Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

26
Visualizing Financial Networks new understanding of the financial system and implications for policy makers Inês Salpico Kimmo Soramäki VISUALIZAR’11 15 th June 2011

description

New understanding of the financial system and implications for policy makers (with Ines Salpico)

Transcript of Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Page 1: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Visualizing Financial

Networksnew understanding of the financial system and implications for policy

makers

Inês SalpicoKimmo Soramäki

VISUALIZAR’1115th June 2011

Page 2: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Context: Aftermath of the financial crisis

Financial System

understood as a network

Systemic risk:“too connected to fail”

Stress and increase of regulation

Extended mandate(s) to collect data

Need to process and analyze this

data

New paradigm of

data collection and analysis

Page 3: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Questions:

• How to make sense of data?

Page 4: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Questions:

• How to make data analysis actually operative in supervision and regulation?

• How to make sense of data?

Page 5: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

SUPERVISIONREGULATION

Data

THEORYRESEARCH

Methods

New analytical paradigms

namely: network

Page 6: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Questions:

• How to make data analysis actually operative in policy and supervision?

• How to make sense of data?

• How to use analysis to actually see what’s happening in the system?

Page 7: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

x(You wish!)

Page 8: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Intelligence?

• Financial crisis are different and rare

Page 9: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Intelligence?

• Financial crisis are different and rare

• The patterns to be recognized would have to be frequent enough for computers to learn

Page 10: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

The wire – video excerpt

Page 11: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Intelligence?

AI - Artificial Intelligence

Page 12: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Intelligence?

AI - Artificial Intelligence

IA - Intelligence Amplification

Tools that make data and analysis actionable for humans

ref: William Ross Ashby (1956) in ‘Introduction to Cybernetics’

Page 13: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11
Page 14: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Visualization

Tools vs. Customised Visualizations

> Fusion Charts http://www.fusioncharts.com/

> Gephi http://gephi.org/

> Google Chart Tools http://code.google.com/intl/pt-PT/apis/charttools/

> HighCharts http://www.highcharts.com/

> Many Eyes (IBM)

http://www-958.ibm.com/software/data/cognos/manyeyes/

> Protovis http://vis.stanford.edu/protovis/

> Tableau http://www.tableausoftware.com/

Tools vs. Customised Visualizations

Page 15: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Visualization

> Information is Beautiful

http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/

> Infosthetics http://infosthetics.com/

> Flowing Data http://flowingdata.com/

> Marumushi

http://marumushi.com/tags/information+visualization

> Visual Complexity http://www.visualcomplexity.com/vc/

Tools vs. Customised Visualizations

Page 16: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Visualization

Infographics vs. Analytical Visualizations

> Representation: Qualitative vs. Quantitative

Infographics vs. Analytical Visualizations

> Representation: Qualitative vs. Quantitative

> Focus: Message vs. Data

> Representation: Qualitative vs. Quantitative

> Focus: Message vs. Data

> Exploration: Limited vs. Unlimited

Page 17: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Europe's Web of DebtBill Marsh/The New York Times Visual Science Series , May 1, 2010

Page 18: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11
Page 19: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Analysis + Visualization

Infographical and Analytical

> Qualitative and Quantitative

> Exploration and analysis of the raw data

Page 20: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Paradigm

Data validation

Analysis and modeling Visualization

understanding

Page 21: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11
Page 22: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Objectives

• Provide a tool for time series analysis of network data in finance

• Provide a platform for building agent based and simulation models

• Make advances in research available to policy

• Based on 7 years of research with Central Banks

• Focus on ease of use, performance and flexibility

Page 23: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

FNA demo – video excerpts

Page 24: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

FNA

Platform for

– Exploring – Analyzing– Visualizing

financial networks

Page 25: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Versions

– Web – Cloud service– REST API (for accessing FNA engine from web applications)

– Intranet– Operative use– Integration to databases and user management– Browser based GUI

– Desktop – By demand, academic use– Command line version available– Integration with external programs like Matlab, Stata, Excel, etc.

Page 26: Visualizing Financial Networks @ Visualizar '11

Thank you

More informationwww.financialnetworkanalysis.com

Contact [email protected]

[email protected]