Work Package 3 - ELIPTIC project
Transcript of Work Package 3 - ELIPTIC project
More electrification in Europe: directions from the ELIPTIC transferability exercise ELIPTIC Final Conference Bremen, April 26 - 27th 2018
Work Package 3
Maria Vittoria Corazza, Antonio Musso, UNIROMA1
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+ CBA
Evaluation framework
In progress
In progress
Eventually we are here…..
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UNIROMA1 Evaluation steps – Task 3.6 TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE What it is? Hence, Transferability is the ability to transfer/adopt in a given city successful measures previously adopted elsewhere, comparable results being achieved Eliptic use cases = origin cities Respondents = target cities
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UNIROMA1 Evaluation steps – Task 3.6 TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps
Preparation of the methodology (done) Development of the Exercise (close to the end) Analysis of results (in progress) Deliverable 3.6 (in progress)
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology
Results from the ELIPTIC Scenarios
Results from the SWOT analysis
Task
3.4
Ta
sk 3
.5
Transferability Questionnaire
Scientific and grey literature
Past Experience (EBSF, Saferbrain, …)
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps
Results from the ELIPTIC Scenarios Ta
sk 3
.4
KPIs ELIPTIC scenario measured either small improvements or no variations in the performance they were associated to
For ex. Improvements in the fields of capacity or pax
demand ( A7 Oberhausen, A11 Szeged) No performance variation means that ELIPTIC
innovations worked well and did not generate problems or delays during the demonstration activities, thus stressing their prospective, smooth, full introduction in the regular service
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology
Transferability Questionnaire https://qeurope.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_2azeOQn0FBFMYx7
Divided into 2 parts: a) General introduction b) Technology concept section At least 2 Technology concepts to be choosen among: • Pillar A - Progressive replacement of conventional buses with hybrid trolleybuses •Pillar A- Opportunity (re)charging of electric buses •Pillar B - Upgrading and/or regenerating electric PT systems, via energy recuperation and or management •Pillar C - Multipurpose use of electric PT infrastructure
Still available @
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology
Transferability Questionnaire
Divided into 2 parts: a) General introduction
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology
Transferability Questionnaire
Divided into 2 parts: a) General introduction
Sample Questions on General Attitude towards the Electric Technology
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology
Transferability Questionnaire
Divided into 2 parts: b)Technology concept section includes:
a short reminder of what has been done in the ELIPTIC use cases where that technological concept was applied/studied
requests to : state the priority which will theoretically prompt the transfer to the target city, by
ticking on one among the following options: a. productivity of the service, b. customer care, c. environmental reasons, d. quality of the service
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology
Transferability Questionnaire 2) rate a series of pros and cons associated to that technological concept in case of its transfer to the target city, by ticking on the most appropriate statement, as provided; pros and cons were associated to the following evaluation categories: operations, economy, energy, environment, people and technology
Divided into 2 parts: b)Technology concept section includes:
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology
Transferability Questionnaire 3) rate how much it is likely to theoretically transfer that technological concept according to some KPIs prospective results, again by ticking on the most appropriate statement.
Divided into 2 parts: b)Technology concept section includes:
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology
Transferability Questionnaire
Transferability Scenarios
Very likely to keep the status quo = no change, NO ELIPTIC
Open to innovate = change, ELIPTIC
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology
Transferability Questionnaire
Weighting and assessing
WEIGHT Simple Multi-Attribute Rating Technique (SMART) method for determining the weights for each respondent and for the group of respondents
ASSESS ELimination Et Choix Traduisant la REalit´e (Elimination and Choice Expressing Reality (ELECTRE) method to approach Multiple-Criteria Decision Analysis
De Belen, 2018
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Development of the Exercise
Transferability Questionnaire
Full session Feb 2018, ongoing Target: NON & ELIPTIC Experts (UF Members)
Preliminary, slightly shorter session Dec. 2017 - Jan. 2018 Target: NON ELIPTIC Experts
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
58 respondents involved, worldwide
Focus on the Technology concept: • Pillar A - Progressive replacement of conventional buses (CB) with hybrid trolleybuses (HT) De Belen, 2018
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
Available options •ET is viable in general •ET contributes to the environmental safeguard •The community asks for more ET-based transit options •ET contributes to reduce costs •Operations benefit from ET •ET helps operators manage the energy requirements in a more balanced way
1- Attitude towards the Electric Technology:
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Analysis of preliminary results
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
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1- Attitude towards the Electric Technology
PT OPERATORS
EXPERTS
PT USERS ACADEMICIANS
ELIPTIC NO ELIPTIC/ STATUSQUO
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Analysis of preliminary results
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
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2- PRIORITY WHICH LEADS TO TRANSFER
EXPERTS
PT USERS ACADEMICIANS
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customer care
energy efficiency
productivity of the service
quality of the service
environmental conditions
customer care
energy efficiency
productivity of the service
quality of the service
environmental conditions
Weight Attribution (Cadiz, Spain)
25% 25%
13% 12% 25%
Weight Attribution (Pilsen, CZ)
22% 19%
19% 24%
16%
TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Analysis of preliminary results
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
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2- PRIORITY WHICH LEADS TO TRANSFER
PT OPERATORS
customer care
energy efficiency
productivity of the service
quality of the service
environmental conditions
Weight Attribution (Reykjavik, Iceland)
20% 19%
21% 21%
19%
customer care
energy efficiency
productivity of the service
quality of the service
environmental conditions
customer care
energy efficiency
productivity of the service
quality of the service
environmental conditions
Weight Attribution (Copenhagen, DK)
25%
50% 0%
25%
Weight Attribution (Rome, Italy)
3% 33%
17%
30% 17%
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Transport Operators
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Transport Operators
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3- KEY DRIVERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
Transport Operators
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3- ACTUAL BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
Transport Operators
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3- ACTUAL BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
“The most important factor is price for 1 vkm. Of course, bidder can propose performance of services with electric vehicles, but would have no chance to beat bidders with diesel buses, because of, not only the price of e-bus, but also costs of infrastructure.” – KZK GOP, Katowice
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
Transport Operators
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3- ACTUAL BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
“We will never have trolley buses with energy from overhead lines. There are no overhead lines in Reykjavik greater area and also the number of inhabitants will never at least for next 50 years bear such an investment as light rails or trolleybus.” – Stræto bs, Reykjavik
“Trolleybuses and hybrid trolleybuses are no on the agenda for Movia as there is not an interest from local authorities to invest in a catenary based bus transport system as the local authorities do not like catenaries in the cities.” – Movia Trafik, Copenhagen
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transport Operators
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Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Top "Neutral" Counts
Compulsory to follow green/electric policies
2
Wiring is a constraint 2
Size of batteries limits passenger capacity 2
Demo projects 2
Less noisy means less safe for pedestrians
3
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5
Top “I don’t know" Counts
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transport Operators
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Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
Performance role (KPIs variations) From the results obtained from the aggregated analysis of all transport operators, all of them have given positive feedbacks in all KPIs, that is they are willing to transfer HT given an improvement of up to 5% or even with no improvement. However, only one respondent has answered “No, even with an improvement of the associated performance up to 5%” regarding the vehicle capital costs.
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability
Questionnaire Preliminary session
Experts
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3- TOP 15 KEY DRIVERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability
Questionnaire Preliminary session
Experts
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3- TOP 15 KEY BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Experts
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Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
Performance role (KPIs variations) Most of the experts believe that ELIPTIC HTs should be implemented, especially when there would be increase in the passenger demand and durability of the vehicles. These two KPIs are considered significant in implementing such technology since the lifetime of a vehicle would define if the electric technology is worth to be transferred, which also affects the decisions on the investments. On the other hand, even if there is a growth or no in the passenger demand, the hybrid- trolleybuses are still worth to be implemented. However, a decrease in passenger demand would be unacceptable.
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability
Questionnaire Preliminary session
Academicians
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3- TOP 15 KEY DRIVERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability
Questionnaire Preliminary session
Academicians
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3- TOP 15 KEY BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Academicians
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Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Performance role (KPIs variations)
Most of the most of the respondents agreed to adopt such technology both with and without improvements. High scores are obtained by:
Bus reliability i.e. vehicles arrive on time (Operations); Noise exposure (Environment); Emissions (Environment); Attractiveness (People); and, Usage of clean vehicles (Energy).
Thus, with or without improvement, adopting such technology would be worth it to safeguard the environment whilst having quality, attractive, and environmental friendly services. .
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability
Questionnaire Preliminary session
End Users
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3- TOP 15 KEY DRIVERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability
Questionnaire Preliminary session
De
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3- TOP 15 KEY BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES
End Users
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
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Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Performance role (KPIs variations)
Mixed feelings………. Some users are not supposing any improvement in regularity and service coverage given that there would be an increase in dwell time due to charging and schedule adjustments. Meanwhile, for the economy, costs are also not expected to raise, whereas an increase in the demand of the electric vehicles for public transportation is to be expected.
End Users
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
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Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session
To summarize…….
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results
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Transferability Questionnaire To summarize…….
Data collection on the ELIPTIC User Forum members session is going to end Data will be compared with the findings of the preliminary session and all duly reported in Del. 3.6
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TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE
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Transferability Questionnaire Thank you very much! Questions? [email protected] [email protected]