What’s Happening with - Steel Founders Society of America Market.pdf · 2017-10-10 · Frac...

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What’s Happening with the Sand Supply? Sara Joyce Badger Mining Corporation

Transcript of What’s Happening with - Steel Founders Society of America Market.pdf · 2017-10-10 · Frac...

Page 1: What’s Happening with - Steel Founders Society of America Market.pdf · 2017-10-10 · Frac Consumption has increased dramatically over the last 5 years due to the advancement of

What’s Happening with

the Sand Supply?

Sara Joyce

Badger Mining Corporation

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0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

1996 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

SH

OR

T T

ON

S (

000's

)U S INDUSTRIAL SAND MARKET

Source: U S Geological Survey

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0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

1996 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

% o

f M

ark

et

U S Silica Sand Market by Tons

Glass Fdy Frac Other

Source: U. S. Geological Survey

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What is Hydraulic Fracturing?• Process which is used to

assist release of natural gas

and oil from rock/shale

• Drill the well

• Case the well

• Perforate the well

• Place Proppant in the well

(fracking!)

• Let oil or gas flow

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Vertical Wells

• Straight down into the

earth

• Wells are perforated

near the well bore

• Use coarse grades

(1630,2040,3050)

• Conventional

Horizontal Wells

• Down, then sideways

• Perforated along

horizontal leg

• Use MUCH more sand

• Use finer sand in natural

gas wells (4070)

• Unconventional

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Frac Consumption has increased

dramatically over the last 5 years due

to the advancement of the horizontal

drilling process which:

• Improves recovery in shale plays

• Reduces environmental footprint

• Makes massive new areas feasible for

exploration and drilling of oil and gas

• Can access hard to reach areas

• Requires up to 5X sand over conventional

• Commonly uses 40x70 grade (similar to 50/55

GFN)

Most activity has been in pursuit of natural gas!

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U S Drilling Activity by Rig Type

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What makes a good proppant:

• High purity

• Round grains

• Two screen

• Crush resistant

• No fines (NTU’s)

• Large quantities

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Industrial Sand Application

Ranges

20x40Conventional

Frac

30x50Conventional

Frac

40x70Horizontal

Frac

50 GFN Foundry

60 GFN Foundry

50x140Horizontal

Frac

Mesh 20 30 40 50 70 100 140 200

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API/ISO SAND SPECIFICATION

Grade 4070 means that 90% of the sand is

below 40 mesh but above the 70 mesh.

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Foundry vs Frac

Grades

0

10

20

30

40

50

PE

RC

EN

T O

N

SIEVE

Fdy 50 GFN

Fdy 55 GFN

Frac 40x70

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

PE

RC

EN

T O

N

SIEVE

Frac 50x140

Fdy 75 GFN

Foundry vs Frac

Grades

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Tons of Frac 4070 vs All Foundry Grades

0.39

0.9

0.69

0.60

0.89

1.23

1.00

0.88

0.78

0.51

0.86

1.07

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

IND

EX

VA

LU

E

4070 FRAC INDEX FDY INDEX (2006 = 100%)

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Where is this going???? • High frac demand to continue

• Average frac sand price remains well above other industrial users

• Suppliers diverting capacity to frac

• Suppliers adjust process to create more frac

• New capacity dedicated entirely to frac

Foundry is 3 – 4 million tons today

0

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

2000 2006 2011 2016

Frac Tons

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Multiple new suppliers in

western Wisconsin may help

to ease the 4070 shortage!

• 30 + plants

– Many under construction

– 12 proposed new plants

– At least 7 to 15 more that are in the

development stage

– ALL ARE DESIGEND TO PRODUCE

FRAC

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Issues Facing Sand Plants

• Capitalization

• Permits

• Quality/Specifications

• Public Backlash

– Environmental

– Damage to infrastructure

– Hours of operation

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Reduction in 4070 Demand is

Temporary:

• Return of 2007 base industrial demand

• Return of normal winters

• Increased use to generate electricity

• Increased use to fuel fleet vehicles

• Supplement to coarser grades

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US as Exporter!

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Some Good News• The energy industry uses many

different types of castings

– Valves

– Pipes

– Pumps

– Motors

– Heavy Truck

– Mining Equipment

– Drill bits

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More Good News• Reliable suppliers continue to

supply the metal casting industry

• New 4070 suppliers should improve

available supply

• The metal casting industry is busy

and the outlook is good

• Strong energy industry activity

reduces U S import dependence

• Natural gas prices currently very low

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What can be done?• Sand Reclamation

– Advances in technology have resulted in

better processes that work well

– The EPA has dropped classification of

thermal reclaimers as waste incinerators

– Most sand from the Midwest reclaims

better than other areas

– Provides other performance advantages

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What can be done?• Work closely with your supplier

– Advise any increase in requirements

– Advise of any change in performance

– Visit supplier facilities

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Summary

• The sand market will continue to be

affected by supply and demand

imbalances

• Keys to watch:

– Natural gas demand

– Natural gas prices

– Success of new sand suppliers

– Total frac demand

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THANK YOU!