Work in Progress ATTORNEY/CLIENT PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL Spider-Man Merchandise Rights Sale...
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Transcript of Work in Progress ATTORNEY/CLIENT PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL Spider-Man Merchandise Rights Sale...
![Page 1: Work in Progress ATTORNEY/CLIENT PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL Spider-Man Merchandise Rights Sale Update Negotiating Considerations September 2010.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081908/56649da05503460f94a8c09f/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Work in Progress
ATTORNEY/CLIENT PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL
Spider-Man Merchandise Rights Sale UpdateNegotiating Considerations
September 2010
![Page 2: Work in Progress ATTORNEY/CLIENT PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL Spider-Man Merchandise Rights Sale Update Negotiating Considerations September 2010.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081908/56649da05503460f94a8c09f/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Work in Progress
Negotiating Framework
page 2
Negotiate Now
Buy-out SPE’s Interest Buy-out Controls Defer Off-limits
Avg. of Actual Receipts
+
Adjustment for Under-reporting
(Informed by Audit)
+
Hasbro True-up
+
Disney Upside
• Ease and/or lift Classic black-out
• Leadership of retail promotion discussions for film merch.
• Food category constraints
• Settlement of audit claims
• Litigation
• Restrictions on ability for SPE to promote film beyond merchandise at retail
• Increased SPE commitment to release new films beyond current requirements to retain rights
![Page 3: Work in Progress ATTORNEY/CLIENT PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL Spider-Man Merchandise Rights Sale Update Negotiating Considerations September 2010.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081908/56649da05503460f94a8c09f/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Work in Progress
page 3
SPE’s Interest in an Average Year
Avg. of Actual Receipts $35 M • Assumes future in-line with history
Adjustment for Under-reporting (Informed by Audit) & Hasbro True-up
$10 M
Disney Upside
Growth from International $12 M• Expand from 52/48 Domestic/Int’l to
40/60 (27% uplift in total WW revenues)
Eliminate Int’l Commissions $4 M• 9% improvement (25% commissions
eliminated on 34% of revenues)
Growth from Disney Retail $1 M• Disney starts selling in Disney-owned
retail and theme parks
Food + Other Categories Minimal• Limited value in freeing up food
categories given current regulatory environment
Source: MPG and CorpDev analysis.
Approx. Avg. Annual Revenues
Comments
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Work in Progress
$314
$406
$536
$580
$0
$100
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$300
$400
$500
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Val
ue
($M
)SPE Internal View of Valuation
Source: SPCP and CorpDev analysis.Note: (1) DCF based on perpetuity growth rate of 2.0%, discount rate of 8.0% and Disney’s effective tax rate of 36.2%. Terminal year revenue = 5-year average of Spider-
Man Film and Classic merch (CY15-CY19)(2) Retail synergies include Disney selling S-M merch in Disney parks & resorts, in Disney stores, and online sales. page 4
Scenarios
Future In-line w/ History (B/f Audit
Adjustments & Hasbro True-up)
+ Audit Adjustments & Hasbro True-up
+ Disney Int’l and Retail
Synergies (2)
+ Eliminate Int’l Commissions
Discounted Cash Flow Methodology (1) Discounted Cash Flow Methodology (1)
+$92
+$130
+$44
Public Media Comps
Public Comps + 30% Control
Prem.
Multiple Marvel Paid for Disney
Implied Multiple of $35-$45MM Trailing Avg.
7.0x – 9.0x 9.0x – 11.6x 11.9x – 15.3x 12.9x – 16.6x
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Work in ProgressNegotiating Approach: Two Alternatives for Valuing “Buy-out Interest” and “Buy Controls”
page 5
Controls are a Premium to Base ValueControls are a Premium to Base Value Value of “Just Controls” to DisneyValue of “Just Controls” to Disney
SPE Value Before Controls
$45MM avg. annual CF @ 40% tax rate, 8% discount rate, 3% growth rate
= $540MM = 12x ($45MM Trailing
CF Multiple)
Control Premium Short of what DIS Paid MVL
Base Value of $540MM +(17% / $90MM Control Premium)
= $630MM = 14x ($45MM Trailing
CF Multiple)
Control Premium Equal to what DIS Paid MVL
Base Value of $540MM +(33% / $180MM Control Premium)
= $720MM = 16x ($45MM Trailing
CF Multiple)
• If SPE’s average annual CF is $45MM, then Disney’s is 3x that or $135MM
DIS Share with Controls in
Place
% Increase without Controls
$ Increase Value at 10x
$135 5% $6.8 $68
$135 10% $13.5 $135
$135 15% $20.3 $203
$135 20% $27.0 $270
In addition, there is value to Disney if owning retail discussions provides benefits to other Disney (non-S-M) merch.
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Work in Progress
($50)
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$50
$100
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$300
EB
ITD
A (
$M
)
page 6
Negotiating Approach: Spider-Man was the majority of what Disney paid 16x for; SPE deserves a portion of this premium valuation
Note: * S-M merchandise numbers based on SPE internal data. (1) MVL Total EBITDA defined as EBITDA less SPE’s share of film merchandise. MVL recognizes SPE share as minority
interest, whereas other studios' shares of license royalty income is recorded within SG&A expense.(2) Assumes S-M publishing is 50% of Total Publishing or $23.2MM.
MVL CY 2007-09 Avg. EBITDA (1,2)MVL CY 2007-09 Avg. EBITDA (1,2)
$260.7$260.7
MVL CY 2007-09 Avg. Licensing EBITDA MixMVL CY 2007-09 Avg. Licensing EBITDA Mix
MVL CY 2007-09 Avg. Total EBITDA Mix (2)MVL CY 2007-09 Avg. Total EBITDA Mix (2)
72% 28%S-M Merch. &
Film Participations
S-M Merch. & Film
Participations
Other Licensing
Other Licensing
65%35%Total S-M
BusinessTotal S-M Business OtherOther
S-M - MVL Share of S-M Merch. EBITDA Post Audit & Hasbro
True-up, $138.2
S-M - MVL Share of S-M Merch. EBITDA Post Audit & Hasbro
True-up, $138.2
S-M Publishing, $23.2S-M Publishing, $23.2
Other, ($26.8)Other, ($26.8)
S-M Film Participations,
$8.0
S-M Film Participations,
$8.0
Total S-M Licensing,
$146.2
Total S-M Licensing,
$146.2
Total S-M,
$169.4
Total S-M,
$169.4
Other Licensing, $55.6
Other Licensing, $55.6
Other Publishing, $23.2
Other Publishing, $23.2
Film Production, $39.2
Film Production, $39.2
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Work in Progress
Internal View: Potential Areas of Debate with Marvel
Value of SPE's stake, independent of controls
• Marvel may argue that the value should incorporate
– Risk in the Spider-man reboot
– Last 3 year average of $35MM (ignore $10MM in audit and Hasbro true-up)
– Current year run-rate of $22MM
– Market multiples of 10x or lower implies value of $220MM to $350MM
• SPE will counter
– Adjusted historical earnings of $45MM
– Multiple should reflect growth and Spider-Man's brand power (top boys brand, top film franchise)
• Disney’s retail infrastructure will drive growth beyond Marvel’s, particularly internationally and in new media (video games,
internet, and mobile content)
• S-M has grown with every new film release
• Next Hasbro contract is already signed and greater than last contract
• Commissions will be eliminated
Value of lifting controls
• SPE will argue that we lose exposure for the Film if retail focus shifts to non-film product; and Disney benefits both on its Spider-Man
merchandise and ability to drag-through other Disney merchandise
• Marvel may argue
– If controls are lifted without a sale: SPE does not need to be compensated; SPE still financially participates in the growth that will be
driven by lifting these controls
– If controls are lifted in conjunction with a sale: SPE does not need to be compensated; SPE benefits from the increased exposure
Marvel will drive for Film
page 7