Using Financial Statements for Rule #1...
Transcript of Using Financial Statements for Rule #1...
Financial Statements Tell a Story
� Financial statements reveal the reality of what is happening.
� Rule #1 uncovers the picture about how companies are doing.
…SO THAT WE CAN PREDICT WHAT THEY MAY DO IN THE FUTURE.
Liabilities Things you owe � Payables to: -- vendors -- government � Loans from: -- banks -- bond holders
Owner’s Equity � Contributed Capital ◦ monies from IPO
� Retained Earnings ◦ profits not distributed as dividends since beginning of company existence ◦ ties into Income Statement
Home Depot 2013 Balance Sheet Assets:
Current assets $15.4 Long-term assets $25.7
Total assets $41.1
Liabilities:
Current Liabilities $11.5 LT Liabilities $11.8
Total Liabilities $23.3
Owners Equity:Common Equity $0.5 Retained earnings $28.0 Treasury Stock ($10.7)
Total Owners Equity $17.8
Total Liab.+ Owners Equity $41.1
Asset Values are Historic � Balance Sheet shows the historical cost of assets…. not current market values
� Many companies possess “off balance sheet assets” like implicit goodwill (not recorded), patent values
� Cash basis: revenue when cash flows in and expense when cash flows out.
� Accrual basis (GAAP required): revenue earned when there is an exchange of value and expenses recognized when incurred. No collection or payment needed.
Accrual vs. Cash acctg
Home Depot Income Statement
2013 $ %
Sales $74.7 100%
Cost of Goods ($48.8) 65%
Gross Profit $25.9 35%
Operating Exp $18.1 24%
Oper. Income $7.8 10%
Income Taxes ($2.7) 4%
Net Income $5.1 7%
Home Depot- Cash Flow 2013 ($billions rounded)
Cash Operations $6.98
Cash - Investing ($1.43)
Cash - Financing ($5.00)
Change in Cash $0.50
HD Details of Cash – Investing (in $billions rounded)
Buy: Acquisitions ($0.17)
Buy: Property, Equipment ($1.31)
Sale: Property $.05
Cash from Investing ($1.43)
Home Depot- Cash Flow 2013 ($billions rounded)
Cash Operations $6.98
Cash - Investing ($1.43)
Cash - Financing ($5.00)
Change in Cash $0.50
Stock Buyback Effects Buybacks produce reduction of cash and reduction of stockholder’s equity by reducing the number of common shares outstanding. � EPS and FCF increase � ROA and ROE increase � Book Value decreases
Big 4 Growth Rates � Book Value/sh. + Dividends/sh.
� Earnings/sh.
� Operating Cash Flow / sh.
� Sales revenue / sh.
#1: Book Value + Dividends
Book Value/sh. = Owner’s Equity divided by # common shares (essentially liquidation value) Dividends/sh. = Total dividends paid per year divided by number of shares
#4: Revenue per share
Sales Revenue / share =
Sales Revenue # common shares … expressed in dollars/share
Refresh: Big 4 Growth Rates
� Book Value/sh. + Dividends/sh. � Earnings per share � Operating Cash Flow per share � Sales per share
… all four cylinders of profit growth running smoothly
Basic Concept: ROI
Return on Investment = Earnings / Cost of Investment Example:
$50,000 / $1,000,000 = 5%
Return on Equity: Annual return on initial invested
plus profits not distributed
Net Income Common Stock Equity …. Expressed as a % (10% or more) and often >20%
Return on Invested Capital Annual Return on Debt and Equity
Net Income____________ LT Debt + Total Stockholder Equity …. Expressed as a % (10% or more) usually equal to Return on Assets
Time to repay debt What is the weight of debt?
Total LT Debt Net Income
…. Expressed in years (nearest tenth); seeking 3 years or less
Valuations � Margin Of Safety ◦ EPS from Income Statement
� Payback Time ◦ Free Cash Flow from Cash Flow
Statement
� Cap Rate ◦ Owners Cash Flow… from Cash Flow
Statement
Conclusion: • Knowing a little bit about how financial statements work will give you important insights into how a company is really performing. • With the Rule #1 website, you gain a valuable tool to save time and sharpen your search for wonderful companies.