Visions of the Future 1 Energy: The Transition from Depletable to Renewable Resources 156 156 157...
Transcript of Visions of the Future 1 Energy: The Transition from Depletable to Renewable Resources 156 156 157...
Preface
1 Visions of the FutureIntroduetion
The Self-Extinetion Premise
Some Historie Examples
Future Environmental ChallengesClimate ChangeWater Aeeessibility
Meeting the Challenges
How Will Soeieties Respond?The Role of Eeonomies
DEBATE1.1 Ecological Economics VersusEnvironmental EconomjcsThe Use of Models
The Road AheadThe IssuesDEBATE1.2 What Does the Future Hold?
An Overview of the Book
Summary 12 ~ DiscussionQuestions 12 111Further Reading 13
L Valuing the Environment: ConceptsIntroduetion
The Human Environment RelationshipThe Environment as an AssetThe Eeonomie ApproaehEXAMPlE2.1EconomicImpacts01ReducingHazardousPollutant
Emissionsfrom Iron and SteelFoundries
Normative Criteria for Deeision-MakingEvaluating Predefined OptionsDEBATE1.1 Should Humans Place an Economic Value on the Environment?
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EXAMPLE2.2 Valuing EcologicalS~rvicesfrom Preserved Tropical Forests 22Comparing Benefits and Costs Across Time 24
Finding the Optimal Outcome 25Static Efficiency 26Dynamic Efficiency 28
Applying the Concepts 28Pollution Control 28EXAMPLE2.3DoesReducingPollutionMakeEconomicSense? 29PreservationVersusDevelopment 30EXAMPLE2.4 ChoosingBetweenPreservaríanand Developmentin Australia 31
Summary 30 DiscussionQuestion 31 Problem 31 &>Funher Reading 32Appendix: The Simple Mathematics of Dynamic Efficiency 33
J Valuing the Environ!llent: MethodsIntroduction
Why Value the Environment?
Valuing BenefitsTypes ofValuesEXAMPLE3.1Valuingthe Nonhern Spotted OwlClassifying Valuation MethodsDEBATE3.1 Willingness to Pay Versus Willingness to Accept:
Why So Different?
EXAMPLE3.2Leave No Behavioral Trace: Using the Contingent ValuationMethod to Measure Passive Use Values
EXAMPLE3.3 Valuing Damage from Groundwater Contamination UsingAveningExpenditures ,
Using Geographic Information Systems for Economic ValuationEXAMPLE3.4Using GIS to Inform HedonicPropeny Values:
Visualizing the DataDEBATE3.21.1Valuing Human Life Immoral?Issues in Benefit Estimation
Approaches to Cost EstimationThe Treatinent of Risk
Choosing the Discount Rate
EXAMPLE3.5 The HistoricalImponance 01the Discount RateA Critical Appraisal
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
EXAMPLE3.6NOz Controlin Chicago:An Example01Cost-EjfectivenessAnalysis
Impact Analysis
Summary 61 <11Discussion Questions 62 <11Problems63 <11Further Reading 63
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~ Property Rights, Extemalities, and EnvironmentalProblems
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InHIntroduction
Property RightsProperty Rights and Efficient Market AllocationsEfficient Property Right StructuresEXAMPLE4.1 Pollution in Transition Economies
Producer's Surplus, Scarcity Rent, and Long-Run CompetitiveEquilibrium
Externalities as a Source of Market Failure
The Concept IntroducedTypes of ExternalitiesEXAMPLE4.2 Shrimp Farming Externalities in Thailand
Improperly Designed Property Rights SystemsOther Property Rights Regimes
Public Goods
EXAMPLE4.3 Public GoodsPrivately Provided: The Nature Conservancy
Imperfect Market StructuresDEBATE4.1 How Should GPEC Price Its Gil?
Divergence of Social and Prívate Discount RatesGovernment Failure
The Pursuit of EfficiencyPrívate Resolution Through NegotiationThe Courts: Property Rules and Liability RulesLegislative and Executive Regulation
An Efficient Role for Government
Summary 88 @¡DiscussionQuestions 89 @¡Problems 89
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~ Dynamic Efficiency and Sustainable Development 92Introduction 92
A Two-Period Model 93
Defining Intertemporal Fairness 97Are Efficient Allocations Fair? 98
Applying the Sustainability Criterion 99EXAMPLE5.1TheAlaskaPermanentFund 100EXAMPLE5.2Nauru: Weak Sustainabilityin the Extreme 102
Implications for Environmental Policy 102
Summary 103 @¡DiscussionQuestions 104 Problems 105 @¡Fu17herReading 105Appendix: The Matheinatics of the Two-Period Model 107
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o The Population Problem 108Introduction 108
Historical Perspective 109World Population Growth 109Population Growth in the United States 109
Effects of Population Growth on Economic Development 113The Population/Environment Connection 118
Effects of Econe>micDevelopment on Population Growth 119DEBATE6.1 Does Population Growth Inevitably Degrade the Environment? 120
The Economic Approach to Population Control 123EXAMPLE6.1 Achieving Fertility Declines in Low-Income Countries:
The Caseof Kerala 128Urbanization 129
EXAMPLE6.2Income-Generating Activities as Fertility Control: Bangladesh 130Using GIS to Map Population Data 131
Summary 1314:1DiscussionQuestions 132 4:1Problems 132 4:1Further Reading 133
1 The Allocation oí Depletable and RenewableResources: An Overview 134Introduction 134
A Resource Taxonomy 135Efficient Intertemporal Allocations 139
The Two-Period Model Revisited 139The N-Period Constant-Cost Case 139Transition to a Renewable Substitute 141Increasing Marginal Extraction Cost 143Exploration and Technological Progress 145EXAMPLE7.1TechnologicalProgressin the Iron OreIndustry 146
Market Allocations 147Appropriate Property Right Structures 147Environmental Costs 148
Summary 1494:1DiscussionQuestion 150'11Problems 150'11Further Reading 151Appendix: Extensions of the Basic Depletable Resource Model 152
~ Energy: The Transition from Depletableto Renewable Resources 156
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IntroductionEXAMPLE8.1 Hubbert's Peak
Natural Gas: Price Controls
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Gil: The Cartel Problem
Price Elasticity of DemandIncome Elasticity of DemandNon-OPEC SuppliersCompatibility of Member Interests
Fossil Fuels: National Security and Climate ConsiderationsThe Climate Dimension
The National Security DimensionDEBATE8.1 H(fllJShould the United States Deal with the Vulnerability
oIIts Imported Dil?
EXAMPLE8.2 Strategic Petroleum Reserve
The Other Depletable Sources: Unconventional Gil, Coal, and NuclearUnconventional Gil SourcesCoalUranium
ElectricityEXAMPLE8.3 Electricity Deregulation in California: What Happened?EXAMPLE8.4 TradableEnergy Certificates:The TexasExperience
Energy EfficiencyTransitioning to Renewables
Hydroelectric Power .
WindPhotovoltaics
Active and Passive Solar EnergyDEBATE8.2 Dueling Externalities: Should the US. Promote Wind Power?Ocean Tidal PowerBiomass Fuels
Geothermal EnergyHydrogen
Summary 189. DiscussionQuestions 190. Problems
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~ Recyclable Resources: Minerals, Paper, Bottles,and E-WasteIntroduction
An Efficient Allocation of Recyclable ResourcesExtraction and Disposal CostRecycling: A Closer LookRecycling and Ore DepletionEXAMPLE9.1 Lead Recycling
Factors Mitigating Resource ScarcityExploration and DiscoveryTechnological Progress
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SubstitutionEXAMPLE9.2 The Bet
Market ImperfectionsDisposal Cost and EfficiencyThe Disposal DecisionDisposal Costs and the Scrap MarketSubsidies on Raw MaterialsCorrective Public Policies
EXAMPLE9.3 Pricing Trash in Marietta, GeorgiaDEBATE9.1 "Bottle Bills." Economic 1ncentives at Work?
EXAMPLE9.4 1mplementing the "Take-Back" PrincipIeE-Waste
Pollution DamageSummary .211111Discussion Questions 212 111Problems 213
Contents
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Further Reading 213
1 ~ Replenishable but Depletable Resources: WaterIntroduction
The Potential for Water ScarcityThe Efficient Allocation of Scarce Water
Surface WaterGroundwater
The Current Allocation SystemRiparian and Prior Appropriation DoctrinesSources of InefficiencyDEBATE10.1What Is the Value ofWater?
Potential Remedies
EXAMPLE10.1 UsingEconomicPrincipIesto ConserveWater in CaliforniaEXAMPLE10.2Water Transfers in Colorado: What Makes a Market
for Water Work?EXAMPLE10.3 Protecting 1nstream Uses Through Acquiring Water Rights
EXAMPlE 10.4Water Pricing in CanadaDEBATE10.2Should Water Systems Be Privatized?
GIS and Water Resources
Summary 240111DiscussionQuestions 241 Problems 241
11 LandIntroductionThe Economics of Land Allocation
Land UseLand Use Conversion
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Sources ofInefficient Use and Conversion 246
Sprawl and Leapfrogging 246EXAMPLE11.1 UsingGIS toAnalyzeSprawl 248Incompatible Land Uses 249Undervaluing Environmental Amenities 249The Influence ofTaxes on Land Use Conversion 250DEBATE11.1 Should Landowners Be Compensated for "Regulatory Takings"? 251Market Power 252Special Problems in Developing Countries 253DEBATE11.2What Is a "PublicPurpose"? 254
Innovative Market-Based Policy Remedies 255Establishing Property Rights 256Transferable Development Rights 256EXAMPLE11.2ControllingLand Developmentwith TDRS 257Wetlands Banking 257Conservation Banking 258Safe Harbor Agreements 258EXAMPLE11.3 Conservation Banking: The Gopher Tortoise
Conservation Bank
Grazing RightsConservation EasementsLand Trusts
EXAMPLE11.4 Usinga ConservationLand Trust to ProtectFarmlandDEBATE11.3 Does Ecotourism Provide a Pathway to Sustainability?Development Impact FeesProperty Tax AdjustmentsEXAMPLE11.5 Tax Strategies to Reduce Inefficient Land Conversion:
Maine's Open Space Program
Summary 264 <ij¡Discussion Questions 26~ <ij¡Further Reading 266
1 L Reproducible Private- Property Resources:AgricultureIntroduction
Global Scarcity
Formulating the Global Scarcity Hypothesis
Testing the HypothesisOutlook for the Future
EXAMPLE12.1Growing Corn for Fuel Not Food: The Expansion ofEthanolEXAMPLE12.2 Do Mandatory Labels Correct Externalities?
The Role of Agricultural PoliciesDEBATE12.1When OrganicGoesMainstream: Do YouGet What
You Pay For?
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Summing UpDistribution of F ood Resources
Defllling the Problem
DEBATE12,2Sbould GeneticallyModified OrganismsBeBanned?EXAMPLE12,3Are ConsumersWilling to Paya Premium
for GMO-Free Foods? 286Domestic Production in Less Developed Countries 287The Undervaluation Bias 288Feeding the Poor 289
Feast and Famine Cycles 290
Summary 293 ($DiscussionQuestions294 ($Problems 294 ($Furtber Reading 295
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1j Storable, Renewable Resources: ForestsIntroduction
Characterizing Forest Harvesting DecisionsSpecial Attributes of the Timber ResourceThe Biological DimensionThe Economics of Forest HarvestingExtending the Basic Model
Sources of InefficiencyPerverse Incentives for the LandownerPerverse Incentives for Nations
Poverty and Debt
Sustainable ForestryPublic Policy
Changing IncentivesEXAMPLE13,1Producing SustainableForestry Tbrougb CertificationEXAMPLE13,2ConservationEasementsin Action: Tbe Blackfoot
Community ProjectRoyalty PayrnentsCarbon Sequestration Credits
EXAMPLE13,3 Does Pbarmaceutical Demand Offer Sufficient Protection toBiodiversity? 315
EXAMPLE13.4 Trust Funds for Habitat Preservation 317
Summary 316 ($Discussion Questions 318 Problems 319 i&Furtber Reading 319Appendix: The Harvesting Decision: Forests 320
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1 ~ Common-Pool Resources: Fisheries and OtherCommercially Valuable SpeciesIntroduction
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Efficient Allocations
The Biological DimensionStatic Efficient Sustainable Yield
Dynamic Efficient Sustainable Yield
Appropriability and Market SolutionsEXAMPLE14.1Open-AccessHarvestingoftheMinke Whale
Public Policy Toward FisheriesAquacultureEXAMPLE14.2Harbor Gangs of Maine
Raising the Real Cost of FishingDEBATE14.1Aquaculture:DoesPrivatization CauseMoreProblems
than It Salves?Taxes
Individual Transferable Quotas (ITQs)
EXAMPLE14.3The Relative EffectivenessofTransferableQuotasand TraditionalSize and Effort Restrictionsin theAtlanticSea ScallopFishery 344
Subsidies and Buybacks 345Marine Protected Areas and Marine Reserves 345The 200-Mile Limit 347The Economics of Enforcement 347Preventing Poaching 348EXAMPLE14.4LocalApproachesto WildlifeProtection:Zimbabwe 349
Summary 350 itf¡DiscussionQuestions 351 Problems 351 Further Reading 352Appendix: The Harvesting Decision: Fisheries 353
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1 ~ Economics of Pollution Control: An OverviewIntroduction
A Pollutant Taxonomy
Defining the Efficient Allocation of PollutionStock PollutantsFund Pollutants
Market Allocation of Pollution
Efficient Policy ResponsesEXAMPLE15.1EnvironmentalTaxationin China
Cost-Effective Policies for Uniformly Mixed Fund PollutantsDefining a Cost-Effective AllocationCost-Effective Pollution Control Policies
Cost-Effective Policies for Nonuniformly Mix;ed Surface PollutantsEXAMPLE15.2EmissionsTradinginAction:TheNOx BudgetProgramDEBATE15.1ShouldDevelopingCountriesRelyonMarket-Based
Instruments to Control Pollution?
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The Single-Receptor CaseThe Many-Receptors Case
Other Policy DimensionsThe Revenue Effect
EXAMPLE 15.3 The Swedish Nitrogen ChargeResponses to Changes in the Regulatory EnvironmentPrice VolatilityInstrument Choice Under UncertaintyProduct Charges: An Indirect Form ofEnvironmental TaxationEXAMPLE15.4 The lrisb. Bag Levy
Summary 383 DiscussionQuestion 386'* Problems 386
Appendix: The Simple Mathematics of Cost-EffectivePollution Control
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1 O Stationary-Source Local Air PollutionIntroductionConventional Pollutants
The Command-and-Control Policy FrameworkDEBATE16.1Should the New Source Review Program Be Changed?The Efficiency of the Command-and-Control ApproachDEBATE16.2 The Particulate and Smog Ambient Standards ControversyCost-Effectiveness of the Command-and-Control ApproachEXAMPLE16.1 Controlling SO2 Emissions by Command-and-Control
in Germany 400Air Quality 400
Innovative Approaches 402The Offset Program 402The Effectiveness ofThis Early Application 403Smog Trading 404Emission Charges 405Hazardous Pollutants 407
EXAMPLE16.2 Technology Diffusion in the Chlorine Manufacturing Sector 410
Summary 409 DiscussionQuestions411 Problems 411 Further Reading 412
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11 Regional and Global Air Pollutants: Acid Rainand Atmospheric ModificationIntroduction
RegionalPollutantsAcidRainEXAMPLE17.1 Adirondack Acidification
EXAMPLE17.2 The Sulfur Allowan~e ProgramEXAMPLE17.3 TYhy and How Do Environmentalists Buy Pollution?
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Global Pollutants 421Ozone Depletion 421EXAMPLE17.4TradablePermitsfor Ozone-DepletingChemicals 424Climate Change 425EXAMPLE17.5TheEuropeanEmissionsTradingSystem(BUETS) 430DEBATE17.1ls GlobalGreenhouseGas Tradinglmmoral? 432
Summary 435 ~ Discussion Question 437111Problems 437111Further Reading 437
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1 ~ Mobile-Source Air PollutionIntroduction
The Economics of Mobile-Source PollutionImplicit SubsidiesExternalities
ConsequencesPolicy Toward Mobile Sources
HistoryStructure of the U.S. ApproachCAFE StandardsDEBATE18.1 CAFE Standards or Fue! Taxes?Alternative Fue!s and Vehicles
EXAMPLE18.1Project XL- The Quest for Effective, Flexible RegulationEuropean ApproachesEXAMPLE18.2Car-Sharing: Better Use of Automotive Capital?
An Economic and Political Assessment
Technology Forcing and SanctionsDifferentiated RegulationUniformity of ControlThe Deterioration ofNew-Car Emission RatesLead Phaseout ProgramEXAMPLE18.3Getting the Lead Out: the Lead Phaseout Program
Possible ReformsFue! Taxes
Congestion PricingEXAMPLE18.4lnnovative Mobile-Source Pollution Control Strategies:
Singapore 456Prívate Toll Roads 457Parking Cash-Outs 457Feebates 458Pay-As-You-Drive (PAYD)Insurance 458Accelerated Retirement Strategies 458EXAMPLE18.5Modijjing Car lnsuranceasan Environmental Strategy 459EXAMPLE18.6CounterproductivePolicyDesign 460
Summary 459111Discussion Questions 461 111Problem 462111Further Reading 462
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1 ~ WaterPollutionIntroduction
Nature ofWater Pollution ProblemsTypes ofWaste-Receiving WaterSources of ContaminationTypes of Pollutants
Traditional Water Pollution Control PolicyEarly LegislationSubsequent LegislationThe Safe Drinking Water ActOcean PollutionCitizen Suits
Efficiencyand Cost-EffectivenessAmbient Standards and the Zero- Discharge GoalNational Effluent Standards
EXAMPLE19.1Effluent Tradingfor Nitrogen in Long lsland SoundMunicipal Waste Treatment SubsidiesPretreatment Standards
Nonpoint Source Pollution
EXAMPLE19.2Cost-EffectivePretreatment StandardsAtmospheric Deposition of PollutionDEBATE19.1Toxics in Fish Tissue: Do Fish Consumption Advisories
Change Behavior?
The European ExperienceDeveloping Country ExperienceGil SpillsEXAMPLE19.3Economic lncentives for Water Pollution Control:
The Caseof Colombia 489Citizen Suits 491An Overall Assessment 491
Summary 493 %iDiscussionQuestions 493 %iProblem 494 %iFurther Reading 494
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L ~ Toxic SubstancesIntroduction
Nature ofToxic Substance PollutionHealth Effects
Policy IssuesMarket Allocations and Toxic Substances
Occupational HazardsEXAMPLE20.1Susceptible Populations in the Hazardous WorkplaceProduct SafetyThird Parties
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Current PolicyCommon LawCriminal Law
Statutory LawThe Toxic Release Inventory ProgramThe 33/50 ProgramEXAMPLE20.2 Do New Polluting Facilities Affect Housing Values
and Incomes?Evidencein New Englimd 511Proposition 65 512International Agreements 512
An Assessment of the Legal Remedies 513The Common Law 513The Statutory Law 517Performance Bonds: An Innovative Proposal 519EXAMPLE20.3PerformanceBondsfar BrominatedFlameRetardants 520
Summary 519 @)Discussion Questions 521 Problem 522 Furtber Reading 522
L 1 Environmental JusticeIntroduction .
The Incidence of Hazardous Waste Siting DecisionsHistoryRecent Research and the Emerging Role of Analysis Using GISThe Economics of Site LocationThe Policy ResponseEXAMPLE21.1 Wbicb Came First- Tbe Toxic Facility or tbe Minority
Neigbborbood?
DEBATE21.1 Does Offering Compensation far Accepting an EnvironmentalRisk Always Increasethe WillingnesstoAccepttbe Risk?
The Incidence of Pollution Control Costs: Individual IndustriesA Competitive IndustryMonopolyDEBATE21.2Jobs Versus tbe Environment: Wbicb Side Is Rigbt?
The Generation of Pollutants
The Incidence on HouseholdsAir PollutionWater PollutionNoise PollutionFloodsSocioeconomic Status and Health
Implications for PolicyEXAMPLE21.2 Distributi~nal Impacts of RECLAIM
Summary 546 DiscussionQuestions 547 Problem
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L L Development, Poverty, and the EnvironmentIntroductionThe Growth Process
Nature of the ProcessPotential Sources of Reduced Growth
Limits on Technological ProgressThe Natural Resource Curse
EXAMPLE22.1Th.e "Natural Resource Curse" HypothesisEnvironmental PolicyEXAMPLE22.2Jobs Versusthe Environment: What 1.1the Evidence?Energy
Outlook for the Near FuturePopulation ImpactsThe Information Economy
The Growth-Development RelationshipConventional MeasuresAlternative Measures
Growth and Poverty: The Industrialized NationsThe Effects on Income InequalityPoverty in the Less Industrialized NationsAppropriateness of the Traditional ModelBarriers to DevelopmentEXAMPLE22.3Trading Water for Beehives and Barbed Wired in Bolivia
EXAMPLE22.4Debt-for-Nature Revisited: The Nature Conservancy,the TropicalForestConservationAa, and CostaRica 573
Summary 573 DiscussionQuestions 575 Problem 575 Further Reading 575
Lj The Quest for SustainableDevelopmentIntroduction
Sustainability of DevelopmentMarket Allocations
Efficiency and SustainabilityEXAMPLE23.1ResourceDepletionand EconomicSustainability:MalaysiaTrade and the Environment
EXAMPLE23.2Has NAFTA 1mproved the Environment in Mexico?Trade Rules Under GATT and the WTO
DEBATE23.1 Should an 1mporting Country Be AMe to Use TradeRestrictions to 1nfluence Harmful Fishing Practices inan Exporting Nation?
Managing the Transition
.Opportunities for Cooperation
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Restructuring Incentives 593EXAMPLE23.3ReputationalStrategiesfor PollutionControlin Indonesia 600
Summary 599 DiscussionQuestions 601 Problem 602 FU11:herReading 602i!11I ,
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IL~ Visions of the Future Revisited
Addressing the IssuesConceptualizing the ProblemInstitutional ResponsesEXAMPLE24.1 Priva te Incentives for Sustainable Development:
CanAdopting SustainablePracticesBe Profitable?Sustainable DevelopmentEXAMPLE24.2PubliclPrivate Partnerships: The Kalundborg Experience
A Concluding CommentDiscussionQuestions 614
Problem Set Answers
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