Weapons for Peace? The Unexpected Benefits of UNSC Membership Anirudha Vaddadi and Josi Sinagoga.
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Transcript of Weapons for Peace? The Unexpected Benefits of UNSC Membership Anirudha Vaddadi and Josi Sinagoga.
Weapons for Peace? The Unexpected Benefits of UNSC
MembershipAnirudha Vaddadi and Josi Sinagoga
The Study
• Research Question: Do countries leverage their political importance for weapons imports?
• Specifically: Do countries on the United Nations Security Council as rotating members receive more arms imports from Germany?
• Results: Our analysis finds a robust relationship between UNSC membership and the importation of German arms
Background
The International Arms Trade
• Cold War Era
• Post-Cold War Era
Background, contd.
Why Germany?
• Position in Arms Market
• Political System
• Exclusion from the P5
Methodology
• Dependent Variable: Heavy arms imports from Germany, measured by Trend Indicator Value (TIV) - general arms imports are also used as a comparison
• Independent Variable: UNSC Membership - dichotomous indicator
• Controls: year of election into UNSC, ln(GDP per capita), ln(population), war, political regime, trade with Germany, German colony
Methodology, contd.
• Country and year fixed-effects
• Clustered errors
• Focusing regression analysis on Africa due to its unique UNSC selection process
• Regressions on individual countries
Results
Results
ResultsCountries with statistically significant
relationships:Country UN Regional Group
Austria Western European and Others
Bangladesh Asia-Pacific
Brazil Latin American and Caribbean
Hungary Eastern European
Ireland Western European and Others
South Africa African
South Korea Asia-Pacific
Concluding Remarks
• “Power Resources”
• Buying Peace with Weapons
• Future Research?