Who’s Biggest_ the 100 Most Significant Figures in History _ TIME

3/30/2014 Who’s Biggest? The 100 Most Significant Figures in History | TIME.com

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Who’s Biggest? The 100 Most Significant

Figures in History

A data-driven ranking. Plus, have former TIME People of the Year been predictive?

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Who’s bigger: Washington or Lincoln? Hitler or Napoleon? Charles Dickens[1] or

Jane Austen? That depends on how you look at it.

When we set out to rank the significance of historical figures, we decided to not

approach the project the way historians might, through a principled assessment of

their individual achievements. Instead, we evaluated each person by aggregating

millions of traces of opinions into a computational data-centric analysis. We ranked

historical figures just as Google[2] ranks web pages, by integrating a diverse set of

measurements about their reputation into a single consensus value.

Significance is related to fame but measures something different. Forgotten U.S.

President Chester A. Arthur (who we rank as the 499th most significant person in

history) is more historically significant than young pop singer Justin Bieber

(currently ranked 8633), even though he may have a less devoted following and

lower contemporary name recognition. Historically significant figures leave

statistical evidence of their presence behind, if one knows where to look for it, and

we used several data sources[3] to fuel our ranking algorithms, including Wikipedia,

scanned books and Google n-grams.

http://topics.time.com/charles-dickens/

http://topics.time.com/google/

http://www.whoisbigger.com/



To fairly compare contemporary figures like Britney Spears against the ancient Greek

philosopher Aristotle, we adjusted for the fact that today’s stars will fade from living

memory over the next several generations. Intuitively it is clear that Britney Spears’

mindshare will decline substantially over the next 100 years, as people who grew up

hearing her are replaced by new generations. But Aristotle’s reputation will be much

more stable because this transition occurred long ago. The reputation he has now is

presumably destined to endure. By analyzing traces left in millions of scanned

books, we can measure just how fast this decay occurs, and correct for it.

We don’t expect you will agree with everyone chosen for the top 100, or exactly

where they are placed. But we trust you will agree that most selections are

reasonable: a quarter of them are philosophers or major religious figures, plus eight

scientists/inventors, thirteen giants in literature and music, and three of the

greatest artists of all time. We have validated our results by comparing them against

several standards: published rankings by historians, public polls, even in predicting

the prices of autographs, paintings, and baseball cards. Since we analyzed

the English Wikipedia, we admittedly measured the interests and judgments of

primarily the Western, English-speaking community. Our algorithms also don’t

include many women at the very top: Queen Elizabeth I (1533-1603) [at number 13]

is the top ranked woman in history according to our analysis. This is at least

partially due to women being underrepresented in Wikipedia.



[4]

Each year since 1927, TIME Magazine has selected an official Person of the Year,

recognizing an individual who “has done the most to influence the events of the

year.” Our rankings provide a way to see how well these selections have stood up

over time. Adolf Hitler [7] proves to be the most significant Person of the Year ever.

Albert Einstein[5] [19] was the most significant modern individual never selected for

the annual honor, though TIME did name him Person of the Century in 1999. Elvis

Presley [69] is the highest ranked figure that has been completely dissed: no author

or artist has ever so been honored.

The least significant Person of the Year proves to be Harlow Curtice [224326], the

president of General Motors for five years during the 1950s who increased capital

spending in a time of recession, which helped spur a recovery of the American

economy. Other obscure selections include Hugh Samuel “Iron Pants” Johnson

[32927], who Franklin Roosevelt appointed to head the depression-era National

Recovery Administration, and fired less than a year later. John Sirica [47053] was the

District Court Judge who ordered President Nixon to turn over tape recordings in the

Watergate Scandal. David Ho [66267] is credited with developing the combination

http://timeopinions.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/9781107041370.jpeg

http://topics.time.com/albert-einstein/



therapy that provided the first effective treatment for AIDS. His contributions to

human health arguably deserve a better significance rank than our algorithms gave

him here.

The 100 Most Significant Figures in History

1 Jesus

2 Napoleon

3 Muhammad

4 William Shakespeare

5 Abraham Lincoln

6 George Washington

7 Adolf Hitler

8 Aristotle

9 Alexander the Great

10 Thomas Jefferson

11 Henry VIII of England

12 Charles Darwin

13 Elizabeth I of England

14 Karl Marx

15 Julius Caesar

16 Queen Victoria

17 Martin Luther



18 Joseph Stalin

19 Albert Einstein

20 Christopher Columbus

21 Isaac Newton

22 Charlemagne

23 Theodore Roosevelt

24 Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart

25 Plato

26 Louis XIV of France

27 Ludwig van Beethoven

28 Ulysses S. Grant

29 Leonardo da Vinci

30 Augustus

31 Carl Linnaeus

32 Ronald Reagan

33 Charles Dickens

34 Paul the Apostle

35 Benjamin Franklin

36 George W. Bush

37 Winston Churchill



38 Genghis Khan

39 Charles I of England

40 Thomas Edison

41 James I of England

42 Friedrich Nietzsche

43 Franklin D. Roosevelt

44 Sigmund Freud

45 Alexander Hamilton

46 Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi

47 Woodrow Wilson

48 Johann Sebastian Bach

49 Galileo Galilei

50 Oliver Cromwell

51 James Madison

52 Gautama Buddha

53 Mark Twain

54 Edgar Allan Poe

55 Joseph Smith, Jr.

56 Adam Smith

57 David, King of Israel



58 George III of the United Kingdom

59 Immanuel Kant

60 James Cook

61 John Adams

62 Richard Wagner

63 Pyotr Ilyich Tchaikovsky

64 Voltaire

65 Saint Peter

66 Andrew Jackson

67 Constantine the Great

68 Socrates

69 Elvis Presley

70 William the Conqueror

71 John F. Kennedy

72 Augustine of Hippo

73 Vincent van Gogh

74 Nicolaus Copernicus

75 Vladimir Lenin

76 Robert E. Lee

77 Oscar Wilde



78 Charles II of England

79 Cicero

80 Jean-Jacques Rousseau

81 Francis Bacon

82 Richard Nixon

83 Louis XVI of France

84 Charles V, Holy Roman Emperor

85 King Arthur

86 Michelangelo

87 Philip II of Spain

88 Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

89 Ali, founder of Sufism

90 Thomas Aquinas

91 Pope John Paul II

92 René Descartes

93 Nikola Tesla

94 Harry S. Truman

95 Joan of Arc

96 Dante Alighieri

97 Otto von Bismarck



1. http://topics.time.com/charles-dickens/

2. http://topics.time.com/google/

3. http://www.whoisbigger.com/

4. http://timeopinions.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/9781107041370.jpeg

5. http://topics.time.com/albert-einstein/

6. http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1107041376/ref=s9_psimh_gw_p14_d0_i1?

pf_rd_m=ATVPDKIKX0DER&pf_rd_s=center-

2&pf_rd_r=1T50XTX9WKERMNRPSNSM&pf_rd_t=101&pf_rd_p=1630083502&pf_rd_i=507846

98 Grover Cleveland

99 John Calvin

100 John Locke

Steven Skiena and Charles B. Ward are the authors of Who’s Bigger? Where Historical

Figures Really Rank[6], Cambridge University Press, 2013. The views expressed are solely

their own.

http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1107041376/ref=s9_psimh_gw_p14_d0_i1?pf_rd_m=ATVPDKIKX0DER&pf_rd_s=center-2&pf_rd_r=1T50XTX9WKERMNRPSNSM&pf_rd_t=101&pf_rd_p=1630083502&pf_rd_i=507846

Who’s Biggest_ the 100 Most Significant Figures in History _ TIME

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