Why aren’t all Penguins Criminals? The Maths!. Table 2Table 3Table 1.
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Transcript of Why aren’t all Penguins Criminals? The Maths!. Table 2Table 3Table 1.
Why aren’t allPenguins Criminals?
The Maths!
Table 2
Table 3
Table 1
The THIEF gets more rocks
Table 1
The FORAGER gets more rocks
Table 2
THIEVES and FORAGERS do EQUALLY well
Table 3
The POPULATION gains MORE rocks if most penguins FORAGE
Table 2
Table 3
Table 1
Predict the Number of Criminals in the
Population?
or
YouYour Partner
FORAGE STEAL
FORAGE +1 +2
STEAL –1 –2
1 x chance of meeting
I’ll expect to get: If I play
+– 1 x chance of meeting
YouYour Partner
FORAGE STEAL
FORAGE +1 +2
STEAL –1 –2
I’ll expect to get: If I play
+– 2 x chance of meeting
2 x chance of meeting
=– 1 x chance of meeting Thief
1 x chance of meeting Forager
2 x chance of meeting Thief
2 x chance of meeting Forager
=Chance of meeting Thief
Chance of meeting Forager
–
=Number of Thieves
Number of Foragers
–
If I playIf I play
Predict the Number of Criminals in the
Population?
Q:
Over time Half the Penguins will become
Criminals
A:
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