Wallenius Wilhelmsen Logistics ASA Organisation - seb.no · PDF file1 Global market leader in...
Transcript of Wallenius Wilhelmsen Logistics ASA Organisation - seb.no · PDF file1 Global market leader in...
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WWL ASA SEB IG Seminar
August 2017
Market and business outlook
Agenda
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Q&A
WWL ASA in brief
WWL ASA financials
Executive summary
Why we believe WWL ASA is attractive for bond investors
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1 Global market leader in the vehicle logistics segment
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4
Improving market fundamentals – positive signals ahead
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Diversified and solid customer base with long term contracts2
7 Clear target to strengthen balance sheet (limited capex plans)
Strong cash position and good access to several sources of funding
Profitable and positive cash flow despite challenging market
Realization of USD 100m synergy target will support profitability
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WWL ASA in brief
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WWL ASA – Among the largest listed shipping / logistics companies
Source: Factset as of 22-Aug-20171) APMM adjusted to reflect transport and logistics share of market cap
6th largest listed shipping / logistics company globally (Market cap USD billion)
29.9
5,4
3,8
3,4
3,1
2,7
2,5
2,1
1,3
1,3
1,3
1,1
1,1
0,9
0,8
0,8
0,8
0,60,6
A.P. Moller Maersk
Glovis
Mitsui OSK Lines
Nippon Yusen K.K.
DFDS
WWL
Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha
Golar LNG
Teekay LNG
GasLog
Ocean Yield
Golden Ocean Group
Euronav
Frontline
Stolt-Nielsen
Höegh LNG
Scorpio Tankers
TORM
Navigator Gas
1)
Total assets of about 7.5 billion
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We have a proud history of 156 years with solid and stable owners
Wilhelmsen Group founded in Tønsberg, Norway by Morten W.
Wilhelmsen
Wallenius Lines founded in Stockholm,
Sweden by Olof Wallenius
American Roll-on Roll-off Carrier founded by Wilhelmsen Group and
Wallenius Shipping jointly
Merger between Wilhelmsen group and Wallenius Shipping to
form Wallenius Wilhelmsen Lines
EUKOR formed as Wilhelmsen Group and
Wallenius Shipping acquires the car carrier unit Hyundai Merchant
Marine
Wallenius Wilhelmsen changes its name from
Lines to Logistics, signaling the shift
towards fully integrated logistics
services from factory to dealer
Merger to create Wallenius Wilhelmsen Logistics ASA as a listed company incl. EUKOR,
WWL, American Roll-on Roll-off Carrier (ARC), as well as Wilhelmsen and Wallenius vessels
1861
1934
1990
1999
2006
2017
2002
WWL ASA consisting of two main segments within vehicle logistics
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1 2LANDBASED SERVICESOCEAN TRANSPORTATION
“Accelerated Growth”“Market Leader”
Note: ARC retains a separate and independent management structure
WWL ASA is the undisputed market leader for vehicle logistics globally
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OUR PRODUCTS & SERVICES1)
MARINE TERMINAL SERVICES
PORT-BASEDTECHNICAL SERVICES DISTRIBUTION
TO DEALER
PLANT -BASEDTECHNICAL SERVICES
DISTRIBUTION TO PORT
OCEANTRANSPORTATION
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1
3
2
4
4
1 OCEAN
Revenue
~3bn USD
EBITDA
~550 MUSD
2 LANDBASED2)
Revenue
~700 MUSD
EBITDA
~90 MUSD
MARINE TERMINAL SERVICES
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3
4
6,500~1,500 Office workers~5,100 Production workers
127127 vessels servicing >15 trade routes to six continents
KEY FACTS & FIGURES
>18M~4.5M units for Ocean ~13.5M units in Landbased
1) Proforma figures Q2 2016 – Q1 2017 and Adjusted EBITDA and revenues for Q2 2017. Not including Holding segment of negative USD 15 million
WWL ASA is a clear market leader and the #1 operator globally, both in terms of CEU capacity and number of vessels
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#1 player in the RoRo industryCurrent fleet by operator group
0
300
900
600
700
500
200
100
800
400
NYK GLOVISWWL ASA SIEM OTHERHALK LINE GRIMALDIMOL
Cap
acit
y, k
CEU
Total capacity, CEU
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1 2 3 4 5
Average # of hoistable decks
Average maxramp capacity
NYK
GLOVIS
K LINE EUKORHAL
WWL
MOL
GRIMALDI
Well positioned for H&H and Breakbulk cargoFleet characteristics
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WWL ASA has a combined fleet of 127 vessels
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Group fleet of 127 vessels with more than 800,000 CEU capacity
- No further CAPEX planned past four post Panamax newbuildings with expected delivery in 2017/ 2019 (installments of USD ~170 millions remaining)
- Additional capacity need will be acquired in the charter market
- WWL ASA strives to have fleet flexibility through combination of owned and chartered tonnage
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Average age ~11 years
127
Owned Group Total1)Short T/CLong T/C Long B/B
WWL ASA has an unrivalled global RoRo network and unique agility to meet changing demand
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WWL trade routes
EUKOR trade routes
ARC trade routes
127 vessels with more than 1,300 sailings and 9,000 port calls per year Overview of key trade routes
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Diversified customer portfolio with long term contracts
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Main customers include all main OEMs globally
Main customers include all major OEMs globallySize of Cargo Segments
Main customers include all main OEMs globally
- Majority of volume from Auto
- High & Heavy and Breakbulk maximize cubic utilization
- Unique handling capabilities of High & Heavy and Breakbulk cargo
Auto
High & Heavy
Breakbulk
AUTO HIGH & HEAVY BREAKBULK
~77% of CBM
~23% of CBM
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The landbased services network is also global
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In-plant vehicle processing centres
In-plant equipment processing centres
Terminals
Vehicle processing centres
Equipment processing centres
Inland distribution networks
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Our Landbased service portfolio
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Main customers include all main OEMs globally
Main CustomersLandbased Services Portfolio1)
Marine Terminals Technical Services Inland Distribution Auto
High & Heavy
Breakbulk
Stevedoring
Custom clearance
Receive and delivery
Cargo handling
Port distribution
Storage
Accessory fitting
Pre delivery inspections
Repairs and rectifications
Storage management
Receipt and dispatch
Vehicle preparation
Trucking
Rail
Primarily procurement model
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WWL ASA Financials
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Financial performance – First Half Year 2017
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• Total income adjusted was USD 1 864 million, up 4% from
the same period last year driven by increased ocean
volumes in the second quarter
• EBITDA adjusted was USD 331 million, an underlying
improvement of 10% compared with same period
previous year driven by a strong second quarter
• Positive development for ocean results driven by
higher volumes and reduced SG&A costs
• The positive development for landbased continues
with an underlying improvement of ~20%
compared to first half 2016
• Organizational restructuring and synergies well on the
way with approximately half of the USD 100 million
synergy target confirmed (USD 5 million realized in Q2)
CommentsConsolidated results - Total income and EBITDA1, 2
USD million
Total income EBITDA
1 802
1 794
1H 2016 1H 2017
62
+4%
1 864
249
82
301331
1H 2016
+10%
1H 2017
Extraordinary items
1) Adjusted for extraordinary items; Merger accounting loss of USD 62 million and organizational restructuring cost of USD 20 million2) Comparable numbers for H1 2016 and Q1 2017 are pro forma numbers as if the transaction had taken place back in time
Free cash flow from operations
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89
138
18
62
106
186
-48
Merger loss Interest and financial
derivatives
Other1 Free cash flow before financing
-49
EBITDA Cash flow before repayment of debt
Free Cash flow from operations
CAPEX
Cash flow Q2 20172
USD million
1) Includes tax, change in working capital and Share of (profit)/loss from joint ventures and associates2) Proceeds from sale of financials investments not included
ASSETS EQUITY & LIABILITIES
Balance sheet
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Unaudited Balance Sheet 30.06.2017USD billion Comments
• Net interest bearing debt of USD ~3.2 billion,
of which cash and cash equivalents of USD 755
million
• Equity ratio at 34.7%
• USD ~310 million in provisions remain to cover
extraordinary costs in jurisdictions with
ongoing anti-trust investigations
• Fair value of assets and liabilities at merger
date (except 100% owned WW ASA entities)
• USD 288 million goodwill element after
allocation of merger consideration to fixed and
intangible assets
Non current assets
1.3
7.7
Current assets
6.4
1.3
Equity
Non current liabilities 3.8
Current liabilities
2.7
7.7
WWL ASA debt overview
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WWL ASA group interest bearing debt 30.06.2017USD billion
• Investments and operations funded from
several capital sources, including the
commercial bank market (incl. export credit
agencies), through financial lease structures
and from the Norwegian bond market
3.2
Net Debt
3.9
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Total DebtFinancial Lease BondsCommercial Banks
Comments
Debt Maturity profile
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0.4
2021
0.5
2020
0.8
2019
0.7
2022 ->
1.4
2018
0.2
2017
Financial lease
Bonds
Banks
Debt Maturity profile 30.06.2017
USD billion
WWL ASA bonds
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Ticker Name Currency Max. nominal, NOKm
Net outstanding, NOKm
Coupon Final maturity
WWI22 FRN 13/18 NOK 1 000 700 3M NIBOR + 2.35% 13.06.18
WWI23 FRN14/19 NOK 800 800 3M NIBOR + 1.80% 09.04.19
WWI09 FRN 05/20 NOK 1 000 78.5 3M NIBOR + 1.05% 30.03.20
WWI19PRO FRN 07/22 NOK 1 000 108.5 3M NIBOR + 1.05% 25.01.22
N/A 6% 17/22 USD 80 - 6% (PIK) 31.12.22
Grand total USD 281m outstanding per 30.06.2017
WWL ASA dividend policy
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DIVIDEND POLICY
“Wallenius Wilhelmsen Logistics ASA’s (“WWL ASA”) objective is to provide shareholders with a competitive return over time through a combination of rising value for the WWL ASA share and payment of dividend to the shareholders. The Board targets a dividend which over time shall constitute between 30 and 50% of the company’s profit after tax. When deciding the size of the dividend, the Board will consider future capital requirements to ensure the implementation of its growth strategy as well as the need to ensure that the Group’s financial standing remains warrantable at all times. Dividends will be declared in USD and paid out semi-annually”
FINANCIAL TARGETS
Key ratios Target
Equity ratio >35%
Return on capital employed («ROCE») >8%
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Market and Business Outlook
The T/C market is distressed due to some overcapacity, but for an industrial player the “rates” are much more stable
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WWL Net freight / CBM vs. Time Charter rate development
Indexed to 100 per Q2 2014
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60
70
80
90
100
110
Q3’14 Q1’16Q4’15Q3’15Q2’15 Q3’16Q2’16 Q2’17Q1’17Q4’16
RoRo TC rates
WWL net freigh / CBM
Q2’14 Q4’14 Q1’15
Improving market fundamentals
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Auto – steady growth
AMARKET TREND
H&H – turning point
B
Market balance – firmer
C
Continued positive growth in auto trade volumes
Mining and agriculture at a turning point
Limited orderbook and ageing fleet
Investment highlights
Total light vehicle sales in the first quarter increased by 4% y-o-y
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Global auto sales development forecastMillion units, 2016-2021E
2020E
Deepsea
84,5
16,2
2019E 2021E
1,8%
Domestic 77,5
2018E2017E
92,1
14,6
2016
Global auto sales per main sales region1
CAGR 2016-2021, CAGR Q1’17 vs Q1’16
Source: IHS1) Size of circle indicates auto sales Q1 2017
2.1%
CAGR
1.7%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
CAGR ’16-21
East Europe
West Europe
Central Europe
Japan/Korea
Greater China
Middle East & Africa
Q1’17 vs Q1’16
South America
ASEAN
NAFTA
India & Pakistan
Oceania
ME AFEUR APAC AM
Positive outlook for all main High & Heavy segments
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Improving outlook for mining shipments000s, 2005-2020E1
1) Source: Parker Bay (Mining)2) Source: IHS Construction3) CEMA (AG machinery association Europe) Business Barometer. Index = sum of 1) evaluation of the current business situation & 2) turnover expectation, scale from -100 to +100
4.5
5.5
3.5
2.5
3.0
5.0
6.0
4.0
1.5
2.0
1.0
0.5
0.0’09 ’10’08
2.9
’13 ’16’14 ’15
3.2
’12’11
2.0
5.8
2.2
2.0
’06 ’07
3.7
2.9
3.6
3.2
4.3
’05
3.1
’17E
2.4
’19E
5.4
’20E
4.2
3.7
’18E
Continued solid growth for construction2007-2020E2
Down-cycle about to turn for AgricultureCEMA business barometer3
Perc
enta
ge g
row
th (y
/y)
• The global demand for mining equipment remained
low in the first quarter but the sentiment is
improving backed by a further increase in
commodity prices
• Global construction markets continued their overall
positive development into 2017
• Particularly Asia, Middle East and Africa see strong
growth going forward (>4% per year)
• Global demand for agriculture equipment continued
the weak trend in the first quarter, but early
indications that the down-cycle in Agriculture might
be about to turn (particularly in Europe)
Q3’17Q2’11
Total light vehicle sales expected to show modest growth
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Global auto sales development forecastMillion units, 2016-2021E
2020E
Deepsea
84,5
16,2
2019E 2021E
1,8%
Domestic 77,5
2018E2017E
92,1
14,6
2016
Global auto sales per main sales region1
CAGR 2016-2021, CAGR Q2’17 vs Q1’17
Source: IHS1) Size of circle indicates auto sales Q1 2017
2.1%
CAGR
1.7%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
-14% -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
South Korea
Japan
CAGR ’16-21
Q2’17 vs Q1’17
North America
South Asia
Middle East/Africa
Greater China
South America
Europe
Moderately improving outlook for Construction and Agriculture
271) Source: IHS Construction and IMF (International Monetary Fund) | World Construction Spending (% growth y/y in real terms ($2010))2) Source: CEMA (European Agriculture Machinery)) | Business Barometer (Index = sum of 1) evaluation of the current business situation & 2) turnover expectation, 100/-100)
Construction growth picking up World construction spending (% y/y), 12-20E1
Mixed outlook for Agriculture equipment
European business climate (Index 100/-100), 10-172
• World construction growth is picking up, and infrastructure projects look
increasingly important in mid-term spending prospects
• Equipment sales in the China-driven Asian market is the current growth
engine
• Low crop and dairy prices put pressure on the agricultural equipment segment,
but sentiment is improving in some key regions
• Mixed outlook for equipment market, with South America outperforming the
other regions in the short term
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
’19E’14 ’17E’15 ’18E ’20E’13 ’16’12
% y/y
Total
Emerging and developing economies
Advanced economies
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Business climate
1Q171Q161Q151Q141Q131Q121Q10 1Q11
Index Present Future
The recovery for the mining segment is still slow
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Continued uptick in global equipment deliveriesGlobal surface mining equipment shipments (Index ‘07 = 100), 07-171
1) Source: Parker Bay | Surface Mining Equipment Index (Indexed value of surface mining equipment shipments in real terms ($2010), 2007 = 100) 2) Source: IHS Global Trade Atlas | Non-rolling mining equipment deliveries in regions as reported by customs for individual cargo values > USD 20.000.
(12 month rolling average (L12M) units) (Data edge: 04.2017)
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
1Q14 1Q15 1Q16 1Q171Q10 1Q12 1Q131Q111Q091Q07 1Q08
• Average mining equipment age is at a level not observed since the 1990’s, and the older fleet is driving higher demand for parts and eventually replacements
• OEMs are reporting significantly growing sales with Asia looking the strongest, but much of the growth is related to aftermarket or smaller machines for coal mining activity
• The increase in mining shipments are mainly driven by intraregional shipments of smaller machines in Europe (Russia) and South Asia
• Larger equipment for more traditional regions (Australia, Canada, Peru) also expected to slowly recover, but no significant improvement expected before 2019/2020
Several regions have seen imports bottom outCustoms trade flows of non-rolling mining machines (L12M avg units), 12-172
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Avg. monthly units
1Q15 1Q161Q13 1Q141Q12 1Q17
Oceania
North America
Latin America
Europe
Asia
Source: SeaWeb, Lloyds List Intelligence Unit
Moderate net fleet growth forecasted going forward
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3% of fleet are recycling candidates…Fleet by year of build, 1000 CEU
..contributing to moderate net fleet growthForecasted net fleet growth, % p.a.
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
Net fleet growth, %
400
350
300
100
200
50
150
0
250
61
333
20
00
142
72
215
146
321319
84
176
134124
268
20
05
20
20
4561
130
279
227
15
185
388
155
20
15
20
10
1
52
1
118
443026
19
90
19
85
18
161
65
38
19
95
61
112522
12
ACTIVE
OPTION UNCONFIRMED
ORDER
~40 FIRM VESSELS 7-8% OF FLEET CEU
36 VESSELS >25 YRS OLD
3% OF FLEET CEU
• Five vessels were delivered and seven vessels were sold for recycling during the quarter
• The current global order book counts ~40 vessels representing 7-8% of global fleet capacity
• No new orders or negotiations to postpone deliveries were reported, but four newbuildings were converted to tankers during the second quarter
Q&A
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Thanks