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Transcript of Working in collaboration with Hinkley Point C Nuclear New Build Project Strategic Options Appraisal...
Working in collaboration with
Hinkley Point C Nuclear New Build Project
Strategic Options Appraisal of Transport Proposals in Bridgwater
Community Scrutiny Committee
27th February 2012
Working in collaboration with
• Welcome
• Health & Safety
• Overview of Community Scrutiny Process
• Why We Are Here?...
Chairman’s Introduction – Cllr Julian Taylor
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• Meeting on 10th August 2011 debated the latest transport impacts and transport mitigation proposals.
• CSC resolved that further work was required and if not forthcoming by EDF Energy, should be funded and carried out by Councils.
• Executive Committee meeting on 24th August 2011 set out the requirements for a Study and approved funding.
• A detailed brief was prepared and agreed on 14th September 2011.
• Councils instructed Arup and JMP to undertake technical work.
• On the 31 October 2011, subsequent to the commissioning of the Study, EDF Energy submitted their Hinkley Point C Development Consent Order Application (HPC DCO Application) to the IPC.
Why Are We Here?
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a) Background and Re-cap of the Project Brief – Doug Bamsey
b) Introduction to the Study and Study Team – Peter Hulson
• Options Considered & Details – Gary Davies
• Traffic Modelling – Alyn Jones
• Traffic Capacity Assessment – Steve Hall
• Economic Implications for Bridgwater – Christopher Tunnell
• Transport Options Appraisal – Steve Hall
c) Next Steps & Way Forward – SDC / SCC
d) Question and Answer Session – Plenary
e) Summary and Committee Resolution – Chairman
Overview
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• Part of attempt to shape the Development Consent Order for HPC.
• Exasperation at lack of willingness to provide full and comprehensive transport options assessment.
• Dissatisfaction with rigour of EDF Energy’s previous ‘Bypass Study’.
• Lack of understanding for how proposals fit with existing plans and strategies.
• Pro-growth area but seeking to deliver transformational change.
• Utilise growth and investment to realise tangible local benefits.
• Not just about highways infrastructure.
• Sustainable, integrated approach required.
• Generate evidence to inform Local Impact Report.
Background
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• Strategic Options Appraisal and comparative analysis.
• Comparison of options for Bridgwater Northern Bypass and EDF Energy’s proposals for highway/junction improvements.
• Assessment in accordance with NATA / WebTAG guidance.
• Has socio-economic assessment at the core, and also focus on:
• Deliverability;
• Safety;
• Transport economics and wider socio-economic impacts;
• Impacts on key towns and meeting wider objectives e.g. Bridgwater Vision (place shaping);
• Impacts on economic performance – incl. Businesses (congestion / delay); and
• Environmental and quality of life factors.
Project Brief
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• Complex study requiring multiple inputs and assessment
• High level comparative analysis of the benefits / disbenefits associated with a Bridgwater Northern Bypass as against the on-line improvements proposed by EDF
• Overview of team involved
• HPC Inquiry (1989)
• EDF’s proposals through from Stage 1 to Stage 2b
• Councils’ Consultation Responses
• Community Consultation Responses
• JMP Interim Assessment – June 2011
• Existing national, county and local policy
Introduction to the Study
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• Assumptions underpinning study:
• relates to EDF’s ‘pre-DCO’ highways mitigation proposals;
• utilises traffic model from August 2011;
• desk-based analysis, utilising existing data;
• informed by traffic assessments carried out by SCC;
• outlines assessment of impacts at 2016, and 2021;
• provides high level design for a bypass;
• provides high level cost estimates for bypass and online schemes; and
• does not include flood risk assessment.
Introduction to the Study
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Options Considered
• EDF’s Online Mitigation Proposals
• Bridgwater Northern Bypass
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EDF’s Online Mitigation Proposals
• Pre-DCO submission proposals
• 9 separate measures, including:
•New Cannington Bypass
•Capacity enhancements at 8 individual junctions
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EDF’s Online Mitigation Proposals – Construction Issues
• Package of distinct measures
• Small-scale, minimal time to authorise and
construct
• Measures could be ‘phased’ to suit the HPC
varying traffic demands.
• Likely to cause some disruption to Bridgwater
during the works:
• Increased congestion
• Potential impact upon businesses
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Bridgwater Northern Bypass
Routes Considered• Dunball Rdbt
connection rejected:• Dunball Wharf• Major cost penalty
• North of Cannington connection rejected:• Severn Estuary SPA,
SAC, SSSI and Ramsar site.
• More environmentally damaging.
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Northern Bridgwater Bypass – Construction Issues
• 900,000 m3 of imported fill
• 47 weeks of HGV traffic to deliver fill
material (if HGV movements
restricted to 290 per day – consistent
with Site Prep works).
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Northern Bridgwater Bypass – Construction Issues
• 4½ - 5 year scheme delivery phase.
• Earliest opening date of 2017 – this is beyond
the HPC construction traffic peak (2016).
• No HPC construction traffic mitigation.
• Construction would be in parallel with HPC –
further adding to the construction traffic
problems
• Massive increases on traffic congestion
• Potential significant impact upon
businesses, tourism, etc
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Traffic Modelling
• August 2011 Paramics model taken as the basis for modelling.
• Model year 2016 (pre bypass construction year) and 2021 (first operational year used in the assessment)
• Model scenarios: The traffic models used for this appraisal include:
• 2016 baseline (no HPC development)
• 2016 baseline + HPC + 2016 Travel Plan (P & R, Buses, freight management) + online mitigation (EDF proposals)+ Cannington Bypass
• 2016 baseline + HPC + Travel Plan + Bridgwater Bypass + Cannington Bypass
• 2021 baseline (no HPC development)
•2021 baseline + HPC + 2021 Travel Plan + online mitigation (EDF proposals) + Cannington Bypass
• 2021 baseline + HPC + 2021 Travel Plan + Bridgwater Bypass + Cannington Bypass.
• The baseline models include the committed developments. The models are for 11hours each day (four hours morning and seven hours afternoon).
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Traffic Capacity Assessment
Link 1: A38 Bristol Road
Link 2: A39 Bath Road
Link 3: The Clink
Link 5: A39 Cannington
Link 4: A39 Quantock Road
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Implications of Congestion
• Most arterial routes will be heavily congested
• Longer ‘rush hours’
• Existing journeys into the town will be suppressed,
(particularly those where it is possible to go elsewhere,
e.g. for shopping)
• Existing firms reliant on logistics and distribution will
face delays
• New job creating inward investment and other
developments will be deterred
• Loss of revenue to the Council (or revenue foregone)
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Town Centre Impacts
• Bridgwater’s Town Centre and Shops serve a
wide catchment
• Viability depends on the wider catchment
• Potential diversion of catchment elsewhere
could be on scale to threaten the existing
provision
• Loss of revenue to the Council if shops close
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Mitigation Options
• Local partner options (reduced parking charges) but cost penalty
• Improved online scheme
• Multi modal approach, public transport, walking and cycling provision
• Investment in the town centre environment
• Investment in leisure and community facilities
• Community safety and outreach
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Appraisal Summary - Methodology
• Department for Transport’s WebTAG methodology
• Appraisal uses the Government’s five key objectives for transport:
• Environment
• Safety
• Economy
• Integration
• Accessibility
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Appraisal Summary - Environment
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Safety Accidents xx
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Environment Noise - -
Local Air Quality -
Greenhouse Gases -£1.6M -£0.8M
Landscape x xx
Townscape x x
Heritage of Historic Resources
x xx
Biodiversity x xx
Water Environment x x
Physical Fitness
Journey Ambience x
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Environment Noise - -
Local Air Quality - -
Greenhouse Gases -£1.6M -£0.8M
Landscape x xx
Townscape x x
Heritage of Historic Resources
x xx
Biodiversity x xx
Water Environment x x
Physical Fitness
Journey Ambience x
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Appraisal Summary - Environment
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Appraisal Summary - Safety
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Safety Accidents xx
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Appraisal Summary - Safety
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Safety Accidents xx
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Options Appraisal Summary
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Economy Public Accounts (2011Q4) £4.5M £90.5M
Transport Economic Efficiency
Reliability/ Network Resilience
xx
Wider Economic Impacts xxx Neutral
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Options Appraisal Summary
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Economy Public Accounts (2011Q4) £4.5M £90.5M
Transport Economic Efficiency
Reliability/ Network Resilience
xx
Wider Economic Impacts xxx Neutral
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Options Appraisal Summary
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Accessibility Option Values Neutral Neutral
Severance x Neutral
Access to Public Transport Neutral
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Options Appraisal Summary
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Accessibility Option Values Neutral Neutral
Severance x Neutral
Access to Public Transport Neutral
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Options Appraisal Summary
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Integration Transport Interchange x
Land Use Policy xx Neutral
Other Government Policies x Neutral
Objective Sub-Objective On-line Bypass
Integration Transport Interchange x
Land Use Policy xx Neutral
Other Government Policies x Neutral
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Options Appraisal Summary
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Options Appraisal Summary
Objective On-line Bypass
Environment
Safety
Economy
Accessibility
Integration
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Options Appraisal Summary
Objective On-line Bypass
Environment
Safety
Economy
Accessibility
Integration
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Conclusions of the Study
BYPASS HIGHWAY/JUNCTION IMPROVEMENTS (ONLINE)
4.5 – 5 years to deliver (2017) Phased delivery could work in tandem with HPC construction timeframe
Would therefore not mitigate peak year of impacts (2016)
Would provide some mitigation of traffic impacts
Construction of bypass would in itself generate considerable impacts
Construction of online would add to traffic congestion
Would deliver benefits of reduced traffic in Bridgwater
Against baseline there would be considerable increase in congestion in Bridgwater
£90.5million £4.5million
Achieves some transport user benefits compared to baseline
Decline in transport user benefits compared to baseline
Considerable detrimental environmental impacts Slight adverse environmental impacts
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Conclusions of the Study
• Two mitigation options considered.
• Bridgwater Northern Bypass and EDF’s ‘Pre-DCO’ highway and junction improvements.
• Significant environmental, construction, programme and cost issues associated with delivery of bypass
• But, ‘Pre-DCO’ online measures are not sufficient to mitigate for increased traffic resulting from HPC.
• Clear that neither proposal represents an optimal solution to mitigate the impacts of the HPC project.
• Data and analysis to feed into Local Impact Report and Detailed Representations.
• Recommended that an alternative model of mitigation setting out comprehensive, integrated transport package for Bridgwater is put forward.
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• An alternative model of mitigation setting out comprehensive, integrated transport package for Bridgwater is put forward.
• Two options to be pursued…
Next Steps & Way Forward