VIBRANT GROUP LIMITED - Learning Resources by …€¦ · VIBRANT GROUP LIMITED 20 June 2014. ......
Transcript of VIBRANT GROUP LIMITED - Learning Resources by …€¦ · VIBRANT GROUP LIMITED 20 June 2014. ......
Disclaimer and Declaration
• The objective of the presentation is for educational
purposes. The full content of the presentation is for
illustration purposes only and should not be used as
investment recommendations. AB Maximus and its
presenters are not responsible for all investment activities
conducted by the participants and cannot be held liable
for any investment loss.
• The company and presenters may have personal interest
in the particular shares presented.
Company Background
• Vibrant Group Limited (formerly known as Freight Links Express Holdings Limited) is a leading logistics, real estate and financial services group headquartered in Singapore. It offers a comprehensive range of integrated logistics services including international freight forwarding, chemical storage and logistics, warehousing & distribution and record management. The Group is also engaged in real estate business in property management, development and investment.
• Vibrant Group was founded in 1981 as Freight Links Express. It was then listed on SESDAQ in 1995 before moving on to SGX Main board in 1997
Source: Vibrant Group Website
Business Units
Vibrant Group
International
Freight Forwarding
Warehousing &
Logistics
Chemical Storage
& Logistics
Financial Services
• Provision of international freight forwarding
services
• Provision of distribution, storage and
warehousing services
• Provision of records management &
document storage
• Provision of chemical logistics
• Transportation and warehousing activities
• Provision of real estate fund and property
management services
Source: Vibrant Group Annual Report
Business Units – International Freight
Forwarding• Market Leader in Non Vessel Operating
Common Carrier (NVOCC) business
• Offices in Malaysia, Thailand, Hong Kong,
Korea, China and Dubai
• 120 agents and reach of more than 600
destination worldwide
• Services: Container consolidation,
Container Freight Station operations,
Ocean and air freight services,
transshipment & customs clearance
Source: Vibrant Group Website
Business Units – Warehousing & Logistics
• Rental of warehouse spaces
• Service provider for document storage
• Project Logistics
• Movement of oversized and heavy lift cargoes
and equipment
• Multi-modal transportation – ocean, air, land
and rail
• Provision of warehousing and insurance
services
• Customs clearance and trade documentation
Source: Vibrant Group Website
Business Units – Chemical Storage and
Logistics• Handles both hazardous and non-
hazardous chemical and petrochemical
• Operates in Singapore, West Malaysia,
Indonesia and Thailand
• Services: Warehousing and storage for
dangerous goods and non dangerous
goods, drumming, container haulage and
package goods transportation
Source: Vibrant Group Website
Business Units – Financial Services
• Management of Sabana Shari’ah Compliant Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT)• Total assets exceeding S$1.0 billion
• Listed on SGX-ST on 26 November 2010
• Sentosa Asian Credit Fund• A fund management company that derives its
income from management fees for investment management services
• Sinolink Financial Leasing Co. Ltd• Financial leasing services include hire purchase,
equipment financing, shipping loans, working capital loans, letters of credit, project financing and receivables financing to potential customers
Source: Vibrant Group Website
Segmental Performance
Freight Forwarding
37%
Warehousing and Logistics
25%
Chemical Storage and
Logistics33%
Management Fees
Business5%
Other Services
0%
Revenue
Freight Forwarding
9%
Warehousing and Logistics
26%
Chemical Storage and
Logistics5%
Management Fees
Business9%
Other Services
51%
Pretax Profit
Source: Vibrant Group Website
Segmental Historical Contribution
Freight forwarding
Warehousing and logistics
Chemical storage and
logistics
Management fees business
Other services
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
Revenue
Freight forwarding
Warehousing and logistics
Chemical storage and
logistics
Management fees business
Other services
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
Pretax Profit
Source: Vibrant Group Website
Geographical Contribution
Source: Vibrant Group Annual Report
Singapore41%
ASEAN (ex. Singapore)
19%
Asia (ex. ASEAN)24%
America3%
Oceania3%
Europe5%
Middle East3%
Others2%
Revenue
Market Data
Last Done 0.103
52wk Range: 0.09-0.15
Volume 1,111,000
Avg Volume (3 mnths) 3,637,560
Market Cap 259.22 M
Valuation – Discounted Cash-Flow Model
Risk-Free Rate: 2.0%
Market Risk Premium: 7.0%
Beta: 0.71
Cost of Equity: 7.0%
Long-Term Growth Rate: 2%
Forecasted Income StatementIncome Statement (S$ '000) Forecast
For Year Ending:
Apr-14 Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19 Apr-20
Freight Forwarding 68,084 61,276 58,212 55,301 54,195 54,195 55,279
Warehouse and Logistics 44,837 56,046 67,256 77,344 85,078 89,332 91,119
Chemical Storage and Logistics 59,720 68,678 75,546 79,323 83,290 85,788 87,504
Management Fees Business 8,507 8,932 9,200 9,384 9,572 9,763 9,959
Other Services Rendered 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Revenue 181,148 194,933 210,214 221,353 232,135 239,079 243,861
Other Income 21,793 22,883 23,569 24,041 24,522 25,012 25,512
Accretion of Deferred Revenue 21,769 19,493 14,715 11,068 6,964 7,172 7,316
Total Revenue 224,710 237,309 248,498 256,461 263,621 271,263 276,689
Total Op. Expenses (137,708) (131,158) (124,810) (159,921) (156,188) (173,428) (183,660)
Results from Operating Activities 87,002 106,151 123,688 96,540 107,433 97,835 93,028
Finance Income 3,937 4,134 4,258 4,343 4,430 4,519 4,609
Finance Costs (1,675) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Finance Income 2,262 4,134 4,258 4,343 4,430 4,519 4,609
Share of Profit of Associates, Net of Tax 4,183 0 0 0 0 0 0
Profit before Income Tax 47,495 110,285 127,946 100,884 111,863 102,354 97,638
Income Tax Expenses (3,841) (8,823) (12,795) (12,106) (13,424) (12,283) (11,717)
Profit for the Year 43,654 101,462 115,152 88,778 98,439 90,072 85,921
Discounted FCFEYear Ending (S$ '000)
Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19 Apr-20
Net Income 39,719 29,719 23,556 17,897 18,558 18,929
Less: Net Capex (24,422) (4,131) (7,182) 7,282 922 (9,160)
Less: Change in NWC (31,645) 615 16,900 7,617 21,686 (1,052)
Add: Additional Debts 5,933 10,883 3,970 (9,197) (3,621) 5,499
FCFE (10,416) 37,086 37,245 23,599 37,545 14,215
Calculation of Stock Value
Stage 1 NPV (S$ mil) 107.48
PV (Terminal Value) - S$ mil: 306.94
Equity Value - S$ mil 414.42
Attributable to:
Minority Interest - S$ mil 29.01
Vibrant Shareholders - S$ mil 385.41
# of Shares (mil) 2,425.6
Value Per Share (S$) 0.159
Relative ValuationCompany Name Country Mkt Cap Price to Earnings (PE) Price to Book (P/B)
Kerry Logistics Network HK 3304.36 8.63 1.49
Changan Minsheng Apll HK 236.54 5.07 0.94
ASR Holdings Ltd HK 179.94 11.95 3.72
SG & G Corp KR 193.49 5.16 0.77
CWT Ltd SG 1005.51 8.83 1.45
Poh Tiong Choon Logistics SG 139.76 12.40 2.06
Dimerco Express Corp TW 105.84 13.94 1.39
T.H.I. Global Holdings TW 816.15 21.30 2.53
Average 10.91 1.79
Vibrant Group Ltd SG 263.86 6.44 1.08
Attributable to:
Consolidated Shareholders
Implied Valuation (P/E Ratio) 0.174 0.162
Implied Valuation (P/B Ratio) 0.170 0.158
Valuation Summary
Current Price: S$ 0.103
Intrinsic Valuation: S$ 0.159
Relative Valuation (P/E): S$ 0.162
Relative Valuation (P/B): S$ 0.158
Business Risks
• Small Business Risk• Market Cap: ~S$ 250 mil split into multiple businesses
• Property Regulations & Property Cycle
• Significant Holdings of Listed Securities (S$ 170 mil)• Exposure to Market Risks
• Significant Amount of Income Potentially One-Off• Accretion of Deferred Revenue
• Capital Gains from Investments
• Dividends from Investments
Financial Risk
• Default Risk (Moderately)
• Debt-to-Equity: 1.24x
• Solvency Risk (Moderate)
• Interest Coverage: NIL
• Current Ratio: 1.60
• Debts Due This Year: S$ 190.46 mil
• Cash Balance: S$ 53.70 mil