Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

30
8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 1/30 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance Date: 29/03/16 Share price: 1,403 Market cap (£m): 255. P/E: 5 !e"e#$e%& 2016 (pr'ecte): 253 E*$it+ (£m): 53 et e-t (£m): 1  aret price: £10£15/&hare -etee# #' a# 30 th  $+ a# a &hare price ' £6.50/&hare -+ +eare#. Disclaimer + reai# thi& rep'rt, +'$ aree that the $&e ' the re&earch pr'$ce -+ 7a-r'ck !e&earch i& at +'$r '# ri&k. 8# #' partic$ar e"e#t i +'$ h' 7a-r'ck !e&earch 'r aiate part+ ia-e 'r trai# '&&e& ca$&e -+ it& #i#&.  hi& rep'rt i& #'t i#"e&tme#t a"ice, rec'mme#ati'# 'r &'icitati'# t' -$+ 'r &e a#+ &ec$ritie&. 7a-r'ck !e&earch i& #'t a rei&tere i#"e&tme#t a"i&'r i# a#+ $ri&icti'#. ;'$ aree t' ' +'$r '# re&earch a# $e iie#ce -e're maki# a#+ i#"e&tme#t eci&i'# ith re&pect t' &ec$ritie& c'"ere ithi# thi& rep'rt. + reai# thi& rep'rt +'$ ha"e the

Transcript of Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

Page 1: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 1/30

Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strongprice performance

Date: 29/03/16

Share price: 1,403 Market cap (£m):

255.

P/E: 5 !e"e#$e%& 2016 (pr'ecte): 253

E*$it+ (£m): 53 et e-t (£m): 1

 aret price: £10£15/&hare -etee# #' a# 30th $+

a# a &hare price ' £6.50/&hare -+ +eare#.

Disclaimer

+ reai# thi& rep'rt, +'$ aree that the $&e ' the re&earch

pr'$ce -+ 7a-r'ck !e&earch i& at +'$r '# ri&k. 8# #'

partic$ar e"e#t i +'$ h' 7a-r'ck !e&earch 'r aiate

part+ ia-e 'r trai# '&&e& ca$&e -+ it& #i#&.

 hi& rep'rt i& #'t i#"e&tme#t a"ice, rec'mme#ati'# 'r

&'icitati'# t' -$+ 'r &e a#+ &ec$ritie&. 7a-r'ck !e&earch i&

#'t a rei&tere i#"e&tme#t a"i&'r i# a#+ $ri&icti'#. ;'$

aree t' ' +'$r '# re&earch a# $e iie#ce -e're maki#

a#+ i#"e&tme#t eci&i'# ith re&pect t' &ec$ritie& c'"ere

ithi# thi& rep'rt. + reai# thi& rep'rt +'$ ha"e the

Page 2: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 2/30

i#"e&tme#t k#'ee t' critica+ a&&e&& the i#'rmati'#,a#a+&i&, chart& a# 'pi#i'#& i"e#.

<& ' the p$-icati'# ate ' thi& rep'rt, 7a-r'ck !e&earch

'e& #'t h' a#+ p'&iti'#, '# 'r &h'rt, hether irect+ 'r

i#irect+, i# the i&&$er%& &ec$ritie&, $#e&& &tate i# the

i&c'&$re.

=$r re&earch a# rep'rt i#c$e& 'rar''ki# &tateme#t&,

e&timate&, pr'ecti'#&, a# 'pi#i'#& prepare ith re&pect t'

am'# 'ther thi#&, certai# acc'$#ti#, ea, a# re$at'r+

i&&$e& the i&&$er ace& a# the p'te#tia impact ' th'&e i&&$e&

'# it& $t$re -$&i#e&&, #a#cia c'#iti'# a# the re&$t& ''perati'#&, a& e a& m're e#era+, the i&&$er%& a#ticipate

'perati# per'rma#ce, acce&& t' capita market&, market

c'#iti'#&, a&&et& a# ia-iitie&. S$ch &tateme#t&, e&timate&,

pr'ecti'#& a# 'pi#i'#& ma+ pr'"e t' -e &$-&ta#tia+

i#acc$rate a# are i#here#t+ &$-ect t' &i#ica#t ri&k& a#

$#certai#tie& -e+'# 7a-r'ck !e&earch%& c'#tr'.

=$r re&earch a# rep'rt e>pre&&e& '$r 'pi#i'#&, hich e ha"e

-a&e $p'# e#era+ a"aia-e i#'rmati'#, e re&earch,

i#ere#ce& a# e$cti'#& thr'$h '$r $e iie#ce a#

a#a+tica pr'ce&&. 7a-r'ck !e&earch -eie"e& a i#'rmati'#

c'#tai#e herei# i& acc$rate a# reia-e, a# ha& -ee#

'-tai#e r'm p$-ic &'$rce& e -eie"e t' -e acc$rate a#

Page 3: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 3/30

reia-e. ?'e"er, &$ch i#'rmati'# i& pre&e#te @a& i&,Aith'$t arra#t+ ' a#+ ki#, hether e>pre&& 'r impie,

7a-r'ck !e&earch make& #' repre&e#tati'#, e>pre&& 'r

impie, a& t' the acc$rac+, timei#e&&, 'r c'mpete#e&& ' a#+

&$ch i#'rmati'# 'r ith rear t' the re&$t& t' -e '-tai#e

r'm it& $&e. < e>pre&&i'#& ' 'pi#i'# are &$-ect t' cha#e

ith'$t #'tice, a# 7a-r'ck !e&earch i& #'t '-iate t'$pate 'r &$ppeme#t a#+ rep'rt& 'r a#+ ' the i#'rmati'#,

a#a+&i& a# 'pi#i'# c'#tai#e i# them.

Summary of ndings

<. Bict'ria PC &hare price i a 10 -aer i# t' +ear& 'r &a

it& market "a$e i#crea&e -+ 1 time& r'm £15m t' £255m.

. <t the &ame time, it& &ae& i& 'reca&t (i#c$e& 2016%& &ae&)

t' $mp -+ 255 i# the a&t +ear&. ?'e"er, there are #'

c'#&i&te#t ear#i#&.

. Shareh'er& ma+ ha"e recei"e £3/&hare i# &pecia i"ie#

-ack i# 2014, -$t Mr 7ii# t''k a rear ' '"er m &hare&

(e*$i"ae#t t' £100m i# "a$e).

D. he '#+ #a#cia item that ha& i#crea&e m're tha# it& &hare

price i& the #et e-t p'&iti'# hich $mpe r'm £m &i#ce the

arri"a ' Mr 7ii# t' £1m t'a+ (ate&t i#terim re&$t&).

Page 4: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 4/30

E. here i& a ack ' #a#cia tra#&pare#c+ i# &'me ac*$i&iti'#&.F'r e>ampe, G'-e&i# Cimite &a &tra#e aterta> pr't&

H$ct$ati'# r'm £10m i# 2014 t' £2m i# 2015.

F. he -e&t ac*$i&iti'# it mae i& <-i#'# F''ri# Cimite

-eca$&e it ha& a &tr'# pr$e#t -$&i#e&& ith &tr'# i#ce#ti"e&

t' rear the c'mpa#+ (i taret& meet e>pectati'#).

G. he p$rcha&e ' 8#terH''r Gr'$p ' £65m i& (i# '$r 'pi#i'#)

the 'r&t ac*$i&iti'# -eca$&e 'perati# ca&h H' mi#$&

@i#tere&t paiA a"erae £1.5m per +ear hie it t''k '# #et

e-t ' £50m.

?. De&pite, the&e -$&i#e&&e& reate ac*$i&iti'#& there are #'

&trate+ t' create &+#er+ -etee# &$-&iiarie&.

8. 8#'ri# the I$e&t ac*$i&iti'#, a the re&t i i#crea&e

Bict'ria PC%& &hareh'er&% $# -+ £6.2m that c'&t the

c'mpa#+ £104m. hi& i& -eca$&e 8#terH''r%& e*$it+ i& a

#eati"e £19m.

 . G''i a# i#ta#i-e a&&et& acc'$#t 'r 0 'r m're '

the c'mpa#+%& #'#c$rre#t a&&et&.

1. Victorias re!enue growth is "ust a collection of 

ac#uisitions

Page 5: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 5/30

@he &t'ck market i& e ith i#i"i$a& h' k#' the price' e"er+thi#, -$t the "a$e ' #'thi#.A

J Phillip $isher

Bict'ria PC i& a mei$m&iKe arpet ma#$act$rer i# the L

ith pr'ecte re"e#$e at +eare# March 2016 ' £253m. he

achie"eme#t a&#%t r'm i##'"ati'# a# 'ra#ic r'th, -$t

r'm &eecte ac*$i&iti'#&, -'th i# the L a# a-'ar.

Charts comparing sales growth and market cap%

 

Source: Bict'ria PC.

<ppare#t+, &hareh'er& ere reari# the c'mpa#+ 'r

r'i# &ae& ith a 10 time& i#crea&e i# market "a$ati'#

$ri# the pa&t t' +ear&, -$t m'&t imp'rta#t+ ma#aeme#t

ma#ae& t' ret$r# a &pecia i"ie# e*$i"ae#t t' £3/&hare.

Chart showing special di!idends payout ga!e in!estors

condence to own the stock 

Page 6: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 6/30

Source: Bict'ria PC.

Sa+, thi& i& a @'#etimeA ea t' &ati&+ a @c'#tract 'r

iNere#ceA 'r the i#c'mi# E=, Ge'N 7ii#&, i# hich he

a& c'#tracte t' ei"er a £3/&hare ret$r# t' &hareh'er& i#

t' +ear& 'r ri&k $p t' £100,000 pa+me#t t' Bict'ria PC (m're

r'm the &tar E= ater).

?'e"er, per'rma#ce ha&#%t -ee# '', reari# the r'th

i# #et ear#i#& a# a ''k at the reati'# -etee# the

c$m$ati"e r'th i# #et ear#i#& a# &ae& &i#ce 2006 a"e

$& thi& i&ti#cti'#:

Page 7: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 7/30

<& &ae& re, the r'th i# #et ear#i#& ha& -ee# tre#i#

'er. ?ere%& a &imiar chart that i#c$e& the forecast sales

and earnings 'r the peri' e#i# i# March 2016:

Page 8: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 8/30

Gi"e# the&e ac*$i&iti'#& a& '#e i# 2015 it '$ #'t &$rpri&e

a#+'#e i Bict'ria PC achie"e& the&e re&$t&, -$t the a+ it

'e& a-'$t achie"i# the&e re&$t& that c'$ p$t Bict'ria PC

i# &'me #a#cia i&tre&& 'i# 'rar.

?'e"er, e"e# i Bict'ria PC ma#ae& t' achie"e the&e

re&$t&, the market ha& $+ price i# 2016%& market

e>pectati'# a# the# &'me.

Page 9: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 9/30

8# &ecti'# 2, e i ''k i#t' the etai& ' Bict'ria PC

ac*$i&iti'#& &i#ce the arri"a ' Ge'N 7ii#.

Credit where credit is due

 hi#& are #'t a -a 'r 'er &hareh'er& (th'&e h' ha"e

recei"e the &pecia i"ie#&). heir 'rii#a i#"e&tme#t '$

ha"e -ee# pai -ack ('r m'&t ' it, a#+a+) a# there're,

h'i# Bict'ria PC &hare& i& a ri&kree i#"e&tme#t.

?'e"er, he# +'$ are a #e &hareh'er (th'&e h' ha"e#%t

recei"e the @&pecia i"ie#&A), the# there i& a '' cha#ce

thi& c'mpa#+ -ei#& t' &ee a a i# it& &t'ck price.

e' are the #i#& ' Bict'ria PC.

Page 10: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 10/30

2. The &Three year' ac#uisition rule

<& me#ti'#e, 8 ha"e &tate the r'th ' Bict'ria PC i& '#

t' it& r'i# aicti'# t' ac*$iri# -$&i#e&&e&. <t r&t a#ce,

m'&t ' the&e ac*$i&iti'#& make &e#&e, a# ith'$t ''ki# at

each ac*$i&iti'# i#epth +'$ c'$ c'#c$e that &+#er+ i&there, a& the+ are a reate -$&i#e&&e&.

 he 8#"e&t'r hr'#ice i a &$mmar+ ' Bict'ria PC

ac*$i&iti'#& here:

Acquisitions under Wilding

Last reported financials (£m) EV multiples

Date Cost (£m) Revenue Ebitda AV Revenue Ebitda

Westex Dec 13 12.2 18.7 5.6 17.2 0.65 2.18

Abingdon Sep 14 14.66 75.1 3.4 8.2 0.20 4.31

Whitestone Weavers an 15 8.05 33.! 2.2 5.! 0.24 3.66

"#est A#g 15 11.5 28.1 3.3 2.06 0.41 3.48

$nter%&oor Sep 15 65 72.3 10.0 15 0.!0 6.4!

!otal"#ean   $$$%&$ ''%$ '&%' &%*+ ,%&- &%&

So#rce' Whit(an )o*ard ana&+sis, -ictoria p&c, co(pan+ acco#nts

..: 7e&te> i& a &$-&iiar+ ' G'-e&i# Cimite.

Page 11: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 11/30

?ere i& m+ i#terpretati'#:

(c#uisitions Costs

)*m+

,et prot

)*m+

,et

assets

)*m+

P. P/

G'-e&i#

Cimite

£16m 2 (56

eek&)

£10.4m 1.53

<-i#t'#

F''ri#

Cimite

14.66 2.1 .456 6.9 1.3

7hite&t'#e

7ea"er&

Gr'$p

12.3 3.34 (i#

the r&t 9

m'#th&),

&' 'r 12

m'#th& it&

4.45

6.344 2. 1.94

8#terH''r

Gr'$p

65 0.320 19 e e

I$e&t arpet

Ma#$act$rerPt+ Cimite

11.5 #/a #/a

 'ta 119.46Source: 'mpa#+check.c'.$k a# 8#"e&tiate.c'.$k.

 he $&e ' E8D< i& t'' 'te# mi&eai#. here're, '#e

&h'$ -e c'#&er"ati"e. ?'e"er, i '#e a& t'ether the

c'&t& ' ac*$i&iti'# (i#'ri# the *$e&t ac*$i&iti'#) it c'me& t'

£10m that i& pr'$ci# #et ear#i#& ' £.23m i"i# a P/E '

Page 12: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 12/30

13.1. Mea#hie, the price t' -''k c'me& i# at a# e>pe#&i"e1.4 time&.

(c#uisitions Deferred

considerations

De0t Cash

G'-e&i#

Cimite

Lp t' £m i# 3

+ear& (&ee

-e' 'retai&)

£0m £0m

<-i#t'#

F''ri# Cimite

Lp t' £4.5m i# 3

+ear& (&ee

-e' 'r

etai&)

£0.9m £0.5m

7hite&t'#e

7ea"er& Gr'$p

£1.5m £3.39m £3.3m

8#terH''r Gr'$p #/a £55m £5.4m

I$e&t arpet

Ma#$act$rer

Pt+ Cimite

<O10.5m

(£4.9m) i# three

+ear&

#/a

Source: 'mpa#+check.c'.$k.

<&', the c'mpa#+ i& ia-e 'r a $rther £1.9m i# pa+'$t&, i

a it& &$-&iiarie& met their mie&t'#e taret&. $t, m're

'rr+i#+, it t''k '# #et e-t ' £50m r'm the&e ac*$ire

&$-&iiarie&. he #a#ce c'&t& i#c$rre i& appr'>imate+ £6.6m

per a##$m (m'&t ' it r'm the ac*$i&iti'# ' 8#terH''r).

1ini-summary

Page 13: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 13/30

8#'ri# the I$e&t ac*$i&iti'#, Bict'ria pai £104m a# t''k '##et e-t ' £50m (p'&&i-+ m're) 'r £.3m i# #et ear#i#& a#

a that a& t' i#crea&e &hareh'er&% eath -+ *2%3m

(c#uisitions in-depth

(c#uisition 4: 5lo0esign Limited

 he £m -'#$& pa+me#t& t' G'-e&i# i '#+ happe# he#

E8D< a"erae& £4.2m per a##$m, a# #et pr't e>cee& the

thre&h' ' £2.m per a##$m.

?'e"er, thi& i& #'t a# i#ce#ti"e t' r' it& i"i&i'# -eca$&e

acc'ri# t' 'mpa#+check.c'm, the c'mpa#+ a& area+

a"erai# £2.m i# aterta> pr't& r'm 2011 t' 2013.

 he e-&ite 'mpa#ie&h'$&e.c'm ha& i#& '# G'-e&i#

Cimite acc'$#t&, here there are are part& ' it& i#c'me

&tateme#t mi&&i#. <&', the aterta> pr't& ' £10m (2014)

a# £2m (2015) c'mi# r'm i"ie#& recei"a-e r'm a

h'+'#e &$-&iiar+ i& $#e>pai#e.

F$rtherm're, there i& #' e>pa#ati'# h+ there i& a ri&e i# t'ta

ia-iitie& r'm £2.m i# 2013 t' £11m t'a+ he# a c'mpa#+

i& ch$r#i# '$t pr't&.

(F'r $rther e>pa#ati'#& a# i$&trati'# ' G'-e&i# Cimite,

cick here.)

Page 14: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 14/30

 

(c#uisition 3: (0ingdon $looring Limited

8 <-i#'# F''ri# achie"e& £9.5m i# E8 '"er three +ear&

(a# a"erae ' £3.2m), the# it i reap a# e>tra £4.5m i#

$rther pa+me#t&, hich Bict'ria i& ia-e t' pa+ £1.5m each

+ear.

F'r Bict'ria, <-i#'# i& their -e&t ac*$i&iti'# t' ate -eca$&e

the i#ce#ti"e i& there (r'm 2011 t' 2014, the c$m$ati"e E8

came i# at £5.05m) a# 2015%& E8 i& £2.9m.

(c#uisition 6: 7hitestone 7ea!ers 5roup

 he -reak'# ' thi& ac*$i&iti'# i& it pa+& £5.4m $pr'#t,

a# the re&t ' the pa+me#t& are &che$e a& ''&:

<. £2.21m '# 31 March 2015 (pai)Q

. £1.4m -+ <pri 2016Q

. £2.53m -+ a#$ar+ 201.

 he c'mpa#+ i make a#'ther £1.5m ' eerre

c'#&ierati'# i taret& are met -+ the &$-&iiarie&. 7ater&t'#e

7ea"er& r'$p e#erate £33.9m i# &ae&, -$t the #a#cia

&$-&iiarie& acc'$#t& are a -it 'N.

 he&e are 7hite&'me re"eati'#&:

Page 15: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 15/30

7hite&t'#e i& the 'pp'&ite ' G'-e&i# -eca$&e $#er the@7hite&t'#e 7ea"er Gr'$pA there a& a &eri'$& ack '

#a#cia tra#&pare#c+ ('r e>ampe, &'me &$-&iiarie& i#c'me

&tateme#t& are mi&&i# #a#cia ata).

$t, e"e# ith the tra#&pare#c+, &'me ' it& #a#cia

&tateme#t& ' #'t make &e#&e. ake it& &$-&iiar+, Ga&ke

Macka+, a& a# e>ampe, i# 2014 it ha &ae& ' £5.3m a# the

#i#e m'#th& t' 2015 &ae& ere £4.3m ('r £5.3m a##$a+).

$t he# +'$ ''k at it& -aa#ce &heet r'm 2013 t' 2015 it

''k& ike the c'mpa#+ i& i#i# '# it& 'perati'#& ith

trae e-t'r& a# creit'r& ai# -+ appr'>. 0 each.

 a#i-e a&&et& are '# -+ 40. (See ta-e -e')

7e ca# make the &ame a&&$mpti'# a-'$t Bie C'i&tic& ith

&ae& ' £3.2m i# 2014 a# the #i#e m'#th& t' 2015 &ae& ere

£2.9m ('r £3.m 'r the $ +ear). (See ta-e -e')

Ta0le showing the changes in tangi0le assets8 de0tors8

and creditors:

5askell 1ackay View Logistics a#i-e a&&et& Deci#e r'm

£16,33 (2013) t'

£90,656 (2015).

!'&e r'm £06,4

(2013) t' £925,969

(2015). rae e-t'r& Deci#e r'm

£2,339,104 (2013)

Deci#e r'm

£1,012,224 (2013)

Page 16: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 16/30

t' £1,004 (2015). t' £1,245 (2015). rae creit'r& Deci#e r'm

£1,9,36 (2013)

t' £65,95 (2015).

Deci#e r'm

£1,03,5 (2013)

t' £150,94 (2015).Source: 'mpa#+check&.c'm, Ga&ke Macka+ a# Bie

C'i&tic& acc'$#t&.

 he '#+ time +'$ &ee c'ap&i# e-t'r& a# creit'r& i& he#

a -$&i#e&& i& i#i# '# it& 'perati'#& a& 'pp'&e t' a

heath+ -$&i#e&& ith r'i# &ae&.

8# a &eparate ca&e, Ga&ke Macka+ &a it& ca&h -aa#ce

m+&teri'$&+ $mpi# r'm £41,360 t' £1.439m i# a +ear a#

#i#e m'#th&, e&pite maki# £00k i# aterta> pr't& $ri#

the peri'.

(F'r $rther i#'rmati'# h+ thi& '$ -e imp'&&i-e $#e&& it%&

'#e -+ i#ecti# ca&h t' Ga&ke, the# cick here.)

<&', 7hite&t'#e 7ea"er& Cimite (#'t t' -e c'#$&e ith

@r'$pA) &a a &$e# $mp i# aterta> pr't& r'm £33,256

i# 2014 t' £2.645m. hat a& '# t' a# item cae

@e>cepti'#a 'ther 'perati# i#c'meA ' £2.2m, hich, '

c'$r&e, i& $#e>pai#e a# it hepe t' i#crea&e it& e*$it+ r'm

£2.665m t' £5.3m i# '#e +ear

1ini-summary of 7hitestone 7ea!ers 5roup

Page 17: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 17/30

F$rtherm're, the c'&t ' ac*$iri# 7hite&t'#e 7ea"er& Gr'$p'r £12.3m &h'$ rai&e &$&pici'#, e&pecia+ he# it i& maki#

£4m i# #et pr't, a'# ith £3m i# ca&h.

,%/%: he <-i#'# ac*$i&iti'# ' £14.66m a& he# it ha&

=C; £2m i# #et pr't a# £0.6m i# ca&h. 8t &h'$ te +'$

either Bict'ria i& "er+ '' at #e'tiati# the -e&t ea 'r

&'methi# i&#%t riht.

(c#uisition 9: nter;oor 5roup

8 Bict'ria PC a& '' at #i# the -e&t @reate -$&i#e&&e&A

t' -$+ the# thi& '#e &h'$ #'t -ee# mae at a, et a'#e 'r a

price ta ' £65m. e' i& h' the ea a& #a#ce a&

''&:

<. £30.m thr'$h a 2.5m &hare& pr'cee at £12.30/&hare ith

a# aiti'#a 402,633 &hare& R &ame price ' £5m.

. <&', it pace 11,035 &hare& rai&i# £.m 'r 'rki#

capita.

8#terH''r ha& #et &ae& ' £2.29m a# E8D< ' £10.02m at

the e# ' 30 Ma+ 2015.

8, +'$ c'#&ier it& aterta> pr't&, the# it ''k& ike thi&:

Page 18: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 18/30

Source: 8#terH''r Gr'$p Cimite.

M're $re#t+, 8#terH''r a& pa+i# £6.255m i# i#tere&t c'&t&

(i#c$i# pe#&i'# c'&t&) i# 2015 a# thi& ha"e &amp it&

'perati# pr't& ' £5.446m. ?ih i#tere&t c'&t& are aa+&

a&&'ciate ith a -$&i#e&& -ei# hea"i+ i# e-t a# 8#terH''r

'e& £55.633m. he a##$a i#tere&t rate i& a& ''&:

<. £32.5m ' 'a# $e -+ Fe-r$ar+ 2022, it i#c$r& a# i#tere&t '

C8=! (1 H''ri#), p$& 6.5. 8t a& a-e t' re#a#ce a&

mat$rit+ a& $e i# <$$&t 2015.

. 8#tere&t '# the remai#i# £22,05,000 'a# #'te& i& at 0

per a##$m. =# repa+me#t, the 0 'a# #'te& ra#k pari pa&&$

ith the 10 'a# #'te&.

Page 19: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 19/30

De&pite, &ae& ' £2.3m, 8#terH''r ha"e #e"er mae a ce#t i#pr't a# ha"e a #eati"e e*$it+ p'&iti'# ' £19m.

 here a& a rea p'&&i-iit+ that 8#terH''r c'$ ha"e -ee# i#

ami#i&trati'#, -$t Bict'ria PC &a"e the a+, i#&tea it c'$

ha"e ac*$ire it 'r a racti'# ' the price

(8 +'$ a#t t' rea a-'$t the '"er&tateme#t ' 8#terH''r%&

ca&h H', cick here.)

(c#uisition <: =uest Carpet 1anufacturer Pty Limited 

8t i& a# <$&traia# carpet maker hich a& &#appe $p 'r

£11.5m ith a $rther eerre pa+me#t ' £4.9m t' -e pai

'$t i# the #e>t three +ear&.

< e k#' a-'$t I$e&t carpet i& it ha re"e#$e ' £2.1m

a# (#'rmai&e, hate"er that mea#&) E8D< ' £3.3m.

6% The 0iggest winner is 5eo> 7ilding?

Shareh'er& &ti thi#k Mr. 7ii# et& pai £65,000 per +ear.

8#&tea, the "a$e i& c'&er t' £100m (appare#t+ £90m, rea

-e')

+ reai# the c'#tract care$+, +'$ '$ k#' that Mr

7ii# i& re*$ire t' pa+ £20,000. 8# the c'#tract, he i& t'

ei"er £3/&hare t' &hareh'er& i# t' +ear& 'r 'reit -+

pa+i# a $rther £100,000 t' the -$&i#e&&. ' he ha& $e

Page 20: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 20/30

hi& e# ' the -arai# (hate"er mea#& #ece&&ar+), Mr 7ii#rear i& 50 ' the e#tire -$&i#e&& '# a# i&&$e ' ,0,30

&hare& t' hi& pri"ate h'i# cae ame# ?'i#& Cimite.

<t c$rre#t price&, (,0,30 £14.03/&hare) T £99,440,52.

<# i# <$$&t ' 2015, Mr 7ii# &' 1m &hare& t' @&ati&+A

i#&tit$ti'#a ema#, hie p'cketi# a c'' *44%4@<m%  he

$e &ti h'& 41 ' Bict'ria PC.

7ho is the highest rewarded 0oss in the AB

 he hihe&t pai E= i& Sir Marti# S'rre, at £43m i# 2014, -$t

he '$#e 7PP -+ taki# '"er a# e>i&ti# -$&i#e&& a#

t$r#i# it i#t' a marketi# c'mpa#+ i# 195 (&' he 'e& #'t

*$ai+). <&', 7PP a& 'rth £20.6-# i# market capitai&ati'#,

1 time& m're tha# Ge'N 7ii#%& c'mpa#+.

S', there're the #e>t @ree"a#tA hihe&t pai -'&& i& e# Ba#

e$re#, the E= ' She at £1.2m a# -+ he &tarte 'rki#

at She &i#ce 193.

', the '#+ *$e&ti'# remai#& i&: @7i Mr 7ii# @'U'aA

the re&t ' hi& h'i#&VA

 he $+ mae £11m mi#$& the £20,000. here're, 8 '$#%t

-e &$rpri&e i Mr 7ii# h'& '# t' hi& remai#i# &hare&.

Page 21: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 21/30

9% ow does Victoria PLC stack up

<&&$mi# the @#$m-er&A are acc$rate, et $& c'mpare

"a$ati'# metric& aai#&t it& peer&.

Bict'ria ike& t' $&e E8D< a& a "a$ati'# mea&$reme#t a#,

e"e# '# that -a&i& there i& a# '"er"a$ati'#:

Victoria eadlam Topp Tiles owden

 EoineryPrice t'

E8D<

26 11. 11.96 14

Source: M'r#i#&tar.

<ai#&t &imiar -$&i#e&&e& (i# the area ' h'$&eh'

acce&&'rie&), Bict'ria i& tice a& e>pe#&i"e '# it& @a"'$riteA

metric. he rea mea&$re i& #et mari#&& a# '# that -a&i&,

Bict'ria &h'e rea eak#e&&:

Page 22: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 22/30

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

VictoriaFs ac#uisition uncompetiti!e ac#uisitions

Bict'ria PCD (E)

?'e# 'i#er+ (E)

 /'pp& /ie& (E)

?eaam (E))G+

Source: M'r#i#&tar.

=ka+, &' ear#i#& are #'t terric, -$t &$re+ Bict'ria ha& *$ait+

a&&et -acki# r'm the am'$#t ' ac*$i&iti'#& the+ are maki#.

S', a ''k at price t' e*$it+ '$ -e a $&e$ mea&$reme#t.

Victoria eadlam Topp Tiles owden

 EoineryPrice t'

E*$it+

4.5 2.33 2.4 10

Page 23: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 23/30

+ that mea&$reme#t, Bict'ria%& PC i& #'t #'t'ri'$&+e>pe#&i"e.

<# here%&, h' m$ch '$ that c'&t t' -$+ the c'mpa#+%&

&ae&.

Victoria eadlam Topp Tiles owden

 EoineryEB (£m) 334 404. 325 2,14Sae& (£m) 253

(pr'ecte)

654 212 1,220

EB/Sae& 1.32 0.62 1.53 2.31

', it%& the time t' &et apart Bict'ria PC r'm it& peer& -+

c'mpari# it& e-t a# the *$ait+ ' it& a&&et&.

Fir&t, +'$ #ee t' &eparate the iNere#t c'mp'#e#t& ' #'#

c$rre#t a&&et&:

Victoria eadlam Topp Tiles owden

 EoineryG''i

(£m)

0. 0 0.245 0

8#ta#i-e&

(£m)

. 10 0 4.6

 a#i-e&

(£m)

29.4 102.6 4.1 129.2

Page 24: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 24/30

<#, Bict'ria%& a&&et c'mp'&iti'# i& mae $p ' 65 ''ihie it& ri"a& ha"e c'&e t' Ker' ''i '# it& -''k&, hich

mea#& the rea a&&et-acki# ha& #'t r'#.

e>t, +'$ #ee t' acc'$#t 'r it& e-t, ca&h a# e*$it+:

Victoria eadlam Topp Tiles owden

 EoineryDe-t (£m) 90 23.1 44. 0a&h (£m) . 49.1 16.6 166.1E*$it+

(£m)

53.5 14. 10.66 29

', +'$ ca# &ee h' m$ch ' the c'mpa#+%& e-t i& -acke

-+ ca&h a# ta#i-e a&&et&:

Victoria eadlam Topp Tiles owden

 EoineryHa&h

-acki#

()

.6 212.6 3.1 #/a

 a#i-e

a&&et

-acki#

()

32.6 444.1 105.4 #/a

 'ta () 41.2 656. 142.5 #/aDe-t/capit

a

0.62 0.11 0.0 #/a

De-t/e*$it

+

1.6 0.125 4.2 #/a

Page 25: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 25/30

8t ha& #' e-t.

 ' the #ake e+e, 'pp& ie& i& the '#e h' i& m'&t at ri&k '

aii# -eca$&e it ha& e"erae it& e*$it+ aai#&t it& e-t&. $t

 'pp& ie& e-t i& 3 c'"ere -+ ca&h a# 105 ' ta#i-e

a&&et&.

< '' a+ t' a&&e&& the *$ait+ ' it& i#ta#i-e& 'r ta#i-e&

i& t' ' 'r the $$ar a# ''k 'r @ree ca&h H'A, a# i#

 'pp& ie%& ca&e, it mae £9.4m (2014) a# £6.5m (2015) '

ree ca&h H' hich c'$ -e $&e t' pa+ 'N e-t 'r $#

i"ie#&.

?'e"er, that i&#%t the ca&e 'r Bict'ria PC -eca$&e it '#+ ha&

.6 ' e-t -acke -+ ca&h a# 32.6 -+ ta#i-e a&&et&. <#&i#ce it%& ac*$iri# c'mpa#ie&, the# ree ca&h H' i& a #eati"e

£10.m i# 2015 a# it 't 'r&e i# it& ate&t i#terim (a #eati"e

£20m i# ree ca&h H').

<% (fter the pleasure comes the pain 

7e me#ti'#e e-t i# the pre"i'$& &ecti'#, -$t +'$ #ee t'

ha"e &'me pre&pecti"e ' the e"erae Bict'ria PC i& c'mi#

$#er.

Page 26: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 26/30

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

0

90

100

43%94I%63J%J@44%@6J%4 @%J2J%<< J%2

42%2@

6J%2@

JJ%K2

Spending spree

De-t

)*m+

Source: Bict'ria PC.

e're Mr 7ii# arri"e, #a#ce c'&t& ' the -$&i#e&& i# 2013

ere £400,000.

', #a#ce c'&t& are e>pecte t' ri&e -+ £6.6m -+ +eare#

2016 (i# it& i#terim, it a& area+ pa+i# £1.54m) a# m'&t '

it a& c'mi# r'm it& ac*$i&iti'# ' 8#terH''r.

,%/%: he t'ta i#tere&t c'&t& ' #'t i#c$e the I$e&t

ac*$i&iti'#

Dilution of e#uity

Page 27: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 27/30

<th'$h, &hareh'er& are '-i"i'$& t' the i#crea&e i# the#$m-er ' &hare& r'm 6.9m t' 1.2m (the rear ' m

&hare& t' Mr 7ii#) i# the a&t e +ear& -+ &e#i# the &hare

price thr'$h the r''.

@% Se!eral !aluations you should consider for

Victoria PLC

e're the take'"er ' Mr 7ii#, Bict'ria PC a& maki# '#

a"erae 19.49 pe#ce per &hare -etee# 2006 a# 2012, &ae&

ere a"erai# £63.1m i# the &ame peri', -$t the market

"a$ati'# a& a mea&+ £16.1m (a ar cr+ r'm the c$rre#t

£254m "a$e).

<#a+&t& ha"e pr'ecte re"e#$e ' £253.4m he# Bict'ria

rep'rt& it& #e>t a##$a re&$t ater i# the +ear, a'# ith the

'reca&t it i make 1 pe#ce per &hare i# pr't, e*$i"ae#t '

£12m (m're etai -e').

F'r a air c'mpari&'#, Bict'ria PC &h'$ make .2 pe#ce per&hare '# £253.4m i# &ae& i it%& t' em$ate the a-'"e peri'.

 here're, a market "a$e ' £1m, 'r £4.45/&hare i& the air

"a$e ' it& -$&i#e&&.

$t i# it& ate&t i#terim re&$t&, it ma#ae& '#+ 1.2 pe#ce per

&hare, &' here i it make 69.2 pe#ce r'm t' match it&

'reca&t ' achie"i# 1 pe#ce per &hare.

Page 28: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 28/30

<#'ther a+ t' "a$e the &hare& i& t' acc'$#t 'r the

c'mpa#+%& 'perati# a&&et&.

Ba$e per &hare T ('perati# a&&et& J De-t)/$m-er ' &hare&.

 he#, )*4IJ%<m - *JKm+4J%4Km *4%I@ per share.

 he a-'"e "a$ati'#& are '# Bict'ria%& pre"i'$& market

"a$ati'# a# acaemic &hare price "a$ati'#.

$t i +'$ ''k at a &imiar&iKe -$&i#e&& ike ?eaam that trae

at 15 time& P/E (reHecti# the c$rre#t -$ market "a$ati'#),

the# ear#i#& at Bict'ria #ee t' -e ar'$# £1m

8 Bict'ria PC achie"e& a £m aterta> pr't& r'm £12m pre

ta> pr't&, the# thi& &ti mea#& t'a+%& "a$ati'# i& @&k+hih.A

a&e '# ?eaam%& m$tipe ' 15 time& ear#i#&, the# t'a+%&

"a$ati'# 'r Bict'ria PC &h'$ c'me i# at )*Jm

*4@m+H*49%I< *2%24share% 

 hat%& e&pite ?eaam ha& #et ca&h ' £26m, ta#i-e a&&et

-acki# ' '"er £106m, a# ear#& a c'#&i&te#t 45 i# #et

mari#&.

The $uture

7he# Bict'ria rep'rt& it& #a re&$t at the e# ' $+ 2016, #et

ear#i#& '$ #'t -e £12m, -$t '$ ike+ c'me i# ar'$#

Page 29: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 29/30

£m£9m acc'ri# t' it& &$-&iiarie&% re&$t& (8 e&timate £1m£1.5m i# #et pr't& 'r I$e&t, i"e# that E8D< i& £3.3m).

Bict'ria ha& #'t re"eae the e*$it+ ' 8#terH''r i& a #eati"e

£19m, a# he# it 'e& the# (i#'ri# the I$e&t ac*$i&iti'#), it

mea#& it ae =C; £6.2m t' e*$it+ r'm it& "e ac*$i&iti'#&.

 he# there are tak& a-'$t -$+i# Ca#' arpet&, -$t at the

m'me#t thi& i& &pec$ati'# a# #'thi# m're $#ti Bict'ria PC

make& a# a##'$#ceme#t.

Share price direction

8 preict that -etee# #' a# $+ 2016 the &hare& i trae-etee# £15/&hare a# £10/&hare. <# ater the

a##'$#ceme#t ' it& #a re&$t& the taret price at +eare# i&

£5/&hare.

Post-report

 he c'mpa#+ ha& p'&te a $+ear trai# $pate &tati# (pre

ta>) pr't& are ahea ' market e>pectati'#, a# there '$

-e reater #et e-t re$cti'# ith the &hare& p'ppi# $p t'

£15/&hare.

Disclosure

Page 30: Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

8/19/2019 Victoria PLC: - The carpet maker with a strong price performance

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/victoria-plc-the-carpet-maker-with-a-strong-price-performance 30/30

8 ha"e #' p'&iti'#& i# a#+ &t'ck& me#ti'#e, a# #' pa#& t'i#itiate a#+ p'&iti'#& ithi# the #e>t 2 h'$r&. 8 r'te thi&

artice m+&e, a# it e>pre&&e& m+ 'pi#i'#&. Pea&e ' +'$r

'# re&earch a# &eek pr'e&&i'#a i#"e&tme#t a"ice.