Whole Energy Systems Transition - Getting to Zero...
10
10/19/2016 1 Whole Energy Systems Transition A Playbook to guide cities towards long-term decarbonization A Collaborative Effort of: City of Boulder City of Minneapolis City of Seattle Integral Group Funded by: THE CNCA PLAYBOOK “…a step‐by‐step process for municipal governments to follow to move their energy system toward a zero emission energy future.”
Transcript of Whole Energy Systems Transition - Getting to Zero...
10/19/2016
1
Whole Energy Systems TransitionA Playbook to guide cities towards long-term decarbonization
A Collaborative Effort of:
City of BoulderCity of MinneapolisCity of SeattleIntegral Group
Funded by:
THE CNCA PLAYBOOK
“…a step‐by‐step process for municipal governments to follow to move their energy system toward a zero emission energy future.”
10/19/2016
2
• Develop a Playbook for energy system transformation
• Apply to three U.S. neighborhoods and develop associated Action Plans
• Refine Playbook based on outcomes
OBJECTIVES
http://usdn.org/public/page/91/CNCA-Innovation-Fund-Products
10/19/2016
3
STEP 1UNDERSTAND YOUR ENERGY SYSTEM
Electric Utilities
Municipal Governments
End Users
Industry
Gas Utilities
State Governments
• Existing plans and priorities?
• Policies or targets?
• Vulnerabilities or sensitivities?
STEP 2 CHARACTERIZE YOUR SPHERE OF INFLUENCE
A city’s sphere of influence or control over different functions and assets will determine the kinds of
actions it can pursue
CONTROL: Near-complete or full decision making authority
INFLUENCE: Access to resources/forums necessary to influence decision-making
INTEREST: No authority or influence
10/19/2016
4
Projecting energy and emissions gives cities insight into priority areas and the value of different actions
STEP 3QUANTIFY THE BASELINE
10/19/2016
5
POLITICAL
LEGAL SOCIO‐CULTURAL
TECHNOLOGICAL
ECONOMICENVIRONMENTAL
P E S T L E
A series of questions guides users towards an understanding of different system characteristics, trends,
barriers or opportunities in the energy transformation
STEP 4 IDENTIFY BARRIERS + OPPORTUNITIES
Community Based Renewable Energy (DES)
Distributed Renewable Energy
Smart/Micro Grids
Building Retrofit Programs
Separated Cycling Infrastructure
EV car Share
Rapid Transit
Building Codes
Lower Complexity/Many Transactions
Higher Complexity/Fewer Transactions
STEP 5SELECT ACTIONS
10/19/2016
6
LOW INTERESTHIGH INFLUENCELOW INTEREST
HIGH INFLUENCEHIGH INTEREST
HIGH INFLUENCEHIGH INTEREST
HIGH INFLUENCE
HIGH INTERESTLOW INFLUENCEHIGH INTEREST
LOW INFLUENCELOW INTEREST
LOW INFLUENCELOW INTEREST
LOW INFLUENCE
INTERESTINTEREST
INFL
UEN
CE
INFL
UEN
CE
STEPS 6/7IDENTIFY CO-BENEFITS + STAKEHOLDERS
Cities can create an engagement strategy based on the varying levels of interest and influence of different stakeholders
APPLICATION: EAST ARAPAHOE
• Low density with large lots
• Mostly light industrial• Increasingly
commercial/services• Primarily vehicle-
oriented
10/19/2016
7
ONGOING PLANNING
• East Arapahoe Transportation Plan currently underway• Ongoing Community Working Group meetings• Mixed use neighborhood potential
10/19/2016
8
Most reductions from CAFE standard
Building policies and programs drive down electricity consumption
New residential development increases natural gas consumption
EV adoption requires grid decarbonization to generate GHG reductions
BASELINE SCENARIOGHG EMISSIONS
Grid decarbonization is important
GHG reductions from NZE codes ~25%
EV adoption more impactful as grid decarbonizes
Remaining emissions from gasoline and diesel
TRANSFORMATION SCENARIOGHG EMISSIONS
10/19/2016
9
• ENERGY SUPPLY: Grid decarbonization is critical
• NEW CONSTRUCTION: Reduce future retrofit investment by accelerating fossil fuel-free codes
• EXSITING BUILDINGS: Scale of retrofits required necessitates new, innovative programmatic thinking
• TRANSPORTATION: Eliminating remaining gasoline and diesel requires zero emission transit and passenger vehicles
KEY TAKEAWAYSTRANSITION SCENARIO
ENERGY SUPPLY:
• Grid supply matters
• Lots of local RE requires grid modernization
BUILDINGS:
• Cities need to address building codes for both new and existing buildings
• Scale of retrofits required necessitates new, innovative programmatic thinking
• Fuel switching is more important than energy efficiency
TRANSPORTATION
• Need a long-term shift to zero-emission vehicles + mode shift
• Federal fuel efficiency standards are key
OVERALL INSIGHTS
