Using Comparative Long-term Benthic Data For Adaptive ... · Montagna et al. Hydrological Changes...
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Using Comparative Long-term Benthic Data For Adaptive Management Of Freshwater
Inflow To Three Basins
Melissa Rohal and Paul Montagna
TWDB Interagency Agreement # 18000122236 1
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Project Purpose
• Complete analyses of long-term benthic archive samples to evaluate the
adequacy of the freshwater inflow standards adopted as part of the
Senate Bill 3 adaptive management process
• Support Basin and Bay Area Stakeholders Committees (BBASC) of three
basins:
• CL (Colorado and Lavaca Rivers and Matagorda and Lavaca Bays) BBASC
• GSA (Guadalupe, San Antonio, Mission, & Aransas Rivers and Mission,
Copano, Aransas, & San Antonio Bays) BBASC
• Nueces (Nueces River and Corpus Christi and Baffin Bays) BBASC
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GSA BBASC Work Plan Needs
• Guadalupe Estuary Specific
• Tier 1 Priorities:
• Priority 1 Life Cycle Habitat & Salinity Studies for Key Faunal Species
• Priority 3 Rangia Clam Investigations
• Tier 3 Priorities:
• Nutrient Load & Concentration Monitoring
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Approach to Link Inflow and Living Resources
• Inflow Has Indirect Effects: “Domino Theory”
• We will link estuary conditions to benthic response using multivariate analysis
and non-linear models to find optimal salinity ranges
Sources: Alber (2002) Estuaries; Palmer et al. Hydrobiologia (2011); Montagna et al. Hydrological Changes and Estuarine Dynamics (2013)
Freshwater Inflow• Quantity
⁻ Timing⁻ Frequency ⁻ Duration⁻ Extent
• Quality• Tidal connections
Estuarine Conditions• Salinity• Sediment• Dissolved material• Particulate material
Estuarine Resources• Integrity
⁻ Species composition⁻ Abundance⁻ Biomass⁻ Diversity
• Function⁻ Primary production⁻ Secondary production⁻ Nutrient recycling
• Sustainability⁻ Habitats⁻ Valued resources⁻ Ecosystem services
Source: Montagna et al. 1996, CCBNEP #8
http://cbbep.org/publications/virtuallibrary/ccbnep08.pdf
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Bioindicators Used by BBEST’s
Bay System Indicator Species
Sabine Lake, 2009 Eastern oyster, Atlantic rangia, Blue crab juveniles, Olney bulrush, Intermediate marsh, Brackish marsh
Galveston Bay, 2009 Eastern oyster, Atlantic rangia, Dermo, Oyster drill, Wild celery, Gulf menhaden, blue catfish, Mantis shrimp, Pinfish
Brazos River, 2012 Salinity, Nutrients, Sediment supply
Lavaca and Matagorda Bays, 2011 Eastern oyster, Dermo, Oyster drill, brown shrimp, white shrimp, blue crab, Gulf menhaden and Atlantic croaker, Benthic infauna
Mission, Copano, Aransas, and San Antonio Bays, 2011
Eastern oyster, Atlantic rangia, brown rangia, white shrimp, Blue crab
Nueces, Corpus Christi, and Baffin Bays, 2011
Eastern oyster, Atlantic rangia, Smooth cordgrass, benthic infauna, blue crab, Atlantic croaker, nutrient cycling, sediment loading
Lower Laguna Madre, 2012 Seagrasses
But, it’s not only Rangia, it’s all benthos!
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Benthos are Excellent BioindicatorsBecause they Cannot Move
• Sessile
• Relatively long-lived
• Diverse
• Well known
• Respond to food from above
Source: Tenore, K.R. et al. (2006) Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology 330: 392-402.
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Benthos are Excellent Bioindicators Because they are Integrators
• Sediments are the
memory of the ecosystem
• Benthos affected first and most
• Thus, benthos are integrators
• overlying water column is dynamic
• benthos sample and integrate ephemeral
events over long times scales
EXCHANGE
Source: Montagna et al. 1996, CCBNEP #8
http://cbbep.org/publications/virtuallibrary/ccbnep08.pdf
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Importance of Long-Term Research*
• Provides a unique perspective on environmental processes, dynamics of
populations and communities of organisms
• Ecological relationships can be obscured in short term studies by common
features such as time lags, natural variability, nonlinear relationships, interactive
drivers, or relatively slow processes
• Led to major scientific discoveries
*Source: Hampton et al. (2019) Limnol. Oceanogr. 64:S2-S10 8
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Maintained the Long-Term Program Via Synergies
• First TWDB studies began in 1987 with focus on San Antonio Bay
• Many synergistic projects in San Antonio Bay
• Federal = EPA, NASA, NOAA, NFWF, NSF, USGS
• State = TARP, TRDF, TCEQ, TGLO, TPWD, TXSG
• Other = CBBEP, CCBNEP, Private Foundations (3)
• Current Projects:
• NOAA – “The Hydrological Switch: A Novel Mechanism Explains
Eutrophication and Acidification of Estuaries”
• NSF – “RAPID: Capturing the Signature of Hurricane Harvey on Texas
Coastal Lagoons”
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Importance of the Comparative Approach
Texas Coast-wide Inflow Gradient Provides a Perfect Natural Experiment
-500 0 500 1000 1500
LM
NC
MA
GE
LC
TSJ
SN
Inflow Balance (1000 ac-ft/month)
Inflow (TWDB): 1941-2009Salinity (TPWD): 1977-2015 10
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TX Estuaries Long-Term Studies
• 3 Estuaries studied since 1987
• Water and sediment quality
measured at fixed stations
• Image of turbidity gradients
after a flooding event
LC
GE
NC
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Benthic/FWI Long-term Studies (1986-2019)
• Climatic, across estuary gradient
• 2 Positive Estuaries = LC and GE
• 2 Neutral Estuaries = MA and NC
• 1 Negative Estuary = LM
• Inflow, within estuary gradient
• Secondary bay with two stations
• Primary bay with two stations
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Inflow Drives Estuary Conditions
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Salinity Variability Drives Integrity
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Effects of Droughts in 8 Texas Bays
Nitrate + NitriteReduced loading
ChlorophyllReduced nutrients
pH
Reduced
photosynthesis
Water Quality
Abundance
Size (length)
Juvenile Abundance
Juvenile %
Shrimp
Abundance
Size (width)
Juvenile Abundance
Juvenile %
Blue Crabs
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Current Discoveries – Benthos are Declining Everywhere Except Upper San Antonio Bay
EstMetric
LC GE NC
Abundance
Biomass
Diversity
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Tasks and Timelines01-Feb-2018 to 31-Aug-2019
Tasks
2018 2019
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Archive analysis X X X X X
Quarterly reports X X X X X X
Draft Final Report X X
Final Report X
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Questions?
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