What does the move to electric vehicles mean for steel and...
Transcript of What does the move to electric vehicles mean for steel and...
What does the move to electric vehiclesmean for steel and ArcelorMittal?
Philippe AubronCMO Automotive Europe ArcelorMittal Europe – Flat Products
Europe media day 2017Paris, 28 November
• What’s driving change in the automotive sector today?
• Key factors behind the growth of electric vehicles
• The impact of electrification on lightweighting
• How is ArcelorMittal placed to benefit?
• Steel as the material of choice
• Autonomous vehicles - what they mean for steel
What’s driving change in the automotive sector today?
• New regulations: reducing CO2emissions while tightening testing requirements
• Vehicle design and driving restrictions: aimed at reducing smog and particulate levels for improved public health – particularly in city centres
Pollution
Local impact:smog
Global impact:climate change
CO2 reductions and future targets
EU proposal, Nov 8th 2017- 30% vs. 2021
Source: IICT – July 2017
Significant reductions in CO2emissions have been achieved
BUT
Significant reductions are still expected
66g
Clean air regulations are growing
New regulations
• Europe: EU C02 2030 regulation: -30 % in 2030 vs 2021, with more stringent test conditions
• Nafta: US may revise their objectives for 2025
• China: 20% of new electrical vehicle by 2025; 50% improvement on mileage/litre
Political trends
• UK and France: targeting end of internal combustion engine cars by 2040
• China, India: targeting fast growth in electrification
New fuel efficiency regulations, aimed at reducing C• 02 emissions will:
• When smog and particulate reductions are combined with fuel efficiency regulations –automakers will develop electric vehicles
• This trend will also change consumer behaviour and habits
Impact of regulations on the automotive sector
improve drive train efficiency
reduce vehicle weight
improve vehicle drag and friction
Today’s technologies for electric vehicles
Technology-driven trends in the automotive
industry are leading to new
powertrain technologies
What are the key short term drivers of electric vehicle design?
Cost
BEV range
Charginginfrastructure
Source : Ricardo, 2017
• 63% rise in BEVs sales, year on year
• 1 million BEV sales expected
Summary of market changes: we are moving quickly towards an electrified world
VW to spend $40bn on electrification in next five years
GM to launch at least 20 new electric vehicles by 2023
Raft of announcements from OEMs in the last three months, announcing investments in electrification
2017
Cost and range are two key drivers
However, there are many other benefits that will attract consumers:
BEVs have roughly • 1/8 the rotating parts, meaning less wear and tear and potentially up to 1,000,000 km vehicle life.
Regular maintenance is significantly lower (• eg. no oil changes)
Operating costs per km are significantly lower•
When will Battery Electric Vehicle sales really take off?
Designing vehicles with cost effective weight reduction:
The mass-market Tesla Model 3 body and chassis is a blend of steel and aluminum, unlike the Tesla Model S which is an aluminium body(Source: Tesla website*)
86% steels including 44% of AHSS on the body-in-white of the Chevrolet Bolt (source General Motors)
Electrical vehicles today favour lightweight design similar to traditional vehicles
Electric vehicles today employ advanced lightweighting to achieve their range goals
* https://www.tesla.com/compare
Less pressure on •lightweighting due to batterytechnology improvements(costs & driving range)
Small • increase in numbers of batteries will likely be more cost effective at adding range than lightweighting withalternative materials
Steel • will remain a cost-effective lightweight material.
The improvements in battery performance –impact on lightweighting
Bat
tery
cost
($/K
Wh)
Energy density (vehicle range)
Future BEV design
Current BEV design(using combustion engine vehiclearchitecture)
• Global footprint
• Broadest product offer
• Co-engineering with OEMs
• Downstream solutions
• Broad set of emerging solutions
How is ArcelorMittal placed to benefit?
Global presence – global reach
> 20 M veh> 15 M veh & < 20 M veh> 10 M veh & < 15 M veh> 5 M veh & < 10 M veh> 2.5 M veh & < 5 M veh> 1 M veh & < 2.5 M veh< 1 M veh
Vehicle production 2016
Automotive production facilitiesAlliances & JVsCommercial teamsR&D centres
Global supplier with increasing emerging market exposure
Our European automotive production sites - Flat Products and downstream
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Poland
Turkey
Romania
Germany
Italy
Spain
France
Belgium
Luxembourg
Downstream facilities
Steelmaking facilities
Steelmaking and downstream facilities
Avilès (ES)Borçelik* (TR)Bremen (DE)Desvres (FR)Dudelange (LU)Dunkerque (FR)Eisenhuttenstadt (DE)Florange (FR)Fos-sur-Mer (FR)Galați (RO)Genk (BE)Gent (BE)Kraków (PL)Liège (BE)Mardyck (FR)Montataire (FR)Mouzon (FR)Piombino (IT)Sagunto (ES)Saint-Chély-d’Apcher** (FR)
*Joint ventures**Electrical steels production
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Our solutions for e-mobility and lightweighting
Fortiform®
Fortiform® S
Third-generation UHSS for cold stamping. Cold rolled and coated products • 980 and 1180 MPA strength levels; 1470 • MPA in 2018
Press hardenable steels (PHS) / hot stamping steels offer strengths up to 2000 MPa. • Usibor ® 1500, Usibor ® 2000, Ductibor ®450, Ductibor ® 500, Ductibor ® 1000• Can be combined thanks to laser welded blanks (LWB).
Usibor®
Ductibor®
MartINsite®Cold rolled fully martensitic steels with tensile strengths currently from 900 to 1700 MPa.• Dedicated to roll forming applications
iCARe®Electrical steels for electrified power train optimization• Our ranges Save, Torque and Speed are specifically designed for a typical electric
automotive application.
Innovative coatings
Full range of innovating coating supporting the development of UHSSJetgal• ® as Hydrogen free process, Zagnelis® Zinc-Magnesium as improved corrosion protection, Innovative coatings improving PHS in wet areas
iCARe®Electrical steels for electrified power train optimization• Our ranges Save, Torque and Speed are specifically designed for a typical electric
automotive application.
ArcelorMittal engineering studies: hybrid and electric vehicle structures
ArcelorMittal has performed several studies on BEV and PHEV (plug-in hybrid electric vehicle) structures:
• BEV and PHEV vehicles have higher total vehicle mass due to higher overall powertrain system mass (including battery cells) Increased requirements in terms of structure Increased need for high strength materials such as
Advanced High Strength Steels in order to protect passengers
• Battery cell protection also requires strong structures AHSS are a high performance, light and cost-efficient
solution
Our S-in motion® catalogue already includes our first solutions for electric vehicles
S-in motion®
ICE C-SegmentS-in motion®
Electric C-Segment
S-in motion®
Plug-in Hybrid C-Segment
S-in motion®
D-SegmentEU market
S-in motion®
Mid-size SedanNA market
S-in motion®
Mid-size SUV
S-in motion®
Light Commercial
S-in motion®
Pick-up Trucks
S-in motion®
Truck Cabs
- -60kg (-15%) vs current ICE
baseline
-50 kg (-16%) vs current
PHEV baseline
Our Tailored Blanks facilities around the world
ChinaShanghai • Baosteel & Arcelor Tailor Metal (JV)Gonvvama• Loudi (JV) Gonvvama• Shanghai area (JV)Gonvvama• Shenyang (JV)Gonvvama• Chongqing (JV)
Europe• Birmingham, UK• Bremen, Germany• Neuwied, Germany• Liège, Belgium• Genk, Belgium• Gent, Belgium• Lorraine, France• Senica, Slovakia• Zaragoza, Spain• Orhangazi, Turkey
(JV)
North AmericaArcelorMittal Tailored Blanks• Concord, Ontario, Canada• Woodstock, Ontario, Canada• Detroit, Michigan, USA (project)• Pioneer, Ohio, USA• Murfeesboro, Tennessee, USA• Silao, Guanajuato, México• San Luis Potosí, S.L.P., México
Delaco ArcelorMittal Tailored Blanks• Tonawanda, NY, USA (JV)• Dearborn, Michigan, USA (JV)• Montezuma, Iowa, USA (JV)
India• Arcelor Neel Tailored Blank Chennai (JV)• Arcelor Neel Tailored Blank Pune (JV)
Located close to our automotive customers
Audi A8
Switched back to steel with body structure to be made up of more than 40 % steel including 17% PHS
“If you compare the stiffness weight ratio, press hardenable steel is currently ahead of aluminium.” Dr. Bernd Mlekusch, head of Audi’s Leichtbauzentrum
Steel as the material of choice
Steel as the material of choice
Peugeot 3008
Body structure is 90% steel,
including 65% high strength steels
Source Eurocarbody Conference – 2016
25%
65%
10%
Other steels High Strength Steels Other materials
Autonomous vehicles encourage electrification
Source: Morgan StanleyResearch, August 2017
Autonomous vehicles - steel is addressing the safety challenge• There is no reason to believe that vehicle autonomy will prevent all crashes. Passive
safety solutions will continue to play a major role.
• Extreme weather can block sensors, causing tyres to loose grip unexpectedly; humans or animals can emerge suddenly; human drivers will still be on the road; sensors can fail or act erratically; hacking presents a risk.
• Autonomous vehicles will continue to need the safety, affordability, light weight, and environmental credentials of advanced steel body structure solutions well into thefuture.
Vehicle safety structure and systems are not expected to be reduced.When it comes to safety, the performance of steel cannot be matched.
ArcelorMittal will keep focusing on the development of lightweight design solutions for •all vehicles (hybrid, electric and combustion).
Steel is the material of choice in a world where weight reduction is critical to achieving •emissions reduction regulations. In a future world, where batteries are low cost and BEVs are the vehicle of choice, we forecast steel will continue to be the material of choice for manufacturers.
Pressure on CO• 2 emissions, smog, and particulate reduction will continue to be a major driver for greater production of electric vehicles.
Megatrends affecting automotive industry and mobility are an opportunity to •demonstrate the capacity of steel to adapt in all circumstances.
Conclusions: