World Rice Outlook 2013-2023 AGREP Briefing Book March 2014 · .S. Rice Expo orld Rice Ha orld Rice...

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1 L.C. CartAgricultura

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pared with thedu), Scott Gan Binfield (d Mike Helmon (Darren.h

participants hington, DC uthors.

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in part by a search Institutf Agricultureas Rice Rese

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in a workshin Decembe

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ram (AGREtment of Agrf the Departmge of Agricuansas.

sub-grant frote (FAPRI–Me, No. 58-01earch and Pr

ns expressed f the U.S. DeArkansas R

presented [email protected])

he team at [email protected]@cabnr.unedu) at Texa

op where a per 2013. Any

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om the UnivMU) under a11-13-002. Tromotion Bo

in this publiepartment of

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preliminary y errors in th

reserved. Reny means, pr

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version of thhis report are

eaders may mrovided that

Page2

nd

e l is

hose e, the otion

red

at

of

hese e

make t this

Table ofAbstract ....

Introductio

Rice Policy

Key Pol

Overview o

Results of

Detailed

Rice E

Rice I

Rice H

Rice D

Rice G

Rice Sup

Africa

Amer

Asia ..

Europ

Ocean

World

ECOW

Results of

Detailed

Conclusion

Estimates o

Estimates o

f Contents.....................

on .................

y Overview ..

icy Drivers ..

of Global Ric

the Determin

d Results on G

Export Suppli

Import Deman

Harvested Ar

Domestic Con

Global Stocks

pply and Dem

a ...................

ricas ..............

.....................

pe ..................

nia ................

d ...................

WAS ............

Stochastic Ba

d Results of th

ns and Summ

of the Determ

of the Stocha

s .....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

ce Supply and

nistic Baseline

Global Rice S

ies ................

nd ................

ea and Produ

nsumption ....

s ...................

mand by Worl

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

aseline Analy

he Stochastic

mary ...............

ministic Baseli

stic Baseline

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

d Demand .....

e Analysis .....

upply and De

.....................

.....................

ction .............

.....................

.....................

ld Region ......

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

ysis ................

Baseline Ana

.....................

ine Analysis .

Analysis ......

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

emand ...........

......................

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alysis .............

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Page3

.................... 9

.................. 10

.................. 1

.................. 1

.................. 14

.................. 17

.................. 17

.................. 18

.................. 20

.................. 22

.................. 23

.................. 24

.................. 25

.................. 25

.................. 26

.................. 26

.................. 27

.................. 27

.................. 27

.................. 28

.................. 28

.................. 28

.................. 29

.................. 30

.................. 69

9

0

1

1

4

7

7

8

0

2

3

4

5

5

6

6

7

7

7

8

8

8

9

0

9

References

List of F

Figure 1 SeProgram ...

Figure 2 Im

Figure 3 H

Figure 4 U

Figure 5 W

Figure 6 W

Figure 7 Pe

Figure 8 T

Figure 9 N

Figure 10 S

Figure 11 R

Figure 12 N

Figure 13 S

Figure 14 T

Figure 15 T

Figure 16 T

Figure 17 S

Figure 18 S

Figure 19 S .................

Figure 20 S

Figure 21 S

Figure 22 S

Figure 23 S

s ...................

Figures

eparation betw.....................

mpacts of 201

Historical and

U.S. Rice Expo

World Rice Ha

World Rice Su

er capita rice

op World Ric

Net Rice Expo

Shares of tota

Rice imports

Net Rice Imp

Shares of tota

Top world ric

Top World ric

Top countries

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro.....................

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

.....................

ween Thai Ri.....................

11 of the Padd

Projected Wo

ort Prices rela

arvested Area

upplies, Consu

ending stock

ce Exporting C

rts by World

al rice exports

by top countr

orts by World

al rice imports

ce producing c

ce consuming

s of rice endin

ojection of Lo

ojection of U

ojection Com.....................

ojection of M

ojection of U

ojection of U

ojection of U

.....................

ice and other .....................

dy Pledging P

orld Referenc

ative to World

a and Yield, H

umption, Trad

s for selected

Countries, Hi

Regions, His

s by world reg

ries, Historica

d Regions, Hi

s by world reg

countries, His

g countries, H

ng stocks, His

ong Grain Ric

.S. Long Grai

mparisons of In.....................

Medium Grain

.S. Season Av

.S. Long Grai

.S. Medium G

......................

Asian Export......................

Program on Th

ce Rice Prices

d Reference P

Historical and

de and Ending

d countries, H

istorical and P

storical and Pr

gions, Histori

al and Project

istorical and P

gions, Histori

storical and P

Historical and

storical and P

ce Internation

in Rice FOB

nternational R......................

Rice Price, F

verage All Ri

in Average Fa

Grain Averag

.....................

t Prices after I.....................

hai Exports a

s. ...................

Prices for long

d Projected. ...

g Stocks, His

Historical and

Projected. .....

rojected........

ical and Proje

ted. ...............

Projected......

ical and Proje

Projected. ......

Projected.....

Projected. ......

nal Reference

Export Price.

Reference and.....................

FOB Californ

ice Farm Pric

arm Price. ....

e Farm Price.

.....................

Implementati.....................

and Stocks. ....

.....................

g-grain rice. .

.....................

storical and Pr

Projected. ....

.....................

.....................

ected. ............

.....................

.....................

ected. ............

.....................

.....................

.....................

e Price ...........

. ....................

d U.S. Long G.....................

nia. .................

e. ..................

.....................

. ....................

......................

ion of the Pad......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

rojected ........

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

Grain Rice Ex......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

Page4

.................. 82

ddy Pledging .................. 12

.................. 12

.................. 13

.................. 14

.................. 15

.................. 15

.................. 16

.................. 18

.................. 19

.................. 20

.................. 2

.................. 2

.................. 22

.................. 23

.................. 24

.................. 25

.................. 70

.................. 70

xport Prices................... 7

.................. 7

.................. 72

.................. 72

.................. 73

2

2

2

3

4

5

5

6

8

9

0

1

1

2

3

4

5

0

0

1

1

2

2

3

Figure 24 S

Figure 25 S

Figure 26 S

Figure 27 S

Figure 28 S

Figure 29 S

Figure 30 S

Figure 31 S

Figure 32 S

Figure 33 S

Figure 34 S

Figure 35 S

Figure 36 S

Figure 37 S

Figure 38 S

Figure 39 S

List of T

Table 1 W

Table 2 W

Table 3 U.

Table 4 Ar

Table 5 Au

Table 6 Ba

Table 7 Br

Table 8 Br

Table 9 Ca

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Stochastic Pro

Tables

orld Rice Net

orld Rice Sup

S. Rice Supp

rgentina Rice

ustralia Rice S

angladesh Ric

razil Rice Sup

runei Darussa

ambodia Rice

ojection of W

ojection of W

ojection of W

ojection of W

ojection of W

ojections of T

ojection of Th

ojections of V

ojections of In

ojection of In

ojections of U

ojections of P

ojections of In

ojections of P

ojections of N

ojections of E

t Trade by Co

pply, Utilizati

ly, Utilization

Supply, Utili

Supply, Utiliz

ce Supply, Uti

pply, Utilizati

lam Rice Sup

Supply, Utili

World Rice Ne

World Rice Ar

World Rice Mi

World Total Ri

World Rice En

Thailand Net R

hailand Rice E

Vietnam Net R

ndia Net Rice

ndia Rice End

U.S. Net Rice

Philippine Net

ndonesia Net

People’s Repu

Nigeria Net R

ECOWAS-15

ountry and Int

ion, Total Tra

n, Net Trade a

ization and N

zation and Ne

ilization and N

on and Net T

pply, Utilizati

ization and N

et Trade. ........

ea Harvested

illed Producti

ice Consumpt

nding Stocks. .

Rice Exports.

Ending Stock

Rice Exports.

e Exports. .....

ding Stocks. ...

Exports........

t Rice Import

t Rice Imports

ublic of China

Rice Imports. ..

Net Rice Imp

ternational Re

ade and Stock

and Farm Pric

et Trade, 201

et Trade, 2013

Net Trade, 20

Trade, 2013-20

ion and Net T

Net Trade, 201

.....................

. ...................

ion. ...............

tion. .............

.....................

. ...................

ks. .................

. ....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

ts. .................

s. ..................

a Net Rice Im

.....................

ports. ...........

eference Price

ks-to Use, 201

ces, 2013-202

13-2023 ........

3-2023 ..........

013-2023 ......

023 ...............

Trade, 2013-2

13-2023 ........

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

mports. ...........

.....................

.....................

es, 2013-2023

13-2023. .......

23. ................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

023 ...............

.....................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

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3 ...................

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Page5

.................. 73

.................. 74

.................. 74

.................. 75

.................. 75

.................. 76

.................. 76

.................. 77

.................. 77

.................. 78

.................. 78

.................. 79

.................. 79

.................. 80

.................. 80

.................. 8

.................. 3

.................. 33

.................. 33

.................. 34

.................. 34

.................. 35

.................. 35

.................. 36

.................. 36

3

4

4

5

5

6

6

7

7

8

8

9

9

0

0

1

1

3

3

4

4

5

5

6

6

Table 10 C

Table 11 C

Table 12 P

Table 13 C

Table 14 C

Table 15 E

Table 16 E

Table 17 G

Table 18 G

Table 19 C

Table 20 In

Table 21 In

Table 22 Ir

Table 23 Ir

Table 24 Ja

Table 25 K

Table 26 L

Table 27 L

Table 28 M

Table 29 M

Table 30 M

Table 31 M

Table 32 M

Table 33 N

Table 34 P

Table 35 P

Cameroon Ric

Canada Rice U

People’s Repu

Colombia Rice

Cote D’Ivoire

Egypt Rice Su

EU-27 Rice Su

Ghana Rice Su

Guinea Rice S

China-Hong K

ndia Rice Sup

ndonesia Rice

ran Rice Supp

raq Rice Supp

apan Rice Sup

Kenya Rice Su

Lao PDR Rice

Liberia Rice S

Malaysia Rice

Mali Rice Sup

Mexico Rice S

Mozambique R

Myanmar Rice

Nigeria Rice S

Pakistan Rice

Philippines Ri

ce Supply, Uti

Utilization and

ublic of China

e Supply, Uti

Rice Supply,

upply, Utilizat

upply, Utiliza

upply, Utiliza

Supply, Utiliza

Kong Rice Uti

pply, Utilizati

e Supply, Util

ply, Utilizatio

ply, Utilizatio

pply, Utilizat

upply, Utiliza

e Supply, Util

Supply, Utiliza

e Supply, Util

pply, Utilizatio

Supply, Utiliz

Rice Supply,

e Supply, Util

Supply, Utiliz

Supply, Utili

ce Supply, U

ilization and N

d Net Trade,

a Rice Supply

lization and N

, Utilization a

tion and Net T

ation and Net

ation and Net

ation and Net

ilization and N

ion and Net T

lization and N

on and Net Tr

on and Net Tr

tion and Net T

ation and Net

lization and N

ation and Net

ization and N

on and Net Tr

zation and Ne

Utilization an

lization and N

zation and Net

zation and Ne

tilization and

Net Trade, 20

2013-2023 ....

y, Utilization a

Net Trade, 20

and Net Trade

Trade, 2013-2

Trade, 2013-

Trade, 2013-

t Trade, 2013

Net Trade, 20

Trade, 2013-2

Net Trade, 20

rade, 2013-20

rade, 2013-20

Trade, 2013-2

Trade, 2013-

Net Trade, 201

t Trade, 2013

Net Trade, 201

rade, 2013-20

t Trade, 2013

nd Net Trade,

Net Trade, 20

t Trade, 2013

et Trade, 201

d Net Trade, 2

013-2023 ......

.....................

and Net Trad

013-2023 .......

e, 2013-2023

2023 .............

-2023 ............

-2023 ............

-2023 ...........

013-2023 ......

023 ..............

13-2023 .......

023 ................

023 ................

2023 .............

-2023 ............

13-2023 .......

-2023 ...........

13-2023 ........

023 ...............

3-2023 ..........

, 2013-2023 .

13-2023 .......

3-2023 ..........

3-2023 .........

2013-2023 ....

.....................

.....................

de, 2013-2023

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

......................

......................

3 ....................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

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Page6

.................. 37

.................. 37

.................. 38

.................. 38

.................. 39

.................. 39

.................. 40

.................. 40

.................. 4

.................. 4

.................. 42

.................. 42

.................. 43

.................. 43

.................. 44

.................. 44

.................. 45

.................. 45

.................. 46

.................. 46

.................. 47

.................. 47

.................. 48

.................. 48

.................. 49

.................. 49

7

7

8

8

9

9

0

0

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

4

5

5

6

6

7

7

8

8

9

9

Table 36 S

Table 37 S

Table 38 S

Table 39 S

Table 40 S

Table 41 S

Table 42 T

Table 43 T

Table 44 T

Table 45 T

Table 46 U

Table 47 V

Table 48 A

Table 49 ATrade, 201


Table 51 W

Table 52 Wand Net Tr

Table 53 WUtilization

Table 54 A



Table 57 E

Saudi Arabia R

Senegal Rice S

Sierra Leone R

Singapore Ric

South Africa R

South Korea R

Taiwan Rice S

Tanzania Rice

Thailand Rice

Turkey Rice S

Uruguay Rice

Vietnam Rice

Africa Total R

African Aggre3-2023 ........

African Aggre3-2023 ........

Western Hemi

Western Hemirade, 2013-20

Western Hemin and Net Trad

Asian Rice Su

Asian Aggrega3-2023 ........

Asian Aggrega3-2023 ........

European Tota

Rice Supply,

Supply, Utiliz

Rice Supply, U

e Utilization

Rice Supply, U

Rice Supply, U

Supply, Utiliz

e Supply, Util

Supply, Utili

Supply, Utiliza

Supply, Utili

Supply, Utili

Rice Supply, U

egate of Coun.....................

egate of Other.....................

isphere Rice S

isphere Aggre023 ................

isphere Aggrede, 2013-2023

upply, Utilizat

ate of Countr.....................

ate of Other C.....................

al Rice Supply

Utilization an

zation and Ne

Utilization an

and Net Trad

Utilization an

Utilization an

zation and Net

ization and N

ization and N

ation and Net

ization and N

ization and Ne

Utilization and

ntries with Ind.....................

r Countries M.....................

Supply, Utiliz

egate of Coun.....................

egate of Othe3 ...................

tion and Net T

ies with Indiv.....................

Countries Mo.....................

y, Utilization

nd Net Trade,

et Trade, 2013

nd Net Trade,

de, 2013-2023

nd Net Trade,

nd Net Trade,

t Trade, 2013

Net Trade, 201

Net Trade, 201

t Trade, 2013

et Trade, 201

et Trade, 201

d Net Trade,

dividual AGR......................

Modeled as a G......................

zation and Ne

ntries with Ind......................

r Countries M......................

Trade, 2013-2

vidual Models......................

deled as a Gr......................

n and Net Trad

, 2013-2023 .

3-2023 ..........

2013-2023 ..

3 ...................

2013-2023 ..

2013-2023 ..

3-2023 ..........

13-2023 ........

13-2023 ........

-2023 ...........

13-2023 ........

3-2023 .........

2013-2023 ...

RM Models –.....................

Group in AGR.....................

et Trade, 2013

dividual AGR.....................

Modeled as a G.....................

2023 .............

s in AGRM –.....................

roup in AGRM.....................

de, 2013-202

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

.....................

Rice Supply,.....................

RM – Rice Su.....................

3-2023 ..........

RM Models –.....................

Group in AG.....................

.....................

– Rice Supply.....................

M – Rice Sup.....................

3 ...................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

......................

, Utilization, a......................

upply, Utiliza......................

......................

– Rice Supply......................

GRM – Rice S......................

......................

y, Utilization ......................

pply, Utilizati......................

......................

Page7

.................. 50

.................. 50

.................. 5

.................. 5

.................. 52

.................. 52

.................. 53

.................. 53

.................. 54

.................. 54

.................. 55

.................. 55

.................. 56

and Net .................. 56

ation and Net .................. 57

.................. 57

y, Utilization .................. 58

upply, .................. 58

.................. 59

and Net .................. 59

on and Net .................. 60

.................. 60

0

0

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

4

5

5

6

6

7

7

8

8

9

9

0

0

Table 58 ETrade, 201

Table 59 ENet Trade,

Table 60 O

Table 61 OTrade, 201

Table 62 OTrade, 201

Table 63 W

Table 64 W2013-2023

Table 65 WTrade, 201

Table 66 E

Table 67 P

Table 68 P

European Agg3-2023 ........

European Agg 2013-2023 ..

Oceania Total

Oceania Aggre3-2023 ........

Oceania Aggre3-2023 ........

World Total R

World Aggreg ....................

World Aggreg3-2023 ........

ECOWAS Tot

Projected Rice

Projected Per C

gregate of Cou.....................

gregate of Oth.....................

Rice Supply,

egate of Coun.....................

egate of Othe.....................

Rice Supply, U

gate of Countr.....................

gate of Other C.....................

tal Rice Supp

e Milled Yield

Capita Rice U

untries Model.....................

her Countries .....................

, Utilization a

ntries Modele.....................

er Countries M.....................

Utilization and

ries Modeled .....................

Countries Mo.....................

ply, Utilization

ds Per Hectar

Utilization for

led Individua......................

Modeled as a......................

and Net Trade

ed individuall......................

Modeled as a G......................

d Net Trade,

individually ......................

odeled as a Gr......................

n and Net Tra

re for the Wor

r the World an

ally in AGRM.....................

a Group in AG.....................

e, 2013-2023

ly in AGRM –.....................

Group in AG.....................

2013-2023 ...

in AGRM – R.....................

roup in AGR.....................

ade, 2013-202

rld and Select

nd Selected C

M – Rice Supp.....................

GRM - Rice S.....................

.....................

– Rice Supply.....................

GRM – Rice S.....................

.....................

Rice Supply, .....................

RM – Rice Sup.....................

23 .................

ted Countries

Countries, 201

ply, Utilizatio......................

Supply, Utiliz......................

......................

y, Utilization ......................

Supply, Utiliza......................

......................

Utilization an......................

pply, Utilizati......................

......................

s, 2013-2023 .

13-2023 ........

Page8

on and Net .................. 6

zation and .................. 6

.................. 62

and Net .................. 62

ation, and Ne.................. 63

.................. 63

nd Net Trade.................. 64

ion and Net .................. 64

.................. 65

.................. 66

.................. 67

1

1

2

2

et 3

3

, 4

4

5

6

7

Keyword JEL Code Abstrac This outloProgram (the currenpotential sevaluatingestimates and other

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Page9

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ction

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fited from wUniversity o

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sent a baselinlity on some rt are generaistical simul

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gricultural Pains U.S. agrturn projecti

relevant conies. For exam

producing staIn the Peoplegjiang, Jilin, e provinces otes with whe

Distribution . The AGRMr 2013 or manam, and Indand April 201dAvailability

numbers presr period 2012

g, consumingonal aggregatd staple in SuCOWAS (theupply sector linkage equ

ence prices, l

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ated using thlation and ecrogram (AGArkansas, F

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nsidering thample, rice arates in the Ue’s Republicand Liaoninof Anhui, Cheat particular

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Page10

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GREP) with Fayetteville.

arch Instituted other

are

at these rea competes

U.S. c of China ng; with hongqing, rly in the

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g rice a, the

Africa, we Communityarea and global rice nd medium

n

e

s

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n

The determprojectionconditionsbaselines R&D fund

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The stochvariable foproducingcountry buare critica200 randousing the al.(2008).

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KeyPoliFor the paThe first isecond is support poas 50% hibetween T

ministic basens for macroes. Growth rain recognitioding on glob

hastic baselinstic analysis

underlying asrket outcom

rtainty which

hastic framewfor each of thg states in theut it is also v

al for rice proom draws aresoftware Sim

licy Overv

sector policynd Chavez (2

icyDriver

ast two yearsis India’s offThailand’s iolicy for Thaigher than prThailand’s an

eline assumeeconomic va

ates in rice yion of potentibal rice produ

ne provides a which genessumptions ies deviate fr

h is an impor

work is genehe 51 countrie U.S. Yieldvery sensitivoduction. The implementmulation & E

view

y assumption2012). Curren

rs

s the internatficial lifting implementatai farmers. Trevailing mand other Asi

es the followariables; no nields in selecial positive iuctivity.

a range of prerates averagin the determrom average rtant charact

rated using mies and regio

d is used becave to changeshe MVE takeed using a 2Econometric

ns by countrynt domestic

tional rice mof its ban on

tion in OctobThe PPP provarket prices (ian rice expo

wing: a continnew WTO Dcted countrieimpacts from

robable outcoge point estimministic base

estimates. Steristic of the

multivariate ons in the moause it is thes in weather e into accoun8-year empi

cs to Analyze

y are documeand trade po

market has ben non-basmaber 2011 of ivides price s(Wailes and ort prices unt

nuation of eDoha Round es are made

m the Global

omes (confimates. Stocheline usually Stochastic ane internation

empirical dodel, as welle variable thaconditions a

nt serial and irical distribue Risk (Sime

ented in Appolicies (e.g. t

een impactedati rice exporits paddy plesupports to thChavez, 201til early 201

existing polictrade reformrelatively st

l Rice Scienc

dence intervhastic estima

do not holdnalysis provinal rice econ

distributions l as for each at not only vand water av

d geographicaution of histetar) develop

pendix Tabletariff rates) a

d and dominrts as of Sepedging progrhe rice produ13). This res4 (Figure 1)

cies; Global ms; and avertronger than ce Partnersh

vals), as oppoates are usefud true in realiides informa

nomy.

(MVE) of th of the six ri

varies by yeavailability—al covarianctorical yieldsped by Rich

e 1 of the puare maintain

nated by two tember 2011ram (PPP), aucers whichsulted in a se.

Page11

Insight age weatherprevious ip (GRiSP)

osed to the ul given the ity, i.e., ation on risk

he yield ice-ar and by

—factors that ce. A total ofs generated ardson et

ublication byned over the

key events. 1. The a price-floor h are as mucheparation

f

y

h

Figure 1 Sep

Thex10

Figure 2 Im

Another cas the inte

paration betw

he major conxports plunge00% B price

pacts of 2011 o

consequence ernational re

een Thai Rice

nsequence ofed 40% in 20has substant

of the Paddy P

of this situaference long

and other Asia

f the PPP is t011; and its rtially decline

Pledging Progr

ation is that tg-grain rice p

an Export Price

that Thailandrice stockpiled from $61

ram on Thai Ex

the prevailinprice. As su

es after Implem

d lost leaderles doubled (5 per mt to $

xports and Stoc

ng high Thai uch, the equil

mentation of t

rship in glob(Figure 2). S$424 per mt,

cks.

rice price halibrium rice

the Paddy Pled

bal rice tradeSince May 2, a 31% drop

as limited itsinternationa

Page12

dging Program

e and its rice 013 the Thap.

s usefulness al reference

m

i

prices curand India now domiCambodiastorage elfor long g

Figure 3 His

U.

$2ricricprithede

ThThangaincdie

rrently gener(Wailes and

inated by Inda and Myanmement of the

grain rice.

storical and Pro

S. export pr200 per mt (Fce exports wce prices groice margin oe end of the

eclining trend

here are sevehese include nd processingains from hybcreasing cometary diversi

rated by the Ad Chavez, 20dia and Vietnmar. Our proe PPP, the Th

ojected World

ices, howeveFigure 4). Bill be expect

ow slightly, tover Asian pprojection pd (Table 3).

eral factors thpersistent ri

g capacity onbrids and GRmpetition witification awa

AGRM (Fig013). This is nam, with re

ojection howhai 100%B p

d Reference Ric

er, remain abBy historical ted to be impthe high U.Srices narrow

period (Table

hat can poteice surplusesn Mekong DRiSP researcth the U.S. bay from rice

gure 3) are clsupported b

elatively depwever suggest

price will res

ce Prices.

bnormally hstandards, thported into th. rice export

ws to a more e 1). U.S. av

ntially drives in India and

Delta in Vietnch, positivelybased on quaprimarily in

loser to the pby the fact thpendable supts that as Thsume its use

high---with mhis level is nhe U.S. Ovet prices are ehistorically-

verage farm

e the high U.d Thailand; nam, Camboy impacting ality with comn Asian coun

prevailing exhat the globalpplies also cohailand abandeful role as a

margins to Anot likely to ber the projectexpected to d-reasonable lprices are pr

.S. prices dosignificant i

odia and MyAsian and Ampetitors; an

ntries.

xport prices l rice exportoming from dons the gov

a world refer

Asian prices abe sustainabtion period, wdecline, as thlevel of abourojected to f

wnward, goinvestment inyanmar; and pAfrican rice end strong tre

Page13

of Vietnam t market is Pakistan,

vernment ence price

as high as ble as Asian while global

he wide U.S.ut $80 by

follow the

ing forward.n productionproductivityeconomies; ends in

l .

. n y

Figure 4 U.S

OvervieRice is theworld's pointernationdemand th

While riceproductionChavez, 2India, Vie

A combinyielding vself-sufficinternationin close tainternation

Over the bmetric ton

S. Rice Export P

ew of Globe most impoopulation, acnal rice pricehroughout m

e is the primn is traded a

2012). The intnam, Pakist

nation of slowvarieties and ciency progranal rice priceandem with gnal reference

baseline projns (mmt) in 2

Prices relative

bal Rice Surtant food cr

ccounting fores are highly

much of Asia,

mary staple foas opposed tonternational rtan, and the

w growth in hybrids andams of majoes over the ngains in conse price rema

jection perio2023 with 0.

to World Refe

upply and rop of the der more than y volatile du, where it is

or half the wo 10 percent rice trade is U.S.) accoun

rice consumd other improor consumingnext decade.sumption, pr

aining within

od, world ric.80% coming

erence Prices f

Demandeveloping wo20% of dailye to a numbethe dominan

world’s populfor coarse ghighly concnting for 90%

mption and inoved productg countries--Over the ba

rices remainn the range $

e output grog from yield

for long‐grain

orld and the y caloric reqer of reasonsnt food stapl

lation, it is thgrains and 16centrated wit% of global

ncreased outption technol-are expectedaseline perion relatively st$400-$412 pe

ows at 1.01%d improveme

rice.

staple food quirement (IRs. Rice has ple.

hinly-traded6 percent forth five dominnet trade (Ta

put driven bogies—in lind to have a d

od, as growthtable with loer mt (Table

% per year, reent and 0.21%

of more thanRRI, 2013). price inelasti

. Only aboutr wheat (Wainant playersable 1).

y the use of ne with mordampening eh in productiong grain rice 1 and Figur

eaching 525% coming fr

Page14

n half of theThe

ic supply and

t 7% of rice iles and (Thailand,

f higher-re focused effect on ion remains ce re 3).

.0 million rom growth

d

in area haannually, per capita

Figure 5 Wo

Figure 6 Wo

rvested (Figreaching nea

a use declinin

orld Rice Harve

orld Rice Supp

ure 5). Drivearly 522.0 mng very sligh

ested Area and

lies, Consump

en solely bymmt in 2023—htly by 0.01%

d Yield, Histori

tion, Trade an

population —with popu% (Table 2 a

ical and Projec

nd Ending Stoc

growth, globulation growiand Figure 6

cted.

ks, Historical a

bal rice consing at 1.03%

6).

and Projected

sumption gai% but average

Page15

ins 1.02% e world rice

While indit is equala more mestocks of scapita stocprojected

Figure 7 Per

Note that in PRC, oa per capihistorical stocks. Li Interestingand are prPhilippinefor much phistoricall Global nerice pricesare expect

dustry and goly interestingeaningful poselected majck levels incyears.

r capita rice en

while there nly Thailandta basis, PRCnorm. Vietnkewise, Indi

gly, the per crojected to coes and Indonpublicized rily safe levels

t trade grows are projectted to focus

overnment reg to examine

opulation-wejor rice expocrease in both

nding stocks fo

is a sharp bud exhibits a dC’s stock ac

nam is projecia’s per capit

capita stock ontinue at lo

nesia could bice self-suffis is a pruden

ws at 1.94% ped to increasincreasingly

eports typicae the correspeighted comporting and imh Thailand a

or selected cou

uild-up of totdramatic spicumulation icted to have ta stock leve

levels for thower levels obe related to ficiency. Onlynt course of a

per year, reacse only slighy on self-suff

ally present oponding endiparison. Figu

mporting couand People’s

untries, Histori

tal rice stockike in per capis relatively a slight incr

el is historica

he Philippineover the projrecent attemy time will taction.

ching nearlyhtly by 0.21%ficiency by i

only the totaing stocks oure 7 depicts

untries. With s Republic of

ical and Projec

ks in Thailanpita stock regradual and

rease but relaally consiste

es and Indonjection perio

mpts to limittell if reducti

y 39.0 mmt b% annually, increasing th

al rice stocksn a per capits comparativ

h high levels f China (PRC

cted.

nd and a conelative to its d steady, andatively stableent; and is pr

nesia have deod. The stockrice importsions in endin

by 2023. Intas major ricehe use of hig

s in particulata basis in orve paths of pof producer C) over the 2

nsiderable acown historic

d still consiste level of perojected to re

eclined in reck declines ins as both coung stock rela

ternational loe consuming

gher yielding

Page16

ar countries, rder to have

per capita support, per

2013-2023

ccumulation cal path. On tent with its er capita riceemain stable

cent years n the untries push ative to

ong grain g countries g hybrids and

r

.

d

other imprrelative to

Results

Pr20the

Tagraser

Ta

Taan

TaOcregof

Tahig

Ta

Ta

Detailed

OvpoByshco

In Indin rel

roved produo long grain p

of the Det

ojections ge013-2023 aree tables with

able 1 is a suain referencerves as the in

able 2 presen

ables 3 thru 4nd net trade),

ables 48 thruceania) rice sgion that are

f each region

able 66 preseghlight the in

able 67 summ

able 68 prese

dResults

ver the projeopulation groy sheer magnare of 45% o

onsumption,

comparisondonesia, Banproduction,

lated build-u

uction technoprices, with

terministic

nerated frome presented inh description

ummary of the price, U.S.nternational

nts the summ

47 are the ba, by country.

u 65 present tsupply and d

e modeled inn that are mo

ents the rice ncreasing im

marizes the r

ents the rice

onGlobal

ection periodowth, with a nitude, the twof world areand 63% of

n, the combinngladesh, Viand 27% in

up in stocks,

ologies. Medan annual gr

c Baseline

m the determn Tables 1 th

n is included

he net trade b. long grain ereference pr

mary of the g

asic supply a.

the world redemand projndividually indeled as a gr

supply and dmportance of

rice average

average per

lRiceSup

d, India and Pcombined sh

wo countriesa harvested, world rice e

ned global shietnam, the Pconsumptioaccount for

dium grain rirowth of 0.7

Analysis

ministic analyhru 56. To sebelow:

by country aexport pricerice for med

global rice su

and demand

gional (Afriections withn AGRM, anroup in AGR

demand projf the region t

yield per he

capita use b

pplyandD

PRC are projhare in worls remain the 52% of tota

ending stocks

hares of the nPhilippines aon over the s

17% of glob

ice prices are76% per year

ysis by counterve as conv

and internati, and the U.S

dium grain).

upply and de

projections

ica, Asia, Weh a sub-regiond another suRM.

jections for Eto the global

ectare by cou

by country.

Demand

ojected to accld populationlargest glob

al milled rices.

next six largand Myanmaame period. bal stocks.

e projected tr (Table 1).

try and by revenient refer

onal rice priS. medium g

emand.

(production,

estern Hemional aggregaub-regional

ECOWAS, pl rice econom

untry.

count for 26n of 37% in bal rice econe production

gest rice couar are 34% fThailand, w

to remain str

egion for therence, a gene

ices (internatgrain export

, consumptio

isphere, Euroate for countr

aggregate fo

presented semy.

% of total gl2012 and 35omies with c

n, 50% of tot

untries of Thafor area harvwith its recen

Page17

ronger

e period eral list of

tional long price which

on, stocks,

ope, and ries of each or countries

eparately to

lobal 5% by 2023.combined tal rice

ailand, ested, 30%

nt PPP-

RiceExp

FiThstrincex

Wshto inftheric

Figure 8 Top

India becaleading ricexports arimplemenSecurity Bentitlemen

portSuppl

igure 8 showhailand’s verrong presenccreasing its e

xcessive rice

While the Thaips high-pricrecoup its g

frastructural e branded hice which is f

p World Rice E

ame the top rce exporter ire projected tnts its subsidBill which wnt for eligible

lies

ws the worldry unpopularce in the globefforts on nestockpile (U

ai governmenced rice ontolobal positioresources an

igh quality rifragrant long

Exporting Coun

rice exporterin 2013/14, wto decline stized domest

was signed ine beneficiarie

’s top countrr and controvbal rice markegotiating goUSDA-FAS,

nt is expecteo the global mon as the topnd concertedice. The pop

g grain rice, i

ntries, Historic

r in 2011/12with total shteadily from tic rice consunto law on Sees to receive 5

ry rice exporversial paddyket over the overnment-to2013-2014)

d to incur sumarket at co rice exported focus on depularity of this strongly p

cal and Project

and 2012/1hipments thes

this high levumption progeptember 125 kilograms o

rters over thdy pledging p

next ten yeao-governmen).

ubstantial finompetitively er over the beveloping an

he country’s preferred by

ted.

3 marketingse years excvel to about gram and leg, 2013 (USDof rice, whea

he projectionprogram, it iars. Reports nt rice deals

nancial losselow prices,

baseline periond maintaini“Thai Hom consumers i

g years, and iceeding 10 m8.0 mmt by gislated in th

DA-FAS, 20at or coarse g

n period. Dess projected tindicate tha to liquidate

es in the shorthe country od--given itsing a strong Mali”- bran

in many nati

is projected tmmt. Howev

2023, as thehe National 13b). It crea

grain (millet)

Page18

spite to resume itsat Thailand is their

rt-term as it is expected s good presence in ded Jasmineons.

to remain a ver, India’s e country Food

ates an at highly

s s

e

subsidizedto about 82

India’s nemmt. Vietmmt. Tharesume ric2.3 mmt oyields and

Cambodiaboth with CambodiaproductionMyanmartotal produ

Global nebaseline pas is expaare shownBrunei DaThailand,

Figure 9 Ne

d prices. This20 million pe

et exports in tnam’s rice eailand, on thce export leaover most of d increasing

a and Myanmrice exports

a’s rice expon gains 3.8%, on the otheuction and c

t rice exportperiod (2012nds exports

n in Figure 9arasullam, Cand Vietnam

t Rice Exports

s reportedly ceople (USDA

2012/13 werexports are pe other hand

adership therf the projecticompetition

mar are two s projected toorts are proje% per year wer hand, are pconsumption

ts totaled 31.-2023), or aband regains

9 and 10. ASCambodia, Inm.

by World Reg

covers 50% oA-FAS, 2014

re 10.9 mmtprojected to cd, is projectereafter (Tablon period, g

n from Asian

countries wio expand steected to grow

while its totalprojected to

n growing at

.7 mmt in 20bout 1.9% andominance EAN is a su

ndonesia, Lao

gions, Historica

of the urban a4).

t, followed bcatch up witd to equal Inle 1). Rice eiven only sli

n exporters (T

ith strong poadily as prod

w at 9.2% an consumptiogrow at 6.4%1.6% and 1.

012 and is prnnually, of win global ric

ub-regional go PDR, Mala

al and Projecte

and 75% of th

by Vietnam wth India’s levndia’s exporexports of thight supply gTable 3).

otential as ricduction cont

nnually, reachon grows slo% per year, r.2% per year

rojected to gwhich nearlyce trade. By wgroup of Souaysia, Myan

ed.

the rural popu

with 7.1 mmvel by 2022/rts by 2018/1he U.S. remaigrowth in bo

ce exporters tinues to exching 2.4 mm

ower at 1.9%reaching 1.3r, respectivel

grow by a toty 70% is accworld region

utheast Asiannmar, Philipp

ulations whic

mt, and Thaila/23 at net exp19 at about 8in relativelyoth area and

in the yearsceed consummt in 2023, a

%. Rice expo3 mmt in 202ly.

tal of 7.1 mmcounted for bns, the top rin countries inpines, Singap

Page19

ch translate

and with 6.1ports of 8.0

8.7 mmt; andy flat around

average

s to come, mption. as its total orts of 23, with its

mt over the by Thailand, ice exportersncluding pore,

1

d

s

In terms of2023.

Figure 10 Sh

RiceImp

WovCoim

In terms oBangladesWest Afri79% sharethousand m

2 ECOWAS

Burkina-Fas

f share, the A

hares of total r

portDema

World rice impver the baseliote d’Ivoire,

mporters.

of growth of sh and Indonican States)2

e in expansiomt (or 7.6 m

S15-member co

so, Gambia, Gu

SEAN region

rice exports by

and

ports are domine period. Tthe Philippi

rice importsnesia combin, and 14% fron of global

mil. cwt), equ

ountries includ

uinea-Bissau, N

n is expect to

y world region

minated by 1They are Nigines, and Ma

s, 47% is proned, 18% frorom the Midnet imports.

uivalent to a

e Cote D’Ivoir

Niger, Togo, an

expand its sh

ns, Historical an

10 countries geria, PRC, Ialaysia. Figu

ojected fromom the 15-mddle East. Th. The U.S. togrowth of 2

re, Ghana, Guin

nd Cabo Verde

hare from 40%

nd Projected.

that accounIran, Indonesure 11 shows

m two major Amember ECO

hese countriotal rice imp.4% per yea

nea, Liberia, M

e.

% in recent ye

nt for nearly sia, Iraq, Saus the world’s

Asian imporOWAS (Econ

es/regions aports are projar.

Mali, Nigeria, S

ears to more th

50% of totaludi Arabia, Bs top country

rting countrinomic Commccount for a jected to inc

Senegal, Sierra

Page20

han 50% by

l imports Bangladesh,y rice

es of munity of

total of rease by 245

a Leone, Benin

5

,

Figure 11 Ri

By

Figure 12 N

ice imports by

y world regio

et Rice Import

y top countries

ons, the top

ts by World Re

s, Historical an

rice importe

egions, Historic

d Projected.

ers are shown

cal and Project

n in Figures

ted.

12 and 13.

Page21

Figure 13 Sh

RiceHar

Thgroarein exde

Thmimalimfarfoo

Th20nePhproga

hares of total r

rvestedAr

he global riceow by nearlye projected fthe five cou

xpansion of 2ecline by nea

he U.S. rice aillion hectarearket environmited land anrm to cities; ods; and em

he global mil023. By voluearly 44% frohilippines anojected to in

ains in area a

rice imports by

reaandPr

e major prody 5.0 millionfor a numberuntries of Nig2.0 million harly 1.0 milli

area is projees (or 2.7 minment. Othend water; faruncertain caerging envir

lled rice outpume, about 2om the seven

nd Vietnam cncrease by aband yields.

y world region

roduction

ducers are shn hectares onr of countriegeria, India,

hectares in Eion hectares

cted to remaillion acres) er constraintrm demograpalamities dueronmental iss

put is projec27% of the en countries ocombined; anbout 573 tho

ns, Historical a

hown in Figun a net basis s. There is aPakistan, BaCOWAS. Hdue to a shif

ain relativelydue to water

ts to potentiaphics—withe climate chasues on rice

cted to grow xpected grow

of PRC, Bannd 11% from

ousand mt (o

nd Projected.

ure 14. Whilover the bas

a total expanangladesh, a

However, the ft to substitu

y flat over thr constraintsal rice expanh farmers getange; changcarbon footp

by a total ofwth over the

ngladesh, Indm ECOWASor 17.3 mil. c

le the global seline periodnsion of 4.0 and Myanma

rice area of ute crops and

he projections and an incrnsion includetting older aning consume

tprint.

f 51.1 mmt oe same periodonesia, CamS. Total U.S. cwt) over the

rice harvestd, some notamillion hect

ar combinedf the PRC is pd irrigation c

n period at arreasingly come competing nd labor mover tastes tow

over the period will comembodia, Mya

rice producte same perio

Page22

ted area willable changestares of rice ; and a total projected to

constraints.

round 1.1 mpetitive uses of

ving from wards healthy

iod 2012- from India;

anmar, the tion is

od with sligh

y

t

Figure 14 To

RiceDom

RiincDeco

Ov

31Phco

Wgrorea150.7

op world rice p

mesticCon

ice consumpcomes dampemographic

onsciousness

ver the proje% accounte

hilippines, anountries are s

While PRC’s rows at 0.44%aching 147.4

5.1 mil. cwt) 76% in popu

producing cou

nsumption

tion is drivepen rice demtrends also wshift prefere

ection periodd for by Indind Vietnam cshown in Fig

rice per capi% annually--4 mmt in 202over the sam

ulation.

ntries, Historic

n

n by incomemand in some

weaken rice ences away f

d, global riceia; about 30%combined; a

gure 15.

ita use contin- resulting in23. U.S. totame period, w

cal and Project

e, populatione Asian coundemand as afrom carboh

e consumptio% by the fivand 11% by E

nues to declin net growth al rice consu

with annual g

ted.

n, and other ntries where aging populahydrates and

on will growve countries oECOWAS. T

ine at 0.30%in total rice

umption incrgrowth rates

demographirice is consiations and intowards pro

w by 56.0 mmof BangladeThe top wor

% per year, the consumptioreases by neaof 1.26% in

c variables. idered an infncreasing heotein-based d

mt (net)—wish, Indonesi

rld rice consu

he country’s on of 0.14%arly 847 thou

n per capita u

Page23

Rising ferior good. alth diets.

ith nearly ia, PRC, the uming

population annually, usand mt (oruse and

r

Figure 15 To

RiceGlo

Gl

mm

Tw58anchwo

op World rice

obalStocks

lobal rice stomt in 2023, w

wo countries8%, as the cond Thailand, hallenges in rorld’s leader

consuming cou

s

ocks expand with the stoc

s account forountry takes accounting f

releasing its rs in rice stoc

untries, Histor

by 39 mmt cks-to-use ra

r over 90% oadvantage ofor 35%, as excessive rickholdings.

rical and Proje

over the projatio increasin

of this rice glof low globalthe country

ice stockpile

ected.

ojection periong from 0.23

lobal stock bl prices and continues pr

e onto the glo

od, from 1073 to 0.28 ove

build-up, witmaintains itsroducer subsobal market.

7 mmt in 201er the same p

th PRC accos strong ricesidies and fa See Figure

Page24

12 to 146 period.

ounting for e purchases; aces

16 for the

Figure 16 To

RiceSup

Thassindgro

A ge

Africa

Tabosupfocande

op countries o

pplyandD

he summary sociated withdividually-moup. Thus, th

more detaileeographical d

able 48 showoth growth inpported by acused efforts

nd a possible eveloped New

of rice ending s

Demandb

results for thh each regio

modeled counhe sum of th

ed look at thdynamics an

ws that African area (1.8%availability os by the Afriexpanded d

w Rice for A

stocks, Historic

byWorldR

he five worldon. The first ntries in the he five region

he regional prd the relativ

a’s total rice) and yields

of increased ica Rice Cen

distribution aAfrica (NERI

cal and Project

Region

d regions areone is the toregion and tns covers the

rojections pre importanc

e output is pr(1.6%). Thiresearch fun

nter and the Iand adoptionICA) cultiva

ted.

e presented iotal for the rethe other coue entire wor

rovides a bee of each reg

rojected to gis expected pnding from iInternationa

n of improvears. The regi

in Tables 48egion, whichuntries in theld rice econo

tter understagion to the g

grow by 3.5%productivity nstitutions a

al Rice Resead rice variet

ion’s total ric

8-64. Three th is the sum e region modomy.

anding of theglobal rice ec

% per year, dimprovemen

and NGOs, aarch Instituteties like the rce consumpt

Page25

tables are of deled as a

e conomy.

driven by nt is

a more e (IRRI), recently-tion grows

byco

TaTh2.22.2inc

Taas 1.9cope

America

Toco1.51.8

Thtotco0.5

ToincTogro

Asia

Toanpeangro

3 Real per ca

y 3.0% per yeonsumption i

able 49 presehis group is e2% and 1.5%2% growth icome.

able 50 showa group) exp

9% from yieomes from poer capita inco

as

otal rice prodomes from 0.5% annually8% growth i

he group of ital rice outpu

onsumption o5% by per ca

otal rice prodcreases by 1otal consumpowth and 0.6

otal rice prodnnually and aer year comennually. Riceowth of 4.0%

apita income is

ear as populs supported

ents the resuexpected to g

%, respectiven population

ws that the “Opands its ric

eld. Total conopulation groome.

duction of th4% yield gr

y, a combinen real per ca

individually-ut slightly byof this groupapita use as r

duction of th.6% per yearption of this 6% from per

duction of Aarea increases solely from

e is an inferio% in real per

s computed by

ation grows by 2.8% gro

lts for the grgrow total riely. Total con, 0.9% grow

Other Africae output by nsumption oowth and 0.5

he Western Howth and ared effect of 0

apita income

-modeled Wy 1.0% per y

p gains 1.3%real per capi

he “Other Wer, with 0.2%group grow

r capita use.

Asia (Table 5es marginallym populationor good in mr capita incom

dividing total

by 2.3% andowth in real p

roup of indivice productionsumption o

wth in per ca

a” region (or 2.5% per ye

of this group 5% from per

Hemisphere (ea gain of 0.

0.9% populate.

Western Hemiyear, as area

annually, wita income g

estern Hemi% coming fro

s at 1.8% peReal per cap

4) increases y (0.1%). Thn growth, as most Asian co

me has damp

real gross dom

d per capita per capita in

vidually-modon by 3.7% pof this groupapita use, and

the rest of Aear, with 0.6%

expands at 2r capita use g

(Table 51) g.8% annuallytion growth

isphere coungains 0.4%

with 0.8% cogains 2.1% p

isphere” regiom area expaer year, of whpita income

by 0.9% pehe growth in per capita uountries andpening effec

mestic product b

use by 0.8%ncome3.

deled Africaper year, as

p gains 3.1%d 2.9% grow

African coun% coming fr2.8% per yegain, suppor

grows at 1.2%y. Total consand 0.6% ga

ntries (Tableand yields gntributed byer year.

ion modeledansion and 1hich 1.2% ccontracts by

er year, as yien total Asian use declines bd the relativect on rice con

by population.

% annually. T

an countries area and yie

% annually, drwth in real pe

ntries that arerom growth iar, of which

rted by 2.6%

% per year asumption incain in per cap

e 52) is projegrow by 0.6%y population

d as a group .4% from yiomes from p

y 0.8% annua

eld grows byconsumptioby nearly 0.1

ely strong pronsumption.

.

Page26

This

in AGRM. elds grow byriven by er capita

e modeled in area and

h 2.3% % gain in real

all of which creases at pita use with

ected to grow%. Total ricegrowth and

(Table 53) ield gain. population ally.

y 0.8% n of 0.8% 1% ojected

l

h

w e

Simric0.1gro

Th0.7thidethe

Europe

Thyiesope

ThouToacpe

Tobygrogro

Oceania

TaprogroRe

World

Ta

milarly, the ce production1%. Total ricowth as per

he net growth7% annuallyis group grow

eclines by 0.2e group of m

he total rice peld growth alely from ga

er year.

he group of iutput slightlyotal consumpcounting for

er year.

otal rice prody 0.2% per yeows by 1.3%oup grows s

a

ables 60 thruoduction expows nearly 2eal per capita

ables 63 thru

group of indn by 0.9% ance consumptcapita use d

h of total ricy, with area gws at 1.2% p2% and real

modeled Asia

production oand 0.4% froain in per cap

individually-y by 1.9% peption of this r 0.2% and 0

duction of thear, as yield

% annually, strongly at 3.

u 62 show thpands by 0.62.0% annuala income gro

u 65 present t

dividually-mnnually, as ytion of this geclines marg

ce output of tgrowing by 0per year, of wper capita in

a countries.

of Europe (Tom a slight gpita use, as p

-modeled Euer year, as argroup gains

0.3%, respec

he “Other Eugrows by 0.

solely from p.8% per year

e results for 6% per year, ly attributedows at 1.5%

the sum of th

modeled Asiayields increagroup grows ginally with

the “Other A0.3% and yiewhich 1.4% ncome grow

Table 57) groain in area. T

population gr

uropean counrea increases 0.5% annuatively. Real

urope” region.4% and yielper capita usr.

Oceania whsolely from

d to 1.3% popannually.

he world reg

an countries ase by 0.8%

by 0.8% ann4.1% annua

Asia” region eld gaining 0comes froms at 2.8% wh

ows at 1.6% Total consumrowth is flat

ntries (Tables by 0.6% anally, with poper capita in

n modeled ald contracts se growth. T

hich mainly cm gain in area

pulation gro

gions.

(Table 55) iand area harnually, all co

al gain in rea

modeled as 0.4% per yea

m population hich is relati

per year of wmption incret. Real per ca

e 58) is projend yields groopulation andncome of thi

as a group (Tby 0.2%. Co

The real per c

consists of Aa harvested. owth and 0.6

s projected trvested gainsontributed b

al per capita

a group (Taar. Total congrowth as p

ively slower

which 1.2% eases slightlyapita income

ected to growow by 1.3% pd per capita uis group grow

Table 59) groonsumption capita incom

Australia. To Total consu% per capita

Page27

to grow totals slightly byy populationincome.

able 56) is nsumption ofper capita use

than that of

comes fromy at 0.6%, e is up 2.0%

w total rice per year. use ws at 1.6%

ows slightly of this group

me of this

otal rice umption a use gain.

l

n

f e f

m

p

ECOWAS

Praninc

Result

DetailedThe detailFigures 17four selecvariation (and 90th) idecreased

Another mdistributiorelation tois, the bett

The informonly one runderstan

Figure 17 per metrichigher thapercentile11.2%.

Going for10% of thtime. This

Again, a spresented

S

oduction is pnd yield imprcreases by 3

ts of Sto

dResults

led results of7a thru 33. Inted outcome(C.V.) for seindicates vol

d volatility.

measure of dons in this stuo the mean. Iter it is beca

mation projerepresentativding the rest

shows the loc ton (mt), than $463 per mes is $111; an

rward to 202he time the avs time the ga

similar analy. The same p

projected to rovements (T.2% annuall

ochastic

oftheSto

f the stochasn order to sh

e items (stocelected varialatility or ris

dispersion of udy, is the cIt is computeause it indica

ected in eachve chart (Figt of the chart

ong grain riche stochasticmt and lowend the gap va

3, while the verage price

ap between th

ysis can be mprinciple hol

grow by 5.2Table 66). Cy; and net im

Baselin

ochasticB

stic analyseshow the direchastic avera

ables are pressk. Widening

f data points oefficient ofed by dividinates more sta

h one of the cgure 17) will ts.

ce internatioc distributioner than $352aries across t

mean price e will be highhe two perce

made for the lds—with th

2% per annumConsumptionmports expan

e Analy

BaselineAn

for selectedction and disge, 10th percsented. Intuig indicates in

in a data serf variation (Cng the standaability, i.e., le

charts is simbe discussed

nal referencn indicates thper mt 10% the estimatio

is $416 per her than $48entiles is wid

rest of the ste difference

m with equan, fueled by pnd by 1.38%

ysis

nalysis

d variables anspersion of tcentile, 90th pitively, the gncreased vol

ries, such as C.V.) which ard deviationess risk.

milar in princd--which can

ce price. For hat 10% of th of the time.on period. T

mt, the stoch89 per mt andder at $129,

tochastic reslying only w

al contributiopopulation a

% per year.

nd countriesthe stochastipercentile, a

gap between latility and n

each of the shows the e

n by the mea

ciple. Hence,n then be us

2014, whilehe time the a. The gap be

The computed

hastic distribd lower thanwith C.V. of

sults for the with varying

ons from harand income g

s are presenteic outcome dand the coeffthe two perc

narrowing in

resulting proextent of varian. The lowe

, for space coed as a patte

e the mean praverage prictween the twd C.V. for 20

bution indican $360 per mf 12.4%.

other selecteg units and ab

Page28

rvested area growth,

ed in distribution, ficient of centiles (10th

dicates

obability iability in er the C.V.

onsiderationern in

rice is $404e will be

wo 014 is

ates that mt 10% of the

ed variables bsolute

h

n

e

numbers. are distribagriculturcomplemeunderstan

Conclus

Ththaricproen

AsunThareus

This featurebuted, thus pal commoditents the basiding of the d

sions and S

he general asat, under assce supplies docessing tec

nvironment o

s in any othencertainties ohe probable ue indicated ieful guide fo

e of the stochroviding infty enterprisec informatiodynamics of

Summary

ssessment ofsumed normadue to currenhnologies; a

of relatively l

er enterprise,of weather, dupper and lon the stochaor various st

hastic analysformation ones and markeon generatedf the global r

f the global ral average w

nt surpluses; and focus onlow and stab

, however, thdomestic polower bounds stic analysisakeholders i

sis provides an risk and unets, such as t

d by the deterice market.

rice economyweather cond

increased pr self-sufficie

ble global ric

here are risklicies, politic(confidence

s included inin the rice in

an advantagncertainty whthat of rice. Trministic ana

y in this basditions, the wroductivity aency in rice-ce prices.

ks involved incal developme intervals) on this report. ndustry.

e as it indicahich is an innThus, the stoalysis by pro

eline over thworld is projeand use of m---all pointin

n the rice indments, and otof future distThis inform

ates how thenate characteochastic analoviding a bet

he next decaected to face

modern growng to a most

dustry due tother unexpectribution of o

mation can se

Page29

e outcomes eristic of lysis tter

de indicates e abundant ing and likely

o the cted events. outcomes erve as

Esti

Tab

imates

bles and C

s of th

Charts of

he Det

Rice Supp

ermin

ply, Utiliz

nistic B

ation and

Baselin

d Net Tra

ne Ana

de, 2013‐

Page30

alysis

‐2023

Table 1 W

Net Expo Argent Austra Cambo People Egypt India Myanm Pakista Thailan United Urugua Vietna

Total N

Net Imp Bangla Brazil Brunei Camer Canada China ‐ Colom Cote d Europe Ghana Guinea Indone Iran Iraq Japan Kenya Lao PD Liberia Malays Mali Mexico

World Rice Net Trad

orters tina lia odia e's Republic of Chin

mar (Burma) an nd d States ay m

Net Exports *

orters adesh

Darussalam roon a ‐ Hong Kong bia 'Ivoire ean Union‐27

a esia

DR a sia

o

de by Country and

13/14

574 373

1,007 na ‐3,050

839 10,029

677 3,349 7,761 2,407 910

7,116

31,991

313 ‐84 47 528 358 438 276

1,330 1,132 600 259

1,717 1,720 1,446 482 449 15 240

1,131 158 747

d International Ref

14/15 15/

606 6398 4

1,146 1,3‐2,504 ‐2,3

870 99,647 9,3701 7

3,525 3,77,648 7,72,305 2,2928 9

7,259 7,5

32,528 33,3

961 1,3‐337 ‐348488 4376 4445 4325 3

1,329 1,21,155 1,1631 6269 2

2,117 2,01,710 1,71,438 1,4482 4461 5‐23 ‐246 2

1,065 1,0138750 7

erence Prices, 201

/16 16/17

638 656407 438342 1,581322 ‐2,268920 939324 9,149774 996748 3,833777 7,989298 2,337944 969509 7,509

360 34,129 3

376 1,418363 ‐31449 50485 488420 435447 453342 386265 1,246147 1,148653 672225 217074 2,052731 1,839481 1,534482 482533 549‐25 ‐31257 286066 1,09145 15762 777

13‐2023

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Metric713 755445 447

1,641 1,880‐2,138 ‐2,043

992 9878,886 8,7331,153 1,2183,571 3,5588,192 8,7112,395 2,330984 993

7,637 7,738

34,470 35,308

1,636 1,573‐347 ‐33051 53502 505448 461458 463405 422

1,248 1,2551,142 1,134696 757218 235

1,715 1,7011,862 1,9211,595 1,647482 482587 662‐68 ‐101303 327

1,118 1,141‐52 ‐64797 819

19/20 20/

c Tons) 783 8456 44

1,997 2,10‐1,971 ‐1,9

984 98,564 8,31,169 1,13,563 3,649,264 9,72,334 2,3997 99

7,911 7,9

36,051 36,6

1,575 1,59‐310 ‐254 520 54471 48468 4425 4

1,229 1,21,128 1,10773 80228 2

1,897 1,81,961 1,91,696 1,74482 48711 7‐137 ‐1339 3

1,166 1,19‐90 ‐9839 8

/21 21/22

27 87141 45905 2,22475 ‐1,783 ‐71 96874 8,05963 1,20749 3,71276 10,294 166 2,37299 1,00362 8,090

59 37,476 3

90 1,59472 ‐25355 5645 54381 49173 47723 42123 1,24704 1,09207 82437 26674 2,01162 2,00847 1,80382 48262 80170 ‐19657 37591 1,22296 ‐10860 878

Page31

22/23 23/24

916 948458 421

2,306 2,375‐1,711 ‐1,616

970 9848,088 7,9871,250 1,2593,769 3,834

10,660 10,9732,316 2,3281,015 1,0388,176 8,225

38,214 38,756

1,855 1,918‐247 ‐21757 58551 533500 514481 494426 427

1,193 1,2071,085 1,059835 854257 276

2,137 2,0852,045 2,0451,856 1,908482 482830 863‐234 ‐235382 406

1,240 1,262‐144 ‐143888 890

Mozam Nigeria Philipp Saudi A Senega Sierra Singap South A South Taiwan Tanzan Turkey Other A Other A Other A Other Other O Ecowa Residu

Total N

Rice Pric

Interna

U.S. FO

U.S. No

*Total ne

mbique a pines Arabia al Leone pore Africa Korea n nia y Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania s‐7 al

Net Imports

ces

ational Reference P

OB Gulf Ports

o. 2 Medium FOB C

et exports are the

533 2,944 1,474 1,272 1,092 353 361 949 410 123 236 280

2,732 1,847 2,632 299 259

1,111 ‐223

31,991

Price 393

606

CA 636

e sum of all posit

472 52,984 2,91,412 1,41,311 1,31,048 1,0353 3364 3931 9409 4123 1277 3281 2

2,775 2,81,556 1,72,754 2,6241 2274 2

1,126 1,1‐235 ‐2

32,528 33,3

401 4

559 5

670 6

tive net exports a

507 509987 2,945406 1,345355 1,401075 1,082349 352372 375930 943409 409123 123302 298287 282864 3,025755 1,830697 2,854239 257287 300196 1,269236 ‐264

360 34,129 3

(U

402 403

545 532

680 688

nd negative net i

520 5582,924 3,0151,220 1,1461,437 1,4671,087 1,100341 337376 377952 968409 409123 123315 352298 301

3,183 3,3061,899 1,9512,930 3,044253 265313 326

1,363 1,467‐269 ‐268

34,470 35,308

U.S. Dollars per Me

403 404

517 519

693 698

imports.

574 63,012 3,081,064 91,501 1,51,105 1,1331 3378 3962 9409 40123 1369 40269 2

3,415 3,42,060 2,03,148 3,2269 2339 3

1,577 1,69‐277 ‐2

36,051 36,6

etric Ton)

404 40

511 5

704 7

21 65483 3,10969 84831 1,56012 1,11422 31578 37776 1,00409 40923 12300 44475 28675 3,60868 2,05220 3,33677 30252 36498 1,81962 ‐283

59 37,476 3

06 407

11 509

11 718

Page32

705 7293,121 3,144762 649

1,584 1,6111,114 1,115298 286375 386994 1,035409 409123 123469 494282 280

3,683 3,7501,994 1,9533,462 3,539324 347376 388

1,947 2,081‐282 ‐245

38,214 38,756

410 412

498 494

722 728

Table 2 W

Area Har

Yield

ProductiBeginnin Domest

ConsumEnding S Domest Total Tr

Stocks‐to

Table 3 U

Area Har

Yield

ProductiBeginnin Domest

ConsumEnding S Domest Net TraU.S. Rice Season Long G Medium

World Rice Supply,

rvested

ion ng Stocks tic Supply

ption Stocks tic Use rade

o‐Use Ratio

U.S. Rice Supply, Ut

rvested

ion ng Stocks tic Supply

ption Stocks tic Use ade e Farm Prices Average Farm Pricrain Farm Price m Grain Farm Price

Utilization, Total T

13/14

160,418

2.95

473,470 107,200 580,669

474,370 106,526 580,896 39,614

22.46

tilization, Net Trad

13/14

999

6.02

6,013 1,156 7,169

3,843 923

4,766 2,407

ce 15.44 14.92

e 16.63

Trade and Stocks‐t

14/15 15/

160,457 161,1

3.00 3

482,068 488,3106,526 110,3588,594 598,6

478,466 483,5110,363 115,3588,829 598,939,795 40,4

23.07 23

de and Farm Prices

14/15 15/

1,060 1,0

6.05 6

6,415 6,5923 1,0

7,338 7,5

4,008 4,11,025 1,15,033 5,22,305 2,2

14.42 14.13.92 13.15.57 15.

to Use, 2013‐2023.

/16 16/17

152 161,436 16

.03 3.06

336 493,434 49363 115,368 12698 608,802 61

566 488,781 49368 120,285 12935 609,066 61462 41,236 4

.86 24.61

s, 2013‐2023.

/16 16/17

072 1,082 .08 6.11

517 6,608025 1,140542 7,749

104 4,182140 1,230244 5,412298 2,337

(U.S. Dol.31 14.21.73 13.52.65 15.79

.

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect61,700 161,949(Metric Tons per H3.08 3.11(Thousand Metric

98,201 503,97120,285 124,95518,486 628,926

93,799 499,29024,955 129,90518,755 629,19541,505 42,309

(Percent)25.30 26.02

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect1,091 1,100 (Metric Tons per 6.13 6.15(Thousand Metric6,691 6,7691,230 1,2207,921 7,989

4,305 4,4161,220 1,2425,525 5,6592,395 2,330lars per Cwt)13.63 13.6912.75 12.8115.62 15.71

19/20 20/

tares) 162,076 162,2

Hectare) 3.13 3.

c Tons) 507,689 512,1129,905 133,7637,594 645,8

504,151 508,5133,721 137,60637,871 646,142,995 43,6

26.52 27.0

19/20 20/

tares) 1,118 1,1

Hectares) 6.17 6.

c Tons) 6,903 6,91,242 1,28,145 8,24

4,540 4,51,272 1,305,812 5,82,334 2,3

13.56 13.12.67 12.15.61 15.

/21 21/22

51 162,472 16

16 3.18

54 516,374 5121 137,602 1474 653,975 66

34 513,317 5102 140,941 1436 654,258 6652 44,300 4

06 27.46

/21 21/22

25 1,113

20 6.23

72 6,93472 1,30944 8,242

69 4,57609 1,29478 5,87166 2,372

52 13.4862 12.5161 15.69

Page33

22/23 23/24

62,511 162,644

3.20 3.23

19,523 525,08040,941 143,01560,464 668,095

17,731 521,87743,015 146,46460,746 668,34144,971 45,437

27.62 28.06

22/23 23/24

1,106 1,100

6.25 6.28

6,917 6,9091,294 1,2158,211 8,125

4,680 4,5991,215 1,1985,895 5,7972,316 2,328

13.44 13.4712.43 12.4215.71 15.78

Table 4 A

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 5 A

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Argentina Rice Supp

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Australia Rice Supp

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

ply, Utilization and

13/14

232

4.20

975

194

1,169

431

164

595

574

ly, Utilization and

13/14

99

7.07

702

120

822

362

87

449

373

d Net Trade, 2013‐

14/15 15/

236 2

4.34 4

1,023 1,0

164 1

1,186 1,2

434 4

146 1

580 5

606 6

Net Trade, 2013‐2

14/15 15/

106 1

7.05 7

750 7

87

838 8

352 3

88 1

439 4

398 4

‐2023

/16 16/17

240 246

.49 4.56

077 1,121

146 149

223 1,269

437 441

149 173

586 614

638 656

2023

/16 16/17

112 114

.04 7.03

789 800

88 115

877 915

355 353

115 124

470 477

407 438

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

252 259

(Metric Tons per H

4.63 4.67

(Thousand Metric

1,166 1,208

173 181

1,338 1,388

445 448

181 185

626 633

713 755

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

115 115

(Metric Tons per H

7.04 7.05

(Thousand Metric

807 810

124 131

931 940

355 359

131 134

486 493

445 447

19/20 20/

tares)

263 2

Hectares)

4.71 4.

c Tons)

1,239 1,28

185 18

1,424 1,4

452 4

189 18

641 64

783 8

19/20 20/

tares)

115 1

Hectares)

7.05 7.0

c Tons)

809 80

134 1

943 9

360 3

126 1

487 49

456 44

/21 21/22

70 276

76 4.80

82 1,328

89 188

71 1,516

55 458

88 187

43 645

27 871

/21 21/22

14 115

07 7.10

08 816

26 131

34 947

62 363

31 124

93 487

41 459

Page34

22/23 23/24

284 289

4.85 4.89

1,376 1,411

187 186

1,563 1,597

461 464

186 185

647 649

916 948

22/23 23/24

115 115

7.11 7.11

817 817

124 115

942 932

368 375

115 136

483 511

458 421

Table 6 B

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra*In this t Table 7 B

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

angladesh Rice Su

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade* table and the rest o

razil Rice Supply, U

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

pply, Utilization an

13/14

11,770

2.92

34,412

722

35,134

34,674

773

35,448

‐313 of the tables, nega

Utilization and Net

13/14

2,421

3.39

8,217

680

8,897

7,987

826

8,813

84

nd Net Trade, 2013

14/15 15/

11,731 11,8

2.92 2

34,269 34,6

773 7

35,043 35,4

35,220 35,9

784 8

36,004 36,7

‐961 ‐1,3tive net trade mea

t Trade, 2013‐2023

14/15 15/

2,424 2,4

3.40 3

8,249 8,3

826 8

9,075 9,1

7,903 7,9

835 8

8,738 8,7

337 3

3‐2023

/16 16/17

856 11,943 1

.92 2.94

638 35,145 3

784 800

422 35,945 3

998 36,552 3

800 811

798 37,363 3

376 ‐1,418 ans net imports, as

3

/16 16/17

425 2,430

.42 3.43

304 8,344

835 836

139 9,180

939 8,031

836 835

775 8,866

363 314

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

11,990 12,116

(Metric Tons per H

2.97 3.00

(Thousand Metric

35,598 36,317

811 824

36,409 37,141

37,221 37,876

824 838

38,045 38,714

‐1,636 ‐1,573opposed to positiv

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

2,435 2,437

(Metric Tons per H

3.46 3.48

(Thousand Metric

8,417 8,474

835 832

9,252 9,306

8,073 8,148

832 828

8,905 8,976

347 330

19/20 20/

tares)

12,150 12,1

Hectares)

3.02 3.0

c Tons)

36,725 37,10

838 84

37,562 37,94

38,291 38,68

846 8

39,137 39,5

‐1,575 ‐1,59ve net trade which

19/20 20/

tares)

2,438 2,4

Hectares)

3.49 3.

c Tons)

8,502 8,5

828 8

9,330 9,3

8,195 8,2

824 8

9,019 9,08

310 2

/21 21/22

58 12,183 1

05 3.08

03 37,511 3

46 854

49 38,365 3

85 39,097 3

54 862

39 39,959 4

90 ‐1,594 ‐h means net export

/21 21/22

38 2,443

50 3.51

28 8,581

24 820

52 9,402

60 8,332

20 816

80 9,148

72 253

Page35

22/23 23/24

12,185 12,219

3.09 3.12

37,679 38,068

862 871

38,541 38,938

39,526 39,976

871 880

40,396 40,856

‐1,855 ‐1,918 ts.

22/23 23/24

2,445 2,449

3.52 3.53

8,606 8,646

816 813

9,422 9,460

8,362 8,432

813 810

9,175 9,242

247 217

Table 8 B

Table 9 C

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

runei Darussalam

ambodia Rice Sup

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Rice Supply, Utiliz


13/14

5

0.20

1

0

1

48

0

48

‐47

13/14

2,975

1.65

4,918

196

5,114

3,806

301

4,108

1,007

zation and Net Trad


14/15 15/

5

0.20 0

1

0

1

49

0

49

‐48 ‐

14/15 15/

2,961 2,9

1.70 1

5,027 5,2

301 3

5,328 5,6

3,878 3,9

304 3

4,182 4,2

1,146 1,3

de, 2013‐2023

‐2023

/16 16/17

5 5

.20 0.20

1 1

0 0

1 1

50 51

0 0

50 51

‐49 ‐50

/16 16/17

969 2,992

.78 1.87

296 5,606

304 307

600 5,913

951 4,022

307 310

258 4,332

342 1,581

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

5 5

(Metric Tons per H

0.20 0.20

(Thousand Metric

1 1

0 0

1 1

52 54

0 0

52 54

‐51 ‐53

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

3,006 3,018

(Metric Tons per H

1.91 2.00

(Thousand Metric

5,738 6,045

310 312

6,047 6,357

4,094 4,162

312 315

4,406 4,477

1,641 1,880

19/20 20/

tares)

5

Hectares)

0.20 0.

c Tons)

1

0

1

55

0

55

‐54 ‐

19/20 20/

tares)

3,025 3,0

Hectares)

2.06 2.

c Tons)

6,228 6,4

315 3

6,543 6,7

4,229 4,30

318 3

4,547 4,6

1,997 2,10

/21 21/22

5 5

20 0.20

1 1

0 0

1 1

56 57

0 0

56 57

55 ‐56

/21 21/22

34 3,045

12 2.17

17 6,614

18 321

34 6,935

09 4,387

21 324

29 4,711

05 2,224

Page36

22/23 23/24

5 5

0.20 0.20

1 1

0 0

1 1

58 59

0 0

58 59

‐57 ‐58

22/23 23/24

3,037 3,041

2.23 2.27

6,773 6,917

324 327

7,097 7,243

4,464 4,539

327 330

4,790 4,868

2,306 2,375

Table 10 C

Table 11 C

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Cameroon Rice Su

Canada Rice Utiliza

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


ation and Net Trad

13/14

140

0.90

127

0

127

630

24

655

‐528

13/14

358

0

358

‐358

nd Net Trade, 2013

de, 2013‐2023

14/15 15/

140 1

0.97 1

136 1

24

160 1

624 6

24

648 6

‐488 ‐4

14/15 15/

376 4

0

376 4

‐376 ‐4

3‐2023

/16 16/17

145 147

.07 1.08

155 159

24 25

179 184

639 647

25 25

664 672

485 ‐488

/16 16/17

420 435

0 0

420 435

420 ‐435

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

149 152

(Metric Tons per H

1.08 1.09

(Thousand Metric

162 166

25 26

187 191

663 671

26 26

689 696

‐502 ‐505

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Metric

448 461

0 0

448 461

‐448 ‐461

19/20 20/

tares)

156 1

Hectares)

1.08 1.0

c Tons)

168 1

26

194 19

687 7

26

714 74

‐520 ‐54

19/20 20/

c Tons)

471 48

0

471 48

‐471 ‐48

/21 21/22

57 160

08 1.09

70 173

26 27

97 201

14 716

27 28

42 744

45 ‐543

/21 21/22

81 491

0 0

81 491

81 ‐491

Page37

22/23 23/24

163 167

1.09 1.09

177 182

28 28

205 210

728 716

28 28

756 744

‐551 ‐533

22/23 23/24

500 514

0 0

500 514

‐500 ‐514

Table 12

Table 13 C

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

People’s Republic

Colombia Rice Sup

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

of China Rice Supp


13/14

30,386

4.67

141,811

46,782

188,593

146,282

45,361

191,643

‐3,050

13/14

441

2.99

1,318

78

1,396

1,541

131

1,672

‐276


nd Net Trade, 2013

14/15 15/

30,170 30,0

4.80 4

144,907 145,8

45,361 46,2

190,268 192,1

146,516 146,8

46,256 47,6

192,772 194,4

‐2,504 ‐2,3

14/15 15/

448 4

3.00 3

1,341 1,3

131 2

1,473 1,5

1,571 1,6

226 3

1,797 1,9

‐325 ‐3


3‐2023

/16 16/17

089 30,073 3

.85 4.88

879 146,884 14

256 47,657 4

136 194,541 19

800 146,983 14

657 49,826 5

457 196,809 19

322 ‐2,268

/16 16/17

452 454

.01 3.02

360 1,373

226 305

586 1,678

623 1,727

305 337

928 2,064

342 ‐386

‐2023

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

30,014 29,884

(Metric Tons per H

4.92 4.95

(Thousand Metric

47,560 147,976

49,826 52,521

97,386 200,497

47,003 147,109

52,521 55,431

99,524 202,540

‐2,138 ‐2,043

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

456 457

(Metric Tons per H

3.04 3.05

(Thousand Metric

1,386 1,396

337 348

1,723 1,744

1,780 1,823

348 344

2,128 2,166

‐405 ‐422

19/20 20/

tares)

29,671 29,5

Hectares)

4.99 5.0

c Tons)

147,909 148,14

55,431 57,99

203,340 206,1

147,320 147,1

57,991 60,94

205,311 208,10

‐1,971 ‐1,9

19/20 20/

tares)

458 4

Hectares)

3.07 3.0

c Tons)

1,405 1,4

344 34

1,749 1,7

1,834 1,8

340 34

2,174 2,1

‐425 ‐4

/21 21/22

61 29,445 2

01 5.04

43 148,394 14

91 60,942 6

34 209,336 21

67 147,400 14

42 63,719 6

09 211,119 21

75 ‐1,783 ‐

/21 21/22

58 458

08 3.10

11 1,418

40 341

51 1,759

33 1,832

41 347

74 2,179

23 ‐421

Page38

22/23 23/24

29,272 29,149

5.07 5.10

48,448 148,687

63,719 66,443

12,167 215,130

47,435 147,363

66,443 69,384

13,878 216,747

‐1,711 ‐1,616

22/23 23/24

458 459

3.11 3.12

1,425 1,432

347 349

1,772 1,781

1,848 1,855

349 352

2,197 2,207

‐426 ‐427

Table 14 C

Table 15

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Area Har

Yield

Producti

Beginnin

Domest

Consum

Ending S

Domest

Net Tra

Cote D’Ivoire Rice

Egypt Rice Supply,

13/14

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

tic Supply

ption

Stocks

tic Use

ade

Supply, Utilization

, Utilization and Ne

14/15 15

801

6.48

5,188

462

5,650

4,086

725

4,811

839

13/14

452

1.23

555

320

875

1,879

326

2,205

‐1,330

n and Net Trade, 2

et Trade, 2013‐202

5/16 16/17

1 764

8 6.69

8 5,111

2 725

0 5,836

6 4,065

5 901

1 4,966

9 870

14/15 15/

454 4

1.33 1

605 6

326 3

931 9

1,925 1,9

335 3

2,260 2,2

‐1,329 ‐1,2

2013‐2023

23

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

763 763

6.77 6.8

5,165 5,186

901 1,044

6,066 6,230

4,101 4,180

1,044 1,111

5,146 5,291

920 939

/16 16/17

458 474

.43 1.47

654 697

335 334

989 1,031

920 1,939

334 338

254 2,277

265 ‐1,246

/19 19/20

Hectares)

759

(Metric Tons

6.83

(Thousand

5,185 5

1,111 1

6,295 6

4,230 4

1,074

5,304 5

992

17/18 18/19

(Thousand Hect

491 507

(Metric Tons per H

1.51 1.55

(Thousand Metric

739 786

338 346

1,077 1,132

1,979 2,031

346 356

2,325 2,387

‐1,248 ‐1,255

20/21 21/

759 759

per Hectares)

6.86 6.88

Metric Tons)

5,206 5,224

1,074 997

6,279 6,221

4,296 4,317

997 920

5,293 5,237

987 984

19/20 20/

tares)

519 5

Hectare)

1.59 1.

c Tons)

823 8

356 3

1,180 1,2

2,053 2,09

356 3

2,409 2,44

‐1,229 ‐1,2

/22 22/23

761

6.94

5,283 5

920

6,203 6

4,378 4

855

5,233 5

971

/21 21/22

33 551

63 1.67

70 918

56 358

26 1,277

91 2,157

58 366

49 2,524

23 ‐1,247 ‐

Page39

23/24

762 761

7 7.06

,335 5,373

855 821

6,189 6,193

4,401 4,420

821 803

,221 5,224

968 970

22/23 23/24

568 576

1.71 1.75

973 1,007

366 364

1,340 1,371

2,169 2,210

364 367

2,532 2,577

‐1,193 ‐1,207

767

7.12

5,459

803

6,262

4,535

743

5,278

984

Table 16

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 17 G

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

EU‐27 Rice Supply

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Ghana Rice Supply

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

, Utilization and N

13/14

456

4.62

2,104

1,055

3,159

3,389

903

4,291

‐1,132

y, Utilization and N

13/14

194

1.69

329

132

461

926

135

1,061

‐600

et Trade, 2013‐202

14/15 15

458

4.67

2,138 2

903

3,041 2

3,410 3

786

4,196 4

‐1,155 ‐1

Net Trade, 2013‐20

14/15 15

197

1.72

338

135

473

962 1

142

1,104 1

‐631 ‐

23

5/16 16/17

461 464

4.74 4.81

,185 2,234

786 689

,971 2,923

,429 3,451

689 619

,118 4,071

,147 ‐1,148

023

5/16 16/17

205 213

1.75 1.8

360 384

142 151

502 535

,004 1,047

151 159

,155 1,207

‐653 ‐672

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

468 4

(Metric Tons p

4.88 4

(Thousand M

2,283 2,3

619 5

2,902 2,9

3,463 3,4

581 5

4,044 4,0

‐1,142 ‐1,1

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

223 2

(Metric Tons pe

1.85 1

(Thousand M

412 4

159 1

572 6

1,098 1,1

170 1

1,268 1,3

‐696 ‐7

/19 19/20

Hectares)

471 473

per Hectare)

4.94 5.01

etric Tons)

326 2,370

581 568

907 2,938

472 3,490

568 576

041 4,066

134 ‐1,128

/19 19/20

Hectares)

235 247

er Hectares)

1.89 1.94

etric Tons)

445 479

170 187

615 666

185 1,241

187 198

373 1,439

757 ‐773

20/21 21/

476 4

5.08 5.

2,416 2,4

576 5

2,991 3,0

3,504 3,5

591 6

4,095 4,1

‐1,104 ‐1,0

20/21 21/

256 2

1.96

503 5

198 2

701 7

1,298 1,3

210 2

1,508 1,5

‐807 ‐8

Page40

/22 22/23

78 481

14 5.21

61 2,506

91 627

52 3,133

17 3,534

27 684

45 4,218

92 ‐1,085

/22 22/23

67 280

2 2.04

35 572

10 220

44 792

49 1,397

20 229

68 1,627

24 ‐835

23/24

481

5.25

2,523

684

3,208

3,546

721

4,267

‐1,059

23/24

296

2.08

616

229

846

1,458

242

1,700

‐854

Table 18 G

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Table 19 C

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Guinea Rice Suppl

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

China‐Hong Kong

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

1,001

1.27

1,275

105

1,380

1,555

85

1,640

‐259

Rice Utilization an

13/14

438

0

438

‐438


14/15 15

1,001 1

1.34

1,338 1

85

1,423 1

1,605 1

87

1,692 1

‐269 ‐

d Net Trade, 2013

14/15 15

445

0

445

‐445 ‐

023

5/16 16/17

,002 1,004

1.4 1.46

,405 1,462

87 88

,492 1,550

,629 1,677

88 90

,717 1,767

‐225 ‐217

‐2023

5/16 16/17

447 453

0 0

447 453

‐447 ‐453

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

1,008 1,0

(Metric Tons pe

1.5 1

(Thousand M

1,509 1,5

90

1,598 1,6

1,725 1,7

91

1,816 1,8

‐218 ‐2

17/18 18/

(Thousand M

458 4

0

458 4

‐458 ‐4

/19 19/20

Hectares)

007 1,016

er Hectares)

1.54 1.58

etric Tons)

549 1,606

91 94

640 1,700

781 1,832

94 95

875 1,928

235 ‐228

/19 19/20

etric Tons)

463 468

0 0

463 468

463 ‐468

20/21 21/

1,018 1,0

1.62 1.

1,653 1,6

95

1,748 1,7

1,887 1,9

98 1

1,985 2,0

‐237 ‐2

20/21 21/

473 4

0

473 4

‐473 ‐4

Page41

/22 22/23

19 1,020

65 1.69

82 1,728

98 100

80 1,828

46 1,984

00 101

46 2,085

66 ‐257

/22 22/23

77 481

0 0

77 481

77 ‐481

23/24

1,020

1.72

1,757

101

1,859

2,031

103

2,134

‐276

23/24

494

0

494

‐494

Table 20

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 21

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

India Rice Supply,

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Indonesia Rice Sup

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Utilization and Ne

13/14

43,503

2.37

103,265

25,100

128,365

95,034

23,302

118,336

10,029


13/14

12,168

3.1

37,758

3,085

40,843

40,010

2,550

42,560

‐1,717

et Trade, 2013‐202

14/15 15

43,480 43

2.45

106,474 108

23,302 23

129,776 131

96,567 98

23,562 24

120,129 122

9,647 9

nd Net Trade, 2013

14/15 15

12,198 12

3.14

38,321 38

2,550 2

40,872 41

40,302 40

2,686 2

42,989 43

‐2,117 ‐2

23

5/16 16/17

,590 43,535

2.48 2.51

,287 109,428

,562 24,316

,849 133,744

,208 99,908

,316 24,687

,524 124,594

,324 9,149

3‐2023

5/16 16/17

,272 12,208

3.17 3.21

,905 39,130

,686 2,872

,592 42,002

,794 41,055

,872 2,999

,666 44,054

,074 ‐2,052

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

43,451 43,4

(Metric Tons p

2.54 2

(Thousand M

110,182 112,0

24,687 24,4

134,868 136,4

101,578 103,0

24,404 24,7

125,982 127,7

8,886 8,7

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

12,207 12,2

(Metric Tons p

3.26 3

(Thousand M

39,779 40,2

2,999 3,0

42,778 43,3

41,423 41,9

3,069 3,1

44,492 45,0

‐1,715 ‐1,7

/19 19/20

Hectares)

420 43,479

per Hectare)

2.58 2.6

etric Tons)

093 113,160

404 24,729

497 137,889

035 104,607

729 24,718

764 129,325

733 8,564

/19 19/20

Hectares)

220 12,204

per Hectare)

3.29 3.31

etric Tons)

251 40,384

069 3,103

320 43,487

918 42,267

103 3,118

022 45,385

701 ‐1,897

20/21 21/

43,527 43,5

2.63 2.

114,553 115,8

24,718 24,7

139,271 140,5

106,182 107,7

24,715 24,8

130,897 132,5

8,374 8,0

20/21 21/

12,208 12,2

3.34 3.

40,743 40,9

3,118 3,1

43,861 44,0

42,611 42,9

3,124 3,1

45,735 46,0

‐1,874 ‐2,0

Page42

/22 22/23

62 43,567

66 2.67

65 116,536

15 24,804

80 141,340

17 109,158

04 24,094

21 133,252

59 8,088

/22 22/23

00 12,197

36 3.37

46 41,160

24 3,126

70 44,286

55 43,296

26 3,127

81 46,424

11 ‐2,137

23/24

43,564

2.74

119,152

24,094

143,246

110,532

24,727

135,259

7,987

23/24

12,227

3.39

41,505

3,127

44,633

43,590

3,127

46,717

‐2,085

Table 22

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 23

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Iran Rice Supply, U

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Iraq Rice Supply, U

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Utilization and Net

13/14

570

2.81

1,601

756

2,357

3,373

704

4,077

‐1,720

Utilization and Net

13/14

65

2.17

142

208

350

1,511

285

1,796

‐1,446

t Trade, 2013‐2023

14/15 15

581

2.83

1,645 1

704

2,349 2

3,441 3

618

4,059 4

‐1,710 ‐1

t Trade, 2013‐2023

14/15 15

67

2.17

146

285

431

1,538 1

331

1,869 1

‐1,438 ‐1

3

5/16 16/17

592 595

2.86 2.88

,690 1,715

618 578

,308 2,293

,462 3,559

578 573

,040 4,132

,731 ‐1,839

3

5/16 16/17

68 69

2.19 2.2

148 152

331 358

480 510

,603 1,665

358 379

,961 2,044

,481 ‐1,534

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

598 6

(Metric Tons p

2.91 2

(Thousand M

1,738 1,7

573 5

2,311 2,3

3,597 3,6

576 5

4,172 4,2

‐1,862 ‐1,9

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

70

(Metric Tons p

2.22 2

(Thousand M

156 1

379 3

535 5

1,733 1,7

398 4

2,131 2,2

‐1,595 ‐1,6

/19 19/20

Hectares)

600 603

per Hectare)

2.93 2.96

etric Tons)

759 1,783

576 588

335 2,371

668 3,729

588 603

256 4,332

921 ‐1,961

/19 19/20

Hectares)

72 75

per Hectare)

2.23 2.24

etric Tons)

160 168

398 415

558 583

790 1,848

415 431

205 2,279

647 ‐1,696

20/21 21/

604 6

2.98 3.

1,802 1,8

603 6

2,405 2,4

3,753 3,8

615 6

4,368 4,4

‐1,962 ‐2,0

20/21 21/

76

2.25 2.

171 1

431 4

602 6

1,902 1,9

447 4

2,349 2,4

‐1,747 ‐1,8

Page43

/22 22/23

05 606

01 3.03

20 1,839

15 629

35 2,468

13 3,869

29 645

43 4,514

08 ‐2,045

/22 22/23

75 75

27 2.28

69 171

47 461

16 632

58 2,013

61 475

19 2,488

03 ‐1,856

23/24

608

3.06

1,858

645

2,503

3,892

656

4,549

‐2,045

23/24

75

2.29

173

475

648

2,066

489

2,556

‐1,908

Table 24 J

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 25

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Japan Rice Supply,

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Kenya Rice Supply

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

, Utilization and N

13/14

1,603

4.8

7,697

2,753

10,450

8,164

2,768

10,932

‐482


13/14

33

1.8

58

77

135

498

86

584

‐449

et Trade, 2013‐202

14/15 15

1,572 1

4.81

7,556 7

2,768 2

10,324 10

8,094 7

2,712 2

10,806 10

‐482 ‐


14/15 15

33

1.82

60

86

147

517

91

608

‐461 ‐

23

5/16 16/17

,548 1,526

4.81 4.8

,445 7,332

,712 2,680

,157 10,012

,959 7,854

,680 2,639

,639 10,494

‐482 ‐482

23

5/16 16/17

34 34

1.83 1.84

61 63

91 107

153 169

578 605

107 113

685 718

‐533 ‐549

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

1,510 1,4

(Metric Tons p

4.81

(Thousand M

7,259 7,1

2,639 2,5

9,898 9,7

7,790 7,7

2,590 2,4

10,380 10,2

‐482 ‐4

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

35

(Metric Tons pe

1.84 1

(Thousand M

64

113 1

178 1

642 7

123 1

765 8

‐587 ‐6

/19 19/20

Hectares)

489 1,483

per Hectare)

4.8 4.8

etric Tons)

152 7,121

590 2,491

742 9,612

733 7,658

491 2,436

224 10,094

482 ‐482

/19 19/20

Hectares)

36 36

er Hectares)

1.85 1.86

etric Tons)

66 67

123 138

188 206

713 769

138 147

851 917

662 ‐711

20/21 21/

1,462 1,4

4.8 4

7,017 6,9

2,436 2,3

9,453 9,3

7,592 7,5

2,343 2,2

9,935 9,8

‐482 ‐4

20/21 21/

37

1.86 1.

69

147 1

216 2

823 8

156 1

978 1,0

‐762 ‐8

Page44

/22 22/23

56 1,449

4.8 4.79

83 6,941

43 2,266

26 9,207

43 7,491

66 2,198

08 9,689

82 ‐482

/22 22/23

38 39

87 1.87

71 73

56 166

26 238

62 895

66 174

28 1,068

01 ‐830

23/24

1,436

4.79

6,873

2,198

9,072

7,400

2,153

9,554

‐482

23/24

40

1.87

74

174

248

928

182

1,111

‐863

Table 26

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Table 27

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Lao PDR Rice Supp

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Liberia Rice Supply

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

872

1.77

1,547

50

1,597

1,533

79

1,612

‐15


13/14

258

0.78

201

0

201

424

16

441

‐240

d Net Trade, 2013‐2

14/15 15

884

1.8

1,589 1

79

1,668 1

1,565 1

80

1,645 1

23


14/15 15

262

0.79

206

16

223

451

17

468

‐246 ‐

2023

5/16 16/17

886 891

1.83 1.87

,621 1,665

80 81

,701 1,746

,595 1,633

81 83

,676 1,716

25 31

023

5/16 16/17

266 269

0.8 0.8

212 217

17 18

229 235

468 501

18 19

486 520

‐257 ‐286

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

898 9

(Metric Tons pe

1.93 1

(Thousand M

1,733 1,8

83

1,816 1,8

1,664 1,6

84

1,748 1,7

68 1

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

273 2

(Metric Tons pe

0.81 0

(Thousand M

221 2

19

241 2

523 5

20

544 5

‐303 ‐3

/19 19/20

Hectares)

909 920

er Hectares)

1.98 2.02

etric Tons)

800 1,861

84 85

884 1,946

698 1,723

85 86

783 1,809

101 137

/19 19/20

Hectares)

275 278

er Hectares)

0.82 0.83

etric Tons)

226 230

20 21

246 252

552 569

21 22

573 591

327 ‐339

20/21 21/

930 9

2.07 2.

1,922 1,9

86

2,008 2,0

1,751 1,7

87

1,838 1,8

170 1

20/21 21/

280 2

0.84 0.

235 2

22

257 2

591 6

23

614 6

‐357 ‐3

Page45

/22 22/23

42 953

11 2.15

85 2,051

87 89

72 2,139

88 1,815

89 90

77 1,905

96 234

/22 22/23

83 285

85 0.85

39 243

23 24

62 267

13 625

24 24

37 649

75 ‐382

23/24

963

2.17

2,093

90

2,183

1,856

91

1,947

235

23/24

286

0.86

247

24

271

652

25

678

‐406

Table 28

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 29

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Malaysia Rice Sup

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Mali Rice Supply, U

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

680

2.58

1,751

594

2,345

2,801

676

3,477

‐1,131

Utilization and Net

13/14

626

2.19

1,370

127

1,497

1,526

129

1,655

‐158


14/15 15

692

2.58

1,784 1

676

2,460 2

2,844 2

681

3,524 3

‐1,065 ‐1

t Trade, 2013‐2023

14/15 15

652

2.23

1,455 1

129

1,584 1

1,591 1

131

1,723 1

‐138

‐2023

5/16 16/17

701 707

2.59 2.62

,816 1,852

681 687

,496 2,539

,875 2,938

687 692

,563 3,630

,066 ‐1,091

3

5/16 16/17

695 722

2.28 2.35

,588 1,693

131 133

,720 1,826

,632 1,706

133 136

,765 1,841

‐45 ‐15

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

711 7

(Metric Tons p

2.64 2

(Thousand M

1,876 1,8

692 7

2,568 2,5

2,984 3,0

702 7

3,686 3,7

‐1,118 ‐1,1

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

757 7

(Metric Tons pe

2.41 2

(Thousand M

1,824 1,9

136 1

1,960 2,0

1,770 1,8

138 1

1,908 1,9

52

/19 19/20

Hectares)

713 714

per Hectare)

2.66 2.69

etric Tons)

896 1,924

702 709

598 2,633

030 3,083

709 716

739 3,799

141 ‐1,166

/19 19/20

Hectares)

776 796

er Hectares)

2.47 2.54

etric Tons)

921 2,018

138 141

059 2,159

854 1,925

141 144

995 2,069

64 90

20/21 21/

715 7

2.73 2.

1,950 1,9

716 7

2,667 2,6

3,133 3,1

724 7

3,857 3,9

‐1,191 ‐1,2

20/21 21/

808 8

2.59 2.

2,090 2,1

144 1

2,234 2,3

1,992 2,0

147 1

2,138 2,2

96 1

Page46

/22 22/23

15 715

75 2.79

70 1,994

24 732

94 2,726

84 3,226

32 740

16 3,966

22 ‐1,240

/22 22/23

17 840

65 2.71

64 2,274

47 149

10 2,423

53 2,128

49 152

02 2,280

08 144

23/24

714

2.82

2,015

740

2,755

3,270

746

4,017

‐1,262

23/24

848

2.77

2,346

152

2,497

2,199

155

2,354

143

Table 30

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 31

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Mexico Rice Suppl

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Mozambique Rice

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

ly, Utilization and

13/14

36

3.74

134

168

302

863

186

1,049

‐747

Supply, Utilization

13/14

242

0.94

226

0

226

746

14

760

‐533

Net Trade, 2013‐2

14/15 15

37

3.71

137

186

323

887

186

1,074 1

‐750 ‐

n and Net Trade, 2

14/15 15

246

0.95

233

14

246

707

12

719

‐472 ‐

023

5/16 16/17

39 40

3.77 3.81

148 153

186 188

334 341

908 930

188 188

,096 1,118

‐762 ‐777

2013‐2023

5/16 16/17

251 255

0.97 0.99

244 254

12 14

256 267

750 762

14 14

763 777

‐507 ‐509

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

41

(Metric Tons p

3.78 3

(Thousand M

153 1

188 1

341 3

950 9

188 1

1,138 1,1

‐797 ‐8

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

260 2

(Metric Tons pe

1.01 1

(Thousand M

263 2

14

278 2

783 8

15

798 8

‐520 ‐5

/19 19/20

Hectares)

40 40

per Hectare)

3.73 3.75

etric Tons)

151 151

188 190

339 340

968 990

190 189

158 1,179

819 ‐839

/19 19/20

Hectares)

265 270

er Hectares)

1.03 1.04

etric Tons)

274 281

15 17

289 298

830 854

17 18

847 872

558 ‐574

20/21 21/

40

3.73 3.

150 1

189 1

339 3

1,009 1,0

190 1

1,199 1,2

‐860 ‐8

20/21 21/

275 2

1.05 1.

289 3

18

307 3

908 9

20

928 9

‐621 ‐6

Page47

/22 22/23

40 40

73 3.77

49 150

90 191

40 342

27 1,038

91 192

18 1,230

78 ‐888

/22 22/23

81 287

07 1.09

01 312

20 22

21 334

53 1,015

22 24

75 1,039

54 ‐705

23/24

40

3.79

151

192

343

1,048

185

1,233

‐890

23/24

293

1.11

325

24

349

1,052

25

1,077

‐729

Table 32

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 33

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Myanmar Rice Sup

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Nigeria Rice Suppl

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

6,507

1.69

11,014

147

11,161

10,391

94

10,485

677


13/14

2,479

1.16

2,884

885

3,769

6,054

659

6,713

‐2,944

nd Net Trade, 2013

14/15 15

6,611 6

1.71

11,304 11

94

11,398 11

10,521 10

177

10,697 11

701


14/15 15

2,547 2

1.22

3,101 3

659

3,761 3

6,093 6

652

6,745 6

‐2,984 ‐2

3‐2023

5/16 16/17

,744 6,809

1.73 1.74

,649 11,878

177 395

,825 12,273

,657 10,788

395 489

,052 11,277

774 996

023

5/16 16/17

,670 2,734

1.24 1.27

,315 3,475

652 669

,968 4,144

,286 6,405

669 685

,955 7,090

,987 ‐2,945

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

6,885 6,9

(Metric Tons p

1.76 1

(Thousand M

12,131 12,2

489 4

12,620 12,7

10,981 11,1

485 4

11,467 11,5

1,153 1,2

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

2,801 2,8

(Metric Tons p

1.31 1

(Thousand M

3,655 3,8

685 6

4,340 4,5

6,567 6,8

696 7

7,263 7,5

‐2,924 ‐3,0

/19 19/20

Hectares)

900 6,899

per Hectare)

1.78 1.8

etric Tons)

277 12,393

485 404

762 12,797

139 11,254

404 374

543 11,628

218 1,169

/19 19/20

Hectares)

873 2,947

per Hectare)

1.34 1.37

etric Tons)

847 4,048

696 705

544 4,753

854 7,054

705 711

559 7,765

015 ‐3,012

20/21 21/

6,901 6,8

1.81 1.

12,516 12,6

374 3

12,890 12,9

11,372 11,4

355 3

11,727 11,7

1,163 1,2

20/21 21/

3,016 3,0

1.41 1.

4,245 4,4

711 7

4,956 5,1

7,324 7,5

715 7

8,039 8,2

‐3,083 ‐3,1

Page48

/22 22/23

99 6,893

83 1.85

31 12,740

55 358

86 13,098

21 11,427

58 422

79 11,849

07 1,250

/22 22/23

90 3,162

44 1.48

55 4,667

15 718

70 5,385

61 7,785

18 721

79 8,506

09 ‐3,121

23/24

6,889

1.87

12,852

422

13,274

11,555

459

12,015

1,259

23/24

3,213

1.51

4,853

721

5,573

7,995

722

8,717

‐3,144

Table 34

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 35

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Pakistan Rice Supp

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Philippines Rice Su

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

2,704

2.34

6,323

600

6,923

2,618

956

3,574

3,349

upply, Utilization a

13/14

4,692

2.47

11,606

1,487

13,093

12,883

1,684

14,567

‐1,474


14/15 15

2,726 2

2.36

6,426 6

956 1

7,382 7

2,743 2

1,114

3,857 3

3,525 3

and Net Trade, 201

14/15 15

4,693 4

2.48

11,656 11

1,684 1

13,341 13

13,080 13

1,672 1

14,752 14

‐1,412 ‐1

2023

5/16 16/17

,724 2,756

2.36 2.36

,420 6,517

,114 964

,534 7,481

,821 2,904

964 744

,786 3,648

,748 3,833

13‐2023

5/16 16/17

,698 4,682

2.51 2.56

,795 11,997

,672 1,689

,467 13,686

,184 13,348

,689 1,683

,873 15,032

,406 ‐1,345

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

2,768 2,7

(Metric Tons p

2.36 2

(Thousand M

6,536 6,6

744 7

7,280 7,3

2,961 3,0

749 7

3,710 3,7

3,571 3,5

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

4,679 4,6

(Metric Tons p

2.62 2

(Thousand M

12,265 12,5

1,683 1,6

13,948 14,2

13,469 13,6

1,698 1,7

15,168 15,3

‐1,220 ‐1,1

/19 19/20

Hectares)

792 2,795

per Hectare)

2.37 2.37

etric Tons)

607 6,619

749 772

355 7,391

026 3,077

772 750

797 3,827

558 3,563

/19 19/20

Hectares)

683 4,700

per Hectare)

2.67 2.71

etric Tons)

513 12,756

698 1,714

211 14,469

643 13,799

714 1,734

357 15,533

146 ‐1,064

20/21 21/

2,837 2,9

2.37 2.

6,731 6,9

750 7

7,482 7,6

3,113 3,1

719 7

3,832 3,9

3,649 3,7

20/21 21/

4,698 4,7

2.77 2.

13,035 13,3

1,734 1,7

14,769 15,0

13,984 14,1

1,754 1,7

15,738 15,9

‐969 ‐8

Page49

/22 22/23

13 2,946

37 2.38

15 7,024

19 753

34 7,777

69 3,227

53 781

22 4,008

12 3,769

/22 22/23

08 4,712

83 2.88

01 13,551

54 1,776

55 15,327

27 14,294

76 1,795

03 16,089

48 ‐762

23/24

2,990

2.39

7,134

781

7,915

3,270

811

4,081

3,834

23/24

4,718

2.93

13,823

1,795

15,618

14,451

1,815

16,267

‐649

Table 36 S

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 37 S

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Saudi Arabia Rice

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Senegal Rice Supp

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Supply, Utilization

13/14

214

214

1,265

221

1,486

‐1,272


13/14

148

3.38

500

247

747

1,574

265

1,839

‐1,092

n and Net Trade, 20

14/15 15

221

221

1,307 1

225

1,532 1

‐1,311 ‐1

Net Trade, 2013‐2

14/15 15

150

3.57

537

265

802

1,604 1

246

1,850 1

‐1,048 ‐1

013‐2023

5/16 16/17

225 229

225 229

,351 1,396

229 233

,580 1,630

,355 ‐1,401

2023

5/16 16/17

155 158

3.76 3.97

583 625

246 251

828 876

,653 1,707

251 251

,904 1,958

,075 ‐1,082

17/18 18/

(Thousand M

233 2

233 2

1,432 1,4

238 2

1,670 1,7

‐1,437 ‐1,4

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

160 1

(Metric Tons pe

4.19 4

(Thousand M

671 7

251 2

923 9

1,758 1,8

252 2

2,010 2,0

‐1,087 ‐1,1

/19 19/20

etric Tons)

238 241

238 241

464 1,498

241 244

705 1,742

467 ‐1,501

/19 19/20

Hectares)

162 165

er Hectares)

4.42 4.62

etric Tons)

719 762

252 262

971 1,023

808 1,857

262 271

070 2,128

100 ‐1,105

20/21 21/

244 2

244 2

1,528 1,5

247 2

1,775 1,8

‐1,531 ‐1,5

20/21 21/

167 1

4.82 5.

804 8

271 2

1,075 1,1

1,906 1,9

281 2

2,187 2,2

‐1,112 ‐1,1

Page50

/22 22/23

47 250

47 250

57 1,581

50 253

07 1,834

60 ‐1,584

/22 22/23

69 171

03 5.25

50 899

81 291

31 1,190

54 2,003

91 301

45 2,304

14 ‐1,114

23/24

253

253

1,609

255

1,864

‐1,611

23/24

173

5.43

941

301

1,242

2,051

305

2,356

‐1,115

Table 38 S

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Table 39 S

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Sierra Leone Rice S

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Singapore Rice Uti

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Supply, Utilization

13/14

617

1.25

768

0

768

1,121

1

1,122

‐353

ilization and Net T

13/14

361

0

361

‐361

and Net Trade, 20

14/15 15

624

1.28

802

1

803

1,153 1

2

1,155 1

‐353 ‐

Trade, 2013‐2023

14/15 15

364

0

364

‐364 ‐

013‐2023

5/16 16/17

632 641

1.32 1.37

837 875

2 3

840 879

,185 1,225

3 5

,188 1,231

‐349 ‐352

5/16 16/17

372 375

0 0

372 375

‐372 ‐375

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

651 6

(Metric Tons pe

1.41 1

(Thousand M

916 9

5

921 9

1,255 1,2

6

1,262 1,3

‐341 ‐3

17/18 18/

(Thousand M

376 3

0

376 3

‐376 ‐3

/19 19/20

Hectares)

661 672

er Hectares)

1.45 1.5

etric Tons)

959 1,005

6 8

965 1,012

294 1,334

8 9

302 1,343

337 ‐331

/19 19/20

etric Tons)

377 378

0 0

377 378

377 ‐378

20/21 21/

683 6

1.54 1.

1,054 1,1

9

1,063 1,1

1,374 1,4

11

1,385 1,4

‐322 ‐3

20/21 21/

378 3

0

378 3

‐378 ‐3

Page51

/22 22/23

94 705

59 1.64

04 1,156

11 12

15 1,169

18 1,453

12 14

30 1,467

15 ‐298

/22 22/23

77 375

0 0

77 375

77 ‐375

23/24

716

1.69

1,210

14

1,224

1,494

15

1,510

‐286

23/24

386

0

386

‐386

Table 40 S

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 41 S

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

South Africa Rice S

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

South Korea Rice S

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Supply, Utilization

13/14

22

22

930

41

971

‐949

Supply, Utilization

13/14

843

5.02

4,232

722

4,954

4,539

826

5,365

‐410

and Net Trade, 20

14/15 15

41

41

919

54

972

‐931 ‐

and Net Trade, 20

14/15 15

835

5.02

4,188 4

826

5,014 5

4,499 4

924

5,423 5

‐409 ‐

013‐2023

5/16 16/17

54 56

54 56

928 932

56 66

984 998

‐930 ‐943

013‐2023

5/16 16/17

834 829

5.03 5.04

,191 4,176

924 986

,115 5,162

,538 4,520

986 1,050

,523 5,570

‐409 ‐409

17/18 18/

(Thousand M

66

66

940 9

78

1,018 1,0

‐952 ‐9

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

828 8

(Metric Tons p

5.05 5

(Thousand M

4,182 4,1

1,050 1,1

5,232 5,2

4,524 4,5

1,117 1,1

5,641 5,7

‐409 ‐4

/19 19/20

etric Tons)

78 91

78 91

955 961

91 92

046 1,053

968 ‐962

/19 19/20

Hectares)

826 827

per Hectare)

5.05 5.05

etric Tons)

175 4,180

117 1,195

292 5,375

505 4,487

195 1,297

701 5,784

409 ‐409

20/21 21/

92

92

973 9

95 1

1,068 1,0

‐976 ‐1,0

20/21 21/

824 8

5.05 5.

4,158 4,1

1,297 1,3

5,454 5,5

4,465 4,4

1,398 1,5

5,863 5,9

‐409 ‐4

Page52

/22 22/23

95 100

95 100

99 995

00 99

98 1,093

04 ‐994

/22 22/23

25 822

05 5.05

67 4,149

98 1,507

65 5,655

67 4,471

07 1,593

73 6,064

09 ‐409

23/24

99

99

1,028

106

1,134

‐1,035

23/24

818

5.05

4,132

1,593

5,725

4,446

1,688

6,134

‐409

Table 42 T

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 43 T

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tr

Taiwan Rice Suppl

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Tanzania Rice Sup

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

ly, Utilization and

13/14

279

4.14

1,153

377

1,530

1,286

367

1,653

‐123


13/14

954

1.04

995

0

995

1,205

26

1,232

‐236


14/15 15

276

4.14

1,142 1

367

1,509 1

1,279 1

352

1,632 1

‐123 ‐


14/15 15

966

1.05

1,017 1

26

1,044 1

1,281 1

39

1,320 1

‐277 ‐

023

5/16 16/17

272 268

4.14 4.14

,127 1,111

352 332

,480 1,443

,271 1,262

332 304

,603 1,566

‐123 ‐123

‐2023

5/16 16/17

978 990

1.07 1.09

,049 1,081

39 52

,089 1,133

,340 1,378

52 53

,391 1,431

‐302 ‐298

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

267 2

(Metric Tons p

4.14 4

(Thousand M

1,106 1,1

304 2

1,410 1,3

1,245 1,2

288 2

1,533 1,5

‐123 ‐1

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

1,001 1,0

(Metric Tons pe

1.11 1

(Thousand M

1,113 1,1

53

1,166 1,2

1,426 1,4

55

1,481 1,5

‐315 ‐3

/19 19/20

Hectares)

266 263

per Hectare)

4.15 4.15

etric Tons)

103 1,093

288 282

391 1,375

232 1,226

282 272

514 1,498

123 ‐123

/19 19/20

Hectares)

011 1,022

er Hectares)

1.13 1.15

etric Tons)

145 1,177

55 57

200 1,234

495 1,543

57 59

552 1,603

352 ‐369

20/21 21/

260 2

4.16 4.

1,082 1,0

272 2

1,354 1,3

1,221 1,2

256 2

1,477 1,4

‐123 ‐1

20/21 21/

1,031 1,0

1.17 1.

1,208 1,2

59

1,268 1,3

1,606 1,6

62

1,668 1,7

‐400 ‐4

Page53

/22 22/23

56 253

18 4.21

72 1,065

56 236

28 1,301

16 1,211

36 213

51 1,424

23 ‐123

/22 22/23

41 1,051

19 1.21

40 1,272

62 65

02 1,337

81 1,739

65 67

46 1,805

44 ‐469

23/24

252

4.24

1,070

213

1,283

1,206

200

1,406

‐123

23/24

1,060

1.23

1,305

67

1,371

1,796

69

1,865

‐494

Table 44 T

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 45 T

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Thailand Rice Supp

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Turkey Rice Supply

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

10,867

1.88

20,456

12,830

33,286

10,704

14,821

25,525

7,761


13/14

102

4.89

500

204

704

777

207

985

‐280


14/15 15

10,789 10

1.88

20,327 20

14,821 16

35,147 37

10,651 10

16,849 18

27,500 29

7,648 7


14/15 15

101

4.93

501

207

708

786

204

990

‐281 ‐

‐2023

5/16 16/17

,785 10,788

1.9 1.92

,490 20,671

,849 18,915

,339 39,586

,647 10,627

,915 20,969

,562 31,596

,777 7,989

023

5/16 16/17

102 101

4.99 5.05

507 513

204 202

711 715

796 801

202 196

998 997

‐287 ‐282

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

10,811 10,8

(Metric Tons p

1.92 1

(Thousand M

20,801 20,9

20,969 22,9

41,770 43,9

10,626 10,6

22,953 24,5

33,578 35,1

8,192 8,7

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

101 1

(Metric Tons p

5.11 5

(Thousand M

518 5

196 1

713 7

815 8

196 1

1,011 1,0

‐298 ‐3

/19 19/20

Hectares)

817 10,813

per Hectare)

1.94 1.96

etric Tons)

955 21,145

953 24,551

908 45,695

646 10,655

551 25,776

197 36,431

711 9,264

/19 19/20

Hectares)

101 101

per Hectare)

5.17 5.23

etric Tons)

522 527

196 193

718 720

826 813

193 176

019 989

301 ‐269

20/21 21/

10,807 10,8

1.97 1.

21,254 21,2

25,776 26,5

47,030 47,8

10,673 10,7

26,581 26,8

37,254 37,5

9,776 10,2

20/21 21/

101 1

5.29 5.

532 5

176 1

708 7

815 8

168 1

983 9

‐275 ‐2

Page54

/22 22/23

06 10,791

97 1.97

80 21,307

81 26,867

61 48,174

00 10,704

67 26,810

67 37,514

94 10,660

/22 22/23

00 100

34 5.4

37 542

68 166

05 708

25 830

66 161

91 990

86 ‐282

23/24

10,777

1.98

21,362

26,810

48,172

10,722

26,478

37,199

10,973

23/24

100

5.46

547

161

708

833

155

988

‐280

Table 46

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 47 V

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Uruguay Rice Supp

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Vietnam Rice Supp

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

181

5.63

1,018

93

1,111

91

111

202

910


13/14

7,867

3.54

27,881

2,326

30,207

20,661

2,430

23,091

7,116


14/15 15

176

5.74

1,011 1

111

1,122 1

87

108

194

928


14/15 15

7,897 7

3.55

27,994 28

2,430 2

30,423 30

20,745 20

2,419 2

23,164 23

7,259 7

2023

5/16 16/17

178 180

5.79 5.87

,031 1,053

108 108

,139 1,161

87 85

108 108

195 193

944 969

2023

5/16 16/17

,914 7,926

3.58 3.6

,326 28,503

,419 2,506

,745 31,009

,730 20,951

,506 2,550

,236 23,500

,509 7,509

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

181 1

(Metric Tons p

5.91 5

(Thousand M

1,068 1,0

108 1

1,176 1,1

84

108 1

192 1

984 9

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

7,930 7,9

(Metric Tons p

3.63 3

(Thousand M

28,762 29,0

2,550 2,6

31,311 31,6

21,034 21,2

2,640 2,6

23,674 23,9

7,637 7,7

/19 19/20

Hectares)

181 180

per Hectare)

5.96 6

etric Tons)

077 1,080

108 108

185 1,188

84 83

108 107

192 191

993 997

/19 19/20

Hectares)

927 7,925

per Hectare)

3.66 3.69

etric Tons)

018 29,267

640 2,680

658 31,947

240 21,413

680 2,624

920 24,037

738 7,911

20/21 21/

179 1

6.05 6.

1,082 1,0

107 1

1,189 1,1

83

107 1

190 1

999 1,0

20/21 21/

7,920 7,9

3.72 3.

29,461 29,6

2,624 2,6

32,085 32,3

21,461 21,5

2,663 2,6

24,123 24,2

7,962 8,0

Page55

/22 22/23

78 177

09 6.17

84 1,095

07 107

92 1,202

82 80

07 107

89 187

03 1,015

/22 22/23

16 7,908

75 3.78

63 29,863

63 2,652

26 32,515

84 21,750

52 2,588

36 24,338

90 8,176

23/24

179

6.25

1,116

107

1,223

78

107

185

1,038

23/24

7,905

3.81

30,099

2,588

32,687

21,883

2,578

24,461

8,225

Table 48 A

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 49 A

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Africa Total Rice S

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

African Aggregate

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

10,754

1.76

18,908

2,489

21,397

31,402

2,672

34,073

‐12,677

of Countries with

13/14

8,505

1.79

15,202

2,437

17,639

24,985

2,598

27,583

‐9,944

and Net Trade, 201

14/15 15

10,875 11

1.79

19,424 20

2,672 2

22,096 23

31,869 32

2,885 3

34,754 35

‐12,658 ‐12

Individual AGRM

14/15 15

8,634 8

1.82

15,716 16

2,598 2

18,314 19

25,396 26

2,801 3

28,197 29

‐9,883 ‐9

13‐2023

5/16 16/17

,137 11,331

1.82 1.84

,217 20,845

,885 3,110

,102 23,954

,747 33,675

,110 3,238

,856 36,912

,754 ‐12,958

Models – Rice Sup

5/16 16/17

,885 9,068

1.85 1.88

,456 17,048

,801 3,012

,257 20,060

,134 26,856

,012 3,137

,147 29,993

,890 ‐9,933

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

11,534 11,7

(Metric Tons p

1.87

(Thousand M

21,524 22,2

3,238 3,2

24,762 25,5

34,689 36,0

3,269 3,2

37,958 39,3

‐13,196 ‐13,7

pply, Utilization, an

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

9,254 9,4

(Metric Tons p

1.91 1

(Thousand M

17,651 18,2

3,137 3,1

20,787 21,4

27,637 28,7

3,163 3,1

30,800 31,9

‐10,013 ‐10,4

/19 19/20

Hectares)

723 11,917

per Hectare)

1.9 1.93

etric Tons)

236 22,953

269 3,286

504 26,240

013 37,046

286 3,263

300 40,310

795 ‐14,070

nd Net Trade, 2013

/19 19/20

Hectares)

426 9,603

per Hectare)

1.94 1.96

etric Tons)

255 18,862

163 3,176

418 22,038

730 29,544

176 3,149

907 32,693

489 ‐10,655

20/21 21/

12,087 12,2

1.96 1.

23,709 24,4

3,263 3,2

26,973 27,6

38,267 39,4

3,256 3,2

41,523 42,7

‐14,550 ‐15,0

3‐2023

20/21 21/

9,756 9,9

1.99 2.

19,462 20,0

3,149 3,1

22,611 23,2

30,549 31,4

3,138 3,1

33,686 34,6

‐11,076 ‐11,4

Page56

/22 22/23

65 12,453

99 2.02

00 25,194

56 3,287

56 28,481

18 40,432

87 3,313

05 43,745

49 ‐15,264

/22 22/23

16 10,085

02 2.06

76 20,748

38 3,164

14 23,912

90 32,306

64 3,187

54 35,493

40 ‐11,581

23/24

12,604

2.06

25,939

3,313

29,252

41,589

3,307

44,896

‐15,644

23/24

10,217

2.09

21,366

3,187

24,553

33,270

3,177

36,447

‐11,894

Table 50 A

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 51 W

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

African Aggregate

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Western Hemisph

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

of Other Countrie

13/14

2,248

1.65

3,706

52

3,758

6,417

73

6,490

‐2,732

ere Rice Supply, U

13/14

6,415

3.7

23,717

3,462

27,179

22,891

3,546

26,436

742

es Modeled as a Gr

14/15 15

2,240 2

1.66

3,709 3

73

3,782 3

6,473 6

84

6,558 6

‐2,775 ‐2

tilization and Net

14/15 15

6,488 6

3.77

24,427 24

3,546 3

27,973 28

23,067 23

3,737 3

26,804 27

1,169

roup in AGRM – Ri

5/16 16/17

,251 2,264

1.67 1.68

,761 3,797

84 97

,845 3,894

,612 6,819

97 101

,710 6,920

,864 ‐3,025

Trade, 2013‐2023

5/16 16/17

,517 6,535

3.8 3.84

,766 25,072

,737 3,983

,503 29,055

,557 24,045

,983 4,163

,540 28,208

964 847

ce Supply, Utilizat

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

2,280 2,2

(Metric Tons p

1.7 1

(Thousand M

3,874 3,9

101 1

3,975 4,0

7,052 7,2

106 1

7,158 7,3

‐3,183 ‐3,3

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

6,557 6,5

(Metric Tons p

3.87

(Thousand M

25,404 25,6

4,163 4,2

29,567 29,8

24,474 24,8

4,204 4,2

28,678 29,1

889 7

ion and Net Trade

/19 19/20

Hectares)

297 2,314

per Hectare)

1.73 1.77

etric Tons)

981 4,091

106 110

086 4,202

283 7,502

110 114

393 7,616

306 ‐3,415

/19 19/20

Hectares)

581 6,611

per Hectare)

3.9 3.92

etric Tons)

661 25,944

204 4,249

865 30,193

862 25,256

249 4,309

111 29,564

755 629

e, 2013‐2023

20/21 21/

2,331 2,3

1.82 1.

4,248 4,3

114 1

4,362 4,4

7,718 7,9

118 1

7,837 8,0

‐3,475 ‐3,6

20/21 21/

6,630 6,6

3.95 3.

26,210 26,4

4,309 4,3

30,519 30,7

25,516 25,7

4,371 4,3

29,887 30,1

632 6

Page57

/22 22/23

49 2,368

84 1.88

24 4,446

18 122

42 4,568

28 8,125

22 126

50 8,251

08 ‐3,683

/22 22/23

37 6,647

98 4.01

03 26,651

71 4,381

73 31,031

36 26,022

81 4,323

16 30,345

57 686

23/24

2,387

1.92

4,573

126

4,699

8,319

130

8,449

‐3,750

23/24

6,659

4.04

26,873

4,323

31,196

26,133

4,315

30,448

748

Table 52 W

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 53 W

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Western Hemisph

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Western Hemisph

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

ere Aggregate of C

13/14

4,310

4.1

17,675

2,369

20,044

15,115

2,341

17,455

2,589

ere Aggregate of O

13/14

2,105

2.87

6,041

1,093

7,134

7,776

1,205

8,981

‐1,847

Countries with Ind

14/15 15

4,380 4

4.15

18,176 18

2,341 2

20,517 20

15,265 15

2,527 2

17,792 18

2,724 2

Other Countries M

14/15 15

2,108 2

2.97

6,251 6

1,205 1

7,457 7

7,802 8

1,210 1

9,012 9

‐1,556 ‐1

ividual AGRM Mod

5/16 16/17

,406 4,432

4.18 4.21

,437 18,653

,527 2,725

,964 21,379

,519 15,831

,725 2,870

,245 18,701

,719 2,678

odeled as a Group

5/16 16/17

,111 2,104

3 3.05

,329 6,419

,210 1,257

,539 7,677

,037 8,214

,257 1,293

,295 9,507

,755 ‐1,830

dels – Rice Supply,

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

4,455 4,4

(Metric Tons p

4.24 4

(Thousand M

18,880 19,0

2,870 2,8

21,750 21,9

16,085 16,3

2,876 2,8

18,962 19,2

2,789 2,7

p in AGRM – Rice S

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

2,103 2,1

(Metric Tons p

3.1 3

(Thousand M

6,524 6,5

1,293 1,3

7,817 7,9

8,388 8,5

1,328 1,3

9,716 9,8

‐1,899 ‐1,9


/19 19/20

Hectares)

474 4,496

per Hectare)

4.26 4.29

etric Tons)

075 19,279

876 2,896

951 22,175

349 16,566

896 2,921

245 19,486

706 2,689

Supply, Utilization

/19 19/20

Hectares)

107 2,115

per Hectare)

3.13 3.15

etric Tons)

587 6,665

328 1,353

914 8,018

513 8,690

353 1,388

865 10,078

951 ‐2,060

et Trade, 2013‐202

20/21 21/

4,509 4,5

4.31 4.

19,425 19,4

2,921 2,9

22,345 22,4

16,690 16,7

2,955 2,9

19,646 19,7

2,700 2,7

and Net Trade, 20

20/21 21/

2,121 2,1

3.2 3.

6,786 6,9

1,388 1,4

8,174 8,3

8,826 8,9

1,415 1,4

10,241 10,3

‐2,068 ‐2,0

Page58

23

/22 22/23

09 4,510

32 4.34

95 19,569

55 2,943

50 22,512

98 16,969

43 2,862

41 19,832

10 2,680

013‐2023

/22 22/23

28 2,136

25 3.32

08 7,082

15 1,438

23 8,519

38 9,053

38 1,461

75 10,513

52 ‐1,994

23/24

4,515

4.36

19,666

2,862

22,528

16,991

2,837

19,828

2,701

23/24

2,144

3.36

7,208

1,461

8,668

9,142

1,478

10,621

‐1,953

Table 54 A

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 55 A

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Asian Rice Supply,

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Asian Aggregate o

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

142,469

3

427,525

99,955

527,480

415,314

99,141

514,454

13,026

of Countries with In

13/14

138,458

3.02

418,070

99,153

517,223

403,158

98,407

501,565

15,658

et Trade, 2013‐202

14/15 15

142,306 142

3.06

434,814 439

99,141 102

533,955 542

418,741 422

102,688 107

521,429 529

12,526 12

ndividual Models i

14/15 15

138,268 138

3.08

425,256 430

98,407 101

523,663 532

406,432 410

101,951 106

508,383 516

15,280 15

23

5/16 16/17

,701 142,768

3.08 3.11

,863 443,967

,688 107,293

,551 551,260

,438 426,188

,293 111,959

,731 538,147

,820 13,113

n AGRM – Rice Su

5/16 16/17

,647 138,703

3.1 3.13

,231 434,274

,951 106,556

,183 540,830

,109 413,645

,556 111,218

,665 524,863

,518 15,967

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

142,803 142,8

(Metric Tons p

3.13 3

(Thousand M

447,665 452,4

111,959 116,5

559,624 569,0

429,734 433,4

116,589 121,4

546,323 554,9

13,301 14,0


17/18 18/

(Thousand H

138,730 138,7

(Metric Tons p

3.16 3

(Thousand M

437,917 442,6

111,218 115,8

549,135 558,4

417,059 420,6

115,845 120,7

532,904 541,3

16,231 17,0

/19 19/20

Hectares)

837 142,738

per Hectare)

3.17 3.19

etric Tons)

421 455,095

589 121,483

010 576,578

477 436,873

483 125,261

960 562,135

050 14,444

nd Net Trade, 2013

/19 19/20

Hectares)

757 138,651

per Hectare)

3.19 3.21

etric Tons)

620 445,243

845 120,736

465 565,979

635 423,877

736 124,511

371 548,388

094 17,591

20/21 21/

142,722 142,7

3.21 3.

458,492 461,7

125,261 129,0

583,754 590,8

439,741 443,1

129,066 132,3

568,806 575,4

14,947 15,4

3‐2023

20/21 21/

138,628 138,6

3.24 3.

448,590 451,8

124,511 128,3

573,101 580,1

426,621 429,8

128,313 131,5

554,934 561,3

18,167 18,7

Page59

/22 22/23

56 142,596

23 3.25

76 463,836 4

66 132,331

42 596,167 6

03 446,160 4

31 134,385

34 580,545 5

08 15,622

/22 22/23

55 138,488

26 3.28

24 453,835 4

13 131,576

37 585,411 5

18 432,701 4

76 133,626

94 566,326 5

44 19,085

23/24

142,565

3.29

468,409

134,385

602,794

448,984

137,785

586,769

16,024

23/24

138,450

3.31

458,360

133,626

591,985

435,398

137,024

572,423

19,563

Table 56 A

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 57

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Asian Aggregate o

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

European Total Ric

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

of Other Countries

13/14

4,011

2.36

9,455

802

10,257

12,155

734

12,889

‐2,632

ce Supply, Utilizati

13/14

677

3.84

2,601

1,169

3,769

4,125

1,075

5,201

‐1,431

Modeled as a Gro

14/15 15

4,039 4

2.37

9,558 9

734

10,292 10

12,309 12

737

13,046 13

‐2,754 ‐2

ion and Net Trade,

14/15 15

679

3.88

2,637 2

1,075

3,712 3

4,148 4

959

5,107 5

‐1,395 ‐1

up in AGRM – Rice

5/16 16/17

,054 4,064

2.38 2.39

,632 9,693

737 737

,369 10,430

,329 12,542

737 741

,066 13,284

,697 ‐2,854

, 2013‐2023

5/16 16/17

683 686

3.93 3.99

,686 2,736

959 862

,645 3,598

,170 4,208

862 795

,032 5,003

,386 ‐1,405

e Supply, Utilizatio

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

4,072 4,0

(Metric Tons p

2.39

(Thousand M

9,748 9,8

741 7

10,490 10,5

12,675 12,8

744 7

13,419 13,5

‐2,930 ‐3,0

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

688 6

(Metric Tons p

4.05

(Thousand M

2,786 2,8

795 7

3,582 3,5

4,220 4,2

757 7

4,976 4,9

‐1,395 ‐1,3

on and Net Trade, 2

/19 19/20

Hectares)

080 4,087

per Hectare)

2.4 2.41

etric Tons)

801 9,852

744 747

545 10,599

842 12,997

747 750

589 13,747

044 ‐3,148

/19 19/20

Hectares)

691 693

per Hectare)

4.1 4.15

etric Tons)

830 2,874

757 746

586 3,620

239 4,263

746 755

985 5,017

399 ‐1,397

2013‐2023

20/21 21/

4,094 4,1

2.42 2.

9,903 9,9

750 7

10,652 10,7

13,120 13,2

752 7

13,872 14,0

‐3,220 ‐3,3

20/21 21/

695 6

4.2 4.

2,920 2,9

755 7

3,674 3,7

4,284 4,3

771 8

5,055 5,1

‐1,381 ‐1,3

Page60

/22 22/23

01 4,107

43 2.43

52 10,001

52 755

04 10,756

85 13,460

55 759

41 14,219

36 ‐3,462

/22 22/23

97 699

25 4.31

65 3,011

71 811

37 3,822

20 4,358

11 872

31 5,230

95 ‐1,409

23/24

4,114

2.44

10,049

759

10,808

13,585

761

14,347

‐3,539

23/24

699

4.33

3,028

872

3,900

4,394

912

5,306

‐1,406

Table 58

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 59

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

European Aggrega

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

European Aggrega

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

ate of Countries M

13/14

456

4.62

2,104

1,055

3,159

3,389

903

4,291

‐1,132

ate of Other Count

13/14

222

2.24

497

114

611

737

173

909

‐299

odeled Individuall

14/15 15

458

4.67

2,138 2

903

3,041 2

3,410 3

786

4,196 4

‐1,155 ‐1

ries Modeled as a

14/15 15

221

2.25

498

173

671

738

173

911

‐241 ‐

y in AGRM – Rice S

5/16 16/17

461 464

4.74 4.81

,185 2,234

786 689

,971 2,923

,429 3,451

689 619

,118 4,071

,147 ‐1,148

Group in AGRM ‐

5/16 16/17

222 221

2.26 2.27

501 502

173 173

674 676

740 756

173 176

914 932

‐239 ‐257

Supply, Utilization

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

468 4

(Metric Tons p

4.88 4

(Thousand M

2,283 2,3

619 5

2,902 2,9

3,463 3,4

581 5

4,044 4,0

‐1,142 ‐1,1

Rice Supply, Utiliz

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

221 2

(Metric Tons p

2.28 2

(Thousand M

503 5

176 1

679 6

756 7

176 1

933 9

‐253 ‐2

n and Net Trade, 20

/19 19/20

Hectares)

471 473

per Hectare)

4.94 5.01

etric Tons)

326 2,370

581 568

907 2,938

472 3,490

568 576

041 4,066

134 ‐1,128

ation and Net Trad

/19 19/20

Hectares)

220 220

per Hectare)

2.29 2.29

etric Tons)

504 504

176 178

680 682

767 772

178 179

945 951

265 ‐269

013‐2023

20/21 21/

476 4

5.08 5.

2,416 2,4

576 5

2,991 3,0

3,504 3,5

591 6

4,095 4,1

‐1,104 ‐1,0

de, 2013‐2023

20/21 21/

219 2

2.3 2.

504 5

179 1

683 6

780 8

180 1

960 9

‐277 ‐3

Page61

/22 22/23

78 481

14 5.21

61 2,506

91 627

52 3,133

17 3,534

27 684

45 4,218

92 ‐1,085

/22 22/23

19 218

31 2.31

04 505

80 184

84 688

03 825

84 187

86 1,012

02 ‐324

23/24

481

5.25

2,523

684

3,208

3,546

721

4,267

‐1,059

23/24

218

2.32

505

187

692

848

191

1,039

‐347

Table 60 O

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 61 O

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Oceania Total Rice

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

Oceania Aggregate

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade


13/14

102

7.02

720

125

845

639

93

731

114

e of Countries Mod

13/14

99

7.07

702

120

822

362

87

449

373

on and Net Trade, 2

14/15 15

109

7.01

765

93

858

640

93

734

124

deled individually

14/15 15

106

7.05

750

87

838

352

88

439

398

2013‐2023

5/16 16/17

115 116

7 7

803 813

93 121

897 934

656 666

121 130

777 796

120 138

in AGRM – Rice Su

5/16 16/17

112 114

7.04 7.03

789 800

88 115

877 915

355 353

115 124

470 477

407 438

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

117 1

(Metric Tons p

7.01 7

(Thousand M

821 8

130 1

950 9

682 6

137 1

819 8

131 1


17/18 18/

(Thousand H

115 1

(Metric Tons p

7.04 7

(Thousand M

807 8

124 1

931 9

355 3

131 1

486 4

445 4

/19 19/20

Hectares)

117 117

per Hectare)

7.02 7.02

etric Tons)

823 823

137 140

960 963

699 713

140 133

839 846

121 117

and Net Trade, 201

/19 19/20

Hectares)

115 115

per Hectare)

7.05 7.05

etric Tons)

810 809

131 134

940 943

359 360

134 126

493 487

447 456

20/21 21/

117 1

7.04 7.

822 8

133 1

955 9

727 7

138 1

865 8

90

13‐2023

20/21 21/

114 1

7.07 7

808 8

126 1

934 9

362 3

131 1

493 4

441 4

Page62

/22 22/23

17 117

06 7.08

29 831

38 131

67 963

41 758

31 122

72 881

95 82

/22 22/23

15 115

7.1 7.11

16 817

31 124

47 942

63 368

24 115

87 483

59 458

23/24

117

7.08

831

122

954

777

144

921

33

23/24

115

7.11

817

115

932

375

136

511

421

Table 62 O

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 63 W

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Residua

Oceania Aggregate

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

World Total Rice S

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

al

e of Other Countri

13/14

3

5.45

18

5

23

277

5

282

‐259

Supply, Utilization

13/14

160,418

2.95

473,470

107,200

580,669

474,370

106,526

580,896

‐227

es Modeled as a G

14/15 15

3

5.47

15

5

20

289

6

294

‐274 ‐

and Net Trade, 20

14/15 15

160,457 161

3

482,068 488

106,526 110

588,594 598

478,466 483

110,363 115

588,829 598

‐235 ‐

Group in AGRM – R

5/16 16/17

3 2

5.48 5.51

14 14

6 6

19 20

301 314

6 6

307 320

‐287 ‐300

013‐2023

5/16 16/17

,152 161,436

3.03 3.06

,336 493,434

,363 115,368

,698 608,802

,566 488,781

,368 120,285

,935 609,066

‐236 ‐264

Rice Supply, Utiliza

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

2

(Metric Tons p

5.53 5

(Thousand M

14

6

20

327 3

6

333 3

‐313 ‐3

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

161,700 161,9

(Metric Tons p

3.08 3

(Thousand M

498,201 503,9

120,285 124,9

618,486 628,9

493,799 499,2

124,955 129,9

618,755 629,1

‐269 ‐2

ation, and Net Trad

/19 19/20

Hectares)

2 2

per Hectare)

5.56 5.58

etric Tons)

14 14

6 7

20 20

340 352

7 7

346 359

326 ‐339

/19 19/20

Hectares)

949 162,076

per Hectare)

3.11 3.13

etric Tons)

971 507,689

955 129,905

926 637,594

290 504,151

905 133,721

195 637,871

268 ‐277

de, 2013‐2023

20/21 21/

2

5.58 5

14

7

21

365 3

7

372 3

‐352 ‐3

20/21 21/

162,251 162,4

3.16 3.

512,154 516,3

133,721 137,6

645,874 653,9

508,534 513,3

137,602 140,9

646,136 654,2

‐262 ‐2

Page63

/22 22/23

2 2

5.6 5.62

14 14

7 7

21 21

78 390

7 7

85 397

64 ‐376

/22 22/23

72 162,511

18 3.2

74 519,523 5

02 140,941

75 660,464 6

17 517,731 5

41 143,015

58 660,746 6

83 ‐282

23/24

2

5.63

14

7

21

402

8

410

‐388

23/24

162,644

3.23

525,080

143,015

668,095

521,877

146,464

668,341

‐245

Table 64 W

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

Table 65 W

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

World Aggregate o

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

World Aggregate o

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

of Countries Mode

13/14

151,828

2.99

453,753

105,134

558,887

447,008

104,336

551,344

7,543

of Other Countries

13/14

8,589

2.3

19,717

2,066

21,782

27,361

2,190

29,552

‐7,769

eled individually in

14/15 15

151,847 152

3.04

462,037 468

104,336 108

566,372 576

450,855 455

108,153 113

559,007 568

7,365 7

s Modeled as a Gro

14/15 15

8,611 8

2.33

20,031 20

2,190 2

22,221 22

27,611 28

2,210 2

29,821 30

‐7,600 ‐7

n AGRM – Rice Sup

5/16 16/17

,512 152,781

3.07 3.1

,099 473,008

,153 113,097

,251 586,106

,547 460,136

,097 117,968

,644 578,104

,607 8,002

oup in AGRM – Ric

5/16 16/17

,640 8,655

2.34 2.36

,237 20,425

,210 2,271

,447 22,696

,020 28,645

,271 2,317

,290 30,962

,843 ‐8,266


17/18 18/

(Thousand H

153,021 153,2

(Metric Tons p

3.12 3

(Thousand M

477,538 483,0

117,968 122,5

595,505 605,6

464,600 469,5

122,596 127,5

587,196 597,0

8,310 8,6


17/18 18/

(Thousand H

8,678 8,7

(Metric Tons p

2.38

(Thousand M

20,663 20,8

2,317 2,3

22,980 23,2

29,199 29,7

2,359 2,3

31,559 32,1

‐8,578 ‐8,8


/19 19/20

Hectares)

243 153,338

per Hectare)

3.15 3.17

etric Tons)

085 486,562

596 127,511

681 614,073

546 473,837

511 131,283

057 605,120

624 8,953

on and Net Trade,

/19 19/20

Hectares)

706 8,737

per Hectare)

2.4 2.42

etric Tons)

886 21,127

359 2,394

245 23,521

743 30,314

394 2,438

137 32,751

892 ‐9,231

‐2023

20/21 21/

153,484 153,6

3.2 3.

490,700 494,6

131,283 135,1

621,983 629,8

477,725 481,9

135,129 138,4

612,854 620,4

9,129 9,3

2013‐2023

20/21 21/

8,767 8,7

2.45 2.

21,454 21,7

2,438 2,4

23,891 24,1

30,809 31,3

2,473 2,5

33,282 33,8

‐9,390 ‐9,6

Page64

/22 22/23

73 153,679

22 3.24

72 497,475 5

29 138,435

00 635,910 6

86 485,878 4

35 140,475

20 626,353 6

80 9,557

/22 22/23

99 8,832

47 2.5

02 22,047

73 2,507

75 24,554

31 31,853

07 2,541

38 34,393

63 ‐9,839

23/24

153,778

3.27

502,732

140,475

643,207

489,580

143,895

633,475

9,731

23/24

8,866

2.52

22,348

2,541

24,889

32,297

2,569

34,865

‐9,977

Table 66

Area Ha

Yield

Product

Beginnin

Domes

Consum

Ending S

Domes

Net Tra

ECOWAS Total Ric

rvested

ion

ng Stocks

stic Supply

ption

Stocks

stic Use

ade

ce Supply, Utilizatio

13/14

6,336

1.36

8,607

1,876

10,483

16,889

1,681

16,889

‐6,407

on and Net Trade,

14/15 15

6,484 6

1.41

9,159 9

1,681 1

10,840 11

17,284 17

1,680 1

17,284 17

‐6,444 ‐6

2013‐2023

5/16 16/17

,715 6,879

1.46 1.5

,781 10,305

,680 1,716

,460 12,021

,798 18,351

,716 1,754

,798 18,351

,338 ‐6,330

17/18 18/

(Thousand H

7,051 7,2

(Metric Tons p

1.54 1

(Thousand M

10,863 11,3

1,754 1,7

12,618 13,1

18,953 19,7

1,793 1,8

18,953 21,6

‐6,335 ‐8,4

/19 19/20

Hectares)

203 7,360

per Hectare)

1.58 1.62

etric Tons)

399 11,944

793 1,850

193 13,794

772 20,412

850 1,886

621 22,298

429 ‐8,504

20/21 21/

7,493 7,6

1.66 1

12,442 12,9

1,886 1,9

14,327 14,8

21,146 21,8

1,924 1,9

23,070 23,8

‐8,742 ‐8,9

Page65

/22 22/23

33 7,784

1.7 1.74

56 13,541

24 1,965

80 15,505

77 22,516

65 1,992

42 24,508

62 ‐9,003

23/24

7,890

1.78

14,021

1,992

16,014

23,215

2,024

25,239

‐9,225

Table 67

Argentin

Australi

Banglad

Brazil

Brunei

Cambo

Camero

People'

Colomb

Egypt

Europe

Ghana

Guinea

India

Indones

Iran

Iraq

Cote d'I

Japan

Kenya

Lao PD

Liberia

Malaysi

Mali

Mexico

Mozam

Myanm

Nigeria

Pakista

Philippi

Projected Rice Mil

na

ia

desh

Darussalam

dia

oon

's Republic of China

bia

an Union-27

sia

Ivoire

DR

ia

bique

ar (Burma)

an

nes

lled Yields Per Hec

13/14

4.20

7.07

2.92

3.39

0.20

1.65

0.90

4.67

2.99

6.48

4.62

1.69

1.27

2.37

3.10

2.81

2.17

1.23

4.80

1.80

1.77

0.78

2.58

2.19

3.74

0.94

1.69

1.16

2.34

2.47

ctare for the World

14/15 15

4.34

7.05

2.92

3.40

0.20

1.70

0.97

4.80

3.00

6.69

4.67

1.72

1.34

2.45

3.14

2.83

2.17

1.33

4.81

1.82

1.80

0.79

2.58

2.23

3.71

0.95

1.71

1.22

2.36

2.48

d and Selected Cou

5/16 16/17

4.49 4.56

7.04 7.03

2.92 2.94

3.42 3.43

0.20 0.20

1.78 1.87

1.07 1.08

4.85 4.88

3.01 3.02

6.77 6.80

4.74 4.81

1.75 1.80

1.40 1.46

2.48 2.51

3.17 3.21

2.86 2.88

2.19 2.20

1.43 1.47

4.81 4.80

1.83 1.84

1.83 1.87

0.80 0.80

2.59 2.62

2.28 2.35

3.77 3.81

0.97 0.99

1.73 1.74

1.24 1.27

2.36 2.36

2.51 2.56

untries, 2013‐2023

17/18 18/

(Metric Tons p

4.63 4

7.04 7

2.97 3

3.46 3

0.20 0

1.91 2

1.08 1

4.92 4

3.04 3

6.83 6

4.88 4

1.85 1

1.50 1

2.54 2

3.26 3

2.91 2

2.22 2

1.51 1

4.81 4

1.84 1

1.93 1

0.81 0

2.64 2

2.41 2

3.78 3

1.01 1

1.76 1

1.31 1

2.36 2

2.62 2

/19 19/20

per Hectare)

4.67 4.71

7.05 7.05

3.00 3.02

3.48 3.49

0.20 0.20

2.00 2.06

1.09 1.08

4.95 4.99

3.05 3.07

6.86 6.88

4.94 5.01

1.89 1.94

1.54 1.58

2.58 2.60

3.29 3.31

2.93 2.96

2.23 2.24

1.55 1.59

4.80 4.80

1.85 1.86

1.98 2.02

0.82 0.83

2.66 2.69

2.47 2.54

3.73 3.75

1.03 1.04

1.78 1.80

1.34 1.37

2.37 2.37

2.67 2.71

20/21 21/

4.76 4.

7.07 7.

3.05 3.

3.50 3.

0.20 0.

2.12 2.

1.08 1.

5.01 5.

3.08 3.

6.94 7.

5.08 5.

1.96 2.

1.62 1.

2.63 2.

3.34 3.

2.98 3.

2.25 2.

1.63 1.

4.80 4.

1.86 1.

2.07 2.

0.84 0.

2.73 2.

2.59 2.

3.73 3.

1.05 1.

1.81 1.

1.41 1.

2.37 2.

2.77 2.

Page66

/22 22/23

.80 4.85

.10 7.11

.08 3.09

.51 3.52

.20 0.20

.17 2.23

.09 1.09

.04 5.07

.10 3.11

.00 7.06

.14 5.21

.00 2.04

.65 1.69

.66 2.67

.36 3.37

.01 3.03

.27 2.28

.67 1.71

.80 4.79

.87 1.87

.11 2.15

.85 0.85

.75 2.79

.65 2.71

.73 3.77

.07 1.09

.83 1.85

.44 1.48

.37 2.38

.83 2.88

23/24

4.89

7.11

3.12

3.53

0.20

2.27

1.09

5.10

3.12

7.12

5.25

2.08

1.72

2.74

3.39

3.06

2.29

1.75

4.79

1.87

2.17

0.86

2.82

2.77

3.79

1.11

1.87

1.51

2.39

2.93

Table 67

Senega

Sierra L

South K

Taiwan

Tanzan

Thailan

Turkey

United S

Urugua

Vietnam

Rest of

World

Table 68

Argent

Austra

Bangla

Brazil

Brunei

Cambo

Camer

Canad

People

Colom

Cote d

Egypt

Europe

Ghana

7 Projected Rice M

al

Leone

Korea

nia

d

States

ay

m

World

Projected Per Cap

tina

alia

adesh

i Darussalam

odia

roon

a

e's Republic of Chin

bia

d'Ivoire

ean Union‐27

a

Milled Yields Per He

3.38

1.25

5.02

4.14

1.04

1.88

4.89

6.02

5.63

3.54

2.30

2.95

ita Rice Utilization

13/14

10.4

15.5

221.4

39.9

115.1

251.5

34

10.2

na 98.9

32

92.1

49.8

6.7

35.7

ectare for the Wor

3.57

1.28

5.02

4.14

1.05

1.88

4.93

6.05

5.74

3.55

2.33

3.00

n for the World and

14/15 15

10.4

14.9

222.2 2

39.1

116.2 1

251.7

33.1

10.6

98.3

32.2

93

48.8

6.7

36.4

ld and Selected Co

3.76 3.97

1.32 1.37

5.03 5.04

4.14 4.14

1.07 1.09

1.90 1.92

4.99 5.05

6.08 6.11

5.79 5.87

3.58 3.60

2.34 2.36

3.03 3.06

d Selected Countri

5/16 16/17

10.4 10.4

14.8 14.6

24.4 225.2

39 39.1

17.5 117.7

252 252.3

33.5 33.4

11.7 12

98 97.5

32.9 34.6

91.5 91.2

48.4 48.6

6.7 6.7

37.2 38

ountries, 2013‐202

4.19 4

1.41 1

5.05 5

4.14 4

1.11 1

1.92 1

5.11 5

6.13 6

5.91 5

3.63 3

2.38 2

3.08 3

es, 2013‐2023

17/18 18/

(Kilogra

10.4 1

14.5 1

226.8 22

39 3

118.8 12

252.8 2

33.8 3

12.2 1

97.1 9

35.2 3

91.9 9

48.5 4

6.7

39.1 4

3, continued

4.42 4.62

1.45 1.50

5.05 5.05

4.15 4.15

1.13 1.15

1.94 1.96

5.17 5.23

6.15 6.17

5.96 6.00

3.66 3.69

2.40 2.42

3.11 3.13

/19 19/20

ams)

10.4 10.4

14.5 14.3

28.2 228.2

39.1 39.1

21.2 121.4

253 253.2

33.7 34.1

12.4 12.6

96.7 96.5

35.7 35.5

93.1 92.9

48.5 48.1

6.7 6.8

41.4 42.5

4.82 5.

1.54 1.

5.05 5.

4.16 4.

1.17 1.

1.97 1.

5.29 5.

6.20 6.

6.05 6.

3.72 3.

2.45 2.

3.16 3.

20/21 21/

10.4 10

14.2 14

228.1 228

39.1 39

122.8 123

254.2 255

35 34

12.7 12

96 95

35.1 34

93.4 95

48.1 47

6.8 6

43.6 44

Page67

.03 5.25

.59 1.64

.05 5.05

.18 4.21

.19 1.21

.97 1.97

.34 5.40

.23 6.25

.09 6.17

.75 3.78

.47 2.50

.18 3.20

/22 22/23

0.4 10.4

4.1 14.1

8.2 228.4

9.2 39.1

3.6 124.9

5.2 256.1

4.7 34.8

2.8 12.9

5.9 95.6

4.8 34.7

5.2 94.5

7.7 47.3

6.8 6.8

4.5 45.3

5.43

1.69

5.05

4.24

1.23

1.98

5.46

6.28

6.25

3.81

2.52

3.23

23/24

10.4

14.2

228.8

39.2

125.8

256.9

33.9

13.1

95.4

34.5

95.2

47.9

6.8

46.4

Table 68

Guinea

China ‐

India

Indone

Iran

Iraq

Japan

Kenya

Lao PD

Liberia

Malays

Mali

Mexico

Mozam

Myanm

Nigeria

Pakista

Philipp

Saudi A

Senega

Sierra

Singap

South

South

Taiwan

Tanzan

Thailan

Turkey

United

Urugua

Vietna

Rest of

World

8 Projected Per Ca

a

‐ Hong Kong

esia

DR

a

sia

o

mbique

mar (Burma)

a

an

pines

Arabia

al

Leone

pore

Africa

Korea

n

nia

nd

y

d States

ay

m

f World

pita Rice Utilizatio

132.1

60.8

75.9

160.1

43.6

44.7

64.1

11.3

226.5

97.1

94.2

100.1

7.1

28.9

165.4

34.9

14.4

130.9

43.9

111.9

184

66.8

18.4

92.1

55.4

24.5

159.7

10.4

12.1

26.7

225.4

22.6

66

on, World and Sele

132.9 1

61.2

76.2

159.4 1

43.8

44.2

63.7

11.4

226.9 2

100 1

94.2

101.4 1

7.2

26.7

164.1

34.1

14.8

130.7 1

44.5

111.1 1

185.8 1

65.9

18.1

90.9

54.9

25.4

158.4

10.4

12.5

25.3

224.2

22.5

65.8

ected Countries, 20

31.6 132.2

61.2 61.6

76.6 77

59.5 158.8

43.6 44.2

44.8 45.3

62.8 62.1

12.5 12.7

27.2 228.5

00.8 104.7

93.8 94.5

01.2 103

7.3 7.3

27.6 27.4

163 161.7

34.2 34

15 15.2

29.5 129

45.2 45.9

11.6 112.3

87.4 190.2

66.3 65.5

18.2 18.1

91.2 90.4

54.4 54

25.8 25.9

158 157.3

10.4 10.3

12.7 12.9

25.5 24.7

222 222.4

22.6 22.8

65.8 65.8

013‐2023, continue

132.7 1

61.8 6

77.5 7

158.5 15

44.2 4

45.9 4

61.8 6

13.2 1

228.8 22

106.3 1

94.6 9

104.1 10

7.4

27.5 2

161.4 16

33.9 3

15.2 1

128 12

46.3 4

112.8 11

191.3 19

64.8

18.2 1

90.1 8

53.2 5

26.2 2

157.1 15

10.4 1

13.2 1

24.4 2

221.5 22

23 2

65.7 6

ed

134 134.7

62.1 62.3

77.7 78.1

58.7 158.4

44.5 44.8

46.2 46.6

61.6 61.2

14.3 15

29.4 228.9

109 109.5

94.7 95.1

06.3 107.6

7.5 7.6

28.5 28.6

62.1 162.3

34.4 34.5

15.3 15.4

27.6 127

46.6 47

13.2 113.5

93.7 196.1

64 63.2

18.4 18.4

89.4 88.7

52.5 52.2

26.8 27

57.2 157.1

10.5 10.2

13.4 13.7

24.3 24

21.9 222.1

23.1 23.3

65.8 65.8

135.8 1

62.6 62

78.5 78

158.2 157

44.6 44

46.7 46

60.9 60

15.7 16

228.8 2

110.8 112

95.3 95

108.6 109

7.6 7

29.7 30

162.9 162

34.8

15.3 15

126.7 1

47.2 47

113.8 1

198.4 201

62.4 61

18.5 18

87.9 87

51.9 51

27.4

157.3 157

10.1 10

13.7 13

23.8 23

221.1 2

23.4 23

65.7 65

Page68

37 136.8

2.8 63

8.8 79.1

7.9 157.7

4.9 45.1

6.9 47.1

0.8 60.6

6.1 16.3

30 229.9

2.1 111.5

5.6 95.7

9.3 110.6

7.7 7.7

0.5 31.7

2.6 161.7

35 35.1

5.4 15.4

26 125.5

7.5 47.7

14 114.2

1.1 202.5

1.5 60.7

8.9 18.7

7.7 87.5

1.6 51.3

28 28.3

7.6 157.6

0.2 10.2

3.6 13.8

3.4 22.8

21 221.3

3.6 38

5.7 65.7

137.3

64.4

79.3

157.3

45

47.2

60.1

16.5

231.5

113.6

95.8

111.7

7.7

32

162.7

35.1

15.4

124.9

48

114.4

204.7

61.9

19.2

86.7

51

28.5

157.8

10.1

13.4

22.2

221.5

23.8

65.6

Est

Charts

90th P

Proba

imate

s of Sele

ercentile

ble Distr

s of th

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es, the S

ribution

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Stochasti

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chastic

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ic Mean

Outcome

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es from R

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Showing

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g the 10t

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age69

is

th and

Figure 17 St

Figure 18 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ection of Long

ection of U.S. L

Grain Rice Int

Long Grain Ric

ernational Ref

e FOB Export P

ference Price

Price.

Page70

Figure 19 St

Figure 20 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ection Compar

ection of Medi

risons of Intern

ium Grain Rice

national Refer

e Price, FOB Ca

rence and U.S.

alifornia.

Long Grain Rice Export Price

Page71

es.

Figure 21 St

Figure 22 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ection of U.S. S

ection of U.S. L

Season Averag

Long Grain Ave

ge All Rice Farm

erage Farm Pri

m Price.

ice.

Page72

Figure 23 St

Figure 24 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ection of U.S. M

ection of Worl

Medium Grain

d Rice Net Tra

n Average Farm

de.

m Price.

Page73

Figure 25 St

Figure 26 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ection of Worl

ection of Worl

d Rice Area Ha

d Rice Milled P

arvested.

Production.

Page74

Figure 27 St

Figure 28 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ection of Worl

ection of Worl

d Total Rice Co

d Rice Ending

onsumption.

Stocks.

Page75

Figure 29 St

Figure 30 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ections of Thai

ection of Thaila

iland Net Rice

and Rice Endin

Exports.

ng Stocks.

Page76

Figure 31 St

Figure 32 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ections of Viet

ections of India

nam Net Rice

a Net Rice Exp

Exports.

ports.

Page77

Figure 33 St

Figure 34 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ection of India

ections of U.S.

Rice Ending St

Net Rice Expo

tocks.

orts

Page78

Figure 35 St

Figure 36 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ections of Phili

ections of Indo

ippine Net Rice

onesia Net Rice

e Imports.

e Imports.

Page79

Figure 37 St

Figure 38 St

tochastic Proje

tochastic Proje

ections of Peop

ections of Nige

ple’s Republic

eria Net Rice Im

of China Net R

mports.

Rice Imports.

Page80

Figure 39 St

tochastic Proje

ections of ECO

WAS‐15 Net RRice Imports.

Page81

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