes)
AeroMexico Connect
AirAsia
Ravn Air Group (Pen
Air, Ravn, Corvus)
Horizon
Icelandair
Malindo
Pen Air
Silver
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2/18/2020 8
TAMDAR: Background
TAMDAR
Wind
Temperature
Moisture (RH)
Icing
Turbulence (EDR)
Pressure Alt
GPS Alt
Each TAMDAR probe has
3 RH sensors inside.
Focuses on smaller, regional airlines and
planes (including prop planes)
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TAMDAR: Background
TAMDAR
Wind
Temperature
Moisture (RH)
Icing
Turbulence (EDR)
Pressure Alt
GPS Alt
Each TAMDAR probe has
3 RH sensors inside.
Focuses on smaller, regional airlines and
planes (including prop planes)All flights Jan 4 – Feb 4 2020
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2/18/2020 10
TAMDAR: Utility
TAMDAR
Wind
Temperature
Moisture (RH)
Icing
Turbulence (EDR)
Pressure Alt
GPS Alt
Each TAMDAR probe has
3 RH sensors inside.
Focuses on smaller, regional airlines and
planes (including prop planes)All flights Jan 4 – Feb 4 2020
Chart of improvements in forecast skill of the
experimental (with TAMDAR) over the control
(without TAMDAR) All forecasts were verified using
RAOBs as "truth”
NOAA's most optimized model for aircraft data is RUC
PWS 3D-Var WRF is essentially the same code as
NCAR 3D-Var WRF
PWS RT-FDDA and 4D-Var WRF are best suited to
utilize asynoptic observations
*
NOAA / FAA 4-Year TAMDAR Study Results
(Benjamin et al. 2016 and Jacobs et al. comments)
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2/18/2020 11
TAMDAR: Quality
Radiosonde
Radiosonde TAMDAR
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2/18/2020 12
WVSS and TAMDAR Quality Comparison
From analysis by Tim Wagner (Univ of
Wisconsin) using all 2018 possibilities of:• < 50 km from balloon
• +/- 30 min
• +/- 10 hPa
• Only use sonde observations that are matched
to both AMDAR and TAMDAR
WVSS observes specific humidity
TAMDAR observes relative humidity
Models assimilate specific humidity
Using sonde T for conversions allows for
unbiased analysis; using plane T represents
real-world use case.
WVSS has 1/3 the bias and 1/2 the random
error of TAMDAR but all data has utility if error
stats well characterized
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WVSS and TAMDAR Quality Comparison
Both systems show decreasing
bias and random error with
increasing height
• Absolute H2O vapor content
decreases with height
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Food for Thought
Left graphic shows impact of one additional airline. Right shows
AMDAR third-most important across all major global NWP. What
if the entire global pie of aircraft include humidity observations and
all data was available to all Global NWP centers?
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Final Thoughts
• No growth in US WVSS footprint since 2012
• US future growth efforts focused on RAIII (e.g.,
LATAM and Copa)
• Cost-benefit analysis between WVSS and TAMDAR
in need up updating
– given significant growth in TAMDAR footprint
– given significant reduction in TAMDAR unit price
• Acquisition of Panasonic Weather Solutions by
FLYHT opens up interesting opportunities (e.g.,
utilization of AFIRS communications pathway)
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