Voluntary Contributions with Imperfect Information Annamaria Fiore University of Bari
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Transcript of Voluntary Contributions with Imperfect Information Annamaria Fiore University of Bari
ESA World Meeting 2007 1
Voluntary Contributions with Imperfect Information
Annamaria Fiore
University of Bari
M. Vittoria Levati Andrea Morone
MPI of Economics, Jena University of Bari
University of Bari
ESA World Meeting 2007 2
Motivation
to examine the effect of incomplete information on contribution levels
two-person linear voluntary contribution mechanism with stochastic marginal benefits from the public good
most previous experimental studies performed in an extremely rich informational environment
Yet, in real life, one hardly knows in advance the marginal benefit she can derive from a public good she is asked to finance
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Hipothesis
A severe lack of information may lower individuals’ willingness to contribute (Bagnoli and Lipman, 1989, “complete information […] is a very strong assumption […]. Incomplete information may lead to underprovision, p. 585)
to establish a relationship between attitude to risk and willingness to contribute (Ledyard, 1995, p. 143)
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Experiment Two treatments: PERFECT INFOIMPERFECT INFO
Between design
32 participants in each treatment
Computerized (Ztree, Fischbacher, 1999)
Subject pool: students in Economics – recruitment: ORSEE software (Greiner, 2004)
Lab at MPI, Jena, Germany, on February 2005
2 stages:1° stage: Vickrey auction2° stage: public goods game & belief elicitation
Currency: ECU (10 ECU = 1€)
Average payoff: 11.7€ per un’ora e mezzo
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Results (1/4)
The difference in contribution decisions between treatments is remarkable and significant (two-sided Wilcoxon rank-sum tests - based on averages over players for each pair as independent unit of observation – p<0.001 in each of the first nine periods; p=.92 in period 10; N = 16; p=.001; N = 16 averaging over all periods).
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Results (2/4) 1° period: independent obs.
individual contributions and individual beliefs: highly significantly correlated (Spearman rank correlation coefficients are 0.83 in PERFECT INFO, and 0.80 in IMPERFECT INFO in each treatment)
a statistically significant difference in first-period beliefs between treatments (one-tailed Wilcoxon rank-sum test: p-value = .004, N = 32). No participant is expected to free-ride under perfect information, whereas 6 subjects hold free-riding expectations under imperfect information.
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Results (3/4) beliefs in all periods following the first: endogenous
correlation analysis between beliefs in period t about the partner’s contribution in t and the actual contribution of the partner in period (Spearman rank correlation coefficients: PERFECT INFO = .92 IMPERFECT INFO = .98, p-value < .001, N = 16)
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Relationship risk attitude/willingness to
contribute (4/4)
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Conclusion Evidence for the impact of imperfect information on voluntary contribution behavior in linear public goods games, and for the relationship between risk attitudes and willingness to cooperate
Linear voluntary contribution mechanism: efficient?
Political economy perspective: individuals provided with a good knowledge about their marginal benefits if requested to contribute
ESA World Meeting 2007 10
Thanks for your attention!
Annamaria Fiore
University of Bari