Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery Report | 2011

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Technological Assessment Program (PAT) The Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery (VSB) 2011 Report Antonio Bonomi Adriano Pinto Mariano Charles Dayan Farias de Jesus Henrique Coutinho Junqueira Franco Marcelo Pereira Cunha Marina Oliveira de Souza Dias Mateus Ferreira Chagas Otávio Cavalett Paulo Eduardo Mantelatto Rubens Maciel Filho Tassia Lopes Junqueira Terezinha de Fátima Cardoso

description

Report concerns the main activities carried out for the construction of the VSB in 2011, as well as the most important results obtained so far.

Transcript of Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery Report | 2011

Technological Assessment Program (PAT)

The Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery (VSB)

2011 Report

Antonio Bonomi

Adriano Pinto Mariano

Charles Dayan Farias de Jesus

Henrique Coutinho Junqueira Franco

Marcelo Pereira Cunha

Marina Oliveira de Souza Dias

Mateus Ferreira Chagas

Otávio Cavalett

Paulo Eduardo Mantelatto

Rubens Maciel Filho

Tassia Lopes Junqueira

Terezinha de Fátima Cardoso

Campinas, 2012

Executive Summary

The Brazilian Bioethanol Science and Technology Laboratory (CTBE) is a Brazilian national laboratory founded by the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation (MCTI). Its main objective is to improve the Brazilian sugarcane production chain, including bioethanol and chemicals, through research, development and innovation.

One of CTBE’s programs is the Technological Assessment Program (PAT), through which the development level of different technologies for sugarcane processing is assessed. For this purpose, the Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery (VSB) is being constructed under the PAT. It is a computational tool based on simulation platforms for the evaluation of different technologies through assessment of their sustainability indicators (economical, environmental and social).

This report concerns the main activities carried out for the construction of the VSB in 2011, as well as the most important results obtained so far, including:

• procedures and adopted approaches for the VSB development;

• evaluation of economic and environmental indicators of the sugarcane agricultural stage;

• basic and optimized autonomous and annexed first generation sugarcane processing plants (production of sugar, first generation ethanol and electricity);

• production flexibility of annexed sugarcane distilleries (production of sugar, first generation ethanol and electricity);

• first generation harvest extension using sweet sorghum;

• integrated first and second generation ethanol production from sugarcane – different technological levels for the biochemical route (production of first and second generation ethanol and electricity);

• comparison between stand-alone second generation ethanol plant and integrated first and second generation facilities (biochemical route);

• second generation ethanol production (biochemical route) integrated in a sugar mill (production of sugar, second generation ethanol and electricity);

• production of butanol in the sugarcane distillery using sugarcane juice or pentoses from the lignocellulosic fraction (production of sugar, first and second generation ethanol, electricity, butanol and acetone).

The data used in the analyses have, so far, been collected from the literature, based on information provided by specialists (from CTBE, industry or academia) or obtained in the industry (for first generation only). One of the goals of PAT consists on validating all the

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results generated in the simulations through the use of data obtained in the industry and on the CTBE’s pilot plant, which will provide data for second generation ethanol production using various technologies. It is expected that some of the data generated in the pilot plant will be available for evaluation in the VSB during 2012.

Summary

Executive Summary ............................................................................................................... 2

Summary ................................................................................................................................ 3

List of Figures ........................................................................................................................ 4

List of Tables .......................................................................................................................... 7

Abbreviations ....................................................................................................................... 10

Glossary ................................................................................................................................ 11

1. Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 13

2. The Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery (VSB) ...................................................................... 16

3. Construction of the Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery ......................................................... 23

4. Results .............................................................................................................................. 48

5. Final remarks .................................................................................................................. 111

6. References ...................................................................................................................... 117

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List of Figures

Figure 1. Representation of CTBE’s Programs interaction................................................13

Figure 2. General concept of the VSB.................................................................................17

Figure 3. Basic principles of a biorefinery (Kamm and Kamm, 2004)..............................18

Figure 4. Aggregated flowchart of main operations used in the sugarcane production

system...................................................................................................................................24

Figure 5. Illustration of the Controlled Traffic Structure....................................................28

Figure 6. Canasoft Model scheme.......................................................................................29

Figure 7. Sugarcane plant parts (Hassuani et al., 2005)......................................................31

Figure 8. Block flow diagram of the production of sugar, ethanol and electricity from

sugarcane..............................................................................................................................36

Figure 9. Block-flow diagram of the integrated 1st and 2nd generation ethanol production

process from sugarcane........................................................................................................37

Figure 10. Example of an Aspen Plus flowsheet for the integrated first and second

generation ethanol production process from sugarcane......................................................38

Figure 11. Unit operations that represent distillation step..................................................39

Figure 12. Unit operations envolved in the second generation process..............................39

Figure 13. Scheme of the interactions between each main block of the simulation of the

integrated first and second generation production process.................................................40

Figure 14. Relative environmental impacts of different scenarios of sugarcane production.

..............................................................................................................................................50

Figure 15. Simplified scheme of the distillation columns...................................................59

Figure 16. Main results for basic and optimized autonomous and annexed plants............69

Figure 17. Investment and IRR of the basic and optimized autonomous and annexed

plants....................................................................................................................................70

Figure 18. Comparative environmental impact scores for ethanol production in base and

optimized scenarios of annexed plants and autonomous distilleries...................................71

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Figure 19. Comparative environmental impacts breakdown for ethanol production in the

E50-B...................................................................................................................................72

Figure 20. Comparative environmental impact scores for ethanol production in base and

optimized scenarios of annexed plants and autonomous distilleries considering only the

industrial processing stage...................................................................................................72

Figure 21. Comparison of the IRR of optimized distilleries considering average prices for

the past 10 years and 2010 prices........................................................................................74

Figure 22. Impact of changes in prices and costs on the IRR for basic and optimized

autonomous and annexed plants..........................................................................................75

Figure 23. Ethanol and sugar production in the annexed plants with different fractions of

sugarcane juice diverted to sugar production......................................................................77

Figure 24. Investment and IRR for different configurations of the annexed plants..........77

Figure 25. Impact of changes on ethanol and sugar prices on the IRR of the Flex 70:70

and E50.................................................................................................................................78

Figure 26. Comparative environmental impact scores for ethanol production in E50 and

Flex 70:70 considering only the industrial processing stage..............................................79

Figure 27. Ethanol and electricity production in the optimized autonomous first

generation (1G) and scenarios for sweet sorghum..............................................................87

Figure 28. Impact of ±15% changes on sweet sorghum prices in the IRR of the scenarios

evaluated with harvest extension.........................................................................................88

Figure 29. Simplified scheme illustrating lignocellulosic material use, energy and ethanol

production in scenarios 1 through 4.....................................................................................95

Figure 30. Anhydrous ethanol and electricity production in the scenarios evaluated for the

integration of second generation ethanol production in an optimized autonomous

distillery................................................................................................................................96

Figure 31. Investment and IRR in the scenarios evaluated for the integration of second

generation ethanol production in an optimized autonomous distillery...............................96

Figure 32. Ethanol production costs in the scenarios evaluated.........................................97

Figure 33. Comparative environmental impact indicators of the different scenarios.........97

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Figure 34. Sensitivity analyses for Global Warming Potential (GWP) (a), Eutrophication

Potential (EP) (b) and Human Toxicity Potential (HTP) (c) for scenario 4 (integrated first

and second generation ethanol production from sugarcane, using advanced hydrolysis

technologies and pentoses fermentation).............................................................................99

Figure 35. Ethanol and electricity production in the scenarios evaluated to compare stand-

alone 2nd generation (2G), the equivalent stand-alone plant including the first generation

producing lignocellulosic material (1G + 2G) and the integrated 1st and 2nd generation

(1G2G) plant......................................................................................................................100

Figure 36. Simplified scheme illustrating lignocellulosic material use, energy and ethanol

production in the stand-alone second generation plant.....................................................101

Figure 37. IRR and investment for each scenario in the evaluation of stand-alone second

generation plants................................................................................................................101

Figure 38. Ethanol, sugar and electricity production in the sugar mill coupled, or not, with

second generation ethanol production...............................................................................102

Figure 39. IRR and investment for the sugar mill and the sugar mill coupled with second

generation ethanol production...........................................................................................103

Figure 40. IRR for the annexed distillery (50/50: 50% of the juice for sugar production;

75/25: 25% of the juice for sugar production; RS: regular strain for butanol production;

MS: mutant strain; C: chemical market; B: biofuel market).............................................107

Figure 41. IRR for the integrated first and second generation ethanol production (ES: 1st

and 2nd generation ethanol production in the annexed distillery processing 50% of the

sugar juice for sugar production; RS: regular strain for butanol production; MS: mutant

strain; C: chemical market; B: biofuel market).................................................................108

Figure 42. Sensitivity analysis: impact of changes of +10% of the main variables on the

IRR of the first generation mill (left) and for the first generation mill with butanol

production (right)...............................................................................................................109

Figure 43. Sensitivity analysis: impact of changes of +10% of the main variables on the

IRR of the integrated first and second generation plant (left) and for the integrated process

with butanol production (right)..........................................................................................110

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List of Tables

Table 1. Sugarcane fiber and sucrose content adopted by several authors.........................32

Table 2. Sugarcane bagasse composition (dry basis) – normalized average values obtained

for 50 samples (Rocha et al., 2010).....................................................................................32

Table 3. Sugarcane average chemical composition (Camargo, 1990)................................33

Table 4. Sugarcane composition (Mantelatto, 2005)..........................................................34

Table 5. Composition of the sugarcane adopted in the Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery.....34

Table 6. Sugarcane production costs for the different sugarcane production scenarios

(values in US$/ha)................................................................................................................50

Table 7. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the sugarcane cleaning................52

Table 8. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the sugarcane extraction.............53

Table 9. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the juice treatment operations.....55

Table 10. Parameters of the sugar crystallization process..................................................56

Table 11. Parameters of the sugar drying............................................................................57

Table 12. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the fermentation process...........58

Table 13. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the distillation columns.............59

Table 14. Main parameters of the dehydration processes evaluated in the VSB................60

Table 15. Main parameters of the cogeneration system......................................................61

Table 16. Distribution of investment of an autonomous distillery (Dedini, 2009).............62

Table 17. Fraction of investment of a mill/distillery (Sousa and Macedo, 2010). ............63

Table 18. Investment in equipment for annexed and autonomous distilleries (Sousa and

Macedo, 2010)......................................................................................................................64

Table 19. Assumptions made for investment calculations in the VSB...............................64

Table 20. Main features of the scenarios.............................................................................65

Table 21. Investment for basic scenarios, based on Sousa and Macedo (2010).................66

Table 22. The steam production for each scenario..............................................................66

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Table 23.Investment estimate for each scenario.................................................................68

Table 24. Main characteristics of the basic and optimized plants......................................68

Table 25. Scenarios evaluated in the comparison of basic and optimized plants...............69

Table 26. Prices adopted in the analysis for 2010 (CEPEA, 2011)....................................74

Table 27. Sugarcane processed in August and accumulated in season – Data from Mill

A’s bulletin...........................................................................................................................79

Table 28. Sugar and ethanol produced in August and accumulated in season – Data from

Mill A’s bulletin...................................................................................................................80

Table 29. Example of input data based on information from the database and processes of

the sugar mill for the sugar plant section.............................................................................80

Table 30. Sample data entered based only on information from bulletins and process -

Configuration processes of distillation section...................................................................81

Table 31. Comparison between the results of brix, pol and moisture, obtained for the stage

of preparation and extraction of sugarcane, with the bulletin data.....................................81

Table 32. Comparison between the results of RS, TRS and fiber, obtained for the

preparation and extraction of sugarcane, and data provided in the bulletin.......................82

Table 33. Comparison between the results of TRS and moisture, obtained for the stage of

juice treatment, and data provided in the bulletin...............................................................82

Table 34. Comparison between the results of brix and pol, obtained for the stage of juice

treatment, with the bulletin data..........................................................................................82

Table 35. Comparison between the results of brix, pol and TRS, obtained for the stage of

juice evaporation, with the bulletin data..............................................................................82

Table 36. Comparison between the obtained results and bulletin data for must. ..............83

Table 37. Comparison between the obtained results and bulletin data for CHP................83

Table 38. Comparison of the results obtained for the production of alcohol from the

simulation on Aspen Plus with data from the bulletin........................................................83

Table 39. Comparison of the results obtained for the sugar production with data from the

bulletin..................................................................................................................................83

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Table 40. Comparison of the results obtained for the intermediate streams in sugar

production with data from the bulletin................................................................................84

Table 41. Comparison of yields calculated from the results of the simulation on Aspen

Plus with data from the bulletin...........................................................................................84

Table 42. Sweet sorghum main characteristics and process yield (Rossell, 2011)............86

Table 43. Sweet sorghum prices, IRR and ethanol production costs for the harvest

extension scenarios with sweet sorghum.............................................................................88

Table 44. Parameters adopted in the simulation of the 2nd generation process.................92

Table 45. Estimate of equipment investment and processing capacity of 2G plants

(CGEE, 2009).......................................................................................................................93

Table 46. Scenarios evaluated in the integrated first and second generation ethanol

production from sugarcane..................................................................................................94

Table 47. Scenarios evaluated in the integrated first and second generation ethanol

production from sugarcane................................................................................................100

Table 48. Description of the scenarios evaluated for butanol production in the VSB.....104

Table 49. Outputs of a sugarcane biorefinery with butanol production...........................105

Table 50. Butanol and acetone prices adopted in the economic analysis.........................106

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Abbreviations

ADP: Abiotic depletion

AP: Acidification

1G: First generation ethanol production

2G: Second generation ethanol production

ATR: Total Recoverable Sugars

CHP: Combined Heat and Power (cogeneration system)

CTBE: Brazilian Bioethanol Science and Technology Laboratory

CTS: Controlled Traffic Structure

EP: Eutrophication

FWAET: Fresh water aquatic ecotoxicity

GHG: Greenhouse Gases

GWP: Global warming

°GL: Degree Gay Lussac (% alcohol by volume at 15°C)

HTP: Human toxicity

iLUC: indirect land use change

°INPM: Ethanol content (percent by weight)

IRR: Internal Rate of Return

LCA: Life Cycle Assessment

LCI: Life Cycle Inventory

LCIA: Life Cycle Impact Assessment

LHV: Low heating value

LM: Lignocellulosic material

LUC: land use change

MAET: Marine aquatic ecotoxicity

MEE: Multiple Effect Evaporators

ODP: Ozone layer depletion

PAT: Technological Assessment Program of CTBE

POP: Photochemical oxidation

RS: Reducing sugars

TC: Tons of sugarcane (1000 kg)

TET: Terrestrial ecotoxicity

TRS: Total reducing sugars

VSB: Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery

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Glossary

Anhydrous ethanol: stream produced after dehydration of hydrated ethanol, containing at

least 99.3 wt% ethanol (in accord to Brazilian regulation), used as fuel in a mixture with

gasoline;

Bagasse: fibrous residue produced after extraction of juice from sugarcane. Currently

used for energy (steam and electricity) production in cogeneration systems, may be used

as feedstock for second generation ethanol production;

Construction of terrace: operation performed to avoid water flow over soil surface;

Dry leaves: old leaves of the sugarcane plant;

EMBRAPA: Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária (Brazilian Agricultural

Research Corporation);

Filter cake: solid residue obtained during juice treatment that contains most of the

impurities of the sugarcane juice. Used as fertilizer in the sugarcane field;

Dedini: a company with a long history on supplying equipment and solutions for the

sugar/ethanol/energy market;

Furrow: row of planting;

Growth promoters: a combination of different compounds which can promote sugarcane

growth;

Harrowing: operation to revolve the soil;

Herbicide: agrochemical used for weeds control;

Hormones: root growth promoters;

Humic Acid: complex mixture of organic acids produced by the decomposition of organic

matter which improves root growth;

Hydrated ethanol: hydroalcoholic solution containing between 92.8 and 93.6 wt% ethanol

(in accord to Brazilian regulation), used as a fuel in neat ethanol or flex-fuel engines;

Infield transport: operation of sugarcane removal from the field until transport;

Insecticide: agrochemical used to control plagues;

Leveling: operation to flatten the soil before the planting;

Loading: operation to put sugarcane into in field transport;

Massecuites: intermediate stream in the sugar production process containing sugar

crystals and mother liquor;

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Molasses: syrup containing remainder sugars and non sugars obtained after sucrose

crystallization. The last and more impure is so called “final molasses”;

Micronutrients: plant nutrients required in low amounts;

Nematicide: agrochemical used to eliminate soil nematodes, a specific class of plant

parasites;

No-tillage: practice without soil revolving during pre-planting sugarcane;

Phlegm: ethanol-rich streams (40 – 50 °GL) obtained during ethanol distillation, are fed

to the rectification column where hydrated ethanol is produced;

Phlegmasse: residue obtained in the rectification column, containing mostly water.

Pre-planting: all operations performed before sugarcane planting;

Plant cane: designation of the first sugarcane crop;

Plowing: operation in which the soil is substantially revolved;

Ratoon: designation of the sugarcane crops after the first harvest;

Rotation culture: practice used to break the monoculture in sugarcane fields;

Soluble solids: solids that are dissolved in a solution or stream;

Subsoiling: operation performed to decrease the soil compaction;

Sugarcane setts: sections of the stalks;

Surplus bagasse: remaining bagasse after all needs of steam and electricity of the

industrial plant have been fulfilled;

Technological pre-analysis: collection of samples to assess the level of Brix, Pol, and

other quality parameters of stalks;

Tops: green leaves of the plant;

Total solids: soluble and insoluble solids in a solution or stream;

Trash: sugarcane tops and leaves that may be used as fuel in cogeneration systems,

producing electricity. Usually it is burnt when manual harvest is used;

Vinasse: residue obtained during ethanol distillation, containing high contents of organic

compounds, suspended solids, potassium and other nutrients. Usually used for

fertirrigation in the sugarcane field;

Wine: hydroalcoholic solution obtained after fermentation of sugars.

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1. Introduction

The Brazilian Bioethanol Science and Technology Laboratory (Laboratório Nacional de

Ciência e Tecnologia do Bioetanol – CTBE) integrating the Brazilian Center of Research

in Energy and Materials (Centro Nacional de Pesquisa em Energia e Materiais – CNPEM)

was inaugurated by the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation (Ministério de

Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação – MCTI) of the Brazilian Government in 2010 to

contribute to the Brazilian leadership in the sectors of renewable energy sources and

chemical industry raw material production, mainly by improving the sugarcane bioethanol

production chain through research, development and innovation, along with the

productive sector and the Brazilian scientific-technology community.

CTBE was organized in five different Programs as illustrated in Figure 1, in which it is

clear the focus of its research activities in solving the agricultural and industrial

bottlenecks of the sugarcane production chain, using basic science developments and

sustainability criteria in the search for strategic solutions.

Figure 1. Representation of CTBE’s Programs interaction.

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The Technological Assessment Program (Programa de Avaliação Tecnológica – PAT),

has emerged from the need of setting a methodology to measure CTBE’s success. With

this purpose, the construction of a simulation tool was designed – the Virtual Sugarcane

Biorefinery (VSB). A plan containing the idea, objectives, scope and methodology for the

VSB construction was submitted, evaluated and approved by the bioethanol and

sugarcane community in the workshop “Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery: Assessing success

of new technologies”.

The VSB is a simulation platform which will allow the evaluation of the integration of

new technologies (cellulosic ethanol and other products from the green chemistry in the

biorefinery concept, new agricultural strategies for sugarcane production, as well as

different strategies for ethanol use as a biofuel) with the technologies practiced today in

the whole production chain. The results obtained with the VSB will be validated against

existing plants, in order to guarantee the accuracy of the sustainability impacts calculated

with this simulation tool.

The VSB will also be used to assess the level of success reached by CTBE’s Pilot Plant

for Process Development (Planta Piloto de Desenvolvimento de Processos – PPDP) in the

development of new industrial technologies, as well as the CTBE’s Agriculture Program

innovations, using methodologies identified and developed together with the

Sustainability Program. It is an important tool for the continuous evaluation and

improvement of CTBE’s research activities, as well as to evaluate the potential of several

possible alternatives and technologies covering all aspects of the program.

Focused on the concept that “the increase of ethanol productivity per hectare (liters of

ethanol produced per hectare of used land and per year) is the combination of advances in

the two sectors of the production chain – agricultural and industrial”, two objective macro

goals related to each sector were created in order to keep CTBE’s focus linked to

developments in both areas, with substantial impacts on the sustainability of the Brazilian

sugarcane production chain:

Macrogoal 1: Research and development of an innovative agricultural model for full use

of sugarcane using no-till and precision agriculture, according to criteria of technical

viability and sustainability (economic, environmental and social) of the production chain

with a focus on productivity, quality and specificity of the raw material.

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Macrogoal 2: Research and development of processes to obtain “second generation” (2G)

ethanol, electricity and co-products derived from the green chemistry, in the biorefineries

concept, with full use of sugarcane, exploring the strategy of integration with the “first

generation” (1G) ethanol production and according to criteria of technical viability and

sustainability (economic, environmental and social) of the production chain.

The success of these macrogoals will be measured using the VSB developed by the PAT

team, which will be constructed and validated over the next years. Thereby, these

macrogoals are focused on the development of a technology able to introduce a

productive increase in the sustainability of the whole sugarcane industry, mainly for

ethanol production.

In order to help CTBE to achieve these two macro goals, PAT defined its own two major

macrogoals:

• Construction of a tool to calculate the sustainability indicators of different

agricultural and industrial technology routes within a biorefinery focused in

current CTBE’s developments – the VSB.

• Periodical evaluation and comparison of stages of ethanol technology

development (1G, 2G and integrated 1G and 2G) as well as other routes within a

biorefinery, considering the average levels and good practices (performed

commercially) and the ones currently under development at CTBE and by third

parties (Megaexperiment).

The PAT macrogoals will be reached through the development of a set of well planned

projects, which will evaluate the impacts of the technologies to be implemented through

the construction and simulation of the corresponding scenarios and present the results of

periodical evaluations, by means of an annual report.

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2. The Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery (VSB)

The mathematical modeling and simulation of the different processes and operations

included in the sugarcane production chain (agricultural, industrial and usage sectors) will

allow the estimation and optimization of the economic, social and environmental impacts

associated with the new technologies under development. These results will allow

assessing the stage of development of the new technologies, as well as the interest in

accelerating the implementation process, orienting the laboratories participating in the

development about possible optimum operating conditions, looking for their experimental

confirmation.

The development of models and the use of computational tools and specific commercial

software will make it possible to assess the impacts of the new technologies on the

Brazilian bioethanol production chain in the three areas of the sustainability concept:

Economic: required investment, profitability (internal rate of return – IRR and other

parameters), products production costs, revenues and taxes, among other parameters, and

their implications in the production chain will be evaluated using economic engineering

tools; at the same time, the sensitivity analysis of the most important parameters included

in the technologies under development, on the related costs and investments will be

performed, as well as a risk analysis related with the implementation of the new

technologies.

Environmental: energy balance (relation among the renewable energy produced and the

fossil energy consumed), greenhouse gas emissions balances, water consumption and

other environmental impacts included in the Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) such as

acidification, photo-oxidant formation, nitrification, eutrophication and human toxicity, as

well as new concepts and models introduced in the environmental analysis of biofuels,

such as land use changes (LUC and iLUC) and impacts on the biodiversity.

Social: local impacts derived from the automation, plant scale, agricultural sector

mechanization, among others, on the number and quality of created jobs (income and

scholar degree), as well as land use, social relations with the community and labor

qualification; these impacts will be estimated using the input-output and general

equilibrium methodologies; these economic models allow for the quantification of the

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changes in the activity level of each sector of the economy as a function of modifications

on demand for products of one or more sector.

Figure 2 illustrates the general concept of the VSB.

Figure 2. General concept of the VSB.

2.1 Objectives

The VSB project aims the development of an analysis tool for sugarcane biorefineries,

including the agricultural, industrial and usage sectors, which will make possible to:

• optimize the concepts and processes included in a biorefinery;

• assess different biorefinery alternatives referring to their sustainability (economic,

environmental and social impacts);

• assess the stage of development of the new technologies included in the analysis.

2.2 Scope

The scope of the VSB is the construction/adaptation of a simulation platform aiming to

assist the modeling, optimization and socio-economic and environmental assessment of

integrated processes, major characteristic of a biorefinery, together with all the stages of

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the sugarcane production chain. This will be a tool able to identify the processes and

parameters showing major economic, social and environmental impacts, in order to help

in the prioritization of the scientific and technological researches.

Biorefinery is a facility that integrates biomass conversion processes and equipment to

produce fuels, power and chemicals from biomass. The biorefinery concept is analogous

to today’s petroleum refineries, which produce multiple fuels and products from

petroleum (NREL, 2012). Industrial biorefineries have been identified as the most

promising route to the creation of a new domestic biobased industry (Kamm et al., 2006).

Figure 3 presents a general scheme of a biorefinery.

Products Substances and Energy various,

multi product systems

• Fuels, • Chemical, • Materials, • Specialties, • Commodities, Goods

Processing Technologies various,

combined

• Bioprocesses, • Chemical Processes, • Thermo-chemical Processes, • Thermal Processes, • Physical Processes

• Food and Feed Grains, • Lignocellulosic Biomass, • Forest Biomass, • Municipal Solid Waste (MSW)

Feedstock(s) biological raw material

various, mixed

Figure 3. Basic principles of a biorefinery (Kamm and Kamm, 2004).

2.2.1 The agricultural sector

The VSB will represent the actual activities and also define alternatives including the

agricultural operations required to produce and make the biorefinery feedstock – the

sugarcane – available to the industry. These operations can be synthetically described as:

• pre-planting operations;

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• soil preparation;

• manual or mechanical planting;

• cultivation – sugarcane plant and ratoon;

• manual or mechanical harvesting;

• sugarcane transport.

In order to evaluate the technical, socio-economic and environmental impacts of different

technological scenarios, an agricultural spreadsheet (that includes a detailed description of

the above mentioned operations), named “Canasoft”, is being constructed, validated and

integrated to the simulation tools used to represent the other sectors of the sugarcane

production chain.

2.2.2 The industrial sector

In order to make the inclusion and the sustainability assessment of several biorefinery

alternatives viable, it will be necessary to define and technically evaluate different

proposals and routes to transform biomass into products. The VSB will focus on

sugarcane as the biomass to be used and the first and second generation bioethanol as the

major product, although it will include the analysis of other products such as sugar,

electricity, other liquid fuels (obtained using the thermal and biochemical route to convert

the lignocellulosic material), materials (such as the polyhydroxyalkanoates obtained

through sugars fermentation), primers for the chemical industry (obtained from ethanol,

sugar or fractions of the lignocellulosic material), among others.

Therefore, some basic routes must be designed and technically assessed, being a basis for

the construction of the VSB:

Route 1: biorefinery producing first generation ethanol, sugar and electricity;

Route 2: biorefinery based on the utilization of the whole sugarcane, focused on the

production of the second generation bioethanol (through hydrolysis);

Route 3: biorefinery based on the utilization of the whole sugarcane, focused on the

production of liquid fuels from the gasification of excess biomass (synthesis gas –

thermochemical route);

Route 4: biorefinery focused on the alcoholchemistry route;

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Route 5: biorefinery focused on the sugarchemistry route;

Route 6: biorefinery focused on the lignin chemistry route;

Route n: other routes.

A simulation platform is used to simulate the different basic routes proposed in the

construction of the VSB. Several commercial packages oriented to process simulation are

available in the market (Aspen Plus, SuperPro Designer and EMSO are just examples).

They were developed for a large spectrum of industries: oil, petrochemicals,

pharmaceuticals, biotechnologies, fine chemistry, mineral processing, microelectronic and

effluents treatment, among others. For several reasons, which will be detailed in the topic

related to the development of the simulations of the industrial production process in the

VSB, Aspen Plus was selected as the simulation platform.

2.2.3 The usage sector

In order to complete the sugarcane production chain, the last sector to be simulated is the

one that includes the operations of commercialization and use of the different products

produced in the biorefinery. Taking, for example, ethanol as the product to be assessed,

the major operations to be considered for simulation are:

• transport of ethanol to/among the commercialization agents;

• mixture with gasoline (gasohol alternative);

• use of ethanol in the vehicles;

• deposition of the product (not in the case of ethanol).

A spreadsheet will be constructed detailing the operations involved for the use of the

different products in the biorefinery, allowing for the complete assessment of the

sugarcane production chain.

2.2.4 Stages of development

Three development versions of the VSB are defined in order to characterize the quality

and accuracy of the simulation performed during the use of the VSB for assessment

purposes. The descriptions of these versions are illustrated for the industrial sector, but

20

they can be applied with minor adjustments to the other sectors of the production chain, to

know:

1) Preliminary Version: all the simulation is performed based on preliminary flow

diagrams and, in general, using data available in the literature.

2) Consolidated Version: all the simulation is performed based on a conceptual

design performed for the assessed technology or using operation description

discussed in detail with specialists, when the other sectors of the chain are

considered.

3) Validated Version: the parameters used in the simulation as well as the results

obtained are compared with data measured or obtained in commercial operations.

Generally 3 levels of validation are considered: validated against one technology

(1); validated against different technologies (2); validated against different

technologies and regional conditions (3).

2.3 Modeling and Simulation Net

The VSB will be constructed based on the scheme presented in Figure 2. The amplitude

of the scope of the present Program requires the collaboration of Research Institutions and

Companies interested in the development and use of the VSB that, in the future, will

constitute a supporting network.

The development of the Program is coordinated by CTBE that centralizes the

construction, operation and publication of the results obtained with the several versions of

the VSB, as soon as they are developed and validated, including the ones developed

together with Institutions and Companies that are already participating in its construction.

The Modeling and Simulation Network to support the VSB construction is organized into

six sub-nets that operate in an integrated form.

Sub-Net 1: Development and utilization of simulation platforms of integrated systems

– application to biorefinery concepts.

Sub-Net 2: Development of optimization techniques for unit operations and integrated

processes.

21

Sub-Net 3: Development of mathematical models of the unit operations present in the

biorefinery configurations.

Sub-Net 4: Development of the methodologies and databases to be used in

sustainability impacts calculations.

Sub-Net 5: Development of mathematical models for the agricultural and logistic

operations related to sugarcane production.

Sub-Net 6: Development of the VSB version to simulate the thermochemical route,

including the database for its construction.

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3. Construction of the Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery

3.1 Sugarcane agricultural phase

3.1.1 General description of the sugarcane production system

Sugarcane agricultural practices may vary according to regional characteristics, soil,

water availability, slope of the field, among other factors. Furthermore, there are also

many variations depending on the agricultural management adopted, mainly on pre-

planting, planting and harvesting operations. In this report the main agricultural

operations used in South-Central region of Brazil are described. This area is responsible

for about 90% of Brazilian sugarcane production (UNICA, 2011).

The main operations impacting on sugarcane production costs are planting and

harvesting. In this context, CTBE has been leading innovative research projects on both

planting and harvesting challenges for the sugarcane sector.

This section describes the main operations (depicted in Figure 4) in the sugarcane

agricultural production system, from the soil preparation until the sugarcane delivery into

the industrial facility. This figure is aggregated and only the main operations are shown.

Pre-planting operations

During the decision-making process in the sugarcane mills management, the plots to be

replaced are selected based on their productivity, age, and/or level of infestation from

pests and diseases. Also depending on location (logistics) and plant production strategies,

there will be incorporation of new crop areas. Therefore, a set of mechanized operations

to adapt the land are translated into the production cost difference between current and

expansion production areas.

Among operations for land use preparation are the soil conservation, construction of

terraces and roads, according to previous occupation (pasture, permanent crops, among

others). In reform areas the previous ratoon elimination can be done using physical

(harrowing) or chemical (herbicides) techniques, depending on the management practices

to be adopted.

23

Figure 4. Aggregated flowchart of main operations used in the sugarcane production

system.

24

Due to soil characteristics in the Central South region of Brazil (such as low base

saturation and acidity), lime is applied to correct soil acidity, increase bases saturation and

eliminate aluminum toxicity. The amount of lime and gypsum application will vary

depending on soil chemical properties.

The most common soil preparation operations are subsoiling, harrowing, plowing and

land leveling. All these operations are used to prepare the land for planting.

Planting

The planting (including field reform) of sugarcane is mainly performed in two ways:

Semi-mechanized planting: The semi-mechanized planting starts with furrow opening

along with application of NPK (N - P2O5 - K2O) fertilizer in variable amounts depending

on crop needs and availability in the soil (diagnosed by previous soil fertility analysis).

The sugarcane setts are usually harvested manually and then transported from the nursery

to the agricultural area. The furrow opening and closing is done mechanically. The

sugarcane setts distribution in the furrow and cutting of stalks is done manually. Closing

operation is usually coupled with application of insecticide, nematicide and

micronutrients, and, in some areas, other inputs can be applied such as humic acid,

hormones and growth promoters. If filter cake mud is available, it is applied after the

furrow opening.

Mechanized planting: The collection of sugarcane setts is performed with an adapted

mechanical harvester (rubberized coating of some internal parts). The sugarcane setts are

transported and discharged in mechanical planters that can be propelled or tractor driven.

These planters perform various operations including furrow opening, fertilization, setts

distribution, application of agrochemicals and furrow closing. If filter cake mud is

available, it is also applied after the furrow opening.

Cultivation

Although there are different practices for cane plant and ratoon, the main operations are:

• Application of industry by-products: (a) Filter cake: residue rich in carbon,

phosphorus, nitrogen, and other nutrients. Usually its application is prioritized on

25

planting (reform of sugarcane). (b) Vinasse: residue rich in organic matter,

potassium and other nutrients. It is usually applied on ratoons.

• Application of agrochemicals: herbicides are applied on the soil between the rows

to control weeds. In some cases, the use of insecticides may also be necessary. There

is a high range of agrochemicals registered for sugarcane culture.

• Fertilization: plant cane fertilization is usually performed during the planting

operation. In the ratoon it is performed through triple operation (subsoiling,

harrowing, fertilizing), or applied over the straw. There are multiple combinations of

NPK that can be used.

The main manual operations at this stage are: agricultural pests monitoring performed by

biological pest control, technological pre-analysis of sugarcane, weeds manual control.

The main inputs at this stage are: herbicide, maturator, conventional/biological chemicals,

and fertilizers (urea and NPK formulates).

Harvesting, loading and transport

The sugarcane harvesting is performed mainly in two ways:

• Manual: Manual harvesting is usually preceded by the operation of burning the

sugarcane field, which requires preparation with firebreaks and monitoring to prevent

the fire from spreading into other areas. The practice of burning before harvesting

increases the efficiency of manual cutting and reduces the risk of attacks by

venomous animals, such as snakes and spiders. The manual green cane (without pre

harvesting burning) harvesting is unusual, being used mostly in sugarcane setts. The

harvesting operation is a very intensive operation in manpower use. After cutting,

cane stalks are placed in trucks through self-propelled machine with mechanical claw

(loader).

• Mechanized: Mechanical harvesting presents a higher efficiency than manual

harvesting and it is currently used in areas with slopes up to 12%. It is an intensive

operation in machinery and fuel use in comparison to manual harvesting, but it does

not require pre harvesting burning. The loading of sugarcane harvested mechanically

is usually performed using in field transport.

26

Sugarcane transportation from the field to the industrial plant is mainly done in three

ways:

• “Romeu e Julieta”: a truck plus trailer with a loading capacity of 28 tons. It is

normally used in areas where manual harvesting is applied.

• “Treminhão”: basically a “Romeu e Julieta” set where another trailer (Julieta) is

annexed. It has an approximate loading capacity of 45 tons. It is, along with the

“Rodotrem”, normally used in areas where mechanical harvesting is applied.

• “Rodotrem”: a lorry with combination of two semi-trailers connected by a two-axle

dolly. The loading capacity in this case is of 58 tons.

Technological innovations in the sugarcane agricultural production system

No-tillage practice has been considered an alternative technique for sugarcane planting

with potential for many agronomic, economic and environmental benefits. It can promote

reduced soil tillage and lower production costs due to less agricultural operations and,

consequently, less use of machinery and fuel.

Similarly, precision agriculture is also an innovative practice in the sugarcane production

system. It has a great potential for agronomic, economic and environmental benefits for

planting and cultivation due to application of main inputs at variable rate based in the

agronomic/potential need of the plant. The development of sensors and specialized

machinery for this purpose is still a challenge to overcome.

A fundamental instrument to make available the no-tilling practice and precision

agriculture is the so called Controlled Traffic Structure (CTS, depicted in Figure 5),

innovative equipment under development at CTBE. The general concept of CTS is to

minimize the area used for tires; storage and transport harvested cane out of field;

simultaneously harvest sugarcane in two lines; significantly reduce crop losses; minimize

machinery weight; reduce materials and energy consumption and use national

standardized commercially parts.

27

Figure 5. Illustration of the Controlled Traffic Structure.

Another important innovation that has been discussed in the sugarcane sector is the use of

trash (sugarcane leaves and tops) resulting from mechanical harvesting (without pre

harvesting burning) for energy purposes. The amount of trash that can be removed from

the field and used at the sugarcane mill, without compromising its agronomic function

(maintenance of moisture, maintaining the physical aspects of soil, nutrient recycling,

among others) as well as its best collection procedure (including its technology,

machinery and logistics) need further research. These important issues are also included

in the strategic objectives of CTBE.

3.1.2 Canasoft Model

Computer simulation platforms are recognized to be powerful tools to simulate, predict

and calculate mass and energy balances in industrial processes. However, there is no

similar instrument, readily available, for evaluation of agricultural production systems due

to its complexity, specificity, variability, interaction with environment and other inherent

characteristics of agricultural systems.

To overcome this lack, which in fact represents a challenge, a computational model, so

called Canasoft Model, has been developed at CTBE for simulation and measurement of

important agricultural parameters for technical and sustainability assessment of

28

agricultural practices in the sugarcane production system. The framework used for

development of the Canasoft Model is presented in Figure 6.

Figure 6. Canasoft Model scheme.

In this model, the first interface contains the main parameters that define the sugarcane

production scenario such as: yield, type of planting, type of harvesting, use of fertilizers,

among others factors. These parameters are considered for the Life Cycle Assessment

Inventory calculation and also for the economic assessment. Both economic and

inventory calculation are linked to the Agricultural Machinery Databank which involves

the information about all machinery used in the sugarcane production such as weights,

costs, annual use, life span and depreciation, among others. The sugarcane production

cost is calculated in the economic analysis spreadsheet. The agricultural life cycle

inventory generated by Canasoft Model is ready to be linked to a LCA-tool such as

SimaPro or other software.

The Canasoft Model can be transferred to the sugarcane sector and used for strategic

analysis, improvement programs and optimal utilization of inputs and natural resources.

These aspects bring positive implications on productivity gains, profitability and

competitiveness for the sugarcane industry in the short and long term. This quantitative

29

assessment of sustainability indicators for alternative sugarcane biorefineries can also

support new initiatives to add value and remuneration of this activity due to

environmental benefits (positive externalities) that may be produced or public policy for

valuation of carbon credits through a Clean Development Mechanism.

3.1.3 Agricultural databank and validation process

The Agricultural Databank is the database that contains all the information about the

sugarcane agricultural production process. This information includes the inputs and

outputs of different sugarcane production processes under several management conditions

in different regions of Brazil.

In the first step most of the information was collected from literature and provided by

specialists. In a second stage this information will be complemented and validated with

data from several sugarcane mills in Brazil operating under several management practices

in different regions.

It is important to mention that this validation process has already started for the industrial

data and it is expected that in the next year it will be possible to have a portfolio of

sugarcane mills to validate the Agricultural Databank. Furthermore, it will be possible to

count with EMBRAPA’s collaboration for the validation of sugarcane production data.

This collaboration will provide some biophysical, economic and environmental models to

the sugarcane agricultural production stage and will assist the validation of the data used

in the Canasoft Model.

The information about different practices will be organized in different groups

characterizing different technological, geographical and historical scenarios. These data

will be collected considering uncertainty, representativeness and consistency.

The main information of the sugarcane agricultural stage to be collected in the

Agricultural Databank and/or validated is listed below:

• Sugarcane yield;

• Sugarcane quality (sugar and fiber content);

• Number of cuts (crop season);

• Type and main inputs and outputs for the rotation culture (e.g. soybean, peanuts);

30

• Type and main inputs for sugarcane culture: fertilizers, limestone, agrichemicals,

others;

• Type and main outputs for sugarcane culture: sugarcane stalks, trash;

• Amount and use of industrial residues (vinasse, ashes and filter cake mud) that are

recycled in the sugarcane field;

• Agricultural machinery and fuel consumption used for each agricultural operation;

• Fraction of sugarcane with pre-harvesting burning;

• Type and average distance for sugarcane transport from field to industry;

• Previous land use that is now occupied with sugarcane.

3.2 Sugarcane quality

The sugarcane plant is comprised by stalks, which contain most of the sugars, tops and

leaves, included in the so-called trash, as represented in Figure 7.

Figure 7. Sugarcane plant parts (Hassuani et al., 2005).

31

Sugarcane quality varies considerably according to time of planting, type of soil, climate

conditions, etc. In order to evaluate different technological alternatives sugarcane

composition must be defined. The composition of sugarcane stalks in the Virtual

Sugarcane Biorefinery was determined in order to represent values frequently found in

similar analyses, which define sugarcane stalks in terms of their fiber and sucrose (pol)

content. Some values found in the literature are shown in Table 1.

Table 1. Sugarcane fiber and sucrose content adopted by several authors.

Sugarcane fiber content (wt %)

Sugarcane sucrose content (wt %)

Reference

14.0 14.0Ensinas et al., 2007;

Ensinas, 2008

13.0 14.5 Seabra, 2008

12.9 14.0 Leal, 2005

12.7 14.2Finguerut, 2006; Macedo et

al., 2008

Data provided by Finguerut (2006) and Macedo et al. (2008) represent the average

sugarcane composition in several mills evaluated by CTC (Sugarcane Research Center) in

2005. Based on values presented on Table 1, the VSB considers fiber and sucrose

contents of 13% and 14%, respectively.

Composition of the fibers was estimated based on sugarcane bagasse composition; 50

bagasse samples, collected from mills all over the country, during different times and

stages of the harvest season, were evaluated by Rocha et al. (2010). The normalized

average results are displayed in Table 2.

Table 2. Sugarcane bagasse composition (dry basis) – normalized average values

obtained for 50 samples (Rocha et al., 2010).

Component Content (wt%)

Cellulose 43.38

Hemicellulose 25.63

Lignin 23.24

Ash 2.94

Extractives 4.82

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Extractives include a fraction of sucrose and organic acids from the sugarcane, that

remains after juice extraction in the mills.

Besides fibers and sucrose, sugarcane has several components on its structure, as

illustrated in Table 3.

Table 3. Sugarcane average chemical composition (Camargo, 1990).

Element Average content (wt%)

Water 74.50

Sugars 14.00

- Sucrose 12.50

- Glucose 0.90

- Fructose 0.60

Fibers 10.00

- Cellulose 5.50

- Lignin 2.00

- Hemicellulose 2.00

- Gums 0.50

Ash 0.50

- SiO2 0.25

- K2O 0.12

- P2O5 0.07

- CaO 0.02

- SO3 0.02

- Na2O 0.01

- MgO 0.01

- Cl Trace

- Fe2O3 Trace

Nitrogen compounds 0.4

- Amino acids (aspartic acid) 0.2

- Albuminoids 0.12

- Amides (asparagine) 0.07

- Nitric acid 0.01

- Ammonium Trace

Fats and waxes 0.20

Gums and others 0.20

Other acids 0.12

Free acids 0.80

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Most authors describe sugarcane composition in terms of soluble and total solids content,

as exemplified in Table 4.

Table 4. Sugarcane composition (Mantelatto, 2005).

Component Content (wt%)

Water 73 – 76

Total solids 24 – 27

Soluble solids 10 – 16

Fibers (dry basis) 11 – 16

Sugarcane composition in the Virtual Sugarcane Biorefinery was estimated based on data

provided in the previous tables. The composition included in the simulation is shown in

Table 5. The dirt (soil and solid residues that comes from the field) is taken into account

in the sugarcane received in the mill.

Table 5. Composition of the sugarcane adopted in the Virtual Sugarcane

Biorefinery.

ComponentContent (wt%) in the

sugarcane stalksContent (wt%) in the

sugarcane received in the mill

Organic acids 0.56 0.56

Glucose 0.60 0.60

Minerals 0.20 0.20

Salts 1.31 1.30

Phosphate 0.03 0.03

Dirt 0 0.60

Sucrose 14.00 13.92

Water 70.29 69.87

Fibers 13.00 12.92

- Cellulose 5.99 5.95

- Hemicellulose 3.54 3.52

- Lignin 3.21 3.19

- Ash 0.27 0.27

Based on estimates provided by specialists, the VSB assumes that 2/3 of the ash obtained

in sugarcane bagasse analyses are inherent to the fiber, and the remaining 1/3 is derived

from the sugarcane stalks. Sugarcane impurities are represented by minerals, salts and

organic acids, which comprise both sugarcane stalk ash and bagasse ash.

34

In addition to the components displayed in Table 5, the sugarcane plant also produces

trash; the VSB considers that 140 kg of trash (dry basis) are produced per ton of

sugarcane stalks (Seabra et al., 2010). Sugarcane trash composition was fixed as the

composition of the bagasse, except for the extractives (which were not included) and

water content (assumed as 15%).

3.3 Industrial phase – first generation

First generation ethanol production from sugarcane takes place in autonomous distilleries

or annexed plants; in the latter a fraction of the sugarcane juice is diverted for sugar

production and the remaining fraction along with the molasses (impure solution of sugars

that remains after sucrose crystallization) are used for ethanol production. Approximately

70% of the sugarcane processing units in Brazil are annexed plants (BNDES and CGEE,

2008). In the most common scenario annexed plant operates using half of sugarcane juice

for sugar production and the other half (plus molasses) is used for bioethanol production.

The flexibility of annexed plants to produce more ethanol or more sugar, depending upon

the market demands, is part of the reason for the success of bioethanol production in the

country. However, the range of operation of an installed plant is somehow limited to the

existing design restrictions and available facilities.

The sugarcane processing facility is self sufficient on its energy consumption: all the

thermal and electric energy required for the production process is produced in combined

heat and power (CHP) systems using bagasse as a fuel. If sugarcane trash is recovered

from the field, it may also be used as a fuel to produce energy.

A scheme of the sugar, ethanol and electricity production process from sugarcane is

illustrated in Figure 8. In an autonomous distillery, the unit operations related to the sugar

production (left side of Figure 8) are not included in the sugarcane mill.

35

Sugarcane

Anhydrous Ethanol

Cleaning

Extraction of sugars

Juice treatment

Juice concentration

Fermentation

Combined Heat and Power generation

Bagasse

Steam, ElectricityJuice treatment

Juice concentration

Crystallization

Drying

Sugar (VVHP)

Distillation and Rectification

Dehydration

Molasses

Trash

Hydrous Ethanol

Figure 8. Block flow diagram of the production of sugar, ethanol and electricity

from sugarcane.

3.4 Industrial phase – second generation

Second generation ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse and trash was evaluated in

the VSB both in integrated processes with conventional first generation ethanol and in

stand-alone second generation plants. Currently, it is considered that the surplus bagasse

and trash are pretreated through steam explosion, followed or not by an alkaline

delignification step. The pretreated material is sent to enzymatic hydrolysis, where

cellulose is converted to glucose. Following to pretreatment, delignification and

hydrolysis, a solid-liquid separation is performed. After pretreatment, the pentoses liquor

is obtained, which can be either biodigested or fermented to ethanol; after delignification,

the lignin solution obtained is acidified and solid lignin is recovered in another solid-

liquid separation system; after enzymatic hydrolysis, the unreacted cellulose is obtained

and sent to cogeneration, along with the lignin recovered and biogas from pentoses

biodigestion. The glucose liquor is concentrated along with the sugarcane juice (in the

36

integrated process with 1st generation) and fermented to ethanol. A block-flow diagram of

the 2nd generation ethanol production process, integrated with 1st generation, is illustrated

in Figure 9.

Sugarcane juice

Anhydrous Ethanol

Cleaning

Extraction of sugars

Juice treatment

Juice concentration

Fermentation

Distillation and Rectification

Combined Heat and Power generation

Bagasse

Steam, Electric Energy

Pretreatment HydrolysisCellulose

Unreacted solids

Glucose liquor

Sugarcane Trash

Sugarcane

Dehydration

Biodigestion

Biogas

Pentoses

Lignocellulosicmaterial

Alternative for pentoses use

Figure 9. Block-flow diagram of the integrated 1st and 2nd generation ethanol

production process from sugarcane.

3.5 Simulation using Aspen Plus

The software Aspen Plus is the most utilized process simulator in the world, with

applications in both academy and industry. This simulator includes a complete

thermodynamic package and models of several unit operations. For this reason, Aspen

Plus was employed to represent industrial sector in sugarcane processing, allowing the

evaluation of different technologies. The methodology used to insert sugarcane

processing in Aspen Plus was described in a previous work (Dias et al., 2012) and is

presented below.

37

Different scenarios were defined and simulated using software Aspen Plus. Since

components of the lignocellulosic material were not available in the software databank,

their properties were obtained from the databank for biofuels components developed by

the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) (Wooley and Putsche, 1996);

however, lignin structure was modified to represent sugarcane lignin, with molecular

formula C9O2.9H8.6(OCH3) and its enthalpy of formation was determined based on

enthalpy of combustion (27000 kJ/kg) given by Stanmore (2010), resulting in 25689

kJ/kg. Fiber components (cellulose, hemicellulose and lignin) were inserted as solids;

streams containing those components are defined as MIXCISLD streams in the

simulation, which represent streams with conventional inert solids – with no influence on

phase equilibrium – and a defined molecular weight (no particle distribution).

The simulation was implemented considering hierarchy blocks, used to provide

hierarchical structure to complex simulations. An example of the flowsheet developed to

represent the integrated first and second generation process is shown in Figure 10. Inside

each hierarchy block, the models required to represent the unit operations are included.

For instance, flowsheets of Aspen Plus are shown below for DISTILL (Figure 11) and 2G

(Figure 12) blocks.

Figure 10. Example of an Aspen Plus flowsheet for the integrated first and second

generation ethanol production process from sugarcane.

38

Figure 11. Unit operations that represent distillation step.

Figure 12. Unit operations envolved in the second generation process.

Several operations (mills, filters, settlers and adsorption column, among others) were

represented as component splitters, due to the lack of more adequate blocks in the

simulator database. In the separators, separation efficiency for each component of the

mixture was supplied in such a way that the equipment efficiency and other

characteristics of the materials, such as composition, agreed with those found in the

literature or in the industry.

39

Due to the various recycle streams present in the simulation, convergence of the process

is not easily achieved. This is a consequence of the fact that the exact amount of surplus

lignocellulosic material (stream LM in Figure 10) directed for 2G process depends on the

amount of residues (CELLULIG and PENTOSES) produced in second generation

operations (represented by the block 2G) and on the entire steam consumption of the

process, which in turn depends on the amount of hydrolyzed liquor (HYDROL) sent to

fermentation with the sugarcane juice.

A scheme of the interactions between each main block of the simulation is illustrated in

Figure 13.

Figure 13. Scheme of the interactions between each main block of the simulation of

the integrated first and second generation production process.

Thus, convergence is only achieved when the energy (as steam) required by the process is

equal to the energy produced in the cogeneration system.

Stoichiometric reactors (RStoic model) were used to represent the reactors in the process,

from liming reactions in juice treatment, through biomass pretreatment (steam explosion)

and hydrolysis (reactions 1 and 2) to fermentation of sugars (reactions 3 through 5).

(C5H8O4)n +n H2O → n C5H10O5 (1)

(C6H10O5)n+ n H2O → n C6H12O6 (2)

C12H22O11 + H2O → 2C6H12O6 (3)

C6H12O6 → 2C2H5OH + 2CO2 (4)

3C5H10O5 → 5C2H5OH + 5CO2 (5)

Reactions 1 and 2 represent hemicellulose and cellulose hydrolysis, respectively, in both

pretreatment and hydrolysis reactors (polymers were represented as their repeat unit, as

40

suggested by Wooley and Putsche (1996)). Reaction 3 represents sucrose hydrolysis in

the fermentation reactors; glucose and pentoses fermentation into ethanol are represented

by reactions 4 and 5, respectively.

The burner in the cogeneration section, where combustion of the components of the

lignocellulosic material takes place, leading to the production of steam and electricity,

was represented as a reactor as well; reactions 6 through 8 represent the combustion of the

main components (cellulose, hemicellulose and lignin, respectively) in the burner.

(C6H10O5)n + 6n O2 → 5n H2O + 6n CO2 (6)

(C5H8O4)n + 5n O2 → 4n H2O + 5n CO2 (7)

(C9O2.9H8.6(OCH3))n + 10. 95n O2 → 5.8n H2O + 10n CO2 (8)

Conversion of the combustion reactions was set as 100%; inefficiencies of the boiler were

represented as the loss of a fraction of the hot gases obtained at the burner. Sugarcane

bagasse LHV was calculated as 7.5 MJ/kg (50% moisture), and for sugarcane trash (15 %

moisture), a LHV of 14.9 MJ/kg was obtained; these values are in accordance with those

reported in the literature (Alonso Pippo et al., 2011; Seabra et al., 2010).

Biodigestion reactions were inserted in a stoichiometric reactor model as well, on which

the pentoses liquor obtained after steam explosion is used as feedstock. Reactions 9 and

10 were used to represent biodigestion of the pentoses liquor (which contains both

pentoses and glucose):

C5H10O5 → 2.5CH4 + 2.5 CO2 (9)

C6H12O6 → 3CH4 + 3CO2 (10)

Most of the water in the biogas produced in the biodigestor is removed prior to biogas

burning in the burner, which was represented as the complete combustion of methane

(and the same boiler efficiency as that for solid biomass fuels).

Distillation columns were simulated as rigorous distillation columns (Aspen Plus RadFrac

model); product purification takes place on a series of distillation and rectification

columns, representing the most common configuration of the distillation sequence in

ethanol production in Brazil (Dias et al., 2011a).

41

3.5.1 Validation process of the virtual sugarcane biorefinery for production of first

generation bioethanol

The methods used in the validation process of the VSB, producing sugar, ethanol and

electricity, are presented in this section.

Methodology

In order to perform the validation of VSB simulation in the commercial software Aspen

Plus, a mill located in the state of São Paulo, referenced here as Mill A, was chosen as a

partner for supplying the process data. This mill crushes about 4,000,000 tons of

sugarcane per season for production of crystal sugar, anhydrous and hydrated ethanol and

power cogeneration.

The unit operations in the processing of sugarcane in the chosen mill are comprised

basically by reception and cleaning of the sugarcane, cane preparation and juice

extraction, in which bagasse and juice are separated. Extracted juice is split in two

streams: primary juice (obtained in the first tandem, richer in sucrose and with less

impurities) diverted to sugar production, and the secondary juice (obtained after the first

tandem of the mill) to ethanol production. Both juices undergo physicochemical treatment

and juice clarification. Clarified juice intended for sugar production is submitted to a

multiple step evaporation to produce a concentrated syrup that is directed for

crystallization in fed batch “vacuums pans” (in a so called “two-boiling system”),

centrifugation and separation of sugar crystals from molasses; intermediate ones are

recycled back to the process and the final molasses is sent to ethanol production, while

sugar crystals are dried. The mud effluent of clarifiers (from juice treatment of both sugar

and ethanol production) is sent to filtration, producing filter cake that is recycled to

sugarcane plantation, while the filtrated juice is mixed to the juice destined to ethanol

production. The bagasse obtained in the mills is burnt in the boiler to produce steam.

The clarified juice intended for ethanol production is submitted to a partial evaporation,

cooled, mixed with final molasses from the sugar plant and directed for the fermentation

step. After fermentation, the fermented wine is sent to the centrifuges where yeast is

recovered and recycled to be used in the new fermentation step. The centrifuged wine is

then sent to a set of distillation columns (A/A1/D) for ethanol stripping and after to

rectification columns (B/B1) for ethanol enrichment. At the top of column B, hydrated

42

ethanol is obtained. A fraction of hydrated ethanol is sent to dehydration on molecular

sieves where anhydrous ethanol is produced. Carbon dioxide effluent of the fermenters is

washed in absorption columns to recover the remaining ethanol.

The data and information collected on the mill, referring to the process described, were

subjected to several validation steps as described below:

• Selection of a sugar mill partner with milling capacity greater than or equal to

2,000,000 tons per year (average milling capacity for sugar mills in Brazil);

• Collection of information about the inventory of the selected sugar mill,

comprising the unit operations of sugar, ethanol and energy production;

• Compilation of information about process through daily bulletins, files, local

instrumentation in the equipment and collection of data from various sections of

the plant stored in the supervisory system;

• Treatment of the collected data and organization of information for each month of

the harvest season to feed an Excel spreadsheet;

• Design of the process flow diagram according with the sugar mill inventory;

• Development of an Excel spreadsheet to calculate the mass balance of the process

using the data previously collected in the sugar mill to define some intermediate

flows where there is no recorded process data;

• Interactive adjustment of calculations to obtain rigorous agreement between the

values of the process and those from the Excel spreadsheet;

• Introduction of the main values from the Excel spreadsheet to be introduced in the

Aspen Plus simulator;

• Adjustment of the Aspen Plus simulations to represent accurately the inventory of

the process plant;

• Calculation of the mass and energy balance using Aspen Plus.

Results of the performed validation procedure are presented in section 4.2.5.

43

3.6. Sustainability indicators

3.6.1 Economic indicators

In order to provide a comparison among different technologies, in terms of economic

viability, some of the most used impacts in Engineering Economy, such as internal rate of

return (IRR) and products production costs, were calculated considering a set of scenarios

related to first and second generation sugarcane ethanol production. During the initial

construction of the VSB (reported in this version of the VSB) these impacts were

calculated only for the industrial process.

The principles for this evaluation are based on Engineering Economy, when a cash flow is

projected for each technological scenario to be evaluated, taking into account the

investment needed for the project and all expenses and revenues for an expected project

lifetime.

The main expenses and revenues come from technical parameters from process modeling

(using Aspen Plus) and from monetary values observed in the last decade, such as

sugarcane, ethanol and sugar prices. The basis for the monetary values related to the

investments were obtained from Dedini for a standard first generation autonomous

distillery and from data based on literature; an approximation method was used to

estimate the investments for specific parts of the process when it was necessary for new

evaluated technologies. A detailed description of the methodology employed to calculate

investment of first generation plants is provided in sections 4.2.2 of this report.

An evaluation of risk was conducted in some studies using a Monte Carlo approach,

assuming a normal distribution for the main economic parameters, such as the values of

total investment and prices of sugarcane, ethanol, electricity, enzymes and trash. As a

result of the assessments done, an electronic spreadsheet was developed and implemented

to calculate the internal rate of return (IRR) and production costs. Some of the scenarios

evaluated in 2011, their results and the adopted methodologies can be found in some

recent published papers (Dias et al., 2011b, Dias et al., 2012, Cavalett et al., 2012), as

well as on Chapter 4 of this report.

A short description of Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and production costs that have been

adopted in the economic viability assessments is presented below.

44

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the average interest rate paid per year for the project

evaluated, or, in other words, IRR is the interest rate that balances all operating profits

along the project life time with regard to the investment. This parameter is useful to be

compared with the opportunity cost of capital that an investor may consider. The

following mathematical expression (equation 1) shows how IRR is obtained (considering

a life time of 25 years):

∑=

=+

25

1

investment Total)1(

)(Profit Operating

kkIRR

k

(eq. 1)

Production cost excluding capital expenditures

In order to estimate total production cost, it is necessary to evaluate the capital cost

associated with the investment to be evaluated. This cost is related to the investor’s risk

perception, and, in this sense, depends on the nature of the project as well as the risks

associated with the country on which the project would take place. As this parameter

(capital cost) is crucial to calculate the total production cost, in 2012 a study will be done

to improve its evaluation when considering an investment in a sugarcane biorefinery in

Brazil, in particular taking into account second generation ethanol production.

For this reason, the production costs estimated with respect to the scenarios evaluated

were obtained excluding returns on total investments. There are many different

approaches to obtain these costs when an industry produce more than one product;

among then, a classical methodology is to allocate all the expenses (including capital

depreciation) proportionally with respect to each revenue of the products. Therefore, the

costs associated to the biorefinery products were estimated reducing their respective

average market prices at the same proportion until IRR reached zero.

3.6.2 Environmental indicators

In the VSB framework the environmental assessment is made by using the Life Cycle

Assessment methodology (LCA). Life Cycle Assessment is a recognized method for

determining the environmental impact of a product (or good or service) during its entire

life cycle, from extraction of raw materials through manufacturing, logistics, use and final

disposal or recycling.

45

In LCA substantially broader environmental aspects can be covered, ranging from GHG

emissions and fossil resource depletion to acidification, toxicity, water and land use

aspects, among others; hence, it is an appropriate tool for quantifying environmental

impacts of a product system. The method consists of four main steps: goal and scope

definition, inventory analysis, impact assessment and interpretation (ISO 2006a; 2006b).

Life Cycle Inventory modeling

Life cycle inventory (LCI) is the methodological step where an overview is given of the

environmental interventions (energy use, resource extraction or emission to an

environmental compartment) caused by or required for the processes within the

boundaries of the studied system.

Using the VSB framework, data used for the Life Cycle Inventory modeling are obtained

from different sources. Agricultural data are obtained from the Canasoft Model that

generates a comprehensive inventory for the agricultural sugarcane production system.

The inventories of the sugarcane industrial biorefinery alternatives are based on the mass

and energy balances calculated using computer simulation platforms (e.g. Aspen Plus).

Emission data for use of ethanol, co-products and derivates are obtained from literature,

ongoing research at CTBE and consults to specialists.

Emissions from background processes used in the sugarcane production, industrialization

and use chain can be obtained also from Swiss Center of Life Cycle Inventories

(Ecoinvent database, 2009) after a careful update to the Brazilian reality.

Life Cycle Impact Assessment – SimaPro

With the translation of the product system's environmental flows from the Life Cycle

Inventory phase (LCI) into scores that represent their impacts on environment, Life Cycle

Impact Assessment (LCIA) is essential for the interpretation of the results in relation to

the questions posed in the goal definition (Finnveden et al., 2009). The challenge of LCIA

is to evaluate the potential impact of the emitted substances by using a procedure that is

ideally simple, applicable consistently to all substances, that uses a common unit of

measure, and that gives results that are comparable between impact categories.

The software package SimaPro (PRé Consultants B.V.) and the CML 2 Baseline 2000

v2.05 method (Guineé et al., 2002) have been used as tools for the environmental impact

assessment in the VSB framework. However, it is intended in the future to use other Life

46

Cycle Impact Assessment methods to evaluate other aspects in the VSB framework such

as energy balance, water and land uses. In the CML method, the environmental impacts

are categorized into ten environmental categories: Abiotic Depletion (ADP) measured in

kg of Sbeq.; Acidification (AP) measured in kg of SO2eq.; Eutrophication (EP) measured in

kg of PO4-3

eq.; Global Warming Potential (GWP) measured in kg of CO2eq.; Ozone Layer

Depletion (ODP) measured in kg of CFC-11eq.; Human Toxicity (HTP) measured in kg of

1,4 DBeq. (dichlorobenzene); Fresh Water Aquatic Ecotoxicity FWAET) measured in kg

of 1,4 DBeq; Marine Aquatic Ecotoxicity (MAET) measured in kg of 1,4 DBeq.; Terrestrial

Ecotoxicity (TET) measured in kg of 1,4 DBeq.; and Photochemical Oxidation (POP)

measured in kg of C2H4eq.

3.6.3 Social indicators

Social indicators are one of the three pillars of sustainability. However, social issues are

quite qualitative and, therefore, more difficult to be measured and used for scenario

comparison. Some social indicators such as direct and indirect job creation, wages and

other socioeconomic aspects will be evaluated using the Input-Output Analysis in the

VSB framework. Up to this stage of the development, the social indicators were not

considered in the assessment.

47

4. Results

In this section the main results obtained so far (up to 2011) with the VSB are presented in

details.

4.1 Sugarcane agricultural phase

These results are from the first assessments of different sugarcane production scenarios

using the VSB framework. The study concerned different technologies for sugarcane

planting and harvesting that are currently used in Brazil with focus on changes in

mechanization. Economic and environmental analyses were performed using the Canasoft

Model for detailing all operations used in the three sugarcane production scenarios

evaluated. The Canasoft Model allowed characterization and quantification of all the

inputs such as fertilizers, machinery, diesel, manpower, among others; and outputs such

as products and emissions. The model calculates and organizes the information producing

complete inventories for economic and environmental assessment. The basic information

required to conduct this study was obtained through literature, internet and personal

communication, being organized in different scenarios after a careful analysis of its

representativeness. Results were then used to identify the processes with critical

environmental and economic impacts and, therefore, pointed out as focus for further

research on technological development.

4.1.1 Scenarios description

In this study it was considered that the sugarcane production takes five harvesting seasons

per cycle, with distinct potential yield for each harvest. Scenario 1 represents the

production system where the planting of sugarcane is semi-mechanized (which involves

manual operations such as harvesting of sugarcane setts, setts distribution and chopping

of stalks; and mechanical operations such as opening and closing furrow) and manual

harvesting with the previous burning of the sugarcane trash. This production system has

been abandoned in recent years, mainly due to a state mandate and a voluntary protocol to

control and phase out pre-harvesting burning in São Paulo State.

48

Nowadays several production units are adopting mechanical harvesting, with significant

changes in the production system. This situation is evaluated in Scenario 2. In this case

planting is also semi-mechanized, but the harvest is done mechanically without pre-

harvesting burning.

Scenario 3 represents the most modern sugarcane production system employed in the

industry, where both planting and harvesting are done mechanically, without pre-

harvesting burning, with effective decrease in labor use.

4.1.2 Environmental assessment

The environmental assessment is performed using the Life Cycle Assessment. Some

environmental indicators from CML Life Cycle Impact Assessment method were selected

for this evaluation (Guineé et al., 2002). Figure 14 shows the relative environmental

impacts of different scenarios of sugarcane production. Environmental impact assessment

results showed that options with higher level of mechanization (Scenarios 2 and 3)

showed better results in the global warming and photochemical oxidation indicators in

comparison to the scenario with manual planting and harvesting (Scenario 1). This is due

to elimination of the pre-harvesting burning operation of sugarcane, which significantly

reduces emissions of greenhouse gases (CO2, N2O and CH4) in Scenarios 2 and 3. In the

other environmental impact indicators (abiotic depletion, acidification, eutrophication,

ozone layer depletion and ecotoxicities) it was not possible to observe significant

differences between evaluated scenarios. However, Scenario 1 presented slightly better

results than scenarios with higher mechanization level (Scenarios 2 and 3) because lower

inputs are required for manual harvesting and planting.

Results show that gradual change presented in recent years by the sugarcane production

system has positive impacts on an environmental standpoint. However, they can and

should be maximized because there are many bottlenecks to be solved such as: reduce

tillage in mechanical operations, increase quality of sugarcane setts in mechanical

planting, reduction of soil compactation, and increase the amount of agricultural residues

that are available to be used in the industrial process for energy production, among others.

All these challenges are included in the scientific agenda of CTBE in order to maximize

the sustainability of sugarcane production and industrialization in Brazil.

49

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

ADP AP EP GWP ODP TET POP

Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

Figure 14. Relative environmental impacts of different scenarios of sugarcane

production.

Note: ADP: Abiotic Depletion; AP: Acidification; EP: Eutrophication; GWP: Global Warming; ODP:

Ozone Layer Depletion; TET: Terrestrial Ecotoxicity; POP: Photochemical Oxidation.

4.1.3 Economic assessment

The breakdown of sugarcane production costs are presented in Table 6, in which values

for each sugarcane production stage according to the three proposed scenarios are shown,

considering the average of five harvesting seasons. These costs are distributed according

to the main stages of the production system.

The average total cost (considering weighted average of five harvests) calculated in this

work is 22.45 US$/TC in Scenario 1; 22.55 US$/TC in Scenario 2; and 22.90 US$/TC in

Scenario 3. It is possible to notice increasing production costs with increasing

mechanization level. Additionally, manual operations in Scenario 1 corresponded to

33.9% of the total production cost, whereas in Scenarios 2 and 3 these figures were only

7.5% and 3.1%, respectively. Therefore, there is no doubt that manual harvesting is the

operation that requires more manpower (also overcoming the planting) since in Scenario 2

manual operations accounted for a significant smaller fraction of the total costs than in

Scenario 1.

Table 6. Sugarcane production costs for the different sugarcane production

scenarios (values in US$/ha).

50

Operation Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

Pre planting 17.77 17.76 17.76

Correction of soil 25.23 25.23 25.23

Adapt the use of land 1.54 1.54 1.54

Soil preparation 29.57 29.57 29.57

Semi mechanized planting 286.53 286.53 0.00

Mechanized planting 0.00 0.00 285.15

Plant cane cultivation 37.28 37.28 37.28

Ratoon sugarcane cultivation 310.23 293.99 293.99

Manual harvesting 365.51 0.00 0.00

Mechanized harvesting 0.00 337.36 331.44

Sugarcane transportation 261.76 313.92 313.92

Land cost 435.25 435.25 435.25

Total cost 1770.68 1778.45 1771.15

Taxes (2.5% income) 84.13 84.13 84.13

Total cost 1854.82 1862.59 1855.28

Total cost (US$/TC) 22.45 22.55 22.90

Price paid per ATR (US$/kg) a 0.28 0.28 0.28

Income 3365.34 3365.34 3365.34

Profit 1510.57 1502.75 1510.05

2010 Exchange rate: US$ 1.00 = R$ 1.76

a Average price paid by sugarcane industry in 2010 per kilogram of total recoverable sugars (ATR) in sugarcane stalks (Consecana, 2011)

On the other hand, mechanized operations costs represented 25.6% of the total production

costs in Scenario 1, 51.3% in Scenario 2 and 54.1% in Scenario 3. These values indicate

that harvesting and loading are the operations that require greatest amount of economic

resources among all the mechanized operations in the sugarcane production system.

Regarding raw materials use, they accounted for 40.5% of the total production costs in

Scenario 1, 41.2% in Scenario 2 and 42.8% in Scenario 3. This difference can be

explained by the higher amount of sugarcane setts required in mechanized planting, due to

the fact that the quality of the seed stalks is severely affected by the damage caused by the

mechanical operation, compromising the sugarcane bud. When using mechanical

planting, up to ten more tons of seedlings are required per hectare to ensure a good

number of plants per unit of area. When the semi-mechanized planting is used about 12

tons of sugarcane setts are required per hectare. This indicates the importance of more

studies to improve quality of mechanized planting and to reduce costs of this operation.

51

4.2 Industrial phase - First generation

Production of sugar, ethanol and electricity from sugarcane in a first generation plant

follows the main steps illustrated in Figure 8. However, minor variations may be found

among mills. Thus, it was necessary to define a basic configuration for the process, as

well as the main operating and process parameters. These are described below, for an

annexed plant.

4.2.1 Main parameters of the sugarcane processing facility

In the VSB, the sugarcane processing facility processes 500 metric tons of sugarcane (TC)

per hour, during 167 days/year, yielding 2 million TC/year. Different configurations were

analyzed in the VSB; the main parameters adopted in the simulations are described in the

following sections.

4.2.1.1 Sugarcane reception and cleaning

Upon reception in the factory, sugarcane must be cleaned to remove most of the dirt

carried along from the field. Sugarcane cleaning is usually carried out using wash water,

which is recycled to the cleaning process after removal of dirt and other impurities. The

main parameters employed in the simulation of sugarcane cleaning are shown in Table 7.

In the simulation, the amount of sugar lost when washing the whole sugarcane was

calculated as 25% of the losses for the mechanically harvested sugarcane washing (3.2

kg/TC) as observed by Birkett and Stein (2004) apud Rein (2007). However, usually no

washing is carried out on mechanically harvested (chopped) sugarcane due to the high

sugar losses that would occur.

Table 7. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the sugarcane cleaning.

Parameter Value Reference

Average flow of sugarcane wash water 2.2 m³/TC Elia Neto, 2009

Efficiency of dirt removal in sugarcane washing 90 %BNDES and CGEE,

2008

Sugar losses when washing whole sugarcane 0.8 kg/TCBirkett and Stein, 2004

apud Rein, 2007

Average amount of water dragged with sugarcane during washing

7.5 t/100 TCBirkett and Stein, 2004

apud Rein, 2007

52

Efficiency of solids removal during wash-water treatment

99 %

Mantelatto, 2010Water losses during wash-water treatment 2.5 %

Lime added in wash-water treatment 100 g/m³

Flocculant added in wash-water treatment 2 ppm

4.2.1.2 Sugarcane preparation and sugar extraction

After cleaning, sugarcane is fed to the cane preparation system, on which a series of

equipment (shredder, hammers, etc.) are used to cut open the sugarcane structure and

enhance sugar extraction in the following operation. Since in this step only physical

changes to the sugarcane structure occur, it was not represented in the simulation, only its

power requirement was included. After preparation, sugarcane passes over a magnet that

removes eventual metallic particles dragged along prior to entering the mills.

Sugar extraction, actually juice extraction, is usually done using crushing mills, where

sugarcane juice and bagasse are separated. Water at a rate of 28 wt% of the sugarcane

flow (imbibition water), is used to improve sugars recovery. Sugarcane juice contains

water, sucrose and reducing sugars, besides impurities such as minerals, salts, organic

acids, dirt and fiber particles, which must be removed prior to fermentation. A rotary

screen is used to remove solid particles (mostly fibers) from the juice; the fibers obtained

in this screen return to the mills for further recovery of sugars, while the juice is sent to

juice treatment. The main parameters adopted in the simulation of the sugar extraction

system are shown in Table 8.

Table 8. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the sugarcane extraction.

Parameter Value Reference

Amount of imbibition water (related to amount of sugarcane)

28 % Pedra Mill, 2006

Temperature of imbibition water 50 °C Ensinas, 2008

Efficiency of sugar extraction in the mills 96 % Walter et al., 2008

Fraction of bagasse in the juice 0.55 % Copersucar, 1987

Efficiency of dirt and bagasse removal in the screen 65 % Mantelatto, 2010

53

4.2.1.3 Juice treatment

Following extraction, juice receives a chemical treatment to remove other impurities. This

process consists of juice heating from 30 to 70 ºC, addition of phosphoric acid and lime

and a second heating operation, up to 105 ºC. Hot juice is flashed to remove dissolved air

and after addition of a flocculant polymer, impurities are removed in a settler, where mud

and clarified juice are obtained. A filter is used to recover some of the sugars carried

along with the mud, and the separated solids are recycled to the process prior to the

second heating operation; bagasse fines (bagacillo) and wash water are used in the filter to

improve recovery of sugars. The clarified juice is fed to the screens to remove solid

particles that were not removed in the clarifier.

Clarified juice contains around 15 wt% solids; clarified juice destined for sugar

production is concentrated on a 5-stage multiple effect evaporator (MEE) up to 65 wt%

solids. In the annexed distillery, a fraction of the syrup, as well as final molasses, are used

to concentrate the clarified juice destined for ethanol production up to around 22 wt%

solids, which is cooled and fed into the fermenters.

The main parameters adopted in the simulation of the juice treatment operations are

shown in Table 9.

54

Table 9. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the juice treatment

operations.

Parameter Value Reference

Temperature – first juice heating 70 °C Mantelatto, 2009

Phosphate content of the juice after phosphoric acid addition

250 ppm

Mantelatto, 2010Phosphoric acid concentration 85%

Amount of lime added in liming 1.0 kg CaO/TC

Density of Ca(OH)2 added in liming 6 °Bé Copersucar, 1987

Temperature – second juice heating 105 °C Copersucar, 1989

Amount of flocculant polymer 2.5 g/TC Pedra Mill, 2006

Polymer solution concentration 0.1/0.05 % Mantelatto, 2010

Loss of reducing sugars by decomposition in the mud

1.0 % Hugot, 1986

Efficiency of settling of insoluble solids 99.7%

Mantelatto, 2010

Solids concentration in the mud 8-12%

Clarified juice temperature 98 °C

Amount of filter cake produced 35-40 kg/TC

Temperature – filter wash water 90 °C

Rotary filter solids retention 65%

Filter cake pol content 1.5 %

Filter cake moisture content 65 %

Amount of wash water related to filter cake 150 %Mantelatto, 2009

Bagasse fines added in the filter 0.6 t/100 TC

Efficiency of removal of insoluble solids in the clarified juice screen

65%

Mantelatto, 2010Concentration of insoluble solids in the impurities retained in the screens

30%

Number of effects in the multiple effect evaporation

5

Syrup soluble solids content 65 %

4.2.1.4 Sugar production

The sucrose present in the syrup as sugar crystals is separated from the solution in

equipments called vacuum pans and crystallizers, usually operated under vacuum and in

fed batch mode. The syrup is fed into the vacuum pans, where water is removed in a

similar way as in the evaporators. The mixture of sugar crystals and molasses (liquid part)

inside the equipment is called massecuite. When the amount of material reaches the limit

55

of the vacuum pan (at the end of a batch), the massecuite is transferred to crystallizers

and, after an appropriate residence time, it is sent to centrifuges that separate the crystals

and the molasses. It is possible to exhaust more the molasses (recuperating more sugar)

repeating the process one or two more times.

It was assumed that crystals were separated using the two-boiling system approach, where

two types of sugar are produced: the grade “A” sugar (final product) and the grade “B”

sugar (intermediate sugar that is produced and recycled inside the process as “B” Magma,

a solid-liquid stream rich in sugar crystals). The final sugar is dried in a rotary dryer and

cooled before shipment. In the simulation it was reproduced the two-boiling system

configuration, but the processing mode was considered as continuous, that is, several

vacuum pans were represented as only one piece of equipment able to process the proper

amount of syrup. The main parameters and conditions of the crystallization process are

shown in Table 10, while parameters of the drying are displayed in Table 11.

Table 10. Parameters of the sugar crystallization process.

Parameter Value Reference

Brix of the “A” sugar 99.0 Ribeiro, 2003

Purity of the “A” sugar (VVHP)a 99.6 % Bazico, 2010

“A” molasses (after centrifugation/dilution) 78.0 Mantelatto, 2010

Purity of “A” molasses (after centrif./dilution) 69.0 % Ribeiro, 2003

Brix of the “B” sugar 98.0 Ribeiro, 2003

Purity of the “B” sugar 88.0 % Camargo, 1990

Brix of the massecuite “B” 92.0

Mantelatto, 2010Sugar overall recovery (as “A” sugar) 76.5%

Washing water temperature (at centrifuges) 110 °C

Brix of the “B” magma 90.0 % Getaz, 1995

Washing water / sugar ratio in the centrifuges 0.0923 kg/kg CTC, 2009 a VVHP: very very high polarization

56

Table 11. Parameters of the sugar drying.

Parameter Value Reference

Hot air temperature 100 °C Camargo, 1990

Humidity of the inlet air 1.9 % (dry basis) Camargo, 1990

Moisture content of the dry sugar 0.1 % (VVHP) Bazico, 2010

Humidity of the outlet air 3.6 % (dry basis) Camargo, 1990

Cooling air temperature 30 °C

Mantelatto, 2010

Temperature of the outlet sugar 35 °C

Sugar dust in the outlet air 0.8 %

Sugar recovered from the outlet air (via scrubber)

99.5 %

Brix of the scrubber outlet stream 3.0

4.2.1.5 Fermentation

A fed-batch fermentation process with cell recycle was assumed. In this process yeast

cells in a solution are fed to the fermenters, followed by the juice. During fermentation,

gases released in the fermenters are collected and sent to an absorption column where the

entrained ethanol is recovered using water. After fermentation reactions cease, the wine is

sent to the centrifuges, where cells are separated from the ethanol solution. Cells obtained

in the centrifuges are treated in a separate reactor by addition of sulphuric acid and water,

to decrease bacterial contamination. After this treatment, the cells are recycled to be used

in another batch. Wine is mixed with the alcoholic solution obtained in the absorption

process and sent to purification. The main parameters adopted in the simulation of the

fermentation process are shown in Table 12.

57

Table 12. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the fermentation process.

Parameter Value Reference

Fraction of the reactor fed with yeast solution 25 %

Pedra Mill, 2006Concentration of cells in the yeast solution (wet basis) 30 %

Fermentation temperature 33 °C

Conversion of sugars to ethanol a

89.5 %

Mantelatto, 2010

Formation of by-products related to ethanol – glycerol 6.33 %

Formation of by-products related to ethanol – acids 3.56 %

Formation of by-products related to ethanol – yeast 5.85 %

Residual sugars related to ethanol produced 0.25 %

Ethanol content of the alcoholic solution obtained after ethanol recovery in the absorption column

3 %

Efficiency of solids retention in the centrifuges 99 %

Ethanol content in the wine fed to the distillation columns 8.5 °GL

Ethanol content of the yeast concentrated solution obtained in the centrifuges

6.5 %

Concentration of cells in the yeast concentrated solution (wet basis)

70 % Pedra Mill, 2006

Sulphuric acid addition in yeast treatment (on 100% basis) 5 kg/m³ ethanol

Rossell, 2011

a In the autonomous distillery, fermentation yields (conversion of sugar to ethanol) is higher and equal to 90%.

4.2.1.6 Distillation

Wine is sent to a series of distillation and rectification columns, producing hydrated

ethanol (HE). Distillation columns are comprised by two set of columns A, A1 and D, and

rectification columns by columns B1 and B, each located one above the other. Wine is

pre-heated in the condenser of column B (heat exchanger E) and by exchanging heat with

the bottom of column A (heat exchanger K) before being fed into the top of column A1.

Ethanol-rich streams (phlegm) are obtained on top of column A and on bottom of column

D, then fed to column B-B1. Vinasse is produced in the bottom of column A, while 2nd

58

grade ethanol is obtained from the top of column D. Hydrated ethanol is produced on top

of column B and nearly pure water (phlegmasse) is obtained on the bottom of column B1,

as represented in Figure 15.

Figure 15. Simplified scheme of the distillation columns.

Fusel oil, containing most of the higher alcohols, is obtained as a side withdrawal in

column B.

The main parameters adopted in the simulation of the distillation columns are shown in

Table 13.

Table 13. Main parameters adopted in the simulation of the distillation columns.

Parameter Value Reference

Number of stages – column A 20

Mantelatto, 2010Number of stages – column A1 8

Number of stages – column D 6

Number of stages – column B-B1 60

Vinasse ethanol content 0.02 % (v/v) Meirelles, 2006

Phlegm ethanol content (vapor and liquid) 45 a 50 °GLMantelatto, 2010

Phlegmasse ethanol content 0.005 % (v/v)

Amount of fusel oil per ethanol produced 0.2 % (v/v) Garcia, 2008

59

Hydrated ethanol purity 93 % (w/w)

Mantelatto, 2010Steam consumption – column A 1.7 kg/L AEHC

Steam consumption – column B-B1 0.9 kg/L AEHC

4.2.1.7 Dehydration

Simulation of the dehydration process for anhydrous ethanol (AE) production in the VSB

was carried out considering azeotropic distillation with cyclohexane or adsorption on

molecular sieves. Both processes were represented mainly in terms of steam

consumption; for azeotropic distillation, although a rigorous simulation was carried out,

the calculated steam consumption was used in the simulation of the whole process

because the convergence of azeotropic distillation process is not easily achieved in the

simulator. Parameters of the dehydration processes evaluated in the VSB are shown in

Table 14.

Table 14. Main parameters of the dehydration processes evaluated in the VSB

Parameter Value Reference

Azeotropic distillation – azeotropic column number of stages

31

Junqueira, 2010Azeotropic distillation – settler temperature 50 °C

Azeotropic distillation – recovery column number of stages

25

Azeotropic distillation – steam consumption 1.9 kg/L AE VSB result

Adsorption – number of beds 3 Pedra Mill, 2006

Adsorption – HE feed temperature 150 °C

Adsorption – steam consumption 0.6 kg/L AEMeirelles, 2006

Adsorption – steam pressure 6 bar

Adsorption – ethanol recovered in AE 81.4% Mantelatto, 2010

4.2.1.8 Cogeneration

Simulations in the VSB considered different cogeneration systems; for “basic” plants,

systems for the production of 22 bar steam were assumed, while for optimized distilleries

boilers for the production of 65 or 90 bar steam were included. In some scenarios,

condensing steam turbines were considered as well. Direct (steam) or electrified drivers

were considered for crushing mills and other equipments. The main parameters of these

systems are shown in Table 15.

60

Table 15. Main parameters of the cogeneration system.

Parameter Value Reference

22 bar boiler efficiency (“basic”, LHV basis) 75 % Mantelatto, 2010Gases outlet temperature 170 °C

Steam temperature - 22 bar boiler 300 °C Seabra, 2008

Turbine isentropic efficiency – high pressure 72 %

Ensinas, 2008

Turbine isentropic efficiency – intermediate pressure 81 %

Direct drives isentropic efficiency 55 %

Generator efficiency 98 %

Condensing steam turbine efficiency 70 %

Electric energy demand of the process (with direct drivers)

12 kWh/TC

Mechanical energy demand of the process (with direct drivers)

16 kWh/TC

Electric energy demand of the process (with electric drivers)

30 kWh/TC Seabra, 2008

Process steam pressure 2.5 bar Ensinas, 2008

Condensing pressure 0.11 bar Seabra, 2008

Deaerator pressure 1.4 bar Lamonica, 2010

Deaerator temperature 105 °C Prieto, 2003

Condensate losses 5 %Seabra, 2008

Fraction of bagasse for start-ups of the plant 5 %

90 bar boiler efficiency – LHV basis 87 %Mantelatto,

201090 bar steam temperature 520 °C

Gases outlet temperature 160 °C

4.2.2 Investment data

This topic describes the data and assumptions used to develop the investment estimates

for the first generation production plant. The main sources of information were Dedini

(2009), and some recent literature (Sousa and Macedo, 2010).

Data from Dedini (autonomous distillery)

According to Dedini (2009), a preliminary estimate of the investment in an autonomous

distillery could be based on the value of R$ 150 per ton of processed sugarcane (TC)

61

during the season (2009 values). Thus, for a distillery that processes 2,000,000 TC per

season the investment would be R$ 300 million. At the time of this assessment, the same

kind of estimate was not provided for the annexed distillery case.

According to Dedini, this autonomous distillery uses boilers for the production of 21 bar

steam and the process to produce anhydrous ethanol is based on azeotropic distillation

using cyclohexane.

Table 16 shows the distribution of the investment among the different areas of the plant.

Table 16. Distribution of investment of an autonomous distillery (Dedini, 2009).

Area of the process Fraction (%)

Sugarcane reception, preparation and juice extraction 15

Treatment and concentration of juice, fermentation, distillation and storage of ethanol

17

Steam generation, electricity and industrial power system 30

Buildings, industrial laboratories, maintenance workshop, water treatment

5

Control and automation systems, thermal insulation, process interconnections

7

Products transportation and packing 3

Civil works, mechanical assembly 20

Spare parts, supervision, commissioning, project management, engineering, general services, etc.

3

In order to take into account alternative technologies and improvements on the base plant

(distillery processing 2 million TC/year, R$ 300 million - 2009 price), the following

figures represent the necessary increase of investment (Dedini, 2009):

• Increase of 30% in the item “Steam generation, electricity and industrial power

system” when 65 bar boilers are used;

• Increase of 40% in the item “Steam generation, electricity and industrial power

system” when 90 bar boilers are used;

• Increase of 40% in the item “Treatment and concentration of juice, fermentation,

distillation and storage of ethanol” when, instead of azeotropic distillation,

molecular sieves are used to produce anhydrous ethanol.

62

Data from literature (annexed and autonomous distillery)

The bibliographic source consulted to get information about the required investment to

build sugarcane processing plants producing sugar in addition to ethanol was the book

published by UNICA in 2010 (Sousa and Macedo, 2010). In this book the estimate of

investment for the two kinds of processing facilities, sugar mills with annexed distilleries

and autonomous distilleries, are presented. This estimation is based on investment data

gathered from 29 mills/distilleries which started operation on 2008. Of the 29 units, 25

were autonomous distilleries (15 had crushing capacity of 1.5 million tons of sugarcane

and 10 had crushing capacity of 3 million tons) and 4 were sugar mills that produced

sugar and ethanol (3 had crushing capacity of 1.5 million tons and one had crushing

capacity of 3 million tons). The data were compiled by the company Markestrat based on

information from the engineering company Procknor. The data provided for the

autonomous distillery is quite close to that provided by Dedini, so the VSB assumes that

the data available for the annexed plant is suitable as well.

According to UNICA (Sousa and Macedo, 2010), the annexed plant has an investment of

US$ 85/TC, which, considering the average 2009 exchange rate of US$ 1 = R$ 2, leads to

R$ 170/TC. The autonomous distillery has a lower investment (US$ 75/TC). UNICA also

provided estimates for the fraction of the investment in the different sectors of the plants,

as shown in Table 17.

Table 17. Fraction of investment of a mill/distillery (Sousa and Macedo, 2010).

Item Fraction of total investment (%)

Equipment 60

Electromechanical set-up 7

Civil works 13

Electrical installations 8

Instrumentation/Automation 2

Engineering, services, thermal insulation and painting 10

The investment in equipments differs for mills with annexed plants and autonomous

distilleries, as shown in Table 18.

The data provided by UNICA was based on data of sugarcane processing facilities that

began operation in 2008. Due to the lack of more detailed descriptions about these

63

facilities, several assumptions were made when estimating the investment using the VSB.

Some of them are listed in Table 19.

Table 18. Investment in equipment for annexed and autonomous distilleries (Sousa

and Macedo, 2010).

Equipment

Fraction of equipment investment (%)

Mill & distillery

Autonomous plant

Steam generation system 25 20

Reception /Extraction system 20 25

Distillery 15 30

Sugar factory 15 0

Turbines, electricity generators 10 10

Other equipment 15 15

Table 19. Assumptions made for investment calculations in the VSB.

Parameter Value

Steam consumption – annexed distillery 550 kg/TC

Steam consumption – autonomous distillery 500 kg/TC

Fraction of juice diverted to sugar production – annexed distillery 50%

Days of operation 167 days/year

The impact of capacity changes was evaluated using equation 2:

6.0

1

212

=

Capacity

CapacityCostCost (eq. 2)

For instance, this equation was used to estimate changes on the investment in the

cogeneration system as a function of steam production in the boilers.

When a reduction on process steam consumption was assumed in the optimized scenarios,

due to thermal integration between process streams, the cost of a heat exchanger network

for energy integration was assumed: an increase of 10% in the item that includes the

distillation was considered and, for the mills, in the item that includes the sugar

production too.

When selling of surplus electricity was considered, it was assumed that the surplus energy

produced by the industrial plant would be conducted by a 40 km transmission line to a

64

nearby substation of the grid at a cost of R$ 480,000/km (Clemente, 2010), that is, an

overall investment on transmission lines of R$ 19.2 million.

Investment estimates for some scenarios

In order to exemplify the approach to estimate the investment, the methodology will be

used in the following four scenarios: annexed distillery with “basic” (I) and optimized (II)

technology, and autonomous distillery with “basic” (III) and optimized technology (IV).

More details of these scenarios are shown in Table 20.

For the mill with annexed plant, the processed juice was divided equally between sugar

and ethanol production.

Table 20. Main features of the scenarios.

Characteristics Scenario

I II III IV

First generation ethanol production X X X X

50% of the juice diverted to sugar production X X

22 bar boilers X X

90 bar boilers X X

Selling of surplus electricity X X

Dehydration of ethanol via azeotropic distillation X X

Dehydration of ethanol via molecular sieves X X

Heat exchanger network X X

50% of trash used X X

Table 21 shows the distribution of investment for plants with the same technology of

basic scenarios I and III, based on data from Sousa and Macedo (2010), for a crushing

capacity of 2,000,000 TC/season.

65

Table 21. Investment for basic scenarios, based on Sousa and Macedo (2010).

Item Investment (million R$)

Basic annexed distillery

Basic autonomous distillery

Steam generation system 51 36

Reception /Extraction system 41 45

Distillery 31 54

Sugar factory 31 0

Turbines/electricity generators 20 18

Other equipments 31 27

Electromechanical assembly 24 21

Civil works 44 39

Electrical installations 27 24

Instrumentation/Automation 7 6

Engineering services, thermal insulation and painting

34 30

Total (R$) 340 300

The steam production for each scenario (displayed in Table 22), was calculated by means

of simulations using Aspen Plus.

Table 22. The steam production for each scenario.

Parameter I II III IV

Steam produced by the boilers (kg/TC) 466 905 451 905

Using these values, the cost of the items “Steam generation system” and

“Turbines/electricity generators” were related to the steam production. Moreover, it was

considered, for scenarios II and IV, the cost with transmission lines, the 40% rise for the

item “Steam generation system” due to the 90 bar boilers; an increase of 40% for

“Distillery”, because of the molecular sieves; and the cost of the thermal integration as an

increase of 10% in the items “Distillery” and “Sugar factory”. The final resulting

investment figures are presented in Table 23.

66

67

Table 23.Investment estimate for each scenario.

Item Investment (millions of R$)

I II III IV

Steam generation system 49 102 34 72

Reception /Extraction system 41 41 45 45

Distillery 31 43 54 76

Sugar factory 31 31 0 0

Turbines/electricity generators 20 29 17 26

Other equipments 31 31 27 27

Electromechanical assembly 24 24 21 21

Civil works 44 44 39 39

Electrical installations 27 27 24 24

Instrumentation/Automation 7 7 6 6

Engineering services, thermal insulation and painting

34 34 30 30

Transmission line 0 19 0 19

Heat exchanger network 0 7 0 7

Total 337 438 297 365

In 2012 an effort will be made to progressively refine all assumptions and improve the

methodology in order to produce more accurate estimates of investment, using

appropriate cost exponents and indices. Some companies, including Dedini (equipment

manufacturer) and Procknor (engineering company), will be consulted to provide

information about plant costs (total and detailed for sectors and major equipments) and

strategies to take into account the variety of factors that affect them, e.g. type, operating

pressure, and materials of construction for the major equipments.

4.2.3 Basic and optimized plants

One of the analyses carried out in the VSB concerns the optimization of the basic

autonomous distillery, aiming at increasing electricity output. Environmental and

economic analyses were carried out to compare a “base” case, which represents the

average mill existent today in Brazil, and “optimized” annexed and autonomous

sugarcane distilleries; the annexed plant considers 50% of the juice diverted to sugar

production, and the remaining 50% along with molasses are diverted for ethanol

production. The main characteristics of both configurations are shown in Table 24.

Table 24. Main characteristics of the basic and optimized plants.

68

Parameter Base Configuration Optimized Configuration

Dehydration process Azeotropic distillation Molecular sieves

Steam consumption Value from simulation 20 % reduction

Drivers Mechanical (direct) Electric

Boilers 22 bar 90 bar

Use of trash Left in the field 50 % is used in the industry

Surplus bagasse Output (sold) Burnt for production of electricity

It is important to point out that for the studies performed using the VSB in 2011, the

values were inflation-adjusted to 2010: values for 2009 were updated to 2010 considering

the inflation rate of 5.91 % in that year. Values in R$ were converted to US$ considering

the average exchange rate of US$ 1 = R$ 1.76. The scenarios evaluated are listed in Table

25.

Table 25. Scenarios evaluated in the comparison of basic and optimized plants.

Scenarios Description

E50-B 50:50 Annexed plant with basic configuration

E100-B Autonomous distillery with basic configuration

E50 50:50 Annexed plant with optimized configuration

E100 Autonomous distillery with optimized configuration

The main technical results obtained in the simulation are shown in Figure 16.

Figure 16. Main results for basic and optimized autonomous and annexed plants.

69

The investment, estimated according with data provided by UNICA (Sousa and Macedo,

2010), and the calculated internal rate of return (IRR) are shown in Figure 17.

Figure 17. Investment and IRR of the basic and optimized autonomous and annexed

plants.

Surplus electricity is similar for optimized scenarios, due to the fact that all the bagasse

and sugarcane trash available are burnt. Investment is considerably larger for the

optimized scenarios, but gains on electricity selling leads to larger IRR values for the

optimized plants.

Figure 18 shows the comparative environmental impact scores for ethanol production in

annexed plants and autonomous distilleries, considering base and optimized scenarios.

Allocation between products is done based on their economic values. These scores give

the relative environmental impacts resulting from the LCA of ethanol production

including agricultural production process, sugarcane transport and industrial conversion

in the biorefinery. It is important to mention that differences in the agricultural process for

the different sugarcane biorefinery alternatives were considered in this study because

different amounts of residues (vinasse, ashes, and filter cake mud) are returned to the field

in each scenario and, consequently, different rates of fertilizer application, agricultural

operations and soil emissions are observed (Cavalett et al., 2012).

70

Figure 18. Comparative environmental impact scores for ethanol production in base

and optimized scenarios of annexed plants and autonomous distilleries.

Note: ADP: Abiotic depletion; AP: Acidification; EP: Eutrophication; GWP: Global warming; ODP:

Ozone layer depletion; HTP: Human toxicity; FWAET: Fresh water aquatic ecotoxicity; MAET: Marine

aquatic ecotoxicity; TET: Terrestrial ecotoxicity; POP: Photochemical oxidation

Results show that, in general, a decrease of about 25% in all ethanol production

environmental impact categories is observed in the optimized scenarios for both

autonomous and annexed plants. These figures show that the optimized technologies

evaluated in this study have a great potential to significantly decrease environmental

impacts in the sugarcane biorefinery. They also indicate the importance of applying

strategies for process integration and energy savings in the current base sugarcane

biorefineries. These results are in line with those from Chouinard-Dussault et al. (2011)

that also showed in their study that mass and energy integration can lead to reduced

greenhouse gases emissions from bioenergy production systems.

Considering only base scenarios, ethanol production in the E50-B (basic annexed plants)

presented slightly better environmental impacts in comparison to E100-B (basic

autonomous distilleries) in all the categories except in the AP and EP. This is primarily

due to the fact that more vinasse is produced per ton of sugarcane processed in an

autonomous distillery. Vinasse is normally returned to the sugarcane field for

fertirrigation. Since more vinasse is available in autonomous distilleries, less external

input of fertilizer is required and, consequently, lower impacts in the AP and EP

categories are observed. The same trend in the environmental profile is observed for the

optimized scenarios.

71

Figure 19 shows the comparative environmental impacts breakdown for ethanol

production in the E50-B. These results indicate that sugarcane production and transport

stages have very high environmental impacts in the ethanol production chain and,

consequently, the influence of different industrial alternatives is diluted and almost

negligible when the complete ethanol production chain is considered. For this reason,

environmental impacts for ethanol production considering only the industrial processing

stage are shown in Figure 20 for a better comparison of the differences in industrial

process alternatives for ethanol production.

Figure 19. Comparative environmental impacts breakdown for ethanol production

in the E50-B.

Figure 20. Comparative environmental impact scores for ethanol production in base

and optimized scenarios of annexed plants and autonomous distilleries considering

only the industrial processing stage.

72

Considering the industrial ethanol production processes separately, optimized scenarios,

in general, presented lower environmental impacts, for both annexed and autonomous

plants, in most impact categories, including important ones such as ADP, AP, GWP,

ODP, HTP and POP. However, in the categories EP, FWAET, MAET and TET industrial

optimized scenarios showed higher environmental impacts in comparison to the base

scenarios. This is mainly due to higher impacts of zeolite production used in molecular

sieves for ethanol dehydration process in optimized industrial scenarios in comparison to

production of cyclohexane used in azeotropic distillation in base industrial scenarios on

these specific categories (EP, FWAET, MAET). Both zeolite and cyclohexane were

considered only as input processes, meaning that only the impacts of production of these

materials, and not the local emission due to the use of these different materials, were

accounted for in the assessment due the system boundaries (i.e. emissions of use of

ethanol are not included in this evaluation) and lack of consistent available data for these

emissions. Local emissions of cyclohexane are recognized as an important source of

environmental impacts at the industrial site as well as its emissions as a contaminant in

the ethanol use. Once these emissions are included, results can be even better in favor to

the use of molecular sieves instead of azeotropic distillation for ethanol dehydration

process. Nevertheless, results already indicate that dehydration process using molecular

sieves can be considered an efficient optimization practice to save energy and reduce

environmental impacts of ethanol production process in most of the considered

environmental impact categories.

Comparison of ethanol production process in autonomous distillery and annexed plants

considering base and optimized scenarios indicates that annexed plants show a slightly

better environmental performance in comparison to autonomous distillery in all categories

except in GWP and ODP categories. The higher lime use in annexed plants for sugar

production is responsible for higher impacts in these two categories (GWP and ODP) in

comparison to autonomous distilleries. Higher POP impacts in autonomous distilleries in

comparison to annexed plants are related to more ethanol production in the distilleries and

consequently more ethanol losses in the distillation process. Local ethanol losses have a

strong influence in the POP category. These results indicate that controlling ethanol losses

in the distillation process deserves attention as a point for improvements, to ensure

ethanol production sustainability. In general, LCA results indicate that optimization

strategies have potential for a significant decrease in the sugarcane biorefineries

73

environmental impacts. Besides, ethanol production in annexed plants presents lower

environmental impacts in comparison to autonomous distilleries in most of the

environmental impacts categories evaluated in this study.

4.2.3.1 Average prices in 2010

In 2010, the average prices for the main sugarcane products (sugar and ethanol) in Brazil

changed considerably due to several factors, such as the increase on sugar demand,

climate issues that considerably affected sugarcane production, etc. An analysis of the

impact of changes in the prices on the IRR was carried out; the prices adopted in the

analysis are shown in Table 26.

Table 26. Prices adopted in the analysis for 2010 (CEPEA, 2011).

Product Average prices (past 10 years)

2010 average prices

Sugar (US$/kg) 0.43 0.60

Anhydrous ethanol (US$/L) 0.60 0.61

Hydrated ethanol (US$/L) 0.54 0.53

The IRR of optimized distilleries was calculated considering the 2010 prices; results are

shown in Figure 21, along with the results obtained using the average prices for the past

10 years.

Figure 21. Comparison of the IRR of optimized distilleries considering average

prices for the past 10 years and 2010 prices.

74

Sugar prices in 2010 were quite higher than the average prices for the past 10 years in

Brazil; thus, if this trend was to occur for the entire project lifetime, the annexed plant

would be much more advantageous than the autonomous distillery, contrary to the results

obtained when average prices are used.

4.2.3.2 Sensitivity analyses

Sensitivity analyses to assess the impact of changes in prices of the products (ethanol and

sugar), costs of raw materials (sugarcane and trash) and investment on the results were

carried out for both basic and optimized plants. The results considering the average prices

for the past 10 years as basis are shown in Figure 22.

Figure 22. Impact of changes in prices and costs on the IRR for basic and optimized

autonomous and annexed plants.

75

Optimized plants (scenarios E50 and E100) present smaller range of variations on the

values of the IRR when prices for feedstock (sugarcane and trash), products (ethanol and

sugar) and investment change ±25%, when compared with the base scenarios (E50-B and

E100-B). Thus, the risk is smaller for the optimized plants, which present another

advantageous product – electricity – in their portfolio.

4.2.4 Flexibility in the annexed plant

In Brazil, ethanol production is based in annexed plants, which produce both sugar and

bioethanol from sugarcane, as well as autonomous distilleries producing only ethanol.

Approximately 70% of the sugarcane processing units in Brazil are annexed plants

(BNDES and CGEE, 2008). In the most common scenario, annexed plants operate using

half of the sugarcane juice for sugar production, while the remaining half (along with

final molasses obtained from sugar production process) is used for bioethanol production.

The flexibility of annexed plants to produce more ethanol or more sugar, depending upon

the market demands, is part of the reason for the success of bioethanol production in

Brazil. However, the range of operation of an installed plant is somehow limited to the

existing design restrictions and available facilities; thus, the flexibility scaling must be

carefully defined taking into account process feasibility as well as economic and

environmental considerations. Thus, the potential advantages of the flexibility of the

design of an annexed plant where evaluated in the VSB (Cavalett et al., 2012):

simulations were carried out to represent “fixed” annexed plants with different fractions

of the sugarcane juice diverted to ethanol production (from 30% - E30 to 70% - E70),

along with a flexible plant 70:70 (meaning that sugarcane juice for ethanol production can

vary between 30-70%, depending on the relative ethanol and sugar market prices. Ethanol

and sugar production for the “fixed” plants are shown in Figure 23.

The investment of the plant and the IRR were evaluated for the annexed plants E30 to

E70, and for the flexible plant 70:70 with fixed fractions of juice destined for ethanol

production (E70, 70:70 and E30, 70:70), along with the flexible plant (Flex 70:70) which

varies its sugar and ethanol production from 30:70 to 70:30 according to the market

prices. Results are shown in Figure 24.

76

Figure 23. Ethanol and sugar production in the annexed plants with different

fractions of sugarcane juice diverted to sugar production.

Figure 24. Investment and IRR for different configurations of the annexed plants.

Thus, annexed plants with higher fractions of sugarcane juice destined for ethanol

production (E30) have larger profitability, taking into consideration the average sugar and

ethanol prices paid to the producers for the past 10 years in Brazil. The flexible plant has

about the same IRR as the fixed E50 plant but its investment is considerably larger. The

investment of the flexible plant was calculated assuming that the investment of the

distillery is that required to process 70% of the sugarcane to ethanol, and the sugar

production is equal to that required to process 70% of the sugarcane to sugar production.

In order to verify potential gains that could be obtained with the flexibility, the impacts of

changes in anhydrous ethanol and sugar prices on the IRR for both the enterprises were

evaluated (Figure 25). Results in Figure 25 show that the gains on the IRR of the flexible

77

plant (Flex 70:70) are larger for increases on ethanol and sugar prices when compared

with the fixed annexed plant (E50).

Figure 25. Impact of changes on ethanol and sugar prices on the IRR of the Flex

70:70 and E50.

It was not possible to identify significant differences between the environmental impacts

for ethanol production process in optimized annexed (E50) and flexible (Flex 70:70)

scenarios when the agricultural, sugarcane transport and industrialization inventories are

considered. More steel is required for equipment production in the flexible plant since

always 40% of the plant capacity is idle in the studied scenarios; however, as the

environmental impacts of industrial equipment production have small contribution for the

environmental impacts of the entire life cycle of ethanol (because these impacts are

diluted over the plant life span), more flexibility has little influence in these results (less

than 2% in most of environmental impacts categories). However, environmental impacts

only for the industrial processing stage are shown in Figure 26 for better comparison of

the differences in the industrial process alternatives. These results indicate that flexible

scenario presents lower environmental impact indicators for ethanol production in

comparison to the optimized fixed annexed plant (E50) scenario, except on GWP and

ODP categories where there is almost no difference. These results are related to the fact

that the flexible scenario produces more sugar than E50, because of its strategy of

economic profit optimization. It is important to notice that these results consider the

economic allocation criteria used in this assessment. If profit maximization in flexible

78

plant is obtained producing more sugar, the share of the environmental burden to sugar is

correspondingly increased in this scenario. The conclusion from the environmental point

of view is that a production strategy of taking advantage of more flexibility in annexed

plants is an interesting alternative, reducing the environmental impacts in the ethanol

production process.

Figure 26. Comparative environmental impact scores for ethanol production in E50

and Flex 70:70 considering only the industrial processing stage.

Note: ADP: Abiotic depletion; AP: Acidification; EP: Eutrophication; GWP: Global warming; ODP:

Ozone layer depletion; HTP: Human toxicity; FWAET: Fresh water aquatic ecotoxicity; MAET: Marine

aquatic ecotoxicity; TET: Terrestrial ecotoxicity; POP: Photochemical oxidation

4.2.5 Results of the validation procedure for first generation

In this item the main results of the validation of the simulation of the 1G ethanol

production, described in section 3.5.1, corresponding to the information collected in the

Mill A, that produces sugar and alcohol, are presented. The analysis was carried out

considering the month of August 2010, since the characteristics of this month, concerning

amount of rain and sugarcane quality, making it one of the best months for sugarcane

processing in this mill. presents the amount of processed sugarcane and TRS for ethanol

production and sugar and Table 28, the corresponding sugar and ethanol produced.

Table 27. Sugarcane processed in August and accumulated in season – Data from

Mill A’s bulletin.

Destination Monthly (kg) % Accumulated in the %

79

season (kg)

Crushed for sugar production 428,133,686.00 68.1% 1,989,658,089.00 63.6%

Crushed for ethanol production 200,401,074.00 31.9% 1,137,264,691.00 36.4%

Total crushed 628,534,760.00 100% 3,126,922,780.00 100%

TRS mass processed for sugar production

54,968,723.37 51.6% 227,387,397.02 49.0%

TRS mass processed for ethanol production

51,630,771.93 48.4% 236,960,635.81 51.0%

Total TRS processed 106,599,495.30 100% 464,348,032.83 100%

Table 28. Sugar and ethanol produced in August and accumulated in season – Data

from Mill A’s bulletin.

Destination Monthly % Accumulated in the season %

Ethanol 100% (L) 29,607,440.00 - 134,919,271.00 -

Ethanol as TRS (kg) 45,722,245.39 47.6% 208,353,441.43 49.1%

Sugar 100% (kg) 47,793,950.00 - 205,388,850.00 -

Sugar as TRS (kg) 50,309,304.51 52.4% 216,198,288.67 50.9%5

From the input data of sugarcane and output data of sugar and ethanol produced, both

converted to TRS basis, coupled with supplementary data contained in the bulletin and

collected in the process, it was possible to calculate the mass balance for each unit

operation. The mass balance calculations, as cited previously, initially were accomplished

using an Excel spreadsheet, and later, after adjustments, were introduced in the simulation

in Aspen Plus. i For intermediates streams, with no information available, data from the

database of CTBE, previously found in the literature or estimated by experts, were used.

These values have been corrected and analyzed repeatedly, until the best agreement

between the calculated values (generated in the simulation) and the compiled values in the

bulletin or process data was achieved. b The next tables provide some information that was

used as input in the simulations and the results obtained. Table 29 provides an example of

additional information from other sources used to complete the simulation in Aspen Plus.

In Table 30 are exemplified the settings of the distillation columns, A, A1, D, B, B1,

using only information collected in the process.

Table 29. Example of input data based on information from the database and

processes of the sugar mill for the sugar plant section.

Parameter Value Unit Reference

Pressure vacuum pan 25 in-Hg Mantelatto, 2011

80

Brix of A massecuite 91.69 °Brix

Mill A, 2010

Brix of B massecuite 91.09 °Brix

Brix of C massecuite 92.06 °Brix

Brix of A molasses 77.00 °Brix

Brix of B molasses 77.05 °Brix

Brix of C molasses 79.8 °Brix

Table 30. Sample data entered based only on information from bulletins and process

- Configuration processes of distillation section.

Configuration of A column

Parameter Value Unit

Number of stages 20

Pressure on the top 139.3 kPa

Pressure in the bottom 152.5 kPa

Stage of flegma outlet 2

Configuration of A1 column

Parameter Value Unit

Number of stages 8

Pressure on the top 136.3 kPa

Pressure in the bottom 139.3 kPa

Configuration of D column

Parameter Value Unit

Number of stages 6

Pressure on the top 133.8 kPa

Pressure in the bottom 136.3 kPa

Configuration of B, B1 columns

Parameter Value Unit

Number of stages 60

Pressure on the top 116 kPa

Pressure in the bottom 145.4

2kPa

Feed stage of vapor/liquid phlegm/ alcoholic solution 22

Stage of fusel oil output 54

Stage of hydrated alcohol output 2

Feed stage of the heavy phase recovered from fusel oil separator 22

Tables 31-37 show the comparison between results from simulation and bulletin data.

Table 31. Comparison between the results of brix, pol and moisture, obtained for the

stage of preparation and extraction of sugarcane, with the bulletin data.

81

Brix Pol Moisture

Stream Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Total Cane 0.1790 0.1790 0.00% 0.1546 0.1546 0.00% 0.6870 0.6870 0.00%

Bagasse A 0.0221 0.0221 0.00% 0.0165 0.0165 0.00% 0.5145 0.5145 0.00%

Bagasse B 0.0255 0.0255 0.15% 0.0193 0.0193 0.00% 0.5084 0.5084 0.00%

Primary juice A 0.1967 0.1944 -1.17% 0.1738 0.1743 0.29% - - -

Secondary juice A 0.1384 0.1366 -1.28% 0.1188 0.1182 -0.48% - - -

Primary juice B 0.2054 0.2031 -1.10% 0.1826 0.1831 0.28% - - -

Secondary juice B 0.1299 0.1303 0.34% 0.1119 0.1114 -0.45% - - -

Table 32. Comparison between the results of RS, TRS and fiber, obtained for the

preparation and extraction of sugarcane, and data provided in the bulletin.

RS TRS Fiber

Stream Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Total Cane 0.0058 0.0058 0.00% 0.1696 0.1685 -0.63% 0.13400.134

00.00%

Bagasse A - - - 0.0191 0.0191 0.00% 0.46340.463

40.00%

Bagasse B - - - 0.0216 0.0216 0.00% 0.46610.466

10.00%

Table 33. Comparison between the results of TRS and moisture, obtained for the

stage of juice treatment, and data provided in the bulletin.

TRS Moisture

Stream Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Clarified juice for sugar 0.1780 0.1827 2.63% - - -

Clarified juice for alcohol 0.1081 0.1084 0.32% - - -

Filter cake 0.0214 0.0215 0.40% 0.7114 0.7113 -0.01%

Table 34. Comparison between the results of brix and pol, obtained for the stage of

juice treatment, with the bulletin data.

Brix Pol

Stream Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Clarified juice for sugar 0.1834 0.1834 0.02% 0.1634 0.1684 3.05%

Clarified juice for alcohol 0.1135 0.1135 0.04% 0.0979 0.0992 1.28%

Filtered juice 0.0799 0.0796 -0.36% 0.0653 0.0666 2.00%

Filter cake - - - 0.0184 0.0184 0.08%

Table 35. Comparison between the results of brix, pol and TRS, obtained for the

stage of juice evaporation, with the bulletin data.

Brix Pol TRS

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Stream Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Pre-evaporated juice for sugar

0.2594 0.2594 0.00% 0.2312 0.2381 2.99% 0.2434 0.2583 6.13%

Pre-evaporated juice for alcohol

0.1599 0.1599 0.00% 0.1380 0.1396 1.19% - - -

Syrup 0.5623 0.5614 -0.16% 0.5038 0.5154 2.29% 0.546 0.5591 2.40%

Table 36. Comparison between the obtained results and bulletin data for must.

BRIX TRS

Stream Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Must 0.1956 0.1956 -0.01% 0.1829 0.18 -1.57%

Table 37. Comparison between the obtained results and bulletin data for CHP.

Stream Unit Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Energy produced kWh 21,437,200 21,437,200 0.00%

Energy consumed kWh 8,885,950 8,885,949 0.00%

Energy exported kWh 12,553,490 12,551,251 -0.02%

Production of 65 kgf/cm² steam kg steam/kg bagasse 2.10 2.10 0.01%

Production of 22 kgf/cm² steam kg steam/kg bagasse 1.80 1.80 0.00%

Deaerator steam kg/h 5000 5000 0.00%

In Table 38 the main results of alcohol production are compared, and from its analysis it

is possible to verify that the differences between the simulation and the bulletin data are

very small in terms of volumetric flow. The specification of these alcohols (in terms of

°INPM) is in agreement with the alcohol that is produced in Mill A, although much

information about the distillation columns process had not been provided.

Table 38. Comparison of the results obtained for the production of alcohol from the

simulation on Aspen Plus with data from the bulletin.

Stream Unit Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Hydrated ethanol m3/h 15.46 15.59 0.88%

Anhydrous ethanol m3/h 25.03 24.88 -0.63%

Absolute alcohol m3/h 39.79 40.05 0.65%

Hydrated ethanol °INPM 93.39 92.74 -0.70%

Anhydrous ethanol °INPM 99.82 99.82 0.00%

Table 39. Comparison of the results obtained for the sugar production with data

from the bulletin.

Stream Unit Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Sugar kg/h 64,441.73 66,147.12 2.65%

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Sugar 100% kg/h 64,172.92 65,641.28 2.29%

Table 40. Comparison of the results obtained for the intermediate streams in sugar

production with data from the bulletin.

Brix Pol

Stream Bulletin Aspen Deviation Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Massecuite A 0.9169 0.9169 0.00% 0.8213 0.8583 4.51%

Massecuite B 0.9109 0.9109 0.00% 0.7494 0.8064 7.61%

Massecuite C 0.9206 0.9206 0.00% 0.6856 0.6949 1.36%

Magma B 0.9023 0.9824 8.87% 0.8555 0.9392 9.79%

Magma C 0.8676 0.9327 7.50% 0.8210 0.8139 -0.86%

Molasses A 0.7700 0.7750 0.65% 0.6167 0.6658 7.96%

Molasses B 0.7705 0.7705 0.01% 0.5204 0.5816 11.77%

Final molasses 0.7980 0.7981 0.02% 0.4629 0.5200 12.34%

Sugar - - - 0.9969 0.9924 -0.46%

The main results of sugar production (Table 39, for the final products, and Table 40 for

intermediate streams) are compared, and from its analysis it is possible to verify that the

sugar flow from the simulation is in agreement with the data from the bulletin. Some

intermediate streams showed some deviations compared to the bulletin data, but these

differences can be explained by the fact that the sugar production step in the Mill A is

very complex and not many details were provided in the bulletin. Because of this lack of

data, some assumptions had to be made, so these deviations were expected and, therefore,

these results can be considered satisfactory.

On Table 41 the main yields of the mill are displayed.

Table 41. Comparison of yields calculated from the results of the simulation on

Aspen Plus with data from the bulletin.

Yield on TRS base Bulletin Aspen Deviation

Total 89.92% 91.28% 1.51%

Sugar Plant 91.49% 93.82% 2.54%

Alcohol Session 86.57% 87.11% 0.62%

Table 41 indicates that the yields calculated from simulation results were very similar to

those given in the bulletin, but presenting a positive deviation. It is important to point out

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that the agreement between the values is satisfactory, taking into account the level of

details of the simulation and the lack of information of the plant bulletins.

Conclusions – validation procedure of the first generation plant

Calculation of the mass balance of the Mill A has faced some difficulties, since the

bulletin provided by the mill does not contain sufficient information about the parameters

required for its realization. Furthermore, the fact that the bulletin does not present

information concerning the flowsheet of the process, combined with recycles that are

present, generated an additional difficulty in performing the mass balance. The

parameters that were not found in the bulletin were estimated, based on data from the

database developed by the VSB and assessed by CTBE specialists, or provided by the

mill. The simulation was constructed on the basis of existing simulations within VSB and

modified to represent the process of the chosen mill.

Both the results obtained in the simulation as well as those obtained in the mass balance

present small discrepancies in relation to data contained in the bulletin. Such differences

were already expected, since several assumptions were made and various parameters were

estimated for the calculation of the mass balance, as well as for the development of the

simulation. However, it turns out that these discrepancies are of relatively small

magnitude and serve with good precision the purposes of this validation.

4.2.6 Harvest extension using sweet sorghum

Since the sugarcane processing plant operates only during the harvest season (roughly 6

to 7 months per year), equipment are idle during several months, what leads to higher

investment costs associated with the production of ethanol. An alternative to the current

situation found in the Brazilian sugarcane industry would be the use of a drop-in

feedstock for ethanol production during those months where sugarcane is not harvested;

sweet sorghum (Sorghum bicolor L) can be such feedstock, since its TRS can be

converted to ethanol and it is cultivated in different times of the year. Therefore, VSB was

also used to evaluate the impact of extending the operation of the sugarcane plant using

sweet sorghum as feedstock for ethanol production in an autonomous distillery.

Despite some sparse research, there are several uncertainties regarding sweet sorghum,

since it is not yet produced in large scale in Brazil, or used as feedstock for ethanol

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production. Estimates where done in the VSB considering data provided by specialists

(Rossell, 2011); different scenarios where constructed to assess the potential improvement

of the sorghum quality and its processing technology, which will naturally occur if it is

going to be used as feedstock for ethanol production, just as happened for sugarcane

decades ago. The main characteristics of the sorghum composition and process yield

adopted in each scenario are shown in Table 42.

Table 42. Sweet sorghum main characteristics and process yield (Rossell, 2011).

Parameter Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

Sorghum TRS (kg/t) 125 137.5 150

Sorghum fiber (kg/t) 138.5 142.0 145.4

Sorghum bagasse moisture (%) 52 50 50

Global yield (%) 78.34 81.24 83.89

An optimized first generation autonomous distillery was evaluated (90 bar boilers,

adsorption on molecular sieves, juice concentration on multiple effect evaporators,

reduced steam consumption, recovery of 50% of sugarcane trash, electric drivers,

condensing-extracting steam turbines), processing 2 million tons of sugarcane (plus 50%

of the trash, during 167 days/year) and 0.72 million tons of sweet sorghum (which

corresponds to 500 tons/h of sweet sorghum during 60 days/year), producing anhydrous

ethanol and electricity.

The same equipment used in the autonomous sugarcane distillery was used for ethanol

production from sweet sorghum; thus, no increase on investment was assumed for harvest

extension in all assessed scenarios.

The following technical assumptions were made in this analysis:

• sweet sorghum fibers composition is the same of the sugarcane fibers (cellulose,

hemicellulose and lignin content);

• boiler efficiency is the same for both sweet sorghum and sugarcane bagasse

burning;

• equipment may work with different efficiencies depending on the feedstock; for

instance, extraction efficiency for sugarcane is 96%, while in scenario 1,

extraction efficiency for sweet sorghum is equal to 92%;

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• no sweet sorghum trash is recovered and used in the industry for production of

energy;

• since the steam and electricity generation during the 60 days the plant operates

with sweet sorghum is much smaller than during the 167 days the plant operates

with sugarcane and trash, only part of the cogeneration system (for instance, only

one boiler instead of two) would be used while processing sweet sorghum;

• electricity consumption in sweet sorghum processing is proportional to the amount

of sweet sorghum processed, and equal to that adopted in sugarcane processing

(30 kWh/t).

Concerning the economic analysis, the following assumptions were made:

• sweet sorghum price was calculated as the same price of the sugarcane on a TRS

basis; an analysis of the impact of ±15% variation in the price was made;

• no changes on labor costs and equipment investment were considered;

• inputs costs were calculated as a proportion of the amount of ethanol produced.

Sugarcane cost of R$ 40.91/TC was considered; since its TRS content is 152 kg/TC, the

calculated TRS price is R$ 0.27/kg TRS. Thus, each scenario has a different price for

sweet sorghum. The results obtained for ethanol and electricity production for the

autonomous distillery processing sugarcane (scenario 1G) and processing sweet sorghum

with different quality and yields (scenarios 1-3) during 60 days of the sugarcane off-

season are shown in Figure 27.

Figure 27. Ethanol and electricity production in the optimized autonomous first

generation (1G) and scenarios for sweet sorghum.

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In the economic analysis, IRR and production costs were calculated for Scenarios 1 – 3

considering the integrated process (using sugarcane and sweet sorghum). Calculated

sorghum prices, IRR and ethanol production costs are shown in Table 43.

Table 43. Sweet sorghum prices, IRR and ethanol production costs for the harvest

extension scenarios with sweet sorghum.

Parameter 1G Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

Sweet sorghum price (US$/t) - 19.06 20.96 22.87

IRR (% per year) 15.0% 17.9 % 18.5% 18.9%

Ethanol production cost (US$/L) 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36

Due to the uncertainties on sweet sorghum price, sensitivity analyses were carried out to

evaluate the impact of changes of ±15% on its price; results are shown in Figure 28.

Figure 28. Impact of ±15% changes on sweet sorghum prices in the IRR of the

scenarios evaluated with harvest extension.

Therefore, even with an increase of 15% in sweet sorghum price and considering the

worst situation (Scenario 1, which has the poorest sorghum quality and lowest processing

yields), sugarcane harvest extension in an autonomous distillery using sweet sorghum

provides more gains (IRR higher than 17%) that those obtained with no harvest extension

(IRR of 15%).

4.3 Industrial phase - second generation: biochemical route

From the beginning the major efforts in the VSB construction were devoted to the

simulation of the second generation ethanol production, having in mind that the

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development of this technology is one of the major goals of the Brazilian Bioethanol

Science and Technology Laboratory – CTBE (Dias et al., 2011b and Dias et al., 2012).

In the Brazilian sugarcane industry, large amounts of lignocellulosic materials (sugarcane

bagasse and trash) are produced during sugar and ethanol production. Sugarcane bagasse

is currently used as fuel, supplying the energy required for the plant, while sugarcane

trash, previously burnt to improve the harvest procedure, is today mostly left in the field

for agricultural purposes (Alonso Pippo et al., 2011). Therefore, banning of burning

practices significantly improved the amount of sugarcane trash available for use in the

industry (Seabra et al., 2010).

Second generation bioethanol, produced from lignocellulosic materials, has been

envisioned as the biofuel with the largest potential to replace fossil derived fuels with

lower impacts than the conventional, first generation bioethanol (Martín and Grossmann,

2011; Ojeda et al., 2011; Seabra et al., 2010). Besides being cheap and abundant,

production of lignocellulosic materials has limited competition with food production, thus

they do not compromise food security (Alvira et al., 2010; Čuček et al., 2011). In the

sugarcane industry another advantage for the use of lignocellulosic material as feedstock

for bioethanol production is clear: since they are already available at plant site (bagasse),

or close to it (trash), second generation bioethanol production may share part of the

infrastructure where first generation ethanol production takes place (for instance

concentration, fermentation, distillation, storage and cogeneration facilities) – this

alternative is the integrated first and second generation ethanol production. In addition,

potential fermentation inhibitors generated in the lignocellulosic material pretreatment

may have a minor effect on fermentation yields, since the hydrolyzed liquor may be

fermented mixed with sugarcane juice, diluting these inhibitors. Nevertheless, the

recalcitrance of lignocellulosic materials hinders the transformation of cellulose into

fermentable sugars; the second generation ethanol production processes therefore require

more sophisticated equipment and investment than conventional first generation ethanol

production (Nigam and Singh, 2011).

Since second generation ethanol production is not yet a commercial reality, different

process configurations have been investigated in order to develop efficient conversion

processes. In the VSB different configurations of the second generation production

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process, integrated or not with first generation ethanol production, where evaluated. The

configurations evaluated are described in the next sections.

4.3.1 Process description - Second generation

Second generation ethanol production requires pretreatment and hydrolysis of the

lignocellulosic material. The available lignocellulosic material is sent to the pretreatment

operation, comprised by steam explosion followed, or not, by an alkaline delignification

step (depending on the configuration). In the steam explosion, most of the hemicellulose

is hydrolyzed into pentoses, with small cellulose losses and no lignin solubilization

(Ojeda et al., 2011). The pretreated solids are separated from the obtained pentoses liquor

using a filter; pentoses are either fermented into ethanol or biodigested (producing biogas

for the cogeneration system), depending on the configuration.

In some configurations the pretreatment is followed by an alkaline delignification step,

where most of the lignin is removed from the pretreated material decreasing its inhibitory

effects on the following enzymatic hydrolysis step (Rocha et al., 2012).

The solid fraction obtained after filtration is sent to enzymatic hydrolysis. The material

produced after the enzymatic hydrolysis is separated in two fractions, the hydrolyzed

liquor, rich in glucose, and the unreacted solids (residual cellulignin); the latter is used as

fuels in the cogeneration system. In the integrated process, the hydrolyzed liquor is mixed

with sugarcane juice; thus, concentration, fermentation, distillation and dehydration

operations are shared between both processes. The same conversion of first generation

fermentation reactions (conversion of glucose to ethanol) was assumed for the second

generation process, both in the integrated and stand-alone configurations.

Three technological scenarios were created in order to evaluate second generation ethanol

production from sugarcane bagasse and trash, considering different yields, solids loading

on hydrolysis and destination of pentoses (biodigestion into biogas to be used in the

cogeneration system or fermentation into ethanol). Two levels for hydrolysis were

considered: current technology (low yield, low solids loading) and a second level,

potentially available in 2015 (higher yields and solids loading, lower investment and

lower enzyme cost). In both scenarios steam explosion is the pretreatment method, but in

the 2015 technology scenario it is followed by an alkaline delignification step, which

leads to higher yields on the subsequent enzymatic hydrolysis step due to removal of

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lignin (Yin et al., 2011). Pentoses produced during pretreatment are either biodigested,

producing biogas for use as a fuel, increasing the amount of surplus lignocellulosic

material, or fermented into ethanol. Fermentation of pentoses into ethanol is assumed to

be available only at the most futuristic scenarios (possible scenario in 2015 – 2020)

because conventional microorganisms employed in industrial fermentation processes are

not able to ferment pentoses. Gírio et al. (2010) provided an extensive review on the

processes through which hemicellulose may be converted into ethanol. Fermentation

yields of 95% have been reported, but several problems (microorganism tolerance to

ethanol and other inhibitors and low productivity among them) remain to be solved in

order for those high yields to be achieved at industrial operations. In the VSB a

conversion of 80% of pentoses to ethanol was adopted in the scenarios where pentoses

fermentation is assumed.

A block flow diagram of the integrated first and second generation ethanol production

from sugarcane evaluated in the VSB was previously shown in Figure 9. The main

parameters adopted in the VSB for the different configurations of the 2nd generation

ethanol production process (current and 2015 – 2020 technologies) are shown in Table

44.

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Table 44. Parameters adopted in the simulation of the 2nd generation process.

Parameter Value

Pretreatment – hemicellulose conversion 70 %

Pretreatment – cellulose conversion 2 %

Pretreatment – temperature 190 °C

Pretreatment – reaction time 15 min

Alkaline delignification – lignin solubilization (2015 technology) 90 %

Alkaline delignification – temperature (2015 technology) 100 °C

Alkaline delignification – reaction time (2015 technology) 1 h

Alkaline delignification – solids loading (2015 technology) 10 %

Alkaline delignification – NaOH content (2015 technology) 1 % (m/V)

Hydrolysis – cellulose conversion (current/2015 technology) 60 / 70 %

Hydrolysis – hemicellulose conversion (current/2015 technology) 60 / 70 %

Hydrolysis – solids loading (current/2015 technology) 10 / 15 %

Hydrolysis – reaction time (current/2015 technology) 72 / 48 h

Pentose biodigestion – chemical oxygen demand (COD) removal 70 %

Pentose fermentation to ethanol conversion 80 %

Filters – efficiency of solids recovery 99.5 %

Filters – soluble solids losses 10 %

Electricity consumption 24 kWh/t LMa

a LM: lignocellulosic material for second generation (wet basis)

4.3.2 Investment data - Second generation

In the Brazilian scenario, where part of the potential feedstock for 2G ethanol production,

i.e. sugarcane bagasse, is already available at conventional 1G production plants, an

integrated 1G and 2G production process seems to be an immediate option as the latter

may share part of the infrastructure already available in the 1G ethanol plant (for instance,

concentration, fermentation, distillation, storage and cogeneration facilities). So, the first

step to make a good estimate about the investment cost of the 2G ethanol plant is to

prepare a good estimate of 1G plants (annexed and autonomous plants). With these

figures it is possible to complete the computational simulation of the process and carry

out economic evaluation of different technological scenarios, for example, comparing

their internal rate of return or the production cost of ethanol/electricity.

For the second generation ethanol production plant, two investment figures were

considered; these were estimated by CGEE (2009), who evaluated the investment for a

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second generation ethanol production plant using sugarcane bagasse as feedstock,

integrated with a conventional first generation ethanol production unit processing

sugarcane. The investment includes the equipment required for bagasse collection, storage

area, conveying, cleaning, classification, transportation, pretreatment and hydrolysis

operations; the hydrolyzed liquor is concentrated and fermented in a mixture with

sugarcane juice. The additional investment on concentration, fermentation, distillation

and ethanol storage for the first generation plant is included in the second generation

investment figures, and utilities are provided by the first generation plant (CGEE, 2009).

Two technological levels were evaluated by CGEE (2009): 2015 and 2025, representing,

for example, the reduction of the reaction time and the fermentation of pentoses. The

investment in equipments and processing capacity are presented on Table 45.

Table 45. Estimate of equipment investment and processing capacity of 2G plants

(CGEE, 2009).

Parameter2015

Technology2025

Technology

Investment (million R$) 124 133

Processed bagasse (thousand tonnes/year) 268 426

The first value, 2015 technology, was used to calculate the investment required on the

current hydrolysis technology scenario, while the second, 2025 technology, represents the

expected hydrolysis technology. This reduction on the investment required for the

hydrolysis plant is estimated based on the improvements of the technology over the years,

mainly due to the decrease on the hydrolysis reaction time (from 72 to 48 h), which

decreases the size of the hydrolysis reactors and thus the equipment costs (CGEE, 2009).

The capacity-ratio exponent of 0.6 was considered for estimating the investment variation

for different processing capacities, calculated in each scenario.

It is important to highlight that the investment data provided by CGEE (2009) considers

the following aspects:

• the 2G process is integrated to a 1G autonomous distillery which processes 12,000

TC/day (500 TC/h);

• the values presented include the installation costs;

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• the 2G unit is composed by: a system to collect, store and transport the bagasse,

mineral impurities removal, material classification, pretreatment and hydrolysis;

• separated hydrolysis and fermentation;

• utilities are provided by the 1G facility;

• enzymes are purchased from a supplier (in-house production is not considered);

• the calculated investment for the 2G plant takes into account the necessary

investment to increase the capacity of some areas of the 1G plant, for example:

fermentation, distillation, dehydration, vinasse treatment and ethanol storage.

4.3.3 Integrated first and second generation

The second generation ethanol production process was evaluated in an integrated process

with an optimized first generation autonomous distillery (90 bar boilers, adsorption on

molecular sieves, juice concentration on multiple effect evaporators, reduced steam

consumption, recovery of 50% of sugarcane trash, electric drivers, condensing-extracting

steam turbines), processing 2 million tons of sugarcane and 50% of the trash produced in

the field, during 167 days/year. The scenarios evaluated are illustrated in Table 46.

Table 46. Scenarios evaluated in the integrated first and second generation ethanol

production from sugarcane.

Process 1 2 3 4

Optimized 1st generation X X X X

“Current” 2nd generation technology X

“Future” 2nd generation technology X X

Pentoses biodigestion X X

Pentoses fermentation X

Simplified schemes illustrating the fraction of lignocellulosic material destined for

cogeneration or second generation ethanol production, energy and ethanol produced in the

four scenarios are shown in Figure 29.

94

Figure 29. Simplified scheme illustrating lignocellulosic material use, energy and

ethanol production in scenarios 1 through 4.

95

As indicated, in Scenario 1, all the bagasse and trash available are burnt for production of

steam and electricity. Steam demand is relatively different on each scenario, and is higher

for Scenario 2 – solids’ loading in this scenario is the lowest among the evaluated

configurations. More material is hydrolyzed in Scenario 3 than in Scenario 4, due to the

fact that biogas is available for use as a fuel. Ethanol production from pentoses in

Scenario 4 increases the steam demand of the process, thus contributing to an increase on

the fraction of lignocellulosic material destined for cogeneration when compared with

Scenario 3.

Overall ethanol and electricity surplus on each scenario are shown in Figure 30.

Investment, IRR and ethanol production costs are presented on Figure 31 and Figure 32.

Figure 30. Anhydrous ethanol and electricity production in the scenarios evaluated

for the integration of second generation ethanol production in an optimized

autonomous distillery.

Figure 31. Investment and IRR in the scenarios evaluated for the integration of

second generation ethanol production in an optimized autonomous distillery.

96

Figure 32. Ethanol production costs in the scenarios evaluated.

Scenario 2, which represents the integrated first and second generation ethanol production

with the current hydrolysis technology, has the largest investment among the studied

scenarios. The use of advanced hydrolysis technologies in the integrated process

improves ethanol production (Scenarios 3 and 4), but only when pentoses fermentation

takes place (Scenario 4) the IRR is larger than that of the optimized first generation

autonomous distillery (Scenario 1). In addition, ethanol production cost in Scenarios 3

and 4 are lower than scenario 1 (optimized1st generation plant).

Figure 33 compares the environmental impact indicators obtained for the evaluated

scenarios. These scores give the comparison of environmental impact resulting from the

LCA of ethanol production including agricultural production process, transport of

sugarcane, raw-materials, consumables and industrial residues recycled to the field and

industrial conversion in the biorefinery.

Figure 33. Comparative environmental impact indicators of the different scenarios.

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Results show that integrating first and second generation processes using current

technology for second generation ethanol production and pentoses biodigestion (Scenario

2) presents the best environmental indicators for most categories among all the evaluated

alternatives. Higher environmental impacts presented in the future second generation

ethanol scenarios (3 and 4) are mainly related to high sodium hydroxide consumption for

alkaline delignification prior to hydrolysis. These results show that technological

improvements are necessary in this process for improving environmental sustainability of

the future second generation ethanol production; if sodium hydroxide recycling or other

methods of delignification using environmental friendly solvents are employed, the

advanced second generation ethanol production considered in this study will present

lower environmental impacts. It is also important to highlight that the database used in

this assessment was updated with Brazilian sodium hydroxide production data, which

presents environmental impacts remarkably lower than European and American

production processes according to preliminary update of these life cycle inventories

performed at CTBE.

A sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the impact of selected environmental

impact categories as well. In this analysis Scenario 4 was selected because it presented the

best results in the economic evaluation. Three important environmental impact categories

were selected: Global Warming Potential (GWP), Eutrophication Potential (EP) and

Human Toxicity Potential (HTP) (Figure 34). Quantity variation in five important process

inputs were evaluated: sodium hydroxide, zeolite and equipment weight (steel) for the

ethanol industrial process; and nitrogen fertilizer and diesel used in the agricultural

operations for sugarcane growing and harvesting. As expected by the results already

discussed in this study, sodium hydroxide is the most impacting parameter in GWP, EP

and HTP. Nitrogen fertilizers and diesel used in the agricultural operations also play an

important role in the three environmental impacts evaluated while zeolite and equipment

used in the industrial process have minor influence in the ethanol production

environmental impacts. These conclusions were confirmed by the sensitivity analysis

performed (Figure 34).

Based on the sensitivity analysis, scenarios 3 and 4 were evaluated considering that all the

sodium hydroxide is recovered in the industrial production process (no sodium hydroxide

is considered as input to the process; however, no addition processes for sodium

hydroxide recovery is included in the inventory). Results indicate that ethanol production

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in scenario 4 presents the lowest environmental impacts among the evaluated scenarios, if

no sodium hydroxide is consumed in this process.

Figure 34. Sensitivity analyses for Global Warming Potential (GWP) (a),

Eutrophication Potential (EP) (b) and Human Toxicity Potential (HTP) (c) for

scenario 4 (integrated first and second generation ethanol production from

sugarcane, using advanced hydrolysis technologies and pentoses fermentation).

4.3.4 Stand-alone second generation

Ethanol production from lignocellulosic materials is often conceived considering

independent, stand-alone production plants; the VSB analyzed this configuration of the

second generation ethanol production process from sugarcane bagasse and trash as well.

This plant receives feedstock (surplus bagasse and trash) from an optimized first

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generation autonomous distillery, which produces only the amount of steam required to

run the process (back-pressure steam turbines are employed). In order to evaluate this

configuration, different scenarios were simulated; their characteristics are shown in Table

47.

Table 47. Scenarios evaluated in the integrated first and second generation ethanol

production from sugarcane.

Process 1G 1G-LM 2G 1G2G

Optimized 1st generation X X X

Sell of surplus lignocellulosic material X

“Future” 2nd generation technology X X

Pentoses fermentation X X

An additional scenario (1G+2G) was evaluated to represent the real stand-alone plant,

including the first generation plant producing the feedstock and the stand alone second

generation plant. This scenario represents separate first and second generation plants and

is compared with the integrated first and second generation process (1G2G) described in

the previous section (scenario 4).

Results for ethanol and electricity production are shown in Figure 35.

Figure 35. Ethanol and electricity production in the scenarios evaluated to compare

stand-alone 2nd generation (2G), the equivalent stand-alone plant including the first

generation producing lignocellulosic material (1G + 2G) and the integrated 1st and

2nd generation (1G2G) plant.

The equivalent stand-alone plant (1G+2G) has about the same ethanol and electricity

outputs as the integrated first and second generation process (1G2G). The first generation

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plant selling surplus lignocellulosic material (1G-LM) has the same ethanol output as the

optimized first generation plant (1G), but the electricity production is much smaller since

only the amount of lignocellulosic material required to produce steam to meet the process

demand is burnt.

The scheme for the stand-alone second generation process is shown in Figure 36.

Cogeneration

103 kg/TC

Bagasse + Trash

Pretreatment

Surplus electricity

FermentationPentoses

liquor

Hidrolysis

Residues43 kg/TC

42 kWh/TC

107kg/TC

4 kg/TC

FermentationGlucose Ethanol 19 L/TC

Ethanol 16 L/TC

46 kWh/TC270 kg steam/TC

Figure 36. Simplified scheme illustrating lignocellulosic material use, energy and

ethanol production in the stand-alone second generation plant.

Investment and IRR of each scenario are shown in Figure 37.

Figure 37. IRR and investment for each scenario in the evaluation of stand-alone

second generation plants.

As illustrated in Figure 37, the 2G stand-alone plant has the lowest IRR among the

evaluated scenarios. The equivalent stand-alone process with the first generation plant

producing lignocellulosic material (1G+2G) has a higher IRR, but still it is much smaller

than the one of the integrated first and second generation plant (1G2G). This is a

101

consequence of the higher investment of scenario 1G+2G, which is the highest among all

the alternatives: because this process has two separate units for ethanol fermentation,

distillation and cogeneration, its investment is much larger than that of the integrated

process. It is important to notice that the cost of the feedstock (lignocellulosic material) is

calculated as the equivalent opportunity price in the scenario 1G-LM to reach the same

profitability obtained selling electricity in scenario 1G (the IRR of both scenarios is the

same).

4.3.5 Second generation integrated in a sugar mill

Another analysis concerning second generation integrated in a sugarcane facility

considered the integration with a sugar mill, a plant that produces only sugar and no

ethanol, selling molasses as a by-product. In the integrated process, the future technology

for second generation was considered, including pentoses fermentation to ethanol.

Therefore, sugars derived from cellulose and hemicellulose, as well as molasses, are used

as feedstock for ethanol production in the integrated process (sugar mill + 2G).

Ethanol, sugar and electricity production for each scenario is shown in Figure 38.

Figure 38. Ethanol, sugar and electricity production in the sugar mill coupled, or

not, with second generation ethanol production.

Economic analysis was carried out as well. The average price for the past 10 years (US$

0.11/kg) (IBGE, 2011) was adopted for sugarcane molasses in the evaluation of the sugar

mill. Results of the economic analysis are illustrated in Figure 39.

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Figure 39. IRR and investment for the sugar mill and the sugar mill coupled with

second generation ethanol production.

As shown in Figure 39, the IRR of the sugar mill increases significantly (from around 16

to 18.5% per year) when a second generation plant is included, producing ethanol from

the lignocellulosic fraction of the sugarcane as well as from sugar molasses.

4.4 Sugarchemistry route – butanol production

The sugarchemistry route was first developed in the VSB through the creation of a

product portfolio, based on three major references in the literature: the Brazilian

“Química Verde no Brasil” (CGEE, 2010), the Dutch Brew Project (Patel, 2006) and a

report by the USDOE (PNNL and NREL, 2004). Chemicals derived from sugars are

ranked in each of these references according to different categories, such as number of

patents, technology level, feedstock type and costs, potential of replacing fossil derived

chemicals, etc. Among the most important chemicals listed in these references are the

acetic, lactic, polylactic, itaconic, glutamic, succinic and citric acid, 1,3-propanediol,

sorbitol, and butanol.

A first configuration of the sugarchemistry route was developed in the VSB, considering

butanol production from sugarcane. Different scenarios were evaluated, considering

butanol production from sugarcane juice or from pentoses liquor obtained after

lignocellulosic material pretreatment, using either regular (wild strain) or mutant

microorganisms (with increased butanol yield) in a conventional batch fermentation

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process. Along with butanol, acetone and ethanol are also obtained during fermentation

(so called ABE fermentation). The scenarios evaluated are indicated in Table 48.

Table 48. Description of the scenarios evaluated for butanol production in the VSB.

Scenario Description

1G E50Optimized first generation annexed plant with 50% of the juice diverted to ethanol production, 50% to sugar production

1G E75Optimized first generation annexed plant with 75% of the juice diverted to ethanol production, 25% to sugar production

1G Butanol(RS)Optimized first generation annexed plant with 50% of the juice diverted to ethanol production, 25% to sugar production and 25% to butanol production – regular microorganism strain

1G Butanol(MS)

Optimized first generation annexed plant with 50% of the juice diverted to ethanol production, 25% to sugar production and 25% to butanol production – mutant microorganism strain (improved butanol yield)

1G2GIntegrated first (E50) and second generation with pentoses biodigestion (current hydrolysis technology)

1G2G Butanol(RS)Integrated first (E50) and second generation with butanol production from pentoses using regular microorganism strain

1G2G Butanol(MS)Integrated first (E50) and second generation with butanol production from pentoses using mutant microorganism strain (improved butanol yield)

Ethanol, sugar, electricity, butanol, and acetone productions were obtained in the VSB for

each scenario. Results are shown in Table 49.

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Table 49. Outputs of a sugarcane biorefinery with butanol production.

1G E751G Butanol

(RS)1G Butanol

(MS)1G2G

1G2G Butanol (RS)

1G2G Butanol (MS)

Ethanol (MML/year)

134 94.3 94.7 141.5 133.2 132.7

Sugar (MMton/year)

51 51 51 102 102 102

Electricity (kWh/TC)

169 169 169 88.7 90.1 90.1

Butanol (MML/year)

- 16.4 26.1 - 8.9 14.7

Acetone (MML/year)

- 5.9 6.5 - 4.4 3.7

The mutant microorganism strain, evaluated in scenarios Butanol(MS), increases

significantly butanol production, when compared with the regular strain (scenarios

Butanol(RS)), while acetone production is not raised. When second generation ethanol is

produced, and ABE fermentation is carried out using pentoses as feedstock (scenarios

1G2G Butanol), overall ethanol production does not decrease significantly, as opposed to

the cases where sugarcane juice is used as substrate in the ABE fermentation.

Economic analysis was carried out to evaluate the impacts of integrating butanol

production to the different configurations of the sugarcane distillery; average prices for

the 2008-2011 period were considered (anhydrous ethanol: R$1.05/L; sugar: R$0.87/kg;

sugarcane: R$41.68/t; electricity: R$100/kWh). Two market scenarios were evaluated:

(1) butanol as a chemical, considering its current price (MDIC, 2011), and (2) butanol as

an automotive fuel, whose price was calculated to be equivalent to that of ethanol but

proportional to its energy content. Acetone price changed accordingly to scenarios (1) and

(2), and its price was set to the currently value practiced in Brazil when butanol was taken

as a chemical (scenario 1). On the other hand, a 50% drop in acetone price was considered

in the case in which butanol production aims the fuel market. The acetone price drop

assumption is reasonable taking into account that an annual production of billions of liters

of butanol to the transportation fuel market would generate significantly more acetone

than the chemical market can absorb, depressing world acetone prices. Butanol and

acetone prices are shown in Table 50.

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Table 50. Butanol and acetone prices adopted in the economic analysis.

Product “Chemical” price (R$/kg) “Fuel” price (R$/kg)

Butanol 2.64 1.63

Acetone 1.63 0.83

For the mutant strain, a license for the use of the microorganism is required; the price for

the license is estimated as R$0.027/L butanol (an educated guess based on Humbird et al.,

2011).

The investment was estimated based on data provided by Sousa and Macedo (2010), for

the first generation plants; CGEE (2009) for the second generation plant and Roffler et al.

(1987) for the ABE plant.

A sensitivity analysis was conducted on the following key parameters: investment costs

of the annexed plant and of the butanol plant, and prices of raw materials and products. In

relation to the baseline values, these parameters were varied by ±10% according to a

factorial design (Plackett–Burman design), which was used to determine, via the software

Statistica® (Statsoft Inc., v. 7.0), the effects of the economic parameters on IRR.

Monte Carlo simulations were used to evaluate the risk, considering normal distribution

of the variables for which a historical record was available (ethanol, sugar, sugarcane and

butanol prices). In this case, most probable value is the 6-year moving average of prices

(Dec 2011 values) from January 2003 to December 2011. For other variables, a triangular

distribution was considered with variations of ±10% for electricity price and ±25% for

investment cost.

Results for the 95% confidence interval of the IRR of first generation mills coupled with

butanol production are shown in Figure 40. The standard annexed plant with 50% of the

sugarcane juice processed for sugar production is illustrated along with first generation

scenarios indicated in Table 49.

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Figure 40. IRR for the annexed distillery (50/50: 50% of the juice for sugar

production; 75/25: 25% of the juice for sugar production; RS: regular strain for

butanol production; MS: mutant strain; C: chemical market; B: biofuel market).

Results in Figure 40 show that butanol production from sugarcane juice has a higher IRR

than the first generation plant only when a microorganism with enhanced butanol yield is

available and when butanol is produced aiming the chemical market; for all the other

scenarios, the IRR obtained when butanol production is included is lower than that of the

first generation process. An important fact that must be taken into consideration is the size

of the chemical market for butanol; the Brazilian market for butanol in 2010 was of 60

kton (ABIQUIM, 2011). Considering the amount of butanol produced in the first

generation mill coupled with butanol production using the mutant strain – 1G Butanol

(MS) – three industrial plants would meet the internal demand for this chemical.

Therefore, unless butanol market is significantly expanded, what could occur if it was

used as a biofuel, not many sugarcane mills would include butanol production, as a

significant price change would happen due to the excess of supply. If butanol price falls

and reaches a similar value to that of ethanol on a LHV basis, butanol production from

sugarcane juice leads to a lower IRR than the first generation.

Results for the integrated first and second generation process with butanol production

from pentoses are shown in Figure 41.

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Figure 41. IRR for the integrated first and second generation ethanol production

(ES: 1st and 2nd generation ethanol production in the annexed distillery processing

50% of the sugar juice for sugar production; RS: regular strain for butanol

production; MS: mutant strain; C: chemical market; B: biofuel market).

In this case, butanol production using as feedstock the pentoses released during

pretreatment of the lignocellulosic material in the integrated first and second generation

bioethanol production process is more advantageous than pentoses biodigestion in all the

scenarios evaluated (regular or mutant microorganism strain, chemical or biofuel market).

Thus, since pentoses fermentation to ethanol is not yet feasible using commercial

technologies, pentoses fermentation to butanol seems to be an attractive option to increase

the feasibility of second generation ethanol production. In addition, in the integrated

process butanol production considering a decrease on its price (similar value to that of

ethanol on a LHV basis) is advantageous, as opposed to the first generation scenario.

Sensitivity analyses were also carried out to determine which variables have the most

important impacts on the revenues of the process. Results for the first generation process

are shown in Figure 42.

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Figure 42. Sensitivity analysis: impact of changes of +10% of the main variables on

the IRR of the first generation mill (left) and for the first generation mill with

butanol production (right).

Therefore, changes on sugarcane and ethanol prices and on the investment on the ethanol-

sugar plant (ES plant investment) have the larger impacts on the IRR of the mill. In the

plant including butanol production, it was verified that changes of +10% on the

investment of the butanol plant, acetone price and on the price for the microorganism (for

the mutant strain) have minor effects on the IRR. Changes on sugarcane trash price have

little effect on the IRR on both situations.

Sensitivity analyses were carried out for the integrated first and second generation process

as well. Results are shown in Figure 43.

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Figure 43. Sensitivity analysis: impact of changes of +10% of the main variables on

the IRR of the integrated first and second generation plant (left) and for the

integrated process with butanol production (right).

The same trends observed for the first generation mill can be noticed in Figure 43:

sugarcane, ethanol and investment on the ethanol-sugar plant have the most significant

impacts on the IRR. In this case, however, sugar price plays a more important role, since

sugar production is larger in these scenarios (when compared with the E75 scenario).

Enzyme prices have little effect on the IRR, in addition to sugarcane trash, in both

scenarios (with and without butanol production).

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5. Final remarks

5.1 Obtained results

Focusing on the PAT’s macrogoals, the most important results obtained up to 2011 in the

construction of the VSB are listed below.

(1) Construction of the first generation (1G) VSB, with the following highlights:

• technical, economic and environmental assessment of the autonomous plants

(producing only ethanol and electricity) and annexed plants (producing ethanol,

electricity and sugar). It was considered in this analysis a standard configuration

representing the majority of 1G plants in Brazil and an optimized one using trash

(transported from the field to the plant), reducing steam demand and using a more

efficient cogeneration system, to produce steam and electricity;

• assessment of technical, economic and environmental impacts of annexed

distilleries designed with flexibility for sugar and ethanol production;

• assessment of technical, economic and environmental impacts of different electric

energy cogeneration systems;

• validation of the results of the simulation of 1G sugar and ethanol production,

with data obtained in an operating sugarcane plant in the state of São Paulo –

Brazil;

• preliminary technical and economic assessment of different scenarios of operation

extension in sugarcane plants using sweet sorghum as an additional feedstock;

• beginning of the consolidation of the energy optimization of 1G sugarcane plants;

• beginning of the assessment about the use of other feedstock, for the extension of

1G sugarcane plants operation;

• beginning of the assessment of vinasse biodigestion incorporation in 1G plants.

111

(2) Construction of second generation (2G) VSB, with the following highlights:

• preliminary technical, economic and environmental assessment of present and

future scenarios for the production of 2G ethanol from sugarcane;

• technical, economic and environmental assessment of independent 2G ethanol

plants, compared with the ones integrated with 1G plants;

• technical, economic and environmental assessment of 2G ethanol plants integrated

to autonomous 1G sugar plants;

• beginning of the construction (together with CTBE’s Industrial Program) of the

conceptual design of the “basic CTBE’s route” for the production of second

generation ethanol, developed to be use as base for comparison with other

technologies in technical, economic and environmental assessments.

(3) Construction of the VSB for other routes, with the following highlights:

• preliminary technical and economic assessment of the butanol production from

sugarcane (through the sugarchemistry route);

• initial planning of the alcoholchemistry route in the VSB;

• initial planning of the thermochemical route in the VSB.

(4) Construction of the VSB – Agricultural phase, with the following highlights:

• construction of a computational tool, incorporating operation models of the

agricultural phase of the sugarcane production for technical, economic and

environmental assessment; integration with the other operations in the sugarcane

production chain: sugarcane transport, industrial processing and use of the

biorefinery products;

• technical, economic and environmental assessment of several agricultural

scenarios of sugarcane production, using the developed tool.

(5) Sustainability indicators, with the following highlights:

• database adaptation for the Life Cycle Inventory of the main inputs in the

sugarcane production chain, considering the Brazilian conditions;

112

• improvement of the methodologies employed for the economic and environmental

assessments;

• introduction of the Input-Output methodology for evaluation of economic,

environmental and social impacts in the VSB;

• beginning of the construction of a computational tool for the assessment of the

commercialization and use of the main products in the sugarcane production

chain.

(6) Software integration and Databases construction, with the following highlights:

• integration of the simulation tools constructed to assess the different phases in the

sugarcane production chain;

• beginning of the construction of a database with the technical parameters for a real

sugarcane industrial plant;

• collaboration with equipment producers and engineering companies, to start the

construction of a database to evaluate the required investments for different

industrial plants in the biorefinery concept.

(7) Publications:

• Dias, M. O. S., Cunha, M. P., Jesus, C. D. F., Scandiffio, M. I. G., Rossell, C. E.

V., Maciel Filho, R., Bonomi, A.. Simulation of ethanol production from

sugarcane in Brazil: economic study of an autonomous distillery. Computer Aided

Chemical Engineering, 28, 733-738, 2010.

• Dias, M. O. S., Cunha, M. P., Jesus, C. D. F., Rocha, G. J. M., Pradella, J. G. C.,

Rossell, C. E. V., Maciel Filho, R., Bonomi, A.. Second generation ethanol in

Brazil: can it compete with electricity production? Bioresource Technology 102,

8964-8971, 2011.

• Dias, M. O. S., Cunha, M. P., Maciel Filho, R., Bonomi, A., Jesus, C. D. F.,

Rossell, C. E. V.. Simulation of integrated first and second generation bioethanol

production from sugarcane: comparison between different biomass pretreatment

methods. Journal of Industrial Microbiology & Biotechnology, 38, 955-966, 2011.

113

• Cavalett, O., Cunha, M. P., Junqueira, T. L., Dias, M. O. S., Jesus, C. D. F.,

Mantelatto, P. E., Cardoso, T. F., Franco, H. C. J., Maciel Filho, R., Bonomi, A..

Environmental and economic assessment of bioethanol, sugar and bioelectricity

production from sugarcane. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 25, 1007-1012,

2011.

• Junqueira, T. L., Dias, M. O. S., Jesus, C. D. F., Mantelatto, P. E., Cunha, M. P.,

Cavalett, O., Maciel Filho, R., Rossell, C. E. V., Bonomi, A.. Simulation and

evaluation of autonomous and annexed sugarcane distilleries. Chemical

Engineering Transactions, 25, 941-946, 2011.

• Dias, M. O. S., Junqueira, T. L., Jesus, C. D. F., Cavalett, O., Cunha, M. P.,

Mantelatto, P. E., Maciel Filho, R., Bonomi, A.. The Virtual Sugarcane

Biorefinery (VSB) – An Innovative Tool to Evaluate Sugarcane Production and

Processing. In: XIX International Symposium on Alcohol Fuels, 2011.

• Galdos, M., Cavalett, O., Seabra, J., Bonomi, A.. Trends in global warming and

human health impacts related to Brazilian sugarcane ethanol production

considering black carbon emissions. In: XIX International Symposium on Alcohol

Fuels, 2011.

• Dias, M.O.S., Junqueira, T.L., Cavalett, O., Cunha, M.P., Jesus, C.D.F., Rossell,

C.E.V., Maciel Filho, R., Bonomi, A.. Integrated versus stand-alone second

generation ethanol production from sugarcane bagasse and trash, Bioresource

Technology, 103, 152-161, 2012.

• Cavalett, O., Junqueira, T. L., Dias, M. O. S., Jesus, C. D. F., Mantelatto, P. E.,

Cunha, M. P., Franco, H. C. J., Cardoso, T. F., Maciel Filho, R., Rossell, C. E. V.,

Bonomi, A.. Environmental and economic assessment of sugarcane first

generation biorefineries in Brazil. Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy

14, 399-410, 2012.

5.2 Planned activities for 2012

The most important steps to be pursued in 2012 for the construction of the VSB are the

following:

114

• validation of the results of the simulation of 1G industrial operation, with data

obtained in several operating sugarcane plants, representing different

technological stages;

• simulation of 2G alternatives using parameters obtained through the conceptual

design and data from CTBE’s pilot plant;

• development of new VSB versions including simulation of new biorefinery

routes;

• validation of data, parameters and results of the computational tool for the

agricultural phase of the sugarcane production;

• introduction of the technical, economic and environmental assessment of different

logistic strategies for sugarcane trash collection and delivery to the biorefinery;

• improvement of methodologies for sustainability impacts evaluation;

• execution of the first stages of the projects to assess “good practices” in the

sugarcane production chain and the “megaexperiment” to assess experiments and

developments underway at CTBE and other partner Institutions.

5.3 Implementation of the network of institutions

The activities related to the constitution of the Network on the Mathematical Modeling

started with the identification of researchers developing relevant work in specific areas. In

order to do that a search for related works was carried out in the main Universities and

Research Institutes in Brazil. The starting point, of course, was to make use of the

knowledge of the contribution for science and technology trough the scientific papers and

research projects published and executed or in execution.

In this exercise more than three dozens of University’s representatives were contacted and

a workshop was organized. The Network was organized in sub-themes aiming to reflect

the need to elaborate more specific projects in subjects considered the necessary ones to

have an effective interdisciplinary working group. Six main sub-areas were identified.

After the workshop, the leaders of each area were identified and formally invited to act as

coordinators. Further action involved the invitation for each member to write a simplified

115

but comprehensive proposal, which was carefully analyzed either to avoid overlaps or to

guarantee that important areas would be properly covered.

Researchers from each sub-area presented drafts of projects and the proposals were

organized in such way that it served as a basis for the elaboration of an edictal or call for

projects to be submitted to CNPq. This was carried out and the exercise was quite

important to have an actual knowledge of the potential partners in the Network.

Further actions are under development to overcome possible delays due to the lack of

specific financial support through other ways to integrate the network members.

5.4 Good practices identification and assessment

The production chain and final use of sugarcane ethanol present recognized average

values for the majority of the parameters and indicators that can be considered for the

assessment of this industrial sector. Even so, behind these average values, many good

examples of technical, economic, environmental and social actions (good practices) can

be identified and, after a careful evaluation, introduced in the majority of the ethanol

plants. In 2012, CTBE, through the PAT, will plan a project aiming at identifying good

practices in the three major sectors of the sugarcane production chain: agricultural,

industrial and commercialization and usage sectors. After identifying those good

practices, their assessment will be performed, in order to evaluate their technical,

economic, environmental and social importance.

5.5 Megaexperiment

Annually, the Technological Assessment Program will coordinate a procedure for the

assessment of the ethanol technological development stage (1G, 2G, integrated 1G2G and

other routes within a biorefinery), considering ongoing developments at CTBE, as well as

developments by third parties (Megaexperiment). Although the megaexperiment will

assess the whole sugarcane production chain, including the variety of potential products,

the major focus of this coordinated effort will be the ethanol production. The

megaexperiment will assess process and operation alternatives derived from potential

alternatives based on specialist information and, experimental results obtained at

laboratory, pilot and demonstration scale.

116

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