Wind policy in Germany – r emoving the bottlenecks for a continuing success story
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Transcript of Wind policy in Germany – r emoving the bottlenecks for a continuing success story
Wind policy in Germany – removing the bottlenecks for a continuing success story
Dania Röpke, Policy Advisor
German Wind Energy Association
2011|03|16
Agenda
The target: contrasting the government‘s and industry‘s targets
The policy: high investment stability through the EEG
The results: installations and market shares 2010
Challenges and opportunities onshore and offshore
Outlook: EEG amendment
Conclusions
Agenda
The target: contrasting the government‘s and industry‘s targets
The policy: high investment stability through the EEG
The results: installations and market shares 2010
Challenges and opportunities onshore and offshore
Outlook: EEG amendment
Conclusions
The target: contrasting the government‘s and industry‘s targets
Government’s estimations below industry’s
NREAP target non-binding Targets to be achieved by national measures only
Development of installed wind capacity underestimated
EU dir. 2009/28/EG
NREAP REPAP (Industry)
Gross final energy consumption 18% 19.6% 28%
Electricity sector Not defined 38.6% 47%
NREAP REPAP (Industry)
Onshore wind 35.750 45.000Offshore wind 10.000 10.000Total wind 45.750 55.000
Agenda
The target: contrasting the government‘s and industry‘s targets
The policy: high investment stability through the EEG
The results: installations and market shares 2010
Challenges and opportunities onshore and offshore
Outlook: EEG amendment
Conclusions
The policy: high investment security through the Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)
Main features Fixed initial and basic tariff for 20 years Priority access to the power grid, transmission and distribution Obligation for grid operators to optimize, boost and expand the grid Frequent changes between FIT and direct sales possible
Close up: Remuneration levels Onshore
– Initial tariff: 9.02 ct/kWh | 1%/a degression– Boni for repowering and system services of 0.5 ct/kWh each
Offshore– Initial tariff: 13 ct/kWh + 2 ct/kWh for projects before end of 2015 | 12 years– Basic tariff: 3.5 cent/kWh– Degression: 5%/a for new installations starting in 2015
Agenda
The target: contrasting the government‘s and industry‘s targets
The policy: high investment stability through the EEG
The results: installations and market shares 2010
Challenges and opportunities onshore and offshore
Outlook: EEG amendment
Conclusions
The results: total installed wind capacity in Germany
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
Neu installierte Leistung in Megawatt Gesamte installierte Leistung in Megawatt
31.01.2010
Total installed capacity: 27.215 MWNew installed capacity: 1.551,03 MW (183.39 MW Repowering)
31.01.2010
Total installed capacity: 27.215 MWNew installed capacity: 1.551,03 MW (183.39 MW Repowering)
Total installed capacity in megawattNew installed capacity in megawatt
The results: market shares of turbine producers in Germany
Other Other
Source: BWE/DEWI.
Agenda
The target: contrasting the Government‘s and industry‘s targets
The policy: high investment stability through the EEG
The results: installations and market shares 2010
Challenges and opportunities onshore and offshore
Outlook: EEG amendment
Conclusions
Increase new commissioned sites
Loosen rules for turbine height and rules for
minimum distances from communities
Kick-off repowering
Speed up grid expansion
Reduce temporal political insecurity
Onshore wind energy: removing the bottlenecks
Challenges and opportunities offshore wind
Government targets: 10 GW until 2020 | 20 - 25 GW until 2025/2030
Offshore in 2011: Alpha ventus: 60 MW | Baltic 1: 48,3 MW | BARD 1: 400 MW
Challenges Sites in large distance from shores and in high water depths Capital intensive project finance Grid connection
Overcoming the challenges
Experience gained with pilot projects
Tailored financing concepts
Grid connection responsibility of the TSO
Agenda
The target: contrasting the government‘s and industry‘s targets
The policy: high investment stability through the EEG
The results: installations and market shares 2010
Challenges and opportunities onshore and offshore
Outlook: EEG amendment
Conclusions
Outlook: EEG amendment
EEG 2012 enters into force on 2012|01|01
Key topics EEG amendment Continuity of wind regulations expected System and market integration
Key demands German Wind Energy Association Maintain the EEG‘s main features Market integration: optional market premium | renewables in balancing services market System integration: consistency bonus for virtual power plants
Agenda
The target: contrasting the government‘s and industry‘s targets
The policy: high investment stability through the EEG
The results: installations and market shares 2010
Challenges and opportunities onshore and offshore
Outlook: EEG amendment
Conclusions
Conclusion
Large potential for onshore and offshore wind – underestimated by the government
High investment security through the EEG
Stalled onshore wind capacity growth due to structural bottlenecks and investment insecurity caused by political uncertainty
Offshore wind capacity growth picked up: experience gained “offshore” and innovative financing concepts
Key demand for amendment to the EEG: maintain framework conditions and hence investment security of EEG 2009
More information: www.eeg-aktuell.de
The German Wind Energy Association BWE Largest renewable energy association worldwide 20.000 members: manufacturers, suppliers, operators, experts etc. About 40 staff Contact #1 for politics and media Activities
– Political communication and lobbying on the federal, state and regional level as well as on the intl./EU level (member of EWEA, GWEC, EREF und WWEA)
– Public relations– Seminars, workshops, conferences – Wind market overviews– Publisher of the leading professional renewable energy journal “neue energie” and
“new energy”
Thank you for your attention.German Wind Energy Association (BWE)
Tel.: +49 30 28482 179
E-Mail: [email protected]