W02: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ITS MEASURESdashasafonova.com/spring16/w02_GDP_measures_handout.pdf ·...

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1 W02: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ITS MEASURES Potential measures of economic performance GDP: definition and measurement Value added Nominal and real variables How to look at economic data Additional discussion Readings: Ch.4 pg. 84-89, 92-95, 98-99 HW1: due Friday, 01/29 by midnight WHERE WOULD YOU RATHER LIVE? USA vs. Uganda Mexico vs. Iran Japan vs. China Germany vs. Ukraine What information do we use to answer? Better/worse economy More/less freedom People are more/less equal More/less stable political situation WORLD HAPPINESS REPORT 2015 (TOP 20 COUNTRIES) GDP per capita social support healthy life expectancy freedom to make life choices generosity perceptions of corruption Sourse: http://worldhappiness.report/download/

Transcript of W02: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ITS MEASURESdashasafonova.com/spring16/w02_GDP_measures_handout.pdf ·...

Page 1: W02: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ITS MEASURESdashasafonova.com/spring16/w02_GDP_measures_handout.pdf · MEASURING U.S. GDP • Nominal GDP vs. Real GDP Real GDP is the value of final goods

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W02: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ITS MEASURES •  Potential measures of economic performance

•  GDP: definition and measurement

•  Value added

•  Nominal and real variables

•  How to look at economic data

•  Additional discussion

Readings: Ch.4 pg. 84-89, 92-95, 98-99 HW1: due Friday, 01/29 by midnight

WHERE WOULD YOU RATHER LIVE?

•  USA vs. Uganda •  Mexico vs. Iran •  Japan vs. China •  Germany vs. Ukraine

What information do we use to answer?

•  Better/worse economy •  More/less freedom •  People are more/less equal •  More/less stable political situation

WORLD HAPPINESS REPORT 2015 (TOP 20 COUNTRIES) GDP

per capita social support

healthy life expectancy

freedom to make life choices

generosity perceptions of corruption Sourse: http://worldhappiness.report/download/

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WORLD HAPPINESS REPORT 2015 (BOTTOM 20 COUNTRIES)

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

Marketvalueofallfinalgoodsandservicesproducedinacountryinagiven4meperiod ** Market value means goods and services are valued at market prices ** A final good (or service) is an item bought by its final user: - excluding the value of intermediate goods and services (inputs) avoids counting the same value more than once

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

Domestic product is production within a country It contrasts with national product, which is the value of goods and services produced anywhere in the world by the residents of a nation

Gross means before deducting the depreciation of capital

Depreciation is the decrease in the value of a firm’s capital that results from wear and tear and obsolescence

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ECONOMY’S GDP, INCOME, AND EXPENDITURE

GDP

= Total expenditure on final goods and services

= All income earned domestically

ACCOUNTING IDENTITY

Y = C + I + G + NX •  Y = income •  C = consumption •  I = investment •  G = government purchases •  NX = net exports

TYPES OF EXPENDITURES

•  Consumption, C – Spending by households on goods and services – Exception: purchases of new housing

•  Investment, I – Spending on capital equipment, inventories, and

structures – Household purchases of new housing –  Inventory accumulation

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TYPES OF EXPENDITURES

•  Government purchases, G – Government consumption expenditure and gross

investment – Spending on goods and services – By local, state, and federal governments – Does not include transfer payments

TYPES OF EXPENDITURES

•  Net exports, NX = Exports - Imports – Exports

•  Spending on domestically produced goods by foreigners

–  Imports •  Spending on foreign goods by domestic residents

TYPES OF INCOME

1. LABOR INCOME: wages and salaries 2. INTEREST INCOME 3. RENTAL INCOME

4. PROFITS

5. OTHER

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MEASURING U.S. GDP

– TheBureauofEconomicAnalysisusestwoapproachestomeasureGDP:§  Theexpenditureapproach§  Theincomeapproach

MEASURING U.S. GDP

•  The Expenditure Approach Measures GDP as the sum of consumption expenditure, investment, government expenditure on goods and services, and net exports

GDP = C + I + G + NX

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© 2016 Pearson Education

MEASURING U.S. GDP

– The Income Approach Measures GDP by summing the incomes that firms pay households for the factors of production they hire: 1. Wages, salaries, and other labor income 2. Other factor incomes:

-  interest -  rent -  profit -  some labor income from self-employment

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• The table shows data from the United Kingdom in 2005: • Calculate GDP in the United Kingdom • Explain the approach that you used to calculate GDP

EXPENDITURE VS. INCOME APPROACH

Wages paid to labor 685 Consumption expenditure 791 Taxes 394 Transfer payments 267 Profits 273 Investment 209 Government expenditure 267 Exports 322 Saving 38 Imports 366

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•  The tires that come with the car are not counted as a final good

•  However if you get a flat and buy the same tire, it is counted as a final good

•  To correct for this problem economist have created the Value Added approach

•  Also referred to as Production approach

VALUE ADDED APPROACH

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Participants Cost ofMaterials

Value ofSales

Value Added

Farmer $ 0 $ 100 $ 100

Cone factoryand icecream-maker

100 250 150

Middleperson 250 400 150

Vendor 400 500 100

Totals $ 750 $1,250 $500

•  Value Added Approach Eliminates Double Counting VALUE ADDED EXAMPLE 1

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VALUE ADDED EXAMPLE 2

PARTICIPANT COST SALE VALUE VA

TOTAL

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MEASURING U.S. GDP •  Nominal GDP vs. Real GDP

Real GDP is the value of final goods and services produced in a given year when valued at the prices of a reference base year

Currently, the reference base year is 2009 and we describe real GDP as measured in 2009 dollars

Nominal GDP is the value of goods and services produced during a given year valued at the prices that prevailed in that same year

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NOMINAL AND REAL GDP EXAMPLE 1

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NOMINAL AND REAL GDP EXAMPLE 1

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NOMINAL AND REAL GDP EXAMPLE 1

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NOMINAL AND REAL GDP EXAMPLE 2 2012:

ITEM Q P EXPENDITURE (NOMINAL)

EXPENDITURE (REAL)

TOTAL

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NOMINAL AND REAL GDP EXAMPLE 2 2013:

ITEM Q P EXPENDITURE (NOMINAL)

EXPENDITURE (REAL)

TOTAL

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NOMINAL AND REAL GDP EXAMPLE 2 2014:

ITEM Q P EXPENDITURE (NOMINAL)

EXPENDITURE (REAL)

TOTAL

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NOMINAL AND REAL GDP EXAMPLE 2

$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

2012 2013 2014

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REAL VS. NOMINAL GDP IN THE U.S.

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

GD

P, B

illio

ns o

f Dol

lars

Nominal Real

•  Real GDP excludes the price effect

•  Helps us better understand the concept of economic growth

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WHICH COUNTRY IS DOING BETTER?

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Tota

l GD

P, tr

illio

ns o

f int

erna

tiona

l $

US CHINA Germany

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TOTAL GDP VS. GDP PER CAPITA

Population GDP GDP per capita

US 318,857,056 $17.42 trillion $54,629.50

Germany 80,889,497 $3.68 trillion $45,615.81

China 1,364,270,000 $18.03 trillion $13,216.54

•  We want to make comparisons by country

•  Relative performance of the countries

•  GDP per capita is GDP divided by midyear population

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GDP PER CAPITA BY COUNTRY

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

GD

P, p

er c

apita

, cur

rent

inte

rnat

iona

l $

US CHINA Germany

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DATA My go-to data sources: •  https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/ •  http://databank.worldbank.org/data/databases.aspx

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ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION 1 •  Does my purchase of a used domestically produced Ford

automobile that was manufactured in 2010 add to the current U.S. GDP?

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ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION 2 •  If a homeowner cuts his or her lawn, is the value of this work

included in real GDP?

•  Suppose that the homeowner hires a neighborhood kid to cut the lawn. Is this activity included in real GDP?