Usa pulse crops mr. jeffery van pevenage

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USA PULSE CROPS USA PULSE CROPS JEFF VAN PEVENAGE JEFF VAN PEVENAGE SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT COLUMBIA GRAIN COLUMBIA GRAIN
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The USA Pulse Crops by Columbia Grain. Presentation at The Pulses Conclave 2014 from India Pulse & Grains Association, IPGA

Transcript of Usa pulse crops mr. jeffery van pevenage

Page 1: Usa pulse crops   mr. jeffery van pevenage

USA PULSE USA PULSE CROPSCROPS

JEFF VAN PEVENAGEJEFF VAN PEVENAGE

SENIOR VICE PRESIDENTSENIOR VICE PRESIDENT

COLUMBIA GRAINCOLUMBIA GRAIN

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Washington/IdahoWashington/Idaho

#1 Green Peas BrandedChickpeas

Pardina & RegularLentils

Pardina Lentils

Green Lentils

Yellow Peas

Green Peas

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MontanaMontana#1 Green Peas#1 Yellow Peas #2 Green Peas

#2 Yellow Peas

Richlea & EstonLentils

Red Lentils

Red Lentils

Green Lentils

Yellow Peas

Green Peas

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North Dakota & South North Dakota & South DakotaDakota

#2 Green Peas#2 Yellow Peas

Red Lentils

Green Lentils

Yellow Peas

Green Peas

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NebraskaNebraska

Yellow Peas

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STATE BY STATE PEA STATE BY STATE PEA SEEDINGSEEDING

050,000

100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000450,000

Acres

2013 2012 2011 2010

Year

United States Acreage

Green Peas

Yellow Peas

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Acres

2013 2012 2011 2010

Year

Washington/Idaho Acreage

Green Peas

Yellow Peas

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Acres

2013 2012 2011 2010

Year

North Dakota Acreage

Green Peas

Yellow Peas

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Acres

2013 2012 2011 2010

Year

Montana Acreage

Green Peas

Yellow Peas

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PNW PRODUCTION PNW PRODUCTION SEASON WEATHERSEASON WEATHER

PNW REGION IDEAL WITH EARLY PNW REGION IDEAL WITH EARLY SEASONSEASON

FROST HIT AFTER SEEDING STUNTEDFROST HIT AFTER SEEDING STUNTED HOT WEATHER DURING BLOOM ETCHOT WEATHER DURING BLOOM ETC HARVEST WAS MIXED WITH EARLY HARVEST WAS MIXED WITH EARLY

HARVEST GOOD BUT LATER HAS HARVEST GOOD BUT LATER HAS BLEACHBLEACH

YIELDS AVERAGEYIELDS AVERAGE

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MONTANA PRODUCTION MONTANA PRODUCTION SEASON WEATHERSEASON WEATHER

WESTERN MONTANA EARLY AND WESTERN MONTANA EARLY AND IDEALIDEAL

NE MONTANA LATE SEEDED AND NE MONTANA LATE SEEDED AND LATE HARVESTINGLATE HARVESTING

GROWING SEASON IDEALGROWING SEASON IDEAL OVER 10% ACREAGE LOST TO OVER 10% ACREAGE LOST TO

WEATHERWEATHER YIELDS WERE RECORDYIELDS WERE RECORD

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NORTH DAKOTA NORTH DAKOTA PRODUCTION SEASON PRODUCTION SEASON

WEATHERWEATHER AREA WET EARLY AND LATE AREA WET EARLY AND LATE

SEEDEDSEEDED COOL WET SUMMERCOOL WET SUMMER HARVEST LATEHARVEST LATE YIELDS VERY GOODYIELDS VERY GOOD QUALITY LOOKS AVERAGE SOME QUALITY LOOKS AVERAGE SOME

BLEACHBLEACH

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2013 US PRODUCTION2013 US PRODUCTION OVERALL YIELDS WERE HIGHEROVERALL YIELDS WERE HIGHER LENTILS YIELDS WERE HIGH APPEARANCE LENTILS YIELDS WERE HIGH APPEARANCE

AVERAGEAVERAGE CHICKPEAS SIZING SMALLER THAN LAST YEAR CHICKPEAS SIZING SMALLER THAN LAST YEAR

BUT QUALITY GOODBUT QUALITY GOOD YELLOW PEAS YIELD HIGHER AND QUALITY YELLOW PEAS YIELD HIGHER AND QUALITY

GOODGOOD US Will export commercially higher volumesUS Will export commercially higher volumes

US #1 GREEN PEA PRODUCTION HIGHER BUT US #1 GREEN PEA PRODUCTION HIGHER BUT NOT AS HIGH AS PEOPLE THINKNOT AS HIGH AS PEOPLE THINK- USA NEARLY SOLD OUT OF ANYTHING WITH - USA NEARLY SOLD OUT OF ANYTHING WITH QUALITYQUALITY

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USPLTA FAQ USPLTA FAQ CERTIFICATIONCERTIFICATION

Pacific Northwest RegionPacific Northwest Region Green Peas - Quality Impairment Green Peas - Quality Impairment

for bleach US #3 WGPfor bleach US #3 WGP Yellow Peas - US #1 Yellow Peas - US #1 Medium Lentils US #1 Medium Lentils US #1 Small Lentils US #1Small Lentils US #1 Chickpeas US #1 73% crop above Chickpeas US #1 73% crop above

22/64 sieve ave seed count 54 22/64 sieve ave seed count 54 SPOSPO

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USPLTA FAQUSPLTA FAQMidwest Midwest

Whole Green Pea - Quality Whole Green Pea - Quality Impairment Bleach US #2Impairment Bleach US #2

Whole Yellow Pea US #1Whole Yellow Pea US #1 Lentils US #1Lentils US #1

Chickpeas Not enough dataChickpeas Not enough data

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PEA BY CLASS PEA BY CLASS PRODUCTION PRODUCTION ESTIMATIONESTIMATION

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2010 2011 2012 2013

YELLOW

GREEN

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US PEA US PEA PRODUCTION/ACREAGEPRODUCTION/ACREAGE

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Production (MT)

Acreage

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US DOMESTIC PEA US DOMESTIC PEA DISAPPEARANCEDISAPPEARANCE

US Field Pea Disappearances

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year

MT

Usage (MT)

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US GREEN PEA EXPORT US GREEN PEA EXPORT DESTINATIONSDESTINATIONS

1)1) INDIA down 28% INDIA down 28% 47 TMT 47 TMT

2)2) CHINA up 60% CHINA up 60% 33 TMT33 TMT

3)3) CANADACANADA4)4) PHILIPPINESPHILIPPINES5)5) SAUDI ARABIASAUDI ARABIA6)6) MEXICOMEXICO7)7) COLOMBIA COLOMBIA

8)8) PERUPERU9)9) TAIWANTAIWAN10)10) KENYAKENYA11)11) KOREAKOREA12)12) SOUTH AFRICASOUTH AFRICA13)13) BELGIUMBELGIUM14)14) RUSSIA - up RUSSIA - up

600%600%15)15) TURKEYTURKEY16)16) CHILECHILE

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US YELLOW PEA EXPORT US YELLOW PEA EXPORT DESTINATIONSDESTINATIONS

1)1) INDIA down 28%INDIA down 28%

2)2) CHINA up 600%CHINA up 600%

3)3) PAKISTAN up 200%PAKISTAN up 200%

4)4) BELGIUMBELGIUM

5)5) INDONESIAINDONESIA

6)6) TAIWANTAIWAN

7)7) KOREAKOREA

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US LENTIL EXPORT US LENTIL EXPORT DESTINATIONSDESTINATIONS

1)1) INDIAINDIA

2)2) SPAINSPAIN

3)3) PERUPERU

4)4) MEXICOMEXICO

5)5) ITALYITALY

6)6) CANADACANADA

7)7) UNITED ARAB UNITED ARAB EMIRATESEMIRATES

8)8) SRI LANKASRI LANKA

9)9) EGYPTEGYPT

10)10) TURKYTURKY

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US Lentil Acreage and US Lentil Acreage and ProductionProduction

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Production (MT) Acreage

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US LENTIL PRODUCTION / US LENTIL PRODUCTION / EXPORTSEXPORTS

US Lentil Production/Export

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year

MT

Production (MT) Total Export

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US LENTIL EXPORTSUS LENTIL EXPORTSUS Lentil Exports

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year

MT

Total Export

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US CHICKPEA EXPORT US CHICKPEA EXPORT DESTINATIONSDESTINATIONS

1)1) SPAINSPAIN

2)2) TURKEYTURKEY

3)3) CANADACANADA

4)4) ITALYITALY

5)5) INDIAINDIA

6)6) LEBANONLEBANON

7)7) COLOMBIACOLOMBIA

8)8) ISRAELISRAEL

9)9) ALGERIAALGERIA

10)10) JAPANJAPAN

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US CHICKPEA US CHICKPEA DISAPPEARANCEDISAPPEARANCE

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Year

US Chickpea Disappearance

Total Exports Domestic

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US CHICKPEA US CHICKPEA PRODUCTION VS ENDING PRODUCTION VS ENDING

STOCKSSTOCKSUS Chickpea Production vs End Stocks

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year

MT

Production End Stocks

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FREIGHT AND FREIGHT AND LOGISTICSLOGISTICS

POWER AND CREW SHORTAGEPOWER AND CREW SHORTAGE

WEATHER DELAYSWEATHER DELAYS

SHIFT IN RESOURCES TOWARD OILSHIFT IN RESOURCES TOWARD OIL

RECORD LARGE CORN CROPRECORD LARGE CORN CROP

MAINTENANCE AND UPGRADESMAINTENANCE AND UPGRADES

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FREIGHT SHIFT FREIGHT SHIFT

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US CRUDE US CRUDE PRODUCTIONPRODUCTION

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Pulse Export TimelinePulse Export Timeline

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2014 CROP ECONOMIES2014 CROP ECONOMIESPNWPNW

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

SWW LENTILS GARBS SWSW MALTBARLEY

GREENPEAS

SPRINGWHEAT

CANOLA FEEDBARLEY

Eastern Washington 2014 Crop Economies

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2014 CROP ECONOMIES2014 CROP ECONOMIESMONTANAMONTANA

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

MALTBARLEY

CANOLA GREENPEAS

LENTILS WHEAT DURUM FEEDBARLEY

YELLOWPEA

CENTRAL MONTANA 2014 CROP ECONOMIES

Series1

Series2

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

MALTBARLEY

LENTILS FLAX GREENPEAS

CORN YELLOWPEAS

DURUM CANOLA SPRINGWHEAT

FEEDBARLEY

Eastern Montana 2014 Crop Economies

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2014 CROP ECONOMIES2014 CROP ECONOMIESNORTH DAKOTANORTH DAKOTA

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

GREENPEAS

MALTBARLEY

FLAX YELLOWPEAS

LENTILS CORN DURUM SPRINGWHEAT

CANOLA FEEDBARLEY

Western North Dakota 2014 Crop Economies

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2014 EXPECTED 2014 EXPECTED SEEDINGSSEEDINGS

GREEN PEA ACRES INCREASEDGREEN PEA ACRES INCREASED

YELLOW PEA ACRES INCREASEDYELLOW PEA ACRES INCREASED

LENTILS ACRES SIDEWAYSLENTILS ACRES SIDEWAYS

CHICKPEAS ACRES DECREASEDCHICKPEAS ACRES DECREASED

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US PULSE TRENDSUS PULSE TRENDS

MORE DOMESTIC USE FOR GARBANZOMORE DOMESTIC USE FOR GARBANZO MORE COLOR SORTING AND MORE COLOR SORTING AND

PROCESSING THUS INCREASING PROCESSING THUS INCREASING AMOUNTS OF HIGHER QUALITY AMOUNTS OF HIGHER QUALITY PRODUCTPRODUCT

CROSS BORDER TRADECROSS BORDER TRADE MORE TRANSPORTATION OPTIONS MORE TRANSPORTATION OPTIONS

OPENINGOPENING MORE BULK VESSEL BUSINESS WILL MORE BULK VESSEL BUSINESS WILL

OCCUROCCUR

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THANK YOU THANK YOU