Valuation of ecosystem services available from farms and ...Leads: Lisa Wainger, UMCES Noel...
Transcript of Valuation of ecosystem services available from farms and ...Leads: Lisa Wainger, UMCES Noel...
Valuation of ecosystem services
available from farms and forestsDeveloping reliable approaches
for federal agencies
Lisa Wainger1 and David Ervin2
1 University of Maryland CES
2 Portland State University
Project Co-chairs
June 29, 2017
NESP webinar
Cooperative project between USDA
Office of Ecosystem Markets & CFARE
Background
Project initiated by USDA Office of Ecosystem Markets
(OEM) and Council on Food, Agriculture, and Resource
Economics (C-FARE)
Collaboration among many governmental and academic
researchers
Intended audiences - USDA analyst or manager and broad
federal community
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Question:
Can valuation be routinely used to
assess conservation program effects?
Addressed 3 primary questions:
1. What changes could be valued now
with available data, models and
understanding?
2. Are these methods sufficiently
reliable to support program decisions?
3. If not, what strategic investments are
needed? NRCS
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Process for valuing ecosystem service
benefits
Interdisciplinary teams of economists and ecologists from academia and government
Three natural resource areas chosen to reveal differences
Pollinator habitat
Water quality
Forest carbon sequestration
No new ecological assessments
All valuation used economic benefit transfer (no primary studies)
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Research TeamsPollinator Team Water Quality Forest Carbon
Lead: Rich Iovanna, USDA FSA
Amy Ando, U Illinois
Dan Hellerstein, USDA ERS
Jimmy Kagan, Portland State
Dave Mushet, USGS
Clint Otto, USGS
Charlie Rewa, USDA NRCS
Scott Swinton, Michigan State
Leads: Lisa Wainger, UMCES
Noel Gollehon, USDA NRCS
John Loomis, Colorado State
Robert Johnston, Clark U
LeRoy Hansen, USDA ERS
Darren Carlisle, USGS
Doug Lawrence, Blackwoods
Group
Lisa Duriancik, USDA NRCS
Greg Schwarz, USGS
Marc Ribaudo, USDA ERS
Caron Gala, CFARE
Lead: Kate Zook, USDA OEM
Randall Bluffstone, Portland
State
John Coulston, USFS
Robert Haight, USFS
Jeff Kline, USFS
Steven Polasky, U of MN
Dave Wear, USFS
+ Chris Hartley (USDA OEM) & numerous reviewers and steering committee members
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Pollinator habitat Benefit Relevant Indicator (BRI) example
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More forbs in seed mix
Greater forb diversity/abundance
on field
Greater pollinator diversity/abundance
Higher yield on adjacent cropland
Increase in welfare
Improved honeybee health
Lower cost for pollination services
HIgher honey output
Greater beneficial insect diversity/
abundance
Higher yield / lower input cost on adjacent
cropland
Enhanced aesthetics / existence values
Enhanced recreationGreater bird diversity/
abundance
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Action Process Service ValuePollinator Habitat Conceptual Diagram
Iovanna et al. 20177
Arrows represent data or models
that form the relationship between elements
Data gaps were substantial for pollinator
benefits to crop production (examples)
Outcome Data & information gaps
Bee health / Colony
strength
• Commonly only modeled for native pollinators
• More work needed to understand whether CRP forb
plantings influence honeybee health
Economic returns No simple model that relates hive strength & colony
numbers to economic returns
• Reduced costs to beekeepers
• Increased supply of bees to farmers
• Value of increasing reliability of pollination
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Data gaps being addressed by new research-INVEST pollination model
Adapted to include managed bees and project honey
production as a function of landscape conditions
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Quality of landscape to honeybees
Amanda Preslicka, Eric Lonsdorf, et al. 2016
Managed bee model
ResultsBenefit Relevant Indicators useful for comparing
cost-effectiveness in this data landscape
Pollinator Habitat
Not relevant
Relevant if within range
BRI: Area of pollinator-
dependent crops within flying
distance of pollinator habitat
Food Provision
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Questions?
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Water QualityMultiple monetized benefits
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Water Quality Conceptual Diagram
Arrows represent data or models
that form the relationship between elements.
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Wainger et al. 2017
ActionBenefit
Relevant
Indicators
Final Ecosystem
Service BenefitsEcosystem Features &
Processes
What data & models are needed to value services?Sportfishing example
Adopt
conservation
practices
Valuation
Decreased
runoff
‐ Sediment
‐ Nitrogen
‐ Phosphorus
Decreased
nutrient &
sediment
delivery to
waters
Value of
improved
fishing
Increased
fish
(piscivore)
abundance
Change in
fish caught
per day
Match ecological
& economic
variables for
benefit transfer
function
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Illustrative
Valuation
ResultsWestern Lake
Erie Basin
Case Study
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Carbon sequestration by forestsValue of a bundle of services
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USDA Policy Private land
CRP
Afforestationon marginal agricultural
land
Increase in private
forestland
Increase in carbon stocks
USDA Policy Federal
land restoration
Restoration of federal forestland
Increase in trees on federal
forestland
Increase in carbon stocks
Increased Carbon Stocks
Social Cost of Carbon Avoided negative
impacts to agriculture,
human health, property
damages, energy systems, etc.
$ Benefits for Society
Connecting
USDA
actions and
ecological
outcomes
Connecting
ecological
outcomes
and dollar
values
Forest Carbon Conceptual Diagram
17Bluffstone et al. 2017
Projected changes in carbon stocks resulting
from alternative actions
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Values by discount rate ($ billion)
Policy scenario 5% 3% 2.5%
3% and 95th
Percentile
Reference$125 $517 $807 $1552
Reduced
development $134 $555 $867 $1668
Afforestation and
Reforestation $155 $649 $1014 $1951
High A&F
+ Reduced Fire $158 $660 $1031 $1985
Present value of projected CO2 sequestered
in US forests (2015 -2045) varies by scenario
Actions
added
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Case Study Results: What could be valued with available resources?
Resource area Ecosystem service benefits
Pollinator Habitat
Crop and honey yield changes
Reduced pest control costs
Water Quality
Property value support
Recreational fishing
Nonuse values for aquatic ecosystems
Water supply and recreational services from reservoirs
Commercial shipping benefits
Forest Carbon Damage costs avoided from climate change
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How to use the reports
Methods demonstrated in detail to enable replication
Problem framing
Applying a benefit transfer function (water quality)
Building on Johnston et al. 2006, recreational fishing
Applying discounting with the social cost of carbon (carbon)
Building on Wear and Coulston (2015)
Using biophysical model results in economic models (all)
Unpublished details documented (CEAP)
Data gaps (pollination)
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Questions?
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Synthesis of ecosystem service
modeling opportunities & challenges
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Project Synthesis – Lessons Learned and
Path Forward
Recall overarching purpose – Develop reliable
approaches that use best available science to
estimate ecosystem service values flowing
from USDA conservation programs in
monetary and non-monetary units.
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Lesson 1 -- Create interdisciplinary
analytic teams to enhance credibility
of all aspects of value assessment.
• Federal government and academic scientists bring complementary skills, perspectives and knowledge.
• Building conceptual value diagrams at the outset helps align the interdisciplinary research team.
• Recruit scientists who value contributions from outside their disciplines and who wish to document public benefits.
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Lesson 2 -- Monetize benefits as
appropriate but non-monetary benefit
indicators are valid as well.
Economic theory of valuation tends to promote the monetization of ES values.
However, monetization is not always feasible nor appropriate for some ES benefits of conservation programs.
Non-monetary indicators, such as measures of scarcity of resource provision, can complement monetary measures.
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Lesson 3 -- Demonstrate sensitivities to
assumptions and sources of error to develop
a shared understanding of how results can
best inform policy.
Uncertainty about biophysical and
socioeconomic linkages pervades ES
valuation; treat it transparently!
For sources with quantitative bounds,
analyze the effects on ES values to
ascertain salience, e.g., sensitivity
analyses of social discount rate.
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Lesson 4 – Strategic investments needed
Increased representation of the breadth of
effects, e.g., non-market cultural services
Empower interdisciplinary teams to use best
available science to identify model linkages
Create additional benefit transfer functions
for priority topics with meta analysis
Support new primary valuation studies –
particularly when it illuminates tradeoffs
Develop benefit relevant indicator methods
that are peer-reviewed and replicable
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Conclusions -- Valuing conservation practice
benefits
Best available science is improving but does not fully support a replicable valuation framework that captures all salient values
Not realistic to expect a consistent approach to fit all situations
Non-monetary benefit indicators complement monetary values; useful in cost-effectiveness analysis
Bottom Line – systematic valuation of ES is feasible for a host of conservation benefits
precision of estimates will vary
comparing site specific values is challenging 29
For additional information
All CFARE reportshttp://www.cfare.org/events/2017events/release---the-valuation-of-
ecosystem-services-available-from-farms-and-forests
Pollination model
Amanda Preslicka, Eric Lonsdorf, David Mushet, Emily Kirkpatrick, & AmélieY.
Davis. 2016. Spatially explicit modeling of landscape features for the health of
managed bees. IALE Poster Session. Asheville, NC.
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