What to Watch – Global Market Update (10/13/14)
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Transcript of What to Watch – Global Market Update (10/13/14)
Charts to WatchGlobal Market Update
October 13, 2014
Global Clients…Global Portfolios
disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Charts to Watch report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
4
10 Year UST Yields – This Week
5
S&P 500 – This Week
6
S&P 500 Sectors – This Week
7
Global Regions – This Week
Financial Conditions
9
Developed Markets – Year to Date
10
Emerging Markets – Year to Date
11
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)
12
Global Financial Stress Index (Higher Level = Higher Stress)
Fixed Income & Credit
14
US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)
15
UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve
16
U.S. Treasury 2 Year Yield
17
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
18
U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield
19
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)
20
Investment Grade Bond Prices
21
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
22
High Yield Bond Prices
23
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
24
Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)
25
Emerging Market Bond Spreads
26
Relative Bond Spreads
Global Equities
28
MSCI All Country World Index - USD
29
S&P 500 Index
30
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index - USD
31
MSCI Emerging Markets Index - USD
32
SPX vs. EAFE vs. EM
33
Trend Analysis by Sector (S&P500)
34
1 Year Performance by Sector (S&P500)
35
Sector Performance by Region (YTD)
The Economy
37
Last week’s Economic Calendar
38
Next week’s Economic Calendar
39
U.S. Economic Watch – Leading Economic Indicators
40
U.S. Economic Watch – Leading Economic Indicators
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U.S. Economic Watch – Housing Market
42
U.S. Economic Watch – Housing Market
Currencies & Commodities
44
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)
45
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q4 2014)
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US Dollar $
47
Euro €
48
Japanese Yen ¥
49
British Pound £
50
Global Commodity Prices
51
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years
52
Gold Prices – 5 Years
53
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years