U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

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U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008

Transcript of U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

Page 1: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments

September 2008

Page 2: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

23.0

100.9

4.1

15.8

65.3

9.2

32.0

42.5

0

20

40

60

80

100

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Mill

ion

s

Power Line and Other

Satellite and Wireless Devices

Fiber

Cable Modem

SDSL and Traditional Wireline

ADSL

High Speed Line Growth (2000 – 2007)*

• All figures as of June 30th. Source: FCC’s High Speed Services for Internet Access Report, March 2008, at 6.

2007

Page 3: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

High-Speed Lines in the US by Technology as of June 30, 2007

Source: FCC’s High Speed Services for Internet Access Report, March 2008, at 6.

Fiber1%

All Other37%

Cable Modem34%

ADSL27%

SDSL & Traditional Wireline 1%

Page 4: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

U.S. Investment in Fiber Networks

Telecommunications companies expect to make $50 billion in capital expenditures in 2008-2009 regarding broadband investment.

Verizon has said it expects to invest $18 billion in net capital from 2004 -2010 in deploying their FiOS network.

Spending by carriers on telecommunications equipment in 2008:

Fiber: $10.6 billion

Industry-wide, spending on fiber-related telecommunications equipment is estimated to grow almost $13.5 billion annually in the next three years.

Page 5: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

2001 2007

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

768 kbps - 1.5Mbps

1.5Mbps

Wireline Broadband Prices and SpeedsDeclining Prices, Increasing Speeds

Source: US Telecom: The Broadband Association, Wireline Broadband Pricing 2001-2007, June 2008

(Based on Maximum Advertised Price Downstream Speed Tier)

Page 6: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

Wireline Broadband

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Year

Source: USTelecom: The Broadband Association, Wireline Broadband Pricing 2001-2007, June 2008

Increasing Speeds for $50

(Speeds based on Maximum Advertised Price Downstream Speed Tier)

768 kbps1.5 mbps

Up to 3 mbps

Up to 7 mbps

Up to 15 mbps

Page 7: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

Promoting an Open Internet

In 2005, the Commission adopted an Internet Policy Statement that

set forth four consumer-based principles:

Consumers are entitled to access the lawful Internet content of their choice;

Consumers are entitled to run applications and use services of their choice, subject to the needs of law enforcement;

Consumers are entitled to connect their choice of legal devices that do not harm the network; and

Consumers are entitled to competition among network providers, application and service providers, and content providers.

Page 8: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

FCC Affirms Its Authority to Protect Vibrant and Open Internet

Peer connections Terminated with

False “reset” message

All Internet Users Affected

ISP #1

ISP #2

ISP #3

?

?

user seeking peer content

user seeking peer content

user seeking peer content

?

User/peer w/ content

User/peerw/ content

Page 9: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

Total US Mobile Telephone Wireless Subscribers

255.4

233

207.9

182.1158.7

140.8128.4

109.586

69.255.3

33.824.144

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Mil

lion

s of

Su

bsc

rib

ers

Source: Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association, Semi-Annual Survey, 2007.

Page 10: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

Growth in the Mobile Telephone Industry(June 2002 – June 2007)

DOWN43% From

$0.12 per minute in June 2002

Subscribers ServiceRevenues

Price per minute

243 MillionSubscribers in

June 2007

$133 Billion inAnnualized Revenues June 2007

Price per minute $0.07 in June 2007

Source: Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association; FCC.

UP 88%

From $71Billion in

Annualized Revenues June 2002

Minutes of Use

734 Avg Monthly MOUs in

June 2007

UP81% From

135 Million Subscribers In June 2002

UP84% From 398 Average Monthly MOUs in

June 2002

Page 11: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

Comparison of 700 MHz and AWS-1 Auction Revenues vs. All Others

700 MHz Auction$19.1B

All other auctions$19.1B

AWS-1 Auction$13.7B

Note: 700 MHz Auction revenues do not account for bidding credits. (FCC, April 2008)

Page 12: U.S. Telecommunications Regulation and Market Developments September 2008.

700 MHz Auction: Openness Conditions

Consumers will be able to use the wireless device of their choice;

Consumers will be able to download the legal software they want;

Consumers will be able to download the applications they want.