Weather-Ready Nation Christopher Strager U.S. National Weather Service June 10-14, 2013

Weather-Ready Nation

Christopher StragerU.S. National Weather Service

June 10-14, 2013

Weather-Ready Nation

Christopher StragerU.S. National Weather Service

June 10-14, 2013

www.noaa.gov/wrnwww.noaa.gov/wrn

National Weather Service

U.S. National Weather ServiceU.S. National Weather ServiceU.S. National Weather ServiceU.S. National Weather Service

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VISIONVISION MISSIONMISSION


NWS OperationsNWS OperationsCommunity Based ServicesCommunity Based Services

NWS OperationsNWS OperationsCommunity Based ServicesCommunity Based Services

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U.S. Disaster-related AuthoritiesU.S. Disaster-related Authorities U.S. Disaster-related AuthoritiesU.S. Disaster-related Authorities

Robert T Stafford Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (1988) constitutes the statutory authority for most federal disaster response activities.

2011 Presidential Policy Directive 8: National Preparedness is aimed at strengthening the security and resilience of the U.S. through preparation against security attacks of all kinds.

National Disaster Recovery Framework enables effective recovery support to states, tribes, territorial, and local jurisdictions.

Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 builds upon the Stafford Act and provides the legal basis for state, local, and tribal governments to undertake a risk-based strategies for mitigating disaster impacts.

The U.S. National Science and Technology Council’s interagency Subcommittee on Disaster Reduction (SDR) serves as the national platform for the International Strategy for Disaster Reduction.

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U.S. Disaster-related ApproachU.S. Disaster-related Approach U.S. Disaster-related ApproachU.S. Disaster-related Approach

NOAA and the National Weather Service work with other Federal Agencies in an “All Hands on Deck” approach to disaster response and resilience

o Department of Homeland Security/Federal Emergency Management Agency

o Department of Interior/U.S. Geological Surveyo Department of Agriculture/U.S. Forestry Serviceo U.S. Army Corp of Engineerso Department of State/United States Agency for International

Development---international collaboration programs

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“ “Average” Year and Trends in the U.S.Average” Year and Trends in the U.S. “ “Average” Year and Trends in the U.S.Average” Year and Trends in the U.S.

6 Atlantic Hurricanes6 Atlantic Hurricanes

1,300 Tornadoes1,300 Tornadoes 5,000 Floods5,000 Floods26,000 Severe Thunderstorms26,000 Severe Thunderstorms

650 Deaths$15B in Losses

650 Deaths$15B in Losses

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Regardless of the cause, the trend shows an increasing

number of extreme weather events at increasing cost to

the nation.


Climate Extremes on the RiseClimate Extremes on the Rise Climate Extremes on the RiseClimate Extremes on the Rise

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CEI Component (type of extreme)

Max. Temperature(“afternoon highs”)

Min. Temperature(“overnight lows”)

Palmer Drought Severity Index

1-Day Precipitation

Days with/without Precipitation

Landfalling Tropical Cyclones

U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), 1910 - 2012U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), 1910 - 2012


In the past few years…In the past few years… Scope of Disasters Reflects Our Societal Vulnerability Scope of Disasters Reflects Our Societal Vulnerability

In the past few years…In the past few years… Scope of Disasters Reflects Our Societal Vulnerability Scope of Disasters Reflects Our Societal Vulnerability

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““Superstorm” SandySuperstorm” Sandy


““Superstorm” SandySuperstorm” SandySocial and Economic ImpactsSocial and Economic Impacts

• 72 US deaths, plus 75 outside the US

• 17 US states affected; damage between $50-65 Billion

• 8.5 million without power at the height of the storm

• Over 18,000 commercial airline flights canceled

•Evacuations from Maryland to Massachusetts (400 miles of coastline)

•West Virginia paralyzed under 3 feet of snow LaGuardia airport – Courtesy of Jet Blue

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What will 2013 be known for…What will 2013 be known for… It is time to reverse this trend downward It is time to reverse this trend downward

What will 2013 be known for…What will 2013 be known for… It is time to reverse this trend downward It is time to reverse this trend downward

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What is at Risk? What Can We Do?What is at Risk? What Can We Do?What is at Risk? What Can We Do?What is at Risk? What Can We Do?

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Weather-Ready NationWeather-Ready Nation Decreasing Vulnerability by Increasing ResilienceDecreasing Vulnerability by Increasing Resilience

Weather-Ready NationWeather-Ready Nation Decreasing Vulnerability by Increasing ResilienceDecreasing Vulnerability by Increasing Resilience

Becoming a Weather-Ready Nation is about building community resilience in the face of increasing vulnerability to extreme weather.

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NOAA is developing new decision support services, improving technology to track and forecast storms, and expanding its dissemination efforts to achieve far-reaching national preparedness for weather events.


Weather-Ready NationWeather-Ready Nation NWS ChangesNWS Changes

Weather-Ready NationWeather-Ready Nation NWS ChangesNWS Changes

New and rapidly evolving needs from society call for the National Weather Service to shift from the way we forecast and warn today to an impact-based decision support services approach.

This new focus has four elements:Better understanding of societal impacts Making our information more relevant to decision makersParticipating directly in decision making for those decisions fundamental to the role of government, especially the protection of life and propertyCounting on market forces to provide diverse decision-support services across the entire economy

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How Do We Get to the Future?How Do We Get to the Future? How Do We Get to the Future?How Do We Get to the Future?

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Build a RoadmapRoadmap to a Weather-Ready Nation

Society is Prepared for and Responds to Weather-Dependent Events


Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation Emphasis on Decision Support ServicesEmphasis on Decision Support Services

Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation Emphasis on Decision Support ServicesEmphasis on Decision Support Services

Provide superior decision support and foundational information services

NWS will use our unique, local relationships with Core Partners to help them to better prepare our communities for extraordinary events

Invest in Science and TechnologyUse state-of-the-art technology and cutting-edge science to provide the best service possible

Empower our workforceWorkforce is trained and equipped to meet America’s evolving needsEmergency Response Specialists (ERS) are accessible on-site and through remote technologies

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Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation Warnings and Forecasts From the Sun to the SeaWarnings and Forecasts From the Sun to the Sea


Delivering life-saving weather forecasts and warnings

Impact-based tornado warnings

Improved Hurricane forecasts

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2011 Japan Tsunami: California Impacts

Winter Storm Forecasts-Lead time of 2-3 days

Wildfire SupportOn-site Meteorologists

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Improved space weather forecastingDrought and flood forecasting




Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation Innovative Science and Technology SolutionsInnovative Science and Technology Solutions

Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation Innovative Science and Technology SolutionsInnovative Science and Technology Solutions

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Model Ensembles

Next-Generation Polar Satellites

Phased Array RadarTsunami Detection


Facebook

Twitter

Youtube

Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation Social MediaSocial Media

Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation Social MediaSocial Media

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National Weather Service 21

NWS will continue to improve the science and the technical capabilities.

We need your help in transforming society to become ready, responsive and resilient to increasing extreme weather threats.

A Weather-Ready Nation requires our entire society to improve the way it incorporates weather information into decision making.

Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready NationWe need your helpWe need your help

▪ SOCIETAL RESPONSE EQUAL TO RISK ▪


Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation It’s All About PartnershipsIt’s All About Partnerships

Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation It’s All About PartnershipsIt’s All About Partnerships

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Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation AmbassadorsAmbassadors

Building a Weather-Ready NationBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation AmbassadorsAmbassadors

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Resilience as high priority Preparedness Responsiveness Mitigation

Innovative partnershipsReinvigorate existing relationships Create new relationships Expand beyond Weather Enterprise

Consistent messaging More effective communication with public Rising above the “noise” of daily life


Weather-Ready Nation InitiativeWeather-Ready Nation Initiative Doesn’t Stop at Border…International EngagementDoesn’t Stop at Border…International Engagement

Weather-Ready Nation InitiativeWeather-Ready Nation Initiative Doesn’t Stop at Border…International EngagementDoesn’t Stop at Border…International Engagement

Same challenges exist in other countriesGlobal vulnerability increasingQuantifying societal relevanceCommunicating the science

We can learn from one anotherOpen dialogueSharing best practicesStrength in numbers

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Questions and DiscussionQuestions and DiscussionQuestions and DiscussionQuestions and Discussion

[email protected]@[email protected]@noaa.gov

www.weather.govwww.weather.govwww.noaa.gov/wrnwww.noaa.gov/wrnwww.weather.govwww.weather.gov

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Weather-Ready Nation Christopher Strager U.S. National Weather Service June 10-14, 2013

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Transcript of Weather-Ready Nation Christopher Strager U.S. National Weather Service June 10-14, 2013