Week 6: State-level Finance Issues Guest Speaker: Brad Williams, Senior Economist, LAO –Overview...
-
Upload
monica-webster -
Category
Documents
-
view
213 -
download
0
Transcript of Week 6: State-level Finance Issues Guest Speaker: Brad Williams, Senior Economist, LAO –Overview...
Week 6: State-level Finance Issues
• Guest Speaker: Brad Williams, Senior Economist, LAO
– Overview of revenues for California State Budget
– Issues in revenue forecasting
• Revenue politics
– Characteristics and strategies
– Principles of taxation
– Tax policy issues
– Tax expenditures
• Preview of week 7
Rubin’s Three Characteristics of Revenue Politics
The problem: getting support for increasing revenues is much harder than getting support for spending proposals
1. Public officials must go about getting support very carefully
2. “anti-revenue” politics: politics of protection from taxation, tax reductions, exceptions
3. Attention to protecting individuals, interest groups, regions from taxation leaders to piecemeal, complicated, inconsistent, inequitable structures => pressures for reform
Strategies for Getting Support for Tax Increases: Good, Bad, Ugly?
• Confront issues of fairness, public good, options• Accountability for use of funds• Timing – e.g. crisis• Earmark revenues
– case studies: California Lottery; Proposition 42• Temporary increases• Tax politically weak/outsiders• Gimmicks (smoke and mirrors)
What makes for successful leadership in revenue politics?
Principles of sound tax policy:
• Equity– similar situations treated similarly– differential burdens fair
• Administrative feasibility– efficient, uniform– high degree of voluntary compliance
• Appropriateness – sufficient; stable; predictable
• Political feasibility (acceptance)• Accountability/Visibility
– payer understands charges
Income Tax Issues
• Logic: capacity to pay as measured by earnings
• Importance: over half of State General Fund
• Policy issues
– tax rates v tax base (deductions, exclusions, credits)
– simplification (relates to acceptance)
– reliance on volatile source
Sales Tax Issues
Logic: capacity to pay as measured by consumer spendingImportance: provides about 1/3 of state and city revenues
Policy issues:• Role in local finance (regional growth)• Exemptions of household purchases• Tax expenditure programs• Include services in addition to goods –erosion of base• Internet sales
– fairness and revenue issues
Property Tax Issues
• Logic: capacity to pay as measured by property holding
• Importance: about 30% of local revenues
Policy Issues
• public opposition – ideological reasons
• equity
• allocations by state among local governments
• assessment methodology (subjectivity leads to public opposition)
• importance to school finance (other states)
Tax Expenditures
Purposes• Promote certain economic behavior
– e.g. research and development• Prevent harmful activity
– e.g. tax benefits for alternative fuel• Tax relief for certain segments of society
– e.g. low-income tax credits• Facilitate tax administration
– e.g.conform to Fed tax
Criteria• Efficient accomplishment of policy goal• Subject to review and periodic reporting
Tax Expenditure Programs: Revenue Effects
• Personal Income Tax– $18 billion– 62% of tax revenue collected
• Bank and Corporation Tax– $3 billion– 54% of tax revenue collected
• Sales and Use Tax– $6 billion– 26% of tax revenue collected
• Total– 37% of state tax revenue collected Source: LAO
Tax Expenditures versus Budgeted Expenditures
• Similarities to budgeted expenditures– aimed at accomplishing public policy objectives– cost to the taxpayer– subject to interest group pressure– pork for constituents
• Differences from budgeted expenditures– not directly measurable--must estimate (indirect
effects)– subject to far less analysis– less visible; beneficiaries harder to discern– more resistant to cuts -- become entitlements
Preview of Week 7
• Guest Speaker: Russ Fehr, Sacramento County
– County financing issues
• Proposition 13 and beyond
– Sacramento County – revenues and budgeting
• County government: prospects for fiscal reform
• Preview of ethics in public budgeting and finance
• Memo #3 due on agency revenues