VGEF 2015: Opening of the New Arctic Sea: Opportunities & Challenge (Admiral Gary Roughead (U.S....
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Transcript of VGEF 2015: Opening of the New Arctic Sea: Opportunities & Challenge (Admiral Gary Roughead (U.S....
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New Access to Resources
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Potential Arctic Routes For Int’l Navigation• Most transit now destination
shipping but the potential for some int’l transshipping in the near future.
• Tourism shipping – steady rise • Routes:
– Bering Sea/Strait (fisheries)– Northwest Passage (NWP)– Northern Sea Route* (NSR)– Arctic Ocean (“over the top”)
*46 transits in 2012. *71 transits in 2013* 393 Permits in summer of 2013
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Ship Traffic in the Arctic
Passenger Ships
Oil and Gas Transport
Fishing Vessels Cargo
Transport
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Great Start
A bit more technical – however, Good Forecast
Forecast Changed – too Late *Royal Navy ice patrol ship frees Norwegian liner
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Things could have been worse…
Bad Headwork
Poor Forecast
Bad Charts
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What if this…
Happens here…
In these conditions…or worse
Or here…
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