Using bargaining-game theory for negotiating concession period for bot -type contract

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Presented by: Alaa Albesher. Using bargaining-game theory for negotiating concession period for bot -type contract. Objective. Concession Period. BOT Concession Model (BOTCcM) . Principles of Bargaining Theory. Bargaining Process. Critique. Outline:. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Using bargaining-game theory for negotiating concession period for bot -type contract

  • Presented by: Alaa Albesher

  • Objective.Concession Period.BOT Concession Model (BOTCcM).Principles of Bargaining Theory.Bargaining Process. Critique.

  • Concession period is one of the most important decision variables in arranging a BOT-type contract.This paper introduces a method to enable the identification of a specific concession period.

  • The granted period of time by government to operate the facility and generate revenue.

  • Short concession period investor rejects the contract or increase service fees. (Investor or Public Disadvantage)Prolonged concession period government lose profit.(Government Disadvantage)

  • The span of the concession period shall protect the basic interests of both the government and the private investor.IR NPV(Tc) NPV(Tf)IR: expected return of investment.NPV(Tc): net present value generated during the concession period.NPV(Tf): net present value generated during the project economic life.

  • Bargaining is a process through which the players try to reach an agreement by making offers and counteroffers.Principles:Rational behavior.Information sharing.Bargaining payoff.Bargaining cost.Time value (discount factor)

  • Should make a reasonable offer by analyzing the investors position.This will reduce the chance of further bargaining.Counteroffer will cause bargaining cost and time cost.Maximum and minimum concession period values gets closer with bargaining.

  • Should make a reasonable offer by analyzing the governments position.This will reduce the chance of further bargaining.Counteroffer will cause bargaining cost and time cost.Maximum and minimum concession period values gets closer with bargaining.

  • Positive:There are only few studies regarding the length of the concession period.Specific agreeable concession period can be identified by using this method.

  • Negative:Bargaining will take longer than if concession time is specified in the tender.Calculations are not easy to follow because of the symbols used.If the maximum value is at the last year of the project life, this will make a very long time range.

  • Any Questions!