Volume 16 January - February 2020 - Emkay
Transcript of Volume 16 January - February 2020 - Emkay
Volume 16
January - February 2020
MANAGEMENT
JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Prologue 01
Quite Briefly… 02
Global Growth Slips, but Economies are in Motion… 03
The Flight of Prices…When Growth is Faltering… 05
Short End Holds the Hope…Long End Under Pressure… 07
Equities – A Studied Calm Prevails… 08
Currencies Trading in Narrow Range… 09
Gold and Oil May Remain Subdued… 01
Embassy Office Parks REIT 11
Enhanced Efficiency Model: En Ef Model 12
Recommended Equity Funds 13
Recommended Debt Funds 16
Emkay L.E.A.D PMS 20
PMS Products Update 22
Emkay Capital Builder PMS 23
Estate and Succession Planning 24
Planning For Your Minor Children And Appointing A Guardian 25
Model Portfolio 27
Disclaimer 28
Bhavesh Sanghvi
01JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Prologue
MANAGEMENT
It is budget time again!And this is the time the media and the press are full of reports on expectations from theUnion Budget. This year too is no exception. It may be stated that it is under extremely difficult circumstancesthat the budget is being formulated. There may be fiscal slippages as tax collections have not been buoyant,and tax cuts were granted to corporates. It looks like the government may not be able to meet thedisinvestment targets, as things stand at present. All this is happening against the background of a verysluggish economic growth. Such circumstances leave very little choice to the honourable Finance Minister.
In the past, several measures initiated by government and the RBI, focussed more on the supply side, andthe budget is expected to deliver something on the demand side too, as the two macro variables which haveshown a substantial dip are aggregate demand and investments. This situation can be addressed throughdemand-stimulating measures, including rationalization of personal income tax.
Credit flow seems to have improved and liquidity conditions are good, but NBFCs are still finding it difficult toraise money at reasonable rates. We may need a credit guarantee from the government for a longer period ofup to 18 months or 24 months. This would be a good confidence building measure. It is also expected that thegovernment may respond to the long-standing demand for rationalization of Dividend Distribution Tax.Dividend is taxed multiple times, and the same amount should not be taxed many times in a fair and equitabletax regime. In the run up to the introduction of Direct Tax Code (DTC), this reform is something that is requiredand would also promote investments. It is also felt that sectors like agriculture and allied activities,infrastructure, banking and financial services, especially non-banking sector, may receive special attention inthe budget. The need to improve farmers' income in the light of farm distress, the need to promote rural andretail credit to promote spending would require detailed plan and quick execution.
This takes us to the important question, what do we do about portfolios in the light of the budget? Every yearthere is a budget, and budgets always carry some idea or the other, or some measures, which would supportthe economy and the markets, mainly by promoting consumption and investments. While these measuresquite often have positive impact on many sectors of the economy, they may be neutral to some others. Whilethis may have a fleeting impact on the markets, there is no need to worry about portfolios which have beenconstructed based on solid fundamentals, quality and governance. Budgets may trigger sometimes a rally,and a sell off at times. Continue the investments into equities in a phased manner. We suggest initiatinglumpsum investments into the Midcap space against the emerging economic and market conditions. Anexposure to international funds to the tune of not more than 5% of the portfolio maybe considered.
Happy investing!!
Bhavesh Sanghvi
CEO, Emkay Wealth
Dr. K. Joseph Thomas
Head - Research, Emkay Wealth
02JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Quite Briefly…
MANAGEMENT
Many expectations are there, from the budget, that is going to be presented in the next two weeks. Most of theseexpectations revolve around tax rate changes, like rationalization of the dividend distribution tax, and a moderation inthe income tax rates. It is likely that government may not be able to make much concessions, as the widening fiscaldeficit may not allow it, but some measures could be in tune with the final objective of implementing the direct tax code.A significant tax cut was offered to corporates in the current financial year and many announcements regardinginfrastructure was also made recently by the government. We also need to keep in mind the fact that the budget isbeing prepared and presented under conditions of economic and fiscal stress, and therefore, the expectations alsoneed to be moderated. Any major deviation from the fiscal deficit path may have consequences for India's foreigncurrency ratings. This is important because the attitude and approach of overseas investors is fashioned to someextent based on such factors.
Investments should still be focussed on well managed equity portfolios or funds from both the mutual fund space andportfolio management services. Blended strategies with predominantly large caps, followed by mid-caps may be,considered. It is also time to start investing into mid-caps through well researched and carefully selected funds.
Even the fixed income market is waiting to see the extent of fiscal slippages. The comparison will be with the fiscalglide path which was presented in the last budget. There have been genuine difficulties like a shortfall in estimatedrevenues, tax cuts given to corporates etc. against the background of a sagging economy. The difficulties may persist,most likely, in the coming year too, and that is why the numbers in the budget would be keenly watched by investorsboth domestic and overseas
The market operations of the RBI intended to cool down the long end yields may find some success in the immediateterm in countering the trend of rising long end yields. But this may not be useful in the medium to long term as themacro fundamentals and the peculiarities of the fisc would prevail. The long end of the curve indicated by the current10 Yr benchmark may move up from 6.60% levels to 6.90%.Abreach of 7.00% also cannot be ruled out. The short endis also not immune from some volatility, with 25 to 40 bps up-move most likely in that segment too. The focus on theisshort end of the curve and short term and corporate bond funds and enough diligence on credit issues is warranted at, ,this juncture.
The global GDP growth slipped to 2.30%, the lowest since therecession of 2007-08, and there seems to be only a smalluptick in 2020, at 2.50%, that is visible at this pointexpectedof time. The deceleration in growth was witnessed in 2019and it is the result of persistent tariff and trade conflictsinvolving the US and China, and also the US and some of theEU countries. This led to uncertainties in the global economyand the economic outlook, and this resulted in economicslowdown. Generally, such uncertainties adversely affect theinvestment decisions in major projects and businesses. Oneof the by-products of this tariff issues was the fall in exportswitnessed in some of the EU countries, including Germanyand France, and this led to contraction i their GDP, as theynare to some extent export-led economies., ,
Another trend that has been witnessed is the extremely soft monetary policy pursued by the central banks during and afterthe recession continued for a long period of time leading to expansion of credit and subsequent proliferation of issue ofbonds in almost all the major markets. But with risks rising in the recent past and inflation gradually moving up,accommodative monetary policy seems to have reached a dead-end, and the emerging economic conditions may requirereversal of the rate policy. In some markets this is already happening, and the rise in inflation and the rise in rates coupledwith a fall in profitability, may trigger debt related issues, and investments into fixed income would require additionaldiligence in the coming days. The territories where the yields had dipped to negative territory may witness rather mild surgein the yields. But those markets where the debt servicing capacity has been impaired require careful handling by regulatorsthemselves. The rising delinquency in the US of oil exploration firms is a case in point. The interest cover ratio for a largenumber of US firms is reported to be less than one due to fall in profitability and the rise in cost of servicing debt.
The default by Tewoo Group in China, a state ownedenterprise, in its dollar denominated debt highlights twothings, one, that the Chinese government may not bail outany entity though it may try to provide conditions that wouldalleviate stress, and two, there may be increasing stress inthe region, and we may see more defaults. These defaultshave two ramifications, one, this dampens the marketssentiment, and two, this may increase the cost of borrowing inthe coming days. The more important factor to reckon with isthe overwhelming need for higher diligence on debt portfoliosin the light of these developments.
The US economy is expected to grow at a lower rate in thecurrent year, and the same may be the case in the followingyear too going by Fed's estimates. It is a fact that the USmarkets have run up too much with one of the best phases of economic growth, but one or two factors pointed by analystsdo merit consideration. The US unemployment rate has been as low as 3.50% for a long time now, and inflation is graduallyrising, and this historically is a harbinger of lower financial market performance and the beginning of some correctivedownward movements. To put it more clearly, a lower than average unemployment rate and a rising inflation signifies anoverheated economy. The Fed policy meeting and the Fed action thereafter would indicate the trajectory of Fed policy forthe current year.
The trend set in 2019 of a strong US Dollar is likely to continue into 2020, but some of the factors which have beensupporting the currency may weaken in the current year. One example would be China - the government is likely tocontinue with aggressive fiscal and monetary action, whereas in the US or Europe the room for fiscal expansion is quitelimited or does not exist at all.
03JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
Global Growth Slips, but Economies are in Motion…
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04JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
US
China
Japan
Germany
Spain
UK
Russia
Brazil
South Africa
South Korea
Country GDP Growth
2.10%
6.00%
1.70%
0.50%
1.90%
1.10%
1.70%
1.20%
0.10%
2.20%
Inflation 10 Yr Soverign Yield Policy Rate
2.30%
4.50%
0.80%
1.50%
0.80%
1.30%
3.00%
4.31%
4.00%
0.70%
1.74%
3.07%
-0.02%
-0.29%
0.38%
0.59%
6.21%
6.73%
9.03%
1.70%
1.75%
4.15%
-0.10%
0.00%
0.00%
0.75%
6.25%
4.50%
6.25%
1.25%
Global Growth Slips, but Economies are in Motion…
CPI
The CPI based inflation numbers continued their upwardmarch and witnessed yet another sharp spike. The CPIinflation has now moved outside the RBI's target range. Theheadline inflation number was reported at 7.35% for themonth of Dec'19 as compared to 5.54% in the precedingmonth and 2.11% during the year ago period. The retailinflation has now touched a 5-year high. The reportedinflation number even breached the street expectations, asmarket participants anticipated marginal easing in the pace ofprice gains of food articles.
The Consumer Food Price Index galloped at a faster paceand has now reported double digit growth for two consecutivemonths. The inflation for the said index was reported at14.12% as compared to 10% in the preceding month and -2.65% during the year ago period. The steep uptrend seen in food prices has now entered its fourth month. Within the foodbasket the biggest spike was witnessed in Vegetables and Pulses, the inflation was reported at 60.5% and 15.44%respectively.Apart from these two food items, high protein based articles such as Meat & Fish and Eggs have reported highinflation. Fuel and Light price index based reported inflation, after five consecutive months of deflation. The inflation forFuel and Light index was reported at 0.70% as compared to -1.93% in the preceding month and 4.47% during the year agoperiod.
Along with Food and Fuel, inflationary pressures were witnessed in other components as well. As a result, Core inflationmoved up from 3.49% in the month of Nov'19 to 3.73% in Dec'19.
View
The headline inflation numbers continue to worsen and have severely restricted the space available with the central bankto support growth. The RBI has the mandate to maintain inflation within a range of -/+ 2% from its target rate of 4% andpositive real rates. The real repo rate has turned negative on the basis of last two CPI based inflation readings and couldhave a bearing on the upcoming monetary policy. While a rate cut is ruled out by market participants, the “accommodativestance” has also come under scrutiny. The impact of rising inflation on market yields could also hamper the transmission ofrates effected till date.
The impact of food prices on headline inflation numbers was expected to be transitory, on the basis of receding impact ofweather conditions and supply management by the government. The volatile prices of vegetables continue to surge aheadand also, more sticky, high protein food items have remained at elevated levels. The other cause of concern is the uptick infuel prices, the rising geopolitical concerns could potentially result in further upmove in oil prices. The risks to theinflationary trajectory are on the upside, the response from the central bank can be muted over the near term but if thetrajectory continues to be upward or if it remains elevated for elongated period of time, the central bank may be compelledto respond.Additionally, the quality of the fiscal deficit, would also be monitored for its impact on inflation.
IIP
The IIP growth returned to expansionary category after a gapof three months. The IIP growth for the month of Nov'19 wasreported at 1.8% as compared to -4% in the preceding monthand 0.2% during the year ago period. The reported numberswere mostly in line with expectations, with consensusestimate expecting growth to be positive for the month ofNovember. The street estimates expecting a marginalrecovery was mostly owing to the base effect. The economicslowdown started getting reflected in the IIP numbers fromNov'18 and has hovered around low single digits since.
The manufacturing sector, representing more than 77% of IIP,growth came in at 2.7% for the month of Nov'19, as comparedto -2.3% for the preceding month. Even as the Manufacturinggrowth turned positive, the breadth of the industries formingpart of Manufacturing sector remained weak; from 23 industrygroups, 13 reported contraction. The growth was the weakest in industries such as other manufacturing and motor
05JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
The Flight of Prices…When Growth is Faltering…
MANAGEMENT
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
10.00%CPI Core CPI
Jan-1
4
May-1
4
Sep-1
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Jan-1
5
May-1
5
Sep-1
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Jan-1
6
May-1
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May-1
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May-1
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vehicles. The growth was strongest in wood products, except furniture, and basic metals. Out of the three sectors formingpart of IIP, Electricity was the only one to report negative growth. The growth for Mining sector was reported at 1.7% for themonth of Nov'19, as against growth of -8% in the preceding month.
The growth rates for Use-based categories too improved at the margins. The only segment to report healthy growth ratewas Intermediate goods, at 17.1% as compared to 22.9% in the preceding month. Despite the slowdown in bothconsumption as well as investment demand, the growth in Intermediate Goods has been able to maintain its pace.Anotherpositive was reported in Consumer Non-Durables growth rate, it came in at 2%, as against -1.8% seen in the precedingmonth. Consumer Durables demand and thus the production continues to remain weak, growth rate for the segment wasreported at -1.5%. Primary Goods segment reported negative growth rate of 0.3%. Capital Goods growth remained in thenegative zone for the 11th consecutive month, the growth rate for the month of Nov'19 was reported at -8.6%.Infrastructure/Construction Goods growth rate came in at -3.5% for the month of Nov'19.
View
IIP growth recovered from the recent lows, but this in no way indicates a reversal in trend and recovery in growth. Theimprovement in IIP growth rate is mostly being attributed to the base effect. The base effect would benefit the headlinenumbers for few more months, but the sustained improvement in numbers and the number of contributing industries wouldbe the key indicator of a turnaround.
The upcoming budget would be the primary monitorable as far as providing support to the lagging growth numbers isconcerned. The fiscal as well as monetary stimuli provided over the course of the year gone by have had limited impact onthe economy till now. The measures effected till date have been largely concerning the supply side, while there have beenlimited demand side stimuli. The government is expected to address the demand side in the upcoming budget and provideallocation for capex boosting programmes as well.
PMI
India's manufacturing PMI improved for the second month ina row and touched a joint 10 month high of 52.7 for the monthof Dec'19 as compared to 51.2 in the preceding month. Areading above 50 indicates expansion in activity. The pace ofincrease in new orders was the fastest since Jul'19 and it ledto manufacturers ramping-up the production efforts. Theuptick in demand was well supported by export orders. Theexport demand has strengthened for the 26th consecutivemonth. The key contributing sectors to growth wereconsumer goods and intermediate goods, whereas trend forcapital goods remained weak. As the increase in demand ledto pile-up in outstanding orders, the manufacturers resumedhiring and it was the strongest since Feb'19.Along with hiring,there was improvement also in input buying. Even as inputbuying gained pace, the inventory levels continued todecline. The holding of finished products too declined during the month.
The input costs have been inching-up since the past few months and touched a 13 month high, but the subdued demandhad kept a lid on output charge. The weak demand had severely diminished the manufacturers' pricing power. Withimprovement in demand scenario, the manufacturers passed-on the cost burden. The output charge inflation touched a 34month high in Dec'19.
View
The PMI numbers improved for the second consecutive month and that should come as a respite for the markets after aslew of weak macroeconomic data. The survey report mentions that, “Factories benefited from a rebound in demand, and
responded by scaling up production to the greatest extent since May. There were also renewed increases in input
purchasing and employment during December”. The uptick in activity may not immediately translate into enhancement incapex, but the demand growth would support the capacity utilisation levels.
While increasing demand scenario bodes well for the economic growth outlook, it could potentially negatively theimpactinflation numbers. The latest PMI report indicates that the increasing demand helped the manufacturers to pass on the costburden. The inflationary pressures which were largely restricted to food articles till now can percolate into broadereconomy. The CPI inflation has maintained an upward trajectory since last few months and the green shoots of improvingdemand can lead to similar trend in WPI.
06JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
The Flight of Prices…When Growth is Faltering…
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07JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Short End Holds the Hope…Long End Under Pressure…
MANAGEMENT
The liquidity conditions in the inter-bank market is supportive of lowerrates at the short end of the curve, and the system-wide liquidity isclose to Rs.2.30 Lakh Crs. That the liquidity has been in surplus for aconsiderable amount of time is something that has provide greaterdstability to the markets in the recent past. This has also moderated theimpact of borrowings by the central government and the stategovernments, which had assumed a relatively larger proportioncompared to the earlier years. Almost 95% of government borrowing isalready completed and it needs to be seen whether there are anyadditional borrowings that is coming to hit the markets. It is likely thatgovernment may resort to borrowing through very short-terminstruments to tide over the short fall in the government revenues. Thisis a high probability given the fact that the tax revenues have beenlower than estimated, the level of disinvestments also has been far short of estimates as on the date of preparing thisreport.
The global oil prices have stabilized, and the likely range may be US$ 65-US$75, and the likelihood of the prices shootingup is much less except in conditions of protracted war, and disruption to production. The stability of oil prices and therelatively stable Dollar-Rupee exchange rate offers some support to the domestic price level in terms of transmission ofprices from external factors. But the impact of domestic factors on the price level is pronounced as can be seen from theCPI numbers in the last two months with the CPI going up beyond the RBI limit set at 4% to 6%. The rise in the prices of foodarticles has resulted in the higher CPI, and the prices of pulses has also moved up. While we may see the prices of fruitsand vegetables coming down in due course, the prices of pulses may not because it is a crop which has a longer cropmaturity cycle. The core inflation has also edged higher. The general expectation in global markets is that commodities'prices may also have a moderate upside this year. These price pressures may put some pressure on the RBI fromcontinuing with an aggressive accommodative stance which it has pursued in the last one year or so. However, RBI maynot be in a position to suddenly hike the rates too as the economy is still in a sluggish phase and the recovery may takemore time. But this may make most market participants to read into it that the central bank may have to abandon the softmoney policy at some point of time if inflationary pressures persist.
One of the factors which the fixed income market has been eagerlylooking forward to is the extent of fiscal slippages, which the budgetwhich is going to be presented soon, would actually throw up asagainst the fiscal glide path which the budget last year had presented.There have been genuine difficulties like a shortfall in estimatedrevenues, tax cuts given to corporates etc. against the background of asagging economy. The difficulties may persist, most likely, in thecoming year too, and that is why the numbers in the budget would bekeenly watched by investors both domestic and overseas. If there areany major slippages it may not be accepted very easily by the market,and some pressure on yields may crop up soon thereafter.
The market operations of the RBI intended to cool down the long endyields may find some success in the immediate term in countering the trend of rising long end yields. But this may not beuseful in the medium to long term as the macro fundamentals and the peculiarities of the fisc would prevail. The long end ofthe curve, indicated by the current 10 Yr benchmark may move up from 6.60% levels to 6.90% and or even 7.10% levels.The short end is also not from some volatility, with 25 to 40 bps up-move, most likely in that segment too. Theinsulatedfocus on the short end of the curve and short term and corporate bond funds and enough diligence on credit issues iswarranted at this juncture.
-400,000
-300,000
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-100,000
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Net LAF (Outstanding)
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
910yr Benchmark Sovereign Yield
10 yr Yield Average -1 SD -2 SD
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-19
The equity frontline indexes have been buoyant, and it has been morepronounced in the large cap indexes. There are some redeemingfeatures in the mid-caps and the small caps too. But that is very far andfew. The broader markets remain in the shadow of the rise in fewerstocks, which is the product of the hunt for quality, made moreconspicuous by the chase for such stocks even in the face of incrediblyhigh earnings multiples. Being in the grip of a severe slow down, thefocus has been naturally more on companies that have a businessmodel that has survived the test of time, and those with high corporategovernance standards. This is the reason behind the demand for goodcompanies. The prices move up with demand, and the supply-demandprinciple applies here too, like it is in any other commodity, traded on anexchange or otherwise. The large caps, and the midcaps bordering thelarge caps, have been the domain that has been at the centre of attraction.
But the discussion now is more on the space where not much has happened in the recent past, which is the mid-caps andsmall caps. The run up in large caps can be rationalized or balanced out by either the large caps correcting a bit, or by themid- caps moving up. The probability of the latter happening over the next four to six quarters is higher compared to theformer. This is also because the fall in the mid-caps was more drastic in the last one or one and a half years, compared toany other segment of the market. But the time period may be longer for the current pick up, as we need to see the intensityof credit flow or credit pick up, to some of the credit hungry sectors picking up. It is equally important that the rate of interest,at least on short term debt instruments, remain more or less stable.Any rise in short term rates whether inflation-induced oron account of policy shifts could spoil the environment for companies in the mid cap space as their reliance on borrowing isrelatively higher. The road to a recovery in small caps may be still longer compared to the mid- caps.
One factor that continues to lend support to the equity markets is the liquidity conditions, which remains conducive to moreintense economic activity. This level of liquidity has helped transmission of the positive effects of rate cuts faster to thebenefit of larger borrowers. It is also important that rates remain lower at this juncture because it has consequences for thedebt-servicing capacity of mid-sized and smaller corporates. Usually, during times when economy is sluggish, profitabilityof corporates goes down, and this adversely affects their debt servicing capacity. This is aggravated further by rising rates.Therefore, so long as the liquidity conditions remain in surplus as it is today, it will foster growth.
The first few results from the earnings season has hit the streets, and itdoes not add much cheer to the markets. It is expected, that to a largeextent, the earnings scenario would be more or less on the same linesas it was with the last two to three quarters. For a real pick up inearnings, we need to see the GDP growth back to the 6% to 7% levelsor higher. This may happen only over a much longer time period. Butwe need to position investment activity in anticipation of the pick-up intothe most appropriate avenues so that the portfolios benefit from thepick-up when it actually happens, or when it is actually realized.
There are many expectations from the budget that is going to bepresented . Most of the expectations revolve around tax ratesoonchanges, like rationalization of the dividend distribution tax, and amoderation in the income tax rates. It is likely that government may not be able to make much concessions, as the wideningfiscal deficit may not it, but some measures could be in tune with the final objective of implementing the direct taxpermitcode. A significant tax cut was offered to corporates in the current financial year and many announcements regardinginfrastructure also made recently by the government. We also need to keep in mind the fact that the budget is beingwereprepared and presented under conditions of economic and fiscal stress, and therefore, the expectations also need to bemoderated. Any major deviation from the fiscal deficit path may have consequences for India's foreign currency ratings.This is important because the attitude and approach of overseas investors is fashioned to some extent based on suchfactors.
Investments should still be focussed on well manged equity portfolios or funds from both the mutual fund space andportfolio management services. Blended strategies with predominantly large caps, followed by mid-caps may beconsidered. It is also time to start investing into mid-caps through well researched and carefully selected funds.
08JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
Equities – A Studied Calm Prevails…
-20000
-15000
-10000
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Jan
-19
Fe
b-1
9
Ma
r-1
9
Ap
r-1
9
Ma
y-1
9
Jun
-19
Jul-1
9
Au
g-1
9
Se
p-1
9
Oct
-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
Inflow/Outflow in Rs. Crs. Last 12 Months
FII Equity MF Equity
Ju
l-0
7
Ja
n-0
8
Ju
l-0
8
Ja
n-0
9
Ju
l-0
9
Ja
n-1
0
Ju
l-1
0
Ja
n-1
1
Ju
l-11
Ja
n-1
2
Ju
l-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
Ju
l-1
3
Ja
n-1
4
Ju
l-1
4
Ja
n-1
5
Ju
l-1
5
Ja
n-1
6
Ju
l-1
6
Ja
n-1
7
Ju
l-1
7
Ja
n-1
8
Ju
l-1
8
Ja
n-1
9
Ju
l-1
9
Ja
n-2
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60 Largecap vs Midcap Valuation Gap
Midcap PE Nifty PE
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
116 USD/JPY
30-O
ct-1
7
30-D
ec-1
7
28-F
eb-1
8
30-A
pr-1
8
30-J
un-1
8
31-A
ug-1
8
31-O
ct-1
8
31-D
ec-1
8
28-F
eb-1
9
30-A
pr-1
9
30-J
un-1
9
31-A
ug-1
9
31-O
ct-1
9
31-D
ec-1
9
The currency levels obtaining currently indicate no significant, ,
changes currency levels over the last few months. The twoin the
factors that have been keeping the markets on tenterhooks were
Brexit, and the trade and tariff war between China and the US. Post
the general elections, the Brexit issue has been now more or less
settled with a vote in the parliament, and the details of the separation
that may emerge gradually would give us a complete picture of how it
may impact UK and the rest of Europe. But it is going to leave its
scars on the UK economy, and the speed with which UK would
renegotiate some of the trade and business treaties would determine
the depth of the impact. This is what has helped both Euro and GBP
to hold quite well against the US Dollar in the last couple of months
which is clearly reflected in the currency rates.
The agreement between China and the US is happening in two
stages as per the information available so far. The first phase
agreement has been signed by both the parties in Washington and
China has agreed to buy US goods to the tune of US$ 200 billion. The
second phase may be a more comprehensive treaty after the
pending issues are ironed out by both parties. This has also brought
some semblance of stability in the currency markets. Most of the
currency majors held quite well against the US$ through the last
three months. There is some strength visible in Yuan too after the
progress in the negotiations on the trade front recently.
The Rupee has been quite rangebound, with the broader range being
70.50 to 71.50 against the US$. The inflows on account of
investment is not consistent and encouraging, and the direction
which the Rupee would take will depend on the patte n of investmentr
flows as also the outcome of the budget, mainly the fiscal path which
the government is likely to chart. The impact of some of the factors on
India's foreign currency rating will be consequential for the Rupee.
Currencies Trading in Narrow Range…
MANAGEMENT
JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16 09
Exchange Rates ( -Dec 2019 and January 2020)Jun
US /JPYD
DGBP/US
DUS /Yuan
Euro USD/
Currency June
107.40
27611.
6.86
1.1387
July
108.11
24401.
6.88
.11441
Aug
105.40
1.2300
7.10
1.1200
Sept
107.76
1.2470
7.10
1.0999
Oct
108.40
1.2860
7.07
1.1120
Dec
109.50
1.3035
6.99
1.1135
Jan 20
109.90
1.3040
6.90
1.1070
50
55
60
65
70
75
80USD/INR
02-J
an-1
5
02-M
ay-1
5
02-S
ep-1
5
02-J
an-1
6
02-M
ay-1
6
02-S
ep-1
6
02-J
an-1
7
02-M
ay-1
7
02-S
ep-1
7
02-J
an-1
8
02-M
ay-1
8
02-S
ep-1
8
02-J
an-1
9
02-M
ay-1
9
02-S
ep-1
9
02-J
an-2
0
1
1.05
1.1
1.15
1.2
1.25
1.3EUR/USD
30-O
ct-1
7
30-D
ec-1
7
28-F
eb-1
8
30-A
pr-1
8
30-J
un-1
8
31-A
ug-1
8
31-O
ct-1
8
31-D
ec-1
8
28-F
eb-1
9
30-A
pr-1
9
30-J
un-1
9
31-A
ug-1
9
31-O
ct-1
9
31-D
ec-1
9
13-O
ct-1
7
13-D
ec-1
7
13-F
eb-1
8
13-A
pr-1
8
13-J
un-1
8
13-A
ug-1
8
13-O
ct-1
8
13-D
ec-1
8
13-F
eb-1
9
13-A
pr-1
9
13-J
un-1
9
13-A
ug-1
9
13-O
ct-1
9
13-D
ec-1
9
5.8
6
6.2
6.4
6.6
6.8
7
7.2
7.4USD/YUAN
1.2
1.25
1.3
1.35
1.4
1.45
1.5GBP/USD
30-O
ct-1
7
30-D
ec-1
7
28-F
eb-1
8
30-A
pr-1
8
30-J
un-1
8
31-A
ug-1
8
31-O
ct-1
8
31-D
ec-1
8
28-F
eb-1
9
30-A
pr-1
9
30-J
un-1
9
31-A
ug-1
9
31-O
ct-1
9
31-D
ec-1
9
Gold Movements
Gold touched a high of and at the time of compiling this report it is1580trading at . The sudden spike in gold prices in the recent past was1560the direct result of the geo-political tensions which developed due tothe US-Iran confrontation. Sensing the likelihood of enhancedaggression in the region gold prices just zoomed up. But soonthereafter, the prices eased to lower levels as the rhetoric moderated.The factors which are most likely to influence the trajectory of gold pricemovements are two fold - one , the geo political tensions that may cropup from time to time may keep the gold prices well supported, andsecond, the scenario of a global economic sluggishness an thedpotential for low interest regimes across Europe, Asia and orthNAmerica may also support gold prices. At present the strong supportlevels are at or around 1510/20 and 1470/80.
While gold prices may remain elevated due to the factors listed above, the tendency to move towards the support levels willbe very high. It may also be stated that the gold price volatility has increased but the level of volatility is low. The institutionalinvestors, especially the central banks, have been the major investors into gold last year. The demand from central banks isexpected to continue into the current year too. This offers good support for gold apart from the inflows into ETFs. ETFholdings grew at 14% in 2019, and the trend may continue unabated in view of the global economic and market conditions.The negative bond yields and the general low interest rate scenario prompted investors to look at ETFs progressively,mainly the by-product of low real interest rates. Therefore, while ETFs and institutional investments would all support goldprice, the chances of sharp upticks are a function of the evolving geo-political conditions multiple theatres of likelyinconflict.
Brent
The broad range that we had indicated for Brent has been US 65 to$US$ 75, the probable range for the whole year. It touched the upside onthe breakout of the hostilities between the US and Iran and came back,to the US$ 70 level as the hostilities subsided. Currently trading at US$65, the price of oil is expected to remain more or less subdued, unlessdisturbed by geo-political tensions. This means that oil prices may notbe bullish but occasional events may distort the prices. The DavosSummit is on, and the International Energy Agency has released areport in which it highlights the state of affairs as far as oil is concernedand also on clean energy alternatives for the world. Oil producers andoil companies have faced adverse conditions on account of twofactors, the first is that the profitability of the oil business has comedown in the recent years, and secondly, the awareness of the need forclean energy to support climate initiatives is on the rise. The alternate energy sources and the spend on those sourceshave gone up, in areas like wind energy, biofuels, solar and electricity. This drives home the business risks which oilbusiness would face, which will only rise with passage of time. While this may be a long term phenomenon, the transition toelectric vehicles are happening at a rapid pace. In the coming years, almost all countries are going to tighten the climatenorms, and this may reduce, over a period of time, the reliance on oil. The production from Libya is in a standstill now,mainly due to the closure of some oil facilities and closure of all major ports.
10JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
Gold and Oil May Remain Subdued…
01
/01
/20
08
01
/08
/20
08
01
/03
/20
09
01
/10
/20
09
01
/05
/20
10
01
/12
/20
10
01
/07
/20
11
01
/02
/20
12
01
/09
/20
12
01
/04
/20
13
01
/11
/20
13
01
/06
/20
14
01
/01
/20
15
01
/08
/20
15
01
/03
/20
16
01
/10
/20
16
01
/05
/20
17
01
/12
/20
17
01
/07
/20
18
01
/02
/20
19
01
/09
/20
19
400.0
600.0
800.0
1,000.0
1,200.0
1,400.0
1,600.0
1,800.0
2,000.0 Gold USD
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160 Brent Crude $/Barrel
02
-Ja
n-0
8
02
-Au
g-0
8
02
-Ma
r-0
9
02
-Oct
-09
02
-Ma
y-1
0
02
-De
c-1
0
02
-Ju
l-11
02
-Fe
b-1
2
02
-Se
p-1
2
02
-Ap
r-1
3
02
-No
v-1
3
02
-Ju
n-1
4
02
-Ja
n-1
5
02
-Au
g-1
5
02
-Ma
r-1
6
02
-Oct
-16
02
-Ma
y-1
7
02
-De
c-1
7
02
-Ju
l-1
8
02
-Fe
b-1
9
02
-Se
p-1
9
REIT
The Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) is structured like Mutual Funds (MFs), in the sense that it allows pooling ofinvestor money to buy a particular asset. REITs, as the nomenclature suggests, invest in income generating real estateassets. The investors benefit by way of dividend-like income and also by valuations gains in the underlying real estateassets over a period of time. To provide liquidity, REIT units are compulsorily listed on stock exchanges.
Embassy Office Parks
Embassy Office Parks is India's first publicly-listed Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT). It owns and operates a 33 million
square feet (msf) portfolio of seven Grade A office parks and four city-center office buildings in Bengaluru, Mumbai, Puneand the National Capital Region (NCR). Embassy Office Parks' portfolio has 24.8 msf completed by area, runs at 94.7%occupancy as of September 30, 2019. The portfolio also comprises strategic amenities, including two completed (includingthe Four Seasons hotel at Embassy One), two under-construction hotels, and a 100MW solar park supplying renewableenergy to park tenants.
Source: Embassy Office Parks REIT – Investor Factsheet Q2FY20
Suitability
As mentioned earlier, REITs' main sources of value accretion are mark-to-market (MTM) gains in the underlying real estateassets and the rental income from these assets. The influence of real estate investments on the unit valuation gives it a riskprofile similar to equity asset class and also having a mandate to make regular payments from the accruals. The EmbassyREIT was listed at a price of Rs. 300 per unit in Mar'19 and is currently trading at Rs. 413 per unit (as on 27th Jan'20),translating into healthy MTM gains. Conversely a sharp gain in valuation impacts the dividend yield; the dividend yield forFY20 stands at 5.6%, based on current valuations, which is lower than YTMs of some of the debt mutual fund schemes.
The product is not suitable for investors aiming at regular dividend-like income, owing to the higher influence of real estateMTM on the valuations. Given the equity-esque risk profile, investors seeking regular income could consider makinginvestments if the correction in valuations push the dividend yield into double digits, where they can also fall-back on thesafety net offered by periodic mark-ups in rentals. At the current juncture, Embassy REIT would be suitable for investorslooking to allocate investments to real estate sector. It provides an ideal opportunity to participate in the potential pricegains from some of the marquee commercial properties in India.
11JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
Embassy Office Parks REIT
% of Rentals
IBM
Cognizant
NTT Data
Cerner
Google India
PwC
NOKIA
JP Morgan
Lowe’s
L&T Infotech
Total
Top 10 Tenants
13%
10%
5%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
44%
Technology
Technology
Technology
Healthcare
Technology
Research, Consulting & Analytics
Telecom
Financial Services
Retail
Technology
Sector
Financial Highlights
Portfolio Area: 32.7 msf
Completed Area: 24.8 msf
Development Area: 7.9 msf
Commercial Offices: 11 (75 Buildings)
Occupancy: 94.7%
Operating Highlights
Revenue: Rs. 5,206 mn, +15%, YoY
Contribution: 88% Offices (12% Ancillary)
EBITDA: Rs. 4,194 mn, +12%, YoY
Distribution per Unit: Rs. 6 (YTD Rs. 11.4)
FY20 Dividend Yield: 5.6%
Enhanced Efficiency Model: En Ef Model
MANAGEMENT
Fund Selection Process
Enhanced Efficiency Model or En Ef Model is a proprietary model, which is a parametrized scheme selection model,developed by a team of experts, and having a performance track record of more than a decade, helping investors makescientific and objective choice of funds. The model brings together return based factors as well as risk based factors whileidentifying the potential performers.
Alpha
Scanningfunds forcompliancewithhygienefactors
Beta
Fundsevaluatedon returnbased andrisk basedfactors
Gamma
Comprehensiveranking ofFunds
Omega
Final FundList andModelPortfolio
Equity Schemes Selection Process
Debt Schemes Selection Process
Hygiene Factors
Minimum Scheme AUM
Minimum Track Record
Ranking Parameters
RecommendedSchemes
▪ Point to Point
Absolute / CAGR
Returns
▪ Average Rolling
Returns
▪ Downside Risk
▪ Net Selectivity
▪ Treynor Ratio
▪ Information Ratio
▪ Outperformance Ratio
▪ Portfolio Composition
(Sector / Company)
▪ Sector Concentration
▪ Stock Concentration
▪ AMC Lineage / Pedigree
▪ AMC Equity strategy
▪ AMC Size
▪ Fund Management
Experience
▪ Fund Management
Strength
Risk RatioScheme Returns Scheme Risk Portfolio Analytics Qualitative Factors
Hygiene Factors
Minimum Scheme AUM
Minimum Track Record
Ranking Parameters
RecommendedSchemes
▪ Point to Point
Absolute / CAGR
Returns
▪ Average Rolling
Returns
Risk RatioScheme Returns
▪ Semi Standard Deviation
▪ Sharp Ratio
Scheme Risk
▪ AMC Lineage / Pedigree
▪ AMC Debt strategy
▪ AMC Size
▪ Fund Management
Experience
▪ Fund Management
Strength
Qualitative Factors
▪ Credit Quality
Average Maturity /▪
Modified Duration
▪ YTM
Portfolio Analytics
Scheme Size▪
12JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
13JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Recommended Equity Funds
MANAGEMENT
Return as on 15th January 2020. Source : ACE MF
Large & Mid CapSchemes
Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
5339
2239
9516
2847
1016
1568
Miyush Gandhi
Taher Badshah
Neelesh Surana
Saurabh Pant
S. Krishnakumar
Canara Rob Emerg Equities Fund
Invesco India Growth Opp Fund
Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip
SBI Large & Midcap Fund
Sundaram Large and Mid Cap Fund
Tata Large & Mid Cap Fund
Benchmark
NIFTY 200 - TRI
Nifty Large Midcap 250 Index - TRI
S&P BSE 250 Large Mid Cap65:35 Index - TRI
3.73
2.24
4.19
3.44
2.50
2.29
2.60
3.77
3.56
10.23
7.17
13.04
9.12
7.16
8.35
8.76
10.71
10.27
8.43
10.01
12.17
6.56
9.78
7.55
7.02
7.59
8.30
5.80
7.51
10.78
4.59
8.14
10.50
5.29
3.96
5.17
11.95
13.95
18.58
8.87
13.24
16.05
12.22
9.40
11.12
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
0.22
5.37
4.51
1.02
5.14
3.81
4.97
0.69
2.51
13.69
14.74
16.90
11.99
14.22
11.59
13.71
12.74
13.12
11.75
10.50
15.68
9.42
10.70
8.83
9.12
9.91
9.75
1Year
9Months
Large Cap Schemes Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
10212
301
25025
16873
12955
Axis Bluechip Fund
Canara Rob Bluechip Equity
Fund
ICICI Pru Bluechip Fund
Mirae Asset Large Cap Fund
Nippon India Large Cap Fund
Benchmark
NIFTY 100 - TRI
NIFTY 50 - TRI
S&P BSE 200 - TRI
2.04
2.63
2.45
1.95
2.63
2.27
2.13
2.68
10.64
10.96
6.78
7.62
3.48
7.21
7.16
7.50
14.10
12.13
6.36
7.15
1.37
6.15
6.68
5.80
20.90
18.19
11.56
14.44
8.03
13.60
14.85
12.61
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
12.65
9.92
4.63
5.62
3.34
6.85
8.67
5.41
19.83
15.63
12.44
14.99
13.32
14.46
15.17
13.98
10.50
9.60
9.13
11.59
8.66
9.41
9.14
9.44
1Year
9Months
Shreyash Devalkar
Shridatta
Bhandwaldar
Anish Tawakley
Gaurav Misra
Sailesh Raj Bhan
4.98
8.36
7.26
9.03
9.30
8.13
8.21
8.76
Focused Fund Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
9110
8920
551
6924
1056
Jinesh Gopani
Anand Radhakrishnan
Mayur Patel
R. Srinivasan
Rahul Baijal
Axis Focused 25 Fund
Franklin India Focused Equity
Fund
IIFL Focused Equity Fund
SBI Focused Equity Fund
Sundaram Select Focus
Benchmark
NIFTY 50 - TRI
500 - TRIS&P BSE
2.73
2.67
3.61
2.89
1.64
2.13
3.18
6.72
9.54
10.86
8.80
7.73
8.21
9.20
11.76
3.11
13.00
9.19
7.97
7.16
7.39
13.50
3.16
16.15
8.90
9.29
6.68
5.01
20.32
11.66
28.22
19.34
15.42
14.85
11.60
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
7.72
1.48
8.27
5.89
7.81
8.67
3.42
18.59
11.26
15.18
16.86
15.98
15.17
13.27
12.64
8.06
11.20
11.21
8.81
9.14
9.20
1Year
9Months
Chandraprakash Padiyar
MANAGEMENT
Recommended Equity Funds
Return as on 15th January 2020. Source : ACE MF
Small Cap Schemes Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
1542
799
5941
8525
3156
Anupam Tiwari
Sankaran Naren
Venugopal Manghat
Samir Rachh
R. Srinivasan
Axis Small Cap Fund
ICICI Pru Smallcap Fund
L&T Emerging Businesses Fund
Nippon India Small Cap Fund
SBI Small Cap Fund
Benchmark
Nifty Smallcap 100 - TRI
Nifty Smallcap 250 - TRI
S&P BSE Small-Cap - TRI
5.75
7.05
7.11
9.11
4.04
10.23
10.39
9.01
9.31
11.97
9.51
13.20
8.06
15.37
15.51
13.90
14.89
7.82
3.55
7.95
9.53
4.00
5.21
6.97
19.02
7.43
-3.06
1.42
5.31
-7.25
-4.80
-2.94
23.83
16.11
-1.87
4.31
10.66
-2.35
-0.59
0.34
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
5.85
-6.21
-10.38
-9.08
-8.15
-18.13
-16.31
-14.07
15.12
7.12
9.42
10.15
14.70
1.22
3.04
5.51
11.58
6.27
10.80
10.22
13.56
4.13
4.91
6.05
1Year
9Months
MultiCap Schemes Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
1634
3267
23737
29598
10343
10217
Shridatta Bhandwaldar
Atul Bhole
Prashant Jain
Harsha Upadhyaya
Sailesh Raj Bhan
Ajay Tyagi
Canara Rob Equity Diver Fund
DSP Equity Fund
HDFC Equity Fund
Kotak Standard Multicap Fund
Nippon India Multi Cap Fund
UTI Equity Fund
Benchmark
NIFTY 200 - TRI
NIFTY 500 - TRI
S&P BSE 500 - TRI
2.95
3.54
2.48
2.97
3.43
4.29
2.60
3.11
3.18
8.01
7.69
8.63
8.85
9.71
10.91
8.76
9.19
9.20
8.61
12.47
1.18
7.69
2.70
12.63
7.02
7.17
7.39
7.96
12.06
0.77
7.85
0.16
7.67
5.29
4.83
5.01
14.69
20.98
7.51
15.41
3.46
14.74
12.22
11.50
11.60
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
7.09
4.50
1.13
6.00
-0.11
8.10
4.97
3.25
3.42
15.39
14.06
11.22
13.86
11.87
14.50
13.71
13.13
13.27
8.79
9.12
7.36
10.71
5.85
9.04
9.12
9.06
9.20
1Year
9Months
Mid Cap Schemes Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
Shreyash Devalkar
R. Janakiraman
Vinit Sambre
Pranav Gokhale
Pankaj Tibrewal
Manish Gunwani
16.45
7.27
13.97
8.74
14.66
10.38
1.72
5.40
3.12
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
1Year
9Months
Axis Midcap Fund
Franklin India Prima Fund
DSP Midcap Fund
Invesco India Midcap Fund
Kotak Emerging Equity Fund
Nippon India Growth Fund
Benchmark
Nifty Midcap 100 - TRI
Nifty Midcap 150 - TRI
S&P BSE Mid-Cap - TRI
4141
7583
6957
674
5888
6844
2.58
3.88
4.98
4.84
5.92
5.79
5.34
5.26
4.56
6.99
8.37
11.59
10.46
13.33
11.67
14.20
13.31
11.35
12.91
6.18
11.73
10.09
11.47
7.83
5.42
7.92
7.76
11.55
1.63
8.53
5.46
8.60
5.13
-1.47
1.79
0.86
8.27
-2.24
-0.26
-0.74
-0.46
-1.77
-8.46
-5.27
-6.59
18.08
9.54
10.84
11.72
11.31
10.84
6.68
10.85
8.17
9.95
8.65
10.34
9.03
10.81
8.76
8.04
10.17
9.11
14JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
Recommended Equity Funds
Return as on 15th January 2020. Source : ACE MF
Aggressive Hybrid Fund Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
2824
23073
3190
31620
1832
Shridatta Bhandwaldar
Sankaran Naren
Neelesh Surana
R. Srinivasan
Rahul Baijal
2.28
3.25
2.03
2.15
1.89
2.17
6.74
8.48
8.46
6.01
6.53
6.22
7.77
5.69
6.29
7.49
7.38
5.86
8.11
5.51
6.83
9.40
8.28
7.00
13.43
10.77
13.37
15.16
12.06
12.06
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
6.82
3.89
6.36
6.64
6.91
6.63
11.78
9.70
12.60
12.84
11.25
11.61
9.01
9.17
—
9.72
8.24
9.27
1Year
9Months
Canara Rob Equity Hybrid Fund
ICICI Pru Equity & Debt Fund
Mirae Asset Hybrid Equity Fund
SBI Equity Hybrid Fund
Sundaram Equity Hybrid Fund
Benchmark
CRISIL Hybrid 35+65 -Aggressive Index
ELSS Schemes Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
21473
1005
6707
988
1068
3066
Jinesh Gopani
Cheenu Gupta
Sankaran Naren
Amit Ganatra
Harsha Upadhyaya
Neelesh Surana
3.05
2.90
3.98
2.25
3.94
3.31
3.11
2.68
5.95
7.04
10.89
7.90
10.65
11.76
9.19
8.76
10.46
7.06
6.43
8.74
8.45
9.97
7.17
7.50
12.56
6.41
4.81
6.88
9.43
10.05
4.83
5.80
19.99
12.33
10.53
11.79
16.17
17.36
11.50
12.61
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
8.36
7.02
4.81
3.92
5.17
5.69
3.25
5.41
17.33
14.04
11.16
13.02
12.75
17.54
13.13
13.98
10.86
8.39
8.39
9.87
9.43
—
9.06
9.44
1Year
9Months
Axis Long Term Equity Fund
Canara Rob Equity Tax
Saver Fund
ICICI Pru LT Equity Fund
(Tax Saving)
Invesco India Tax Plan
Kotak Tax Saver Fund
Mirae Asset Tax Saver Fund
Benchmark
NIFTY 500 - TRI
S&P BSE 200 - TRI
Value / Contra Schemes Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
HDFC Capital Builder Value
Fund
Invesco India Contra Fund
Kotak India EQ Contra Fund
Nippon India Value Fund
UTI Value Opp Fund
Benchmark
NIFTY 100 - TRI
NIFTY 500 - TRI
S&P BSE 200 - TRI
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
1Year
9Months
2.71
3.53
3.05
2.98
3.69
2.27
3.11
2.68
Miten Lathia
Taher Badshah
Shibani Kurian
Meenakshi Dawar
Vetri Subramaniam
4496
4596
882
3133
4560
7.67
8.95
7.84
7.05
10.96
8.13
9.19
8.76
2.31
7.19
8.65
4.21
9.64
7.21
7.17
7.50
-3.69
4.61
6.87
2.44
6.69
6.15
4.83
5.80
1.99
9.52
13.46
8.05
12.89
13.60
11.50
12.61
-2.93
1.67
7.00
-1.85
4.30
6.85
3.25
5.41
9.46
13.68
14.99
11.54
11.45
14.46
13.13
13.98
7.67
10.73
9.62
7.94
6.09
9.41
9.06
9.44
15JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
16JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Recommended Debt Funds
MANAGEMENT
Return as on 15th January 2020. Source : ACE MF
Liquid Schemes Fund ManagerAverageMaturityin Days1
Month2
Week
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months1
Year YTM
Annualised Return (%)
40854
29119
12529
5130
24235
30477
Kaustubh Gupta
Devang Shah
Pallab Roy
Kapil Punjabi
Anju Chhajer
Amandeep Singh Chopra
4.86
4.89
5.00
5.03
4.81
4.80
5.28
5.01
5.10
5.23
5.11
4.98
4.96
5.60
5.17
5.22
5.53
5.26
5.16
5.10
5.59
5.68
5.64
5.95
5.69
5.65
5.58
5.97
6.59
6.54
6.78
6.57
6.60
6.52
6.76
5.42
5.29
5.72
5.38
5.38
5.31
47.45
62.00
32.85
43.80
46.00
43.80
Aditya Birla SL Liquid Fund
Axis Liquid Fund
Franklin India Liquid Fund-
Super Inst
HSBC Cash Fund
Nippon India Liquid Fund
UTI Liquid Cash Plan
Benchmark
Crisil Liquid Fund Index
Overnight Fund Fund ManagerAverageMaturityin Days1
Month2
Week
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months1
Year YTM
Annualised Return (%)
1863
9765
3479
2802
Aditya Pagaria
Anil Bamboli
Deepak Agrawal
Amandeep Singh Chopra
4.51
4.29
4.49
4.35
5.28
4.43
4.60
4.46
4.61
4.53
5.60
4.62
4.73
4.64
4.74
4.72
5.59
4.82
5.00
4.91
5.00
4.98
5.97
5.09
—
5.47
5.56
5.55
6.76
5.67
4.91
4.89
4.87
4.96
1.00
1.00
—
0.99
Axis Overnight Fund
HDFC Overnight Fund
Kotak Overnight Fund
UTI Overnight Fund
Benchmark
Crisil Liquid Fund Index
Nifty 1D Rate Index
Arbitrage Fund Fund Manager1
Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 3
Months6
Months2
Year3
Years5
Years
Lovelish Solanki
Bhavesh Jain
Hiten Shah
Rajeev Gupta
CAGR Returns (%)Absolute Returns (%)
1Year
9Months
Aditya Birla SL Arbitrage Fund
Edelweiss Arbitrage Fund
Kotak Equity Arbitrage Fund
UTI Arbitrage Fund
Benchmark
Nifty 50 Arbitrage Index
5493
3870
17486
3309
4.68
4.65
4.64
4.86
7.08
4.81
4.63
4.64
4.86
4.72
5.43
5.30
5.21
5.33
5.47
6.24
6.17
6.06
6.16
6.49
6.29
6.24
6.20
6.30
6.78
6.09
6.14
6.19
6.18
5.58
6.00
6.10
6.14
6.08
—
6.35
6.51
6.44
6.38
—
17JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
Recommended Debt Funds
Return as on 15th January 2020. Source : ACE MF
Kaustubh Gupta
Anil Bamboli
Harshal Joshi
Rajeev Radhakrishnan
Ultra Short Term
Schemes
Fund ManagerAverageMaturityin Days1
Month2
Week
15847
8660
4408
12192
AUM(Rs in Cr.)
3Months
6Months
1Year YTM
Annualised Return (%)
Aditya Birla SL Savings Fund
HDFC Ultra Short Term Fund
IDFC Ultra Short Term Fund
SBI Magnum Ultra Short
Duration Fund
Benchmark
Crisil Liquid Fund Index
Crisil Short Term BondFund Index
6.65
5.08
5.61
5.99
5.28
8.50
6.23
5.01
5.35
5.64
5.60
9.68
6.56
5.56
6.03
6.28
5.59
7.01
7.56
6.72
7.07
7.21
5.97
8.41
8.29
7.63
7.86
7.82
6.76
9.51
6.31
5.71
5.78
6.15
189.80
122.00
150.00
182.50
Axis Treasury Advantage Fund
ICICI Pru Savings Fund
IDFC Low Duration Fund
Invesco India Treasury
Advantage Fund
SBI Magnum Low Duration Fund
Benchmark
Crisil Liquid Fund Index
Crisil Short Term BondFund Index
Low Duration Schemes Fund ManagerAverageMaturityin Days1
Month2
WeekAUM
(Rs in Cr.)3
Months6
Months1
Year YTM
Annualised Return (%)
Devang Shah
Rahul Goswami
Anurag Mittal
Krishna Cheemalapati
Rajeev Radhakrishnan
3949
21306
5323
1567
8442
6.10
6.69
5.88
6.24
6.37
6.64
6.99
6.25
6.89
6.23
5.28
8.50
6.61
8.31
6.06
6.28
6.16
5.60
9.68
6.76
7.57
6.36
6.88
6.55
5.59
7.01
7.91
7.96
7.49
8.07
7.53
5.97
8.41
8.65
8.67
8.25
8.73
8.13
6.76
9.51
329.00
412.64
289.00
319.00
335.80
18JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
Recommended Debt Funds
Return as on 15th January 2020. Source : ACE MF
Gilt Schemes Fund ManagerAverageMaturityin Years
Annualised Return (%)AUM
(Rs in Cr.) 1Month
3Months
6Months
1Year
3Years
5Years
CAGR Return (%)
YTM
Aditya Birla SL G-Sec Fund
DSP G-Sec Fund
IDFC G-Sec-Invest
Nippon India Gilt Securities Fund
SBI Magnum Gilt Fund
Benchmark
I-BEX (I-Sec SovereignBond Index)
Pranay Sinha
Vikram Chopra
Suyash Choudhary
Prashant Pimple
Dinesh Ahuja
231
596
462
1118
1945
10.74
16.25
20.83
13.40
17.06
13.35
2.81
2.96
3.44
2.99
5.62
6.65
2.05
3.89
3.18
2.88
3.97
3.29
10.99
12.36
12.57
11.77
13.12
10.25
6.85
6.37
7.43
7.28
6.99
7.09
8.57
8.05
8.21
8.83
8.64
8.65
6.87
6.84
7.09
6.86
5.87
8.30
11.56
12.75
10.04
5.97
Kaustubh Gupta
Pallab Roy
Anil Bamboli
Amit Tripathi
Amandeep Singh Chopra
Aditya Birla SL Money
Manager Fund
Franklin India Savings Fund
HDFC Money Market Fund
Nippon India Money Market Fund
UTI Money Market Fund
Benchmark
Crisil Liquid Fund Index
Crisil Short Term BondFund Index
Money Market Schemes Fund ManagerAverageMaturityin Days1
Month2
WeekAUM
(Rs in Cr.)3
Months6
Months1
Year YTM
Annualised Return (%)
10878
4724
9132
3805
7515
6.06
5.57
4.80
5.50
5.54
5.28
8.50
5.67
5.24
4.98
5.40
5.33
5.60
9.68
5.94
6.01
5.76
6.05
5.80
5.59
7.01
7.02
7.46
7.04
7.10
6.92
5.97
8.41
7.90
8.33
7.98
7.95
7.86
6.76
9.51
5.91
5.75
5.41
5.55
5.69
142.35
138.70
64.00
110.00
115.05
Short Term Schemes Fund ManagerAverageMaturityin Years
Devang Shah
Anil Bamboli
Suyash Choudhary
Deepak Agrawal
Rajeev Radhakrishnan
2.50
3.05
2.23
2.94
2.51
3Months
1Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 6
Months1
Year3
Years5
Years
Annualised Return (%)
8.94
10.06
7.82
9.33
9.46
9.68
8.10
8.57
7.57
7.35
7.42
7.01
8.48
8.79
8.58
7.84
8.17
8.41
9.62
9.47
9.54
9.38
9.39
9.51
7.16
7.62
7.25
6.89
6.95
7.36
7.87
8.17
7.76
7.73
7.78
8.11
CAGR Return (%)
YTM
6.65
7.17
6.79
7.16
7.03
Axis Short Term Fund
HDFC Short Term Debt Fund
IDFC Bond Fund - Short Term
Plan
Kotak Bond Short Term Fund
SBI Short Term Debt Fund
Benchmark
Crisil Short Term Bond
Fund Index
4404
10519
11757
10602
9625
19JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
Recommended Debt Funds
Corporate Bond Schemes Fund ManagerAverageMaturityin Years
1.98
4.22
2.40
0.00
1.72
3Months
1Month
AUM(Rs in Cr.) 6
Months1
Year3
Years5
Years
Annualised Return (%)
17587
12320
11339
14568
4418
8.30
10.21
10.11
4.78
7.94
9.68
CAGR Return (%)
YTM
6.68
6.95
6.96
5.64
6.82
Maneesh Dangi
Anupam Joshi
Rohan Maru
Anurag Mittal
Deepak Agrawal
7.41
6.76
8.42
5.74
7.58
7.01
7.60
6.86
8.30
7.17
8.61
8.41
9.48
10.01
9.71
8.16
9.43
9.51
7.55
7.45
7.35
6.68
7.86
7.36
8.37
8.39
8.19
—
8.24
8.11
Aditya Birla SL Corp Bond Fund
HDFC Corp Bond Fund
ICICI Pru Corp Bond Fund
IDFC Corp Bond Fund
Kotak Corporate Bond Fund
Benchmark
Crisil Short Term Bond
Fund Index
Return as on 15th January 2020. Source : ACE MF
Banking & PSU Schemes Fund ManagerAverageMaturityin Years
Annualised Return (%)AUM
(Rs in Cr.)
12801
12627
4204
5070
3423
1Month
3Months
6Months
1Year
3Years
5Years
CAGR Return (%)
YTM
Aditya Pagaria
Anurag Mittal
Deepak Agrawal
Anju Chhajer
Rajeev Radhakrishnan
Axis Banking & PSU Debt Fund
IDFC Banking & PSU Debt Fund
Kotak Banking and PSU Debt
Fund
Nippon India Banking &
PSU Debt Fund
SBI Banking and PSU Fund
Benchmark
Crisil Short Term BondFund Index
6.79
6.95
7.09
6.75
7.06
2.40
3.14
3.81
2.73
3.40
7.98
8.95
11.18
9.11
12.20
9.68
7.95
8.10
8.79
7.42
8.54
7.01
9.06
9.15
8.04
8.62
7.99
8.41
10.33
10.97
10.76
10.48
9.82
9.51
8.31
8.02
7.73
7.44
7.82
7.36
8.42
8.10
8.41
—
8.09
8.11
Focus on riskadjusted returns
Steady performanceover medium term
Low portfolio turnover
L.E.A.D.PMS
Lower portfolio volatilityand high liquidity
Portfolio of 15structural growth cos
No use of leverage orHigh debt cos
Features of a L.E.A.D. Portfolio
L.E.A.D. PMS – Core Investment Framework
20JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Emkay L.E.A.D PMS
MANAGEMENT
Leadership
• Market-share Leadership
• Profit-share Leadership
(Apple vs Rest of the manufacturers)
• Cost Leadership
(Export Oriented sectors like IT, Textiles,Chemicals)
• Growth Leadership
(Companies with best growth in the sector likePrivate banks vs PSU Banks)
• Product Leadership
Strong Management Credentials
• Track record of past decisions
• Comments v/s Delivery
• Future-vision
• Avoid aggressive accounting policies
• Management background
Strong Earnings Visibility & Quality
• How big the sector can be (3x, 4x....)
• Revenue/PAT/Cash-flow growth
• RoE, RoCE analysis
• High operating/Free cash-flow generation
Dependable
• Identifying Price-Value gap with focus
on margin of safety
• Comparative valuations
• Market-cap vs Opportunity size
Moat / Niche in the Business
• How different is the company
• Edge, Entry-barrier, Competition,
Pricing-power
• Bargaining power of the indust
21JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
MANAGEMENT
Emkay L.E.A.D PMS
Focus on Capital Preservation
L.E.A.D. PMS – Performance and Portfolio Top 5 Holdings
Strong Riskmanagement strategy with focus
on Capital Preservation
Focus on large and mid cap companies
• >50% exposure in companies with Mcap >USD 3bn
• Nil exposure in small cap companies
(Top 250 cos as per Mcap)
• Companies with minimum turnover of INR 500cr
Diversification acrossindustries and companies
• < 30%* exposure in one sector
• <10%* exposure in one stock
• Maximum investment in 15 stocks
• <20%* exposure in turnarounds or special situationstocks
*At the time of initiation
Earnings growth andQuality Filters
• ROCE > COE
• Earnings growth > GDPgrowth
Risk Management
• >15% price movement in a month
triggers review of the stock
• Focus on Liquidity risk
• No use of leverage
• Monthly portfolio review
Top 5 Holdings
Cholamandalm Invst. & Fin. Co. Ltd.
Berger Paints
Pidilite Industries Ltd.
Whirpool of India Ltd.
Aarti Industries Ltd.
Total
Holding (%)Company
7.20
7.50
7.00
7.10
6.70
35.50
Returns as on 31 Dec. 2019. *Inception Date 1 November 2018st st
Performance in %
1Month
3Month
6Month
2.90
0.50
L.E.A.D
Nifty 200
1Year
4.10
5.80
13.90
2.90
21.60
8.70
SinceInception*
28.10
12.10
Performance in %
FY19-20(Till Date)
-3.50
2.20
-5.60
EIDEA
Alpha
NIFTY 500
SinceInceptionCAGR*
FY18-19 FY17-18 FY16-17 FY15-16 FY13-14FY14-15
0.60
8.40
-7.80
17.20
11.50
5.70
38.80
23.90
14.90
-4.00
-7.50
3.50
30.60
17.70
12.90
57.40
33.60
23.80
15.40
9.80
5.60
*Inception Date - May 30 , 2011. Return as on 3th
1 Dec. 2019st
ASK Indian Entrepreneur Portfolio
Investment Strategy
• Identify large and growing business opportunities.
• Identify businesses with competitive advantage that are significant sized (min Rs.100cr of PBT) but not a large part ofthe opportunity. Enables growth from both market share gains and growth of the opportunity size and can sustain formultiple years.
• The quality of the business should be good to be able to fund strong growth through internal cash generation.
• The management should have the drive and have skin in the game to deliver compounded growth, period after period(uncompromised corporate governance is a must).
• It seeks to identify such businesses at reasonable discount to value and stay invested for a length of time and makemoney as EPS compounds.
*Inception Date 18 April 2016. Return as on 3th
1 Dec. 2019.st
Performance in %
3 Month 1 Year1 Month 2 YearCAGR
IEP
BSE 500
Nifty
0.68%
0.64%
0.93%
6 Month
7.89%
2.46%
3.22%
2.50%
5.79%
6.05%
12.44%
7.75%
12.02%
12.38%
7.88%
7.99%
3 YearCAGR
6.95%
2.19%
7.47%
5 YearCAGR
18.47%
8.96%
9.35%
SinceInceptionCAGR*
16.20%
12.38%
14.11%
Investment strategy:
• To construct a high quality, high conviction, long-only portfolio of approximately 20 stocks & customized portfolio; Nomodel portfolio approach.
• Allocation across industries and capitalization ranges including companies which are typically under-researched andoffer a higher return potential.
• Limits individual stock exposure to 10% at cost, limits sector exposure to 25% at cost, limits individual business groupsto 25% at cost; not more than 10% of the free float of individual company. No derivatives/leveraged trades
• ENAM like to own businesses not stocks & follow a bottom up stock picking.
• Seek to identify high-quality businesses that are structurally well-positioned, have sustainable competitive advantagesand strong execution capability for consistent long-term growth
22JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
PMS Products Update
MANAGEMENT
ENAM India Diversified Equity Advantage (EIDEA) Portfolio
• Emkay Investment Managers Ltd is a SEBIregistered PMS service provider with overallPMS track record of over 10 years.
• Emkay Capital Builder allows complete
flexibility in selection of stocks across marketcapitalization.
• Capital preservation and appreciation over-
time through an “absolute returns” approach.
• Investing in sectors and companies expected
to benefit from the fast-paced growth of theIndian economy and having a competitiveadvantage with a significant size that willbenefit both from market share gains andgrowth of the opportunity size.
• Our unique proprietary process seeks to
d i f f e r e n t i a t e b u s i n e s s o n b a s i s o fmanagement capability, integrity and skin inthe game to deliver growth over-time.
• Strategy consistently seeks to identify such
business where intrinsic value of the businessis good and the price is reasonable.
• Focused portfolio with no over-diversification.
• Capital Builder Benchmark - Nifty 500.
Emkay Capital Builder PMS Strategy
Fund Management Team
Sachin Shah - Fund Manager
Mr. Shah is Chatered FinancialAnalyst and has 18years of experience in the Portfolio Managementspace with Emkay. He has provided valuableinputs in the establishment of a well-documentedinvestment process E-QUAL Risk (EmkayProprietary Model) - a key factor behind oursplendid performance.
Top 10 Stock Holding
23JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Emkay Capital Builder PMS
MANAGEMENT
Emkay PMS Guiding principles
No Model PortfolioPatience not just after
investing but evenbefore investing
Strict PurchasePrice DisciplineGet client into a
"positive cycle" at thetime of investing to
ensure achievementof "Absolute Returns”
Absolute ReturnFocus
Avoid capital lossover client's
investment horizonof 2-3 years
Returns as on 31 Dec. 2019. *Inception Date 1 April 2013st st
ICICI Bank
Divi’s Lab
HDFC Bank
Nesco
Sundram Fasteners
Reliance Industries
Sun Pharma
M & M Ltd
Gujarat Pipavav Ports Ltd
Apar Industries
Total
Holding (%)Company
15.27
10.90
9.26
9.10
8.20
7.22
3.56
3.44
3.35
3.18
73.48Performance in %
FY 14 FY15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 20 YTD
24.50
17.70
6.80
53.80
33.60
20.20
-4.40
-7.50
3.10
27.50
23.90
3.60
10.10
11.50
-1.40
-0.90
8.40
-9.30
-2.00
2.50
-4.50
Emkay PMS
(Model Client)
NIFTY 500
Outperformance
Benchmark
SinceInceptionCAGR*
14.50
12.70
1.80
24JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Estate and Succession Planning
MANAGEMENT
Estate and succession planning is the process of anticipating and arranging for the disposal of estate during and after one'slifetime. In absence of a succession plan, the assets of the deceased would be distributed as per the applicable religiouslaws amongst the legal heirs.
Who needs Estate Planning?
Joint Family Nuclear Family• •
Businessmen Professionals• •
Multiple marriages Asset Protection needs• •
NRI family members Family with special children• •Inheritance tax planning Family with no legal heir• •
Emkay Estate Planning Services
1. Drafting Will:
Will is a legal document that comes in play on the demise of the testator. It carries the wishes of an individual regardingdistribution of his/her estate.
2. Gifts during lifetime:
Gift is transfer of movable or immovable property, made voluntarily, during one's lifetime and without consideration, bythe donor and accepted by donee. If the gift is received from any blood relative, it will not be taxable.
3. Formation of Private Trust:
A Trust is a relationship whereby property is transferred by one party(Settlor) to be held and managed by anotherparty(Trustees) for the benefit of third party (Beneficiaries), governed by the Indian Trust Act, 1882. Some of theadvantages of a Private Trust are:
• Multi-generation succession and provision for wishes beyond lifetime of Settlor
• Trust can be structured to control the timing and amount of distributions
• Provide for dependent relatives and to provide for ongoing financial management
• Protection of assets from outside claims and from disputes within the family
• To hold the shares of company for business continuity & for delinking ownership from management
• Avoids probate
• Privacy protection
• Inheritance tax planning and avoid forced heirship rules for NRIs
4. Charitable Trust :
Charitable Trust is setup for philanthropy aspirations for the benefit of public at large. It enjoys income tax benefit on theincome of the trust and tax benefit to the donors on the donation made by them.
5. Family Business Succession:
Family business succession is the process of transitioning the management and the ownership of the business to nextgeneration of family members. The family component plays a crucial role here and needs to be effectively integrated inthe transition process.
6. Obtaining Probate/Succession Certificate:
Probate establishes the validity of a Will in Court. In absence of a Will, a succession certificate is required to beobtained from the Court for transferring the assets of a deceased.
For any queries or assistance kindly contact us at [email protected]
25JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Planning For Your Minor Children And Appointing A Guardian
MANAGEMENT
Succession planning for minor children is a must. In an unfortunate event of demise of both the parents, a properly draftedWill would ensure that the parents appoint a guardian of their choice for the minor children. In absence of a will or if the willis silent with respect to guardianship, the court will appoint the guardian and court chooses someone who it thinks iscompetent to be a guardian of minor child without knowing the preference of parents. This may cause disputes amongrelatives of the mother and father of the child on guardianship claim, leaving the child feeling emotionally stressed; andeventually it may result in guardianship being granted to a person whom the parents wouldn't have chosen.
While appointing a guardian for a minor child one may choose a separate guardian for personal care and custody of thechild and a separate guardian to manage the property which the child will inherit from parents. For example, if a child liveswith his grandmother, she can be appointed as guardian for personal care and the child's uncle can be appointed tomanage the property until child attains the age of majority i.e. 18 years or above. Hence, choosing a right guardian willrequire careful deliberation by the parents and guardian should be someone who shares the values, life priorities and havean established relationship with your child.
The appointed guardian will manage the property you leave behind only until the child attains the age of eighteen years.There are certain restrictions to deal with immovable assets left by parents for the benefit of minor child. The guardiancannot sell, transfer, gift or mortgage immovable assets without the court's permission and court grants such permissiononly if it is necessary for the best interest of child. Therefore, having investments in sufficient financial assets also becomesimportant.
It is extremely important that as part of the overall financial planning for the family, specific plan may be prepared forchildren. This planning should address the requirements for education, healthcare, travel, marriage etc. of the children sothat sufficient funding is available for these critical events in future.
As soon as child turns eighteen, he becomes legally independent to inherit and manage every penny you leave behind. Atsuch young age the child may not have the skill and knowledge to invest your hard-earned property which you have kept forthe well-being of your child and he may squander the money by taking wrong investment decisions. In order to avoid suchmishaps, parents can create a testamentary trust (trust created through a Will) to hold these assets even beyond the age ofmajority for the benefit of child. The trust will provide guidelines to the trustees for investment, administration anddistribution of assets for benefit of minor child and even afterwards. The trust would provide for child's day to dayexpenses, health, education and support. It could provide that your child will have the ability to withdraw funds when theyare older and wiser, say 50% to be withdrawn at age 25 and balance at age 30. The trust can mention that the trustees shallendeavor to invest the trust assets in risk free products which will generate a regular cash flow to meet day to day expensesand build a corpus to fund expenses for education, buying a house, marriage expenses etc. Enough discretion shall begiven to the trustees to provide for the best interest of the children under changing circumstances. If the parents outlivebeyond the age of minority/maturity of the child, then such a trust may never get created and the children can inheritdirectly. For larger estates creating an inter-vivos trust (trust created during lifetime) would be more beneficial which willcontinue for a longer time and can provide protection of assets from matrimonial and creditor claims.
It is also important to impart financial literacy to children about family wealth, investment strategies from a young age duringregular conversations so, that he can invest the wealth smartly in your absence.
Notes
MANAGEMENT
26JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Model Portfolio
MANAGEMENT
Guard – This is the most conservative of the model portfolios.The primary objective of this portfolio is preservation of capital.From a near to medium term perspective the portfolioconstruction aims at reducing the probability of losses, therebythere is no equity allocation in this portfolio.
Conserve – The primary objective continues to be capitalpreservation, but with marginally enhanced return generatingpotential. With an endeavour to earn better returns as compared toa pure debtportfolio, equityasset classallocation is introduced.
Steady – This portfolio is suitable for moderately aggressiveinvestors, aiming to earn higher returns on their investments butat the same time do not intend to expose entire portfolio to thevolatility of asset classes with high return generating potential.The allocation to equity asset class goes up, whilst the tilt remainsin favour of debt.
Build – The allocation to equity asset class is further enhancedas the primary investment objective moves towards capitalgrowth rather
than preservation of capital over the near term. As the equityallocation goes up, so does the investment horizon. A healthyexposure to debt asset class is also maintained to reduce theoverall volatility of returns.
Grow – The portfolio is suitable for aggressive investors withprimary investment objective of capital growth. The major part ofthe portfolio is maintained in equity asset class. To providestability to returns and to manage liquidity requirementseffectively, a portion of the portfolio is maintained in debt assetclass.
Multiply – The portfolio is suitable for aggressive investors in the“Accumulation Phase”. With minimal liquidity requirements, theentire portfolio is allocated in high return generating assets. Inorder to reduce the risks associated with asset classconcentration, Alternate Assets are introduced in the portfolio, soas to reduce the overall risk without compromising on the returngenerating potential.
Conservative Aggressive
Liquid Funds
Fixed deposits
Bonds/Tax Frees
UST/Low Duration/Arbitrage
FMPs/Interval Funds
30% 30% 10% 10% 15% 0%
70% 60% 50% 30% 10% 0%
0% 10% 40% 60% 70% 80%
0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 20%
Emkay Wealth -Guard
Emkay Wealth -Conserve
Emkay Wealth -Steady
Emkay Wealth -Build
Emkay Wealth -Grow
Emaky Wealth -Multiply
Investor Suitability
I . Debt - Short Term
II . Debt-Long Term
III. Equity
Short Term Funds
Income Funds
Credit Risk Funds
Gilt Funds
Equity Funds
Direct Equity
PMS
Private Equity
IV. Alternate Assets
Gold ETF/Funds
Real Estate Products/REITS
Structured Products
I+II+III+IV 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
27JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
28JANUARY - FEBRUARY 2020 | Volume - 16
Disclaimer
MANAGEMENT
Published by Mr.Amit Rawal – Research Division Emkay Wealth Management.
For content related queries contact at [email protected]
Designed and Printed at Sunny Printers,
Nand Kishore Industrial Premises, A-Wing, Gala No. 3, Off. Mahakali Caves Road, Near Paper Box, Andheri (E), Mumbai – 400 093.Contact No.: 9819391038.
The information published is as per the data provided by various Mutual Funds, PMS Portfolio Managers, ProductManufacturers and segregated, consolidated and presented (statistically) by and on behalf of Emkay Wealth Management(EWM) which is involved in distribution of third party financial products. Though sufficient care has been taken to provide thecorrect data, EWM does not guarantee the accuracy of the data provided herein. As a potential investor, you are advised tocheck the updated data and other Terms & Conditions on the manufacturer’s website before making any investments. Thisreport is disseminated for the information of authorized recipients only and is not to be relied upon or taken as substitution forthe exercise of due diligence and judgment by any recipient. This report does not provide individually tailored investmentadvice; investor should seek independent financial advice with respect to the merits and risks involved in any of the mattersconcerning investment in the schemes / products mentioned in the report. Any person investing on the basis of the datapublished in Navigator will be doing so at their own risk and are advised to consult their certified financial planner beforetaking any investment decision. Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documentscarefully.
An alumni of Columbia Business School and NMIMS, Bhavesh brings in nearly three decades of experience, ofwhich, the last 16 years are with the Financial Services industry. Throughout his career, he has been known forbuilding, leading and motivating teams to excel in highly demanding and dynamic business environments.At Emkay he puts to good use his entrepreneurial drive combined with business-management skills to drive gains inrevenue, market share and profit performance.
Bhavesh Sanghvi, CEO - Emkay Wealth
A Masters in Economics and a Ph.D in Management, Dr. Thomas brings to the table a rich experience spanningthree decades. His views on the economy, markets, portfolios and financial products are highly appreciated andpursued. He is a visiting faculty at numerous management and professional institutes and has also presentedresearch papers at national and international conferences.
Joseph Thomas, Head of Research - Emkay Wealth
An alumni of Columbia Business School, a Masters in Management from JBIMS and an Engineer from VJTI,Mumbai, Ashish brings in over 25 years of experience in financial services and investment management. He hasbeen a fund manager for various funds, ranging from private equity, fixed income and hybrid to Equity.As a CIO andHead of PMS and Offshore Funds in his previous stints, he has lead teams and built assets across products. Hebrings in a rich experience and product knowledge to the team and his process oriented approach and Institutionalbackground are an asset to our Institutional and high net-worth clients.
Ashish Ranawade, Head of Products - Emkay Wealth
A post graduate in Finance from Pune University, Parag holds over 21 years of experience in the financial servicesindustry. He is renowned in the industry for his astute leadership skills and has been extremely successful inbuilding teams during his earlier stints. At Emkay he will be driving the entire sales function of the division andsetting out quality standards for various operational areas, implementing quality systems and procedures tofacilitate a high quality customer experience.
Parag Morey, Head of Sales - Emkay Wealth
A qualified CFA, Sachin brings in nearly two decades of experience in the portfolio management space. He hasplayed a pivotal part in the development of Emkay Portfolio Management Service's proprietary module - E-QUALRISK, which helps evaluate and compare listed companies objectively on major factors like management integrityand capability, wealth distribution to minority shareholders, information to shareholders and liquidity.
Sachin Shah, Fund Manager - Emkay Investment Managers
With a Masters in Finance & Marketing and several leadership programs from IIM-A & ISB Hyderabad, Ashishcomes with over a decade of experience in the Wealth Management space. His core competencies includestrategy and alliances, negotiations and relationship management, business development, customer relationshipmanagement and customer engagement.
Ashish Todi, Head of Strategy & New Initiatives - Emkay Wealth
A lawyer and a Company Secretary, Namita comes with a decade of experience in succession planning. Sheprovides specialized and personal advice to families, business houses and high net worth individuals having wealthacross various asset classes, geographies and complex business structures, keeping in mind the religious lawsapplicable in India, the succession laws for each class of assets and cross border succession laws.
Namita Agarwal, AVP Succession Planning - Emkay Wealth
A management graduate from Mumbai University, Raj comes with over a decade of experience in the Indian equitymarket. As an equity strategist he is an expert at managing equity advisory (PMS/ ND-PMS/ Direct Equities) forwealth clients. In his past assignments he has also worked as a senior equity analyst tracking multiple sectors andmanaging event based trading strategies.
Raj Gala, Sr. Portfolio Manager - Emkay Wealth
LEADERSHIP PROFILE