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Using Multi-Criteria Analysis to Prioritise Coastal ... · Stephen Summerhayes . Manager Projects...
Transcript of Using Multi-Criteria Analysis to Prioritise Coastal ... · Stephen Summerhayes . Manager Projects...
Stephen Summerhayes Manager Projects and Programs
Using Multi-Criteria Analysis to Prioritise Coastal
Adaptation Options for Local Government NCCARF Conference: October 2014
councils caring for the coastal environment
t0C
pH
Sea level
Erosion
Inundation
Flooding
Runoff
Storm surge
Cyclists
Boaters
Campers
Residents
Surfers
Swimmers
Fishers
Surf club
Picnicers
Local councils
councils caring for the coastal environment
ABOUT SCCG
SCCG
Incorporated Association
Established 1989
Sydney Coastal
Councils Group
ABOUT SCCG
HISTORY
ABOUT SCCG
SCCG
Incorporated Association
Established 1989
Regional Organisation of
Councils (ROC)
Peak coastal ROC
Sydney Coastal
Councils Group
ABOUT SCCG
SCCG
Incorporated Association
Established 1989
Regional Organisation of
Councils (ROC)
Peak coastal ROC
15 Member Councils
Sydney Coastal
Councils Group
ABOUT SCCG
SCCG
Incorporated Association
Established 1989
Regional Organisation of
Councils (ROC)
Peak coastal ROC
15 Member Councils
~591 Km of coast (ocean: 109,
estuaries: 482)
Sydney Coastal
Councils Group
ABOUT SCCG
ABOUT SCCG
MISSION
Lead sustainable
coastal management
ABOUT SCCG
OUTCOMES ORIENTED
ABOUT SCCG
Beach Sand Nourishment
Study
Assessment and Decision
Frameworks for Seawall Structures
CCA of Interconnected
Water Infrastructure Project
Prioritising Coastal Adaptation and
Development Options
Landslide Risk Management
Mapping & Responding to
Coastal Inundation
Audit: Sea Level Rise Coastal Erosion and
Inundation Legislation and Policy
Systems Approach to Regional Climate
Change Adaptation
Assessment of climate change legislation and
policy
Emergency Management
Planning Health Check
Sydney’s Salt Dominated Biological
Communities
Coastal Vulnerability to
Multiple Inundation
Beach valuation
2008 VISION 2014 IMPLEMENTATION
PROJECTS
Climate change
Emergency risk
Biodiversity
Infrastructure Vulnerability
KEY
Assessment and Decision
Frameworks for Seawall Structures
CCA of Interconnected
Water Infrastructure Project
Sydney’s Salt Dominated Biological
Communities
Coastal Vulnerability to
Multiple Inundation
Beach Sand Nourishment
Study
Landslide Risk Management
Mapping & Responding to
Coastal Inundation
Audit: Sea Level Rise Coastal Erosion and
Inundation Legislation and Policy
Emergency Management
Planning Health Check
Beach valuation
2008 VISION 2014
Systems Approach to Regional Climate
Change Adaptation
Assessment of climate change legislation and
policy
IMPLEMENTATION
Prioritising Coastal Adaptation and
Development Options
PROJECTS
Climate change
Emergency risk
Biodiversity
Infrastructure Vulnerability
KEY
http://pnefc-online.co.uk
objectives
criteria
data acquisition
options
analysis (options v. criteria)
choice(s)
objectives
criteria
data acquisition
options
analysis (options v. criteria)
choice(s)
Adaptation
options Evaluate
options Time horizons Values
- governance
- economic
- social
- environmental
Workshops
x 3 Survey
BN
Literature
Review
- protection
- accommodation
- retreat
- cross cutting
1-10
10-25
25+
Spatial data
http://image.cdn.ispot.tv/ad/7Vdg/at-and-t-speed-dating-large-9.jpg
Multi-criteria analyses – the framework
Adaptation
options
Literature
Review
- protection
- accommodation
- retreat
- cross cutting
Adaptation options
Protection Retreat
Shoreline stabilisation Acquisition
Beach nourishment Increase setbacks
Groynes or artificial headlands Block development
Sea walls or revetments Rolling easements
Accommodation Cross-Cutting Options
Elevation of structures Community risk education
Removable structures Vulnerability & risk assessments
Risk spreading mechanisms ICZM
Water proofing of properties
Multi-criteria analyses – the framework
Adaptation
options Values
Survey Literature
Review
- protection
- accommodation
- retreat
- cross cutting
What values influence decisions?
Relative importance of values in LG decision-making
Multi-criteria analyses – the framework
Adaptation
options Evaluate
options Time horizons Values
- governance
- economic
- social
- environmental
Workshops
x 3 Survey
Literature
Review
- protection
- accommodation
- retreat
- cross cutting
1-10
10-25
25+
Multi-criteria analyses – the framework
Adaptation
options Evaluate
options Time horizons Values
- governance
- economic
- social
- environmental
Workshops
x 3 Survey
BN
Literature
Review
- protection
- accommodation
- retreat
- cross cutting
1-10
10-25
25+
Monty Hall
http://www.5minute5.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/Nov13_Video.jpg
S2_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
05.0025.049.019.02.00
3.33 ± 0.84S3_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
05.0025.049.019.02.00
3.33 ± 0.84S4_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
011.037.042.08.002.00
3.05 ± 0.65
S2_Performance
-1 1
S1_Performance
-1 1
S3_Performance
-1 1
S4_Performance
-1 1
S_Performance
-1 to -0.8-0.8 to -0.6-0.6 to -0.4-0.4 to -0.2-0.2 to 00 to 0.20.2 to 0.40.4 to 0.60.6 to 0.80.8 to 1
3.0612.65.306.9116.424.118.67.702.852.50
-0.0185 ± 0.43
S_Utility
F2_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
02.0017.048.031.02.00
3.6 ± 0.95F3_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
02.0023.055.017.03.00
3.32 ± 0.77F4_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
04.0422.250.521.22.02
3.38 ± 0.86
F4_Performance
-1 1
F3_Performance
-1 1
F2_Performance
-1 1
F_Performance
-1 to -0.8-0.8 to -0.6-0.6 to -0.4-0.4 to -0.2-0.2 to 00 to 0.20.2 to 0.40.4 to 0.60.6 to 0.80.8 to 1
3.5412.76.4711.417.021.517.24.862.692.50
-0.0658 ± 0.43
F_Utility
F1_Risk_Performance
-1 1
G1_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
1.09.0032.041.016.0 1.0
3.21 ± 0.85
G3_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
01.9820.846.530.7
0
3.59 ± 0.95
G2_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
1.9812.933.738.69.902.97
3.03 ± 0.78
G4_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
02.0023.055.017.03.00
3.32 ± 0.77
G1_Performance
-1 1
G2_Performance
-1 1
G3_Performance
-1 1
G4_Performance
-1 1
G_Performance
-1 to -0.8-0.8 to -0.6-0.6 to -0.4-0.4 to -0.2-0.2 to 00 to 0.20.2 to 0.40.4 to 0.60.6 to 0.80.8 to 1
3.7413.52.923.939.6823.825.610.24.092.53
0.0387 ± 0.45
S1_WEIGHT_NORM
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
3.756.7515.98.2137.528.0
2.31 ± 1.2
F1_WEIGHT_NORM
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
4.818.3515.77.0734.529.6
2.42 ± 1.2
G_Utility
G4_Property_Rights
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
43.111.011.715.718.5
0.444 ± 1.6
G1_Planning_Policy
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
14.331.628.18.5217.4
0.169 ± 1.3
G1_External_Collaboration
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
9.0720.621.920.328.1
-0.377 ± 1.3
S2_Health_and_Safety
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
10.338.016.016.419.3
0.0367 ± 1.3
S1_Social_Protection
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
7.9531.612.717.830.0
-0.302 ± 1.4
S3_Social_Equity
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
7.6433.020.819.419.2
-0.0954 ± 1.3
S4_Community_Acceptance
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
11.027.519.721.120.7
-0.132 ± 1.3
F2_Council_Cost
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
3.9232.110.921.931.2
-0.444 ± 1.3
F3_Community_Cost
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
3.8125.110.929.830.3
-0.576 ± 1.3
F4_Future_Options
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
8.8545.28.9715.221.7
0.0426 ± 1.4
F1_Asset_Protection
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
7.9640.59.7521.120.7
-0.0603 ± 1.3
G3_Council_Liability
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
6.7635.433.17.1417.6
0.0661 ± 1.2
E2_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
01.9815.857.424.8
0
3.48 ± 0.89E3_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
02.0022.049.027.0
0
3.52 ± 0.91E4_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
01.9815.857.424.8
0
3.48 ± 0.89
E2_Performance
-1 1
E3_Performance
-1 1
E4_Performance
-1 1
E1_Performance
-1 1
E_Performance
-1 to -0.8-0.8 to -0.6-0.6 to -0.4-0.4 to -0.2-0.2 to 00 to 0.20.2 to 0.40.4 to 0.60.6 to 0.80.8 to 1
2.7112.79.5611.916.317.714.38.323.922.52
-0.0607 ± 0.44
E_Utility
E1_Natural_Adaptation
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
15.523.012.020.628.9
-0.243 ± 1.5
E2_Enhance_Amenity
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
11.523.211.823.929.7
-0.372 ± 1.4
E3_Externalities
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
9.5227.112.520.030.8
-0.355 ± 1.4
E4_Natural_Buffer
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
15.429.39.0420.925.4
-0.117 ± 1.5
E1_WEIGHT_NORM1
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
0.430.661.430.6687.49.38
1.26 ± 0.71
HAZARD_SLR
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowUnexposedNo Data
4.893.413.152.675.0080.9
0
8.5 ± 22
EROSION_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
4.1712.519.436.123.64.17
3.26 ± 1.1
SLR_RISK
No DataUnexposedVery LowLowModerateHighVery High
2.7064.810.44.925.375.776.08
14.1 ± 33
NET_HAZARD
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowUnexposedNo Data
12.59.538.948.3012.339.09.38
-6800 ± 25000
SLR_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
4.7116.027.837.811.81.90
2.98 ± 0.91
HAZARD_NEAR_TEST
1-1
91.98.12
0.838 ± 0.55
EROSION_RISK
No DataUnexposedVery LowLowModerateHighVery High
2.7070.39.383.423.714.196.33
12.7 ± 32
HAZARD_EROSION
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowUnexposedNo Data
5.081.371.050.971.1090.4
0
6.39 ± 21
PROPERTY_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
17.326.222.513.59.728.112.70
57.9 ± 69
PROPERTY_VALUE_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
PROPERTY_VALUE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
19.839.820.39.904.345.86
0
49.7 ± 29
ROADS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
21.039.417.8.025
0 0
21.8
47.7 ± 33
AIR
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.004 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.504 ± 0.67
AIR_BUS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.004 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.504 ± 0.67
OPEN_DRAINS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
28.025.417.9 0 + 0 0
28.8
45.6 ± 37
WATER_INFRASTRUCTURE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
2.7010.343.922.410.13.397.17
30.7 ± 49
WATER_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
WATER_INFRA_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.3012.326.523.916.27.308.51
29.6 ± 45
WASTE_MANAGE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.006 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.506 ± 0.78
STORM_PIPES
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
18.641.517.8.060
0 0
22.1
46.8 ± 32
TRANSPORT_INFRASTRUCTURE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.885.8927.522.913.211.013.6
32.1 ± 71
TRANSPORT_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
9.5510.516.518.816.714.113.9
54.8 ± 140
TRANSPORT_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
NET_ASSETS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowUnexposedNo Data
14.013.720.714.68.696.0122.3
-1040 ± 2500
FINANCIAL_ASSETS_TEST
1-1
72.227.8
0.444 ± 0.9
F1_W
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
4.818.3515.77.0734.529.6
58.6 ± 180
REC_FACs
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.018 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.517 ± 1.3
TRAILS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
18.142.716.70.61 0 + 0
21.9
46.9 ± 32
RECREATION
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.885.8931.621.810.211.013.6
22.1 ± 24
CARAVAN
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.006 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.505 ± 0.75
OPEN_SPACE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
2.830.210.220.250.8495.7
0
3.32 ± 15
COMMUNITY_HUB
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
33.51.641.631.291.5760.4
0
32.4 ± 42
CHILDCARE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.012 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.511 ± 1
COMMUNITY
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.886.5526.57.097.9740.25.88
18.8 ± 25
COMMUNITY_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
SOCIAL_ASSETS_TEST
1-1
75.724.3
0.513 ± 0.86
NET_SOCIAL_ASSETS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
11.49.8017.715.816.08.7320.5
-960 ± 2400
S1_W
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
3.756.7515.98.2137.528.0
51.4 ± 170
COMMUNITY_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.889.5012.419.918.128.16.16
24.6 ± 48
REC_AREAS_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
REC_AREAS_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
8.3112.118.117.415.714.513.9
31.5 ± 55
E1_W
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantNo Data
0.430.661.430.6687.49.38
14.7 ± 68
NET_ECO_ASSETS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
1.221.271.440.971.6593.4
0
7.58 ± 52
CRITICAL_HABITAT
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
1.681.331.190.941.7293.1
0
3.38 ± 14
BIODIVERSITY_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
BIODIVERSITY_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
1.221.271.440.971.6593.4
0
4.69 ± 23
ECO_ASSETS_TEST
1-1
100 0
1 ± 0
ERODABLE_COAST
YesNo
PUBLIC_LAND
YesNo
ROOM_FOR_SETBACK
YesNo
STUDY_REGION
SydneySunshine CoastBega
ADAPTATION_OPTION
Shoreline stablisationBeach nourishmentGroynes or headlandsSeawalls or revetmentsElevation of structuresRemovable structuresRisk spreadingWater proofingAcquisition of propertiesIncrease setbacksBlock developmentRolling easement
1.674191.421840.527050.321230.835881.280220.407000.427800.807721.332091.462650.95909
PLANNING_HORIZON
T 0 to 10 YearsT 10 to 25 YearsT 25 Years or More
The BN
S2_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
05.0025.049.019.02.00
3.33 ± 0.84S3_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
05.0025.049.019.02.00
3.33 ± 0.84S4_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
011.037.042.08.002.00
3.05 ± 0.65
S2_Performance
-1 1
S1_Performance
-1 1
S3_Performance
-1 1
S4_Performance
-1 1
S_Performance
-1 to -0.8-0.8 to -0.6-0.6 to -0.4-0.4 to -0.2-0.2 to 00 to 0.20.2 to 0.40.4 to 0.60.6 to 0.80.8 to 1
3.0612.65.306.9116.424.118.67.702.852.50
-0.0185 ± 0.43
S_Utility
F2_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
02.0017.048.031.02.00
3.6 ± 0.95F3_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
02.0023.055.017.03.00
3.32 ± 0.77F4_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
04.0422.250.521.22.02
3.38 ± 0.86
F4_Performance
-1 1
F3_Performance
-1 1
F2_Performance
-1 1
F_Performance
-1 to -0.8-0.8 to -0.6-0.6 to -0.4-0.4 to -0.2-0.2 to 00 to 0.20.2 to 0.40.4 to 0.60.6 to 0.80.8 to 1
3.5412.76.4711.417.021.517.24.862.692.50
-0.0658 ± 0.43
F_Utility
F1_Risk_Performance
-1 1
G1_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
1.09.0032.041.016.0 1.0
3.21 ± 0.85
G3_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
01.9820.846.530.7
0
3.59 ± 0.95
G2_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
1.9812.933.738.69.902.97
3.03 ± 0.78
G4_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
02.0023.055.017.03.00
3.32 ± 0.77
G1_Performance
-1 1
G2_Performance
-1 1
G3_Performance
-1 1
G4_Performance
-1 1
G_Performance
-1 to -0.8-0.8 to -0.6-0.6 to -0.4-0.4 to -0.2-0.2 to 00 to 0.20.2 to 0.40.4 to 0.60.6 to 0.80.8 to 1
3.7413.52.923.939.6823.825.610.24.092.53
0.0387 ± 0.45
S1_WEIGHT_NORM
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
3.756.7515.98.2137.528.0
2.31 ± 1.2
F1_WEIGHT_NORM
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
4.818.3515.77.0734.529.6
2.42 ± 1.2
G_Utility
G4_Property_Rights
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
43.111.011.715.718.5
0.444 ± 1.6
G1_Planning_Policy
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
14.331.628.18.5217.4
0.169 ± 1.3
G1_External_Collaboration
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
9.0720.621.920.328.1
-0.377 ± 1.3
S2_Health_and_Safety
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
10.338.016.016.419.3
0.0367 ± 1.3
S1_Social_Protection
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
7.9531.612.717.830.0
-0.302 ± 1.4
S3_Social_Equity
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
7.6433.020.819.419.2
-0.0954 ± 1.3
S4_Community_Acceptance
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
11.027.519.721.120.7
-0.132 ± 1.3
F2_Council_Cost
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
3.9232.110.921.931.2
-0.444 ± 1.3
F3_Community_Cost
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
3.8125.110.929.830.3
-0.576 ± 1.3
F4_Future_Options
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
8.8545.28.9715.221.7
0.0426 ± 1.4
F1_Asset_Protection
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
7.9640.59.7521.120.7
-0.0603 ± 1.3
G3_Council_Liability
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
6.7635.433.17.1417.6
0.0661 ± 1.2
E2_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
01.9815.857.424.8
0
3.48 ± 0.89E3_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
02.0022.049.027.0
0
3.52 ± 0.91E4_Weight
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
01.9815.857.424.8
0
3.48 ± 0.89
E2_Performance
-1 1
E3_Performance
-1 1
E4_Performance
-1 1
E1_Performance
-1 1
E_Performance
-1 to -0.8-0.8 to -0.6-0.6 to -0.4-0.4 to -0.2-0.2 to 00 to 0.20.2 to 0.40.4 to 0.60.6 to 0.80.8 to 1
2.7112.79.5611.916.317.714.38.323.922.52
-0.0607 ± 0.44
E_Utility
E1_Natural_Adaptation
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
15.523.012.020.628.9
-0.243 ± 1.5
E2_Enhance_Amenity
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
11.523.211.823.929.7
-0.372 ± 1.4
E3_Externalities
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
9.5227.112.520.030.8
-0.355 ± 1.4
E4_Natural_Buffer
Strongly AgreeAgreeNeither Agree Nor DisagreeDisagreeStrongly Disagree
15.429.39.0420.925.4
-0.117 ± 1.5
E1_WEIGHT_NORM1
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
0.430.661.430.6687.49.38
1.26 ± 0.71
HAZARD_SLR
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowUnexposedNo Data
4.893.413.152.675.0080.9
0
8.5 ± 22
EROSION_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
4.1712.519.436.123.64.17
3.26 ± 1.1
SLR_RISK
No DataUnexposedVery LowLowModerateHighVery High
2.7064.810.44.925.375.776.08
14.1 ± 33
NET_HAZARD
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowUnexposedNo Data
12.59.538.948.3012.339.09.38
-6800 ± 25000
SLR_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
4.7116.027.837.811.81.90
2.98 ± 0.91
HAZARD_NEAR_TEST
1-1
91.98.12
0.838 ± 0.55
EROSION_RISK
No DataUnexposedVery LowLowModerateHighVery High
2.7070.39.383.423.714.196.33
12.7 ± 32
HAZARD_EROSION
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowUnexposedNo Data
5.081.371.050.971.1090.4
0
6.39 ± 21
PROPERTY_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
17.326.222.513.59.728.112.70
57.9 ± 69
PROPERTY_VALUE_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
PROPERTY_VALUE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
19.839.820.39.904.345.86
0
49.7 ± 29
ROADS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
21.039.417.8.025
0 0
21.8
47.7 ± 33
AIR
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.004 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.504 ± 0.67
AIR_BUS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.004 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.504 ± 0.67
OPEN_DRAINS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
28.025.417.9 0 + 0 0
28.8
45.6 ± 37
WATER_INFRASTRUCTURE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
2.7010.343.922.410.13.397.17
30.7 ± 49
WATER_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
WATER_INFRA_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.3012.326.523.916.27.308.51
29.6 ± 45
WASTE_MANAGE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.006 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.506 ± 0.78
STORM_PIPES
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
18.641.517.8.060
0 0
22.1
46.8 ± 32
TRANSPORT_INFRASTRUCTURE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.885.8927.522.913.211.013.6
32.1 ± 71
TRANSPORT_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
9.5510.516.518.816.714.113.9
54.8 ± 140
TRANSPORT_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
NET_ASSETS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowUnexposedNo Data
14.013.720.714.68.696.0122.3
-1040 ± 2500
FINANCIAL_ASSETS_TEST
1-1
72.227.8
0.444 ± 0.9
F1_W
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
4.818.3515.77.0734.529.6
58.6 ± 180
REC_FACs
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.018 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.517 ± 1.3
TRAILS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
18.142.716.70.61 0 + 0
21.9
46.9 ± 32
RECREATION
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.885.8931.621.810.211.013.6
22.1 ± 24
CARAVAN
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.006 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.505 ± 0.75
OPEN_SPACE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
2.830.210.220.250.8495.7
0
3.32 ± 15
COMMUNITY_HUB
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
33.51.641.631.291.5760.4
0
32.4 ± 42
CHILDCARE
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
.012 0 0 0 0
100 0
0.511 ± 1
COMMUNITY
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.886.5526.57.097.9740.25.88
18.8 ± 25
COMMUNITY_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
SOCIAL_ASSETS_TEST
1-1
75.724.3
0.513 ± 0.86
NET_SOCIAL_ASSETS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
11.49.8017.715.816.08.7320.5
-960 ± 2400
S1_W
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantDont know
3.756.7515.98.2137.528.0
51.4 ± 170
COMMUNITY_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
5.889.5012.419.918.128.16.16
24.6 ± 48
REC_AREAS_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
REC_AREAS_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
8.3112.118.117.415.714.513.9
31.5 ± 55
E1_W
CriticalHigh importanceModerate importanceLow importanceNot importantNo Data
0.430.661.430.6687.49.38
14.7 ± 68
NET_ECO_ASSETS
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
1.221.271.440.971.6593.4
0
7.58 ± 52
CRITICAL_HABITAT
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
1.681.331.190.941.7293.1
0
3.38 ± 14
BIODIVERSITY_W
Not importantLow importanceModerate importanceHigh importanceCriticalDont know
20.020.020.020.020.0
0
2.8 ± 1.3
BIODIVERSITY_RISK
Very HighHighModerateLowVery LowNoneNo Data
1.221.271.440.971.6593.4
0
4.69 ± 23
ECO_ASSETS_TEST
1-1
100 0
1 ± 0
ERODABLE_COAST
YesNo
PUBLIC_LAND
YesNo
ROOM_FOR_SETBACK
YesNo
STUDY_REGION
SydneySunshine CoastBega
ADAPTATION_OPTION
Shoreline stablisationBeach nourishmentGroynes or headlandsSeawalls or revetmentsElevation of structuresRemovable structuresRisk spreadingWater proofingAcquisition of propertiesIncrease setbacksBlock developmentRolling easement
1.674191.421840.527050.321230.835881.280220.407000.427800.807721.332091.462650.95909
PLANNING_HORIZON
T 0 to 10 YearsT 10 to 25 YearsT 25 Years or More
The BN
‘Near-term’ time horizon
Adaptation Option G1 G2 G3 G4 F1 F2 F3 F4 S1 S2 S3 S4 E1 E2 E3 E4
Shoreline stabilisation 1.6 -0.1 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.4 1.6 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.2
Beach nourishment 1.5 -0.7 1.1 1.0 0.6 -0.7 -0.5 -0.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 -0.5 0.2
Groynes or artificial headlands 1.3 -1.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 -1.0 -0.3 -0.5 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 -0.1 -0.8 -1.2 -0.6
Sea walls or revetments 1.4 -1.0 0.9 -0.1 1.3 -1.1 -0.5 -1.0 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.4 -0.4 -1.1 -0.8 -0.6
Elevation of structures 1.1 0.7 0.9 -0.4 0.9 -0.9 -0.6 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.3 0.6 0.3
Removable structures in at-risk areas 1.0 0.6 1.0 -0.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.4
Risk spreading mechanisms -0.2 -0.5 0.5 0.2 0.7 -0.4 -0.5 0.3 0.0 -0.3 0.4 0.1 -0.8 -1.0 -0.1 -0.6
Water proofing of at-risk properties 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.5 -0.5 -0.5 0.2 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.6 -0.4 0.1 -0.2
Acquisition of at-risk properties 0.6 0.7 -0.3 -0.5 0.5 -1.8 0.0 -0.5 -0.1 0.8 -0.5 -0.1 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.7
Increase setbacks on at-risk properties 0.4 -0.3 0.7 -0.6 1.1 1.0 -0.5 1.2 0.4 1.2 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.0 0.5 1.0
Block development on at-risk properties 1.0 -0.1 0.7 -0.9 0.0 0.8 -1.4 1.2 -0.3 1.1 0.9 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Implement rolling easements -0.5 -0.8 0.3 -1.0 0.1 0.9 -0.7 0.9 -0.1 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.7 -0.1 0.5 0.3
Community education about risk 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.5 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0
Assessments of vulnerability and risk 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 -0.3 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Integrated coastal zone management 1.1 -0.6 0.6 0.1 0.9 -0.3 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4
Multi-criteria analyses – the framework
Adaptation
options Evaluate
options Time horizons Values
- governance
- economic
- social
- environmental
Workshops
x 3 Survey
BN
Literature
Review
- protection
- accommodation
- retreat
- cross cutting
1-10
10-25
25+
Spatial data
Additional decision nodes
Asset categories and data
Additional decision nodes
Coastal hazards
Visualisation
Visualisation
Stephen Summerhayes Manager Projects and Programs
Contact Address: Town Hall House, 456 Kent Street, Sydney, 2000
Email: [email protected]
councils caring for the coastal environment