Warnford Court Throgmorton St, London EC2N 2AT Stats Worth Sharing Private & Confidential © Squawka...
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Transcript of Warnford Court Throgmorton St, London EC2N 2AT Stats Worth Sharing Private & Confidential © Squawka...
Warnford CourtThrogmorton St,
LondonEC2N 2AT
Stats Worth Sharing
Private & Confidential© Squawka 2013
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Everybody is talking about Second Screens
We believe second screens must offer unique utility
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
In order to assess the possible reach and appeal of Squawka amongst UK based football fans, Zag conducted an omnibus survey through Vision Critical, an independent global market research and technology firm.
What is the potential?
- 32% (7.4m) of football fans have used a second screen whilst watching football
- 45% (10.4m) of football fans felt there aren’t enough in game football statistics available during a match
- 45% (10.4m) of football fans declared an interest in using a football second screen powered by data
- 67% (6.5m) of football fans aged 18 – 34 declared an interest in using a football second screen powered by data
- 36% (8.4m) football fans bet on football at least once a month
- 67% (5.6m) of those who bet on football declared an interest in using a football second screen powered by data
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Squawka delivers football fans stats worth sharing……comprehensive match statistics, visualised
and shareable at the click of a button
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
“It’s fantastic! Fans will be glued to their laptops….”
“A revolutionary new way to follow football…”
“A simply awesome web app.”
Squawka process XML feeds from to drive our real time data panel@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Who we are…A clean and intuitive design covering Europe’s top five leagues@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
The stats panel - Team, individual and head to head statistics are updated in near live time
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Stats Worth Sharing – every team and player has their own page with sharable stats
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
=14,000,000 data points
[ Action Event x Deployment x Outcome x Player Position x Pitch Area ]
… The most comprehensive and statistically
accurate representation of the impact one player has over a game
The Squawka performance score
“One of the most interesting and innovative ways of objectively ranking players that we have seen. Squawka are certainly leading the way in providing free cutting-edge analysis to fans of all types.” – Simon Banoub, Director of Marketing, Opta
a comprehensive player rating algorithm built on the back of extensive analysis of over 400 Premier League matches
Used by leading sports sites
Potential use for Fantasy Football & Betting
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
We have analysed hundreds and hundreds of Premier League games.
All the different events are grouped according to:
• Possession
• Attack
• Defence
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Each player position is scored differently for every single event
Goalkeeper Defender Midfielder Forward
Frequency Analysis
Scoring players fairly for each action according to their position
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
These are the actions areas we are used to, a quick snapshot of the game.
We have split the pitch up into 13 different areas. Each area gives a different score for each action.
20% 50% 30%
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Every scenario has its own score
The Results
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Interception
Failed Pass Shot
Save
Keypass
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Player
Perf
orm
ance
Sco
re
Defoe
Cabaye
Sandro Krul
Interception
Failed Pass Shot (saved)
Save
Keypass
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Interception
Failed Pass
CrossbarTake-on
Keypass
Missed tackle
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Interception
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Player
Perf
orm
ance
Sco
re
Cabaye Sandro
Taylor
Defoe
Failed Pass
CrossbarTake-on
Keypass
Missed tackle
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
How can we determine the VALUE of a player?
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Total Cost of Player (Wages &
Transfer)
Performance Score
= Cost Per Point
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
£0.00 £10,000,000.00 £20,000,000.00 £30,000,000.00 £40,000,000.00 £50,000,000.00 £60,000,000.00£0.00
£5,000.00
£10,000.00
£15,000.00
£20,000.00
£25,000.00
Cost per score
These players would be considered as “value for money” at low cost.
These players would be considered as high cost but worth the investment due to high score.
Low cost and “not value for money”
Medium cost and “not value for money”
High cost and “not value for money”
Total Cost
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
“I pay you to get on first, not get thrown out at second…”
A Stewart Downing Story
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
0 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 25000000 30000000 350000000
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
Ahmed Elmohamady
Albert Crusat
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Anthony Pilkington
Ashley Young
Bradley Johnson
Charles N'Zogbia
Charlie Adam
Chris Eagles
Craig Gardner
Darren PratleyDarron Gibson
David JonesDavid Vaughan
Eggert Gunnthor Jonsson
Elliott Bennett
Gabriel Obertan
James McClean
Jamie O'HaraJean Beausejour
Joey BartonJonathan Howson
Jordan Henderson
Marcus Olsson
Mikel Arteta
Nigel Reo-Coker
Oriol Romeu
Pajtim Kasami
Paul Scholes
Radosav Petrovic Raul Meireles Samir NasriScott Parker
Sebastian LarssonShaun Maloney
Shaun Wright-Phillips
Simon Vukcevic
Stewart Downing
Sylvain MarveauxWayne Routledge
Wilson Palacios
Yohan Cabaye
Zoltán Gera
f(x) = 0.00196604715862849 x + 13375.3139410444R² = 0.297841346743639
Midfielders Attacking Scores
Cost per score
Total Cost
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
0 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 25000000 30000000 350000000
2
4
6
8
10
12f(x) = NaN x + NaNR² = 0
Midfielders Defensive Scores
Cost per score
Total Cost
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
0 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 25000000 30000000 350000000
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
Ahmed ElmohamadyAlbert Crusat
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Anthony Pilkington
Ashley Young
Bradley Johnson
Charles N'Zogbia
Charlie Adam
Chris Eagles
Craig Gardner
Darren PratleyDarron Gibson
David JonesDavid VaughanEggert Gunnthor Jonsson
Elliott Bennett
Gabriel Obertan
James McClean
Jamie O'HaraJean BeausejourJoey Barton
Jonathan Howson
Jordan Henderson
Marcus Olsson
Mikel Arteta
Nigel Reo-Coker
Oriol Romeu
Pajtim Kasami
Paul Scholes
Radosav Petrovic
Raul Meireles
Samir Nasri
Scott Parker
Sebastian LarssonShaun Maloney
Shaun Wright-Phillips
Simon Vukcevic
Stewart Downing
Sylvain Marveaux
Wayne Routledge
Wilson Palacios
Yohan Cabaye
Zoltán Gera
f(x) = 0.000996772029741921 x + 1905.27871620806R² = 0.719806383675279
Midfielders Possession Scores
Cost per score
Total Cost
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
What else can we do with this framework…?
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
What age group were the most reliable purchases?
Under 24 24-27 28-31 31+0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
R2
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
What height group were the most reliable purchases?
167-174 175-180 181-185 186-190 191+0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
R2
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Are Clubs Getting Value For Money?
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 200000
50
100
150
200
3538
62
90
3850
37
6364
143
162
119
58
6455
202
173
50
70
53
Premier League Performance Score v Wages (Team, 2011/2012 Season)
Team Season Performance Score
Wag
e Bi
ll (£
m)
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Are Fans Getting Value For Money?
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 200000
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
985
325
595
399399
725
275
532
322
471499
350
495
344
400429
730
349
480
255
Premier League Total Performance Score v Cheapest Season Ticket 2012/13
Team Performance Score
Chea
pest
Sea
son
Tick
et (£
)@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 200000
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
291
183
228
332
154150
133
96
158158
180
200
112135
100
125 141
92
Serie A Performance Score v Cheapest Season Ticket (2012/13)
Team Performance Score
Chea
pest
Sea
son
Tick
et (£
)
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 250000
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
172.23
257.61
177
239.33 239.33232.68
191.96182.82
193.62186.98
299.16
340.71
247.64
349.85
172.63
207.75
282.54
199.44
172.85
309.96
La Liga Performance Score v Cheapest Season Ticket (2012/13)
Total Performance Score
Chea
pest
Sea
son
Tick
et (£
)
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 250000
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
67
133
303
267
307
155
303
274
145
230
75
141
212200
174
212
274
258
Bundesliga Performance Score v Cheapest Season Ticket (2012/13)
Team Performance Score
Chea
pest
Sea
son
Tick
et, (
£)@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
And finally…the BIGGEST big data study of football….ever…
Over 42 million data points...
….In real time
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
16:00 16:05 16:10 16:15 16:20 16:25 16:30 16:35 16:40 16:45 16:50 16:55 17:00 17:05 17:10 17:15 17:20 17:25 17:30 17:35 17:40 17:45 17:50 17:55 18:00
The Roar of the Digital Crowd
Tweets
David Luiz Own Goal
RVP Goal
Hazard just misses
Mata Goal
Rooney Booked
Torres Booked
Ramieres Goal
Ivanovic sent off
Torres Sent off
Full Time
Hernandez Goal
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
16:00 16:05 16:10 16:15 16:20 16:25 16:30 16:35 16:40 16:45 16:50 16:55 17:00 17:05 17:10 17:15 17:20 17:25 17:30 17:35 17:40 17:45 17:50 17:55 18:00
-10000
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Sentiment
Score
Yellow Card
Three successful passes but loses important aerial duel
Two failed passes and twice dispossessed. One failed take-on.
Wins foul but is also dispossessed and fails pass. Wins aerial duel and has shot on target.
Half Time
Two failed take-ons and failed aerial duel, a bad touch and poor pass. One completed pass. Loses two aerial challenges but win tackle.
Perf
orm
ance
Sco
re
Senti
men
tThe (Twitter) Trials And Tribulations of Torres
Red Card
@SanjitAtwal @Squawka
Stats Worth Sharing