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Vale goes to the BM&F Bovespa Stock Exchange · 1 r “This presentation may include statements...
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Vale goes to the BM&F Bovespa Stock Exchange
Luciano Siani
Vale CFO
August 2015
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Dis
clai
mer
“This presentation may include statements that present Vale's
expectations about future events or results. All statements,
when based upon expectations about the future and not on
historical facts, involve various risks and uncertainties. Vale
cannot guarantee that such statements will prove correct.
These risks and uncertainties include factors related to the
following: (a) the countries where we operate, especially
Brazil and Canada; (b) the global economy; (c) the capital
markets; (d) the mining and metals prices and their
dependence on global industrial production, which is cyclical
by nature; and (e) global competition in the markets in which
Vale operates. To obtain further information on factors that
may lead to results different from those forecast by Vale,
please consult the reports Vale files with the U.S. Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Brazilian Comissão de
Valores Mobiliários (CVM), the French Autorité des Marchés
Financiers (AMF) and The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong
Limited, and in particular the factors discussed under
“Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in Vale’s
annual report on Form 20-F.”
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We have been working in several dimensions to further improve
Vale´s highly competitive position
Delivering
projects
Increasing
Volumes Reducing
Costs and
expenses
Increasing
productivity
Strengthening
our license
to operate
Setting the basis
for strong Free
Cash Flows
3
7,117
4,521
3,547
2012 2013 2014
-51%
We have reduced our expenses1,2 significantly
¹ Net of depreciation and amortization.
² Includes SG&A, R&D, Pre-operating and stoppage and Other expenses.
³ Excludes the positive one off impact of US$ 244 million of the goldstream transaction in 1Q13 4 Excludes the positive one off impact of US$ 230 million of the goldstream transaction in 1Q15. 5 Includes US$ 107 million of provisions from environmental obligations, US$ 98 million due to the write-down of thermal coal stocks
and US$ 90 million due to the write-down of the ICMS credits.
Source: Company reports of 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2Q15.
-22%
809
1,204
638 633
295
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
4
US$ millions
3
5
One off impact
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We have also made significant progress on cost reductions,
as per the example of iron ore
C1 Cash Cost FOB¹ port Brazil
US$/t
Freight Costs
US$/t
22.5 21.5
18.3
15.8
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
22.3 21.7
17.2 16.8
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
-30%
¹ Cost of mine, plant, railway and port, excluding ROM, third party acquisitions and royalties (US$ 2,2/t in 3Q14, US$ 1,7/t in
4Q14, US$ 1,5/t in 1Q15 and US$ 1.2/t in 2Q15).
Source: Company reports of 2014 and 2Q15
-25%
Expenses
US$/t
5.9
9.3
4.0 3.9
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
-34%
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And we remain committed to delivering additional
productivity gains
• Improvement in availability of the transportation fleet
in the Northern System
• Resizing of infrastructure, drilling and transportation
fleets
• Optimization of mine plans
• Ramp up of the Itabirites projects
• Improvement in the yield of the concentration plants
• Extension of the natural screening process to older
plants in Carajás
• Full automatic operation of reclaimers
• Automated operation of trains
• Implementation of innovative technology:
− Distributed traction technology
− Energy control systems at the ports
− Reverse routes at the ports
Mine
Beneficiation
Logistics
corridors
Example of initiatives Status
Completed
In implementation
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High quality products will replace lower grade material
We obtained the operational licenses for new mines and
started the ramp up of three Itabiritos projects
Itabirites Projects N4WS and N5S in Carajás
N4WS Waste
Dump
Plant 2
Plant 2
Primary
Crusher
N5W
N5S
N4E
N4W
• N4WS licensed in 2014
―Pre-stripping completed
―Already mining the first layer of product (“canga”)
• N5S extension licensed in May 2015
• Conceição Itabiritos I started up in 4T13
• Vargem Grande Itabiritos started up in 4Q14
• Conceição Itabiritos II started up in 2T15
• Cauê Itabiritos will start up 2S15
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And our iron ore break-even is being reduced
1Q15
18.3
1.5
17.2
4.0
3.6
1.2
43.4
C1 Cash Cost Port
Royalties
Freight
Expenses
Moisture
Quality
Total
2Q15
• Break-even¹
reduced to US$
39.1/dmt
• Carajás’
operational cost
in June, 2015
already at US$
12/t
US$/dmt, adjusted by quality
15.8
1.2
16.8
3.9
3.4
2.0
39.1
Delta vs 1Q15
2.5
0.4
0.1
4.3
Base case price US$ 50/t
¹ Iron ore fines unit cost and expenses landed in China
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Mozambique Coal
Mt
2.0
2.2
2.4
1H13 1H14 1H15
Copper
Kt
Nickel
Kt
Iron Ore¹
Mt
130 129
136
1H13 1H14 1H15
181 169
212
1H13 1H14 1H15
¹ Own production, excluding Samarco’s attributable production
Source: Company reports of 2Q13, 2Q14 and 2Q15.
135
151
160
1H13 1H14 1H15
Our production volumes have increased across all
business segments with the completion of our projects
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The iron ore supply in 2016 will be defined according to margins
340
340
376
Iron oreSupply 2015
Potential increase in 2016
Iron oreSupply 2016
Mt
• The installed
capacity will be 376
Mt in 2016
• The potential
production increase
will be defined
according to the
margins
optimizations plan
• Inventories will be
optimized along the
supply chain
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We expect nickel production to increase in 2H15
69
67 136
167
303
1Q15 2Q15 1H15 2H15 Nickel's totalproduction guidance
2015
Nickel
Kt
• Ramp-up of VNC
• Increase in PTVI’s production after the
maintenance of furnaces
• Higher production in Canada in 2H15 with the
anticipation of the preventive maintenance in
Sudbury originally planned for 2H15
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7.3 7.2
5.1 4.3
1H12 1H13 1H14 1H15
Capex¹
US$ billion
Our capex¹ has reduced as we completed our projects
Status of Vale’s project portfolio
2Q15
• 8 projects delivered in 2014
• S11D advancing as planned: mine and logistics
physical progress of 67% and 41%, respectively
• Conceição Itabiritos II: delivered in 2Q15 and
started up in the quarter
• Cauê Itabiritos: 86% of physical progress
• Mozambique: mine and logistics physical progress
of 93% and 89%, respectively
¹ Growth plus sustaining capex.
Source: Company reports of 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2Q15.
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And we are seeking to further reduce our capex in 2015
2.2
2.1 4.3
~4.0 8.0-8.5
1Q15 2Q15 1H15 2H15 Capex 2015
Capex¹
US$ billion
• Structural reduction in sustaining capex
• Change in scope of some projects
• Positive impact from BRL depreciation
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Project Capacity
Mtpy
Estimated
start-up
Executed capex
US$ million
2015 Total
Estimated capex
US$ million
2015 Total
Physical
progress
Carajás Serra Sul S11D 90 2H16 568 4,060 1,321 6,878² 67%
CLN S11D 230 (80¹) 1H14 to 2H18 924 3,577 2,375 9,484² 41%
Cauê Itabiritos 24 (4¹) 2H15 139 825 350 1,317³ 86%
CSP4 1.5 1H16 - 1,055 185 1,2244 87%
Moatize II 11 2H15 289 1,673 629 2,068 93%
Nacala corridor5 18 2H14 431 3,324 648 4,444 89%
Our investment cycle is almost over
¹ Net additional capacity
² Original capex budget for S11D of US$ 8.089 billion and for CLN S11D of US$ 11.582 billion
³ Original capex budget of US$ 1.504 billion 4 Original capex of US$ 2.734 billion; out of the original capex – US$ 1.491 billion financed directly by CSP project. 5 Completion of the greenfield sections of the Nacala corridor occurred in 4Q14 while brownfield section 7 (500Km) is still being upgraded.
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The S11D project is at an advanced stage of implementation
Main facts (mine and processing plants)
• Start-up: 2H16
• Capacity: 90 Mtpy
• Estimated cash cost1: US$ 10/t
• Fe %: 66.7%
• Production process: truckless mining
system and dry processing.
• Dry processing plant, reducing operating
costs as it avoids the need for tailing
dams.
1 Cash cost FOB port (mine, plant, railway and port, including royalties).
Truckless system
Processing plants
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The S11D project will help us further reduce our costs
US$/dmt, adjusted by quality, 2018(F) with S11D
12.5
1.5
16.2 1.5
2.8 3.7
30.8
C1 Cash CostFOB Port
Royalties Freight Expenses Moisture Quality Total
Gap in relation to 2Q15
3.3 0.6 2.4 1.7 8.3
Base case price: US$ 50/t
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Meanwhile, we continue to divest non-core assets and form
strategic partnerships
El Hatillo
Araucária
Ferroalloy plants in
Europe
Oil and Gas
Concessions I
CADAM
Goldstream I
Goldstream II
VLI
Log-in
Fosbrasil
Tres Valles
Mozambique
deal with Mitsui
Belo Monte
Aluminium
assets
Norsk Hydro
Reference
US$ 1 billion
8 VLOCs¹
MBR preffered
shares
2011
US$ 1.1 billion
2012
US$ 1.5 billion
2013
US$ 6.0 billion
2015
US$ 5.0 billion
10 Very
Large Ore
Carriers
Source: Company reports of 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2Q15.
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From these divestments and partnerships we expect to raise
US$ 6-7 billion in cash proceeds in 2015
Timing Cash Impact
in 2015 Status Initiatives
• Mozambique
Coal
• Project Finance in advanced stage
of discussion
• Government authorizations and
direct agreements with lenders
under discussion
• Goldstream • Completed with US$ 900 million
received in March 2015
4Q
1Q
Transaction details
• Investment agreement with
Mitsui for partnering in the
Mozambique coal project
• Sale of an additional 25% of
the payable gold stream from
the Salobo mine
• VLOCs • Sale of four vessels to COSCO and
other four vessels to China
Merchants Energy Shipping for US$
445 million and US$ 448 million,
respectively
1Q/2Q • Sale of Valemaxes with the
signature of long-term, low
cost freight agreements
• Preffered
shares
• Sale of 36,4% of MBR’s total capital in
preferred shares with call option
• Cash proceeds of R$ 4 billion are
expected until the end 3Q15.
3Q • Issuance of non-voting shares
on specific assets
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In parallel we continue to manage our current debt profile
7.3
5.0
0.7
1.6
Revolvinig creditlines
Financingunrelated to
projects³
Financing ofprojects
Total
Committed lines of credit²
US$ 7,3 billion available in lines of credit
Schedule of amortization of the debt¹
80% of the debt settlement will occur after 2018
¹ On the 30th of July of 2015.
² Amount not withdrawn yet
³ Export – Import Bank of China e Bank of China Limited: credit related to the construction of Valemaxes vessels. 4 BNDES: related to several projects in Brazil.
1.4 1.9 2.4 3.8
19.9
29.4
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019onwards
Grossdebt
US$ billion
4
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Results from our initiatives are already setting the basis for strong
free cash flow generation as of 2018
• Capex will be around US$ 4 billion
• Volumes will increase by about 40% in iron ore, 20% in copper
and 15% in nickel
• Costs will decrease with higher productivity, further dilution of
fixed costs and expenses, and organizational restructuring
• Iron ore quality will support an increase in price realization
• Freight costs will decrease
• Free cash flow and dividends will reach unprecedented levels
and debt will reduce gradually
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