V4 2014 Europatipset report Tips13 analysis

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Stryktipset, Europatipset och Oddset på Tips13 DBASESOFT - Matchfakta och analyser inför veckans omgång varje helg på Stryktips / Europatipset. Spelförslag, tipset, fakta och analys för matcherna på veckans kupong. Tipsrelaterade nyheter, analyser, matchsnack , stryktipset på http://dbasesoft.blogspot.com/

Transcript of V4 2014 Europatipset report Tips13 analysis

It's all about numbers

1x2 Tips13 system using Experts input and Enhanced Knowledge (ES)

based system with algorithm and data analaysis to improve soccer variation analysis.

Using this approach Tips13 serves as a preprocessor for the final 1x2 system used.

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Chelsea A Stoke City 1,2 5,3 9,3 81,8 13,6 4,5 2,2 0,8 56,8 25,0 18,2 1,8 1,0

F= 1,13

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Chelsea vs Stoke City 74% 17% 10% 81% 67% -47%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

139 27,8 9,81

Attack strength Attack strength

1,45 League Ave is 1 0,74 1 x 2

Defence Defence 45% 23% 32%

0,67 1,21

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Chelsea 1,54 21,48 33,04 25,41 13,03 5,009 1,541 0,395

Stoke City 0,80 44,72 35,99 14,48 3,884 0,781 0,126 0,017

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 27,4 19,5 7,6 1,9 0,4

3 28,9 24,5 13,8 8,5 6,9

2 35,1 30,7 19,9 14,6 13,1

1 38,9 34,5 23,8 18,5 16,9

0 33,1 28,7 18,0 12,7 11,1

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

26.1.2014

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

79% 16% 6%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away

R² = 0,3853

0

10

20

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60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,0067

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20

30

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50

60

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80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,1042

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20

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100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,50

1,00

1,50

2,00

2,50

Goals Home vs Away

Chelsea

Stoke City

0

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10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Chelsea

Stoke City

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Barcelona A Malaga 1,1 11,0 22,0 68,4 26,3 5,3 2,3 0,7 62,5 22,5 15,0 2,0 0,8

F= 1,08

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Barcelona vs Malaga 87% 8% 4% 92% 83% -75%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

138 34,8 7,52

Attack strength Attack strength

1,82 League Ave is 1 0,64 1 x 2

Defence Defence 47% 21% 33%

0,44 0,81

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Barcelona 1,78 16,94 30,08 26,7 15,8 7,014 2,49 0,737

Malaga 0,68 50,87 34,38 11,62 2,617 0,442 0,06 0,007

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 32,5 19,7 6,5 1,3 0,2

3 33,3 25,1 13,7 9,2 8,1

2 38,8 30,5 19,2 14,7 13,6

1 40,5 32,2 20,8 16,3 15,3

0 33,9 25,7 14,3 9,8 8,7

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

77% 19% 4%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,9646

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10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,1291

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60

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80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,9941

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20

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60

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80

90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,50

1,00

1,50

2,00

2,50

Goals Home vs Away

Barcelona

Malaga

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30

40

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60

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Barcelona

Malaga

-100%

-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Osasuna A Athletic Bilbao 3,3 3,3 2,1 44,4 16,7 38,9 1,3 1,1 27,5 17,5 55,0 1,1 1,6

F= 1,082

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao 28% 28% 44% 12% 44% 44%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

43,3 22,0 64,2

Attack strength Attack strength

0,57 League Ave is 1 1,21 1 x 2

Defence Defence 47% 21% 33%

0,98 0,88

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Osasuna 0,77 46,49 35,61 13,64 3,482 0,667 0,102 0,013

Athletic Bilbao 1,33 26,46 35,18 23,39 10,36 3,445 0,916 0,203

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 13,9 17,7 11,7 5,2 1,7

3 15,0 19,3 13,4 6,9 3,5

2 20,0 24,4 18,5 12,0 8,5

1 31,0 35,4 29,5 23,0 19,5

0 36,5 40,8 34,9 28,4 25,0

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

33% 17% 50%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,8001

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30

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50

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90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,0411

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60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,7029

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60

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80

90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

1,80

Goals Home vs Away

Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao

0

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10

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25

30

35

40

45

50

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Valencia A Atletico Madrid 8,0 4,6 1,3 31,6 10,5 57,9 1,2 1,4 20,0 15,0 65,0 1,0 2,0

F= 1,112

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid 11% 20% 69% -38% 61% 78%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

27,9 17,7 104

Attack strength Attack strength

0,88 League Ave is 1 1,62 1 x 2

Defence Defence 47% 21% 33%

1,04 0,40

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Valencia 0,86 42,32 36,39 15,64 4,484 0,964 0,166 0,024

Atletico Madrid 1,69 18,51 31,23 26,33 14,81 6,243 2,106 0,592

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 10,2 15,8 13,2 7,4 3,1

3 11,5 17,9 15,4 9,6 5,4

2 17,1 23,4 21,0 15,2 10,9

1 27,5 33,8 31,4 25,6 21,3

0 30,4 36,8 34,3 28,6 24,3

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

19% 12% 70%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,7863

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10

20

30

40

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60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,3823

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10

20

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40

50

60

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80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,4551

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20

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60

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80

90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,50

1,00

1,50

2,00

2,50

Goals Home vs Away

Valencia

Atletico Madrid

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5

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20

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35

40

45

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Valencia

Atletico Madrid

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Cagliari A AC Milan 3,8 3,5 1,9 45,0 40,0 15,0 1,8 1,8 27,5 40,0 32,5 1,2 1,5

F= 1,079

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Cagliari vs AC Milan 24% 27% 49% 2% 46% 51%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

54,8 63,0 38,9

Attack strength Attack strength

0,64 League Ave is 1 1,08 1 x 2

Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%

0,98 1,01

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Cagliari 0,87 42,04 36,43 15,79 4,56 0,988 0,171 0,025

AC Milan 1,22 29,58 36,03 21,94 8,908 2,712 0,661 0,134

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 15,8 18,2 11,0 4,5 1,4

3 17,1 20,3 13,3 6,7 3,6

2 22,7 25,9 18,9 12,3 9,2

1 33,0 36,2 29,2 22,7 19,6

0 35,8 39,0 32,0 25,5 22,4

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

35% 40% 25%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,0532

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10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,1287

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10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,75

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90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

1,80

2,00

Goals Home vs Away

Cagliari

AC Milan

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Cagliari

AC Milan

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Fiorentina A Genoa 1,3 4,8 9,3 63,2 21,1 15,8 1,8 1,1 50,0 22,5 27,5 1,5 1,0

F= 1,07

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Fiorentina vs Genoa 70% 20% 10% 80% 61% -41%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

93,8 29,2 22,2

Attack strength Attack strength

1,25 League Ave is 1 0,67 1 x 2

Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%

0,67 0,81

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Fiorentina 1,30 27,22 35,42 23,04 9,996 3,252 0,846 0,184

Genoa 0,78 45,74 35,78 13,99 3,649 0,714 0,112 0,015

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 26,1 18,7 7,2 1,8 0,4

3 27,9 22,9 12,0 6,8 5,4

2 34,4 29,4 18,5 13,3 11,9

1 40,6 35,6 24,7 19,5 18,1

0 36,5 31,5 20,6 15,4 14,0

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

65% 20% 15%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,9994

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10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,5853

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60

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80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,5981

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100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

1,80

2,00

Goals Home vs Away

Fiorentina

Genoa

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Fiorentina

Genoa

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Parma A Udinese 1,9 3,3 3,9 55,0 25,0 20,0 1,7 1,1 47,5 25,0 27,5 1,6 1,2

F= 1,078

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Parma vs Udinese 48% 28% 24% 52% 44% 4%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

82 34,2 27

Attack strength Attack strength

1,04 League Ave is 1 0,67 1 x 2

Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%

0,91 1,04

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Parma 1,21 29,74 36,07 21,87 8,837 2,679 0,65 0,131

Udinese 0,86 42,28 36,4 15,67 4,495 0,967 0,167 0,024

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 23,8 18,8 8,0 2,2 0,5

3 25,6 22,6 12,3 6,7 4,9

2 32,1 29,1 18,8 13,2 11,4

1 39,2 36,2 25,9 20,3 18,5

0 36,0 33,1 22,7 17,1 15,4

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

57% 24% 19%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,5977

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,1749

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,75

0

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20

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60

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80

90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

1,80

Goals Home vs Away

Parma

Udinese

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Parma

Udinese

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Sampdoria A Bologna 1,8 3,4 4,7 47,4 26,3 26,3 1,7 1,1 35,0 35,0 30,0 1,5 1,3

F= 1,062

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Sampdoria vs Bologna 52% 28% 20% 60% 45% -5%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

65,1 42,3 33,2

Attack strength Attack strength

0,81 League Ave is 1 0,64 1 x 2

Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%

1,04 1,18

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Sampdoria 1,06 34,57 36,72 19,5 6,905 1,833 0,389 0,069

Bologna 0,88 41,57 36,49 16,02 4,686 1,028 0,181 0,026

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 22,6 18,6 8,1 2,3 0,5

3 24,2 21,7 11,5 5,8 4,0

2 30,5 28,0 17,8 12,1 10,3

1 39,1 36,6 26,4 20,7 18,9

0 38,1 35,5 25,3 19,6 17,8

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

46% 30% 24%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,9296

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,7555

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,0035

0

10

20

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40

50

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80

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100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

1,80

Goals Home vs Away

Sampdoria

Bologna

0

5

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20

25

30

35

40

45

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Sampdoria

Bologna

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Torino A Atalanta 1,7 3,5 4,8 60,0 30,0 10,0 1,9 0,9 42,5 27,5 30,0 1,6 1,2

F= 1,082

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Torino vs Atalanta 54% 26% 19% 62% 47% -9%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

87,1 39,5 21

Attack strength Attack strength

1,11 League Ave is 1 0,71 1 x 2

Defence Defence 49% 26% 25%

0,91 0,98

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Torino 1,25 28,77 35,84 22,33 9,272 2,888 0,72 0,149

Atalanta 0,89 41,12 36,54 16,24 4,81 1,069 0,19 0,028

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 23,4 19,0 8,3 2,4 0,5

3 25,2 22,9 12,8 7,0 5,2

2 31,7 29,4 19,3 13,6 11,7

1 38,5 36,2 26,0 20,3 18,5

0 34,9 32,7 22,5 16,8 14,9

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

59% 27% 14%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,2672

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,1211

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,9748

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

1,80

2,00

Goals Home vs Away

Torino

Atalanta

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Torino

Atalanta

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Hamburg SV A Schalke 04 2,7 3,4 2,4 29,4 23,5 47,1 1,7 1,8 26,5 23,5 50,0 1,8 2,1

F= 1,081

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Hamburg SV vs Schalke 04 34% 27% 39% 23% 46% 31%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

48,9 43,4 94,2

Attack strength Attack strength

1,11 League Ave is 1 1,08 1 x 2

Defence Defence 46% 23% 31%

1,28 0,94

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Hamburg SV 1,33 26,4 35,16 23,41 10,39 3,46 0,921 0,205

Schalke 04 1,41 24,34 34,39 24,3 11,45 4,044 1,143 0,269

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 15,6 18,1 12,4 5,7 2,0

3 17,4 22,4 17,3 10,9 7,2

2 23,9 28,9 23,9 17,4 13,7

1 29,7 34,8 29,7 23,3 19,6

0 25,4 30,4 25,4 18,9 15,2

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

26% 23% 51%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,8482

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,369

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,75

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,50

1,00

1,50

2,00

2,50

Goals Home vs Away

Hamburg SV

Schalke 04

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Hamburg SV

Schalke 04

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Werder Bremen A TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 1,8 3,5 4,1 56,3 18,8 25,0 1,8 1,4 50,0 17,6 32,4 1,6 1,4

F= 1,085

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Werder Bremen vs TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 51% 26% 22% 55% 47% -2%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

88,7 28,0 40,4

Attack strength Attack strength

0,74 League Ave is 1 0,34 1 x 2

Defence Defence 46% 23% 31%

1,25 1,08

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Werder Bremen 1,04 35,44 36,76 19,07 6,594 1,71 0,355 0,061

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 0,72 48,5 35,09 12,7 3,062 0,554 0,08 0,01

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 26,0 17,9 6,4 1,5 0,3

3 27,5 20,8 9,6 4,8 3,6

2 33,8 27,1 15,9 11,1 9,8

1 42,6 35,9 24,7 19,9 18,7

0 42,0 35,3 24,1 19,2 18,0

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

56% 18% 26%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,9999

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,2878

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,8105

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

1,80

2,00

Goals Home vs Away

Werder Bremen

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Werder Bremen

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH Bordeaux A St Etienne 2,4 2,9 3,0 47,6 14,3 38,1 1,1 0,9 33,3 26,2 40,5 1,1 1,3

F= 1,095

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

Bordeaux vs St Etienne 38% 31% 30% 39% 37% 24%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

44,8 22,2 42,6

Attack strength Attack strength

0,91 League Ave is 1 1,01 1 x 2

Defence Defence 45% 28% 27%

0,77 0,67

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com Bordeaux 0,96 38,44 36,75 17,57 5,599 1,338 0,256 0,041

St Etienne 1,07 34,27 36,7 19,65 7,016 1,879 0,402 0,072

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 18,5 18,6 9,9 3,5 0,9

3 19,9 21,1 12,6 6,3 3,7

2 25,9 27,1 18,6 12,3 9,7

1 35,5 36,7 28,2 21,9 19,3

0 36,4 37,6 29,0 22,7 20,2

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

41% 20% 39%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,88

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,0469

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,0997

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

Goals Home vs Away

Bordeaux

St Etienne

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Bordeaux

St Etienne

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE

Update Data Source (Ctrl+Alt+F5)

Home Team Away Team 1 X 2 1 X 2 HG AG 1 X 2 HG AGH AS Monaco A Marseille 1,7 3,4 4,7 42,9 28,6 28,6 1,2 1,0 46,3 26,8 26,8 1,3 1,0

F= 1,095

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

AS Monaco vs Marseille 54% 27% 19% 61% 46% -7%

Home Rating Draw Rating Away Rating

57,5 32,1 28,4

Attack strength Attack strength

1,14 League Ave is 1 0,98 1 x 2

Defence Defence 45% 28% 27%

0,47 0,71

http://www.soccer-rating.com

Team Expected goals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

http://www.soccerstats.com AS Monaco 1,16 31,44 36,38 21,04 8,116 2,348 0,543 0,105

Marseille 0,97 38,06 36,77 17,76 5,717 1,381 0,267 0,043

Probability of each score

HOME DRAW

4 21,4 18,9 9,0 2,9 0,7

3 23,1 22,4 12,9 6,9 4,7

2 29,6 28,9 19,4 13,4 11,2

1 37,2 36,6 27,1 21,0 18,9

0 34,8 34,1 24,6 18,6 16,4

0 1 2 3 4 AWAY

1 x 2 ###

League average

probabilities

GameNo. No.

49% 27% 24%

Oddset LeagueHome/Away26.1.2014

R² = 0,6437

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

2

R² = 0,0886

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

1

R² = 0,9201

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 2 4

x

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

Goals Home vs Away

AS Monaco

Marseille

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

AS Monaco

Marseille

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1p Xp 2p 1x 12 2x

ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE ODDS H/A LEAGUE