Work Package 3 - ELIPTIC project

39
More electrification in Europe: directions from the ELIPTIC transferability exercise ELIPTIC Final Conference Bremen, April 26 - 27 th 2018 Work Package 3 Maria Vittoria Corazza, Antonio Musso, UNIROMA1

Transcript of Work Package 3 - ELIPTIC project

More electrification in Europe: directions from the ELIPTIC transferability exercise ELIPTIC Final Conference Bremen, April 26 - 27th 2018

Work Package 3

Maria Vittoria Corazza, Antonio Musso, UNIROMA1

Platzhalter Headline Title

+ CBA

Evaluation framework

In progress

In progress

Eventually we are here…..

Platzhalter Headline Title

UNIROMA1 Evaluation steps – Task 3.6 TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE What it is? Hence, Transferability is the ability to transfer/adopt in a given city successful measures previously adopted elsewhere, comparable results being achieved Eliptic use cases = origin cities Respondents = target cities

Platzhalter Headline Title

UNIROMA1 Evaluation steps – Task 3.6 TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps

Preparation of the methodology (done) Development of the Exercise (close to the end) Analysis of results (in progress) Deliverable 3.6 (in progress)

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology

Results from the ELIPTIC Scenarios

Results from the SWOT analysis

Task

3.4

Ta

sk 3

.5

Transferability Questionnaire

Scientific and grey literature

Past Experience (EBSF, Saferbrain, …)

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps

Results from the ELIPTIC Scenarios Ta

sk 3

.4

KPIs ELIPTIC scenario measured either small improvements or no variations in the performance they were associated to

For ex. Improvements in the fields of capacity or pax

demand ( A7 Oberhausen, A11 Szeged) No performance variation means that ELIPTIC

innovations worked well and did not generate problems or delays during the demonstration activities, thus stressing their prospective, smooth, full introduction in the regular service

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology

Transferability Questionnaire https://qeurope.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_2azeOQn0FBFMYx7

Divided into 2 parts: a) General introduction b) Technology concept section At least 2 Technology concepts to be choosen among: • Pillar A - Progressive replacement of conventional buses with hybrid trolleybuses •Pillar A- Opportunity (re)charging of electric buses •Pillar B - Upgrading and/or regenerating electric PT systems, via energy recuperation and or management •Pillar C - Multipurpose use of electric PT infrastructure

Still available @

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology

Transferability Questionnaire

Divided into 2 parts: a) General introduction

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology

Transferability Questionnaire

Divided into 2 parts: a) General introduction

Sample Questions on General Attitude towards the Electric Technology

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology

Transferability Questionnaire

Divided into 2 parts: b)Technology concept section includes:

a short reminder of what has been done in the ELIPTIC use cases where that technological concept was applied/studied

requests to : state the priority which will theoretically prompt the transfer to the target city, by

ticking on one among the following options: a. productivity of the service, b. customer care, c. environmental reasons, d. quality of the service

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology

Transferability Questionnaire 2) rate a series of pros and cons associated to that technological concept in case of its transfer to the target city, by ticking on the most appropriate statement, as provided; pros and cons were associated to the following evaluation categories: operations, economy, energy, environment, people and technology

Divided into 2 parts: b)Technology concept section includes:

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology

Transferability Questionnaire 3) rate how much it is likely to theoretically transfer that technological concept according to some KPIs prospective results, again by ticking on the most appropriate statement.

Divided into 2 parts: b)Technology concept section includes:

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology

Transferability Questionnaire

Transferability Scenarios

Very likely to keep the status quo = no change, NO ELIPTIC

Open to innovate = change, ELIPTIC

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Preparation of the methodology

Transferability Questionnaire

Weighting and assessing

WEIGHT Simple Multi-Attribute Rating Technique (SMART) method for determining the weights for each respondent and for the group of respondents

ASSESS ELimination Et Choix Traduisant la REalit´e (Elimination and Choice Expressing Reality (ELECTRE) method to approach Multiple-Criteria Decision Analysis

De Belen, 2018

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Development of the Exercise

Transferability Questionnaire

Full session Feb 2018, ongoing Target: NON & ELIPTIC Experts (UF Members)

Preliminary, slightly shorter session Dec. 2017 - Jan. 2018 Target: NON ELIPTIC Experts

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

58 respondents involved, worldwide

Focus on the Technology concept: • Pillar A - Progressive replacement of conventional buses (CB) with hybrid trolleybuses (HT) De Belen, 2018

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

Available options •ET is viable in general •ET contributes to the environmental safeguard •The community asks for more ET-based transit options •ET contributes to reduce costs •Operations benefit from ET •ET helps operators manage the energy requirements in a more balanced way

1- Attitude towards the Electric Technology:

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Analysis of preliminary results

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

De

Bele

n, 2

018

1- Attitude towards the Electric Technology

PT OPERATORS

EXPERTS

PT USERS ACADEMICIANS

ELIPTIC NO ELIPTIC/ STATUSQUO

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Analysis of preliminary results

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

De

Bele

n, 2

018

2- PRIORITY WHICH LEADS TO TRANSFER

EXPERTS

PT USERS ACADEMICIANS

Platzhalter Headline Title

customer care

energy efficiency

productivity of the service

quality of the service

environmental conditions

customer care

energy efficiency

productivity of the service

quality of the service

environmental conditions

Weight Attribution (Cadiz, Spain)

25% 25%

13% 12% 25%

Weight Attribution (Pilsen, CZ)

22% 19%

19% 24%

16%

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Analysis of preliminary results

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

De

Bele

n, 2

018

2- PRIORITY WHICH LEADS TO TRANSFER

PT OPERATORS

customer care

energy efficiency

productivity of the service

quality of the service

environmental conditions

Weight Attribution (Reykjavik, Iceland)

20% 19%

21% 21%

19%

customer care

energy efficiency

productivity of the service

quality of the service

environmental conditions

customer care

energy efficiency

productivity of the service

quality of the service

environmental conditions

Weight Attribution (Copenhagen, DK)

25%

50% 0%

25%

Weight Attribution (Rome, Italy)

3% 33%

17%

30% 17%

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Transport Operators

De

Bele

n, 2

018

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Transport Operators

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- KEY DRIVERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

Transport Operators

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- ACTUAL BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

Transport Operators

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- ACTUAL BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

“The most important factor is price for 1 vkm. Of course, bidder can propose performance of services with electric vehicles, but would have no chance to beat bidders with diesel buses, because of, not only the price of e-bus, but also costs of infrastructure.” – KZK GOP, Katowice

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

Transport Operators

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- ACTUAL BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

“We will never have trolley buses with energy from overhead lines. There are no overhead lines in Reykjavik greater area and also the number of inhabitants will never at least for next 50 years bear such an investment as light rails or trolleybus.” – Stræto bs, Reykjavik

“Trolleybuses and hybrid trolleybuses are no on the agenda for Movia as there is not an interest from local authorities to invest in a catenary based bus transport system as the local authorities do not like catenaries in the cities.” – Movia Trafik, Copenhagen

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transport Operators

De

Bele

n, 2

018

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Top "Neutral" Counts

Compulsory to follow green/electric policies

2

Wiring is a constraint 2

Size of batteries limits passenger capacity 2

Demo projects 2

Less noisy means less safe for pedestrians

3

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

Top “I don’t know" Counts

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transport Operators

De

Bele

n, 2

018

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

Performance role (KPIs variations) From the results obtained from the aggregated analysis of all transport operators, all of them have given positive feedbacks in all KPIs, that is they are willing to transfer HT given an improvement of up to 5% or even with no improvement. However, only one respondent has answered “No, even with an improvement of the associated performance up to 5%” regarding the vehicle capital costs.

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability

Questionnaire Preliminary session

Experts

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- TOP 15 KEY DRIVERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability

Questionnaire Preliminary session

Experts

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- TOP 15 KEY BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Experts

De

Bele

n, 2

018

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

Performance role (KPIs variations) Most of the experts believe that ELIPTIC HTs should be implemented, especially when there would be increase in the passenger demand and durability of the vehicles. These two KPIs are considered significant in implementing such technology since the lifetime of a vehicle would define if the electric technology is worth to be transferred, which also affects the decisions on the investments. On the other hand, even if there is a growth or no in the passenger demand, the hybrid- trolleybuses are still worth to be implemented. However, a decrease in passenger demand would be unacceptable.

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability

Questionnaire Preliminary session

Academicians

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- TOP 15 KEY DRIVERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability

Questionnaire Preliminary session

Academicians

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- TOP 15 KEY BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Academicians

De

Bele

n, 2

018

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Performance role (KPIs variations)

Most of the most of the respondents agreed to adopt such technology both with and without improvements. High scores are obtained by:

Bus reliability i.e. vehicles arrive on time (Operations); Noise exposure (Environment); Emissions (Environment); Attractiveness (People); and, Usage of clean vehicles (Energy).

Thus, with or without improvement, adopting such technology would be worth it to safeguard the environment whilst having quality, attractive, and environmental friendly services. .

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability

Questionnaire Preliminary session

End Users

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- TOP 15 KEY DRIVERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results Transferability

Questionnaire Preliminary session

De

Bele

n, 2

018

3- TOP 15 KEY BARRIERS TO TRANSFER HYBRID TROLLEYBUSES AND REPLACE CONVENTIONAL BUSES

End Users

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

De

Bele

n, 2

018

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session Performance role (KPIs variations)

Mixed feelings………. Some users are not supposing any improvement in regularity and service coverage given that there would be an increase in dwell time due to charging and schedule adjustments. Meanwhile, for the economy, costs are also not expected to raise, whereas an increase in the demand of the electric vehicles for public transportation is to be expected.

End Users

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

De

Bele

n, 2

018

Transferability Questionnaire Preliminary session

To summarize…….

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE Main steps Analysis of preliminary results

De

Bele

n, 2

018

Transferability Questionnaire To summarize…….

Data collection on the ELIPTIC User Forum members session is going to end Data will be compared with the findings of the preliminary session and all duly reported in Del. 3.6

Platzhalter Headline Title

TRANSFERABILITY EXERCISE

De

Bele

n, 2

018

Transferability Questionnaire Thank you very much! Questions? [email protected] [email protected]