What’s a Watershed Worth? - Rutgers...

75
Gerald J. Kauffman University of Delaware Rutgers College ‘81 What’s a Watershed Worth? June 13, 2014

Transcript of What’s a Watershed Worth? - Rutgers...

Gerald J. Kauffman University of Delaware

Rutgers College ‘81

What’s a Watershed Worth?

June 13, 2014

Rutgers 6 Princeton 4

Nov 6, 1869

Globe $33 trillion (Costanza et al. 1997)

$125 trillion (Costanza et al. 2014)

NWR System $27 billion (Ingraham and Foster 2008)

New Jersey $20 billion (Mates et al. 2007)

Delaware River $21 billion (Kauffman 2011)

Barnegat Bay $2.3 billion (Kauffman et al. 2012)

World $73 trillion

U.S. $16 trillion

Sweden $523 billion

New Jersey $508 billion

Norway $500 billion

1. Delaware 61,183

2. Alaska 61,156

3. North Dakota 55,250

4. Connecticut 54,925

5. Wyoming 54,305

6. Massachusetts 53,221 7. New York 53,067

8. New Jersey 49,430

1. Luxembourg $78,670

2. Quatar $98,814

3. Macau $77,607

4. Norway $54,947

5. Singapore $64,584

6. Kuwait $54,654

7. Brunei $53,431

8. U.S. $53,101

9. Hong Kong $52,722

10. New Jersey $49,430 49,430

11. Switzerland $46,430

State Supply Pop. Millions gpcd

1. VT 59

0.6 100

2. ME

130

1.3 100

3. ND 76

0.7 109

4. NH

141

1.3 109

5. WI

639

5.7 112

6. NC 1,082

9.5 114

7. DE

102

0.9 114

8. RI

126

1.1 115

9. MN

614

5.3 116

10. WV

222

1.9 117

11. NJ 1,037

8.8 118

Public Water Supply (2005) vs. GDP (2010)

y = 274.38x + 30053

R2 = 0.9409

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000Water Use

GD

P (

$ m

illi

on

)

13,000 sq mi

8.2 million people

11th most populous state

Drinking water: 5% of U.S.

1st, 7th largest metro. economies

Del. (74% of pop.)

NJ (35% of pop.)

NY (55% of pop.)

Pa. (43% of pop.)

The Delaware River Basin

United States

President

Barack Obama

New York

Governor

Andrew Cuomo

Pennsylvania

Governor

Corbett

New Jersey

Governor

Chris Christie

Delaware

Governor

Jack Markell

Delaware River

Basin Commission

USDA

NRCS

USFS

Congress

25

Congressmen

8

SenatorsHomeland

Security

FEMA

Coast Guard

Interior

NPS

USFWS

USGS

EPA

Defense

USACOE

Commerce

NOAA

NWS

6 Countiies

New York City

35 Towns

17 Counties

Philadelphia

Allentown

125 Towns

Camden

Trenton

330 Towns

11 Counties

Wilmington

37 Towns

3 Counties

Del. Riverkeeper

Natural Lands Trust

Del. Estuary Program

Nature Conservancy

Sierra Club

WRADRB

Population Change

Delaware Basin, 2000-2010

80,155

843

94,752

3,708

313,485

492,942

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

Delaw

are

Mar

ylan

d

New

Jer

sey

New

Yor

k

Pen

nsylva

nia

Del. B

asin

1609

1961

Wastewater treatment 90% BOD removal: $95 M/year

463,000 acres of wetlands in Del. Estuary watershed

Treats 590 million lb waste/year (90% BOD removal)

Wetlands removal costs: $2.00/lb BOD/year

Wetlands replacement value: $1.18 billion/year

The Delaware River Basin

in Del., NJ, NY, and Pa. contributes:

1. $25 billion in annual economic value from recreation,

water quality, water supply, ecotourism, forest, agriculture, open space, and port benefits.

2. Ecosystem goods and services worth $21 billion per year, net present value (NPV) = $683 billion.

3. Over 600,000 jobs with $10 billion in wages.

$425

$1,220 $1,540

$1,830

$2,457 $2,621

$3,371

$3,818

$5,129

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

$ m

illi

on

Annual Economic BenefitsDelaware River Basin

Fish Landings

$34 million

$0.60/lb

58 million lb source: NMFS

Skiing

$325 million 1,753 jobs 9 ski areas 1,005 acres 1 mgd 1.9 million ski visits source: PSAA 2010

Paddling

$362 million

4,226 jobs

Gear: $66 mil

Trips: $296 mil

620,860 paddlers

source: Outdoor Industry Assoc. 2006

Powerboating $395 million 232,000 registrations NY, Del., Pa., NJ

ranked 3rd, 7th, 17th, and 23rd in sales

source: National Marine Manufacturers Assoc. 2010

Fishing, Hunting, Bird Watching

Fishing $576 million

(18 trips/angler, $53/trip)

• Hunting $340 million

(16 trips/hunter, $50/trip)

• Bird Watching $561 million

(13/trips/yr, $27 trip)

Source: USFWS 2006

Shad Fishing

$6.5 million

63,000 trips

$102/trip

Pa. Fish & Boat Commission, 2011

Wild Trout Fishing

$29 million

350 jobs

(Maharaj, McGurrin, and Carpenter, 1998)

Delaware Water Gap Natl. Rec. Area

$100 million

7,600 jobs

4,900,000 visits

490,000 motel visits

240,000 camp overnights

Stynes and Sun (2002)

Public Water Supply State Supply (mgd) Value ($4.78/1000 gal)

Del. 40 $70

NJ 284 $495

NY 800 $1,396

Pa. 679 $1,185

1,803 mgd $3,146 million

Public Water Supply Withdrawals

Delaware River Basin

PA, 679 mgd

NY, 800 mgd

NJ, 284 mgd

DE, 40 mgd

Wetlands - $6.8 billion

Farms - $4.8 billion

Forests – $8.6 billion

Ecosystem Goods and Services

Ecosystem Services Value

Delaware River Basin

0

2

4

6

8

10

Del. NY NJ Pa.

$ b

illio

n/y

r

Natural Capital Value of Ecosystems

in the Delaware River Basin

$44 M $166 M $180 M $412 M$1,055 M

$4,823 M

$5,759 M

$8,591 M

0

2,000,000,000

4,000,000,000

6,000,000,000

8,000,000,000

10,000,000,000

Bea

ch/d

une

Mar

ine

Ope

n wat

er

Urb

an

Saltw

ater

wet

land

s

Farmland

Fresh

wat

er w

etland

s

Fores

t

$/y

r

Marine & Water-related Construction

Fishing & Aquaculture Ship/Boat Building Tourism/Recreation Marine Transportation Hunting/Fishing/Wildlife

Recreation-related Farming Water/Wastewater Utility Ports Watershed

Protection/Management

>600,000 jobs ($10 billion in wages)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

0 1 2 3 4 5

Cap

ital an

d O

&M

Co

sts

($ m

illio

n)

Summer Average DO (mg/l)

Costs to Achieve DO Objectives (1975-1980)Delaware Estuary near Philadelphia

Max Cost Min Cost

Consumer surplus is the difference between the amount

that consumers actually pay and the amount that they would

have been willing to pay.

Price

($/1000 gal)

Quantity (gal)

Demand

Supply Consumer

Surplus

$

D.O. (mg/l)

Marginal Benefits

(MB)

Marginal Costs

(MC)

qp

State Urban

(%)

Ag

(%)

Forest

(%)

NY 2% 11% 87%

PA 23% 20% 57%

NJ 17% 29% 54%

DE 25% 28% 46%

DRB 17% 20% 62%

Nitrogen Loads

Delaware River Basin

Agriculture

14,625 tons/yr

29%

Suburban/

Urban

7,073 tons/yr

14%

Atmospheric

Deposition

6,063 tons/yr

12%

Wastewater

23,241 tons/yr

45%

Per-Pound Costs of Reducing Nitrogen Pollution

in the Chesapeake Bay Region

$75.00

$27.65$21.90

$7.00 $4.70 $3.30 $3.20 $3.20 $3.10 $1.50 $1.20

$92.40

0

20

40

60

80

100

Sto

rmwat

er R

etro

fit

Sto

rmwat

er M

gmt.

New

Site

s

Airb

orne

NO

X re

ductio

n

WW

TP U

pgra

de (M

ean)

Nut

rient

Man

agem

ent P

lan

Oys

ter a

quac

ultu

re

Cov

er C

rops

Land

Ret

irem

ent

Con

serv

ation

Tilla

ge

Gra

ss B

uffe

rs

Fores

t Buf

fers

Res

tore

d W

etland

s

Fores

t Buf

fers

($/lb

N)

0

100

200

300

400

500

Co

sts

($/y

r)

Mill

ion

sCost by State for Median 32% Nitrogen Reduction

Delaware Basin

Agriculture

Urban/Suburban

Wastewater

Atmospheric NOX

Nitrogen Marginal Abatement Cost Curve

Delaware Basin

Agricultural

Conservation

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 100 200 300 400 500

Costs to Reduce N Loads by 32% ($ million)

N L

oad

Red

ucti

on

(millio

n lb

/yr)

Wastewater

Treatment

Atmospheric

Deposition

Urban/Suburban

Stormwater BMPs

0

10

20

30

40

50

1980 1985 1990 1995DO

(m

g/l x

10

) a

nd

Ca

tch

pe

r H

au

l

Catch per Haul vs. Dissolved OxygenDelaware River at Ben Branklin Bridge

Ben Franklin Br DO American Shad White Perch Striped Bass

American ShadCPH = 0.47(DO) - 3.27R2 = 0.66

White PerchCPH = 0.68(DO) - 2.29R2 = 0.46

Striped BassCPH = 0.13(DO) - 0.40

R2 = 0.53

Increased Property Value

Due to Improved Water Quality (EPA 1973)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000

Distance from Water (ft)

Inc

rea

se

d V

alu

e (

%)

Resources for the Future water quality ladder (Carson and Mitchell 1993)

0 0 7 2 8 012 13

56

15

76

8

130

46

0 2 416 16 17 17 24 27

68 74

115

188203

334

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

($ m

illi

on

/yr)

Annual Benefits of Improved Water Quality

in the Delaware River

Lower BoundUpper Bound

Viewing, Boating, Fishing, $68M, 6%

Boating, $334M, 30%

Recreational Fishing, $202M,

18%

Shad fishing,

$3.9M, 0%

Bird/Wildlife Watching, $33M, 3%

Waterfowl Hunting,

$1.6M, 0%

Swimming, 0, 0%

Beach Going, $16M,

2%

Commercial Fishing, $17M, 2%

Agriculture, $188M, 17%

Navigation, $16M, 2%

Property Value, $27M, 2%

Municipal Water Supply, $24M, 2%

Industrial Water Supply, $17M, 2%

Nonuse Benefits,

$115M, 10%

Annual Benefits of Improved Water Qualityin the Delaware River

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0

$ m

illio

n/y

r

DO (mg/l)

Optimal Water Qualityin the Delaware River

Marginal Cost (Low) Median 32% N Reduction Marginal Cost (High) 75th Percentile

Marginal Benefits (Low) Marginal Benefits (High)

MB (High)

MB (Low)

MC (High)

MC (Low)

$2.8B

$4.8B

$403M

$917M

Annual Economic Value

Delaware River Basin

$4.2 billion

$2.8 billion

$0.9 billion

$0.4 billion

0

1

2

3

4

5

Marcellus Shale

Gas

Recreation/Water

Quality

Drinking Water

Supply

Forests

$ b

illi

on

/year

Annual Economic Value

Delaware River Basin

$4.2 billion

$2.8 billion

$0.9 billion

$0.4 billion

0

1

2

3

4

5

Marcellus Shale

Gas

Recreation/Water

Quality

Drinking Water

Supply

Forests

$ b

illi

on

/year

NJ tourism > $40 billion

Exceeds GDP of all but 80 countries

Tourism in Ocean County generated: 1995, $1.71 billion, 45,000

jobs, $631 million wages 2011, $3.35 billion

The Barnegat Bay Watershed

Barnegat Bay Watershed Population

576,567 (winter), 1,500,000 (summer)

2000 - 2010, Ocean Co. population grew by 59,992 (11.7%)

Ocean County, 2nd fastest growing county in NJ

Population Change in New Jersey Counties

2000-2010

0.2%0.6%1.1%2.0%

3.3%3.6%4.2%4.4%4.5%

5.1%5.1%6.1%6.5%

7.4%7.8%

9.4%

11.7%

13.1%

-1.9%-2.9%

-6.1%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Ca

pe

Ma

y

Esse

x

Hu

dso

n

Pa

ssa

ic

Un

ion

Be

rge

n

Ca

md

en

Sa

lem

Mo

rris

Me

rce

r

Mo

nm

ou

th

Su

sse

x

Bu

rlin

gto

n

Mid

dle

se

x

Hu

nte

rdo

n

Wa

rre

n

Atla

ntic

Cu

mb

erla

nd

So

me

rse

t

Oce

an

Glo

uce

ste

r

Po

pu

lati

on

Ch

an

ge (

%)

Water Quality $224 million

Water Supply $59 million

Fish/Wildlife $189 million

Recreation $1,583 million

Agriculture $12 million

Forests $208 million

Public Parks $1,770 million

Total > $4 billion

Barnegat Bay Watershed

Annual Economic Activity

Willingness to Pay for Improved Water Quality

Barnegat Bay Watershed ($2010)

$0

$50,000,000

$100,000,000

$150,000,000

$200,000,000

$250,000,000

Viewing Boating Fishing Total

Water Quality Use Support

An

nu

al

WT

P (

$)

Low Value (Year-round population) High Value (Summer Population)

Commercial Fish Landings

Long Beach-Barnegat and Point Pleasant ports are 32nd and 36th most valuable commercial fishing ports in U.S. (NMFS and NOEP 2010)

Combined ports would be the 16th most valuable commercial fishing port in the U.S. with $48.6 million in annual fish landings.

Hard Clam Landings

Ocean County, New Jersey (NMFS)

Blue crab landings in the Barnegat Bay •23.5% of total New Jersey blue crab landings. •In 2007, 4.8 million pounds of blue crabs were harvested in NJ •Landed value of $5.5 million •Estimated value of the bay’s blue crab fishery is about $825,000.

Summer Flounder

Summer flounder (42% of trips), striped bass (19% of trips), and bluefish (7.5% of trips), Ligget in Bricker et al. (2007)

$10.26 benefit to increased catch per trip (McConnell and Strand (1994).

Summer flounder accounts 2.5 million trips or about 42% of 5.9 million inland fishing trips in the Barnegat Bay.

benefit to summer flounder fishermen from improved in water quality in Barnegat Bay is $25.4 million/year.

Recreational Boating (

NJ boaters spent $2.1 billion in 2006, generated 18,000 jobs.

$2.1 billion in recreational boating expenditures.

Average cost of a boat trip was $273.

Boaters spent $6,340/yr

Barnegat Bay and Inlet ranked No.1 as most popular boating destination in the Garden State.

More Ocean Co. residents are registered boaters (22,505) than in any other county.

27.9% of all NJ boats are docked in Ocean Co.

Recreational boating contributes $590 million annually to the Barnegat Bay economy and responsible for 5,000 - 6,300 jobs.

State Parks

Mates and Reyes (2006), $21/visit, 14.2 million visitors /yr from 2000-2005 to the NJ state park and forest system

Contributed $304 to $347 million annually to the State economy and supported about 7,000 jobs.

In FY 2011,state parks recorded 18.8 million visitors.

State parks in Barnegat Bay watershed contribute $23 to $27 million and 539 jobs to the local economy.

Forests

Forests in the Barnegat Bay watershed (275.5 sq mi) have benefits of:

• Carbon storage ($146 million)

• Carbon sequestration ($5.1 million)

• Air-pollution removal ($47 million)

• Building-energy savings ($9.8 million)

Annual Economic Value

Barnegat Bay Watershed

1259

189 208 224

1,583

1,770

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000A

gric

ultu

re

Wate

r S

uppl

y

Fis

h/W

ildlif

e

For

ests

Wate

r Q

ualit

y

Rec

reat

ion

Pub

lic P

arks

$ m

illi

on

Value of Natural Goods and Services in the

Barnegat Bay Watershed, 2006

$155,209,135

$75,155,098

$35,440,983 $3,035,462

$0

$908,934,190

$778,269,265

$282,038,938

$16,097,342

Freshwater wetlands

Marine

Forest

Saltwater wetland

Beach/dune

Urban

Farmland

Open water

Barren land

Sector Jobs Wages

($ million)

Direct Watershed-Related 25,630 851

Indirect Watershed-Related 30,756 681

Coastal 11,565 206

Farm 1,045 50

Fishing/Hunting/Birding 3,364 110

National Wildlife Refuge 41 1.5

Wetlands 360 23

Boating 5,000 200

Outdoor Recreation 3,029 150

State Parks 539 27

Watershed Organizations 50 2.4

Water Supply Utilities 535 30

Wastewater Utilities 50 3

The Barnegat Bay watershed in Ocean County and Monmouth County, New Jersey contributes:

1. $4 billion in annual economic value from recreation, water quality, water supply, ecotourism, forest, agriculture, parks benefits.

2. Ecosystem goods and services worth $2.3 billion per year, net present value (NPV) = $73.3 billion.

3. Over 60,000 jobs with $2 billion in wages.

Questions?