V4 2014 Europatipset report Tips13 analysis
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Transcript of V4 2014 Europatipset report Tips13 analysis
It's all about numbers
1x2 Tips13 system using Experts input and Enhanced Knowledge (ES)
based system with algorithm and data analaysis to improve soccer variation analysis.
Using this approach Tips13 serves as a preprocessor for the final 1x2 system used.
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Chelsea A Stoke City 1,2 5,3 9,3 81,8 13,6 4,5 2,2 0,8 56,8 25,0 18,2 1,8 1,0
F= 1,13
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Chelsea vs Stoke City 74% 17% 10% 81% 67% -47%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
139 27,8 9,81
Attack strength Attack strength
1,45 League Ave is 1 0,74 1 x 2
Defence Defence 45% 23% 32%
0,67 1,21
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Chelsea 1,54 21,48 33,04 25,41 13,03 5,009 1,541 0,395
Stoke City 0,80 44,72 35,99 14,48 3,884 0,781 0,126 0,017
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 27,4 19,5 7,6 1,9 0,4
3 28,9 24,5 13,8 8,5 6,9
2 35,1 30,7 19,9 14,6 13,1
1 38,9 34,5 23,8 18,5 16,9
0 33,1 28,7 18,0 12,7 11,1
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
26.1.2014
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
79% 16% 6%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away
R² = 0,3853
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,0067
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,1042
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
Goals Home vs Away
Chelsea
Stoke City
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Chelsea
Stoke City
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Barcelona A Malaga 1,1 11,0 22,0 68,4 26,3 5,3 2,3 0,7 62,5 22,5 15,0 2,0 0,8
F= 1,08
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Barcelona vs Malaga 87% 8% 4% 92% 83% -75%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
138 34,8 7,52
Attack strength Attack strength
1,82 League Ave is 1 0,64 1 x 2
Defence Defence 47% 21% 33%
0,44 0,81
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Barcelona 1,78 16,94 30,08 26,7 15,8 7,014 2,49 0,737
Malaga 0,68 50,87 34,38 11,62 2,617 0,442 0,06 0,007
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 32,5 19,7 6,5 1,3 0,2
3 33,3 25,1 13,7 9,2 8,1
2 38,8 30,5 19,2 14,7 13,6
1 40,5 32,2 20,8 16,3 15,3
0 33,9 25,7 14,3 9,8 8,7
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
77% 19% 4%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,9646
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,1291
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,9941
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
Goals Home vs Away
Barcelona
Malaga
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Barcelona
Malaga
-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Osasuna A Athletic Bilbao 3,3 3,3 2,1 44,4 16,7 38,9 1,3 1,1 27,5 17,5 55,0 1,1 1,6
F= 1,082
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao 28% 28% 44% 12% 44% 44%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
43,3 22,0 64,2
Attack strength Attack strength
0,57 League Ave is 1 1,21 1 x 2
Defence Defence 47% 21% 33%
0,98 0,88
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Osasuna 0,77 46,49 35,61 13,64 3,482 0,667 0,102 0,013
Athletic Bilbao 1,33 26,46 35,18 23,39 10,36 3,445 0,916 0,203
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 13,9 17,7 11,7 5,2 1,7
3 15,0 19,3 13,4 6,9 3,5
2 20,0 24,4 18,5 12,0 8,5
1 31,0 35,4 29,5 23,0 19,5
0 36,5 40,8 34,9 28,4 25,0
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
33% 17% 50%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,8001
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,0411
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,7029
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
Goals Home vs Away
Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Valencia A Atletico Madrid 8,0 4,6 1,3 31,6 10,5 57,9 1,2 1,4 20,0 15,0 65,0 1,0 2,0
F= 1,112
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid 11% 20% 69% -38% 61% 78%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
27,9 17,7 104
Attack strength Attack strength
0,88 League Ave is 1 1,62 1 x 2
Defence Defence 47% 21% 33%
1,04 0,40
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Valencia 0,86 42,32 36,39 15,64 4,484 0,964 0,166 0,024
Atletico Madrid 1,69 18,51 31,23 26,33 14,81 6,243 2,106 0,592
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 10,2 15,8 13,2 7,4 3,1
3 11,5 17,9 15,4 9,6 5,4
2 17,1 23,4 21,0 15,2 10,9
1 27,5 33,8 31,4 25,6 21,3
0 30,4 36,8 34,3 28,6 24,3
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
19% 12% 70%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,7863
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,3823
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,4551
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
Goals Home vs Away
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Cagliari A AC Milan 3,8 3,5 1,9 45,0 40,0 15,0 1,8 1,8 27,5 40,0 32,5 1,2 1,5
F= 1,079
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Cagliari vs AC Milan 24% 27% 49% 2% 46% 51%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
54,8 63,0 38,9
Attack strength Attack strength
0,64 League Ave is 1 1,08 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%
0,98 1,01
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Cagliari 0,87 42,04 36,43 15,79 4,56 0,988 0,171 0,025
AC Milan 1,22 29,58 36,03 21,94 8,908 2,712 0,661 0,134
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 15,8 18,2 11,0 4,5 1,4
3 17,1 20,3 13,3 6,7 3,6
2 22,7 25,9 18,9 12,3 9,2
1 33,0 36,2 29,2 22,7 19,6
0 35,8 39,0 32,0 25,5 22,4
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
35% 40% 25%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,0532
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,1287
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,75
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
2,00
Goals Home vs Away
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Cagliari
AC Milan
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Fiorentina A Genoa 1,3 4,8 9,3 63,2 21,1 15,8 1,8 1,1 50,0 22,5 27,5 1,5 1,0
F= 1,07
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Fiorentina vs Genoa 70% 20% 10% 80% 61% -41%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
93,8 29,2 22,2
Attack strength Attack strength
1,25 League Ave is 1 0,67 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%
0,67 0,81
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Fiorentina 1,30 27,22 35,42 23,04 9,996 3,252 0,846 0,184
Genoa 0,78 45,74 35,78 13,99 3,649 0,714 0,112 0,015
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 26,1 18,7 7,2 1,8 0,4
3 27,9 22,9 12,0 6,8 5,4
2 34,4 29,4 18,5 13,3 11,9
1 40,6 35,6 24,7 19,5 18,1
0 36,5 31,5 20,6 15,4 14,0
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
65% 20% 15%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,9994
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,5853
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,5981
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
2,00
Goals Home vs Away
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Fiorentina
Genoa
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Parma A Udinese 1,9 3,3 3,9 55,0 25,0 20,0 1,7 1,1 47,5 25,0 27,5 1,6 1,2
F= 1,078
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Parma vs Udinese 48% 28% 24% 52% 44% 4%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
82 34,2 27
Attack strength Attack strength
1,04 League Ave is 1 0,67 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%
0,91 1,04
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Parma 1,21 29,74 36,07 21,87 8,837 2,679 0,65 0,131
Udinese 0,86 42,28 36,4 15,67 4,495 0,967 0,167 0,024
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 23,8 18,8 8,0 2,2 0,5
3 25,6 22,6 12,3 6,7 4,9
2 32,1 29,1 18,8 13,2 11,4
1 39,2 36,2 25,9 20,3 18,5
0 36,0 33,1 22,7 17,1 15,4
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
57% 24% 19%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,5977
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,1749
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,75
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
Goals Home vs Away
Parma
Udinese
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Parma
Udinese
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Sampdoria A Bologna 1,8 3,4 4,7 47,4 26,3 26,3 1,7 1,1 35,0 35,0 30,0 1,5 1,3
F= 1,062
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Sampdoria vs Bologna 52% 28% 20% 60% 45% -5%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
65,1 42,3 33,2
Attack strength Attack strength
0,81 League Ave is 1 0,64 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%
1,04 1,18
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Sampdoria 1,06 34,57 36,72 19,5 6,905 1,833 0,389 0,069
Bologna 0,88 41,57 36,49 16,02 4,686 1,028 0,181 0,026
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 22,6 18,6 8,1 2,3 0,5
3 24,2 21,7 11,5 5,8 4,0
2 30,5 28,0 17,8 12,1 10,3
1 39,1 36,6 26,4 20,7 18,9
0 38,1 35,5 25,3 19,6 17,8
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
46% 30% 24%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,9296
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,7555
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,0035
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
Goals Home vs Away
Sampdoria
Bologna
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sampdoria
Bologna
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Torino A Atalanta 1,7 3,5 4,8 60,0 30,0 10,0 1,9 0,9 42,5 27,5 30,0 1,6 1,2
F= 1,082
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Torino vs Atalanta 54% 26% 19% 62% 47% -9%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
87,1 39,5 21
Attack strength Attack strength
1,11 League Ave is 1 0,71 1 x 2
Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%
0,91 0,98
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Torino 1,25 28,77 35,84 22,33 9,272 2,888 0,72 0,149
Atalanta 0,89 41,12 36,54 16,24 4,81 1,069 0,19 0,028
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 23,4 19,0 8,3 2,4 0,5
3 25,2 22,9 12,8 7,0 5,2
2 31,7 29,4 19,3 13,6 11,7
1 38,5 36,2 26,0 20,3 18,5
0 34,9 32,7 22,5 16,8 14,9
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
59% 27% 14%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,2672
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,1211
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,9748
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
2,00
Goals Home vs Away
Torino
Atalanta
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Torino
Atalanta
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Hamburg SV A Schalke 04 2,7 3,4 2,4 29,4 23,5 47,1 1,7 1,8 26,5 23,5 50,0 1,8 2,1
F= 1,081
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Hamburg SV vs Schalke 04 34% 27% 39% 23% 46% 31%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
48,9 43,4 94,2
Attack strength Attack strength
1,11 League Ave is 1 1,08 1 x 2
Defence Defence 46% 23% 31%
1,28 0,94
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Hamburg SV 1,33 26,4 35,16 23,41 10,39 3,46 0,921 0,205
Schalke 04 1,41 24,34 34,39 24,3 11,45 4,044 1,143 0,269
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 15,6 18,1 12,4 5,7 2,0
3 17,4 22,4 17,3 10,9 7,2
2 23,9 28,9 23,9 17,4 13,7
1 29,7 34,8 29,7 23,3 19,6
0 25,4 30,4 25,4 18,9 15,2
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
26% 23% 51%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,8482
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,369
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,75
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
Goals Home vs Away
Hamburg SV
Schalke 04
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Hamburg SV
Schalke 04
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Werder Bremen A TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 1,8 3,5 4,1 56,3 18,8 25,0 1,8 1,4 50,0 17,6 32,4 1,6 1,4
F= 1,085
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Werder Bremen vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 51% 26% 22% 55% 47% -2%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
88,7 28,0 40,4
Attack strength Attack strength
0,74 League Ave is 1 0,34 1 x 2
Defence Defence 46% 23% 31%
1,25 1,08
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Werder Bremen 1,04 35,44 36,76 19,07 6,594 1,71 0,355 0,061
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 0,72 48,5 35,09 12,7 3,062 0,554 0,08 0,01
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 26,0 17,9 6,4 1,5 0,3
3 27,5 20,8 9,6 4,8 3,6
2 33,8 27,1 15,9 11,1 9,8
1 42,6 35,9 24,7 19,9 18,7
0 42,0 35,3 24,1 19,2 18,0
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
56% 18% 26%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,9999
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,2878
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,8105
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
2,00
Goals Home vs Away
Werder Bremen
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Werder Bremen
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Bordeaux A St Etienne 2,4 2,9 3,0 47,6 14,3 38,1 1,1 0,9 33,3 26,2 40,5 1,1 1,3
F= 1,095
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
Bordeaux vs St Etienne 38% 31% 30% 39% 37% 24%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
44,8 22,2 42,6
Attack strength Attack strength
0,91 League Ave is 1 1,01 1 x 2
Defence Defence 45% 28% 27%
0,77 0,67
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com Bordeaux 0,96 38,44 36,75 17,57 5,599 1,338 0,256 0,041
St Etienne 1,07 34,27 36,7 19,65 7,016 1,879 0,402 0,072
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 18,5 18,6 9,9 3,5 0,9
3 19,9 21,1 12,6 6,3 3,7
2 25,9 27,1 18,6 12,3 9,7
1 35,5 36,7 28,2 21,9 19,3
0 36,4 37,6 29,0 22,7 20,2
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
41% 20% 39%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,88
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,0469
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,0997
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
Goals Home vs Away
Bordeaux
St Etienne
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Bordeaux
St Etienne
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE
Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)
Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH AS Monaco A Marseille 1,7 3,4 4,7 42,9 28,6 28,6 1,2 1,0 46,3 26,8 26,8 1,3 1,0
F= 1,095
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
AS Monaco vs Marseille 54% 27% 19% 61% 46% -7%
Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating
57,5 32,1 28,4
Attack strength Attack strength
1,14 League Ave is 1 0,98 1 x 2
Defence Defence 45% 28% 27%
0,47 0,71
http://www.soccer-rating.com
Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
http://www.soccerstats.com AS Monaco 1,16 31,44 36,38 21,04 8,116 2,348 0,543 0,105
Marseille 0,97 38,06 36,77 17,76 5,717 1,381 0,267 0,043
Probability of each score
HOME DRAW
4 21,4 18,9 9,0 2,9 0,7
3 23,1 22,4 12,9 6,9 4,7
2 29,6 28,9 19,4 13,4 11,2
1 37,2 36,6 27,1 21,0 18,9
0 34,8 34,1 24,6 18,6 16,4
0 1 2 3 4 AWAY
1 x 2 ###
League average
probabilities
GameNo. No.
49% 27% 24%
Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014
R² = 0,6437
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
2
R² = 0,0886
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
1
R² = 0,9201
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 2 4
x
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
Goals Home vs Away
AS Monaco
Marseille
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
AS Monaco
Marseille
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x
ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE