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_8

Many policy makers are

alerting to the partitioning of

Pakistan which will be

reduced to essentially thePunjab region. The NWFP

would recover a lot of

hydroelectric power.

Baluchistan would recover a

lot of gas and become a

Turkmenistan-style gas

republic. Sindh if portioned

would profit from its industryand ports.With Zardaris government in shambles, a few rogue elements are actually frustrating USaims in

achieving hegemony over the region. With US patience wearing thin George W. Bush

gave theorder to begin surgical strikes inside Pakistan on selected targets. The US has been forced

into such

a posture due to the inability of its handpicked agents to curtail the Islamic elements

within thearmy and ISI. Such a move is risky for the US as it means expanding the theatre of war,

whilstlosing the war in the existing area. To many extents the surgical strikes are limited, sincewithout

Pakistan completely abandoning the Mujahideen, they will crop up again elsewhere.

Surgical strikesare therefore needed in Islamabad where the supply lines to the Mujahideen begin. This

would

however be seen as outright war by everyone in the Ummah, which for the US in itscurrent

predicament is not realistic, as Pakistan needs to be weakened further to ensure almost

certain US

military victory.This leaves the US with only one last remaining option, and that is fragmenting Pakistan

through

civil strife. Such a policy was proposed in the 2005 report by the US NationalIntelligence Council

and the CIA that forecast a Yugoslav-like fate for Pakistan. Many analysts are

proposing such apolicy as international public opinion is being created about Pakistan being the centre of

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global

terrorism.9 Many policy makers are alerting to the partitioning of Pakistan which will be

reduced toessentially the Punjab region. The NWFP would recover a lot of hydroelectric power.

Baluchistan

would recover a lot of gas and become a Turkmenistan-style gas republic. Sindh ifportioned would

profit from its industry and ports.

Its no secret that that the US alongside both Britainand India have supported Baluchi separatism. In June

2006, Pakistan's Senate Committee on Defence

accused British intelligence of"abetting the

insurgency in the province bordering Iran"(PressTrust of India, 9 August 2006). Ten British MPs were

involved in a closed door session of the Senate

Committee on Defence regarding the alleged support

of Britain's Secret Services to Baloch separatists.The revival of the Balouchi Liberation Army (BLA)

by the US and Britain was confirmed in aninvestigation by News Central Asia, a private news

agency of Turkmenistan.10The BLA emerged shortly

after Musharrafs 1999 military coup. It has no

tangible links to the Baloch resistance movement,which developed since the late 1940s. An aura of mystery surrounds the leadership of

the BLA.

The BLA bears a canny resemblance to Kosovo's Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA), whichwas

financed by the drug trade and supported by the CIA. In Yugoslavia, US and British

militarytraining and arms shipments helped build up the secessionist KLA from a small force of

300

soldiers into a sizable guerrilla army that made the province of Kosovo ungovernable.The very

chaos that the West created was then used as a pretext for bombing

Yugoslavia._____________________________________________________________________

On March 24, the United States and Pakistan will convene their newly launched strategic

dialogue. Past engagement between the two countries has been neither strategic nor adialogue. This time, Pakistan's delegation is likely to request a civilian nuclear agreement

akin to the U.S.-India civilian nuclear deal that was initiated in 2005. Given Pakistan's

history of proliferation, such a proposal would meet with howls of disapproval on CapitolHill and in New Delhi, not to mention healthy skepticism among some in Barack

Obama's administration. But Washington should not reject a deal outright: It could be a

real opportunity to put the United States's troubled relationship with Pakistan on steadierfooting.

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