WIND ENERGY ~ NAFTA Institute ~ Praxis Strategy Group Presentation 6 12 09
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Transcript of WIND ENERGY ~ NAFTA Institute ~ Praxis Strategy Group Presentation 6 12 09
ALTERNATIVE ENERGY
Dave RobyChief Operating Officer
Praxis Strategy Group is a growth strategy company that works with
communities, economic development corporations and agencies, research
and development organizations, and companies to develop and implement
strategic initiatives and business ventures.Financial challenges & risk
profile of new industries
An eight-time winner in the Small Business Innovation Research program
and a 1997 winner of SBA’s National Tibbetts award for contributions to and
success in the SBIR Program.
Business Consulting & funds sourcing
Military Base Assessment & Realignment projects
Managing Center for the Red River Valley Research Corridor – founded by
Senior Senator Byron Dorgan
Have developed & executed over 20 Action Summits
Praxis Energy Group LLC
NewGeography.com
Current International projects in London & Ghana
Sister company to Flint Communications (ad agency) & Media Productions
(event planning and execution unit)
400+ million People
In the USA by 2050
Source: Bureau of the Census, CensusScope
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40
60
80
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120
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1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Renewable/Other
Hydropower
Nuclear
Coal
Natural Gas
Petroleum
Source: Annual Energy Outlook. Report #:DOE/EIA-0383(2006)
US Energy Consumption by Source: 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu)
OPEC Remains Largest Oil
Source in 2030 on Current Path
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Canada Mexico North
Sea
OPEC Other
Middle
East
Other
Latin
America
Other
Africa
Other
Asia
% Total Imports in 2030
National Security
ConcernsOur growing dependence on unstable parts of the world
Dangerous and costly military commitments connected to energy needs
Vulnerability of energy flows at global choke points
Goals of North American
Energy Community
Independence from unstable authoritarian governments via a full energy mix of pooled resources from US, Canada & Mexico
Reduction in fossil fuel emissions, boosting alternatives + efficiency and conservation improvements go green both ways
Creating basis for sustainable economic growth for all of North America
When Oil Alternatives are Viable
Biodiesel * $80
US Corn-based ethanol * $60
Shale Oil $50
Tar sands, Brazilian cane-based ethanol,
Gas-to-liquids, Coal-to-liquids $40
Cambridge Energy Research Associates; The Economist. April 22nd, 2006. *Excludes the impact of tax credits
Biomass Resource Capacity Available by County
Biomass Fuels the Economy
Federal Renewable Fuels Standards Impactrequiring production of 7.5 billion gallons by 2012.
the reduction of crude oil imports by 2 billion barrels
reduce payments to foreign oil producers by $64 billion.
potential to create 234,840 new jobs in all sectors of the economy
increase household income by $43 billion
add $200 billion to GDP between 2005-2012
create $6 billion in new investment in renewable fuel production facilities
Bio-fuel Potential In U.S.
5.6 billion gallons of ethanol now in production
6 billion gallon capacity under construction
Cellulosic potential is enormous - provided technical
challenges are overcome
DOE and USDA
goal of replacing 30% of
transportation petroleum
used in US by 2030
Projected Corn Ethanol Production. . . accounts for <10% of motor fuel needs
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2007/08 2009/10 2011/12 2013/14 2015/16
Bil
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all
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With credit/tariff W/O credit/tariffUSDA analysis
Biodiesel Plants
CARD: Iowa State University 5/2007
Projected Soy Biodiesel Production. . .w/o tax credit (USDA analysis)
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100
200
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400
500
600
700
800
2007/08 2009/10 2011/12 2013/14 2015/16
Millio
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With credit W/O creditUSDA analysis
The Most Plentiful Resource
275 billion tons of Recoverable Coal
Coal is Electrifying
50+% electricity generated from coal in US
Abundant, cheap, widely distributed
Clean coal technologies available now
Carbon capture and sequestration
Can be mixed with biomass to lessen emissionsCoal = high rank biomass
Can be gasified and liquifiedCoal = heavy oil
Hydro Power #1 Renewable
in North America
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Canada US Mexico
Fossil/Nuke
Other Renew
Hydro
Total Gigawatt Electricity Generating Capacity (2005)
National Center for Hydrogen Technology
University of North Dakota
Energy and Environmental Research Center
Solar Potential is Regional
Wind could generate as much as
11 trillion kilowatt-hours of electricity each
year on the Great Plains, Great Lakes,
Rocky and Appalachian Mountains.
50,000 megawatts in Canada
Department of Energy Announces $93
million to Support Wind Energy – April
2009
Cross Border Transmission ~ MATL
It Can Be Done!
Current Transmission in Mexico
Barriers & Bottlenecks Uncertainty about the future
Financial challenges & risk profile of
new industries
Materials and construction
– Escalating costs and shortages
– Contractors running at full capacity
Distribution and transmission
– Highly complex, highly integrated
Siting and permitting
TRANSMISSION
What Government Can Do Increase incentives for domestic production of
energy, with gradual but steady focus on renewable and clean production
More investment in and incentives for energy efficiency technologies and conservation methods
Early adopter of new technologies, e.g. hydrogen, bio jet fuels
New investment in transmission lines for energy, particularly wind, solar and other renewable forms
Communities, Regions
& States Take the Initiative
• State tax incentives, credits & goals
• Community-based energy & economic development initiatives
• Multi-jurisidictional energy initiatives, e.g. Plug-In Partners National Campaign
Wenatchee, Washington
“If you want to have good ideas you must have many ideas.”
Linus PaulingQuantum chemist & biochemist
Nobel Prize Winner (2 times)
Become a possibility factory!High Throughput – Combinatorial
Questions and Comment