Vulnerability of open ocean food webs in the tropical Pacific to climate change

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Vulnerability of open ocean food webs in the tropical Pacific to climate change Presented by Valerie Allain

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Vulnerability of open ocean food webs in the tropical Pacific to climate change. Presented by Valerie Allain. Authors. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Vulnerability of open ocean food webs in the tropical Pacific to climate change

Page 1: Vulnerability of open ocean food webs in the tropical Pacific to climate change

Vulnerability of open ocean food webs in the tropical Pacific to

climate change Presented by

Valerie Allain

Page 2: Vulnerability of open ocean food webs in the tropical Pacific to climate change

This presentation is based on Chapter 4 ‘Vulnerability of open ocean food webs in the tropical Pacific to climate change’ in the book Vulnerability of Tropical Pacific Fisheries and Aquaculture to Climate Change, edited by JD Bell, JE Johnson and AJ Hobday and published by SPC in 2011.

The authors of Chapter 4 are: Robert Le Borgne, Valerie Allain, Shane P Griffiths, Richard J Matear, A David McKinnon, Anthony J Richardson and Jock Young

Authors

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Photo: Marc Taquet, FADIO, IRD/IFREMER

Photo: Photoshot/Superstock

Page 4: Vulnerability of open ocean food webs in the tropical Pacific to climate change

The tuna food web

Food webs are complex

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The tuna food web

Nutrients

Phytoplankton at the base of the food web require light and nutrients to develop

Light

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PhytoplanktonPhoto: Gustaaf Hallegraeff

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The five oceanic provinces

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The five oceanic provinces• Warm Pool

Normal El Niño

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The five oceanic provinces• North and South Gyres (Case 3) and equatorial

divergence (Case 4)

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Impact of climate change

• Surface area of the provinces

Present day

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The impact of climate change

• Surface area of the provinces

2035

↘ rich equatorial divergence↗ poorer gyres and warm pool

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Impact of climate change

• Surface area of the provinces

2050

↘ rich equatorial divergence↗ poorer gyres and warm pool

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Impact of climate change

• Surface area of the provinces

2100

↘ rich equatorial divergence↗ poorer gyres and warm pool

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Impact of climate change

• GYRESExchanges

between deep rich water and surface poorer waters

↘ of nutrients reaching the surface where photosynthesis can occur

present future

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Impact of climate change

↘ nutrients reaching the surface where photosynthesis can occur

present future

• Equatorial upwelling

Exchanges between deep rich water and surface poorer waters

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presentpresent

Impact of climate change• Effect on phytoplankton and zooplankton

20352050Today

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presentpresent

Impact of climate change• Effect on phytoplankton and zooplankton

↘ of phytoplankton and zooplankton

203520502035

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presentpresent

Impact of climate change• Effect on phytoplankton and zooplankton

↘ of phytoplankton and zooplankton

203520502050

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presentpresent

Impact of climate change• Effect on phytoplankton and zooplankton

↘ of phytoplankton and zooplankton

203520502100

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Impact of climate change• Effect on micronekton

↘ micronektonIm

age:

Val

erie

Alla

in,

SP

C

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Uncertainties and adaptation• Need to establish long-term observations for

biological processes

Image: Valerie Allain, SPCPhytoplankton

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Uncertainties and adaptation• Need to establish long-term observations for

biological processes

Zooplankton

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Uncertainties and adaptation• Need to establish long-term observations for

biological processes

Longitude d.dm

Depth

m

06-13-2008 NZ-Aust start lat-40.4641 end lat -40.6744

150 152 154 156 158 160 162 164 166 168 170

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200 -80

-75

-70

-65

-60

Micronekton

Image: Rudy Kloser, CSIRO

Imag

e: V

aler

ie A

llain

, S

PC

Image: Valerie Allain, SPC

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Uncertainties and adaptation• Need to establish long-term observations for

biological processes

PredatorsPhoto: Peter Sharples

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Uncertainties and adaptation

• Global reduction of greenhouse gas emissions

• Appropriate tuna fisheries management measures can help maintain healthy food webs and fisheries giving better chances to food webs and tuna to adapt to climate change

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Conclusions

• Food webs are complex, based on phytoplankton• 5 provinces and food webs in the Pacific• Reduction of the production• Long-term monitoring is needed• Reducing greenhouse gas emissions and

managing tuna fisheries