Wolfgang Dehen, Group President and CEO Capital Market ... · Wolfgang Dehen, Group President and...
Transcript of Wolfgang Dehen, Group President and CEO Capital Market ... · Wolfgang Dehen, Group President and...
Siemens VDO: Solid Progressin a Challenging Environment
Wolfgang Dehen, Group President and CEO
Capital Market DaysFebruary 23-24, 2006
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 2
Safe harbor statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information – that is, statements related to future, not past, events. These statements may be identified either orally or in writing by words as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “believes”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “will” or words of similar meaning. Such statements are based on our current expectations and certain assumptions, and are, therefore, subject to certain risks and uncertainties. A variety of factors, many of which are beyond Siemens’ control, affect its operations, performance, business strategy and results and could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens worldwide to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For us, particular uncertainties arise, among others, from changes in general economic and business conditions, changes in currency exchange rates and interest rates, introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies, lack of acceptance of new products or services by customers targeted by Siemens worldwide, changes in business strategy and various other factors. More detailed information about certain of these factors is contained in Siemens’ filings with the SEC, which are available on the Siemens website, www.sec.govwww.siemens.com and on the SEC’s website, . Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in the relevant forward-looking statement as anticipated, believed, estimated, expected, intended, planned or projected. Siemens does not intend or assume any obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 3
A merger that pays off: Highlights from the last 5 years at Siemens VDO
In difficult market conditions, Siemens VDO is delivering above its target margin and securing its long-term success− Profitable organic and exogenous growth in all major regions− Portfolio: 95% of our products are in positions # 1-3− Innovation: approx. 1,000 new patents in FY 2005
Customer basis has been improved by adaptation to worldwide market needs and by acquisitions− Foothold in the Chinese market strengthened by new contracts− Major acquisitions in the U.S. and Korea
Constant improvement of cost base and performance− Quick turnaround after merger− Achieved positive EVA in FY 2004 for the first time − Increase in quality, productivity and financial performance
WE DELIVER WHAT WE PROMISE
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 4
We have a strong organization focused on our customers
Powertrain Chassis & Carbody
Interior & Infotainment
Service & Special Solutions
50,800 Employees
Key Account ManagementCustomers
Special OEM & Infotainment
Service & Parts
Transportation & Fleet Telematics
Information SystemsPassenger Cars
Commercial Vehicles
Cockpit Modules &Systems
InfotainmentSolutions
Restraint Systems, Safety Electronics
Body & ChassisElectronics
Electric Motor Drives
Gasoline SystemsDiesel Systems
Engine Actuators, Air & Emissions
ManagementFuel Supply
SystemsSensors
Electronics &Drivetrain
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 5
We improved our performance for our customers in all crucial fields
In the survey the informant was asked to evaluate the division on a scale from -5 to +5 compared to the most important competitor. The above results show the aggregated data for Siemens VDO.
1.381.38
Logistics Quality Sales R&D Production
1.081.08
0.170.17
1.131.131.091.09
1.411.41
0.630.63
1.061.06
1.351.35
0.910.91
CSS* FY04CSS* FY04
CSS* FY02CSS* FY02+1.5
+1.0
+0.5
Equal tothe bestcompetitor
0
* Customer Satisfaction Survey
We achieved major success with 4 initiatives (quality, design-to-cost, software, project management)We optimized our Customer Relationship Management through Business Excellent Account Management (BEAM) projectWe are driving progress by entering innovation partnerships with lead customers
Drivers in the automotive business:quality - costs - innovations - flawless execution
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 6
Heading for "zero ppm" quality rates
6-months average
ppm
89
70
30
167
FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005
(parts per million)
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 7
We are well on track to reach next CMMI level
Survey of assessment in Siemens VDOCMMI
2
3
FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006E
Capability Maturity Model Integration
Division 1: 3.00
Division 2: 3.00
Division 3: 2.75
Division 4: 2.75
Division 5: 2.50
Division 6: 2.50
1Division 7: 2.25
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 8
Our high-cost reduction rates enable us to still outplay rising OEM price pressure
OEM price reduction
Admin.& Others
15%
R&D10%
Material50%
Production25%
Total cost reduction FY 2002 - 2005:
€3.4 bn
3% - 4% p.a.
FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005
Total cost reduction rate: 9% on average
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 9
We deliver what we promise:Solid progress in a challenging environment
€8.5 bn €8.4 bn
€9.6 bn
€65 mn€562 mn €630 mn
0.8%
6.6%
€9.0 bn
€5.7 bn*
SV target margin 5 - 6% 5.0%
6.2%
SalesGroup ProfitEVA
- €261 mn
€418 mnGroup Profit margin %
* including VDO May-September 2001
- 4.6%
FY 2005FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 10
Our strategic direction and systematic approach ensure continuous success
prod
uct 1
prod
uct 2
prod
uct 3
prod
uct 4
prod
uct 5
prod
uct 6
prod
uct 7
prod
uct 8
prod
uct 9
prod
uct 1
0
prod
uct 1
1
prod
uct 1
2
prod
uct 1
3
prod
uct 1
4
prod
uct 1
5
prod
uct 1
6
prod
uct 1
7
prod
uct 1
8
prod
uct 1
9
prod
uct 2
0
prod
uct 2
1
prod
uct 2
2
prod
uct 2
3
prod
uct 2
4
prod
uct 2
5
prod
uct 2
6
prod
uct 2
7
prod
uct 2
8
1) Entertainemt SV Competence (E/E only) - medium Areas for External Growth2) for integrated functions of Clusters3) in a narrower sense "HMI" SV Competence (E/E only) - high
Search Areas for Growth
78 % 22 %
Technology portfolio
Cus
tom
erpo
rtfo
lio
Regional portfolio
Regions:Optimize global R&D and manufacturing footprintStrategic focus on Asia
Customers:Maintain / increase market sharein Europe and AmericasBecome a "Global Keiretsu" supplier to Asian OEMs
Technology: Strengthen leadership in upcoming growth applicationsFocus on safety / comfort, advanced propulsion and communication
... and we constantly review and streamline our portfolio
region 1region 2region 3region 4region 5region 6regio 7region 8region 9region 10region 11
prod
uct 1
prod
uct 2
prod
uct 3
prod
uct 4
prod
uct 5
prod
uct 6
prod
uct 7
prod
uct 8
prod
uct 9
prod
uct 1
0
prod
uct 1
1
prod
uct 1
2
prod
uct 1
3
prod
uct 1
4
prod
uct 1
5
prod
uct 1
6
prod
uct 1
7
prod
uct 1
8
prod
uct 1
9
prod
uct 2
0
prod
uct 2
1
prod
uct 2
2
prod
uct 2
3
prod
uct 2
4
prod
uct 2
5
prod
uct 2
6
prod
uct 2
7
Very low SalesLow Sales Best estimation; current databases (SGI, ART) do not provide approriate details.Medium SalesHigh Sales
innovation - no market / sales yet
Fahrdynamik Antrieb Comm. AmBody Interior Driving Dynamics Powertrain Vehicles
Karosserie Interior
SV I CVSV I&I SV C&C SV C&C SV P
A s i a I n i t i a t i v e
region 1region 2region 3region 4region 5region 6region 7region 8region 9region 10region 11
prod
uct 1
prod
uct 2
prod
uct 3
prod
uct 4
prod
uct 5
prod
uct 6
prod
uct 7
prod
uct 8
prod
uct 9
prod
uct 1
0
prod
uct 1
1
prod
uct 1
2
prod
uct 1
3
prod
uct 1
4
prod
uct 1
5
prod
uct 1
6
prod
uct 1
7
prod
uct 1
8
prod
uct 1
9
prod
uct 2
0
prod
uct 2
1
prod
uct 2
2
prod
uct 2
3
prod
uct 2
4
prod
uct 2
5
prod
uct 2
6
prod
uct 2
7
Very low SalesLow Sales Best estimation; current databases (SGI, ART) do not provide approriate details.Medium SalesHigh Sales
innovation - no market / sales yet
SV I CVSV I&I SV C&C SV C&C SV P
Comm. AmBody Interior Driving Dynamics Powertrain Vehicles
Karosserie Interior Fahrdynamik Antrieb
Source: Siemens VDO
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 11
We are diversifying our customer base
DC GroupBMW GroupFord GroupVW GroupGM GroupPSA GroupRenault GroupHyundai GroupHonda GroupFiat GroupOthers
Top 3= 38% of
salesTop 5
= 53% of sales
Top 10= 68% of sales
2005
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 12
Siemens VDO is growing fasterthan the market
World vehicle production 2005: Moderate growth on high level
EuropeNAFTA
Asia
World
2005 2006E 2010E2005 2006E 2010E2005 2006E 2010E 2005 2006E 2010E
Light vehicleproduction
Heavy vehicleproduction
Millionunits
World + 6.7% + 2.7%
NAFTA + 26% - 0.3%
Asia + 11% + 6.9%
Siemens VDO* Market**
Europe - 0.5% - 0.5%
+2.7% +2.2%+9.8%
+1.1% +3.1%+14.7%
* Sales FY 2005 vs. FY 2004 ** Light vehicle production
+6.9% +4.8%+15.9%
+0.2% +1.4%+27.9% -0.5% +1.7% +5.5%
+1.8% +6.1% +6.9%-0.3% -0.9% +4.5%
+2.6% +4.4% -5.3%
Source: Global Insight (September 2005)
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 13
Our target: Regional balanceto improve our competitiveness
Sales to region
Europe NAFTA Asia-PacificImprove regional split by increasing salesin Asia-Pacific33% 33% 33%
1% Others
Target split
Major improvements have been made in NAFTA business
Bigger market share in European core markets due to merger of Siemens AT with VDO
FY 2005
FY 2002
61% 27% 10%
71% 21%
2% Others
1% Others
7%
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 14
A powerful product portfoliocovering the most attractive market segments
~ 75% of Siemens VDO´s sales come from divisions with at / above-average profitability
other divisions are on their way to peer-group standards
4 - 6
6 - 7
6 - 8
6 - 8
7 - 12
ADAS
Cockpit/Interior
Active safety
Advanced propulsion
Infotainment
Comm. Veh.
Passive safety
SV coverageAvg. market profitability (in %, 2004)
9 - 10
Siemens VDO is well positioned in the most promising market segments
3 - 5
"Market entry" divisions
Divisions under improvement
Above / atpeer group profitability
Below peer groupprofitability
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 15
We continuously review and streamline our portfolio: M & A strategy
Mergers & Acquisitions Technology / Product Portfolio Regional Portfolio Customer Portfolio
2001 Mannesmann VDO
2004
2004 IDM
2004 Elcar
2005 e-stop
2005 Bontec / Autonet
2005 AEC
Huntsville Electronics
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 16
We continuously review and streamline our portfolio: Divestments
Divestments Technology / Product Portfolio Regional Portfolio Customer Portfolio
2001 Exit of wiringharness production
2002 Sale of Hydraulik-Ring to Hilite
2003 Disposal of bowden cables business to Capro Inc.
2003 Exit of assembly for complete tank systems
2001 Sale of air outlet manufacturing to Reum
2003 Exit of cockpit assembly
Overall sales volume of divestments €1.5 bnNumber of employees 12,500
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 17
The advantage of automotive electronics:Good prospects for suppliers on a long-term basis
Automotivesupplier marketaverage growth rate for entire supplier market: 3.4%Electrics / electronicscomponents & systems
55 75 93 124 168230
304
513587
356417
720+3.4%
+5.6%
+6.4%
CAGR
Electronics contentoutgrows vehicleproduction by far,increasingmarket share ofautomotiveelectronics
Automotivesupplier marketgrows faster thanvehicle productiondue to outsourcingby OEM to suppliers
EUR billions1990 1995 2000 2005 2010E 2015E
ElectronicsShare (%)
SuppliersShare (%)
VehiclesProduced(mn units p.a.)
18 21 22 25 28 33
65 75
45 79+2.3%
Source: Strategy Analytics, Research Insight, McKinsey, Siemens VDO
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 18
Global trends offer excellent opportunities for Siemens VDO: We care for sustainable mobility
Powertrain
"Zero emissions"
Chassis & Carbody
"Zero accidents"
Interior & InfotainmentService & Special Solutions
"Always on"
Propulsion Comfort & Safety Communication
TrendsShift of
economic gravityamongst regions
Increasingmobility
Growingdemand for
safety & security
Growing needfor environ-mental care
Shorteningof naturalresources
Comfort/Safety
Com
munication
Affordability Comfort Passive Safety
Dam
ping
Stee
ring
Bra
king
HM
IInfotainm
ent/N
avigationIntra C
ar
Gasoline/DieselAlternative Fuels/
Propulsion Affordability
Cha
ssis
E/E standards
Active Safety
Key less cockpit
HW standards
New production concepts
Improved Diagnostics
E/E standards Augmented Reality
ADAS-Safety Platforms (passive safety)Electric energy mgmt.
Workload manager
1st gen ADAS
Propulsion
E/E standards
HW standards
Zeroaccidents
Zero emissions
Always on
Source: Siemens VDO
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 19
We are realizing the car of the future - today
DriversCustomer demand for safer vehiclesRegulations to enforce driver and pedestrian protection
Typical applicationsTrends"Zero accident" pro.pilot
- a network of driver assistance systems
"Zero emission"
"Always on"
Increasing fuel costs andfleet consumption regulationsRegulations to reduce vehicle emission (e.g. EURO V)
Advanced Propulsion Systems- e.g. Piezo injection- e.g. Hybrids
CESAR- the cockpit for the
car of the future
Customer demand for better guidance and permanent connectivityDemand for integration of consumer electronic devices
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 20
Our vision of "Zero accidents": Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS)
94 % of all road traffic accidents could be prevented by intelligent assistants
Siemens VDO is providing a variety of products to enhance safety:− Radar technology for blind spot detection,
Lidar technology for adaptive cruise control− Lane departure warning− Night Vision (with electronic pedestrian warning assistant)− Driver monitoring− Intelligent pedestrian protection
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 21
Towards "Zero emissions": Advanced propulsion systems
Siemens VDO's systems know-how from tank to tail ensures efficient solutions for entire powertrain− Additional advantage through joint venture with EMITEC on exhaust treatment
Siemens VDO drives progress by improving existing technologies to reduce consumption of gasoline engines and lower diesel emissions
Further target: Increase powertrain energy efficiency through new technologies− In 2006, start of production of piezo direct injection
for gasoline, saving up to 20% fuel− Siemens VDO is introducing modular hybrid drives
to improve exploiting electric power in the vehicle
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 22
"Always on": The latest infotainment technologies embedded in modular platforms
CESAR fulfills market demand for an ergonomic cockpit with the latest safety features and infotainment technology for drivers and passengers
CESAR satisfies OEM customers' need for modular, upgradeable cockpits that can be manufactured efficiently
Platform approach and standardization initiatives with leading OEMs(like AUTOSAR and JASPAR) increase speed of innovation at lower cost
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 23
Socio-economic changes and varyingrequirements determine automotive development
Relative high priceand running costs
Medium size carwith state-of-the-artpowertrain
Significantelectrification
Significant alternativefuels share (CNG, …)
Full equippedinfotainment system
State-of-the artreliability & quality
Happy Driving
China YoungFamily Car
EU 25 Evolution
Silver Midlife Car
$7 per Gallon Case
Independence Car
Shift of economic gravityamongst regions
Increasing mobility
Growing demand forsafety & security
Growing need forenvironmental care
Shortening of natural resources
Trend towards smallentry car
High quality and reliability, easy repair
High comfort, self adapting car (e.g. sportive vs. comfort)
Advanced HMI
Good design
High active and passive safety
Environmental friendly and fuel efficient
Upgradeable car
Driving dynamics (acceleration), freedom and individualism remain very important
Americans accept alternative fuels and powertrains
Buying trend toward lighter and safer cars
Shrinking vehicle size at constant interior space
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 24
"Being in the sweet spot": We cover the top 5"Hottest Automotive Electronics Systems" for 2010
Osram( )SV
2.73.2
3.7
7.6
5.8
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
Lane DepatureWarningSystems
Adaptive FrontLighting
Systems
Tire PressureMonitoringSystems
Passive EntrySystems
BlindspotMonitoringSystems
"Hot Product Factor"
(spectacular futuregrowth rates)
Source: Strategy Analytics, January 2006
# 1 # 2 # 3 # 4 # 5
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 25
Our competitive advantage: Our focus on fast growing automotive electronics
Bosch Denso Visteon Delphi Siemens VDO
Sales FY 2004* (€ bn) 25,273** 21,113 15,293 23,461 9,001
Profit Margin % 7.2%*** 7.8% -2.2% 1.6% 6.2%
Technology Pool (Group)
Medium / High Medium Low Low High
Ownership Private Public Public Public Public
Regional Split
Europe 68% 13% 21% 22% 69%
NAFTA 18% 21% 64% 74% 23%
Asia / Pacific 14% 66% 15% 4% 8%
Customer Base Diversified Focused Focused Focused Diversified
Electronic share % 30% 33% 23% 25% 68%
SV is among the most profitable suppliers...
All are still focused onone specific world region
Only SV and Bosch have a diversified customer portfolio... and focuses on electronics anticipating high growthSV has access to key technologies of Siemens
All except Bosch are public
* Competitors' data for FY 2005 not yet available ** Automotive sales*** Group profit; Automotive not released
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 26
Heading for the future
Growth
Execute Asia strategy to expand business in China, Korea, Japan and India
Boost business with innovations, e.g. Advanced Driver Assistance Systems
Leverage cross-group opportunities to extend business, e.g. Telematics
Continuously optimize product and innovation portfolio
Customers
OperationalExcellence
Continue to optimize worldwide manufacturing and R&D footprint
Intensify top+WIP to keep up with challenging business environment
Next level performance in initiatives(quality, design-to-cost, software, project management)
PeopleExcellence
Actively attract best talents in every region
Increase local talent pools for R&D and management in Asia
Strengthen expert careers with special regard to project management
Worldwide roll-out of BEAM initiative to improve customer relationship management
Become a “regional” supplier in Asia
Reach zero ppm quality
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 27
Reconciliations and definitions
”Group profit from Operations” is reconciled to ”Income before income taxes” of Operations under ”Reconciliation to financial statements”on the table ”Segment information.” See ”Financial Reports/Fiscal 2006, Quarter 1 / Financial Statements” at our Investor Relations website under www.siemens.com
”ROE” (Return on equity) margin for SFS was calculated as SFS’ income before income taxes divided by the allocated equity for SFS. Allocated equity for SFS as of September 30, 2005 was €983 million. See also Siemens’ Form 20-F at our Investor Relations website under www.siemens.com
The allocated equity for SFS is determined and influenced by the respective credit ratings of the rating agencies and by the expected size and quality of its portfolio of leasing and factoring assets and equity investments and is determined annually. This allocation is designed to cover the risks of the underlying business and is in line with common credit risk management standards in banking. The actual risk profile of the SFS portfolio is monitored and controlled monthly and is evaluated against the allocated equity.
Siemens ties a portion of its executive incentive compensation to achieving economic value added (EVA) targets. EVA measures theprofitability of a business (using Group profit for the Operating Groups and income before income taxes for the Financing and Real estate businesses as a base) against the additional cost of capital used to run a business, (using Net capital employed for the Operating Groups and risk-adjusted equity for the Financing and Real estate businesses as a base). A positive EVA means that a business has earned more than its cost of capital, and is therefore defined as value-creating. A negative EVA means that a business is earning less than its cost of capital and is therefore defined as value-destroying. Other organizations that use EVA may define and calculate EVA differently.
A reconciliation of EVA may be found on our Investor Relations website under www.siemens.com
Siemens Capital Market Days, February 23-24, 2006 Page 28
Siemens Investor Relations Team
Marcus Desimoni +49-89-636-32445
Frank Heffter +49-89-636-34095
Irina Pchelova +49-89-636-33693
Christina Schmöe +49-89-636-32677
Susanne Wölfinger +49-89-636-30639
Webpage: http://www.siemens.com Investor Relations
e-mail: [email protected]
Fax: +49-89-636-32830