Worldwide Military Expenditure
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Transcript of Worldwide Military Expenditure
1
Analysis of Worldwide Military Expenditure
Group-07Alabhya PranayAprameya BholAvinash SahuSourav PattanaikSudhansu Sekhar BihariVishvadeep Pundir
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World• Total global Aerospace & Defense sector
revenues are estimated to grow 3.0 percent in 2016 as per Deloitte Report
USA• 12 defense companies out of the top 20
are from USA with the leader being Lockheed Martin
CHINA
• China became the third largest exporter of major arms in 2010-2014
• Defense budget of China for 2015 was $143 billion
INDIA• India’s allotted defense budget for 2016 is
$40 billion rise of 7percent from last year
FACTS
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Region-wise Analysis
Year-wise Analysis
Country-Wise Analysis
Government Spending & India’s Forecast
BRICS and G8 Analysis
ANALYSIS
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REGION-WISE ANALYSIS
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20050
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Americas
Europe
Asia and Oceania
Middle East
Africa
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 19930
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Europe
Americas
Asia and Oceania
Middle East
Africa
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REGION-WISE ANALYSIS CONTD…
2012 2013 2014 20150
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Americas
Europe
Asia and Oceania
Middle East
Africa
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
AmericasEuropeAsia and OceaniaMiddle EastAfrica
Region wise Analysis.xlsx
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FINDINGS OF ABOVE ANALYSIS …
We observe the following things from the above analysis:
• Up to 1990 Europe had the maximum expenditure in military sector.
• Post 1990 America has been the maximum spending country in military
sector.
• Africa has always been the lowest in military expenditure.
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YEAR-WISE ANALYSIS
Design a model to find the number of countries who have spent on military expenditure in a particular year and as per the specified range using countif and pie charts.
Region wise Analysis.xlsx
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FINDINGS OF ABOVE ANALYSIS …
We observe the following things from the above analysis:
• In the year 1994, maximum countries (110 out of 173) had their military
expenditure within 3000 million dollars & no countries had spent above
50000 million dollars.
• But in the present scenario i.e. 2015, there are 5 countries spending in the
range 50000 to 100000 million dollars and total of 14 countries within the
range of 15000 to 100000 million dollars.
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COUNTRY-WISE ANALYSIS
Design a model to compare the military expenditure data of two countries in a particular year and highlight the significant value using conditional formatting. SIPRI-Milex-data-1988-2015 Avinash.xlsx
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FINDINGS OF ABOVE ANALYSIS …
We observe the following things from the above analysis:
• In case an unstructured historical data is provided, it is difficult for a person
to go through it and perform comparison. This can be avoided by designing
a menu driven format to access the data from main sheet.
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GOVERNMENT SPENDINGDesign a model to compare the military expenditure as a percentage of government spending of BRICS and G-8 countries and their respective averages using lookup and conditional formatting. SIPRI-Milex-data-1988-2015_Alabhya.xlsx
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1 2 3 4 5 60.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
BRICS - Military Spending as % of Govt Spending
Brazil USSR/Russia IndiaChina, P.R. Series5 BRICS Average
BRICS COUNTRIES
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1 2 3 4 5 60.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00% G8 - Military Spending as % of Govt Spending
Canada France Germany Italy Japan USSR/RussiaUSA UK G8 Average
G8 COUNTRIES
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FINDINGS OF ABOVE ANALYSIS …
We observe the following things from the above analysis:
• Among the BRICS countries, the military expenditure as a percentage of
government spending of USSR and India is above the BRICS average and
China, Brazil and South Africa lie below the average.
• Among the G8 countries, the military expenditure as a percentage of
government spending of USA and USSR is above the G8 average and the
rest of the 6 countries lie below the G8 average.
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INDIA’S FORECAST
Data given: Population growth rate and Military expenditure
data Develop a model to forecast the military expenditure of INDIA from 2006-2015 and compare the same with actual data graphicallyUsing sensitivity analysis calculate the per capita military expenditure of INDIA in 2016 BRICS_Sourav Pattanaik.xlsx
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FINDINGS OF ABOVE ANALYSIS …
We observe the following things from the above analysis:
• Except for Brazil and South Africa among the BRICS countries, a vast
difference was observed between the forecast and actual data available for
all other countries. This was because of the assumption that all soci-
economic and political and other factors were assumed constant. However,
this difference can be eliminated by assigning weights to certain factors
and considering them in the analysis.
• The sensitivity analysis along with forecast can be used to perform
prediction of future data from historical data available.
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G-8 & BRICS COUNTRIES
Data given: Military expenditure data
Using descriptive statistics we have analyzed the military expenditure data of BRICS and G8Using Regression model we have analyzed the per capita military expenditure and population of G8 countries between 2005-2009 SIPRI-Milex-data-1988-2015_Vishvadeep Pundir.xlsx
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BRICS COUNTRIES
40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 1000000
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
f(x) = 0.348049622789029 x + 22215.4879565145R² = 0.728653927846395
INDIA :GDP vs MILITARY EXPENDITURE LINEAR REGRESSION
GDP
Mili
tary
Exp
endi
ture
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FINDINGS OF ABOVE ANALYSIS …
We observe the following things from the above analysis:
• We have performed a descriptive analysis of the military expenditure data
of BRICS countries from which various calculations like mean expenditure,
standard deviation, maximum and minimum expenditure, etc. can be
found out.
• The regression analysis was performed and later on a linear regression
model was established between India’s GDP and Military Expenditure. This
can be implemented further to study all such possible relation between
various other parameters with respect to the military expenditure.
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CONCLUSION
Applications:• Compare regions in the world on basis of
military expenditure and bring out the major players in military services.
• To see a trend in military expenditure year-wise.• To compare military expenditure data of any
two countries without going through the unstructured historical data.
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CONCLUSION
Applications:• Compare the role of government in military
expenditure of different countries.• Forecast and compare the military expenditure
with historical data and predict data for a particular country.
• Analyze the relation between GDP and Military expenditure through regression analysis.
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SIPRI
• SIPRI-Stockholm International Peace Research Institute• www.sipri.org
Database
• SIPRI Military Expenditure Database for Countries from 1988-2015
WorldBank
• GDP data of countries(1988-2015)• Population data of countries(1988-2015)
Deloitte• Manufacturing-2016-global-aerospace and defense-sector-
outlook
DATA SOURCES
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Thank You