Workshop PRIXNET – 11/12 Mars 2003 1 CONGESTION PRICING IN AIR TRANSPORTATION Karine Deschinkel...
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Transcript of Workshop PRIXNET – 11/12 Mars 2003 1 CONGESTION PRICING IN AIR TRANSPORTATION Karine Deschinkel...
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CONGESTION PRICING IN AIR TRANSPORTATION
Karine Deschinkel
Laboratoire PRiSM – Université de Versailles
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OUTLINE
Problem
Assignment theory
Congestion pricing
Strategy adopted
Numerical experiment
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03 Problem (1)
• Airspace under control is divided into sectors.
• A sector is a volume of space defined by a floor, a ceiling and vertical borders
• Sectors are assigned to controllers that ensure safety of the flights.
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Growth of air traffic demand (between 5 % and 12 % since 1985)
Problem (2)
Congestion of airports and sectors (8 % of delays > 15 mn).
High controller workload.
How to reduce congestion?
• To modify the structure of airspace (by increasing the number of runways and sectors)but : increase of coordination workload and additionnal costs.
• To perform flow controlBy finding a slot allocation (Ground delay programs)By finding a route-slot allocation (Works of Oussedick and Delahaye)
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03 Problem (3)
Proposed approach
Context• A target route-slot allocation is supposed to be known and calculated so that air traffic congestion is reduced.
• Companies choose, for each flight, an option An option : a combination of a departure time and a route.
Objective is• Find a pricing policy to reach this target allocation assign fees to each option airline companies modify the departure times and the routes of their flights.
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Choices of departures times and routes by airlines =
Distribution of the users in the network
Wardrop’s principles
• System approach (-> system equilibrium)routes and departure time are assigned to each user by a central organism• User approach (-> user equilibrium)users are free to choose their route and their departure time
Traffic assignment models
• Deterministic assignment Transportation costs supposed to be known• Stochastic assignmentUncertainties in the costs stochastic model
Traffic assignment theory (1)
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- Airport charges
currently research
f(origin,destination,service,weight,…) f(…, departure time)=
- Route charges = f(distance, weight, unit rate) f(route, departure time)
Overview of congestion pricing in air transportation (1)
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• Marginal cost pricingTax = marginal social cost – marginal private cost
• Bi-level optimisation
Leader : MinU F(u, v(u)) s. to G(u,v(u)) 0 (u: prices)
Users : MinV f(u,v(u)) s. to g(u,v(u)) 0 (v: flows)
• Queuing model
• Priority pricing
• Peak pricing
• Auctions
Overview of congestion pricing in air transportation (2)
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How to compute prices ?
Model formulation : to develop a model describing the relation between fees charged to aircraft and the choices of routes and takeoff time
Identification problem : to estimate the parameters of the model by using statistics of observed traffic flows
Optimization problem : to minimize the difference, in terms of takeoff time and route, between the target assignment and the assignment resulting from fees
Simulation : to evaluate the impact of pricing on congestion
Strategy (1)
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Model Formulation (1)
Structure of the model
Price model foran option
Airline choicemodel
Prices ofsectors
(PS)
Prices ofoptions
(PO)
Delay and flying costs (C)
Utilities ofoptions
(U)
Expected numberof flights (NE)
List of sectors crossed by a route Scheduled flights (NP)
PO=A PS U=C+PO
PS : price of sector k during time period n (PS(k,n))Option : a route and a takeoff period
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Model Formulation (2)
Model of airline choices
Logit model (probabilistic discrete choice model for stochastic traffic assignment) Utility of an option (o) for a flight planned on period u: U(o,u) = C(o,u) + PO(o)
C(o,u) : cost of the option :flying cost : depends only on odelay cost : depends on the difference between the scheduled
take off period u and the take off period of the option
NE(o) = NP(u) exp(- U(o,u)) Route 1 Route 2
exp(- U(q,v))u
q v
utime
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Criterion
Min J = ( NO(option) - NE(option)) 2
, , Origin- Destination option pair (OD)
Identification Problem
Observed number of flights (NO)
CriterionExpected number
of flights (NE)Model
Delay and flying costs (C)
Parameters structuring C:o=(i,j) : option (route i, take-off period j)u : take-off period plannedd(i) : duration of the flights on route i cms = cost of ground delay (euros/mn)
C(o,u) = cms (d(i) + (i)) + cms (j-u)
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Criterion
Min J = ( ND(option) - NE(option)) 2
0PS PMAX OD option
CriterionExpected numberof flights (NE)
Desired number of flights (ND)
Model
Prices of sectors (PS)
Optimization Problem (1)
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Optimization Problem (2)
First strategy :To set the price of each sector at each period independently of other prices
continuous optimization
• Method : gradient’s method , simulated annealing• Disadvantage : price table not readable
Second strategy :To limit the number of prices (structure by levels : low, high and medium price)To assign a price level to each sector at each time period
discrete optimization
• Method : gradient algorithm to compute new prices + simulated annealing to find an optimal assignment
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Model of simulationsorting random values with the discrete choice model
Sector Capacity CS(k,n)
Prices of sectors (PS)
Workload = W(k,n) W(k,n)=pI I(k,n) + pO O(k,n) + pM M(k,n)
Congestion indicators Q1= number of sectorperiod saturated
Q1= W(k,n)- CS(k,n)) k n
Q2= total excess load
Q2= W(k,n)- CS(k,n))W(k,n)- CS(k,n)) k n
Input volume+ Output volume + Number of aircraft
Simulation
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NETWORK• 52 Origin-Destination pairs between airports : Bordeaux, Lille, Strasbourg, Rennes,Marseille, Paris Orly, Lyon, Toulouse• 35 sectors
DEMAND• Time horizon : 1 traffic day = 6h00 - 22h15 65 periods of 15 minutes• 433 planned flights
TARGET• target constructed manually reduction of congestion
Numerical experiments
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0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
3,00
3,50
4,00
(Sector, period)
Cap
acit
y o
verl
oadBefore pricing
After pricing
Simulation results
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Conclusion and Perspectives
A simple assignment model for air traffic is proposed. It takes into account dynamic sector prices.
A formulation of 2 problems To identify parameters of the model To get to the desired number of flight at each period and for each route
Solution of the optimization problem by gradient and simulated annealing algorithms
Simulation of air traffic with pricing policy : Significant reduction of congestion
Perspectives Improvement of the optimization process (simulated annealing, tabu search) Direct minimization of congestion (no desired number of flights) Modeling of the traffic which does not follow timetables Calibration of the model on real life data
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