Voter Apathy

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{ Voter Apathy The Realities and What We Can Do Judd Pritchard Barlow Garsek & Simon LLP 920 Foch Street Fort Worth, Texas 76107 [email protected]

Transcript of Voter Apathy

Page 1: Voter Apathy

{Voter Apathy

The Realities and What We Can Do

Judd PritchardBarlow Garsek & Simon LLP

920 Foch StreetFort Worth, Texas [email protected]

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Texas has worst voter turnout in the country.  - The University of Texas Annette Strauss Institute for Civic Life

“The folks who are governing the good state of Texas aren't interested in having more people participate.” – President Barack Obama, Interview with Evan Smith of The Texas Tribune, March 2016

“What I find is that leaders of the other party are against efforts to crack down on voter fraud.” – Texas Governor Greg Abbott response to President Obama, March 13, 2016

What are they saying about us as Texans?

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Truth and Consequences of Texas

Turnout

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Nov-00

Nov-04

Nov-08

Nov-12

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TarrantDallasTexas

Presidential Elections Since 2000

Turnout % of Registered Voters

Source: Texas Secretary of State – Elections Division

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Nov-02

Nov-06

Nov-10

Nov-14

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TarrantDallasTexas

Gubernational Elections Since 2000

Turnout % of Registered Voters

Source: Texas Secretary of State – Elections Division

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May-07

May-08

May-09

Nov-09

May-10

Nov-11

Nov-12

May-13

Nov-13

May-14

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

TarrantDallas

Local Elections Since 2007Turnout % of Registered Voters

Source: Dallas County Elections Office and Tarrant County Elections Office

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Why Does Voting Matter?

• Shouldn’t Policy Be Left to the Those that Care Enough to Show Up?

“The abysmally low turnout in last week’s midterm elections

— the lowest in more than seven decades — was bad for Democrats,

but it was even worse for democracy.”

– New York Times Editorial Board, Nov. 11, 2014

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Mar-00Mar-02Mar-04Mar-06Mar-08Mar-10Mar-12Mar-14Mar-16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

% of Voters

% of Voters

Why is Voter Turnout Important?

The Example of GOP Primary Turnout Since 2000

Source: Texas Secretary of State – Elections Division

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“Voter apathy is the greatest threat to the long-term viability of the Texas Republican Party.”

- Geoff Bailey, Trib Talk, Dec. 22, 2014

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Liberal

Lean Liberal

Mixed

Lean Cons.

Conservative

0% 50% 100%

Always Vote

Always Vote

The U-Effect of Voter Turnout

Source: Pew Research Center – 2014 Political Polarization in the American

Public

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Average Turnout 2000-2014:

Dallas and Tarrant Combined

Presidential Elections: 59.7% Average Turnout

Gubernational Elections: 40% Average Turnout

Local Elections: 12.71% Average Turnout

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Voter Apathy in the Metroplex:

Our Problem is Localized

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Local Races are Most Important

1. Transportation2. Tax Rates3. Education4. Public Safety5. Citizen Influence

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FACT:

Typical Voter Voice Heard Less at

National/State Level

But….Voter Turnout MUCH HIGHER

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FACT:

The Opportunity to Be Heard is at Local Level

1. Volunteers have closer contact with candidates

2. Smaller $ can influence vote3. Continued contact with Elected

Officials

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What Do These Facts Suggest is Causing

Voter Apathy?

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Voter Disenfranchisement is

NOT the issue….AND

The Opportunity to Increase Voter Turnout

Locally is NOW

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Causes of Voter Apathy

1. Voter Registration Requirements

2. Number of Elections

3. Candidate Messaging and Targeting

4. Demographics

5. The Current Realities of Voting

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Improving Registration:

More Voters Means …More Voters

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1. Voter Registration Drives

Studies Show that Non-Partisan Efforts are Largely More Effective

Improving Registration:

Source: Michelson, Melissa R. “How to Increase Voter Turnout in Communities Where People Have Not Usually Participated in Elections,” Scholars Strategy Network, 2014.

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2. Personal Contact is Key

Well-Organized and Consistent Contact with Potential Voters

- Door-to-Door or Phone Calls

Go Where the New Voters Are

Mail Works For Regular Voters – Not to Increase New Voters

Source: Michelson, Melissa R. “How to Increase Voter Turnout in Communities Where People Have Not Usually Participated in Elections,” Scholars Strategy Network, 2014.

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3. Mandatory/Automatic Registration

A. Mandatory Registration (Vote or Fine)

Brazil – 80.6%Australia – 81%

B. Automatic RegistrationFrance – 71.2%Sweden – 82.6%

Source: Belton, Danielle C. “Want to Improve Voter Turnout? Abolish Voter Registration. No, Really!,” http://www.theroot.com

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Consolidation of Elections:

Less Confusion Means …More Voters

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1. Eliminate Voter Fatigue

Dallas/Tarrant Counties had 70+ Elections from 2000-2016

Consolidation of Election:

Source: Dallas County Elections Office and Tarrant County Elections Office.

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Improving Messaging:

Engaged Public Means …More Voters

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1. Get Non-Voters Invested in Vote

- Personal Accountability of Voter- Instrinsic Part of Voter’s Identity

Improving Messaging:

Source: Rigoglioso, Marguerite, “Research-Backed Ways to Get Out the Vote”, Stanford Graduate School of Business, 2012.

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2. Connect Issues With Voters

- Ongoing Discussions with People About How Issues Are Affecting Them – Even in Non-Election Years

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Widening Our Reach:

New Voters Means …More Voters

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1. Dialogue with Younger Voters

- Where Do Millenials Get Their News?- Politics is a Social Experience

Source: Mitchell, Amy, “Political Interest and Awareness Lower Among Millenials,” Pew Research Center, 2015.

Widening Our Reach:

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2. Understanding How Different Groups Engage With Politics- Use of Native Languages - Appeals of Ethnic Solidarity

Source: Michelson, Melissa R. “How to Increase Voter Turnout in Communities Where People Have Not Usually Participated in Elections,” Scholars Strategy Network, 2014.

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Meeting New Realities:

New Methods Means …More Voters

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1. Use of Technology

- Phone App being tested for ballot scanning from phone- Use of texting/emails to help with process- Tracking of Mail-in Ballots- Online Voting

Sources: Batte, Jacob, “Secretary of State Hopes Technology Increases Voter Turnout,” August 20, 2015, Houma Today; Lerner, Kira, “5 Ways To Fix America’s Dismal Voter Turnout Problem,” February 5, 2015, Think Progress.

Meeting New Realities:

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2. Improving The Voting Experience- Hiring Skilled and Paid Polling Officials- Consistency of Experience

Source: Lerner, Kira, “5 Ways To Fix America’s Dismal Voter Turnout Problem,” February 5, 2015, Think Progress.

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Questions?Comments?

Judd PritchardBarlow Garsek & Simon LLP

920 Foch StreetFort Worth, Texas [email protected]