Voice Search A DIGITAL - Search Engine Watch - Search ... · Voice Search A DIGITAL space race...

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Voice Search A DIGITAL space race Brands know they’ll have to shoot for the stars if they want to capture consumers THE USE OF VOICE SEARCH DEVICES IS STARTING TO TAKE OFF 2015 2016 2017 1.7M 6.5M 24.5M The use of voice-activated devices is increasing rapidly: this year in America alone 60.5 million people will use Siri, Cortana or another virtual assistant at least once a month. Voice input has the potential to become the most efficient form of computing The world’s future consumers are already adopting it en-masse People are getting more and more comfortable interacting with virtual assistants Humans can speak at 150 wpm... ...but only type at 40 wpm US VOICE-ENABLED DIGITAL ASSISTANT USERS, BY GENERATION, 2016-2019 (millions) 23.3 29.9 35.8 39.3 13.4 15.6 16.7 17.2 8.6 9.7 9.9 10.1 Millennials Gen X Baby boomers 2016 2017 2018 2019 HOW DO YOU USE VOICE/DIGITAL ASSISTANTS, IF AT ALL? Through an ecosystem of interconnected hardware devices, this technology will really take off. WHAT WOULD THIS LOOK LIKE? Hardware options that seamlessly integrate into all areas of a person’s life Voice recognition accuracy that surpasses the 99% threshold Planet SERPs has already been colonized by Google The provider that procures the most data and builds the most seamless voice search experience across devices may use this as a platform to build a monopoly Reports by technavio indicate that by 2019 the voice recognition market will be a $601 million industry 79% GOOGLE 7.2% BING 6.8% BAIDU 5.2% YAHOO 1.8% OTHERS PLANET SERP PLANET VOICE SEARCH 1st-mover advantage Easily monetized 70% market share AMAZON $424 BILLION Machine Learning first Monetization challenges Search market leader $581 BILLION Best software (DeepSpeech 2) Stiff national competition Chinese Government funded $661 BILLION Huge user base via Windows OS Owns Skype integration Bing! adoption remains low $417 BILLION Very desirable consumer product Most capital to invest Lacks own search engine $800 BILLION BUT WHY? Ford, Volkswagen, Hyundai and Volvo have all announced Alexa integration * * According to Andrew Ng, ex-Chief Scientist at Baidu Alexa GOOGLE Google Assistant BAIDU DuerOS MICROSOFT Cortana APPLE Siri PLANET SERP The biggest challenge for this technology will be to convince users to start shopping via voice search. A recent study by Forresters shows that most people still use voice search occasionally, if at all. Global Market Share of Search Engines WHAT ARE TWO FACTORS THAT WILL TAKE VOICE SEARCH USAGE INTO THE NEXT STRATOSPHERE? SO WHY DO BUSINESSES WANT A PIECE OF THE (MOON) PIE? BUT NOW THERE ARE LOTS OF NEW PLANETS... SO, WHO IS LEADING THE SPACE RACE? AMAZON AND GOOGLE ARE SLIGHTLY AHEAD, BUT THE JURY IS STILL OUT... BUT IN ORDER TO CRACK THE CHALLENGE, SOME KEY ISSUES NEED TO BE ADDRESSED Providers will need to ensure that voice assistants easily integrate into 3rd-party hardware or create a desirable enough product to drive purchase of an entire ecosystem. Voice Search solutions will need to develop a monetization strategy in order for this to be big business - without alienating or antagonising users. The pressure is on to ‘crack’ voice-search, but with the technology in its infant stage, businesses will need to carefully avoid privacy or user PR scandals. Though use of voice search is rapidly increasing, is there a threshold of uptake? Lots of people have deeply ingrained search behaviours that are hard to influence. Number of voice search devices shipped INTEGRATION MONETIZATION RISKY BUSINESS BARRIERS TO UPTAKE You’re out of milk! Alexa, how do I look today?” Alexa, send this podcast to my Fire tablet Directly from mobile device 0% 80% Via a downloaded app Directly from a home device Another way I don’t use them

Transcript of Voice Search A DIGITAL - Search Engine Watch - Search ... · Voice Search A DIGITAL space race...

Page 1: Voice Search A DIGITAL - Search Engine Watch - Search ... · Voice Search A DIGITAL space race Brands know they’ll have to shoot for the stars if they want to capture consumers

Voice Search

A DIGITALspace race

Brands know they’ll have to shoot for the stars if they want to capture consumers

THE USE OF VOICE SEARCH DEVICES IS STARTING TO TAKE OFF

2015

2016

2017

1.7M

6.5M

24.5M

The use of voice-activated devices is increasing rapidly: this year in America alone 60.5 million people will use Siri,

Cortana or another virtual assistant at least once a month.

Voice input has the potential to become the most efficient

form of computing

The world’s future consumers are already adopting it en-masse

People are getting more and more comfortable interacting

with virtual assistants

Humans can speak at 150 wpm...

...but only type at 40 wpm

US VOICE-ENABLED DIGITAL ASSISTANT USERS, BY GENERATION, 2016-2019

(millions)

23.3

29.9

35.8

39.3

13.4

15.6

16.7

17.2

8.6

9.7

9.9

10.1

Millennials Gen X Baby boomers

2016 2017 2018 2019

HOW DO YOU USE VOICE/DIGITAL ASSISTANTS, IF AT ALL?

Through an ecosystem of interconnected hardware devices, this technology will really take off.

WHAT WOULD THIS LOOK LIKE?

Hardware options that seamlessly integrate into all areas of a person’s life

Voice recognition accuracy that surpasses

the 99% threshold

Planet SERPs has already been colonized by Google

The provider that procures the most data and builds the most

seamless voice search experience across devices may use this as a platform to build a monopoly

Reports by technavio indicate that by 2019 the voice recognition market will be a $601 million industry

79%

GOOGLE 7.2%

BING

6.8%

BAIDU

5.2%

YAHOO

1.8%

OTHERS

PLANET SERP

PLANET VOICE SEARCH

1st-mover advantage

Easily monetized

70% market share

AMAZON

$424 BILLION

Machine Learning first

Monetization challenges

Search market leader

$581 BILLION

Best software (DeepSpeech 2)

Stiff national competition Chinese Government funded

$661 BILLION

Huge user base via Windows OS

Owns Skype integration

Bing! adoption remains low

$417 BILLION

Very desirable consumer product

Most capital to invest

Lacks own search engine

$800 BILLION

BUT WHY?

Ford, Volkswagen, Hyundai and Volvo have all announced Alexa integration

*

* According to Andrew Ng, ex-Chief Scientist at Baidu

AlexaGOOGLEGoogle Assistant

BAIDUDuerOS

MICROSOFTCortana

APPLESiri

PLANET SERP

The biggest challenge for this technology will be to convince users to start shopping via voice search. A

recent study by Forresters shows that most people still use voice search occasionally, if at all.

Global Market Share of Search Engines

WHAT ARE TWO FACTORS THAT WILL TAKE VOICE SEARCH USAGE INTO THE NEXT STRATOSPHERE?

SO WHY DO BUSINESSES WANT A PIECE OF THE (MOON) PIE?

BUT NOW THERE ARE LOTS OF NEW PLANETS...

SO, WHO IS LEADING THE SPACE RACE?

AMAZON AND GOOGLE ARE SLIGHTLY AHEAD, BUT THE JURY IS STILL OUT...

BUT IN ORDER TO CRACK THE CHALLENGE, SOME KEY ISSUES NEED TO BE ADDRESSED

Providers will need to ensure that voice assistants easily integrate into 3rd-party hardware or create a desirable enough product to drive purchase of an entire ecosystem.

Voice Search solutions will need to develop a monetization strategy in order for this to be big business - without

alienating or antagonising users.

The pressure is on to ‘crack’ voice-search, but with the technology in its infant stage, businesses will need to carefully avoid privacy or user PR scandals.

Though use of voice search is rapidly increasing, is there a threshold of uptake?

Lots of people have deeply ingrained search behaviours that are hard to influence.

Num

ber

of v

oice

se

arch

dev

ices

shi

pped

INTEGRATION

MONETIZATION

RISKY BUSINESS BARRIERS TO UPTAKE

You’re out of milk!

Alexa, how do I look today?”

Alexa, send this podcast to my

Fire tablet

Directly from mobile device

0% 80%

Via a downloaded app

Directly from a home device

Another way

I don’t use them